Английская Википедия:2018 Idaho gubernatorial election

Материал из Онлайн справочника
Перейти к навигацииПерейти к поиску

Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:For Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsID The 2018 Idaho gubernatorial election took place on November 6 to elect the next governor of Idaho. Incumbent Republican Governor Butch Otter chose not to run for a fourth term,[1] and the state's primaries were held on May 15.[2]

Former state representative Paulette Jordan was the Democratic Party's nominee. She was the first Democratic nominee from Northern Idaho since Cecil Andrus, who was first elected governor in 1970.[3]

Jordan lost to incumbent lieutenant governor Brad Little by 21.6 percentage points, for a seventh consecutive Republican victory.

A record 605,131 votes were cast for governor in 2018, a 37.6% increase over the previous election in 2014 Шаблон:Nowrap Шаблон:Nowrap was 452,535 votes in 2010.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tommy
Ahlquist
Raul
Labrador
Brad
Little
Lisa
Marie
Lawrence
Wasden*
Other Undecided
Dan Jones & Associates February 26 – March 15, 2018 21% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 25% 17% 6% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 31%
Dan Jones & Associates November 8–15, 2017 619 ± 3.9% 14% 17% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 21% 4% 4% 5% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 36%
Magellan Strategies (R-Labrador) Шаблон:Webarchive October 11–12, 2017 714 ± 3.7% 21% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 37% 23% 19%

*–Denotes candidates who did not enter the race.

Results

Файл:Idaho gubernatorial Republican primary, 2018.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

Файл:Idaho gubernatorial Democratic primary, 2018.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Independents

Candidates

Declared

  • Adam Phillips[9]
  • Michael Richardson[5]
  • John Thomas Wiechec[9]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[17] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 26, 2018
The Washington Post[18] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[19] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[20] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[22] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2018
Daily Kos[23] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Fox News[24]Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Politico[25] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Governing[26] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018

Шаблон:Smalldiv

Debates

Dates Location Little Jordan Link
October 15, 2018 Boise, Idaho Participant Participant Full debate - C-SPAN

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Brad
Little (R)
Paulette
Jordan (D)
Bev
Boeck (L)
Other Undecided
Change Research November 2–4, 2018 838 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 55% 39% 3% 2%[27]
Clarity Campaign Labs (D-Idaho Voices for Change Now) August 2–5, 2018 826 ± 3.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 36% 28% 5% 31%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D-Idaho Voices for Change Now) July 12–15, 2018 1,061 ± 2.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 38% 28% 7% 26%
Dan Jones & Associates Шаблон:Webarchive June 22 – July 9, 2018 606 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43% 31% 5% 8%[28] 13%

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

Шаблон:Portal

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Debates
Official campaign websites

Шаблон:2018 United States elections Шаблон:Governors of Idaho Шаблон:Lieutenant Governors of Idaho Шаблон:Idaho