Английская Википедия:2018 Oregon gubernatorial election
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:See also Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsORThe 2018 Oregon gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018 to elect the Governor of Oregon to serve a full four-year term. In the 2016 special election, Democratic Governor Kate Brown had been elected to serve the last two years of John Kitzhaber's term.[1]
The Republican Party nominated Knute Buehler, her opponent in the 2012 Oregon Secretary of State election; the Independent Party of Oregon nominated Patrick Starnes. Brown, running for a full term, won the election; because of term limits, she became ineligible to seek the governorship again.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Kate Brown, incumbent governor[2]
- Ed Jones[3]
- Candace Neville[3]
Endorsements
Results
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Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Keenan Bohach[3]
- Knute Buehler, Orthopedic Surgeon, state representative and nominee for secretary of state in 2012[4]
- Sam Carpenter, businessman and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014 and 2016[5][6][7]
- Jonathan Edwards III[3]
- Brett Hyland[3]
- Jeff Smith, small business owner[8]
- David Stauffer[3]
- Jack Tracy[3]
- Greg Wooldridge, former Blue Angels commanding officer[9]
Withdrew
- Bruce Cuff, real estate broker and candidate for governor in 2014 and 2016 (endorsed Greg Wooldridge)[3][10]
Declined
- Lori Chavez-DeRemer, Mayor of Happy Valley and nominee for the state house in 2016[11][4][12]
- Cedric Ross Hayden, state representative[13]
- Mike McLane, House Minority Leader[14]
- Bud Pierce, physician and nominee for governor in 2016[15][16]
- Bill Post, state representative[13][4]
- Dennis Richardson, Oregon Secretary of State, former state representative and nominee for governor in 2014[17]
Endorsements
Debates
Host network |
Date | Link(s) | Participants | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Knute Buehler |
Sam Carpenter |
Greg Wooldridge | |||
KXL-FM | May 11, 2018 | [18] | Invited | Invited | Invited |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Knute Buehler |
Sam Carpenter |
Lori Шаблон:Nowrap |
Greg Wooldridge |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Global Strategy Group (D) | May 3–6, 2018 | 438 | ± 4.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 33% | 25% | – | 8% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 33% |
Triton Polling & Research (R-Carpenter) | April 19–22, 2018 | 1,013 | ± 3.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 39% | 24% | – | 12% | 6%Шаблон:Efn | 20% |
Triton Polling & Research (R-Carpenter) | March 19–25, 2018 | 628 | – | 23% | 23% | – | 4% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 50% |
iCitizen | September 13–28, 2017 | 168 | ± 3.9% | 28% | – | 8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 31% | 6% | 26% |
Results
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Independent Party primary
Candidates
Declared
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box total no changeШаблон:Election box end
General election
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 2, 2018
- Third party debate, featuring Nick Chen (L), Patrick Starnes (I), and Chris Henry (P), hosted by former Green Party candidate Alex DiBlasi, October 6, 2018
- Complete video of debate, October 9, 2018
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[19] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 26, 2018 |
The Washington Post[20] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
FiveThirtyEight[21] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Rothenberg Political Report[22] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics[24] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2018 |
Daily Kos[25] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Fox News[26]Шаблон:Efn | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Politico[27] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Governing[28] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Polling
- Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kate Brown (D) |
Knute Buehler (R) |
Other/Undecided Шаблон:Efn |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics | October 4–30, 2018 | October 30, 2018 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|44.0% | 39.7% | 16.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Brown +4.3% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kate Brown (D) |
Knute Buehler (R) |
Patrick Starnes (IPO) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hoffman Research Group | October 29–30, 2018 | 694 | ± 3.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% | 42% | 4% | 2%[29] | 7% |
Emerson College | October 26–28, 2018 | 747 | ± 3.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 42% | – | 7% | 4% |
DHM Research | October 4–11, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% | 35% | 4% | 3%[30] | 17% |
Riley Research Associates | September 24 – October 7, 2018 | 356 | ± 5.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% | 45% | 4% | 3%[31] | – |
Clout Research (R) | September 20–23, 2018 | 679 | ± 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% | 41% | – | – | – |
Hoffman Research Group | September 12–13, 2018 | 680 | ± 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% | 36% | 4% | 2%[29] | 12% |
Causeway Solutions (R-No Supermajorities PAC) | September 6–11, 2018 | 2,831 | ± 2.0% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43% | – | – | – |
Clout Research (R) | July 30–31, 2018 | 559 | ± 4.1% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43% | – | – | 15% |
Gravis Marketing | July 16–17, 2018 | 770 | ± 3.5% | 45% | 45% | – | – | 10% |
Triton Polling & Research (R-Carpenter) | March 19–25, 2018 | 2,067 | ± 2.2% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% | – | – | 14% |
DHM Research | January 25–31, 2018 | 604 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% | 29% | – | – | 25% |
Zogby Analytics | November 10–12, 2017 | 508 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 39% | 36% | – | – | 25% |
iCitizen | September 13–28, 2017 | 645 | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 41% | 40% | – | 11% | 8% |
- with Sam Carpenter
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kate Brown (D) |
Sam Carpenter (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Triton Polling & Research (R-Carpenter) | March 19–25, 2018 | 2,067 | ± 2.2% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% | – | 13% |
Zogby Analytics | November 10–12, 2017 | 508 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 38% | 36% | – | 26% |
- with Greg Wooldridge
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kate Brown (D) |
Greg Wooldridge (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Triton Polling & Research (R-Carpenter) | March 19–25, 2018 | 2,067 | ± 2.2% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | – | 11% |
iCitizen | September 13–28, 2017 | 645 | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% | 39% | 11% | 7% |
- with Lori Chavez-DeRemer
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kate Brown (D) |
Lori Chavez-DeRemer (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
iCitizen | September 13–28, 2017 | 645 | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% | 34% | 17% | 8% |
Results
Statewide results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
Results by congressional district
Brown carried two out of the state's five congressional districts, losing two swing districts that simultaneously voted for Democrats in the US House, with Шаблон:Ushr held by veteran congressman Peter DeFazio and Шаблон:Ushr held by former veterinarian Kurt Schrader.
District | Kate Brown |
Knute Buehler |
Elected Representative |
---|---|---|---|
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr | 53.77% | 40.51% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Suzanne Bonamici |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr | 35.38% | 57.19% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Greg Walden |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr | 69.17% | 26.45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Earl Blumenauer |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr | 44.84% | 47.15% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Peter DeFazio |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr | 46.02% | 47.97% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Kurt Schrader |
County results
County | Kate Brown
Democrat |
Votes | Knute Buehler
Republican |
Votes | Patrick Starnes
Independent |
Votes | Nick Chen
Libertarian |
Votes | Aaron Auer
Constitution |
Votes | Chris Henry
Progressive |
Votes | Write-in | Votes | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Baker | 19.0% | 1,572 | 72.9% | 6,023 | 4.2% | 347 | 1.6% | 132 | 1.5% | 126 | 0.6% | 49 | 0.2% | 15 | 8,264 |
Benton | 60.1% | 26,592 | 33.9% | 14,990 | 2.8% | 1,225 | 1.6% | 721 | 0.8% | 357 | 0.7% | 293 | 0.1% | 53 | 44,231 |
Clackamas | 45.5% | 91,088 | 49.2% | 98,468 | 2.4% | 4,726 | 1.4% | 2,827 | 0.9% | 1,853 | 0.5% | 941 | 0.2% | 363 | 200,266 |
Clatsop | 48.0% | 8,909 | 44.7% | 8,294 | 3.3% | 616 | 1.6% | 305 | 1.4% | 259 | 0.8% | 140 | 0.2% | 35 | 18,558 |
Columbia | 38.7% | 9,519 | 52.6% | 12,953 | 4.0% | 975 | 1.9% | 480 | 2.0% | 481 | 0.7% | 167 | 0.2% | 42 | 24,617 |
Coos | 33.5% | 9,622 | 57.5% | 16,520 | 4.4% | 1,262 | 1.8% | 505 | 1.8% | 510 | 0.9% | 256 | 0.2% | 52 | 28,727 |
Crook | 19.8% | 2,285 | 73.8% | 8,516 | 3.6% | 418 | 1.0% | 110 | 1.2% | 140 | 0.4% | 42 | 0.2% | 25 | 11,536 |
Curry | 35.9% | 4,141 | 56.1% | 6,474 | 3.8% | 443 | 1.6% | 188 | 1.7% | 199 | 0.7% | 75 | 0.1% | 13 | 11,533 |
Deschutes | 42.3% | 40,676 | 52.0% | 49,983 | 2.9% | 2,764 | 1.4% | 1,353 | 0.8% | 766 | 0.5% | 460 | 0.1% | 97 | 96,099 |
Douglas | 24.0% | 11,824 | 65.8% | 32,413 | 5.0% | 2,481 | 1.5% | 738 | 2.7% | 1,326 | 0.7% | 368 | 0.2% | 88 | 49,238 |
Gilliam | 22.0% | 218 | 69.6% | 691 | 4.6% | 46 | 1.9% | 19 | 1.4% | 14 | 0.5% | 5 | 0.0% | 0 | 993 |
Grant | 16.8% | 649 | 75.9% | 2,923 | 3.9% | 151 | 1.2% | 48 | 1.5% | 56 | 0.5% | 19 | 0.2% | 7 | 3,853 |
Harney | 16.5% | 584 | 76.7% | 2,722 | 3.6% | 126 | 0.8% | 29 | 1.8% | 63 | 0.6% | 20 | 0.1% | 3 | 3,547 |
Hood River | 59.9% | 6,485 | 35.0% | 3,789 | 2.5% | 271 | 1.3% | 136 | 0.7% | 81 | 0.5% | 55 | 0.1% | 11 | 10,828 |
Jackson | 41.4% | 42,207 | 50.7% | 51,623 | 4.1% | 4,196 | 1.7% | 1,720 | 1.3% | 1,313 | 0.7% | 716 | 0.1% | 132 | 101,907 |
Jefferson | 29.8% | 2,635 | 62.3% | 5,518 | 4.4% | 388 | 1.3% | 111 | 1.6% | 145 | 0.5% | 45 | 0.1% | 10 | 8,852 |
Josephine | 30.2% | 12,214 | 60.5% | 24,499 | 4.3% | 1,735 | 1.9% | 767 | 2.2% | 881 | 0.8% | 308 | 0.2% | 66 | 40,470 |
Klamath | 22.3% | 6,301 | 67.7% | 19,134 | 4.9% | 1,371 | 2.3% | 643 | 2.0% | 564 | 0.7% | 198 | 0.2% | 45 | 28,256 |
Lake | 13.4% | 476 | 78.0% | 2,774 | 4.4% | 155 | 1.5% | 52 | 2.3% | 81 | 0.4% | 14 | 0.1% | 5 | 3,557 |
Lane | 54.7% | 96,841 | 38.2% | 67,737 | 3.2% | 5,683 | 1.8% | 3,106 | 1.2% | 2,173 | 0.8% | 1,335 | 0.2% | 297 | 177,172 |
Lincoln | 52.1% | 12,610 | 40.8% | 9,884 | 3.4% | 825 | 1.6% | 391 | 1.2% | 302 | 0.7% | 164 | 0.2% | 43 | 24,219 |
Linn | 30.1% | 16,461 | 60.5% | 33,051 | 4.2% | 2,293 | 1.9% | 1,061 | 2.2% | 1,204 | 0.8% | 421 | 0.3% | 171 | 54,662 |
Malheur | 24.1% | 2,159 | 66.9% | 6,000 | 4.1% | 364 | 1.7% | 156 | 2.5% | 227 | 0.6% | 52 | 0.1% | 12 | 8,970 |
Marion | 43.5% | 55,238 | 49.9% | 63,323 | 2.8% | 3,511 | 1.7% | 2,100 | 1.4% | 1,831 | 0.5% | 650 | 0.3% | 325 | 126,978 |
Morrow | 22.5% | 844 | 67.5% | 2,534 | 4.3% | 163 | 1.8% | 68 | 3.0% | 111 | 0.8% | 29 | 0.1% | 5 | 3,754 |
Multnomah | 73.9% | 279,384 | 22.1% | 83,507 | 1.7% | 6,309 | 1.2% | 4,447 | 0.5% | 1,793 | 0.6% | 2,174 | 0.1% | 484 | 378,098 |
Polk | 41.6% | 15,529 | 51.8% | 19,341 | 2.9% | 1,076 | 1.6% | 589 | 1.3% | 491 | 0.6% | 206 | 0.2% | 83 | 37,315 |
Sherman | 19.3% | 190 | 74.7% | 736 | 3.5% | 34 | 0.7% | 7 | 1.5% | 15 | 0.2% | 2 | 0.1% | 1 | 985 |
Tillamook | 42.7% | 5,616 | 50.3% | 6,606 | 3.5% | 464 | 1.2% | 158 | 1.5% | 202 | 0.6% | 77 | 0.1% | 19 | 13,142 |
Umatilla | 29.4% | 7,085 | 63.0% | 15,178 | 3.7% | 885 | 1.7% | 419 | 1.6% | 393 | 0.5% | 117 | 0.1% | 31 | 24,108 |
Union | 24.5% | 2,877 | 67.9% | 7,983 | 3.8% | 441 | 1.4% | 162 | 1.8% | 209 | 0.5% | 60 | 0.2% | 24 | 11,756 |
Wallowa | 27.0% | 1,088 | 66.2% | 2,668 | 3.6% | 145 | 1.2% | 47 | 1.5% | 61 | 0.5% | 19 | 0.1% | 4 | 4,032 |
Wasco | 40.5% | 4,604 | 51.4% | 5,841 | 3.8% | 427 | 1.8% | 203 | 1.6% | 177 | 0.7% | 85 | 0.2% | 20 | 11,357 |
Washington | 55.5% | 137,886 | 39.2% | 97,286 | 2.2% | 5,535 | 1.7% | 4,229 | 0.8% | 2,010 | 0.5% | 1,161 | 0.1% | 372 | 248,479 |
Wheeler | 19.3% | 158 | 72.6% | 594 | 4.6% | 38 | 1.8% | 15 | 1.2% | 10 | 0.4% | 3 | 0.0% | 0 | 818 |
Yamhill | 39.1% | 17,931 | 53.3% | 24,412 | 3.3% | 1,503 | 1.9% | 885 | 1.6% | 721 | 0.6% | 287 | 0.2% | 81 | 45,820 |
Notes
References
External links
- Official campaign websites
- Aaron Auer (C) for Governor
- Kate Brown (D) for Governor
- Knute Buehler (R) for Governor
- Alex DiBlasi (G) for Governor
- Patrick Starnes (I) for Governor
- Nick Chen (L) for Governor
Шаблон:2018 United States elections Шаблон:Oregon elections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 3,00 3,01 3,02 3,03 3,04 3,05 3,06 3,07 3,08 3,09 3,10 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 4,0 4,1 4,2 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Lars Larson Debate – YouTube
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite webШаблон:Dead link
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 29,0 29,1 Aaron Auer (C) and Nick Chen (L) with 1%
- ↑ Nick Chen (L) and Chris Henry (P) with 1%, Aaron Auer (C) with <1%, somebody else with 1%
- ↑ Nick Chen (L) with 2%, Aaron Aauer (C) with 1%
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