Английская Википедия:2018 Florida gubernatorial election
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The 2018 Florida gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the next governor of Florida, alongside an election to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and other state and local elections. Incumbent two-term Republican governor Rick Scott was term-limited and could not run for a third term, and he successfully ran for Florida's Class I Senate seat.
Republican U.S. representative Ron DeSantis narrowly defeated Democratic mayor of Tallahassee Andrew Gillum for the governorship, in what some considered an upset. The candidate filing deadline was June 22, 2018, and primary elections were held on August 28. Florida uses a closed primary process, in which the selection of each party's candidates for a general election is limited to registered members of that party;[1] Gillum won the Democratic primary and DeSantis the Republican primary.[2]
The close margin mandated a machine recount, which had a deadline of November 15, 2018. After the recount was complete, DeSantis was certified as the winner. Gillum conceded on November 17. DeSantis's victory marked the sixth straight election in which Florida elected a Republican to the governorship, and the third in a row that neither candidate received over 50% of the vote. With a margin of 0.4%, this election was the closest race of the 2018 gubernatorial election cycle. Gillum became the first Democrat to win Duval County since 1986 and Seminole County since 1990, while DeSantis became the first Republican gubernatorial candidate to win Jefferson County since 1884.
Republican primary
Nominee
- Ron DeSantis, former prosecutor, Iraq war veteran and U.S. representative from Florida's 6th congressional district
Eliminated in primary
- Don Baldauf, contractor[3][4]
- Timothy Devine, candidate for governor of Florida in 2014[5]
- Bob Langford, attorney[6][7]
- John Joseph Mercadante, Republican National Committee official[8][9]
- Bruce Nathan, physical therapist and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016[10]
- Adam Putnam, Florida Commissioner of Agriculture and former U.S. representative for Florida's 12th congressional district[11]
- Bob White, chairman of the Republican Liberty Caucus of Florida[12]
Withdrawn
- Issak Almaleh, notary[13][14]
- Frederick Buntin, incarcerated felon[15][16]
- Usha Jain, medical director[17]
- Jack Latvala, former Florida state senator[18][19]
- Armando Adames Rivas, banker[20][21]
- Angel Rivera, businessman, political strategist[22][23]
- Nathan Dale Wilson[24]
Declined
- Jeff Atwater, former chief financial officer of Florida[25][26]
- Pam Bondi, Florida Attorney General[25][27] (endorsed Adam Putnam)
- Richard Corcoran, Speaker of the Florida House of Representatives[28] (endorsed Adam Putnam)
- John Delaney, former mayor of Jacksonville[29]
- Mike Huckabee, former governor of Arkansas and candidate for president in 2008 and in 2016[30][31]
- Francis Rooney, U.S. representative[32][33]
- Marco Rubio, U.S. senator from Florida, candidate for president in 2016 and former speaker of the Florida House of Representatives[34][35]
- Will Weatherford, former speaker of the Florida House of Representatives[25][36]
Endorsements
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Corcoran |
Ron DeSantis |
Jack Latvala |
Adam Putnam |
Bob White |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | August 21–25, 2018 | 579 | ± 4.1% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 39% | – | 27% | 6% | 4%Шаблон:Efn | 23% |
St. Pete Polls | August 22–23, 2018 | 2,141 | ± 2.1% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 56% | – | 33% | 3% | – | 8% |
Gravis Marketing | August 21–22, 2018 | 321 | ± 5.5% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 39% | – | 24% | 6% | 4%Шаблон:Efn | 26% |
Florida Atlantic University | August 16–20, 2018 | 222 | ± 6.5% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 32% | – | 31% | 2% | 13%Шаблон:Efn | 22% |
Saint Leo University | August 10–16, 2018 | 172 | – | – | 41% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 52% | – | 5% | – |
SurveyUSA | August 10–13, 2018 | 558 | ± 5.2% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 40% | – | 38% | 2% | 5%Шаблон:Efn | 16% |
North Star Opinion Research (R-DeSantis) | August 5–7, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | – | 30% | – | – | – |
Mason-Dixon | July 23–25, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 41% | – | 29% | 0% | 2%Шаблон:Efn | 28% |
Florida Atlantic University | July 20–21, 2018 | 262 | ± 6.0% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 36% | – | 27% | 3% | 12%Шаблон:Efn | 23% |
Clearview Research | July 14–19, 2018 | 700 | ± 4.0% | – | 38% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 39% | – | – | 23% |
St. Pete Polls | July 16–17, 2018 | 1,709 | ± 2.4% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | – | 30% | 4% | – | 17% |
Gravis Marketing | July 13–14, 2018 | 905 | ± 3.3% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 35% | – | 29% | 4%Шаблон:Efn | 25% | |
Fabrizio, Lee and Associates (R) | July 8–12, 2018 | 349 | ± 5.2% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 42% | – | 30% | – | – | 27% |
Remington (R-Tenth Amendment Project) | July 2–5, 2018 | 2,826 | ± 1.8% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43% | – | 26% | – | – | 25% |
1892 Polling (R-DeSantis) | July 2, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.4% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | – | 28% | – | – | |
Marist College | June 17–21, 2018 | 326 | ± 6.7% | – | 21% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 38% | – | 3% | rowspan="2" Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align="center" | 39% |
Fox News | June 15–19, 2018 | 901 | ± 3.0% | – | 17% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 32% | 3% | 5%Шаблон:Efn | |
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 543 | ± 4.2% | 4% | 19% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 29% | 5% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 43% |
Cherry Communications | June 7–9, 2018 | 501 | ± 5.3% | – | 15% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 32% | – | 5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 48% |
Saint Leo University | May 25–31, 2018 | 175 | – | – | 13% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 35% | – | 9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 44% |
Florida Atlantic University | May 4–7, 2018 | 371 | ± 5.0% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 16% | – | 15% | 3% | 24%Шаблон:Efn | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 43% |
1892 Polling (R-DeSantis) | April 19–23, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.4% | 7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 30% | – | 23% | – | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 40% |
– | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 30% | – | 26% | – | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 44% | ||||
Gravis Marketing | February 26 – March 19, 2018 | – | – | 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 19% | 0% | 17% | 0% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 60% |
North Star Opinion Research (R-DeSantis) | March 12–15, 2018 | 600 | – | <6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 21% | – | 19% | – | – | – |
– | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 28% | – | 23% | – | – | – | ||||
Saint Leo University | February 18–24, 2018 | 175 | – | 7% | 14% | 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 15% | 5% | 9%Шаблон:Efn | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 46% |
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | February 1–18, 2018 | – | – | 3% | 16% | 0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 18% | 2% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 61% |
Mason-Dixon | January 29 – February 1, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 7% | 23% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 27% | – | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 43% |
Remington | December 30–31, 2017 | 1,423 | ± 2.6% | 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 28% | – | 25% | – | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 44% |
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | December 19–24, 2017 | – | – | 2% | 12% | 2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 23% | 1% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 60% |
Saint Leo University | November 19–24, 2017 | 166 | – | 5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 15% | 4% | 10%Шаблон:Efn | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 63% | ||
Cherry Communications | September 17–24, 2017 | 256 | – | 1% | 9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 26% | – | 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 59% | |
Saint Leo University | September 10–16, 2017 | 173 | – | 4% | 7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 20% | 2% | 11%Шаблон:Efn | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 44% | |
Florida Atlantic University | August 24–26, 2017 | 304 | ± 6.5% | 10% | 9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 27% | – | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 53% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jeff Atwater |
Rick Baker |
Pam Bondi |
Richard Corcoran |
Mike Huckabee |
Usha Jain |
David Jolly |
Jack Latvala |
Adam Putnam |
Will Weatherford |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | March 28–29, 2017 | – | – | – | 2% | – | 5% | – | – | 5% | 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 21% | – | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 63% |
Saint Leo University | March 3–11, 2017 | 175 | – | – | 6% | – | 5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 30% | 2% | – | 3% | 13% | – | 8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 34% |
Associated Industries of Florida | February 14–17, 2017 | 800 | ± 3.5% | – | – | – | 4% | – | – | – | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 22% | – | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 71% |
Cherry Communications | December 3–8, 2016 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 22% | – | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 64% |
Saint Leo University | November 27–30, 2016 | – | – | 5% | 1% | – | 2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 32% | – | – | – | 6% | 1% | 7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 47% |
StPetePolls.org | August 2, 2016 | 1,835 | ± 2.3% | 7% | 3% | 26% | 1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 37% | – | – | – | 8% | 1% | 7% | 12% |
Results
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Democratic primary
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Gwen Graham, former U.S. representative for Florida's 2nd congressional district and daughter of former U.S. senator and former governor Bob Graham[39]
- Jeff Greene, real estate billionaire and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010[40]
- Chris King, entrepreneur and founder of Elevation Financial Group[41]
- Philip Levine, former mayor of Miami Beach[42]
- Alex Lundmark, real estate agent[43][44]
- John Wetherbee, entrepreneur[45][46]
Withdrew
- Henry E. Davis, judge[47][48]
- Richard Paul Dembinsky, candidate for U.S. representative in 2016 and candidate for governor in 2006[49]
- Lucretia Fordyce, activist[50]
- Josue Larose, perennial candidate[51]
- Brooke Russell Locke Marx, notary[52]
- Louis McClanahan, plant operator[51]
Declined
- Bob Buckhorn, mayor of Tampa[53]
- Kathy Castor, U.S. representative (running for reelection)[54][55]
- Charlie Crist, U.S. representative, former governor of Florida, and nominee for governor in 2014 (running for reelection)[56][57]
- Buddy Dyer, mayor of Orlando[58][59]
- Rick Kriseman, mayor of St. Petersburg[60]
- John Morgan, lawyer and medical marijuana advocate[61][62][63][64]
- Patrick Murphy, former U.S. representative and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2016[65]
- Bill Nelson, U.S. senator (running for reelection)[66]
- Jeremy Ring, former Florida state senator (running for CFO)[67][68]
- Jack Seiler, mayor of Fort Lauderdale[58][69]
Endorsements
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Andrew Gillum |
Gwen Graham |
Jeff Greene |
Chris King |
Philip Levine |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Pete Polls | August 25–26, 2018 | 2,342 | ± 2.0% | 25% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 32% | 11% | 2% | 22% | 4% | 5% |
Gravis Marketing | August 21–25, 2018 | 531 | ± 4.3% | 16% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 26% | 19% | 5% | 18% | – | 17% |
Gravis Marketing | August 21–22, 2018 | 308 | ± 5.6% | 15% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 26% | 19% | 5% | 18% | – | 17% |
Schroth, Eldon and Associates (D) | August 19–21, 2018 | 669 | ± 3.8% | 18% | 25% | 13% | 2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 26% | – | 15% |
Florida Atlantic University | August 16–20, 2018 | 280 | ± 6.3% | 11% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 29% | 11% | 10% | 17% | 3% | 19% |
Change Research (D-Gillum) | August 18–19, 2018 | 1,178 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 33% | 22% | 10% | – | 22% | – | – |
St. Pete Polls | August 18–19, 2018 | 2,202 | ± 2.1% | 21% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 27% | 15% | 3% | 25% | 4% | 6% |
Saint Leo University | August 10–16, 2018 | 188 | – | 15% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 31% | 17% | 5% | 22% | 4% | – |
Schroth, Eldon and Associates (D) | August 11–14, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 15% | 24% | 13% | 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 27% | – | 18% |
SurveyUSA | August 10–13, 2018 | 631 | ± 5.2% | 11% | 22% | 16% | 3% | 22% | 2%Шаблон:Efn | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 24% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Levine) | August 5–6, 2018 | 572 | – | 13% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 26% | 16% | 4% | 22% | – | 19% |
ALG Research (D-Graham) | July 29 – August 2, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.4% | 10% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 33% | 13% | 3% | 17% | – | 23% |
St. Pete Polls | July 30–31, 2018 | 1,652 | ± 2.4% | 12% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 29% | 23% | 3% | 19% | 4% | 9% |
Mason-Dixon | July 23–25, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 10% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 27% | 12% | 7% | 18% | 1%Шаблон:Efn | 25% |
Florida Atlantic University | July 20–21, 2018 | 271 | ± 5.9% | 7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 20% | 14% | 9% | 16% | 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 31% |
Associated Industries of Florida | July 16–18, 2018 | 800 | – | 12% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 24% | 13% | 4% | 16% | – | – |
Frederick Polls | July 2018 | 506 | – | 15% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 28% | 23% | 7% | 27% | – | – |
St. Pete Polls | July 14–15, 2018 | 1,314 | ± 2.7% | 10% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 22% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 22% | 3% | 19% | 1%Шаблон:Efn | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 25% |
Gravis Marketing | July 13–14, 2018 | 1,540 | ± 2.5% | 10% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 27% | 18% | – | 17% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 27% |
Marist College | June 17–21, 2018 | 344 | ± 6.5% | 8% | 17% | 4% | 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 19% | 1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 47% |
RABA Research | June 15–16, 2018 | 660 | ± 3.8% | 8% | 26% | 3% | 15% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 27% | – | 21% |
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 29% | 24% | – | 3% | 17% | – | 27% |
Let's Preserve the American Dream | June 6–9, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.1% | 11% | 21% | 3% | 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 24% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 37% |
Schroth, Eldon and Associates (D) | June 3–5, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 11% | 16% | 4% | 6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 32% | – | 31% |
Saint Leo University | May 25–31, 2018 | 195 | – | 10% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 14% | – | 6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 14% | 9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 47% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Levine) | May 21–22, 2018 | 583 | – | 12% | 20% | – | 6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 30% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 33% |
Change Research (D-Gillum) | May 8–11, 2018 | 1,107 | ± 3.0% | 13% | 13% | – | 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 20% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 52% |
Florida Atlantic University | May 4–7, 2018 | 372 | ± 3.0% | 6% | 15% | – | 10% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 16% | 11%Шаблон:Efn | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 42% |
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.) | April 10–11, 2018 | 491 | – | 8% | 23% | – | 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 29% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 36% |
Public Policy Polling | March 23–25, 2018 | 613 | – | 8% | 19% | – | 5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 22% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 46% |
Gravis Marketing | February 26 – March 19, 2018 | – | – | 11% | 9% | 2% | 2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 13% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 64% |
Saint Leo University | February 18–24, 2018 | 190 | – | 10% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 17% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 50% |
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | February 1–18, 2018 | – | – | 9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 12% | 1% | 2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 12% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 63% |
Mason-Dixon | January 29 – February 1, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 10% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 20% | – | 4% | 17% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 49% |
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | December 19–24, 2017 | – | – | 12% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 18% | 2% | 3% | 6% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 60% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bob Buckhorn |
Kathy Castor |
Buddy Dyer |
Andrew Gillum |
Gwen Graham |
Jeff Greene |
Grant Hill |
Chris King |
Philip Levine |
John Morgan |
Patrick Murphy |
Jeremy Ring |
Katherine Fernandez Rundle |
Jack Seiler |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Frederick Polls | April 23–28, 2018 | 750 | ± 3.6% | – | – | – | 6% | 14% | – | – | 2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 20% | – | 14% | – | – | – | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 44% |
Saint Leo University | November 19–24, 2017 | 181 | – | – | 2% | – | 6% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 13% | – | – | 5% | – | 2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 53% |
Cherry CommunicationsШаблон:Dead link | September 17–24, 2017 | 263 | – | – | – | – | 6% | 16% | – | – | 2% | 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 23% | – | – | – | – | 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 44% |
Saint Leo University | September 10–16, 2017 | 190 | – | – | 3% | – | 5% | 7% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 12% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 13% | – | 5% | – | 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 44% |
Florida Atlantic University | August 24–26, 2017 | 297 | ± 6.5% | – | – | – | 9% | 14% | – | – | 4% | 8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 19% | – | – | – | – | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 47% |
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | April 4–10, 2017 | – | – | – | – | – | 13% | 11% | 1% | – | – | 3% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 14% | – | – | – | 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 55% |
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | March 28–29, 2017 | – | – | – | – | – | 23% | 8% | 0% | – | – | 1% | 9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 24% | – | – | – | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 36% |
Saint Leo University | March 3–11, 2017 | 203 | – | 3% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 4% | – | – | – | 5% | 9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 20% | 2% | – | 2% | 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 40% |
Cherry Communications | December 3–8, 2016 | – | – | 5% | – | – | 8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 16% | – | – | – | 5% | 15% | – | – | – | – | 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 45% |
Saint Leo University | November 27–30, 2016 | – | – | 5% | 4% | 5% | – | 5% | – | – | – | 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 20% | – | 1% | – | 1% | 7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 49% |
Results
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Independent and third party candidates
Reform Party
Declared
Libertarian Party
Withdrawn
- Riquet Caballero, banker and Afro-Cuban activist (running for state representatives)[71]
- Randy Wiseman, former chair of the Lake County School Board, candidate for state representative in 2004, and candidate for mayor of Mount Dora in 2013[72]
Constitution party
Withdrawn
Independents
Declared
- Ryan Christopher Foley, former emergency medical technician[75]
- Kyle "KC" Gibson, pastor[75]
- Bruce Stanley, environmental activist[75]
Declined
- Grant Hill, former professional basketball player[76]
- John Morgan, lawyer and medical marijuana advocate[77]
- Ellen Marie Wilds, JPO supervisor (became Kyle "KC" Gibson's running mate)[78][79]
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
General election
Debates
Dates | Location | DeSantis | Gillum | Link |
---|---|---|---|---|
October 21, 2018 | Tampa, Florida | Participant | Participant | Full debate - C-SPAN |
October 24, 2018 | Weston, Florida | Participant | Participant | Full debate - C-SPAN |
First debate
The first debate moderated by CNN's Jake Tapper was hosted on October 21, 2018, at WEDU, Tampa, Florida.[80] It was an hour long debate featuring topics such as climate change,[81][82] minimum wage,[83][84] health care,[85] gun control,[86] the NRA,[87] DeSantis's "monkey up" comment[88] and President Donald Trump being a role model for children.[89][90]
This debate was held a day before early voting started in Florida on October 22, 2018.[91]
Second debate
The second debate occurred on October 24, 2018, and was hosted at Weston, Florida. It was moderated by Leadership Florida and the Florida Press Association.[92]
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[93] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 26, 2018 |
The Washington Post[94] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
FiveThirtyEight[95] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Rothenberg Political Report[96] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[97] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics[98] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2018 |
Daily Kos[99] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Fox News[100]Шаблон:Efn | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Politico[101] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Governing[102] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis (R) |
Andrew Gillum (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Trafalgar Group (R) | November 4–5, 2018 | 1,484 | ± 2.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | 47% | 1% | 2% |
HarrisX | November 3–5, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% | – | – |
St. Pete Polls | November 3–4, 2018 | 3,088 | ± 1.8% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% | 2%Шаблон:Efn | 3% |
HarrisX | November 2–4, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | – | – |
Quinnipiac University | October 29 – November 4, 2018 | 1,142 | ± 3.5% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% | 1% | 6% |
Emerson College | November 1–3, 2018 | 784 | ± 3.7% | 46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% | 2% | 1% |
HarrisX | November 1–3, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% | – | – |
Research Co. | November 1–3, 2018 | 450 | ± 4.6% | 46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 2% | 5% |
St. Pete Polls | November 1–2, 2018 | 2,733 | ± 1.9% | 46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 2%Шаблон:Efn | 4% |
HarrisX | October 31 – November 2, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% | – | – |
Marist College | October 30 – November 2, 2018 | 595 LV | ± 5.0% | 46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% | <1% | 3% |
917 RV | ± 4.1% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% | <1% | 5% | ||
Gravis Marketing | October 29 – November 2, 2018 | 753 | ± 3.6% | 47% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | – | 5% |
HarrisX | October 30 – November 1, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% | – | – |
Targoz Market Research | October 28–31, 2018 | 558 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 47% | – | 5% |
HarrisX | October 29–31, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% | – | – |
MWR Research/Consumer Energy AllianceШаблон:Efn | October 25–31, 2020 | 1,005 | – | 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 41% | 1% | 18%Шаблон:Efn |
The Trafalgar Group (R) | October 29–30, 2018 | 2,543 | ± 1.9% | 46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 3% | 2% |
Vox Populi Polling | October 27–30, 2018 | 696 | ± 3.7% | 47% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% | – | – |
HarrisX Шаблон:Webarchive | October 24–30, 2018 | 1,400 | ± 2.6% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% | – | – |
Cygnal (R) | October 27–29, 2018 | 495 | ± 4.4% | 47% | 47% | 5% | 1% |
CNN/SSRS | October 24–29, 2018 | 781 LV | ± 4.3% | 48% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% | 0% | 2% |
887 RV | ± 4.0% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 0% | 4% | ||
Suffolk University Шаблон:Webarchive | October 25–28, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% | 1%Шаблон:Efn | 8% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College | October 23–27, 2018 | 737 | ± 4.0% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 1% | 8% |
University of North Florida Шаблон:Webarchive | October 23–26, 2018 | 1,051 | ± 3.0% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% | <1% | 7% |
YouGov | October 23–26, 2018 | 991 | ± 4.0% | 46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 2% | 5% |
Ipsos | October 17–25, 2018 | 1,069 | ± 3.4% | 44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% | 3% | 3% |
Gravis Marketing | October 22–23, 2018 | 773 | ± 3.5% | 46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% | – | 3% |
Strategic Research Associates Шаблон:Webarchive | October 16–23, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 45% | – | 8% |
1892 Polling (R-DeSantis) | October 20–22, 2018 | 2,500 | ± 2.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 46% | 2% | 6% |
Saint Leo University | October 16–22, 2018 | 698 | ± 3.5% | 37% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% | 4% | 11% |
St. Pete Polls | October 20–21, 2018 | 1,575 | ± 2.5% | 46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 2%Шаблон:Efn | 4% |
Florida Atlantic University | October 18–21, 2018 | 704 | ± 3.6% | 37% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 41% | 4% | 18% |
SurveyUSA | October 18–21, 2018 | 665 | ± 5.0% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% | 1% | 8% |
Quinnipiac University | October 17–21, 2018 | 1,161 | ± 3.5% | 46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 52% | 1% | 2% |
Schroth, Eldon and Associates (D) | October 17–20, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | – | 10% |
CNN/SSRS | October 16–20, 2018 | 759 LV | ± 4.2% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54% | 0% | 4% |
872 RV | ± 3.9% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 52% | 0% | 5% | ||
OnMessage Inc. (R-Scott) | October 14–18, 2018 | 2,200 | ± 2.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 45% | 3%Шаблон:Efn | 4% |
St. Pete Polls | October 15–16, 2018 | 1,974 | ± 2.2% | 46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 2%Шаблон:Efn | 5% |
Florida Southern College | October 1–5, 2018 | 476 | ± 4.5% | 44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 5% | 4% |
Kaiser Family Foundation/SSRS | September 19 – October 2, 2018 | 522 | ± 6.0% | 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 1% | 10% |
St. Pete Polls | September 29–30, 2018 | 2,313 | ± 2.0% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 2%Шаблон:Efn | 6% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care) | September 28–30, 2018 | 779 | ± 3.5% | 44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | – | 8% |
Strategic Research Associates Шаблон:Webarchive | September 17–30, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% | – | 12% |
Mason-Dixon | September 24–27, 2018 | 815 | ± 3.5% | 44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% | 3% | 8% |
Quinnipiac University | September 22–24, 2018 | 888 | ± 4.0% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54% | 0% | 2% |
Cherry Communications | September 19–24, 2018 | 622 | ± 4.4% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 2%Шаблон:Efn | 6% |
Marist College | September 16–20, 2018 | 600 LV | ± 4.7% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 1% | 7% |
829 RV | ± 4.0% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% | 1% | 10% | ||
University of North Florida Шаблон:Webarchive | September 17–19, 2018 | 605 | – | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | <1% | 10% |
Florida Atlantic University | September 13–16, 2018 | 850 | ± 3.3% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 41% | 5% | 15% |
Ipsos Шаблон:Webarchive | September 5–12, 2018 | 1,000 | ± 4.0% | 44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% | 2% | 5% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 10–11, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 2% | 8% |
SurveyUSA | September 7–9, 2018 | 634 | ± 5.3% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 1% | 9% |
Cherry Communications | September 6–9, 2018 | 514 | ± 4.0% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 2% | 8% |
St. Pete Polls | September 5–6, 2018 | 2,240 | ± 2.1% | 47% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | – | 5% |
Quinnipiac University | August 30 – September 3, 2018 | 785 | ± 4.3% | 47% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% | 0% | 3% |
Gravis Marketing | August 29–30, 2018 | 1,225 | ± 2.8% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | – | 8% |
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.) | August 29–30, 2018 | 743 | ± 4.0% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | – | 9% |
Gravis Marketing | July 13–14, 2018 | 1,840 | ± 2.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 39% | 36% | – | 25% |
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 35% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 38% | – | 27% |
Gravis Marketing | February 26 – March 19, 2018 | 2,212 | ± 2.1% | 29% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 33% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 37% |
- with Ron DeSantis and Gwen Graham
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis (R) |
Gwen Graham (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Frederick Polls (D) | August 16–20, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% | – | – |
Saint Leo University | August 10–16, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 31% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 36% | 9% | 24% |
Gravis Marketing | July 13–14, 2018 | 1,840 | ± 2.3% | 38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% | – | 20% |
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 34% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% | – | 22% |
Saint Leo University | May 25–31, 2018 | 506 | ± 4.5% | 16% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 22% | 13% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 49% |
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.) | April 10–11, 2018 | 661 | – | 36% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% | – | 24% |
Gravis Marketing | February 26 – March 19, 2018 | 2,212 | ± 2.1% | 30% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 33% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 37% |
- with Ron DeSantis and Jeff Greene
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis (R) |
Jeff Greene (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | July 13–14, 2018 | 1,840 | ± 2.3% | 39% | 39% | 22% |
- with Ron DeSantis and Chris King
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis (R) |
Chris King (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 35% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 37% | 29% |
- with Ron DeSantis and Philip Levine
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis (R) |
Philip Levine (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saint Leo University | August 10–16, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 30% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 34% | 11% | 25% |
Gravis Marketing | July 13–14, 2018 | 1,840 | ± 2.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 40% | 38% | – | 22% |
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.) | June 18–19, 2018 | 1,308 | – | 36% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 41% | – | – |
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 33% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 43% | – | 24% |
Saint Leo University | May 25–31, 2018 | 506 | ± 4.5% | 17% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 22% | 12% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 49% |
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.) | April 10–11, 2018 | 661 | – | 37% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% | – | 22% |
- with Adam Putnam and Andrew Gillum
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Adam Putnam (R) |
Andrew Gillum (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | July 13–14, 2018 | 1,840 | ± 2.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 41% | 35% | 29% |
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% | 20% |
Gravis Marketing | February 26 – March 19, 2018 | 2,212 | ± 2.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 34% | 28% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 38% |
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | February 1–18, 2018 | 1,978 | ± 2.2% | 30% | 30% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 40% |
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | December 19–24, 2017 | 5,778 | ± 1.3% | 31% | 31% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 39% |
Cherry Communications | September 17–24, 2017 | 615 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 40% | 33% | – |
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | March 28–29, 2017 | 1,453 | ± 2.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 32% | 31% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 37% |
- with Adam Putnam and Gwen Graham
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Adam Putnam (R) |
Gwen Graham (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saint Leo University | August 10–16, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 36% | 31% | 9% | 24% |
Gravis Marketing | July 13–14, 2018 | 1,840 | ± 2.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 40% | 39% | – | 20% |
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% | – | 17% |
Saint Leo University | May 25–31, 2018 | 506 | ± 4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 25% | 20% | 13% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 43% |
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.) | April 10–11, 2018 | 661 | – | 36% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 37% | – | 27% |
Gravis Marketing | February 26 – March 19, 2018 | 2,212 | ± 2.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 34% | 32% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 34% |
Saint Leo University | February 18–24, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 22% | 18% | 14% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 45% |
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | February 1–18, 2018 | 1,978 | ± 2.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 33% | 29% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 38% |
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | December 19–24, 2017 | 5,778 | ± 1.3% | 32% | 32% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 37% |
Cherry Communications | September 17–24, 2017 | 615 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 39% | 37% | – | – |
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | March 28–29, 2017 | 1,453 | ± 2.6% | 32% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 34% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 35% |
Cherry Communications | December 3–8, 2016 | 606 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 39% | 36% | – | 25% |
Gravis Marketing | November 22–25, 2016 | 3,250 | ± 2.4% | 34% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 37% | – | 30% |
- with Adam Putnam and Jeff Greene
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Adam Putnam (R) |
Jeff Greene (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | July 13–14, 2018 | 1,840 | ± 2.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 41% | 39% | 20% |
- with Adam Putnam and Chris King
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Adam Putnam (R) |
Chris King (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 39% | 38% | 23% |
Cherry Communications | September 17–24, 2017 | 615 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 40% | 31% | – |
- with Adam Putnam and Philip Levine
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Adam Putnam (R) |
Philip Levine (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saint Leo University | August 10–16, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 37% | 30% | 9% | 25% |
Gravis Marketing | July 13–14, 2018 | 1,840 | ± 2.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43% | 38% | – | 19% |
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.) | June 18–19, 2018 | 1,308 | – | 38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 43% | – | – |
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 43% | – | 19% |
Saint Leo University | May 25–31, 2018 | 506 | ± 4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 24% | 20% | 11% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 44% |
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.) | April 10–11, 2018 | 661 | – | 37% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 41% | – | 23% |
Cherry Communications | September 17–24, 2017 | 615 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 40% | 32% | – | – |
- with Bob White and Andrew Gillum
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bob White (R) |
Andrew Gillum (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 28% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 38% | 35% |
- with Bob White and Gwen Graham
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bob White (R) |
Gwen Graham (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 27% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% | 29% |
- with Bob White and Chris King
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bob White (R) |
Chris King (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 28% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 36% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 36% |
- with Bob White and Philip Levine
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bob White (R) |
Philip Levine (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 29% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% | 29% |
- with generic Republican and Democrat
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Generic Republican |
Generic Democrat |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Morning Consult | May 29–30, 2018 | 1,199 | ± 3.0% | 38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% | 22% |
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive | February 23–26, 2018 | 1,156 | ± 3.6% | 37% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% | 18% |
- with Richard Corcoran and Andrew Gillum
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Corcoran (R) |
Andrew Gillum (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 27% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 41% | 32% |
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | March 28–29, 2017 | 1,453 | ± 2.6% | 26% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 33% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 42% |
Gravis Marketing | February 26 – March 19, 2018 | 2,212 | ± 2.1% | 26% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 33% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 41% |
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | February 1–18, 2018 | 1,978 | ± 2.2% | 23% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 32% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 46% |
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | December 19–24, 2017 | 5,778 | ± 1.3% | 22% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 33% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 45% |
- with Richard Corcoran and Gwen Graham
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Corcoran (R) |
Gwen Graham (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 27% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% | 29% |
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | March 28–29, 2017 | 1,453 | ± 2.6% | 29% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 34% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 38% |
Gravis Marketing | February 26 – March 19, 2018 | 2,212 | ± 2.1% | 28% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 32% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 40% |
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | February 1–18, 2018 | 1,978 | ± 2.2% | 24% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 33% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 44% |
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | December 19–24, 2017 | 5,778 | ± 1.3% | 24% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 33% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 43% |
- with Richard Corcoran and Chris King
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Corcoran (R) |
Chris King (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 29% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 39% | 32% |
- with Richard Corcoran and Philip Levine
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Corcoran (R) |
Philip Levine (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 29% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 43% | 28% |
- with Richard Corcoran and John Morgan
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Corcoran (R) |
John Morgan (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | March 28–29, 2017 | 1,453 | ± 2.6% | 27% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 39% | 34% |
- with David Jolly and John Morgan
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
David Jolly (R) |
John Morgan (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | November 22–25, 2016 | 3,250 | ± 2.4% | 31% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% | 27% |
- with Jeff Atwater and Gwen Graham
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jeff Atwater (R) |
Gwen Graham (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | November 22–25, 2016 | 3,250 | ± 2.4% | 32% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% | 28% |
- with Jeff Atwater and John Morgan
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jeff Atwater (R) |
John Morgan (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | November 22–25, 2016 | 3,250 | ± 2.4% | 34% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 41% | 25% |
- with Pam Bondi and Gwen Graham
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Pam Bondi (R) |
Gwen Graham (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | November 22–25, 2016 | 3,250 | ± 2.4% | 36% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% | 20% |
- with Pam Bondi and John Morgan
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Pam Bondi (R) |
John Morgan (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | November 22–25, 2016 | 3,250 | ± 2.4% | 35% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% | 20% |
- with David Jolly and Gwen Graham
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
David Jolly (R) |
Gwen Graham (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | November 22–25, 2016 | 3,250 | ± 2.4% | 29% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% | 31% |
- with Andrew Putnam, Andrew Gillum, and John Morgan
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Adam Putnam (R) |
Andrew Gillum (D) |
John Morgan (I) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | February 26 – March 19, 2018 | 2,212 | ± 2.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 28% | 23% | 16% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 34% |
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | February 1–18, 2018 | 1,978 | ± 2.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 27% | 20% | 17% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 36% |
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | December 19–24, 2017 | 5,778 | ± 1.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 26% | 22% | 18% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 34% |
- with Andrew Putnam, Gwen Graham, and John Morgan
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Adam Putnam (R) |
Gwen Graham (D) |
John Morgan (I) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | February 26 – March 19, 2018 | 2,212 | ± 2.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 29% | 22% | 17% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 32% |
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | February 1–18, 2018 | 1,978 | ± 2.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 28% | 21% | 17% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 34% |
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | December 19–24, 2017 | 5,778 | ± 1.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 27% | 23% | 17% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 33% |
- with Richard Corcoran, Andrew Gillum, and John Morgan
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Corcoran (R) |
Andrew Gillum (D) |
John Morgan (I) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | February 26 – March 19, 2018 | 2,212 | ± 2.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 25% | 23% | 17% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 34% |
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | February 1–18, 2018 | 1,978 | ± 2.2% | 20% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 21% | 17% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 41% |
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | December 19–24, 2017 | 5,778 | ± 1.3% | 20% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 23% | 19% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 39% |
- with Richard Corcoran, Gwen Graham, and John Morgan
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Corcoran (R) |
Gwen Graham (D) |
John Morgan (I) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | February 26 – March 19, 2018 | 2,212 | ± 2.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 26% | 21% | 16% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 37% |
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | February 1–18, 2018 | 1,978 | ± 2.2% | 20% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 23% | 16% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 41% |
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | December 19–24, 2017 | 5,778 | ± 1.3% | 20% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 24% | 18% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 38% |
- with Adam Putnam and John Morgan
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Adam Putnam (R) |
John Morgan (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saint Leo University | November 19–24, 2017 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 19% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 24% | 8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 49% |
Cherry Communications | September 17–24, 2017 | 615 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 40% | 37% | – | – |
Saint Leo University | September 10–16, 2017 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 18% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 24% | 16% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 42% |
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive | March 28–29, 2017 | 1,453 | ± 2.6% | 33% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 34% | – | 32% |
Saint Leo University | March 3–11, 2017 | 507 | ± 4.5% | 20% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 26% | 13% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 42% |
Cherry Communications | December 3–8, 2016 | 606 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 40% | 37% | – | 23% |
Gravis Marketing | November 22–25, 2016 | 3,250 | ± 2.4% | 35% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 39% | – | 26% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Duval (largest municipality: Jacksonville)
- Seminole (largest municipality: Sanford)
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Jefferson (largest city: Monticello)
- Monroe (largest city: Key West)
Analysis
The close margin mandated a machine recount, which had a deadline of November 15, 2018. If the margin was below 0.25% after machine recount, Ken Detzner, the Secretary of State of Florida, would commission a manual recount of over-votes and under-votes.[103] However, after the recount was complete, DeSantis' margin was 0.40%; therefore he was certified the winner. Gillum conceded on November 17.[104]
On November 10, 2022, former president Donald Trump claimed on his Truth Social page that he had prematurely ended the recount to prevent DeSantis and Senate candidate Rick Scott from losing, under the unsubstantiated belief that ballots for them were being removed.[105] Florida Commissioner of Agriculture Nikki Fried has asked Attorney General Merrick Garland to investigate. [106] Sarah Isgur, the spokeswoman of the Department of Justice from 2017 to 2019, has said that it "never happened,"[107] a position which was supported by other former Department of Justice officials.[108] Broward County Commissioner Steven Geller has agreed that no interference took place.[109]
Voter demographics
Demographic subgroup | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Gillum | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | DeSantis | No Answer |
% of Voters |
---|---|---|---|---|
Gender | ||||
Men | 41 | 58 | 1 | 45 |
Women | 57 | 42 | 1 | 55 |
Age | ||||
18–24 years old | 58 | 40 | 2 | 5 |
25–29 years old | 64 | 34 | 2 | 5 |
30–39 years old | 65 | 35 | N/A | 10 |
40–49 years old | 49 | 50 | 1 | 12 |
50–64 years old | 48 | 52 | N/A | 31 |
65 and older | 43 | 56 | 1 | 36 |
Race | ||||
White | 39 | 60 | 1 | 66 |
Black | 86 | 14 | N/A | 13 |
Latino | 54 | 44 | 2 | 15 |
Asian | N/A | N/A | N/A | 2 |
Other | 65 | 33 | 2 | 4 |
Race by gender | ||||
White men | 31 | 69 | N/A | 31 |
White women | 47 | 51 | 2 | 35 |
Black men | 91 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
Black women | 82 | 18 | N/A | 8 |
Latino men | 49 | 49 | 2 | 6 |
Latina women | 58 | 41 | 1 | 9 |
Others | 65 | 34 | 1 | 5 |
Education | ||||
High school or less | 44 | 54 | 2 | 20 |
Some college education | 51 | 48 | 1 | 25 |
Associate degree | 47 | 51 | 2 | 15 |
Bachelor's degree | 47 | 52 | 1 | 24 |
Advanced degree | 57 | 42 | 1 | 16 |
Education and race | ||||
White college graduates | 46 | 54 | N/A | 27 |
White no college degree | 34 | 64 | 2 | 39 |
Non-white college graduates | 61 | 38 | 1 | 12 |
Non-white no college degree | 73 | 26 | 1 | 22 |
Whites by education and gender | ||||
White women with college degrees | 57 | 42 | 1 | 13 |
White women without college degrees | 41 | 58 | 1 | 28 |
White men with college degrees | 35 | 65 | N/A | 14 |
White men without college degrees | 26 | 73 | 1 | 17 |
Non-whites | 69 | 30 | 1 | 34 |
Income | ||||
Under $30,000 | 63 | 36 | 1 | 19 |
$30,000–49,999 | 49 | 51 | N/A | 22 |
$50,000–99,999 | 52 | 47 | 1 | 33 |
$100,000–199,999 | 50 | 50 | N/A | 19 |
Over $200,000 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 7 |
Party ID | ||||
Democrats | 93 | 7 | N/A | 33 |
Republicans | 7 | 92 | 1 | 38 |
Independents | 54 | 44 | 2 | 29 |
Party by gender | ||||
Democratic men | 90 | 10 | N/A | 12 |
Democratic women | 95 | 5 | N/A | 21 |
Republican men | 7 | 93 | N/A | 19 |
Republican women | 7 | 90 | 3 | 18 |
Independent men | 50 | 49 | 1 | 14 |
Independent women | 58 | 39 | 3 | 16 |
Ideology | ||||
Liberals | 90 | 9 | 1 | 22 |
Moderates | 61 | 38 | 1 | 39 |
Conservatives | 13 | 85 | 2 | 39 |
Marital status | ||||
Married | 44 | 55 | 1 | 64 |
Unmarried | 56 | 42 | 2 | 36 |
Gender by marital status | ||||
Married men | 34 | 65 | 1 | 32 |
Married women | 52 | 47 | 1 | 31 |
Unmarried men | 46 | 51 | 3 | 14 |
Unmarried women | 61 | 37 | 2 | 23 |
First-time midterm election voter | ||||
Yes | 56 | 40 | 4 | 16 |
No | 47 | 53 | N/A | 84 |
Most important issue facing the country | ||||
Health care | 74 | 25 | 1 | 40 |
Immigration | 18 | 80 | 2 | 30 |
Economy | 30 | 69 | 1 | 16 |
Gun policy | 77 | 23 | N/A | 10 |
Area type | ||||
Urban | 57 | 42 | 1 | 42 |
Suburban | 45 | 53 | 2 | 50 |
Rural | 36 | 64 | N/A | 8 |
Source: CNN[110] |
See also
Notes
References
External links
- Official campaign websites
- Ron DeSantis (R) for Governor
- Andrew Gillum (D) for Governor
- Darcy Richardson (Reform) for Governor
- Bruce Stanley (No Party Affiliation) for Governor
Шаблон:2018 United States elections Шаблон:FlGovElections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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