Английская Википедия:2018 Arizona's 8th congressional district special election
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Arizona A special election for Arizona's 8th congressional district was held in 2018 subsequent to the resignation of Republican U.S. Representative Trent Franks. Governor Doug Ducey called a special primary election for Tuesday, February 27, 2018, and a special general election for the balance of Franks' eighth term for Tuesday, April 24, 2018.[1][2]
Republican nominee and former Arizona Senate president pro tem Debbie Lesko won a closer-than-expected race against Democratic challenger Hiral Tipirneni.
Background
Incumbent representative Trent Franks announced on December 7, 2017, that he would resign effective January 31, 2018, after admitting allegations regarding the issue of surrogacy. However, after his wife was hospitalized, Franks resigned effective December 8, 2017.[3]
Candidates must file nomination forms and petitions within 30 days of the governor's proclamation. Candidates in special congressional elections in Arizona must collect a number of valid signatures equal to at least one-fourth of 1% of the number of qualified signers in the district. For the 2018 special election, a Democratic candidate requires 665 signatures, a Green candidate requires 392 signatures, a Libertarian candidate requires 401 signatures, a Republican candidate requires 860 signatures, and an independent candidate requires 4,680 signatures.[4]
It was initially thought that Arizona's resign-to-run law would have required sitting members of the Arizona Legislature to resign their seats in order to run in the special election. Arizona's resign-to-run law does not require someone to resign if they file to run when they are in the final year of their term. However, the deadline to submit nominating petitions will be January 10 and the end of the current term for members of the Arizona Legislature is January 14, 2019.[5] However, legal advice from the legislature's nonpartisan counsel stated that incumbent state legislators would not be required to resign in order to run in the special election.[6]
Republican primary
Two of the major candidates in the Republican primary drew controversy late in the campaign. Former state senator Steve Montenegro faced calls to withdraw, including by former governor Jan Brewer, after news articles revealing sexually suggestive text messages between Montenegro and a legislative staffer surfaced.[7] Additionally, complaints were filed against former state senator Debbie Lesko over her campaign finance records.[8]
Candidates
Declared
- Chad Allen, health care executive[9]
- Brenden Dilley, author, entrepreneur and host of Your Voice America[10][11]
- Stephen Dolgos, independent candidate for Arizona's 8th congressional district in 2012 and 2014[12]
- Debbie Lesko, former state senator[13]
- Phil Lovas, former state representative, Arizona State Chairman of Donald Trump's 2016 campaign, and Regional Advocate for the Small Business Administration's Office of Advocacy.[14]
- David Lien, teacher and former Willmar, Minnesota council member[9]
- Richard Mack, teacher and former Graham County Sheriff[15]
- Steve Montenegro, former state senator[9]
- Bob Stump, former Arizona Corporation Commissioner[16]
- Christopher Sylvester, Navy veteran[9]
- Clair Van Steenwyk, radio host and candidate for the seat in 2016[17]
- Mark Yates[12]
Withdrew
- Kevin Cavanaugh, former deputy sheriff[12]
Declined
- Clint Hickman, Maricopa County Supervisor[16]
- Kimberly Yee, state senator and candidate for State Treasurer in 2018[18][19]
Endorsements
Debates
- Шаблон:Cite news Includes video of debate, January 24, 2018.
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Debbie Lesko |
Phil Lovas |
Richard Mack |
Steve Montenegro |
Bob Stump |
Clair Van Steenwyck |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ABC 15/OH Predictive Insights (R) | January 29, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 21% | 12% | 1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 21% | 10% | 5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 24% |
Remington Research (R-Jobs, Freedom, and Security PAC) | January 20–21, 2018 | 787 | ± 3.5% | 22% | – | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 24% | 11% | – | – |
- with Clint Hickman and Kimberly Yee
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Travis Angry |
Clint Hickman |
Debbie Lesko |
Phil Lovas |
Richard Mack |
Steve Montenegro |
Tony Rivero |
Bob Stump |
Christopher Sylvester |
Kimberly Yee |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ABC 15/OH Predictive Insights (R) | December 11, 2017 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 1% | 15% | 16% | 2% | – | 1% | 1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 18% | 2% | 7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 37% |
Data Orbital (R) | December 9–11, 2017 | 400 | ± 4.9% | – | 9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 15% | 2% | 3% | 4% | – | 10% | – | 7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 51% |
Results
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Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Hiral Tipirneni, emergency department physician[20][21]
- Brianna Westbrook, political activist and LGBTQ community leader[22]
Declined
- Robert Schuster, Arizona State University student[9]
- Robert Olsen[9]
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Green primary
Candidates
Declared
- Richard Grayson (write-in), candidate in Green Party presidential primary in Arizona in 2012[9]
- Gary Swing (write-in), Green Party candidate for U.S. Senator in Arizona in 2016[9]
Each candidate received 13 write-in votes in the primary. Neither was placed on the special election ballot.[23]
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Declared
- Kelly Noble (write-in)[24]
The candidate received 22 write-in votes in the primary and was not placed on the special election ballot.[23]
General election
Republican candidate Debbie Lesko received over $1 million in funding from Republican groups outside the state.[25]
Candidates
- Debbie Lesko (Republican), former state senator[26]
- Hiral Tipirneni (Democratic), emergency department physician[27]
Debates
Host network |
Date | Link(s) | Participants | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hiral Tipirneni (D) |
Debbie Lesko (R) | ||||
KAET | March 26, 2018 | [28] | Invited | Invited |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[29] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | March 2, 2018 |
Inside Elections/Rothenberg Political Report[30] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | February 28, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | March 14, 2018 |
Endorsements
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Debbie Lesko (R) |
Hiral Tipirneni (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College Шаблон:Dead link | April 19–22, 2018 | 400 | ± 5.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% | 43% | – | 8% |
Lake Research Partners (D-Tipirneni) | April 14–16, 2018 | 408 | ± 4.9% | 44% | 44% | – | 11% |
Emerson College | April 12–15, 2018 | 400 | ± 5.2% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% | 4% | 5% |
OH Predictive Insights | April 11, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 53% | 43% | – | 4% |
Lake Research Partners (D-Tipirneni) | March 3–6, 2018 | 400 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 34% | – | 18% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona, 2018#District 8
- Arizona's 8th congressional district
References
External links
- Video of March 26, 2018 debate, Arizona PBS
- Official Campaign Websites
Шаблон:2018 United States elections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
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- ↑ 9,0 9,1 9,2 9,3 9,4 9,5 9,6 9,7 Шаблон:Cite news
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- ↑ 12,0 12,1 12,2 Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ 16,0 16,1 Шаблон:Cite news
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- ↑ 23,0 23,1 Шаблон:Cite web
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