Английская Википедия:2018 Arizona's 8th congressional district special election

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Arizona A special election for Arizona's 8th congressional district was held in 2018 subsequent to the resignation of Republican U.S. Representative Trent Franks. Governor Doug Ducey called a special primary election for Tuesday, February 27, 2018, and a special general election for the balance of Franks' eighth term for Tuesday, April 24, 2018.[1][2]

Republican nominee and former Arizona Senate president pro tem Debbie Lesko won a closer-than-expected race against Democratic challenger Hiral Tipirneni.

Background

Incumbent representative Trent Franks announced on December 7, 2017, that he would resign effective January 31, 2018, after admitting allegations regarding the issue of surrogacy. However, after his wife was hospitalized, Franks resigned effective December 8, 2017.[3]

Candidates must file nomination forms and petitions within 30 days of the governor's proclamation. Candidates in special congressional elections in Arizona must collect a number of valid signatures equal to at least one-fourth of 1% of the number of qualified signers in the district. For the 2018 special election, a Democratic candidate requires 665 signatures, a Green candidate requires 392 signatures, a Libertarian candidate requires 401 signatures, a Republican candidate requires 860 signatures, and an independent candidate requires 4,680 signatures.[4]

It was initially thought that Arizona's resign-to-run law would have required sitting members of the Arizona Legislature to resign their seats in order to run in the special election. Arizona's resign-to-run law does not require someone to resign if they file to run when they are in the final year of their term. However, the deadline to submit nominating petitions will be January 10 and the end of the current term for members of the Arizona Legislature is January 14, 2019.[5] However, legal advice from the legislature's nonpartisan counsel stated that incumbent state legislators would not be required to resign in order to run in the special election.[6]

Republican primary

Two of the major candidates in the Republican primary drew controversy late in the campaign. Former state senator Steve Montenegro faced calls to withdraw, including by former governor Jan Brewer, after news articles revealing sexually suggestive text messages between Montenegro and a legislative staffer surfaced.[7] Additionally, complaints were filed against former state senator Debbie Lesko over her campaign finance records.[8]

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

  • Kevin Cavanaugh, former deputy sheriff[12]

Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Debates

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Debbie
Lesko
Phil
Lovas
Richard
Mack
Steve
Montenegro
Bob
Stump
Clair
Van
Steenwyck
Undecided
ABC 15/OH Predictive Insights (R) January 29, 2018 400 ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 21% 12% 1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 21% 10% 5% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 24%
Remington Research (R-Jobs, Freedom, and Security PAC) January 20–21, 2018 787 ± 3.5% 22% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 24% 11%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

with Clint Hickman and Kimberly Yee
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Travis
Angry
Clint
Hickman
Debbie
Lesko
Phil
Lovas
Richard
Mack
Steve
Montenegro
Tony
Rivero
Bob
Stump
Christopher
Sylvester
Kimberly
Yee
Undecided
ABC 15/OH Predictive Insights (R) December 11, 2017 400 ± 4.9% 1% 15% 16% 2% 1% 1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 18% 2% 7% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 37%
Data Orbital (R) December 9–11, 2017 400 ± 4.9% 9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 15% 2% 3% 4% 10% 7% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 51%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Green primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Richard Grayson (write-in), candidate in Green Party presidential primary in Arizona in 2012[9]
  • Gary Swing (write-in), Green Party candidate for U.S. Senator in Arizona in 2016[9]

Each candidate received 13 write-in votes in the primary. Neither was placed on the special election ballot.[23]

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Kelly Noble (write-in)[24]

The candidate received 22 write-in votes in the primary and was not placed on the special election ballot.[23]

General election

Файл:Debbie Lesko (27816240978).jpg
Debbie Lesko at a campaign event in Peoria, Arizona
Файл:Hiral Tipirneni (39874752140).jpg
Hiral Tipirneni at a campaign event in Sun City, Arizona

Republican candidate Debbie Lesko received over $1 million in funding from Republican groups outside the state.[25]

Candidates

Debates

Host
network
Date Link(s) Participants
Hiral
Tipirneni (D)
Debbie
Lesko (R)
KAET March 26, 2018 [28] Invited Invited

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[29] Шаблон:USRaceRating March 2, 2018
Inside Elections/Rothenberg Political Report[30] Шаблон:USRaceRating February 28, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] Шаблон:USRaceRating March 14, 2018

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Debbie
Lesko (R)
Hiral
Tipirneni (D)
Other Undecided
Emerson College Шаблон:Dead link April 19–22, 2018 400 ± 5.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 43% 8%
Lake Research Partners (D-Tipirneni) April 14–16, 2018 408 ± 4.9% 44% 44% 11%
Emerson College April 12–15, 2018 400 ± 5.2% 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% 4% 5%
OH Predictive Insights April 11, 2018 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 53% 43% 4%
Lake Research Partners (D-Tipirneni) March 3–6, 2018 400 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% 34% 18%

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

See also

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official Campaign Websites

Шаблон:2018 United States elections