Английская Википедия:2018 Idaho gubernatorial election
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:For Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsID The 2018 Idaho gubernatorial election took place on November 6 to elect the next governor of Idaho. Incumbent Republican Governor Butch Otter chose not to run for a fourth term,[1] and the state's primaries were held on May 15.[2]
Former state representative Paulette Jordan was the Democratic Party's nominee. She was the first Democratic nominee from Northern Idaho since Cecil Andrus, who was first elected governor in 1970.[3]
Jordan lost to incumbent lieutenant governor Brad Little by 21.6 percentage points, for a seventh consecutive Republican victory.
A record 605,131 votes were cast for governor in 2018, a 37.6% increase over the previous election in 2014 Шаблон:Nowrap Шаблон:Nowrap was 452,535 votes in 2010.
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Tommy Ahlquist, businessman and former emergency physician[4]
- Harley Brown, perennial candidate[5]
- Dalton Cannady[5]
- Raúl Labrador, U.S. Representative[6][7]
- Brad Little, Lieutenant Governor of Idaho[8]
- Lisa Marie, perennial candidate[9]
- Steve Pankey, Constitution nominee for governor in 2014 and future convicted murderer[9]
Withdrew
- Troy Minton, activist (running as a Democrat)[9]
- Russ Fulcher, former state senator and candidate for governor in 2014[10] (running for ID-01[11])
Declined
- Butch Otter, incumbent governor[1]
- Lori Otter, First Lady of Idaho[12]
- Lawrence Wasden, Idaho Attorney General (running for reelection)[13]
Endorsements
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tommy Ahlquist |
Raul Labrador |
Brad Little |
Lisa Marie |
Lawrence Wasden* |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dan Jones & Associates | February 26 – March 15, 2018 | – | – | 21% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 25% | 17% | – | – | 6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 31% |
Dan Jones & Associates | November 8–15, 2017 | 619 | ± 3.9% | 14% | 17% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 21% | 4% | 4% | 5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 36% |
Magellan Strategies (R-Labrador) Шаблон:Webarchive | October 11–12, 2017 | 714 | ± 3.7% | 21% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 37% | 23% | – | – | – | 19% |
*–Denotes candidates who did not enter the race.
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- A.J. Balukoff, businessman, member of the Boise School District board of trustees and nominee for governor in 2014[14]
- Paulette Jordan, former state representative[15]
- Peter Dill, organic farmer and business attorney[5]
Declined
- Michelle Stennett, Minority Leader of the Idaho Senate[16]
Endorsements
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Independents
Candidates
Declared
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[17] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 26, 2018 |
The Washington Post[18] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
FiveThirtyEight[19] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Rothenberg Political Report[20] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics[22] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2018 |
Daily Kos[23] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Fox News[24]Шаблон:Efn | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Politico[25] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Governing[26] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Debates
Dates | Location | Little | Jordan | Link |
---|---|---|---|---|
October 15, 2018 | Boise, Idaho | Participant | Participant | Full debate - C-SPAN |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Brad Little (R) |
Paulette Jordan (D) |
Bev Boeck (L) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research | November 2–4, 2018 | 838 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 55% | 39% | 3% | 2%[27] | – |
Clarity Campaign Labs (D-Idaho Voices for Change Now) | August 2–5, 2018 | 826 | ± 3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 36% | 28% | – | 5% | 31% |
Clarity Campaign Labs (D-Idaho Voices for Change Now) | July 12–15, 2018 | 1,061 | ± 2.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 38% | 28% | – | 7% | 26% |
Dan Jones & Associates Шаблон:Webarchive | June 22 – July 9, 2018 | 606 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43% | 31% | 5% | 8%[28] | 13% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
See also
References
External links
- Debates
- Official campaign websites
Шаблон:2018 United States elections Шаблон:Governors of Idaho Шаблон:Lieutenant Governors of Idaho Шаблон:Idaho
- ↑ 1,0 1,1 Шаблон:Cite news
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- ↑ 5,0 5,1 5,2 5,3 Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ 9,0 9,1 9,2 9,3 9,4 Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ Walter Bayes with 2%
- ↑ Walter Bayes (C) with 3%, someone else with 5%
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