Английская Википедия:2017 North Rhine-Westphalia state election

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Infobox election The 2017 North Rhine-Westphalia state election was held on 14 May 2017 to elect the members of the Landtag of North Rhine-Westphalia. The incumbent coalition government of the Social Democratic Party (SPD) and The Greens led by Minister-President Hannelore Kraft was defeated. The Christian Democratic Union (CDU) became the largest party and formed a coalition with the Free Democratic Party (FDP). CDU leader Armin Laschet was subsequently elected Minister-President.[1][2]

This election was the last election in which an incumbent Minister-President was defeated until the 2022 Saarland state election.

Parties

Файл:2017-05-04-WDR Wahlarena-1386.jpg
The lead candidates after a TV debate.

The table below lists parties represented in the previous Landtag of North Rhine-Westphalia.

Name Ideology Leader(s) 2012 result
Votes (%) Seats
bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color | SPD Social Democratic Party of Germany
Шаблон:Small
Social democracy Hannelore Kraft 39.1% Шаблон:Composition bar
bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color | CDU Christian Democratic Union of Germany
Шаблон:Small
Christian democracy Armin Laschet 26.3% Шаблон:Composition bar
bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color | Grüne Alliance 90/The Greens
Шаблон:Small
Green politics Sylvia Löhrmann 11.3% Шаблон:Composition bar
bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color | FDP Free Democratic Party
Шаблон:Small
Classical liberalism Christian Lindner 8.6% Шаблон:Composition bar
bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color | Piraten Pirate Party Germany
Шаблон:Small
Pirate politics Michele Marsching 7.8% Шаблон:Composition bar

Opinion polling

Party polling

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SPD CDU Grüne FDP Piraten Linke AfD Others Lead
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"|
2017 state election 14 May 2017 31.2 Шаблон:Party shading/CDU| 33.0 6.4 12.6 1.0 4.9 7.4 3.5 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 1.8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 8–11 May 2017 2,402 31 Шаблон:Party shading/CDU| 32 6.5 13.5 6 6.5 4.5 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 1
YouGov 8–10 May 2017 1,017 30 Шаблон:Party shading/CDU| 31 7 9 2 8 9 4 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 1
INSA 3–8 May 2017 1,139 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 33 30 7 13 5 7 5 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 2–4 May 2017 1,032 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 32 Шаблон:Party shading/CDU| 32 7.5 12 6 6 4.5 Tie
Infratest dimap 2–3 May 2017 1,000 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 32 31 7 13 5 8 4 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 1
Forsa 20–25 Apr 2017 1,003 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 35 29 6 12 6 7 5 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 6
YouGov 12–19 Apr 2017 1,051 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 36 27 6 7 2 8 11 3 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 9
Infratest dimap 18–20 Apr 2017 1,003 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 34 Шаблон:Party shading/CDU| 34 6 10 5 8 3 Tie
INSA 30 Mar–4 Apr 2017 1,000 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 37 28 6 10 5 10 4 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 9
Infratest dimap 14–16 Mar 2017 1,001 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 37 30 6 9 5 9 4 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 7
Forsa 20 Feb–10 Mar 2017 1,040 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 40 26 6 11 5 7 5 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 14
INSA 22 Feb–3 Mar 2017 1,199 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 38 27 7 10 4 11 3 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 11
Infratest dimap 14–16 Feb 2017 1,002 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 37 30 7 7 6 10 3 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 6–8 Feb 2017 1,116 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 36 32 7 8 5 9 3 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 4
YouGov 13–20 Jan 2017 1,072 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 31 Шаблон:Party shading/CDU| 31 11 7 1 5 12 2 Tie
Forsa 9–20 Jan 2017 1,072 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 35 29 8 9 6 8 5 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 6
Emnid 19 Dec 2016–18 Jan 2017 1,070 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 32 30 10 8 7 10 3 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 2
Infratest dimap 25–27 Oct 2016 1,002 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 32 Шаблон:Party shading/CDU| 32 12 7 5 9 3 Tie
YouGov 31 Aug–7 Sep 2016 1,022 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 34 28 10 9 5 11 ? style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 6
Mentefactum 30 Aug–6 Sep 2016 1,004 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 31 27 11 8 5 13 3 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 4
Infratest dimap 17–20 May 2016 1,002 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 31 Шаблон:Party shading/CDU| 31 10 8 6 12 2 Tie
INSA 21–28 Apr 2016 1,097 29 Шаблон:Party shading/CDU| 32 13 7.5 5.5 9 4 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 3
Infratest dimap 16–18 Feb 2016 1,002 31 Шаблон:Party shading/CDU| 33 9 7 7 10 3 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 2
Infratest dimap 8–10 Dec 2015 1,000 34 Шаблон:Party shading/CDU| 35 10 6 5 5 5 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 1
Forsa 8–27 Nov 2015 1,211 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 39 29 10 7 2 5 4 4 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 10
YouGov 11–19 Nov 2015 1,022 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 34 30 11 5 1 5 9 5 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 4
Infratest dimap 1–3 Sep 2015 1,001 34 Шаблон:Party shading/CDU| 36 11 5 6 3 5 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 2
Infratest dimap 16–18 Jun 2015 1,000 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 36 35 10 6 1 5 4 3 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 1
Forsa 18–28 May 2015 1,097 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 36 32 11 9 4 3 5 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 4
INSA 21–22 May 2015 500 34 Шаблон:Party shading/CDU| 38 12 6 1 6 2 1 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 4
YouGov 3–10 Dec 2014 1,015 34 Шаблон:Party shading/CDU| 35 12 5 2 5 7 2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 1
Infratest dimap 2–4 Dec 2014 1,000 35 Шаблон:Party shading/CDU| 36 10 5 1 5 5 3 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 1
Forsa 3–10 Nov 2014 1,082 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 36 33 10 4 2 5 6 ? style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 3
Forsa 20–29 Aug 2014 1,506 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 39 32 10 5 3 4 4 ? style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 7
YouGov May 2014 1,006 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 39 34 10 5 2 5 ? ? style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 5
Infratest dimap 5–8 May 2014 1,000 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 37 36 10 5 2 5 3 2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 1
YouGov 25 Nov–1 Dec 2013 1,055 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 38 34 10 4 ? 5 ? ? style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 4
Infratest dimap 3–5 Dec 2013 1,000 37 Шаблон:Party shading/CDU| 38 8 4 3 5 3 2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 1
YouGov 5–16 Sep 2013 1,051 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 38 35 11 4 2 4 ? ? style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 3
Infratest dimap 3–5 Sep 2013 1,009 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 40 36 9 4 3 4 2 2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 4
Infratest dimap 21–23 May 2013 1,001 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 39 35 14 4 2 3 3 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 4
YouGov 12–22 Apr 2013 1,104 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 42 31 12 6 2 3 4 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 11
Infratest dimap 11–14 Dec 2012 1,001 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 40 32 12 5 4 4 3 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 8
YouGov 4–24 Sep 2012 1,020 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 39 30 13 5 5 4 4 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 9
YouGov 1–11 Jun 2012 1,061 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 38 29 12 7 7 3 ? style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 9
2012 state election 13 May 2012 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 39.1 26.3 11.3 8.6 7.8 2.5 4.3 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 12.8

Minister-President polling

Polling firm Fieldwork date Файл:Köln stellt sich quer - Tanz die AfD -2676 (cropped).png Файл:Armin Laschet 2021 (cropped).jpg Lead
Шаблон:Nowrap
SPD
Шаблон:Nowrap
CDU
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"|
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 14 May 2017 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 48 37 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 11
Infratest dimap 14 May 2017 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 49 38 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 11
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 11 May 2017 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 46 38 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 8
YouGov 11 May 2017 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 34 21 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 13
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 5 May 2017 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 51 33 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 18
Infratest dimap 4 May 2017 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 49 28 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 21
Forsa 28 April 2017 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 49 25 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 24
YouGov 25 April 2017 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 42 21 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 21
Infratest dimap 23 April 2017 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 53 31 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 22
Infratest dimap 19 March 2017 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 57 22 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 35
Forsa 15 March 2017 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 55 22 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 33
Infratest dimap 19 February 2017 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 58 26 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 32
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 10 February 2017 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 55 29 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 26
YouGov 27 January 2017 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 46 16 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 30
YouGov 30 October 2016 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 56 20 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 36
Mentefactum 11 September 2016 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 55 30 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 25
Infratest dimap 22 May 2016 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 58 28 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 30
Infratest dimap 13 December 2015 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 61 21 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 40
Forsa 2 December 2015 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 63 18 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 45
YouGov 26 November 2015 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 50 15 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 35
Infratest dimap 21 June 2015 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 64 17 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 47
YouGov 18 December 2014 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 48 19 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 29
Infratest dimap 7 December 2014 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 59 18 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 41
Infratest dimap 11 May 2014 Шаблон:Party shading/SPD| 61 18 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 43

Results

The CDU became the largest party with 33% of the vote. The governing SPD and Greens suffered a 13-point swing between them, the latter losing half their seats. The FDP achieved their best ever result in the state at 12.6%, and AfD debuted at 7.4%. The Pirates collapsed to just 1% of the vote and were ousted from the Landtag. The Left doubled their vote share to 4.9%, but fell just short of the threshold.

Шаблон:Election results

References

Шаблон:Reflist

Шаблон:North Rhine-Westphalia state election Шаблон:2017 elections in Germany