Английская Википедия:2018 California gubernatorial election
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:See also Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsCA The 2018 California gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the Governor of California, concurrently with elections for the rest of California's executive branch, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic Governor Jerry Brown was ineligible to run for re-election for a third consecutive (and fifth non-consecutive) term due to term limits from the Constitution of California. The race was between the incumbent Democratic Lieutenant Governor Gavin Newsom and businessman John H. Cox, a Republican, who qualified for the general election after placing first and second in the June 5, 2018, primary election.
Newsom won in a landslide, with 62% of the vote, the biggest victory in a gubernatorial race in California since Earl Warren won re-election in 1950, and the biggest victory for a non-incumbent since 1930; Newsom received almost eight million votes.[1] The election also marked the first time Orange County had voted for the Democratic candidate since Jerry Brown won it in 1978, and the first time Democrats won three consecutive gubernatorial elections in the state's history. Newsom assumed office on January 7, 2019.
Candidates
A primary election was held on June 5, 2018. Under California's non-partisan blanket primary law, all candidates appeared on the same ballot, regardless of party. Voters may vote for any candidate, regardless of their party affiliation. The top two finishers – regardless of party – advance to the general election in November, regardless of whether a candidate manages to receive a majority of the votes cast in the primary election.
Democratic Party
Declared
- Akinyemi Agbede, mathematician[2]
- Juan M. Bribiesca, retired physician[3]
- Thomas Jefferson Cares, blockchain start-up CEO[4]
- John Chiang, California State Treasurer[5]
- Delaine Eastin, former California State Superintendent of Public Instruction[6]
- Robert Davidson Griffis, 2016 Libertarian candidate for president[4]
- Albert Caesar Mezzetti, former Manteca City Councilman[4]
- Gavin Newsom, Lieutenant Governor of California[7]
- Amanda Renteria, national political director for Hillary Clinton's 2016 presidential campaign and candidate for CA-21 in 2014[8]
- Michael Shellenberger, founder of the Breakthrough Institute[9][10][4]
- Klement Tinaj, actor, martial artist, stuntman, and producer[11]
- Antonio Villaraigosa, former mayor of Los Angeles[12][13][14]
Declined
- Xavier Becerra, Attorney General of California (ran for re-election)[15][16]
- Scooter Braun, music manager[17][18]
- George Clooney, actor and activist[19][20]
- Kevin de León, President pro tempore of the California State Senate (ran for the U.S. Senate)[21][22][23]
- Eric Garcetti, Mayor of Los Angeles[24]
- Bob Iger, CEO of The Walt Disney Company[25][26]
- Sheryl Sandberg, Facebook COO[27]
- Libby Schaaf, Mayor of Oakland (ran for re-election)[21][28]
- Jackie Speier, U.S. Representative (ran for re-election)[29]
- Tom Steyer, hedge fund manager, philanthropist, and environmentalist[30][31][32]
Republican Party
Declared
- Travis Allen, State Assemblyman[33]
- John H. Cox, businessman[34][35]
- Yvonne Girard, US Military Veteran[4]
- Peter Y. Liu, entrepreneur, real estate agent, US Army veteran[4]
- Robert C. Newman II, businessman, psychologist, farmer[4]
- K. Pearce (write-in)[36]
Withdrawn
- Rosey Grier, minister and retired NFL player[37][38][39]
- David Hadley, former state assemblyman[40][41]
- Allen Ishida, former Tulare County Supervisor[42][43][44][45]
- Doug Ose, former U.S. Representative[46]
Declined
- Tim Donnelly, former state assemblyman, candidate for governor in 2014, and candidate for CA-08 in 2016[47] (running for CA-08)
- Kevin Faulconer, Mayor of San Diego[48]
- Ashley Swearengin, former mayor of Fresno[49][7]
- Peter Thiel, venture capitalist[50][51][52][53]
Libertarian Party
Declared
- Zoltan Istvan, Transhumanist Party nominee for President of the United States in 2016[54][55]
- Nickolas Wildstar, political activist, rapper, and write-in candidate for governor in 2014[56][57]
Green Party
Declared
- Christopher Carlson, puppeteer[4]
- Veronika Fimbres (write-in)[36]
- Josh Jones, author, geologist, solar electric designer[4]
Peace and Freedom Party
Declared
- Gloria La Riva, activist and nominee for President of the United States in 2016[58]
Independent (No Party)
Declared
- Armando M. Arreola (write-in)[36]
- Shubham Goel (Later a contestant on Netflix's The Circle)[59]
- Hakan "Hawk" Mikado[4]
- Desmond Silveira, engineer and former national committee member of the American Solidarity Party[4]Шаблон:Efn
- Arman Soltani (write-in)[36]
- Jeffrey Edward Taylor[4]
- Peter Crawford Valentino (write-in)[36]
- Johnny Wattenburg[4]
Notes
Primary election
From the later half of 2017, Lieutenant governor Gavin Newsom was widely seen as the favored front runner for the top two primary. Businessman John Cox and Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa had both been running closely behind Newsom to obtain the second place spot. However soon in late 2017, as more prominent Democrats entered the race, Villaraigosa saw his polling numbers slip out of competition with Cox by the start of 2018. This had mainly left the race between Newsom and Cox, with a third place free for all between Allen and Villaraigosa.
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
- Graphical summary
- with Kevin Faulconer and Eric Garcetti
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John Chiang (D) |
John Cox (R) |
Kevin Faulconer (R) |
Eric Garcetti (D) |
Gavin Newsom (D) |
Tom Steyer (D) |
Ashley Swearengin (R) |
Antonio Villaraigosa (D) |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley/YouGov | March 13–20, 2017 | 1,000 | ± 3.6% | 6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 11% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 11% | 9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 24% | 4% | – | 7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 25%Шаблон:Efn |
| Public Policy Polling | January 17–18, 2017 | 882 | ± 3.3% | 2% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 20% | 13% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 25% | 4% | 12% | 9% | 16%Шаблон:Efn |
| Field Research Corporation | October 25–31, 2016 | 600 | – | 2% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 16% | 7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 23% | 5% | 11% | 6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 30%Шаблон:Efn |
| Public Policy Polling | February 6–8, 2015 | 824 | – | 10% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 30% | 11% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 22% | – | – | 13% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 26%Шаблон:Efn |
Results
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Results by county
Red represents counties won by Cox. Blue represents counties won by Newsom. Green represents counties won by Villaraigosa.[60]
| County | Newsom % | Cox % | Villaraigosa % | Allen % | Chiang % | Others % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alameda | 53.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 4.4% | 9.6% | 11.9% |
| Alpine | 38.5% | 24.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 11.6% |
| Amador | 21.5% | 41.8% | 5.8% | 15.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% |
| Butte | 25.6% | 34.4% | 5.5% | 14.5% | 6.1% | 13.9% |
| Calaveras | 23.3% | 38.2% | 5.3% | 18.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% |
| Colusa | 13.0% | 43.3% | 16.0% | 16.3% | 3.6% | 7.8% |
| Contra Costa | 49.9% | 19.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% |
| Del Norte | 23.4% | 27.0% | 3.5% | 24.8% | 7.7% | 13.6% |
| El Dorado | 24.5% | 40.7% | 5.8% | 13.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% |
| Fresno | 16.8% | 33.7% | 20.2% | 14.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% |
| Glenn | 12.4% | 48.1% | 7.9% | 18.2% | 3.3% | 10.1% |
| Humboldt | 37.9% | 22.3% | 5.0% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 18.8% |
| Imperial | 11.8% | 22.7% | 31.2% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 16.6% |
| Inyo | 22.6% | 30.7% | 8.6% | 15.9% | 8.7% | 13.5% |
| Kern | 12.1% | 40.6% | 13.9% | 19.9% | 5.4% | 8.1% |
| Kings | 9.4% | 36.7% | 17.0% | 23.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% |
| Lake | 37.5% | 28.4% | 6.6% | 12.0% | 5.0% | 10.5% |
| Lassen | 13.1% | 41.7% | 2.1% | 26.8% | 6.6% | 9.7% |
| Los Angeles | 32.7% | 19.6% | 21.7% | 5.8% | 13.2% | 7.0% |
| Madera | 12.8% | 40.2% | 15.7% | 18.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% |
| Marin | 64.1% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% |
| Mariposa | 19.1% | 34.9% | 8.2% | 23.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% |
| Mendocino | 45.2% | 17.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 14.9% |
| Merced | 18.2% | 29.7% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 7.3% | 10.8% |
| Modoc | 11.4% | 49.9% | 3.0% | 18.0% | 3.1% | 14.6% |
| Mono | 31.6% | 26.1% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 5.0% | 13.1% |
| Monterey | 37.8% | 19.8% | 16.8% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 9.6% |
| Napa | 46.1% | 19.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 9.3% |
| Nevada | 34.1% | 25.7% | 5.9% | 17.4% | 7.0% | 9.9% |
| Orange | 24.3% | 36.3% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% |
| Placer | 25.7% | 40.2% | 5.8% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 6.2% |
| Plumas | 26.9% | 38.5% | 3.8% | 15.5% | 5.7% | 9.6% |
| Riverside | 22.3% | 34.4% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% |
| Sacramento | 29.7% | 26.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 8.7% |
| San Benito | 33.6% | 23.4% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 4.8% | 8.9% |
| San Bernardino | 19.7% | 33.9% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% |
| San Diego | 30.5% | 32.6% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% |
| San Francisco | 57.5% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 2.2% | 8.9% | 15.7% |
| San Joaquin | 26.3% | 31.4% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% |
| San Luis Obispo | 33.2% | 29.4% | 6.8% | 14.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% |
| San Mateo | 55.0% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% |
| Santa Barbara | 33.8% | 26.2% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 9.4% |
| Santa Clara | 48.5% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 10.7% |
| Santa Cruz | 52.4% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 12.8% |
| Shasta | 16.9% | 44.3% | 3.9% | 19.9% | 4.5% | 10.5% |
| Sierra | 22.9% | 35.1% | 3.7% | 17.6% | 7.1% | 13.6% |
| Siskiyou | 23.3% | 34.5% | 3.4% | 18.5% | 5.0% | 15.3% |
| Solano | 41.6% | 23.3% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% |
| Sonoma | 54.6% | 16.4% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 9.7% |
| Stanislaus | 23.2% | 31.6% | 12.3% | 16.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% |
| Sutter | 16.4% | 40.0% | 8.3% | 17.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% |
| Tehama | 13.2% | 45.4% | 4.5% | 21.6% | 4.7% | 10.6% |
| Trinity | 23.6% | 31.4% | 4.7% | 17.9% | 5.4% | 17.0% |
| Tulare | 13.9% | 36.5% | 16.4% | 20.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% |
| Tuolumne | 26.8% | 37.6% | 5.7% | 15.8% | 5.6% | 8.5% |
| Ventura | 26.7% | 32.6% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 7.2% |
| Yolo | 31.6% | 19.9% | 13.7% | 7.0% | 14.6% | 13.2% |
| Yuba | 16.3% | 39.6% | 7.6% | 21.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% |
| Totals | 33.6% | 25.5% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% |
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[61] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 26, 2018 |
| The Washington Post[62] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
| FiveThirtyEight[63] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[64] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 1, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[65] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
| RealClearPolitics[66] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[67] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
| Fox News[68]Шаблон:Efn | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
| Politico[69] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
| Governing[70] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gavin Newsom (D) |
John Cox (R) |
None | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change ResearchШаблон:Bsn | November 2–4, 2018 | 1,108 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% | 41% | – | – | – |
| Research Co. | November 1–3, 2018 | 450 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 58% | 38% | – | – | 4% |
| SurveyUSA | November 1–2, 2018 | 924 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% | 38% | – | – | 9% |
| Probolsky Research | October 25–30, 2018 | 900 | ± 3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 37% | – | – | 16% |
| Thomas Partners Strategies | October 25–27, 2018 | 1,068 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 55% | 42% | – | – | 3% |
| Gravis Marketing | October 25–26, 2018 | 743 | ± 3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 55% | 35% | – | – | 9% |
| UC Berkeley | October 19–25, 2018 | 1,339 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 58% | 40% | – | – | 2% |
| YouGovШаблон:Dead link | October 10–24, 2018 | 2,178 | ± 3.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% | 34% | 3% | – | 10% |
| Public Policy Institute of California | October 12–21, 2018 | 989 | ± 4.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% | 38% | 2% | – | 10% |
| Thomas Partners Strategies | October 18–20, 2018 | 1,068 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54% | 41% | – | – | 5% |
| Emerson College | October 17–19, 2018 | 671 | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 52% | 32% | – | – | 16% |
| SurveyUSA | October 12–14, 2018 | 762 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 52% | 35% | – | – | 14% |
| Thomas Partners Strategies | October 12–14, 2018 | 1,068 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% | 43% | – | – | 6% |
| USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times | September 17 – October 14, 2018 | 794 LV | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54% | 31% | – | – | 15% |
| 980 RV | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% | 30% | – | – | 19% | ||
| Thomas Partners Strategies | October 5–7, 2018 | 1,068 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54% | 42% | – | – | 4% |
| Thomas Partners Strategies | September 28–30, 2018 | 1,068 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% | 45% | – | – | 5% |
| Thomas Partners Strategies | September 21–23, 2018 | 1,068 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% | 42% | – | – | 5% |
| Vox Populi Polling | September 16–18, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 60% | 40% | – | – | – |
| Public Policy Institute of California | September 9–18, 2018 | 964 | ± 4.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% | 39% | 3% | – | 7% |
| Thomas Partners Strategies Шаблон:Webarchive | September 14–16, 2018 | 1,040 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% | 41% | – | – | 14% |
| Ipsos | September 5–14, 2018 | 1,021 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 52% | 40% | – | 3% | 6% |
| Thomas Partners Strategies | September 7–9, 2018 | 1,227 | ± 3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 40% | – | – | 12% |
| Probolsky Research | August 29 – September 2, 2018 | 900 | ± 5.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% | 39% | – | – | 17% |
| Public Policy Institute of California | July 8–17, 2018 | 1,020 | ± 4.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 55% | 31% | 5% | – | 9% |
| SurveyUSA | June 26–27, 2018 | 559 | ± 5.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 58% | 29% | – | – | 13% |
| USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times | June 6–17, 2018 | 767 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% | 28% | – | – | 27% |
| J. Wallin Opinion Research/Tulchin Research | March 30 – April 4, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% | 32% | – | – | 26% |
- with Newsom and Chiang
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
John Chiang (D) |
Gavin Newsom (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Strategy Group (D-Chiang) | January 27 – February 1, 2018 | 500 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% | 30% | – |
| Public Policy Polling | February 6–8, 2015 | 824 | 30% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 37% | 33% |
- with Newsom and Villaraigosa
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gavin Newsom (D) |
Antonio Villaraigosa (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wallin Opinion Research/Tulchin Research | March 30 – April 4, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 38% | 21% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 41% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 6–8, 2015 | 824 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% | 22% | 36% |
- with Villaraigosa and Garcetti
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Eric Garcetti (D) |
Antonio Villaraigosa (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | February 6–8, 2015 | 824 | 28% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 30% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 42% |
Results
Newsom won the general election by the largest margin of any California gubernatorial candidate since Earl Warren's re-election in 1950. In addition to winning the traditional Democratic strongholds of the San Francisco Bay Area, Los Angeles County, Sacramento, and North Coast, Newsom performed well in the traditionally swing Central Coast, San Bernardino County, and San Diego County, as well as narrowly winning traditionally Republican Orange County – the latter voting for a Democrat for the first time in a gubernatorial election since Jerry Brown's first re-election in 1978. Cox did well in the state's more rural areas, even flipping Stanislaus County; Stanislaus is the only county that voted for Brown in 2014 but flipped to Cox in 2018. Cox also narrowly won Fresno County and Riverside County in the Inland Empire in addition to handily winning traditionally Republican Kern County in the Central Valley.
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total
Шаблон:Election box turnout
Шаблон:Election box registered electors Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
Results by county
Here are the results of the election by county. Blue represents counties won by Newsom. Red represents counties won by Cox.[71]
| County | Gavin Newsom
Democratic |
John Cox
Republican |
Total Votes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | |
| Alameda | 462,558 | 80.6% | 111,677 | 19.4% | 574,235 |
| Alpine | 386 | 62.8% | 229 | 37.2% | 615 |
| Amador | 6,237 | 35.5% | 11,356 | 64.5% | 17,593 |
| Butte | 41,500 | 46.8% | 47,226 | 53.2% | 88,726 |
| Calaveras | 7,765 | 35.9% | 13,845 | 64.1% | 21,610 |
| Colusa | 1,999 | 34.7% | 3,764 | 65.3% | 5,763 |
| Contra Costa | 283,805 | 68.2% | 132,345 | 31.8% | 416,150 |
| Del Norte | 3,441 | 41.3% | 4,887 | 58.7% | 8,328 |
| El Dorado | 36,297 | 40.6% | 53,140 | 59.4% | 89,437 |
| Fresno | 124,332 | 49.1% | 128,974 | 50.9% | 253,306 |
| Glenn | 2,424 | 29.1% | 5,908 | 70.9% | 8,332 |
| Humboldt | 33,455 | 64.5% | 18,418 | 35.5% | 51,873 |
| Imperial | 20,573 | 61.7% | 12,785 | 38.3% | 33,358 |
| Inyo | 3,244 | 44.7% | 4,018 | 55.3% | 7,262 |
| Kern | 83,507 | 41.1% | 119,870 | 58.9% | 203,377 |
| Kings | 12,275 | 40.6% | 17,976 | 59.4% | 30,251 |
| Lake | 10,869 | 51.4% | 10,280 | 48.6% | 21,149 |
| Lassen | 2,043 | 22.7% | 6,973 | 77.3% | 9,016 |
| Los Angeles | 2,114,699 | 71.9% | 826,402 | 28.1% | 2,941,101 |
| Madera | 15,037 | 39.0% | 23,488 | 61.0% | 38,525 |
| Marin | 103,671 | 79.5% | 26,750 | 20.5% | 130,421 |
| Mariposa | 3,183 | 38.7% | 5,043 | 61.3% | 8,226 |
| Mendocino | 22,152 | 66.3% | 11,255 | 33.7% | 33,407 |
| Merced | 30,783 | 52.0% | 28,424 | 48.0% | 59,207 |
| Modoc | 820 | 23.8% | 2,628 | 76.2% | 3,448 |
| Mono | 2,706 | 55.8% | 2,147 | 44.2% | 4,853 |
| Monterey | 76,648 | 66.0% | 39,516 | 34.0% | 116,164 |
| Napa | 36,513 | 64.8% | 19,834 | 35.2% | 56,347 |
| Nevada | 27,985 | 52.9% | 24,882 | 47.1% | 52,867 |
| Orange | 543,047 | 50.1% | 539,951 | 49.9% | 1,082,998 |
| Placer | 72,270 | 41.2% | 103,157 | 58.8% | 175,427 |
| Plumas | 3,433 | 37.2% | 5,807 | 62.8% | 9,240 |
| Riverside | 319,845 | 49.8% | 322,243 | 50.2% | 642,088 |
| Sacramento | 302,696 | 58.8% | 212,010 | 41.2% | 514,706 |
| San Benito | 11,274 | 56.1% | 8,815 | 43.9% | 20,089 |
| San Bernardino | 276,874 | 51.5% | 260,379 | 48.5% | 537,253 |
| San Diego | 658,346 | 56.9% | 499,532 | 43.1% | 1,157,878 |
| San Francisco | 312,181 | 86.4% | 49,181 | 13.6% | 361,362 |
| San Joaquin | 101,474 | 52.2% | 92,966 | 47.8% | 194,440 |
| San Luis Obispo | 65,117 | 51.6% | 61,137 | 48.4% | 126,254 |
| San Mateo | 213,282 | 75.2% | 70,242 | 24.8% | 283,524 |
| Santa Barbara | 93,841 | 60.5% | 61,300 | 39.5% | 155,141 |
| Santa Clara | 438,758 | 71.4% | 175,791 | 28.6% | 614,549 |
| Santa Cruz | 91,523 | 76.8% | 27,665 | 23.2% | 119,188 |
| Shasta | 20,256 | 28.9% | 49,825 | 71.1% | 70,081 |
| Sierra | 599 | 35.9% | 1,068 | 64.1% | 1,667 |
| Siskiyou | 7,218 | 39.7% | 10,946 | 60.3% | 18,164 |
| Solano | 89,694 | 61.3% | 56,627 | 38.7% | 146,321 |
| Sonoma | 152,040 | 72.3% | 58,338 | 27.7% | 210,378 |
| Stanislaus | 77,220 | 49.2% | 79,751 | 50.8% | 156,971 |
| Sutter | 11,122 | 37.0% | 18,953 | 63.0% | 30,075 |
| Tehama | 5,756 | 27.5% | 15,137 | 72.5% | 20,893 |
| Trinity | 2,250 | 42.3% | 3,075 | 57.7% | 5,325 |
| Tulare | 42,702 | 42.8% | 57,012 | 57.2% | 99,714 |
| Tuolumne | 9,294 | 38.9% | 14,580 | 61.1% | 23,874 |
| Ventura | 171,729 | 55.6% | 137,393 | 44.4% | 309,122 |
| Yolo | 49,759 | 67.8% | 23,611 | 32.2% | 73,370 |
| Yuba | 6,903 | 36.0% | 12,293 | 64.0% | 19,196 |
| Totals | 7,721,410 | 61.9% | 4,742,825 | 38.1% | 12,464,235 |
- Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Orange (largest municipality: Anaheim)
- San Bernardino (largest municipality: San Bernardino)
- Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Stanislaus (largest municipality: Modesto)
By congressional district
Newsom won 42 of the 53 congressional districts. Cox won 11, including four won by Democrats.[72]
Voter demographics
| Demographic subgroup | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Newsom | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Cox | % of total vote |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ideology | |||
| Liberals | 90 | 10 | 34 |
| Moderates | 59 | 41 | 37 |
| Conservatives | 16 | 84 | 29 |
| Party | |||
| Democrats | 93 | 7 | 46 |
| Republicans | 7 | 93 | 23 |
| Independents | 53 | 47 | 31 |
| Party by gender | |||
| Democratic men | 92 | 8 | 18 |
| Democratic women | 93 | 7 | 28 |
| Republican men | 6 | 94 | 12 |
| Republican women | 9 | 91 | 10 |
| Independent men | 53 | 47 | 18 |
| Independent women | 54 | 46 | 13 |
| Gender | |||
| Men | 56 | 44 | 48 |
| Women | 65 | 35 | 52 |
| Marital status | |||
| Married | 57 | 43 | 57 |
| Unmarried | 65 | 35 | 43 |
| Gender by marital status | |||
| Married men | 53 | 47 | 35 |
| Married women | 64 | 36 | 22 |
| Unmarried men | 58 | 42 | 19 |
| Unmarried women | 68 | 32 | 24 |
| Race and ethnicity | |||
| White | 57 | 43 | 63 |
| Black | 84 | 16 | 6 |
| Latino | 64 | 36 | 19 |
| Asian | 65 | 35 | 8 |
| Other | 71 | 29 | 3 |
| Gender by race and ethnicity | |||
| White men | 54 | 46 | 31 |
| White women | 59 | 41 | 32 |
| Black men | 78 | 22 | 2 |
| Black women | 87 | 13 | 4 |
| Latino men | 61 | 39 | 9 |
| Latino women | 67 | 33 | 10 |
| Others | 67 | 33 | 11 |
| Religion | |||
| Protestant, Other Christian | 46 | 54 | 34 |
| Catholic | 56 | 44 | 21 |
| Jewish | 72 | 28 | 4 |
| Other religion | 76 | 24 | 10 |
| No religion | 79 | 21 | 31 |
| Religious service attendance | |||
| Weekly or more | 46 | 54 | 21 |
| A few times a month | 56 | 44 | 13 |
| A few times a year | 71 | 29 | 23 |
| Never | 69 | 31 | 43 |
| White evangelical or born-again Christian | |||
| Yes | 18 | 82 | 11 |
| No | 65 | 35 | 89 |
| Age | |||
| 18–24 years old | 72 | 28 | 8 |
| 25–29 years old | 66 | 34 | 7 |
| 30–39 years old | 65 | 35 | 15 |
| 40–49 years old | 58 | 42 | 14 |
| 50–64 years old | 56 | 44 | 29 |
| 65 and older | 57 | 43 | 27 |
| Sexual orientation | |||
| LGBT | 83 | 17 | 5 |
| Heterosexual | 58 | 42 | 95 |
| First time voter | |||
| First time voter | 69 | 31 | 18 |
| Everyone else | 58 | 42 | 82 |
| Education | |||
| High school or less | 58 | 42 | 19 |
| Some college education | 56 | 44 | 29 |
| Associate degree | 60 | 40 | 13 |
| Bachelor's degree | 65 | 35 | 24 |
| Advanced degree | 63 | 37 | 16 |
| Education by race and ethnicity | |||
| White college graduates | 59 | 41 | 28 |
| White no college degree | 55 | 45 | 35 |
| Non-white college graduates | 78 | 22 | 11 |
| Non-white no college degree | 64 | 36 | 25 |
| Education by race, ethnicity, and sex | |||
| White women with college degrees | 62 | 38 | 13 |
| White women without college degrees | 56 | 44 | 19 |
| White men with college degrees | 56 | 44 | 15 |
| White men without college degrees | 52 | 48 | 17 |
| Non-whites | 68 | 32 | 36 |
| Family income | |||
| Under $30,000 | 57 | 43 | 17 |
| $30,000–49,999 | 66 | 34 | 21 |
| $50,000–99,999 | 55 | 45 | 22 |
| $100,000–199,999 | 45 | 55 | 27 |
| Over $200,000 | 41 | 59 | 13 |
| Military service | |||
| Veterans | 32 | 68 | 14 |
| Non-veterans | 64 | 36 | 86 |
| Issue regarded as most important | |||
| Health care | 85 | 15 | 43 |
| Immigration | 36 | 64 | 18 |
| Economy | 35 | 65 | 21 |
| Gun policy | 66 | 34 | 15 |
See also
- 2018 California lieutenant gubernatorial election
- 2018 California State Treasurer election
- 2021 California gubernatorial recall election
References
External links
- Official campaign websites
Шаблон:California elections Шаблон:2018 United States elections
- ↑ It's Newsom's Race to Win, Whether California Likes It or Not.RealClearPolitics.
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 4,00 4,01 4,02 4,03 4,04 4,05 4,06 4,07 4,08 4,09 4,10 4,11 4,12 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
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- ↑ 7,0 7,1 Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ 21,0 21,1 Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 36,0 36,1 36,2 36,3 36,4 Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite webШаблон:Dead link
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- Английская Википедия
- Страницы с неработающими файловыми ссылками
- 2018 California elections
- California gubernatorial elections
- 2018 United States gubernatorial elections
- Gavin Newsom
- Страницы, где используется шаблон "Навигационная таблица/Телепорт"
- Страницы с телепортом
- Википедия
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