Английская Википедия:2018 Hawaii gubernatorial election

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:For Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsHI The 2018 Hawaii gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the Governor of Hawaii and Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii.

After prevailing in an intensely competitive primary election on August 11, 2018, incumbent Democratic Governor David Ige ran successfully for re-election to a second term in office, considerably improving on his margin of victory from 2014, in which he only won a plurality.

Republicans Andria Tupola and Marissa Kerns headed one of two 2018 major-party gubernatorial tickets that included two women. The other such ticket had Idaho's 2018 Democratic nominees for Governor and Lieutenant Governor, Paulette Jordan and Kristin Collum.[1] This was Hawaii's only gubernatorial election since 1994 without Linda Lingle or Duke Aiona as the Republican nominee, as well as the first since the 1990 election in which the winner was of a different party than the incumbent president. As of 2023, this election was the only time since 1998 that an incumbent Democratic Governor of Hawaii was re-elected.

Democratic primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared
Withdrew

Debates

Dates Location Ige Hanabusa Link
July 6, 2018 Honolulu, Hawaii Participant Participant Full debateYouTube

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
David
Ige
Colleen
Hanabusa
Clayton
Hee
Undecided
Merriman River Group July 19–21, 2018 871 ± 3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 43% 34% 18%
Mason-Dixon July 6–11, 2018 494 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% 40% 16%
QMark Research (D-Hanabusa) June 21 – July 6, 2018 518 ± 4.4% 31% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 57% 11%
QMark Research (D-Hanabusa) April 21 – May 7, 2018 888 ± 3.4% 23% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 52% 6% 19%
Merriman River Group May 3–5, 2018 707 ± 3.7% 31% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 37% 11% 16%
Mason-Dixon March 13–18, 2018 498 ± 4.5% 27% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% 11% 15%

Results

Файл:2018 HI gubernatorial Democratic primary.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Bernard
Carvalho
Will
Espero
Josh
Green
Kim Coco
Iwamoto
Jill
Tokuda
Undecided
Merriman River Group July 19–21, 2018 871 ± 3.3% 13% 5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 31% 10% 17% 26%
Mason-Dixon July 6–11, 2018 494 ± 4.5% 14% 6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 34% 10% 14% 22%
Merriman River Group May 3–5, 2018 707 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 19% 8% 16% 14% 11% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 32%
Mason-Dixon March 13–18, 2018 498 ± 4.5% 14% 9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 19% 5% 12% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 41%

Results

Файл:2018 HI Lt. gubernatorial Democratic primary.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Republican primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared
  • John Carroll, former state representative, and former state senator[7][16]
  • Ray L'Heureux, president and chairman of the Education Institute of Hawaii, former assistant superintendent, and retired U.S. Marine colonel[17]
  • Andria Tupola, Minority Leader of the Hawaii House of Representatives[18][16]
Withdrew

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
John
Carroll
Raymond
L'Heureux
Andria
Tupola
Undecided
Merriman River Group July 19–21, 2018 219 ± 6.6% 22% 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 39% 22%
Mason-Dixon July 6–11, 2018 143 ± 8.4% 28% 8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 41% 23%
Mason-Dixon March 13–18, 2018 134 ± 8.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 40% 28% 32%

Results

Файл:2018 HI gubernatorial Republican primary.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Declared
  • Marissa Kerns
  • Steve Lipscomb
  • Jeremy Low

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Marissa
Kerns
Jeremy
Low
Undecided
Merriman River Group July 19–21, 2018 219 ± 6.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 26% 20% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 54%

Results

Файл:2018 HI Lt. gubernatorial Republican primary.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Green primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared
  • Jim Brewer

Results

Файл:2018 HI gubernatorial Green primary.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Declared
  • Renee Ing

Results

Файл:2018 HI lt. gubernatorial Green primary.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Nonpartisan primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared
  • Selina Blackwell
  • Link El
  • Terrence Teruya
Results
Файл:2018 HI gubernatorial Nonpartisan primary.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Declared
  • Ernest Magaoay
  • Paul Robotti
Results
Файл:2018 Hawaii lt. gubernatorial nonpartisan primary.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[21] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 26, 2018
The Washington Post[22] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[23] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[24] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[25] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[26] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2018
Daily Kos[27] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Fox News[28]Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Politico[29] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Governing[30] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018

Шаблон:Smalldiv

Debates

Dates Location Ige Tupola Link
October 29, 2018 Honolulu, Hawaii Participant Participant Full debateC-SPAN

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
David
Ige (D)
Andria
Tupola (R)
Undecided
Merriman River Group October 8–12, 2018 961 ± 4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 52% 31% 11%
Mason-Dixon July 6–11, 2018 800 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 57% 34% 9%
Mason-Dixon March 13–18, 2018 800 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% 24% 25%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

with David Ige and John Carroll
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
David
Ige (D)
John
Carroll (R)
Undecided
Mason-Dixon July 6–11, 2018 800 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 62% 23% 15%
Mason-Dixon March 13–18, 2018 800 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 52% 27% 21%
with David Ige and Raymond L'Heureux
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
David
Ige (D)
Raymond
L'Heureux (R)
Undecided
Mason-Dixon July 6–11, 2018 800 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 67% 20% 13%
with Colleen Hanabusa and John Carroll
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Colleen
Hanabusa (D)
John
Carroll (R)
Undecided
Mason-Dixon July 6–11, 2018 800 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% 31% 18%
Mason-Dixon March 13–18, 2018 800 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 57% 31% 12%
with Colleen Hanabusa and Andria Tupola
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Colleen
Hanabusa (D)
Andria
Tupola (R)
Undecided
Mason-Dixon July 6–11, 2018 800 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 35% 17%
Mason-Dixon March 13–18, 2018 800 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 56% 28% 16%
with Colleen Hanabusa and Raymond L'Heureux
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Colleen
Hanabusa (D)
Raymond
L'Heureux (R)
Undecided
Mason-Dixon July 6–11, 2018 800 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 58% 26% 16%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites
Official lieutenant gubernatorial campaign websites

Шаблон:2018 United States elections