Английская Википедия:2018 Longman by-election

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A by-election for the Australian House of Representatives seat of Longman took place on Saturday 28 July 2018, following the resignation of incumbent Labor MP Susan Lamb.[1]

In early counting, within an hour of the close of polls, the Australian Broadcasting Corporation's psephologist Antony Green's electoral computer had predicted Labor to retain the electorate with an increased margin.[2]

The by-election occurred on the same day as four other by-elections for the House of Representatives, colloquially known as Super Saturday.

Background

Due to the High Court ruling against Senator Katy Gallagher on 9 May 2018 as part of the ongoing parliamentary eligibility crisis, Lamb and three other MPs in the same situation announced their parliamentary resignations later that day,[1] while the Perth incumbent resigned for family reasons.[3] The Speaker announced on 24 May 2018 that he had scheduled the by-elections to occur on 28 July 2018. Popularly labelled "Super Saturday", the occurrence of five simultaneous federal by-elections is unprecedented in Australian political history.[4] The others are:

Mark Latham, Labor leader between December 2003 and January 2005, voiced a robocall authorised by Pauline Hanson, in an attempt to discourage Labor voting and instead encouraged minor party voting.[5]

The Labor party and Liberal National placed the far right anti immigration Australia First Party last on its preferences.[6][7]

Key dates

Key dates in relation to the by-election are:[8]

  • Thursday, 10 May 2018 – Speaker acceptance of resignation
  • Friday, 15 June 2018 – Issue of writ
  • Friday, 22 June 2018 – Close of electoral rolls (8pm)
  • Thursday, 5 July 2018 – Close of nominations (12 noon)
  • Friday, 6 July 2018 – Declaration of nominations (12 noon)
  • Tuesday, 10 July 2018 – Start of early voting
  • Saturday, 28 July 2018 – Polling day (8am to 6pm)
  • Friday, 10 August 2018 – Last day for receipt of postal votes
  • Sunday, 23 September 2018 – Last day for return of writs

Candidates

Candidates (11) in ballot paper order[9]
Party Candidate Background
Шаблон:Australian party style|  Liberal Democrats Lloyd Russell Business consultant.[10]
Шаблон:Australian party style |  Australia First Jim Saleam Party leader. Contested Lindsay at the 2016 election and Cook at the 2013 election.[9]
Шаблон:Australian party style |  Democratic Labour Gregory Bell Truck driver.[9]
Шаблон:Australian party style |  Independent Jackie Perkins Self-employed mobile veterinarian.[11]
Шаблон:Australian party style|  Science James Noonan Criminology and criminal justice graduate.[12]
Шаблон:Australian party style|  One Nation Matthew Stephen Caboolture businessman. Ran in Sandgate at the 2017 state election.[13]
Шаблон:Australian party style|  People John Reece Ran as an independent candidate in Longman at the 2010 federal election.[14]
width=3pt Шаблон:Australian party style|  Labor Susan Lamb Previous MP for Longman elected at the 2016 federal election.[15]
width=3pt Шаблон:Australian party style|  Liberal National Trevor Ruthenberg One-term MP for Kallangur elected at the 2012 state election.[16]
Шаблон:Australian party style |  Country Blair Verrier Certified Practising Accountant (CPA).[17]
width=3pt Шаблон:Australian party style|  Greens Gavin Behrens Caboolture father and IT professional. Ran in Morayfield at the 2017 state election.[18]

Polling

Longman by-election polling
Date Firm Commissioned by Sample Primary vote TPP vote
ALP LNP ONP GRN OTH UND ALP LNP
24−26 July 2018 Newspoll The Australian[19] 1015 40% 36% 14% 5% 5% − 51% 49%
17−19 July 2018 ReachTEL Courier Mail[20][21] 578 35.8% 37.9% 13.9% (OTH) 4.3% 3.9% 49% 51%
26 June 2018 ReachTEL Courier Mail[22][23] 814 39.0% 35.5% 14.7% (OTH) 6.6% 4.1% 49% 51%
21 June 2018 ReachTEL Australia Institute[24] 727 39.1% 34.9% 14.7% 4.4% 3.7% 3.2% 50% 50%
2 June 2018 ReachTEL Sky News[25] >800 35% 38% (OTH) 2% 14% 11% 48% 52%
10 May 2018 ReachTEL Australia Institute[26] 1277 32.5% 36.7% 15.1% 4.9% 6.4% 4.5% 47% 53%
2016 election 35.4% 39.0% 9.4% 4.4% 11.8% 50.8% 49.2%

Results

Шаблон:Further Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box candidate AU party Шаблон:Election box candidate AU party Шаблон:Election box candidate AU party Шаблон:Election box candidate AU party Шаблон:Election box candidate AU party Шаблон:Election box candidate AU party Шаблон:Election box candidate AU party Шаблон:Election box candidate AU party Шаблон:Election box candidate AU party Шаблон:Election box candidate AU party Шаблон:Election box candidate AU party Шаблон:Election box formal Шаблон:Election box informal Шаблон:Election box turnout Шаблон:Election box 2pp Шаблон:Election box candidate AU party Шаблон:Election box candidate AU party Шаблон:Election box hold AU party Шаблон:Election box end

See also

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Шаблон:Aus by-elections 45th parl Шаблон:2018 in Australia

Партнерские ресурсы
Криптовалюты
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Разное

  1. ↑ 1,0 1,1 Шаблон:Cite web
  2. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  3. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  4. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  5. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  6. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  7. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  8. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  9. ↑ 9,0 9,1 9,2 Шаблон:Cite web
  10. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  11. ↑ Dr Jackie Perkins: Facebook
  12. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  13. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  14. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  15. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  16. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  17. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  18. ↑ Gavin Behrens: greens.org.auШаблон:Dead link
  19. ↑ Шаблон:Citation
  20. ↑ Longman by-election: ReachTEL poll indicates LNP will win - Courier Mail 21 July 2018
  21. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  22. ↑ Longman by-election: Seat slipping away from Labor's Susan Lamb - Courier Mail 27 June 2018
  23. ↑ Longman ReachTEL poll exclusive: Key electorate fires warning shot at Shorten - Courier Mail 27 June 2018
  24. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  25. ↑ Шаблон:Citation
  26. ↑ Шаблон:Citation
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