Английская Википедия:2018 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota

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Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsND The 2018 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the U.S. representative for North Dakota's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with the U.S. Senate election, as well as other statewide, legislative, and local elections.

Though incumbent Republican U.S. Representative Kevin Cramer announced on January 11, 2018, he will run for re-election to a fourth term, he later indicated an intention to run for the United States Senate instead.[1][2][3] On February 16, 2018, Cramer announced his Senate campaign.

Republican primary

State Senator Tom Campbell has stated he intends to run for the U.S. Senate if Cramer runs for re-election and to run for the U.S. House if Cramer does not run for re-election.[4] Campbell declared for the seat following Cramer's run for Senate. However, on April 11, Campbell dropped out of the race to endorse Armstrong.[5]

Candidates

Nominated

Declared

  • Tiffany Abentroth, U.S. Marine Corps veteran[7]
  • Paul Schaffner, oil field employee[8]

Withdrew

Declined

Polling

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Tiffany
Abentroth 		Kelly
Armstrong 		Tom
Campbell 		Julie
Fedorchak 		DuWayne
Hendrickson 		Undecided
Gravis Marketing February 21–24, 2018 385 ± 5.0% 1% 13% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 28% 9% 1% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 47%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Файл:2018 ND-AL Republican primary.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Democratic-NPL primary

The Democratic-NPL Party held their state convention March 16 and 17, during which delegates voted to endorse Mac Schneider. Although general election ballot access is actually controlled by a primary election to be held June 12, both other candidates decided to withdraw from the race, rather than challenge Schneider in the primary.[11]

Candidates

Endorsed

Withdrawn

Results

Файл:N2018 ND-AL Democratic primary.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[16] Шаблон:USRaceRating June 1, 2018
The Rothenberg Political Report[17] Шаблон:USRaceRating June 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] Шаблон:USRaceRating June 6, 2018

Debates

Host
network/sponsors 		Date Link(s) Participants
Mac
Schneider (D) 		Kelly
Armstrong (R)
KFYR-TV August 16, 2018 [19] Invited Invited
Prairie Public September 11, 2018 [20] Invited Invited
KFGO September 19, 2018 [21] Invited Invited

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Kelly
Armstrong (R) 		Mac
Schneider (D) 		Other Undecided
FOX News October 27–30, 2018 789 LV ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 55% 33% 2% 10%
851 RV ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 52% 32% 3% 12%
Strategic Research Associates Шаблон:Webarchive October 12–19, 2018 650 ± 3.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 56% 35% – 9%
FOX News September 29 – October 2, 2018 704 LV ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 51% 34% 2% 12%
801 V ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 33% 2% 14%
Strategic Research Associates Шаблон:Webarchive September 17–27, 2018 650 ± 3.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 55% 31% – 14%
FOX News September 8–11, 2018 701 LV ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% 34% 2% 15%
804 V ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 32% 2% 17%
Axis Research (R-Armstrong) August 26–28, 2018 506 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 53% 32% – 15%
Mason-Dixon June 13–15, 2018 625 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% 35% – 19%
Axis Research (R-Armstrong) May 13–14, 2018 509 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% 26% – 26%

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites

Шаблон:2018 United States elections Шаблон:North Dakota elections

Партнерские ресурсы
Криптовалюты
Магазины
Хостинг
Разное

  1. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  2. ↑ 2,0 2,1 Шаблон:Cite news
  3. ↑ 3,0 3,1 Шаблон:Cite news
  4. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  5. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  6. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  7. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  8. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  9. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  10. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  11. ↑ 11,0 11,1 Шаблон:Cite web
  12. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  13. ↑ 13,0 13,1 Шаблон:Cite web
  14. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  15. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  16. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  17. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  18. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  19. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  20. ↑ Шаблон:Citation
  21. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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