Английская Википедия:2018 Texas gubernatorial election

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:For Шаблон:Use American English Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Texas sidebar The 2018 Texas gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the governor of Texas, concurrently with the election of Texas's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other congressional, state and local elections throughout the United States and Texas. Incumbent Republican Governor Greg Abbott won re-election to a second term in office[1] defeating Democratic nominee Lupe Valdez, the former sheriff of Dallas County, and Libertarian nominee Mark Tippetts, a former member of the Lago Vista city council.

The Republican and Democratic party primaries were held on March 6, 2018, making them the first primaries of the 2018 electoral season.[2] Abbott won the March 6 primary with 90% of the vote to receive the Republican nomination, while Democratic candidates Lupe Valdez and Andrew White advanced to a May 22 runoff.[3] Valdez defeated White in the runoff with 53.1% of the vote and faced Abbott in the general election as the Democratic nominee.[4]

Valdez's nomination made her the first openly gay person nominated for governor by a major party in the state.[5]

Tippetts was nominated at the Libertarian Party of Texas' state convention in Houston April 13–15, 2018. He defeated three challengers, as well as the None Of The Above option, on the first ballot and received more than 70% approval from Libertarian party delegates.

Despite considerably closer contests in other Texas state elections, Abbott handily won a second term with the highest margin of victory of any state official on the ballot, although Valdez also won the largest vote share for a Democratic gubernatorial candidate since Ann Richards in 1994.[6] Tippetts' showing exceeded the previous record for most votes for a Libertarian nominee for Texas governor; that record had been set in 1990.

The election also took place alongside a closer, higher-profile Senate race between Beto O'Rourke and Ted Cruz, which may have played a factor in making the Democratic gubernatorial candidate considerably more competitive than in 2014. Abbott won a majority among white Americans (72% to 26%), while Valdez won majorities among African Americans (80% to 16%) and Latinos (63% to 35%).[7]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Greg
Abbott
Barbara
Krueger
Other Undecided
Dixie Strategies February 22–23, 2018 ± 4.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 84% 2% 1%[15] 13%
University of Texas February 1–12, 2018 612 ± 5.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 95% 5% 0%[16]

Results

Файл:2018TXGovGOP.svg
Primary results by county Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box turnout Шаблон:Election box end

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

First round

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Adrian
Ocegueda
Jeffrey
Payne
Lupe
Valdez
Tom
Wakely
Andrew
White
Grady
Yarbrough
Other Undecided
Dixie Strategies February 22–23, 2018 ± 5.7% 6% 1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 12% 2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 17% 1% 6%[54] Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 54%
University of Texas February 1–12, 2018 453 ± 7.4% 5% 5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 43% 7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 24% 7% 8%[55]

Results

Файл:Texas Governor Results – D Primary 2018.svg
Initial primary results by county Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box turnout Шаблон:Election box end

Runoff

Файл:Texas gubernatorial Democratic primary runoff, 2018.svg
Runoff results by county Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Lupe Valdez and Andrew White proceeded to a run-off on May 22 since neither received 50% of the vote in the first round of the primary.[3] Lupe Valdez won the runoff.[56]

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box end

Libertarian nomination

Candidates

Nominated

  • Mark Tippetts, former Lago Vista City Councilman[57]

Defeated at Convention

  • Kathie Glass, attorney and previous nominee[58]
  • Patrick Smith[57]
  • Kory Watkins, activist[59]

General election

Debates

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[60] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 26, 2018
The Washington Post[61] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[62] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[63] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[64] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[65] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2018
Daily Kos[66] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Fox News[67]Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Politico[68] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Governing[69] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018

Шаблон:Smalldiv

Polling

Шаблон:Graph:Chart

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Greg
Abbott (R)
Lupe
Valdez (D)
Mark
Tippetts (L)
Other Undecided
Emerson College October 28–30, 2018 781 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 51% 43% 2% 4%
Quinnipiac University October 22–28, 2018 1,078 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 54% 40% 1% 6%
University of Texas Tyler October 15–28, 2018 1,033 ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 53% 32% 5% 10%
Dixie Strategies October 25–26, 2018 588 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 59% 33% 7%
University of Texas/YouGov October 15–21, 2018 927 ± 3.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 56% 37% 3% 4%
Ipsos October 12–18, 2018 1,298 ± 3.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 53% 38% 3% 6%
CNN/SSRS October 9–13, 2018 716 LV ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 57% 39% 0% 3%
862 RV ± 4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 56% 38% 0% 4%
NYT Upshot/Siena College October 8–11, 2018 800 ± 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 57% 35% 8%
Quinnipiac University October 3–9, 2018 730 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 58% 38% 0% 4%
Emerson College October 1–5, 2018 500 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 53% 33% 3% 11%
Epstein Group Шаблон:Webarchive September 15–24, 2018 1,200 ± 2.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 58% 29% 3% 10%
Vox Populi Polling September 16–18, 2018 508 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 55% 45%
Quinnipiac University September 11–17, 2018 807 ± 4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 58% 39% 0% 3%
Ipsos Шаблон:Webarchive September 6–14, 2018 992 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% 41% 2% 6%
Crosswind Media & Public Relations September 6–9, 2018 800 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 52% 39%
Dixie Strategies September 6–7, 2018 519 ± 4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 53% 34% 1% 12%
Emerson College August 22–25, 2018 550 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% 28% 3% 20%
Marist College August 12–16, 2018 759 ± 3.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 56% 37% <1% 6%
Quinnipiac University July 26–31, 2018 1,118 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 51% 38% 1% 9%
Texas Lyceum July 9–26, 2018 441 LV ± 4.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 31% 1% 22%
806 RV ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44% 25% 3% 28%
Gravis Marketing July 3–7, 2018 602 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 51% 41% 8%
University of Texas/YouGov June 8–17, 2018 1,200 ± 2.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44% 32% 4% 4% 16%
Quinnipiac University May 23–29, 2018 961 ± 3.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 53% 34% 1% 9%
JMC Analytics (R-Red Metrics Group) May 19–21, 2018 575 ± 4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% 36% 16%
Quinnipiac University April 12–17, 2018 1,029 ± 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 40% 0% 9%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

with Andrew White
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Greg
Abbott (R)
Andrew
White (D)
Other Undecided
JMC Analytics (R-Red Metrics Group) May 19–21, 2018 575 ± 4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% 39% 10%
Quinnipiac University April 12–17, 2018 1,029 ± 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% 41% 0% 9%
with Julian Castro
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Greg
Abbott (R)
Julian
Castro (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling August 12–14, 2016 944 ± 3.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 57% 28% 15%
with Wendy Davis
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Greg
Abbott (R)
Wendy
Davis (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling August 12–14, 2016 944 ± 3.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 57% 32% 11%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Abbott won 25 of 36 congressional districts, including two that elected Democrats.[70]

District Abbott Valdez Representative
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 73.99% 24.95% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Louie Gohmert
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 55.64% 42.70% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Ted Poe
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Dan Crenshaw
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 57.62% 40.55% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Sam Johnson
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Van Taylor
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 77% 21.72% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|John Ratcliffe
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 64.12% 34.31% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Jeb Hensarling
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Lance Gooden
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 56.07% 42.17% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Joe Barton
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Ron Wright
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 52.42% 45.81% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|John Culberson
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Lizzie Fletcher
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 74.95% 23.75% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Kevin Brady
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 23.50% 75.25% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Al Green
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 54.14% 43.93% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Michael McCaul
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 80.33% 18.39% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Mike Conaway
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 64.69% 33.51% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Kay Granger
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 81.44% 17.27% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Mac Thornberry
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 61.75% 36.80% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Randy Weber
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 47.50% 51.31% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Vicente Gonzalez
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 32.26% 65.85% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Beto O'Rourke
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Veronica Escobar
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 58.84% 39.31% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Bill Flores
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 25.28% 73.14% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Sheila Jackson Lee
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 74.30% 23.89% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Jodey Arrington
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 39.25% 58.90% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Joaquín Castro
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 55.03% 42.81% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Lamar Smith
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Chip Roy
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 55.62% 42.93% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Pete Olson
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 52.93% 45.65% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Will Hurd
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 54.18% 43.72% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Kenny Marchant
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 57.24% 40.65% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Roger Williams
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 62.19% 35.80% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Michael Burgess
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 65.69% 33.04% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Michael Cloud
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 45.99% 52.69% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Henry Cuellar
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 29.95% 69.03% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Gene Green
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Sylvia Garcia
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 22.14% 75.82% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Eddie Bernice Johnson
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 56.17% 41.52% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|John Carter
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 51.58% 46.26% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Pete Sessions
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Colin Allred
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 25.60% 72.82% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Marc Veasey
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 48.63% 50.11% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Filemon Vela Jr.
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 32.58% 65.25% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Lloyd Doggett
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 74.34% 24.46% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Brian Babin

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Debates
Official campaign websites

Шаблон:2018 United States elections Шаблон:Elections in Texas footer

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