Английская Википедия:2018 Braddon by-election

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Шаблон:Use dmy dates Шаблон:Infobox election

A by-election for the Australian House of Representatives seat of Braddon took place on Saturday 28 July 2018, following the resignation of incumbent Labor MP Justine Keay.[1]

In early counting, within an hour of the close of polls, the Australian Broadcasting Corporation's psephologist Antony Green's electoral computer had predicted Labor to retain the electorate.[2]

The by-election occurred on the same day as four other by-elections for the House of Representatives, colloquially known as Super Saturday.

Background

Due to the High Court ruling against Senator Katy Gallagher on 9 May 2018 as part of the ongoing parliamentary eligibility crisis, Keay and three other MPs in the same situation announced their parliamentary resignations later that day,[1] while the Perth incumbent resigned for family reasons.[3] The Speaker announced on 24 May 2018 that he had scheduled the by-elections to occur on 28 July 2018. Popularly labelled "Super Saturday", the occurrence of five simultaneous federal by-elections is unprecedented in Australian political history.[4] The others are:

A redistribution of the Tasmanian federal electoral divisions was completed in 2017, however by-elections are conducted under existing boundaries, as redistributed boundaries do not come into effect until the subsequent federal election.[5][6]

Key dates

Key dates in relation to the by-election are:[7]

  • Thursday, 10 May 2018 – Speaker acceptance of resignation
  • Friday, 15 June 2018 – Issue of writ
  • Friday, 22 June 2018 – Close of electoral rolls (8pm)
  • Thursday, 5 July 2018 – Close of nominations (12 noon)
  • Friday, 6 July 2018 – Declaration of nominations (12 noon)
  • Tuesday, 10 July 2018 – Start of early voting
  • Saturday, 28 July 2018 – Polling day (8am to 6pm)
  • Friday, 10 August 2018 – Last day for receipt of postal votes
  • Sunday, 23 September 2018 – Last day for return of writs

Candidates

Файл:2018 Braddon by-election polling at Burnie City Council 20180728-001.jpg
Burnie City Council polling booth
Candidates (8) in ballot paper order[8]
Party Candidate Background
width=3pt Шаблон:Australian party style Greens Jarrod Edwards Indigenous land management supervisor.[9]
width=3pt Шаблон:Australian party style SFF Brett Neal Farmer.[10]
width=3pt Шаблон:Australian party style Independent Donna Gibbons Registered nurse and small business owner.[8]
width=3pt Шаблон:Australian party style Liberal Democrats Joshua Boag Sheetmetal fabricator. Contested Braddon at the 2016 federal election.[8]
width=3pt Шаблон:Australian party style Liberal Brett Whiteley One-term MP for Braddon elected at the 2013 federal election.[11]
width=3pt Шаблон:Australian party style Independent Craig Garland Fisherman. Contested Braddon at the 2018 state election.[12]
Шаблон:Australian party style People Bruno Strangio Has managed numerous real estate and construction enterprises.[8]
width=3pt Шаблон:Australian party style Labor Justine Keay Previous MP for Braddon elected at the 2016 federal election.[13]

Polling

Braddon by-election polling
Date Firm Commissioned by Sample MoE Primary vote TPP vote
ALP LIB GRN OTH ALP LIB
24−26 July 2018 Newspoll The Australian[14] 1002 ±3.1% 40% 43% 5% 12% 51% 49%
19 July 2018 ReachTEL Aus. Forest Products Assoc.[15][16] 810 ±3.4% 36.0% 42.7% 7.0% 14.3% 52% 48%
2 June 2018 ReachTEL Sky News[17] >800 ±3.4% 33% 47% 6% 14% 46% 54%
2016 election 40.0% 41.5% 6.7% 11.7% 52.2% 47.8%

Results

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Файл:Braddon by-election 2018 preference flow diagram.png
Diagram of preference flows at the Braddon by-election

See also

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Шаблон:Aus by-elections 45th parl Шаблон:2018 in Australia