Английская Википедия:2018 New Hampshire gubernatorial election

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:For Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsNH The 2018 New Hampshire gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the governor of New Hampshire. Incumbent Republican Governor Chris Sununu won re-election to a second term, defeating former state senator Molly Kelly. Sununu was the first incumbent Republican to win reelection as governor since Steve Merrill was reelected in 1994.

Primary elections were held on September 11, 2018. The gubernatorial election was coincident with races for the state legislature and the United States House of Representatives.

Background

New Hampshire is one of only two states, along with Vermont, where governors are elected to two-year terms. Republican Chris Sununu was elected in the 2016 election.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Chris
Sununu
Other Undecided
TargetPoint/GQR March 8–15, 2018 326 ± 5.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 77% 9% 14%

Results

Файл:2018 NH GOV GOP primary.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Legend

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mark
Connolly
Molly
Kelly
Steve
Marchand
Other Undecided
Suffolk University Шаблон:Webarchive April 26–30, 2018 401 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 21% 19% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 58%
TargetPoint/GQR March 8–15, 2018 346 ± 5.3% 9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 17% 11% 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 58%

Results

Файл:2018 NH GOV Dem primary.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Libertarian primary

Файл:Jilletta Jarvis, 2018.jpg
Jilletta Jarvis was the Libertarian candidate in the election.

Candidates

Declared

Results

Файл:2018 NH GOV Libertarian primary.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[14] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 26, 2018
The Washington Post[15] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[16] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[17] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[19] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2018
Daily Kos[20] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Fox News[21]Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Politico[22] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Governing[23] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018

Шаблон:Smalldiv

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Шаблон:Graph:Chart

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Chris
Sununu (R)
Molly
Kelly (D)
Jilletta
Jarvis (L)
Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire November 1–4, 2018 630 ± 3.9% 46% 46% 2% 0% 6%
Change Research (D-NH Democratic Party) October 27–29, 2018 901 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 46%
Emerson College October 27–29, 2018 1,139 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 51% 43% 1% 5%
University of New Hampshire October 10–18, 2018 499 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% 39% 4% 7%
Saint Anselm College October 10–15, 2018 454 ± 4.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 39% 1% 0% 12%
Emerson College October 10–12, 2018 625 ± 4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 51% 35% 1% 14%
American Research Group September 21–26, 2018 800 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 44% 0% 7%
University of New Hampshire August 2–19, 2018 389 ± 5.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% 32% 5% 16%
Suffolk University Шаблон:Webarchive April 26–30, 2018 800 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% 27% 4% 21%
University of New Hampshire April 13–22, 2018 379 ± 5.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 51% 24% 2% 4% 20%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

with Steve Marchand
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Chris
Sununu (R)
Steve
Marchand (D)
Jilletta
Jarvis (L)
Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire August 2–19, 2018 389 ± 5.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% 33% 4% 15%
Suffolk University Шаблон:Webarchive April 26–30, 2018 800 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 25% 4% 21%
University of New Hampshire April 13–22, 2018 379 ± 5.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 24% 2% 2% 20%
University of New Hampshire January 28 – February 10, 2018 381 ± 5.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 42% 28% 30%
with Chris Sununu and generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Chris
Sununu (R)
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
Praecones Analytica August 13–15, 2018 626 ± 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 33% 20%
with generic Republican and Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Other Undecided
TargetPoint/GQR March 8–15, 2018 600 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43% 39% 4% 14%
with Mark Connolly
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Chris
Sununu (R)
Mark
Connolly (D)
Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire January 28 – February 10, 2018 381 ± 5.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 41% 29% 30%
with Sununu and Van Ostern
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Chris
Sununu (R)
Colin
Van Ostern (D)
Undecided
University of New Hampshire January 28 – February 10, 2018 381 ± 5.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 41% 31% 28%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Results by county

2018 Gubernatorial election results in New Hampshire (by county) [24]
County Molly Kelly
Democratic
Chris Sununu
Republican
Other votes Margin Total
votes
# % # % # % # % #
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Belknap 9,690 36.00% 16,856 62.62% 374 1.39% 7,166 26.62% 26,920
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Carroll 10,432 43.46% 13,308 55.44% 265 1.10% 2,876 11.98% 24,005
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Cheshire 18,158 55.80% 13,875 42.64% 509 1.56% -4,283 -13.16% 32,542
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Coös 4,988 42.96% 6,397 55.10% 225 1.94% 1,409 12.14% 11,610
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Grafton 22,932 56.89% 16,734 41.52% 642 1.59% -6,198 -15.37% 40,308
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Hillsborough 72,033 44.34% 87,846 54.07% 2,589 1.59% 15,813 9.73% 162,468
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Merrimack 30,540 46.97% 33,513 51.54% 972 1.49% 2,973 4.57% 65,025
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Rockingham 59,269 42.29% 79,195 56.50% 1,699 1.21% 19,926 14.21% 140,163
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Strafford 26,593 49.89% 25,782 48.37% 931 1.75% -811 -1.52% 53,306
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Sullivan 7,724 44.76% 9,258 53.65% 273 1.58% 1,534 8.89% 17,255

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Results by congressional district

Sununu won both congressional districts, which simultaneously elected Democrats.[25]

District Kelly Sununu Representative
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 44.01% 54.64% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Chris Pappas
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 47.58% 50.91% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Annie Kuster

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites

Шаблон:2018 United States elections Шаблон:New Hampshire elections