Английская Википедия:2018 Hawaii gubernatorial election
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:For Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsHI The 2018 Hawaii gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the Governor of Hawaii and Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii.
After prevailing in an intensely competitive primary election on August 11, 2018, incumbent Democratic Governor David Ige ran successfully for re-election to a second term in office, considerably improving on his margin of victory from 2014, in which he only won a plurality.
Republicans Andria Tupola and Marissa Kerns headed one of two 2018 major-party gubernatorial tickets that included two women. The other such ticket had Idaho's 2018 Democratic nominees for Governor and Lieutenant Governor, Paulette Jordan and Kristin Collum.[1] This was Hawaii's only gubernatorial election since 1994 without Linda Lingle or Duke Aiona as the Republican nominee, as well as the first since the 1990 election in which the winner was of a different party than the incumbent president. As of 2023, this election was the only time since 1998 that an incumbent Democratic Governor of Hawaii was re-elected.
Democratic primary
Governor
Candidates
Declared
- Ernest Caravalho, Democratic Party of Hawaii, chair, House District 29[2]
- Colleen Hanabusa, U.S. Representative and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014[3][4][5]
- David Ige, incumbent governor[3][6]
- Wendell Kaehuaea, security guard and perennial candidate[7]
- Van Tanabe
Withdrew
- Clayton Hee, former state senator and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2014[8][9]
Debates
Dates | Location | Ige | Hanabusa | Link |
---|---|---|---|---|
July 6, 2018 | Honolulu, Hawaii | Participant | Participant | Full debate – YouTube |
Endorsements
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
David Ige |
Colleen Hanabusa |
Clayton Hee |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Merriman River Group | July 19–21, 2018 | 871 | ± 3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 43% | 34% | – | 18% |
Mason-Dixon | July 6–11, 2018 | 494 | ± 4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% | 40% | – | 16% |
QMark Research (D-Hanabusa) | June 21 – July 6, 2018 | 518 | ± 4.4% | 31% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 57% | – | 11% |
QMark Research (D-Hanabusa) | April 21 – May 7, 2018 | 888 | ± 3.4% | 23% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 52% | 6% | 19% |
Merriman River Group | May 3–5, 2018 | 707 | ± 3.7% | 31% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 37% | 11% | 16% |
Mason-Dixon | March 13–18, 2018 | 498 | ± 4.5% | 27% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 11% | 15% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Lieutenant governor
Candidates
Declared
- Bernard Carvalho, Mayor of Kauai County[10]
- Will Espero, State Senate Vice President and candidate for HI-01 in 2014[11]
- Josh Green, state senator[4][12][11]
- Kim Coco Iwamoto, former state Board of Education member[13]
- Jill Tokuda, State Senator[3]
Withdrew
- Alan Arakawa, Mayor of Maui County[14] (running for Maui County Council)[15]
Endorsements
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bernard Carvalho |
Will Espero |
Josh Green |
Kim Coco Iwamoto |
Jill Tokuda |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Merriman River Group | July 19–21, 2018 | 871 | ± 3.3% | 13% | 5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 31% | 10% | 17% | 26% |
Mason-Dixon | July 6–11, 2018 | 494 | ± 4.5% | 14% | 6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 34% | 10% | 14% | 22% |
Merriman River Group | May 3–5, 2018 | 707 | ± 3.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 19% | 8% | 16% | 14% | 11% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 32% |
Mason-Dixon | March 13–18, 2018 | 498 | ± 4.5% | 14% | 9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 19% | 5% | 12% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 41% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Republican primary
Governor
Candidates
Declared
- John Carroll, former state representative, and former state senator[7][16]
- Ray L'Heureux, president and chairman of the Education Institute of Hawaii, former assistant superintendent, and retired U.S. Marine colonel[17]
- Andria Tupola, Minority Leader of the Hawaii House of Representatives[18][16]
Withdrew
- Bob McDermott, state representative and nominee for HI-02 in 2002[19][20]
Endorsements
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John Carroll |
Raymond L'Heureux |
Andria Tupola |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Merriman River Group | July 19–21, 2018 | 219 | ± 6.6% | 22% | 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 39% | 22% |
Mason-Dixon | July 6–11, 2018 | 143 | ± 8.4% | 28% | 8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 41% | 23% |
Mason-Dixon | March 13–18, 2018 | 134 | ± 8.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 40% | – | 28% | 32% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Lieutenant governor
Candidates
Declared
- Marissa Kerns
- Steve Lipscomb
- Jeremy Low
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Marissa Kerns |
Jeremy Low |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Merriman River Group | July 19–21, 2018 | 219 | ± 6.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 26% | 20% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 54% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Green primary
Governor
Candidates
Declared
- Jim Brewer
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Lieutenant governor
Candidates
Declared
- Renee Ing
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Nonpartisan primary
Governor
Candidates
Declared
- Selina Blackwell
- Link El
- Terrence Teruya
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Lieutenant governor
Candidates
Declared
- Ernest Magaoay
- Paul Robotti
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[21] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 26, 2018 |
The Washington Post[22] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
FiveThirtyEight[23] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Rothenberg Political Report[24] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[25] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics[26] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2018 |
Daily Kos[27] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Fox News[28]Шаблон:Efn | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Politico[29] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Governing[30] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Debates
Dates | Location | Ige | Tupola | Link |
---|---|---|---|---|
October 29, 2018 | Honolulu, Hawaii | Participant | Participant | Full debate – C-SPAN |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
David Ige (D) |
Andria Tupola (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Merriman River Group | October 8–12, 2018 | 961 | ± 4.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 52% | 31% | 11% |
Mason-Dixon | July 6–11, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 57% | 34% | 9% |
Mason-Dixon | March 13–18, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% | 24% | 25% |
- with David Ige and John Carroll
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
David Ige (D) |
John Carroll (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon | July 6–11, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 62% | 23% | 15% |
Mason-Dixon | March 13–18, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 52% | 27% | 21% |
- with David Ige and Raymond L'Heureux
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
David Ige (D) |
Raymond L'Heureux (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon | July 6–11, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 67% | 20% | 13% |
- with Colleen Hanabusa and John Carroll
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Colleen Hanabusa (D) |
John Carroll (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon | July 6–11, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% | 31% | 18% |
Mason-Dixon | March 13–18, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 57% | 31% | 12% |
- with Colleen Hanabusa and Andria Tupola
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Colleen Hanabusa (D) |
Andria Tupola (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon | July 6–11, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 35% | 17% |
Mason-Dixon | March 13–18, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 56% | 28% | 16% |
- with Colleen Hanabusa and Raymond L'Heureux
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Colleen Hanabusa (D) |
Raymond L'Heureux (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon | July 6–11, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 58% | 26% | 16% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
References
External links
- Official campaign websites
- Official lieutenant gubernatorial campaign websites
Шаблон:2018 United States elections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 3,0 3,1 3,2 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 4,0 4,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 7,0 7,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 11,0 11,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 16,0 16,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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