Английская Википедия:2018 Georgia gubernatorial election

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:For Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsGA Шаблон:Wikinews The 2018 Georgia gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, concurrently with other statewide and local elections to elect the next governor of the U.S. state of Georgia. Republican Secretary of State Brian Kemp won the election, defeating Democratic former State Representative Stacey Abrams.

The primary elections were held on May 22, 2018, and a primary runoff was held on July 24, 2018, between Republican candidates Kemp and Lieutenant Governor Casey Cagle; Kemp prevailed. Incumbent Republican governor Nathan Deal was term-limited and thus could not seek a third consecutive term. Abrams won the Democratic primary with over 75% of the vote, allowing her to avoid a runoff. Kemp was the sitting Secretary of State at the time of the election. Kemp's position led to accusations of a conflict of interest, as Kemp oversaw the administration of an election in which he was the candidate.

On November 7, Kemp declared victory over Abrams. The following morning, Kemp resigned as Secretary of State.[1] On November 16, every county certified their votes with Kemp leading by roughly 55,000 votes.[2] Shortly after the election certification, Abrams suspended her campaign; she accepted Kemp as the legal winner of the election while refusing to say that the election was legitimate.[3][4] Abrams has since claimed numerous[5] instances of election activity that allegedly unfairly affected the results. Following the election, Abrams and her organization Fair Fight filed a number of lawsuits challenging the constitutionality and Voting Rights Act compliance of Georgia's voting laws; some of which continue to wind their way through the courts in 2022.[6]

Kemp prevailed by 54,723 votes, defeating Abrams 50.2–48.8%. The 2018 gubernatorial election was the closest governor's race in Georgia since 1966.[7]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in the runoff

Eliminated in the primary

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

First round

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Casey
Cagle
Hunter
Hill
Brian
Kemp
Clay
Tippins
Michael
Williams
Other Undecided
Opinion Savvy May 15–16, 2018 515 ± 4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 31% 14% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 20% 12% 5% 4% 15%
SurveyUSA May 10–15, 2018 558 ± 5.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 35% 10% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 17% 8% 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 27%
University of Georgia April 19–26, 2018 507 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 41% 9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 10% 4% 3% 1%[29] Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 33%
Meeting Street Research (R-Citizens for Georgia's Future) March 1 and 3–4, 2018 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 10% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 10% 3% 2% 3%[30] Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 35%
Clarion Research (R-Hill) March 2–3, 2018 547 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 21% 15% 8% 7%
Mason-Dixon February 20–23, 2018 500 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 27% 11% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 13% 12% 5% 1%[31] Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 31%
Meeting Street Research (R-Citizens for Georgia's Future) February 6–7, 2018 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 31% 7% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 12% 5% 2% 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 40%
The Wickers Group (R-Kemp) October 21–24, 2017 400 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 34% 1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 13% 0% 1% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 48%
Landmark/Rosetta Stone October 16–17, 2017 800 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 35% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 9% 7% 1% 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 44%
McLaughlin & Associates (R-Cagle) September 28 – October 1, 2017 600 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 41% 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 12% 2% 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 39%

Results

Файл:Georgia gubernatorial Republican primary, 2018.svg
Initial primary results by county: Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Runoff

Casey Cagle and Brian Kemp advanced to a runoff on July 24, 2018, since neither candidate amassed over 50% of the vote in the May 22 primary.[32] On July 18, 2018, President Trump tweeted his support for Kemp, and Vice President Pence traveled to Georgia to campaign with him on July 20, 2018.[33]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Casey
Cagle
Brian
Kemp
Undecided
Trafalgar Group (R) July 21–22, 2018 1,177 ± 2.7% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 59% 0%
SurveyUSA July 15–19, 2018 688 ± 4.7% 34% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 40% 26%
Opinion Savvy July 17–18, 2018 466 ± 4.5% 37% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 55% 8%
University of Georgia July 5–12, 2018 769 ± 3.5% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44% 15%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Kemp) June 26–28, 2018 500 ± 4.0% 45% 45%
Cygnal June 26–27, 2018 812 ± 3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44% 43% 14%
Rosetta Stone June 7, 2018 400 ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% 41% 12%
McLaughlin & Associates (R-Cagle) May 29–31, 2018 500 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 52% 42% 5%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Kemp)Шаблон:Dead link May 29–31, 2018 600 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% 45% 9%

Debates

Dates Location Kemp Cagle Link
July 6, 2018 Augusta, Georgia Participant Participant Full debate: Шаблон:YouTube

Results

Brian Kemp easily won the runoff by nearly 40 points despite the latest polls having him up by no more than 18. Cagle won only two counties, Monroe and Stephens.[34]

Файл:Georgia gubernatorial Republican runoff primary, 2018.svg
Runoff results by county: Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in the primary

Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Stacey
Abrams
Stacey
Evans
Undecided
Opinion Savvy May 15–16, 2018 522 ± 4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 58% 19% 23%
SurveyUSA May 10–15, 2018 475 ± 6.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 43% 24% 33%
20/20 Insight (D-Evans) May 9–15, 2018 433 ± 5.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% 34% 25%
University of Georgia April 12–18, 2018 473 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 33% 15% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 52%
Mason-Dixon February 20–23, 2018 500 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 29% 17% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 54%

Results

Файл:Georgia gubernatorial Democratic primary, 2018.svg
Primary results by county: Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

General election

If no candidate had gained a simple majority of the votes in the general election, a runoff election between the top two candidates would have been held on December 4, 2018.[52]

Debates

Dates Location Kemp Abrams Metz Link
October 23, 2018 Atlanta, Georgia Participant Participant Participant Full debate - C-SPAN
  • A second debate was scheduled for November 4, 2018 (2 days before Election Day), but it was canceled when Kemp pulled out of the schedule in order to attend a rally for President Donald Trump. The Kemp campaign sent multiple other dates but the Abrams campaign declined due to a full schedule.[53]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[54] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 26, 2018
The Washington Post[55] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[56] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[57] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[58] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[59] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2018
Daily Kos[60] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Fox News[61]Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Politico[62] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Governing[63] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018

Шаблон:Smalldiv

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Graphical summary

Шаблон:Graph:Chart

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Brian
Kemp (R)
Stacey
Abrams (D)
Ted
Metz (L)
Other Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R) October 30 – November 3, 2018 2,171 ± 2.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 52% 40% 4% 4%
20/20 Insight (D-Southern Majority) October 31 – November 2, 2018 614 ± 4.0% 46% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% 1% 3%
Emerson College October 29–31, 2018 724 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 47% 1% 2%
Cygnal (R) October 27–30, 2018 504 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 47% 4% 0%
University of Georgia October 21–30, 2018 1,091 ± 3.0% 47% 47% 2% 5%
Opinion Savvy October 28–29, 2018 623 ± 3.9% 47% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 2% 3%
Opinion Savvy October 21–22, 2018 824 ± 3.4% 48% 48% 1% 3%
Marist College October 14–18, 2018 554 LV ± 4.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% 45% 4% <1% 4%
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 47% 1% 4%
864 RV ± 3.8% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% 4% <1% 6%
47% 47% 1% 5%
Ipsos October 4–11, 2018 1,088 ± 3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 46% 2% 1% 4%
University of Georgia September 30 – October 9, 2018 1,232 ± 2.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% 46% 2% 4%
SurveyUSA October 3–8, 2018 655 ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 45% 2% 6%
Public Policy Polling (D-Georgia Engaged) October 5–6, 2018 729 ± 3.0% 46% 46% 7%
Landmark Communications October 1, 2018 964 ± 3.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% 46% 2% 3%
SurveyMonkey September 9–24, 2018 1,955 ± 3.0% 43% 43% 14%
Garin-Hart-Yang (D-Abrams) Шаблон:Webarchive September 17–20, 2018 603 ± 4.1% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 3% 7%
University of Georgia August 26 – September 4, 2018 1,020 ± 3.1% 45% 45% 2% 8%
Gravis Marketing July 27–29, 2018 650 ± 3.8% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% 10%
SurveyUSA July 15–19, 2018 1,199 ± 4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% 44% 10%
Garin-Hart-Yang (D-Abrams)Шаблон:Dead link May 23–25, 2018 601 ± 4.0% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49%
Mason-Dixon February 20–23, 2018 625 ± 4.0% 37% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% 23%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

with Casey Cagle
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Casey
Cagle (R)
Stacey
Abrams (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA July 15–19, 2018 1,199 ± 4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% 43% 12%
Garin-Hart-Yang (D-Abrams)Шаблон:Dead link May 23–25, 2018 601 ± 4.0% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48%
SurveyUSA May 10–15, 2018 2,339 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% 41% 14%
Mason-Dixon February 20–23, 2018 625 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% 39% 16%
with Clay Tippins
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Clay
Tippins (R)
Stacey
Abrams (D)
Undecided
Mason-Dixon February 20–23, 2018 625 ± 4.0% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 41% 19%
with Hunter Hill
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Hunter
Hill (R)
Stacey
Abrams (D)
Undecided
Mason-Dixon February 20–23, 2018 625 ± 4.0% 37% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 43% 20%
with Stacey Evans
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Casey
Cagle (R)
Stacey
Evans (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA May 10–15, 2018 2,339 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% 41% 13%
Mason-Dixon February 20–23, 2018 625 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 38% 15%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Brian
Kemp (R)
Stacey
Evans (D)
Undecided
Mason-Dixon February 20–23, 2018 625 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 42% 39% 19%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Clay
Tippins (R)
Stacey
Evans (D)
Undecided
Mason-Dixon February 20–23, 2018 625 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 41% 38% 21%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Hunter
Hill (R)
Stacey
Evans (D)
Undecided
Mason-Dixon February 20–23, 2018 625 ± 4.0% 35% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 36% 29%
with Casey Cagle
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Casey
Cagle (R)
Jason
Carter (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 27–30, 2016 724 ± 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 40% 39% 21%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Casey
Cagle (R)
Kasim
Reed (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 27–30, 2016 724 ± 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% 33% 21%
with Brian Kemp
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Brian
Kemp (R)
Jason
Carter (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 27–30, 2016 724 ± 3.6% 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% 22%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Brian
Kemp (R)
Kasim
Reed (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 27–30, 2016 724 ± 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43% 33% 24%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Results by county

All results from the office of the Secretary of State of Georgia.[64]

County Brian Kemp
Republican
Stacey Abrams
Democratic
Ted Metz
Libertarian
Total
votes
% # % # % #
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Appling 79.72% 5,428 19.94% 1,358 0.34% 23 6,809
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Atkinson 74.39% 1,876 25.26% 637 0.36% 9 2,522
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Bacon 86.71% 3,321 12.77% 489 0.52% 20 3,830
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Baker 58.24% 753 41.38% 535 0.39% 5 1,293
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Baldwin 49.47% 7,735 49.84% 7,793 0.69% 108 15,636
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Banks 89.75% 6,150 9.41% 645 0.83% 57 6,852
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Barrow 73.57% 20,162 25.18% 6,900 1.25% 343 27,405
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Bartow 76.09% 28,425 22.82% 8,524 1.10% 410 37,359
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Ben Hill 63.80% 3,539 35.75% 1,983 0.45% 25 5,547
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Berrien 85.00% 5,314 14.40% 900 0.61% 38 6,252
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Bibb 38.27% 23,225 61.07% 37,066 0.66% 401 60,692
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Bleckley 78.52% 3,816 20.62% 1,002 0.86% 42 4,860
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Brantley 91.29% 5,198 8.10% 461 0.61% 35 5,694
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Brooks 61.36% 3,511 38.24% 2,188 0.40% 23 5,722
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Bryan 70.12% 10,507 28.78% 4,313 1.10% 165 14,985
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Bulloch 62.69% 14,848 36.44% 8,630 0.87% 205 23,683
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Burke 50.57% 4,410 48.95% 4,269 0.48% 42 8,721
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Butts 71.74% 6,358 27.65% 2,451 0.61% 54 8,863
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Calhoun 42.65% 810 57.08% 1,084 0.26% 5 1,899
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Camden 65.29% 11,139 33.57% 5,727 1.14% 195 17,061
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Candler 72.34% 2,560 27.21% 963 0.45% 16 3,539
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Carroll 69.79% 29,204 29.11% 12,180 1.10% 459 41,843
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Catoosa 79.47% 18,881 19.32% 4,590 1.21% 287 23,758
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Charlton 75.08% 2,534 24.36% 822 0.56% 19 3,375
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Chatham 40.01% 41,425 58.97% 61,059 1.02% 1,059 103,543
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Chattahoochee 54.57% 603 44.71% 494 0.72% 8 1,105
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Chattooga 79.85% 5,936 19.44% 1,445 0.71% 53 7,434
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Cherokee 72.08% 76,700 26.36% 28,047 1.56% 1,664 106,411
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Clarke 28.56% 12,365 70.27% 30,427 1.18% 510 43,402
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Clay 45.19% 536 54.13% 642 0.67% 8 1,186
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Clayton 11.79% 10,868 87.81% 80,971 0.40% 373 92,212
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Clinch 76.04% 1,717 23.65% 534 0.31% 7 2,258
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Cobb 44.53% 138,852 54.12% 168,767 1.35% 4,195 311,814
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Coffee 70.78% 8,929 28.78% 3,630 0.44% 56 12,615
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Colquitt 75.83% 9,830 23.56% 3,054 0.61% 79 12,963
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Columbia 66.44% 40,947 32.49% 20,023 1.08% 664 61,634
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Cook 70.93% 4,116 28.73% 1,667 0.34% 20 5,803
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Coweta 69.69% 40,471 29.12% 16,908 1.19% 692 58,071
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Crawford 72.86% 3,595 26.39% 1,302 0.75% 37 4,934
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Crisp 63.05% 4,445 36.55% 2,577 0.40% 28 7,050
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Dade 82.53% 4,508 16.18% 884 1.28% 70 5,462
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Dawson 85.94% 9,953 13.12% 1,519 0.94% 109 11,581
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Decatur 60.05% 5,492 39.53% 3,615 0.43% 39 9,146
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|DeKalb 15.64% 48,923 83.47% 261,042 0.89% 2,776 312,741
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Dodge 73.93% 5,220 25.73% 1,817 0.34% 24 7,061
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Dooly 52.73% 2,001 46.96% 1,782 0.32% 12 3,795
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Dougherty 29.69% 9,330 69.94% 21,980 0.37% 115 31,425
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Douglas 39.35% 21,744 59.82% 33,053 0.83% 458 55,255
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Early 55.26% 2,285 44.50% 1,840 0.24% 10 4,135
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Echols 88.19% 1,008 11.02% 126 0.79% 9 1,143
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Effingham 76.89% 17,969 22.01% 5,145 1.10% 257 23,371
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Elbert 69.73% 5,152 29.70% 2,194 0.57% 42 7,388
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Emanuel 69.98% 5,400 29.52% 2,278 0.49% 38 7,716
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Evans 69.39% 2,392 30.17% 1,040 0.44% 15 3,447
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Fannin 82.96% 9,306 16.13% 1,809 0.92% 103 11,218
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Fayette 56.03% 32,497 42.75% 24,796 1.22% 705 57,998
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Floyd 71.10% 21,569 27.84% 8,445 1.07% 324 30,338
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Forsyth 70.57% 65,845 27.97% 26,092 1.46% 1,361 93,298
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Franklin 86.54% 7,051 12.71% 1,036 0.75% 61 8,148
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Fulton 26.66% 112,991 72.34% 306,589 0.99% 4,208 423,788
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Gilmer 83.70% 10,471 15.32% 1,917 0.98% 122 12,510
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Glascock 91.39% 1,189 8.22% 107 0.38% 5 1,301
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Glynn 63.54% 20,743 35.64% 11,636 0.82% 269 32,648
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Gordon 81.93% 14,586 17.11% 3,046 0.97% 172 17,804
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Grady 67.30% 5,633 32.31% 2,704 0.39% 33 8,370
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Greene 65.10% 5,856 34.39% 3,093 0.51% 46 8,995
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Gwinnett 42.23% 132,998 56.55% 178,097 1.21% 3,823 314,918
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Habersham 83.51% 12,944 15.59% 2,417 0.90% 139 15,500
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Hall 73.35% 49,442 25.50% 17,187 1.15% 777 67,406
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Hancock 24.58% 872 75.14% 2,666 0.28% 10 3,548
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Haralson 87.65% 9,278 11.52% 1,219 0.83% 88 10,585
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Harris 74.03% 11,834 25.15% 4,021 0.82% 131 15,986
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Hart 76.60% 7,370 22.64% 2,178 0.77% 74 9,622
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Heard 83.21% 3,374 16.13% 654 0.67% 27 4,055
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Henry 41.97% 41,364 57.31% 56,485 0.72% 709 98,558
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Houston 57.93% 34,314 41.12% 24,358 0.95% 560 59,232
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Irwin 75.83% 2,701 23.89% 851 0.28% 10 3,562
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Jackson 81.60% 21,950 17.38% 4,674 1.02% 275 26,899
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Jasper 74.52% 4,430 24.96% 1,484 0.52% 31 5,945
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Jeff Davis 82.64% 3,979 16.91% 814 0.46% 22 4,815
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Jefferson 46.95% 3,177 52.67% 3,564 0.38% 26 6,767
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Jenkins 64.66% 1,857 34.96% 1,004 0.38% 11 2,872
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Johnson 72.47% 2,524 27.22% 948 0.32% 11 3,483
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Jones 67.82% 8,438 31.65% 3,938 0.52% 65 12,441
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Lamar 69.39% 5,105 29.84% 2,195 0.77% 57 7,357
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Lanier 71.24% 1,910 28.42% 762 0.34% 9 2,681
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Laurens 65.87% 12,484 33.64% 6,375 0.49% 93 18,952
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Lee 74.66% 10,120 24.76% 3,356 0.58% 79 13,555
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Liberty 36.16% 5,557 63.09% 9,696 0.75% 115 15,368
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Lincoln 69.44% 2,756 29.93% 1,188 0.63% 25 3,969
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Long 64.81% 2,591 34.29% 1,371 0.90% 36 3,998
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Lowndes 57.30% 20,488 42.02% 15,024 0.67% 241 35,753
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Lumpkin 79.23% 9,157 19.28% 2,228 1.50% 173 11,558
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Macon 36.90% 1,556 62.89% 2,652 0.21% 9 4,217
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Madison 78.48% 9,181 20.67% 2,418 0.85% 100 11,699
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Marion 63.87% 1,872 35.38% 1,037 0.75% 22 2,931
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|McDuffie 60.54% 5,323 38.98% 3,427 0.48% 42 8,792
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|McIntosh 59.50% 3,218 39.96% 2,161 0.54% 29 5,408
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Meriwether 58.88% 5,093 40.47% 3,501 0.65% 56 8,650
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Miller 77.88% 1,803 21.68% 502 0.43% 10 2,315
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Mitchell 56.16% 4,187 43.53% 3,245 0.31% 23 7,455
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Monroe 71.94% 9,308 27.18% 3,516 0.88% 114 12,938
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Montgomery 76.13% 2,686 23.27% 821 0.60% 21 3,528
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Morgan 71.22% 6,807 27.99% 2,675 0.80% 76 9,558
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Murray 85.76% 9,512 13.43% 1,489 0.81% 90 11,091
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Muscogee 38.48% 24,348 60.79% 38,462 0.73% 462 63,272
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Newton 45.08% 19,449 54.27% 23,412 0.65% 280 43,141
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Oconee 69.80% 14,480 29.00% 6,015 1.20% 249 20,744
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Oglethorpe 70.44% 4,568 28.48% 1,847 1.08% 70 6,485
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Paulding 66.53% 40,784 32.56% 19,959 0.92% 562 61,305
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Peach 52.01% 5,432 47.54% 4,966 0.45% 47 10,445
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Pickens 84.80% 11,331 14.23% 1,901 0.97% 130 13,362
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Pierce 88.95% 6,123 10.72% 738 0.33% 23 6,884
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Pike 85.71% 7,322 13.63% 1,164 0.67% 57 8,543
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Polk 79.13% 10,177 20.12% 2,588 0.75% 96 12,861
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Pulaski 69.77% 2,527 29.79% 1,079 0.44% 16 3,622
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Putnam 71.82% 6,704 27.63% 2,579 0.56% 52 9,335
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Quitman 55.53% 522 43.62% 410 0.85% 8 940
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Rabun 80.01% 6,063 18.84% 1,428 1.15% 87 7,578
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Randolph 45.07% 1,257 54.43% 1,518 0.50% 14 2,789
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Richmond 31.47% 22,076 67.75% 47,531 0.78% 548 70,155
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Rockdale 31.93% 11,703 67.45% 24,725 0.62% 227 36,655
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Schley 80.96% 1,565 18.26% 353 0.78% 15 1,933
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Screven 60.36% 3,268 39.36% 2,131 0.28% 15 5,414
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Seminole 66.59% 2,149 32.88% 1,061 0.53% 17 3,227
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Spalding 61.17% 14,937 37.92% 9,258 0.91% 222 24,417
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Stephens 80.62% 7,326 18.62% 1,692 0.76% 69 9,087
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Stewart 41.78% 760 57.89% 1,053 0.33% 6 1,819
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Sumter 48.78% 5,149 50.78% 5,360 0.45% 47 10,556
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Talbot 39.51% 1,167 59.75% 1,765 0.74% 22 2,954
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Taliaferro 38.00% 350 61.67% 568 0.33% 3 921
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Tattnall 76.32% 5,073 23.12% 1,537 0.56% 37 6,647
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Taylor 62.81% 2,069 36.58% 1,205 0.61% 20 3,294
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Telfair 66.77% 2,425 32.79% 1,191 0.44% 16 3,632
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Terrell 45.70% 1,800 53.95% 2,125 0.36% 14 3,939
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Thomas 61.22% 10,557 38.29% 6,602 0.49% 85 17,244
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Tift 69.65% 9,523 29.77% 4,070 0.59% 80 13,673
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Toombs 74.75% 6,623 24.84% 2,201 0.41% 36 8,860
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Towns 81.69% 5,009 17.37% 1,065 0.95% 58 6,132
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Treutlen 68.86% 1,800 30.83% 806 0.31% 8 2,614
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Troup 60.77% 14,533 38.55% 9,218 0.68% 162 23,913
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Turner 62.98% 2,062 36.65% 1,200 0.37% 12 3,274
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Twiggs 52.72% 1,999 46.84% 1,776 0.45% 17 3,792
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Union 83.43% 9,899 15.61% 1,852 0.96% 114 11,865
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Upson 66.83% 7,063 32.58% 3,443 0.59% 62 10,568
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Walker 80.97% 17,400 17.86% 3,838 1.17% 252 21,490
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Walton 76.88% 29,742 22.43% 8,679 0.69% 265 38,686
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Ware 71.66% 7,894 27.84% 3,067 0.50% 55 11,016
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Warren 46.57% 1,053 53.07% 1,200 0.35% 8 2,261
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Washington 50.53% 4,128 49.11% 4,012 0.36% 29 8,169
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Wayne 80.15% 8,120 19.15% 1,940 0.70% 71 10,131
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Webster 59.91% 659 40.00% 440 0.09% 1 1,100
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Wheeler 71.05% 1,372 28.74% 555 0.21% 4 1,931
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|White 84.51% 9,667 14.40% 1,647 1.09% 125 11,439
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Whitfield 72.30% 19,758 26.80% 7,323 0.90% 246 27,327
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Wilcox 73.32% 2,064 26.47% 745 0.21% 6 2,815
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Wilkes 58.90% 2,578 40.53% 1,774 0.57% 25 4,377
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Wilkinson 55.64% 2,373 44.01% 1,877 0.35% 15 4,265
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Worth 75.39% 5,915 24.14% 1,894 0.47% 37 7,846
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Kemp won 8 of 14 congressional districts. Abrams won the other 6, including one that elected a Republican.[65]

District Kemp Abrams Representative
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 56.49% 42.61% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Buddy Carter
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 43.62% 55.89% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Sanford Bishop
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 64.21% 34.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Drew Ferguson
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 20.05% 79.28% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Hank Johnson
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 11.31% 87.89% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|John Lewis
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 47.51% 50.97% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Lucy McBath
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 48.64% 50.03% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Rob Woodall
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 64.11% 35.22% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Austin Scott
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 78.82% 20.13% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Doug Collins
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 61.39% 37.74% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Jody Hice
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 59.33% 39.27% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Barry Loudermilk
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 57.69% 41.58% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Rick W. Allen
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 23.28% 75.99% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|David Scott
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 75.38% 23.65% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Tom Graves

Voter demographics

Edison Research exit poll
Demographic subgroup Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Abrams Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Kemp No
Answer
% of
Voters
Gender
Men 46 52 2 46
Women 51 49 N/A 54
Age
18–24 years old 60 38 2 9
25–29 years old 72 26 2 5
30–39 years old 61 38 1 15
40–49 years old 49 50 1 19
50–64 years old 41 58 1 29
65 and older 40 60 N/A 22
Race
White 25 74 1 60
Black 93 6 1 30
Latino 62 37 1 5
Asian N/A N/A N/A 2
Other N/A N/A N/A 3
Race by gender
White men 25 73 2 28
White women 25 75 N/A 32
Black men 88 11 1 14
Black women 97 2 1 16
Latino men N/A N/A N/A 2
Latina women N/A N/A N/A 3
Others 54 44 2 5
Education
High school or less 38 61 1 30
Some college education 50 48 2 25
Associate degree 51 48 1 12
Bachelor's degree 54 45 1 21
Advanced degree 60 39 1 12
Education and race
White college graduates 40 59 1 22
White no college degree 17 82 1 39
Non-white college graduates 85 14 1 12
Non-white no college degree 84 15 1 28
Whites by education and gender
White women with college degrees 43 57 N/A 11
White women without college degrees 16 83 1 21
White men with college degrees 38 61 1 11
White men without college degrees 17 81 2 17
Non-whites 84 15 1 40
Income
Under $30,000 65 34 1 20
$30,000–49,999 38 60 2 20
$50,000–99,999 43 57 N/A 35
$100,000–199,999 41 58 1 18
Over $200,000 N/A N/A N/A 7
Party ID
Democrats 97 2 1 33
Republicans 3 97 N/A 38
Independents 54 44 2 28
Party by gender
Democratic men 96 3 1 12
Democratic women 98 2 n/a 21
Republican men 3 97 N/A 17
Republican women 3 97 N/A 21
Independent men 55 42 3 17
Independent women 53 45 2 12
Ideology
Liberals 88 11 1 20
Moderates 63 36 1 38
Conservatives 16 83 1 42
Marital status
Married 33 66 1 55
Unmarried 63 36 1 45
Gender by marital status
Married men 29 68 3 25
Married women 34 65 1 30
Unmarried men 58 41 1 21
Unmarried women 69 31 N/A 24
First-time midterm election voter
Yes 53 46 1 18
No 48 50 2 82
Most important issue facing the country
Health care 79 20 1 34
Immigration 9 90 1 32
Economy 43 57 N/A 23
Gun policy N/A N/A N/A 9
Area type
Urban 70 29 1 22
Suburban 43 56 1 63
Rural 42 58 N/A 15
Source: CNN[66]

Electoral controversies

Kemp retained his office as Georgia Secretary of State throughout the campaign, leading to allegations of a conflict of interest for overseeing an election in which he himself was a candidate. During the campaign, he was called upon by former president and former governor of Georgia Jimmy Carter[67] and the Georgia chapters of the NAACP and Common Cause to resign from the secretariat position. Kemp refused to do so[68] until after he claimed victory, two days following the election. Kemp also accused the state Democratic Party of hacking into the state's voter database a few days before the election; however, an email released shortly after the accusation was made showed the party warning election security experts, highlighting "massive" vulnerabilities within the state's My Voter Page and its online voter registration system, not an attempt to hack the database, as Kemp had claimed.[69]

Irregularities in voter registration occurred prior to the election. Between 2012 and 2018, Kemp's office canceled over 1.4 million voter registrations, with nearly 700,000 cancellations in 2017 alone.[70] Over 300,000 people were removed from the rolls on the grounds that they had moved to a new address when they actually had not.[71] On a single night in July 2017, half a million voters had their registrations canceled. According to The Atlanta Journal-Constitution, election-law experts said that this "may represent the largest mass disenfranchisement in US history."[72] The registrations of 53,000 voters, disproportionately affecting black people, were delayed by Kemp's office for not exactly matching state driver records. After a lawsuit was filed, Kemp agreed to allow flagged voters to vote if they had identification.[73] These irregularities resulted in allegations that Kemp was using voter suppression to increase his chances of winning the contest.[73] Georgia election officials responded to these allegations by stating that any voter flagged for irregularities could still vote, receiving a regular ballot (not a provisional ballot), by providing ID at a valid polling place, as is required of all voters by state law.[74] Concerning the question of why the pending registration status mattered if those voters could vote normally at the polls, critics claimed that learning of this status might discourage those voters from turning out to the polls at all.[75]

The Washington Post reported that "more than 200 polling places" across Georgia were closed in the 2018 election, "primarily in poor and minority neighborhoods. Voters reported long lines, malfunctioning voting machines and other problems that delayed or thwarted voting in those areas."[76] (The Atlanta Journal-Constitution found that "precinct closures and longer distances likely prevented an estimated 54,000 to 85,000 voters from casting ballots" on the 2018 Election Day.)[77] According to Richard L. Hasen, professor of law and political science at the University of California at Irvine, "there is no question that Georgia in general and Brian Kemp in particular took steps to make it harder for people to register and vote, and that those people tended to skew Democratic."[78]

On November 12, 2018 U.S. District Court Judge Amy Totenberg ruled that Georgia’s secretary of state office must take steps to preserve provisional ballots and begin counting them.[79][80][81] On November 13, 2018, U.S. District Court Judge Leigh Martin May ruled that Gwinnett County violated the Civil Rights Act in rejecting absentee ballots with missing or incorrect specified year of birth of the absentee voter.[79]

On November 16, 2018, Abrams announced that she was ending her campaign. Abrams acknowledged that Kemp would be certified as victor, while emphasizing that her statement was not a concession, saying "I acknowledge that Secretary of State Brian Kemp will be certified as the victor of the 2018 gubernatorial election. [...] But let’s be clear, this is not a speech of concession because concession means to acknowledge an action is right, true or proper."[7][82][83][84][85] Abrams announced the creation of Fair Fight Action, a voting rights nonprofit organization that sued the secretary of state and state election board in federal court for voter suppression.[86] In February 2021, a federal judge ruled that Fair Fight's claims about voting machines, voter list security, and polling place issues were resolved by changes in Georgia's election law, or invalidated due to lack of standing to sue.[87][88] In April 2021, a judge allowed some claims in the legal challenge to proceed while rejecting others.[89] On September 30, 2022, a federal judge ruled against Fair Fight on the remaining claims, finding that Georgia's voting practices did not violate the Constitution or the Voting Rights Act.[90][91][92][93] According to the judge, the case "resulted in wins and losses for all parties over the course of the litigation and culminated in what is believed to have been the longest voting rights bench trial in the history of the Northern District of Georgia."[94][95][96]

Since losing the election, Abrams has repeatedly claimed that the election was not fairly conducted[97] and has declined to call Kemp the legitimate governor of Georgia.[98] Her position is that Kemp, who oversaw the election in his role as Secretary of State, had a conflict of interest and suppressed turnout by purging nearly 670,000 voter registrations in 2017, and that about 53,000 voter registrations were pending a month before the election.[97][99] She has said, "I have no empirical evidence that I would have achieved a higher number of votes. However, I have sufficient and I think legally sufficient doubt about the process to say that it was not a fair election."[97]

On November 9, 2018, the Atlanta Journal-Constitution reported that its investigation of the 2018 statewide elections in Georgia had found "no evidence ... of systematic malfeasance – or of enough tainted votes to force a runoff election".[100] A follow-up analysis in December 2019 by the Atlanta Journal-Constitution found "an estimated 54,000 to 85,000 voters" were impacted by changes, such as precinct closures in the aftermath of Shelby County v. Holder. However, it found that Abrams would have need up to 67% of the votes at "ideal voting locations" for a runoff to occur.[77]

In his 2020 book, University of California law professor and election law expert Richard L. Hasen described Kemp as "perhaps the most incompetent state chief elections officer" in the 2018 elections and said it was "hard to tell" which of Kemp's "actions were due to incompetence and which were attempted suppression."[101]

According to Washington Post fact checker Glenn Kessler writing in September 2022, Abrams repeatedly falsely claimed that she "won" the election, that the election was "rigged", that it was "stolen", that it was not "free and fair", and that Kemp had "cheated". Kessler said that "Abrams played up claims the election was stolen until such tactics became untenable for anyone who claims to be an advocate for American democratic norms and values".[82]

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites

Шаблон:2018 United States elections

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