Английская Википедия:2018 United States House of Representatives elections in California
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in California The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in California were held on November 6, 2018, with the primary elections being held on June 5, 2018. Voters elected the 53 U.S. representatives from the state of California, one from each of the state's 53 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other offices, including a gubernatorial election, other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.
Democrats won in seven congressional districts previously represented by Republicans, all of which voted for Hillary Clinton in 2016. This reduced the California House Republican delegation by half and left the Republican Party with the fewest seats in California since just before the 1946 election cycle.
Republican incumbents Jeff Denham, David Valadao, Steve Knight, Mimi Walters, and Dana Rohrabacher (who had been elected to fifteen terms) were all defeated. Democrats also picked up two open seats previously held by retiring GOP incumbents: thirteen-term incumbent Ed Royce and nine-term incumbent Darrell Issa. The seven Democratic House pickups in California were the most made by the party in the 2018 election cycle.
Overview
Statewide
United States House of Representatives elections in California, 2018 Primary election — June 5, 2018 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Votes | Percentage | Candidates | Advancing to general | Seats contesting | |
Democratic | 4,189,103 | 63.55% | 117Шаблон:Efn | 55 | 52 | |
Republican | 2,250,074 | 34.13% | 95Шаблон:Efn | 46 | 45 | |
No party preference | 95,908 | 1.45% | 24Шаблон:Efn | 2 | 2 | |
Green | 38,737 | 0.59% | 10 | 3 | 3 | |
Libertarian | 11,493 | 0.17% | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
American Independent | 6,747 | 0.10% | 5 | 0 | 0 | |
Peace and Freedom | 233 | <0.01% | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
Totals | 6,592,295 | 100% | 258 | 106 | — |
United States House of Representatives elections in California, 2018 General election — November 6, 2018[1] | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats before | Seats after | +/– | |
Democratic | 8,010,445 | 65.74% | 39 | 46 | Шаблон:Gain 7 | |
Republican | 3,973,396 | 32.61% | 14 | 7 | Шаблон:Loss 7 | |
Green | 103,459 | 0.85% | 0 | 0 | Шаблон:Nochange | |
No party preference | 97,202 | 0.80% | 0 | 0 | Шаблон:Nochange | |
Valid votes | 12,184,522 | 95.85% | — | — | — | |
Invalid votes | 528,020 | 4.15% | — | — | — | |
Totals | 12,712,542 | 100.00% | 53 | 53 | — | |
Voter turnout | 64.54% (registered voters)
50.45% (eligible voters) |
By district
Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in California by district:[2]
District | Democratic | Republican | Others | Total | Result | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
scope=col colspan=2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | scope=col colspan=2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | ||||||||
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 131,548 | 45.11% | 160,046 | 54.89% | 0 | 0.00% | 291,594 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 2 | 243,081 | 77.01% | 72,576 | 22.99% | 0 | 0.00% | 315,657 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 3 | 134,875 | 58.07% | 97,376 | 41.93% | 0 | 0.00% | 232,251 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 4 | 156,253 | 45.87% | 184,401 | 54.13% | 0 | 0.00% | 340,654 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 5 | 205,860 | 78.87% | 0 | 0.00% | 55,158 | 21.13% | 261,018 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 6 | 201,939 | 100.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 201,939 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 7 | 155,016 | 55.04% | 126,601 | 44.96% | 0 | 0.00% | 281,617 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 8 | 0 | 0.00% | 170,785 | 100.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 170,785 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 9 | 113,414 | 56.49% | 87,349 | 43.51% | 0 | 0.00% | 200,763 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 10 | 115,945 | 52.25% | 105,955 | 47.75% | 0 | 0.00% | 221,900 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
District 11 | 204,369 | 74.13% | 71,312 | 25.87% | 0 | 0.00% | 275,681 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 12 | 275,292 | 86.82% | 41,780 | 13.18% | 0 | 0.00% | 317,072 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 13 | 260,580 | 88.38% | 0 | 0.00% | 34,257 | 11.62% | 294,837 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 14 | 211,384 | 79.22% | 55,439 | 20.78% | 0 | 0.00% | 266,823 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 15 | 177,989 | 72.97% | 65,940 | 27.03% | 0 | 0.00% | 243,929 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 16 | 82,266 | 57.55% | 60,693 | 42.45% | 0 | 0.00% | 142,959 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 17 | 159,105 | 75.35% | 52,057 | 24.65% | 0 | 0.00% | 211,162 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 18 | 225,142 | 74.49% | 77,096 | 25.51% | 0 | 0.00% | 302,238 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 19 | 162,496 | 73.75% | 57,823 | 26.25% | 0 | 0.00% | 220,319 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 20 | 183,677 | 81.37% | 0 | 0.00% | 42,044 | 18.63% | 225,721 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 21 | 57,239 | 50.38% | 56,377 | 49.62% | 0 | 0.00% | 113,616 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
District 22 | 105,136 | 47.28% | 117,243 | 52.72% | 0 | 0.00% | 222,379 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 23 | 74,661 | 36.28% | 131,113 | 63.72% | 0 | 0.00% | 205,774 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 24 | 166,550 | 58.56% | 117,881 | 41.44% | 0 | 0.00% | 284,431 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 25 | 133,209 | 54.37% | 111,813 | 45.63% | 0 | 0.00% | 245,022 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
District 26 | 158,216 | 61.94% | 97,210 | 38.06% | 0 | 0.00% | 255,426 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 27 | 202,636 | 100.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 202,636 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 28 | 196,662 | 78.37% | 54,272 | 21.63% | 0 | 0.00% | 250,934 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 29 | 124,697 | 80.61% | 29,995 | 19.39% | 0 | 0.00% | 154,692 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 30 | 191,573 | 73.40% | 69,420 | 26.60% | 0 | 0.00% | 260,993 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 31 | 110,143 | 58.74% | 77,352 | 41.26% | 0 | 0.00% | 187,495 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 32 | 121,759 | 68.78% | 55,272 | 31.22% | 0 | 0.00% | 177,031 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 33 | 219,091 | 70.03% | 93,769 | 29.97% | 0 | 0.00% | 312,860 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 34 | 110,195 | 72.54% | 0 | 0.00% | 41,711 | 27.46% | 151,906 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 35 | 103,420 | 69.40% | 45,604 | 30.60% | 0 | 0.00% | 149,024 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 36 | 122,169 | 59.02% | 84,839 | 40.98% | 0 | 0.00% | 207,008 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 37 | 210,555 | 89.08% | 25,823 | 10.92% | 0 | 0.00% | 236,378 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 38 | 139,188 | 68.85% | 62,968 | 31.15% | 0 | 0.00% | 202,156 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 39 | 126,002 | 51.56% | 118,391 | 48.44% | 0 | 0.00% | 244,393 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
District 40 | 93,938 | 77.35% | 0 | 0.00% | 27,511 | 22.65% | 121,449 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 41 | 108,227 | 65.10% | 58,021 | 34.90% | 0 | 0.00% | 166,248 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 42 | 100,892 | 43.50% | 131,040 | 56.50% | 0 | 0.00% | 231,932 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 43 | 152,272 | 77.67% | 43,780 | 22.33% | 0 | 0.00% | 196,052 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 44 | 143,322 | 100.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 143,322 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 45 | 158,906 | 52.05% | 146,383 | 47.95% | 0 | 0.00% | 305,289 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
District 46 | 102,278 | 69.15% | 45,638 | 30.85% | 0 | 0.00% | 147,916 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 47 | 143,354 | 64.86% | 77,682 | 35.14% | 0 | 0.00% | 221,036 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 48 | 157,837 | 53.55% | 136,899 | 46.45% | 0 | 0.00% | 294,736 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
District 49 | 166,453 | 56.42% | 128,577 | 43.58% | 0 | 0.00% | 295,030 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
District 50 | 125,448 | 48.28% | 134,362 | 51.72% | 0 | 0.00% | 259,810 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 51 | 109,527 | 71.20% | 44,301 | 28.80% | 0 | 0.00% | 153,828 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 52 | 188,992 | 63.85% | 107,015 | 36.15% | 0 | 0.00% | 296,007 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 53 | 185,667 | 69.07% | 83,127 | 30.93% | 0 | 0.00% | 268,794 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
Total | 8,010,445 | 65.74% | 3,973,396 | 32.61% | 200,681 | 1.65% | 12,184,522 | 100.0% |
Notes
District 1
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 1st district is based in inland Northern California and includes Chico and Redding. Incumbent Republican Doug LaMalfa, who had represented the 1st district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 59.1% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+11.
Primary election
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- Doug LaMalfa, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Audrey Denney, educator and farmer
Eliminated in primary
- Jessica Holcombe, business attorney[4]
- David Peterson, small business owner
- Marty Walters, environmental scientist[5]
Withdrawn
- Dennis Duncan
- Larry Jordan
- Brandon Storment
Green Candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Lewis Elbinger, retired diplomatic officer
Results
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General election
Campaign
After advancing to the general election, Democratic candidate Audrey Denney was forced to pause her campaign for emergency tumor-removal surgery in August,[6] but returned in time to debate LaMalfa in September.[7]
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[8] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[9] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[11] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[12] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
538[13] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[14] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[15] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2018 |
Results
Denney lost having received 45.1% of the vote, but would win the Democratic party nomination for the 2020 election.[16]
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District 2
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 2nd district is based in California's North Coast and includes Marin County and Eureka. Democrat Jared Huffman, who had represented the 2nd district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 76.9% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+22.
Primary election
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Jared Huffman, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Andy Caffrey, sustainability conversion planner
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- Dale K. Mensing, cashier and general election candidate for this seat in 2016
Results
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General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 3
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 3rd district is based in north central California and includes Davis, Fairfield, and Yuba City. Democrat John Garamendi, who had represented the 3rd district since 2013 and had previously represented the 10th district from 2009 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 59.4% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+5.
Primary election
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- John Garamendi, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Kevin Puett, retired associate director
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- Charlie Schaupp, retired marine officer and
Results
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General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 4
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 4th district is based in east central California and includes Lake Tahoe, Roseville, and Yosemite National Park. Incumbent Republican Tom McClintock, who had represented the 4th district since 2009, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 62.7% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+10.
Primary election
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- Tom McClintock, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Mitchell White, accountant and auditor
Democratic Candidates
The 4th district was added as a Republican-held seat that the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee was targeting on November 9, 2017.[17]
Advanced to general
- Jessica Morse, national security strategist[18]
Eliminated in primary
- Regina Bateson, military security analyst[18]
- Roza Calderon, geoscientist, geographer and cartographer[18]
- Robert Lawton, businessman
Withdrawn
- Steven Castellano
- Chris Drew, product specialist
- Richard Martin
- Rochelle Wilcox, media law and appeals attorney (endorsed Morse)[18]
Declined
- Charlie Brown, retired Air Force Lieutenant Colonel and nominee for this seat in 2006 and 2008 (endorsed Morse)[19][18]
Campaign
In February, the California Democratic Party endorsed[20] Jessica Morse. Calderon was able to successfully collect 322 CDP-credentialed delegate signatures needed to block the endorsement, in which Morse only received 44 delegate votes. However, CDP staff refused to accept the forms after it was alleged they closed doors early to prevent the submission. A petition was later filed with the Compliance Review Commission[21] by Calderon. The CRC voted to accept and count the signatures, ultimately disqualifying enough signatures to proceed with Morse's endorsement.
California allows candidates to include their professional description under their names on the ballot, however Regina Bateson later challenged Morse's ballot designation title of "National Security Fellow" at the Sacramento Superior Court after months of controversy that Morse, who had not worked in three years, was "fluffing" her credentials.[22] California's secretary of state, Alex Padilla, had struck down Morse's 3 ballot designations before Judge Gevercer ruled[23] that she presented "no credible evidence" to use the ballot designation of "National Security Fellow". Instead, he held that this title would mislead the average person about her recent activities. In the official Certified Candidate List, Morse's ballot designation was left blank.
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Results
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General election
Endorsements
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom McClintock (R) |
Jessica Morse (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Clarity Campaign Labs (D-Morse) | October 15–16, 2018 | 840 | ± 3.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% | 45% | 6% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[8] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[9] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[11] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[12] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
538[13] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[14] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[15] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2018 |
Results
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District 5
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 5th district is based in the North Bay and includes Napa, Santa Rosa, and Vallejo. Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson, who had represented the 5th district since 2013 and previously represented the 1st district from 1999 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 76.9% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+21.
Primary election
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Mike Thompson, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican Candidates
Withdrawn
- Douglas S. Van Raam, independent candidate for this seat in 2014
Green Candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Jason Kishineff, homemaker
Other Candidates
Advanced to general
- Anthony Mills, mariner
Eliminated in primary
- Nils Palsson, teacher, nonprofit director and candidate for this seat in 2016
Endorsements
Results
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General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 6
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 6th district is based in north central California and includes Sacramento. Democrat Doris Matsui, who had represented the 6th district since 2013 and previously represented the 5th district from 2005 to 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 75.4% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+21.
Primary election
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Jrmar Jefferson, business executive
- Doris Matsui, incumbent U.S. Representative
Results
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General election
Results
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District 7
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 7th district is based in north central California and includes southern and eastern Sacramento County. Democrat Ami Bera, who had represented the 7th district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 51.2% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+3.
Primary election
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Ami Bera, incumbent U.S. Representative
Withdrawn
- Brad Westmoreland, lawyer[24]
Republican Candidates
California's 7th district was included on the list of Democratic-held seats being targeted by the National Republican Congressional Committee in 2018.[25]
Advanced to general
- Andrew Grant, U.S. Marine officer and businessman[26]
Eliminated in primary
- Yona Barash, cancer surgeon
Withdrawn
- Omba Kipuke, public activist
Declined
- Scott Jones, Sacramento County Sheriff and general election candidate for this seat in 2016[27]
Green Candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Robert Richardson, software developer
Independent Candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Reginald Claytor, aerospace mechanical worker
Endorsements
Results
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General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ami Bera (D) |
Andrew Grant (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Grant) | June 12–14, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% | 41% | 9% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[8] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[9] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[11] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[12] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
538[13] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[14] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[15] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2018 |
Results
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District 8
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 8th district is based in the eastern High Desert and includes Victorville and Yucaipa. Incumbent Republican Paul Cook, who had represented the 8th district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 62.3% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+9.
Primary election
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- Paul Cook, incumbent U.S. Representative
- Tim Donnelly, former state assembly member, candidate for governor in 2014 and for this seat in 2016
Democratic Candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Marge Doyle, registered nurse
- Ronald O'Donnell, educator, author, businessman and general election candidate for state senator from 23rd district in 2016
- Rita Ramirez, retired college professor and general election candidate for this seat in 2016
Results
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General election
Results
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District 9
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 9th district is based in the Central Valley and includes the San Joaquin Delta and Stockton. Incumbent Democrat Jerry McNerney, who had represented the 9th district since 2013 and previously represented the 11th district from 2007 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 57.4% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+8.
Primary election
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Jerry McNerney, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- Marla Livengood, agriculture policy advisor
Withdrawn
- Marco Gutierrez
Results
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General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 10
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Main Шаблон:See also The 10th district was based in the Central Valley and included Modesto (and the remainder of Stanislaus County), Manteca, and Tracy (with other portions of southern San Joaquin County). Republican Jeff Denham, who had represented the 10th district since 2013 and previously represented the 19th district from 2011 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 51.7% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of EVEN.
Primary election
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- Jeff Denham, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Ted Howze, veterinarian
Democratic Candidates
California's 10th district was included on the list of Republican-held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[28]
Advanced to general
- Josh Harder, educator and venture capitalist[29]
Eliminated in primary
- Mike Barkley, lawyer, accountant, programmer and candidate for this seat in 2014 & 2016
- Michael Eggman, farmer, small businessman and general election candidate for this seat in 2014 & 2016
- Virginia Madueno, former mayor of Riverbank[30][31]
- Sue Zwahlen, registered nurse and former Modesto City Schools Board of Education member
Withdrawn
- Lisa Battista
- Mateo Morelos Bedolla
- TJ Cox, engineer and small businessman (running in the 21st)[32]
- Dotty Nygard, registered nurse and former Riverbank City Council member[33]
- Seth Vaughn
Declined
- Cathleen Galgiani, state senator from the 5th district[34]
- José Hernández, former NASA astronaut and general election candidate for this seat in 2012[30][35]
Independent Candidates
Withdrawn
- Scott Shoblom, attorney
- Terra Snover
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jeff Denham (R) |
Michael Eggman (D) |
Josh Harder (D) |
Virginia Madueño (D) |
Sue Zwahlen (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benenson Strategy Group (D-Harder) | May 2–6, 2018 | 550 | ± 4.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align="center" |42% | 10% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align="center" |13% | 6% | 6% | 5%[36] | 4% |
Results
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General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Debates
- Complete video of debate, September 30, 2018
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jeff Denham (R) |
Josh Harder (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NYT Upshot/Siena College | October 21–25, 2018 | 501 | ± 4.9% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 8% |
UC Berkeley | September 16–23, 2018 | 726 | ± 5.0% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% | 5% |
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D) | June 27 – July 1, 2018 | 501 | – | 48% | 48% | 4% |
ALG Research (D-Eggman) | March 13–15, 2018 | 400 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 37% | 15% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[8] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[9] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[11] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[12] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
538[13] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[14] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[15] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2018 |
Results
Although Denham led the reported vote count for several days, Harder ultimately won the general election by almost 10,000 votes with Denham conceding defeat on November 14.[37][38]
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District 11
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 11th district is based in the East Bay and includes Concord and Richmond. Incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier, who had represented the 11th district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 72.1% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+21.
Primary election
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Mark DeSaulnier, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Dennis Lytton, transportation manager
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- John Fitzgerald, small business owner
Independent Candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Chris Wood, civil engineer
Results
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General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 12
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 12th district is based in the Bay Area and includes most of San Francisco. House Democratic Leader and former Speaker Nancy Pelosi, who had represented the 12th district since 2013 and previously represented the 8th district from 1993 to 2013 and the 5th district from 1987 until 1993, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 80.9% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+37.
Primary election
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Nancy Pelosi, incumbent U.S. Representative, House Democratic Leader and former Speaker of the House
Eliminated in primary
- Shahid Buttar, lawyer, advocate and artist
- Stephen Jaffe, civil rights attorney
- Ryan Khojasteh, immigrant rights commissioner
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- Lisa Remmer, educator
Withdrawn
- Chase Demasi
Green Candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Barry Hermanson, retired entrepreneur
Independent Candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Michael Goldstein, lawyer and author
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Results
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General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 13
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 13th district is based in the East Bay and includes Berkeley and Oakland. Incumbent Democrat Barbara Lee, who had represented the 13th district since 2013 and previously represented the 9th district from 1998 to 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 92.0% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+40.
Primary election
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Barbara Lee, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican Candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Jeanne Marie Solnordal
Libertarian Candidates
Eliminated in primary
- James M. Eyer
Green Candidates
Advanced to general
- Laura Wells, political activist, financial & business analyst and nominee for governor in 2010
Independent Candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Lanenna Joiner
Results
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General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 14
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 14th district is based in the Bay Area and includes most of San Mateo County. Incumbent Democrat Jackie Speier, who had represented the 14th district since 2013 and previously represented the 12th district from 2008 to 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 80.9% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+27.
Primary election
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Jackie Speier, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- Cristina Osmeña, solar industry executive[39]
Results
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General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 15
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 15th district is based in the East Bay and includes Hayward and Livermore. Incumbent Democrat Eric Swalwell, who had represented the 15th district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 73.8% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+20.
Primary election
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Eric Swalwell, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- Rudy Peters, small business owner
Independent Candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Brendan St. John, medical device consultant
Results
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General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 16
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 16th district is based in the Central Valley and includes Fresno, Madera, and Merced. Incumbent Democrat Jim Costa, who had represented the 16th district since 2013 and previously represented the 20th district from 2005 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 58.0% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+9.
Primary election
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Jim Costa, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- Elizabeth Heng, small business owner and former House staffer
Results
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General election
Campaign
As a minority, millennial female running against an established male politician, Heng received a number of comparisons to Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.[40] Heng gained notoriety during the campaign for aggressive attack ads, including one where she depicted a silver-haired man who resembled Costa walking on a sidewalk in red high heels, which prompted questions of sexism.[41] More controversially her campaign ran an ad featuring images of the Cambodian genocide, part of her family heritage. This ad was banned on Facebook and Twitter, leading to conservative claims of social media bias and unjustified censorship.[42][43] Both social media sites ended up reversing course and allowed the commercials.[41]
Endorsements
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jim Costa (D) |
Elizabeth Heng (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | September 14–19, 2018 | 515 | ± 5.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% | 40% | 9% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[8] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[9] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[11] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[12] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
538[13] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[14] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[15] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2018 |
Results
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District 17
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 17th district is based in the Bay Area and includes Sunnyvale, Cupertino, Santa Clara, Fremont, and Milpitas. Incumbent Democrat Ro Khanna, who had represented the 17th district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 61.0% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+25.
Primary election
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Ro Khanna, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- Ron Cohen, certified public accountant
Libertarian Candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Kennita Watson, retired software engineer
Results
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General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 18
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 18th district is based in the Bay Area and includes Palo Alto, Redwood City, and Saratoga. Incumbent Democrat Anna Eshoo, who had represented the 18th district since 2013 and previously represented the 14th district from 1993 to 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 71.1% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+23.
Primary election
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Anna Eshoo, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- Christine Russell, technology company director
Independent Candidates
Eliminated in primary
- John Karl Fredrich, teacher
Results
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General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 19
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 19th district is based in the South Bay and includes most of San Jose. Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren, who had represented the 19th district since 2013 and previously represented the 16th district from 1995 to 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 73.9% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+24.
Primary election
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Zoe Lofgren, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- Justin James Aguilera
Eliminated in primary
- Karl Ryan
Results
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General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 20
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 20th district is based in the Central Coast and includes Monterey and Santa Cruz. Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Panetta, who had represented the 20th district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 70.8% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+23.
Primary election
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Jimmy Panetta, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Douglas Deitch, nonprofit executive director
Republican Candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Casey Clark
Independent Candidates
Advanced to general
- Ronald Paul Kabat, certified public accountant
Withdrawn
- Robert Neil Cheader
Results
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General election
Results
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District 21
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Main Шаблон:See also The 21st district is based in the Central Valley and includes Hanford and parts of Bakersfield. Incumbent Republican David Valadao, who had represented the 21st district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 56.7% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+5.
Primary election
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- David Valadao, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic Candidates
California's 21st district was included on the list of Republican-held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[28]
Advanced to general
Withdrawn
- Emilio Huerta, civil rights attorney and general election candidate for this seat in 2016
Cox was running in the 10th district race before switching to run in the 21st district in March 2017.[46] Democrat Emilio Huerta, who ran for the seat in 2016 and was planning to run again, dropped out shortly before Cox entered the race.[47]
Results
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General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
David Valadao (R) |
TJ Cox (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | September 20–24, 2018 | 555 | ± 5.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | 39% | 11% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[8] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[9] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[11] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[12] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
538[13] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[14] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[15] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2018 |
Results
On election night, Valadao held an 8-point lead, the Associated Press and other news networks called the race for Valadao, and Cox conceded. However, mail-in and absentee ballots, which constituted about sixty percent of all ballots cast in the race, started arriving in the days and weeks following election day and swung heavily toward Cox. On November 26, Cox took the lead, retaining it until all ballots had been counted; Valadao conceded the race on December 6.
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District 22
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 22nd district is based in the Central Valley and includes Clovis, Tulare, and Visalia. Incumbent Republican Devin Nunes, who had represented the 22nd district since 2013 and previously represented the 21st district from 2003 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 67.6% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+8.
Primary election
In 2017, Nunes received criticism for his handling of the investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 United States elections.[48]
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- Devin Nunes, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic Candidates
California's 22nd district was included on the list of Republican-held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[28]
Advanced to general
- Andrew Janz, Fresno County deputy District attorney[49]
Eliminated in primary
- Bobby Bliatout, nonprofit healthcare executive
- Ricardo "Rico" Franco, technology consultant
Withdrawn
- Mallory Kremer, obstetrician-gynecologist physician[50]
- Jose Sigala, Tulare City Council member
- Paul Vargas
Libertarian Candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Bill Merryman, human resources analyst
Independent Candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Brian Carroll, teacher
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Results
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General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Devin Nunes (R) |
Andrew Janz (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research (D) | October 19–21, 2018 | 840 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 51% | 46% | 3% |
SurveyUSA | September 20–25, 2018 | 582 | ± 5.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 55% | 41% | 4% |
UC Berkeley | September 16–23, 2018 | 912 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 53% | 45% | 2% |
Strategies 360 (D-Janz) | September 10–13, 2018 | 402 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | 44% | 6% |
Tulchin Research (D-Janz) | July 22–25, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 43% | 9% |
Strategies 360 (D-Janz) | July 12–17, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 53% | 41% | 16% |
Public Policy Polling (D) | June 22–24, 2018 | 632 | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% | 41% | 10% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[8] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[9] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[11] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[12] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
538[13] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[14] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[15] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2018 |
Results
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District 23
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 23rd district is based in the southern Central Valley and includes parts of Bakersfield. Republican House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy, who had represented the 23rd district since 2013 and previously represented the 22nd district from 2007 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 69.2% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+14.
Primary election
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- Kevin McCarthy, incumbent U.S. Representative
Withdrawn
- Joe Aleman
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Tatiana Matta, public relations professional[51]
Eliminated in primary
- Mary Helen Barro, businesswoman and educator[52]
- Wendy Reed, businesswoman, community advocate and general election candidate for this seat in 2016[53]
- Kurtis Wilson, realtor and motivational speaker
Withdrawn
- Robert Owen, former Tulare County Prosecutor and U.S. Marine[54]
Independent Candidates
Eliminated in primary
- James Davis
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Results
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District 24
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 24th district is based in the Central Coast and includes San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara counties. Incumbent Democrat Salud Carbajal, who had represented the 24th district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 53.4% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+7.
Primary election
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Salud Carbajal, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican Candidates
California's 24th district has been included on the list of Democratic-held seats being targeted by the National Republican Congressional Committee in 2018.[25]
Advanced to general
- Justin Fareed, cattle rancher[55]
Eliminated in primary
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Salud Carbajal (D) |
Justin Fareed (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Olive Tree Strategies (R-Fareed) | July 12–15, 2018 | 404 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 46% | 7% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[8] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[9] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[11] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[12] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
538[13] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[14] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[15] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2018 |
Results
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District 25
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 25th district is based in northern Los Angeles County and includes Palmdale and Santa Clarita as well as Simi Valley in Ventura County. Incumbent Republican Steve Knight, who had represented the 25th district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 53.1% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of EVEN.
Primary election
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- Steve Knight, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic Candidates
California's 25th district has been included on the list of Republican-held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[28]
Advanced to general
- Katie Hill, executive director and deputy CEO of People Assisting the Homeless[58][59]
Eliminated in primary
- Jess Phoenix, volcanologist and nonprofit director[60]
- Bryan Caforio, attorney and general election candidate for this seat in 2016
- Mary Pallant, small businesswoman and former Oak Park School Board member
Withdrawn
- Kelan Farrell Smith
- Daniel Fleming
- Diedra Greenaway, former budget advocate for the City of Los Angeles
- Michael Masterman-Smith, cancer biologist[61]
- Scott McVarish, immigration attorney[62]
Declined
- Christy Smith, Newhall School District President and general election candidate for State Assembly in 2016[59][63]
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bryan Caforio (D) |
Steve Knight (R) |
Katie Hill (D) |
Jess Phoenix (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALG Research (D-Caforio) | February 11–15, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 19% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 7% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Caforio) | May 16–17, 2017 | 596 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 30% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% | 9% | 4% | – | 10% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Steve Knight (R) |
Katie Hill (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NYT Upshot/Siena College | October 25–28, 2018 | 504 | ± 4.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 44% | 8% |
UC Berkeley | September 16–23, 2018 | 650 | ± 5.0% | 46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% | 4% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College | September 17–19, 2018 | 500 | ± 5.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 45% | 7% |
IMGE Insights (R) | July 9–12, 2018 | 400 | – | 47% | 47% | 6% |
Global Strategy Group | June 11–21, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% | 40% | 15% |
Public Policy Polling (D) | February 14–15, 2018 | 283 | ± 5.8% | 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% | 10% |
FM3 Research | January 24–28, 2018 | 650 | ± 3.8% | 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% | 7% |
Strategies 360 (D-Hill) | June 22–25, 2017 | 401 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% | 42% | 9% |
- with Caforio
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Steve Knight (R) |
Bryan Caforio (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FM3 Research | January 24–28, 2018 | 650 | ± 3.8% | 47% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 5% |
Strategies 360 (D-Hill) | June 22–25, 2017 | 401 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 43% | 9% |
PPP(D-Caforio) | May 16–17, 2017 | 596 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 43% | 10% |
- with generic Republican and generic Democrat
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Generic Republican |
Generic Democrat |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FM3 Research | January 24–28, 2018 | 650 | ± 3.8% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% | 12% |
- with Knight and generic Democrat
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Steve Knight (R) |
Generic Democrat (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PPP/Patriot Majority USA | February 12–13, 2018 | 703 | ± 3.7% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% | 14% |
PPP/Patriot Majority USA | November 8–9, 2017 | 576 | ± 4.1% | 38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% | 12% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[8] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[9] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[11] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[12] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
538[13] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[14] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[15] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2018 |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box majority no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box gain with party link no change Шаблон:Election box end
Шаблон:Collapse top Blue represents counties won by Hill. Red represents counties won by Knight.
General election results by county | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
County | Hill (D) | Knight (R) | Total | ||
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | |
Los Angeles | 108,355 | 55.6% | 86,562 | 44.4% | 194,917 |
Ventura | 24,854 | 49.6% | 25,251 | 50.4% | 50,105 |
Totals | 133,209 | 54.4% | 111,813 | 45.6% | 245,022 |
District 26
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 26th district is based in the southern Central Coast and includes Oxnard and Thousand Oaks. Incumbent Democrat Julia Brownley, who had represented the 26th district since 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 60.4% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+7.
Primary election
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Julia Brownley, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- John Nelson, attorney
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- Antonio Sabàto Jr., actor and businessman
Eliminated in primary
- Jeffrey Burum, business owner and accountant
Withdrawn
- Rafael Dagnesses, business owner, entrepreneur, candidate for this seat in 2014 and general election candidate in 2016
- Shane Skelton
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 27
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 27th district is based in the San Gabriel Foothills and includes Alhambra, Glendora and Pasadena. Democrat Judy Chu, who had represented the 27th district since 2013 and previously represented the 32nd district from 2009 to 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 67.4% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+16.
Primary election
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Judy Chu, incumbent
- Bryan Witt, railroad operations supervisor
Republican Candidates
Withdrawn
- Beatrice Cardenas
Libertarian Candidates
Withdrawn
- Brian Espinoza
Results
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General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 28
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 28th district is based in the northern Los Angeles suburbs and includes Burbank, Glendale, La Cañada Flintridge as well as parts of central Los Angeles. Incumbent Democrat Adam Schiff, who had represented the 28th district since 2013 and previously represented the 29th district from 2003 to 2013 and the 27th district from 2001 to 2003, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 78.0% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+23.
Primary election
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Adam Schiff, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
- Kim Gruenenfelder
- Damien Nichols
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- Johnny Nalbandian, food industry businessman
Independent Candidates
Withdrawn
- Juan Markos
- Mark Shayani
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Results
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District 29
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 29th district is based in the northeastern San Fernando Valley. Incumbent Democrat Tony Cárdenas, who had represented the 29th district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 74.7% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+29.
Primary election
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Tony Cárdenas, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Joseph Shammas, retired military officer
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- Benito Bernal, educational transportation supervisor
Green Candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Angelica Dueñas, Sun Valley Neighborhood Council member
Independent Candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Juan Rey, mechanic
Endorsements
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 30
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 30th district is based in the western San Fernando Valley and includes Sherman Oaks. Democrat Brad Sherman, who had represented the 30th district since 2013 and previously represented the 27th district from 2003 to 2013 and the 24th district from 1997 to 2003, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 72.6% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+18.
Primary election
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Brad Sherman, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Jon Pelzer
- Raji Rab, aviator, educator and candidate for this seat in 2016
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- Mark Reed, realtor, businessman, rancher and general election candidate for this seat in 2014 & 2016
Withdrawn
- Joseph Schrage
Libertarian Candidates
Withdrawn
- Rick Dawson[64]
Endorsements
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Results
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District 31
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 31st district is based in the Inland Empire and includes San Bernardino, Redlands and Rancho Cucamonga. Incumbent Democrat Pete Aguilar, who had represented the 31st district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 56.1% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+8.
Primary election
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Pete Aguilar, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Kaisar Ahmed, retired teacher
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- Sean Flynn, business owner and economist
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Results
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District 32
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 32nd district is based in the San Gabriel Valley and includes El Monte and West Covina. Democrat Grace Napolitano, who had represented the 32nd district since 2013 and previously represented the 38th district from 2003 to 2013 and the 34th district from 1999 to 2003, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 61.6% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+17.
Primary election
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Grace Napolitano, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Ricardo De La Fuente, businessman and son of 2016 presidential candidate Rocky De La Fuente
Withdrawn
- Mary Ann Lutz, former mayor of Monrovia and policy advisor to Napolitano
Declined
- Andre Quintero, Mayor of El Monte[65]
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- Joshua Scott
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Results
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District 33
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 33rd district is based in coastal Los Angeles County and includes Beverly Hills and Santa Monica. Democrat Ted Lieu, who had represented the 33rd district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 66.4% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+16.
Primary election
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Ted Lieu, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Emory Rodgers, human rights advocate
Withdrawn
- Alexis Edelstein
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- Kenneth Wright, physician, surgeon and general election candidate for this seat in 2016
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Results
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District 34
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 34th district is based in central Los Angeles and includes Boyle Heights, Chinatown and Downtown Los Angeles. Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Gomez, who had represented the 34th district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with % of the vote in 2017. The district had a PVI of D+35.
Primary election
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Jimmy Gomez, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican Candidates
Withdrawn
- Simon Mark Alvarez
Libertarian Candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Angela McArdle, paralegal, Secretary of the Libertarian Party of California and candidate for this seat in 2017
Green Candidates
Advanced to general
- Kenneth Mejia, certified public accountant and candidate for this seat in 2016 & 2017
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 35
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 35th district is based in the Inland Empire and includes Fontana, Ontario, and Pomona. Incumbent Democrat Norma Torres, who had represented the 35th district since 2015, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 72.4% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+19.
Primary election
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Norma Torres, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- Christian Valiente, small business owner
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Results
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District 36
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 36th district is based in eastern Riverside County and includes Palm Springs. Democrat Raul Ruiz, who had represented the 36th district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 62.1% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+2.
Primary election
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Raul Ruiz, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican Candidates
California's 36th district was included on the list of Democratic-held seats being targeted by the National Republican Congressional Committee in 2018.[25]
Advanced to general
- Kimberlin Brown Pelzer, actress and small business owner[67][68]
Eliminated in primary
- Dan Ball, television journalist and realtor
- Robert Bentley, software developer
- Doug Hassett, businessman
- Stephan Wolkowicz, financial accountant and candidate for this seat in 2016
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Results
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District 37
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 37th district is based in South Los Angeles and includes Crenshaw, Exposition Park and Culver City. Incumbent Democrat Karen Bass, who had represented the 37th district since 2013 and previously represented the 33rd district from 2011 to 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 81.1% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+37.
Primary election
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Karen Bass, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- Ron J. Bassilian, e-mail administrator
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 38
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 38th district is based in the eastern Los Angeles suburbs and includes Norwalk and Whittier. Incumbent Democrat Linda Sánchez, who had represented the 38th district since 2013 and previously represented the 39th district from 2003 to 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 70.5% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+17.
Primary election
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Linda Sánchez, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- Ryan Downing, taxpayer advocate and general election candidate for this seat in 2016
Results
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General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 39
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Main Шаблон:See also The 39th district straddles the Los Angeles–Orange–San Bernardino tri-county border and includes Chino Hills, Diamond Bar, and Fullerton. Incumbent Republican Ed Royce, who had represented the 39th district since 2013 and had represented the 40th district from 2003 to 2013 and the 39th district from 1993 to 2003, retired.[69] He was re-elected with 57.6% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of Even.
Primary election
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- Young Kim, former state assembly member[70]
Eliminated in primary
- John Cullum, business owner and accountant
- Bob Huff, former state senate minority leader[71]
- Shawn Nelson, Orange County Supervisor[71]
- Andrew Sarega, La Mirada city council member
- Steve Vargas, Brea city council member
Declined
- Ed Royce, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Gil Cisneros, Navy veteran[72]
Eliminated in primary
- Sam Jammal, former Obama official under USDC[73]
- Phil Janowicz, retired professor[74]
- Ted Rusk, contractor[75]
- Andy Thorburn, health insurance executive[76]
- Mai Khanh Tran, pediatrician[77]
Withdrawn
- Jay Chen, Mt. San Antonio College board member[78]
- Phil Janowicz
- Ted Rusk
- Cybil Steed
American Independent Candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Ted Alemayhu, social entrepreneur
- Sophia Alexander
Independent Candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Steve Cox, marine veteran
- Karen Schatzle, deputy district attorney
Withdrawn
- Julio Castañeda
Endorsements
See main article for details.
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gil Cisneros (D) |
Steve Cox (NPP) |
Bob Huff (R) |
Sam Jammal (D) |
Young Kim (R) |
Shawn Nelson (R) |
Andy Thorburn (D) |
Mai-Khanh Tran (D) |
Steve Vargas (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tulchin Research (D-Cisneros) | May 16–20, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 20% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 14% | 7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 14% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 1%[79] | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 15% |
Mellman Group (D-Thorburn) | March 30 – April 7, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 11% | – | 10% | 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 13% | 10% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 11% | 6% | – | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 35% |
Tulchin Research (D–Cisneros) | March 18–25, 2018 | 700 | ± 3.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 19% | – | 12% | 4% | 11% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 13% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 3%[80] | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 20% |
Change Research (D) | March 4–8, 2018 | 680 | — | 16% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 19% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 22% | 9% | 16% | 6% | – | 11%Шаблон:Efn | – |
10% | 5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 12% | 5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 15% | 6% | 8% | 4% | 7% | 33%Шаблон:Efn | – |
Results
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General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 16, 2018
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Young Kim (R) |
Gil Cisneros (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NYT Upshot/Siena College | October 18–23, 2018 | 496 | ± 4.6% | 46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 7% |
Tulchin Research (D-Cisneros) | September 28 – October 2, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 4% |
UC Berkeley | September 16–23, 2018 | 552 | ± 6.0% | 48% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% | 3% |
Monmouth University | September 13–16, 2018 | 300 LV | ± 5.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 51% | 41% | 8% |
402 RV | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% | 42% | 12% | ||
Tulchin Research (D-Cisneros) | August 1–6, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% | 5% |
DCCC (D) | June 10, 2018 | – | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% | 43% | 12% |
Remington (R) | January 10–11, 2018 | 761 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 41% | 38% | 21% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[8] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[9] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[11] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[12] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
538[13] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[14] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[15] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2018 |
Results
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District 40
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 40th district is based in central Los Angeles County and includes Downey and East Los Angeles. Incumbent Democrat Lucille Roybal-Allard, who had represented the 40th district since 2013 and previously represented the 34th district from 2003 to 2013 and the 33rd district from 1993 to 2003, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 71.4% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+33.
Primary election
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Lucille Roybal-Allard, incumbent U.S. Representative
Green Candidates
Advanced to general
- Rodolfo Cortes Barragan
Results
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General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 41
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 41st district is based in the Inland Empire and includes Moreno Valley, Perris, and Riverside. Democrat Mark Takano, who had represented the 41st district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 65.0% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+12.
Primary election
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Mark Takano, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- Aja Smith, U.S. Air Force veteran
Withdrawn
- Doug Shepherd, realtor and general election candidate for this seat in 2016
Results
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General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 42
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 42nd district is based in the Inland Empire and includes Corona and Murrieta. Incumbent Republican Ken Calvert, who had represented the 42nd district since 2013 and previously represented the 44th district from 2003 to 2013 and the 43rd district from 1993 to 2003, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 58.8% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+9.
Primary election
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- Ken Calvert, incumbent U.S. Representative
Withdrawn
- Floyd Harvey
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Julia Peacock, high-school teacher and activist[81]
Eliminated in primary
- Norman Quintero, pastor, psychotherapist and entrepreneur
Independent Candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Matt Woody, sommelier
Results
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General election
Results
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District 43
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 43rd district is based in South Los Angeles and includes Hawthorne and Inglewood. Incumbent Democrat Maxine Waters, who had represented the 43rd district since 2013 and previously represented the 35th district from 1993 to 2013 and the 29th district from 1991 to 1993, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 76.1% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+29.
Primary election
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Maxine Waters, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- Omar Navarro, small business owner and general election candidate for this seat in 2016
Eliminated in primary
- Frank DeMartini, film producer and attorney
- Edwin Duterte, investment advisor
Withdrawn
- Forest Baker
- Candance Camper
Green Candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Miguel Angel Zuniga, sales person
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Results
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General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 44
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 44th district is based in south Los Angeles County and includes Carson, Compton, and San Pedro. Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán, who had represented the 44th district since 2017, ran for re-election. She was elected with 52.2% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+35.
Primary election
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Nanette Barragán, incumbent U.S. Representative
- Aja Brown, Mayor of Compton
Withdrawn
- Isadore Hall, III, former state senator and general election candidate for this seat in 2016
Republican Candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Jazmina Saavedra, businesswoman
Withdrawn
- Stacey Dash, actress[82][83]
Independent Candidates
Withdrawn
- Ashley Wright
Results
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General election
Results
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District 45
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 45th district is based in inland Orange County and includes the cities of East Anaheim, Irvine and Mission Viejo. Incumbent Republican Mimi Walters, who had represented the 45th district since 2015, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 58.6% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+3.
Primary election
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- Mimi Walters, incumbent U.S. Representative
Declined
Democratic Candidates
California's 45th district was included on the list of Republican-held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[28] On February 25, Dave Min received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party at the party convention in San Diego.[86]
Advanced to general
- Katie Porter, law professor[87]
Eliminated in primary
- Brian Forde, former White House technology adviser[88]
- Kia Hamadanchy, former aide to Sen. Sherrod Brown[89]
- Dave Min, law professor and former aide to Sen. Chuck Schumer[90]
Withdrawn
- Greg Ramsay, ice cream shop owner[91]
- Eric Rywalski, business affairs consultant[92]
- Ron Varasteh, small business owner and general election candidate for this seat in 2016[93]
Independent Candidates
Eliminated in primary
- John Graham, retired business professor[94]
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kia Hamadanchy (D) |
Brian Forde (D) |
Dave Min (D) |
Katie Porter (D) |
Mimi Walters (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D-Porter) | February 20–21, 2018 | 648 | ± 3.9% | 6% | 4% | 12% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 16% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 21% |
Results
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General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mimi Walters (R) |
Katie Porter (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NYT Upshot/Siena College | October 26 – November 1, 2018 | 499 | ± 4.6% | 46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 6% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Walters) | October 14–17, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | 46% | 4% |
TargetPoint (R) | October 14–16, 2018 | 365 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | 42% | 8% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College | September 21–25, 2018 | 518 | ± 4.5% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 8% |
GBA Strategies (D) | September 20–23, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 5% |
UC Berkeley | September 16–23, 2018 | 519 | ± 6.0% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 52% | 3% |
Global Strategy Group (D-Porter) | September 14–18, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% | 11% |
Tulchin Research (D) | August 10–14, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.38% | 46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% | 5% |
Global Strategy Group (D-Porter)Шаблон:Dead link | July 26–31, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% | 44% | 11% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Porter) | May 10–12, 2018 | 599 | – | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% | 11% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Porter) | February 20–21, 2018 | 648 | ± 3.9% | 44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mimi Walters (R) |
Dave Min (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PPP/Bold Progressives | February 20–21, 2018 | 648 | ± 3.9% | 44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mimi Walters (R) |
Democratic opponent (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PPP/Patriot Majority USA | December 12–13, 2017 | — | — | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% | 14% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[8] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[9] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[11] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[12] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
538[13] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[14] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[15] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2018 |
Results
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Шаблон:Collapse top Blue represents county supervisorial districts won by Porter. Red represents county supervisorial districts won by Walters. Gray represents county supervisorial districts with no data.[95]
General election results by county supervisorial district | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
County | Porter (D) | Walters (R) | Total | ||
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | |
District 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
District 3 | 94,652 | 55.5% | 75,877 | 44.5% | 170,529 |
District 5 | 64,254 | 47.7% | 70,506 | 52.3% | 134,760 |
Totals | 158,906 | 52.1% | 146,383 | 47.9% | 305,289 |
District 46
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 46th district is based in central Orange County and includes Anaheim and Santa Ana. Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa, who had represented the 46th district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 70.0% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+15.
Primary election
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Lou Correa, incumbent U.S. Representative
Withdrawn
- Alan Schlar
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- Russell Rene Lambert, fraud investigator and businessman
Withdrawn
- Ben Garrett
- Jeffrey Johnston
- Adam Orozco
- Maria Slater
- David Tran
Independent Candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Will Johnson, driver and caregiver
- Ed Rushman, IT project manager
Endorsements
Results
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General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 47
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 47th district encompasses Long Beach, Catalina Island, and parts of western Orange County, including Garden Grove and Westminster. Incumbent Democrat Alan Lowenthal, who had represented the 47th district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 63.7% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+13.
Primary election
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Alan Lowenthal, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- John Briscoe, business professor and Ocean View School District board member
Eliminated in primary
- David Michael Clifford, small business owner
Endorsements
Results
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General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 48
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 48th district is based in coastal Orange County and includes Costa Mesa, Huntington Beach and Newport Beach. Incumbent Republican Dana Rohrabacher, who had represented the 48th district since 2013 and previously represented the 46th district from 2003 to 2013, the 45th district from 1993 to 2003, and the 42nd district from 1989 to 1993, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 58.5% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+4.
Primary election
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- Dana Rohrabacher, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Scott Baugh, former state assembly member[96]
- John Gabbard, small business owner
- Paul Martin, businessman
- Stelian Onufrei, construction business owner[97]
Democratic Candidates
California's 48th district was included on the list of Republican-held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[28]
Advanced to general
- Harley Rouda, real estate executive[98]
Eliminated in primary
- Hans Keirstead, stem cell biologist
- Michael Kotick, global business executive
- Laura Oatman, architect
- Rachel Payne, businesswoman
- Deanie Ann Schaarsmith
- Omar Siddiqui, attorney
- Tony Zarkades, Marine veteran
Withdrawn
- Michael Anthony Ellinger
- Boyd Roberts
Libertarian Candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Brandon Reiser, businessman
Independent Candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Kevin Kensinger, licensed investment professional
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Scott Baugh (R) |
Hans Keirstead (D) |
Dana Rohrabacher (R) |
Harley Rouda (D) |
Omar Siddiqui (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALG Research (D-Keirstead) | May 6–8, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 15% | 14% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 31% | 13% | 5% | 10%Шаблон:Efn | 12% |
Tulchin Research (D-Rouda) | May 1–5, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 13% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 13% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 30% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 13% | 4% | 10%Шаблон:Efn | 18% |
Change Research (D-314 Action) | May 2–3, 2018 | 590 | ± 4.0% | 17% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 19% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 27% | 11% | – | – | – |
Change Research (D) | March 4–6, 2018 | 688 | – | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 18% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 35% | 14% | 14% | 13%Шаблон:Efn | – |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 15, 2018
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dana Rohrabacher (R) |
Harley Rouda (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NYT Upshot/Siena College | October 29 – November 4, 2018 | 491 | ± 4.7% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center | 46% | 9% |
Thomas Partner Strategies | October 30–31, 2018 | 440 | ± 4.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center | 51% | 41% | 8% |
Monmouth University | October 17–21, 2018 | 372 | ± 5.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center | 50% | 48% | 2% |
Thomas Partner Strategies | October 18–19, 2018 | 440 | ± 4.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center | 49% | 41% | 9% |
UC Berkeley | September 16–23, 2018 | 623 | ± 5.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College | September 4–6, 2018 | 501 | ± 4.8% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
Monmouth University | July 11–15, 2018 | 361 LV | ± 5.2% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align="center" | 47% | 8% |
402 RV | ± 4.9% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align="center" | 46% | 12% | ||
Tulchin Research (D-Rouda) | September 30 – October 5, 2017 | 401 | ± 4.89% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center | 48% | 44% | 8% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[8] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[9] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[11] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[12] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
538[13] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[14] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[15] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2018 |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box majority no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box gain with party link no change Шаблон:Election box end
Шаблон:Collapse top Rouda won all 3 county supervisorial districts. Blue represents county supervisorial districts won by Rouda.
General election results by county supervisorial district | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
County | Rohrabacher (D) | Rouda (R) | Total | ||
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | |
District 1 | 14,794 | 45.6% | 17,663 | 54.4% | 32,457 |
District 2 | 94,960 | 47.8% | 103,539 | 52.2% | 198,499 |
District 5 | 27,145 | 42.6% | 36,635 | 57.4% | 63,780 |
Totals | 136,889 | 46.4 | 157,837 | 53.6% | 294,736 |
District 49
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 49th district is based in northern San Diego County and parts of southern Orange County. It includes the cities of Carlsbad, Oceanside, San Juan Capistrano and San Clemente. Incumbent Republican Darrell Issa, who had represented the 49th district since 2003 and the 48th district from 2001 to 2003, retired and did not run in 2018.[99] He was re-elected with 50.3% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+1.
Primary election
California's 49th district was included on the list of Republican-held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018. Given the close margin in 2016, this election was considered to be highly competitive.[100]
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- Diane Harkey, representative on California State Board of Equalization, and former state assembly member
Eliminated in primary
- Rocky Chávez, state assembly member
- Kristin Gaspar, member of San Diego County Board of Supervisors, and former mayor of Encinitas
- Brian Maryott, San Juan Capistrano city council member
- David Medway, physician
- Craig Arthur Nordal, real estate agent
- Mike Schmitt, audiologist
- Josh Schoonover, patent attorney
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Mike Levin, environmental attorney
Eliminated in primary
- Doug Applegate, retired Marine colonel and general election candidate for this seat in 2016[101]
- Sara Jacobs, former CEO of non-profit organization and foreign policy advisor on Hillary Clinton's 2016 campaign[102]
- Paul Kerr, real estate investor[103]
Withdrawn
- Christina Prejean, attorney[104]
Libertarian Candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Joshua Hancock, Marine veteran
Green Candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Danielle St. John, human rights advocate
Independent Candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Robert Pendleton, surgeon, businessman and artist
Peace and Freedom Candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Jordan Mills, college professor and union organizer[105]
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Doug Applegate (D) |
Rocky Chávez (R) |
Kristin Gaspar (R) |
Diane Harkey (R) |
Sara Jacobs (D) |
Paul Kerr (D) |
Mike Levin (D) |
Brian Maryott (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KGTV/SurveyUSA | May 29–31, 2018 | 612 | ± 4.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 11% | 8% | 5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 24% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 11% | 8% | 10% | 6% | 4%Шаблон:Efn | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 13% |
Tulchin Research (D) | May 22–24, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 12% | 11% | 7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 15% | 11% | 7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 17% | 6% | – | 13% |
Benenson Strategy Group (D-Jacobs) | April 28 – May 2, 2018 | 901 | ± 3.3% | 13% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 14% | 7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 14% | 11% | 4% | 10% | 6% | – | – |
FM3 Research (D) | April 26–29, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 16% | 10% | 9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 14% | 12% | 6% | 11% | 4% | 3%Шаблон:Efn | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 16%[106] |
KGTV/SurveyUSA | April 6–10, 2018 | 535 | ± 5.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 12% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 16% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 5% | 8%Шаблон:Efn | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 21% |
Change Research (D) | March 4–7, 2018 | 815 | ± 5.3% | 15% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 23% | 5% | 16% | 13% | 11% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 17% | 1% | – | – |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 23% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 15% | 4% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 11% | 2% | 17%Шаблон:Efn | – | ||||
FM3 Research (D) | February 12–15, 2018 | 750Шаблон:Efn | ± 3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 21% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 15% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 1% | 13% | – | 7%Шаблон:Efn | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 19%Шаблон:Efn |
FM3 Research (D) | February 12–15, 2018 | 400Шаблон:Efn | ± 3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 16% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 19% | 9% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 12% | – | 5%Шаблон:Efn | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 16%Шаблон:Efn |
KGTV/SurveyUSA | February 10–13, 2018 | 510 | ± 5.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 18% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 17% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 1% | 8% | 2% | 5%Шаблон:Efn | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 27% |
- Without Paul Kerr
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Doug Applegate (D) |
Rocky Chávez (R) |
Kristin Gaspar (R) |
Diane Harkey (R) |
Sara Jacobs (D) |
Mike Levin (D) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FM3 Research (D) | February 12–15, 2018 | 400 LV | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 20% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 18% | 9% | 17% | 8% | 17% |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 21% | 19% | 10% | 18% | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 20% | ||||
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 26% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 18% | 10% | 17% | 12% | — | ||||
— | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 21% | 11% | 18% | 11% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 22% |
- Without Kristin Gaspar and Paul Kerr
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Doug Applegate (D) |
Rocky Chávez (R) |
Diane Harkey (R) |
Sara Jacobs (D) |
Mike Levin (D) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FM3 Research (D) | February 12–15, 2018 | 400 LV | ± 4.9% | 20% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 22% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 21% | 7% | 17% |
21% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 23% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 22% | — | 20% | ||||
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 26% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 22% | 21% | 12% | — | ||||
— | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 25% | 21% | 12% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 22% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 2, 2018
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Diane Harkey (R) |
Mike Levin (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | October 29 – November 1, 2018 | 500 | ± 5.4% | 44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% | 5% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College | October 19–24, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.7% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% | 8% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College | September 18–23, 2018 | 507 | ± 4.7% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center|51% | 8% |
UC Berkeley | September 16–23, 2018 | 551 | ± 6.0% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 55% | 4% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Harkey) | September 17–20, 2018 | 400 | – | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center|45% | – |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Harkey) | July 15–17, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% | 43% | 9% |
Feldman Group (D-Levin) | June 24–27, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.6% | 46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% | – |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mike Levin (D) |
Republican candidate (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FM3 Research (D) | February 12–15, 2018 | 400 LV | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 41% | 37% | 22% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Doug Applegate (D) |
Republican candidate (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FM3 Research (D) | February 12–15, 2018 | 400 LV | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 41% | 38% | 21% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Paul Kerr (D) |
Republican candidate (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FM3 Research (D) | February 12–15, 2018 | 400 LV | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 39% | 37% | 24% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Sara Jacobs (D) |
Republican candidate (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FM3 Research (D) | February 12–15, 2018 | 400 LV | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 41% | 38% | 21% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Republican candidate |
Democratic candidate |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FM3 Research (D) | February 12–15, 2018 | 400 LV | ± 4.9% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Republican candidate |
Democratic candidate |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PPP/Patriot Majority USA | February 12–13, 2018 | 659 | ± 3.8% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% | 9% |
- With Darrell Issa
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Darrell Issa (R) |
Democratic candidate |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PPP/Patriot Majority USA | October 5–8, 2017 | 824 | ± 3.4% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% | 8% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[8] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[9] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[11] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[12] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
538[13] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[14] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[15] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2018 |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box majority no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box gain with party link no change Шаблон:Election box end
Шаблон:Collapse top Blue represents counties won by Levin. Red represents counties won by Harkey.
General election results by county | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
County | Harkey (R) | Levin (D) | Total | ||
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | |
Orange | 40,325 | 53.4% | 35,124 | 46.6% | 75,449 |
San Diego | 88,252 | 40.2% | 131,329 | 59.8% | 219,581 |
Totals | 128,577 | 56.4% | 166,543 | 43.6% | 295,030 |
District 50
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 50th district is based in inland San Diego County and includes Escondido and Santee. Incumbent Republican Duncan D. Hunter, who had represented the 50th district since 2013 and previously represented the 52nd district from 2009 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 63.5% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+11.
Primary election
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- Duncan D. Hunter, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
Democratic Candidates
California's 50th district was included on the list of Republican-held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[28]
Advanced to general
- Ammar Campa-Najjar, small business owner[111]
Eliminated in primary
- Josh Butner, former Navy SEAL
- Patrick Malloy, business owner, realtor and general election candidate for this seat in 2016
Withdrawn
- Pierre Beauregard
- Gloria Chadwick
- Glenn Jensen
- Alex Spilger
Independent Candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Rich Kahle, personal trainer
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Josh Butner (D) |
Ammar Campa-Najjar (D) |
Duncan Hunter (R) |
Patrick Malloy (D) |
Bill Wells (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KGTV/SurveyUSA | May 15–20, 2018 | 567 | ± 5.1% | 5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 10% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43% | 7% | 6% | 3%Шаблон:Efn | align=center Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided| 25% |
Tulchin Research (D-Campa-Najjar) | – | 500 | ± 4.4% | 6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 14% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 39% | 6% | 8% | – | align=center Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided| 25% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Campaign
On August 22, 2018, Hunter and his wife were both indicted on federal charges for alleged misuse of campaign funds.[112]
Hunter repeatedly attacked his Campa-Najjar over his half-Palestinian heritage claiming that Campa-Najjar, who converted to Christianity from Islam in high school,[113] was an "Islamist" trying to "infiltrate Congress", describing him as a "security threat" with terrorist ties.[114] The Washington Post fact-checkers wrote that an October 1, 2018, television ad by Hunter's campaign used "naked anti-Muslim bias" and sought to scare Californians from voting for Campa-Najjar, despite the fact that Campa-Najjar "isn't even Muslim. All the claims in the ad are false, misleading or devoid of evidence."[115] Hunter also claimed that Campa-Najjar was being supported by CAIR and the Muslim Brotherhood; PolitiFact gave this claim its "Pants on Fire" rating.[116] CNN, The Guardian, Buzzfeed News, and The Daily Beast described Hunter's campaign as "anti-Muslim", Vox described it as "race-baiting", and The Atlantic called it "one of the most brazenly anti-Muslim smear campaigns in recent history."[114][117][118][119][120][121] After Hunter's attacks on Campa-Najjar were widely condemned, Hunter doubled down on the attacks in a direct mail letter written and signed by three defense industry lobbyists, characterizing Campa-Najjar as a national security risk.[122] Campa-Najjar described Hunter's attacks as "pathological."[123]
Endorsements
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Duncan Hunter (R) |
Ammar Campa-Najjar (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | October 25–29, 2018 | 547 | ± 4.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 45% | 8% |
Tulchin Research (D-Campa-Najjar) | September 29 – October 1, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% | 44% | 11% |
Monmouth University | September 22–26, 2018 | 348 LV | ± 5.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 53% | 38% | 8% |
401 RV | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% | 41% | 10% | ||
UC Berkeley | September 16–23, 2018 | 527 | ± 6.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% | 47% | 4% |
Tulchin Research (D-Campa-Najjar) | August 27–30, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
SurveyUSA | August 22–26, 2018 | 539 | ± 5.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 39% | 13% |
Tulchin Research (D-Campa-Najjar) | July 17–23, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.89% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 51% | 42% | 7% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[8] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[9] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[11] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[12] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
538[13] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[14] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[15] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2018 |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box majority no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no change Шаблон:Election box end
Aftermath
In June 2019, federal prosecutors showed that from 2009 to 2016, Hunter had spent campaign funds on extramarital affairs with five women, including lobbyists and congressional staff.[124][125] In December 2019 Hunter changed his plea to guilty on one count of misusing campaign funds.[126] On January 7, 2020, he submitted letters of resignation to House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and California Governor Gavin Newsom, that took effect on January 13, 2020.[127] On March 17, 2020, Hunter was sentenced to 11 months in prison, scheduled to begin in January 2021.[128]
District 51
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 51st district runs along the border with Mexico and includes Imperial County and San Diego. Democrat Juan Vargas, who had represented the 51st district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 72.2% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+22.
Primary election
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Juan Vargas, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- Juan Hidalgo Jr., retired U.S. Marine
Eliminated in primary
- Louis Fuentes, air conditioning contractor
- John Renison, small business owner
Independent Candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Juan Carlos Mercado, deputy sheriff
- Kevin Mitchell
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no change Шаблон:Election box end
District 52
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 52nd district is based in coastal San Diego and includes La Jolla and Poway. Democrat Scott Peters, who had represented the 52nd district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 56.5% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+6.
Primary election
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Scott Peters, incumbent U.S. Representative
Withdrawn
- Alexander Miller
Republican Candidates
California's 52nd district was included on the list of Democratic-held seats being targeted by the National Republican Congressional Committee in 2018.[25]
Advanced to general
- Omar Qudrat, counter terrorism attorney
Eliminated in primary
- Michael Allman, direct democracy advocate
- Danny Casara, retired army sergeant
- Jeff Cullen, internal medicine doctor
- John Horst, cyber security engineer
- James Veltmeyer, physician and surgeon
Independent Candidates
Withdrawn
- Freeman Michaels
Results
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General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 53
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 53rd district is based in Central San Diego and includes La Mesa and Lemon Grove. Democrat Susan Davis, who had represented the 53rd district since 2003 and previously represented the 49th district from 2001 to 2003, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 67.0% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+14.
Primary election
Democratic Candidates
Advanced to general
- Susan Davis, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican Candidates
Advanced to general
- Morgan Murtaugh, political commentator[129]
Eliminated in primary
- Brett Goda, sales representative
- Shawn Gino Kane, small business manager
- Matt Mendoza, Lemon Grove City council member
Independent Candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Bryan Kim, community organizer
Results
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General election
Endorsements
Results
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See also
Notes
References
- Specific
External links
- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Campaign finance at FEC
- Campaign finance at OpenSecrets
Шаблон:2018 United States elections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ 9,00 9,01 9,02 9,03 9,04 9,05 9,06 9,07 9,08 9,09 9,10 9,11 9,12 9,13 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 10,00 10,01 10,02 10,03 10,04 10,05 10,06 10,07 10,08 10,09 10,10 10,11 10,12 10,13 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 11,00 11,01 11,02 11,03 11,04 11,05 11,06 11,07 11,08 11,09 11,10 11,11 11,12 11,13 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 12,00 12,01 12,02 12,03 12,04 12,05 12,06 12,07 12,08 12,09 12,10 12,11 12,12 12,13 Шаблон:Cite webШаблон:Dead link
- ↑ 13,00 13,01 13,02 13,03 13,04 13,05 13,06 13,07 13,08 13,09 13,10 13,11 13,12 13,13 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 14,00 14,01 14,02 14,03 14,04 14,05 14,06 14,07 14,08 14,09 14,10 14,11 14,12 14,13 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 15,00 15,01 15,02 15,03 15,04 15,05 15,06 15,07 15,08 15,09 15,10 15,11 15,12 15,13 Шаблон:Cite news
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- ↑ https://dccc.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/20171109_year-out-memo.pdf
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- ↑ 28,0 28,1 28,2 28,3 28,4 28,5 28,6 http://dccc.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/06/MEMO-Charging-Forward-DCCC-Announces-Battlefield-Expansion-18.pdf
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ Ted Howze (R) 4%, Mike Barkley (D) 1%
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- ↑ http://www.fresnobee.com/news/politics-government/politics-columns-blogs/political-notebook/article146512949.html
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ http://www.bakersfield.com/news/democrat-tatiana-matta-ramping-up-for-campaign-against-mccarthy/article_4b4fd310-bf65-11e7-8f92-3bcec0d16465.html
- ↑ http://www.bakersfield.com/news/woman-to-run-for-congressman-kevin-mccarthy-s-seat/article_21a9bd64-1839-11e8-9a37-6b35cf1bb9d3.html
- ↑ http://www.ridgecrestca.com/article/20170323/NEWS/170329821
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- ↑ https://www.nbcnews.com/news/asian-america/meet-doctor-challenging-one-congress-longest-serving-republicans-n805831
- ↑ http://www.rafu.com/2018/01/jay-chen-young-kim-among-candidates-for-royces-congressional-seat/
- ↑ Karen Lee Schatzle (NPP) 1%
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- ↑ Ошибка цитирования Неверный тег
<ref>
; для сносокLATimes06062018
не указан текст - ↑ The Thin Blue Wave
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Ошибка цитирования Неверный тег
<ref>
; для сносокMinCDP
не указан текст - ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ Other/Undecided 16%
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- ↑ https://www.zeltforcongress.com/about
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