Английская Википедия:2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Michigan The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the 14 U.S. representatives from the state of Michigan, one from each of the state's 14 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other offices, including a gubernatorial election, other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The filing deadline for candidates filing for the August 7 primary was April 24, 2018.[1] Unless otherwise indicated, the Cook Political Report rated the congressional races as safe for the party of the incumbent.

Two seats shifted from Republican to Democratic control. In the 8th Congressional District, Elissa Slotkin defeated incumbent Mike Bishop and in an open seat for the 11th Congressional District, Haley Stevens defeated Lena Epstein.[2] This left Michigan's U.S. House delegation in the 116th United States Congress with seven Democrats and seven Republicans until July 4, 2019, when Justin Amash of the 3rd Congressional District left the Republican Party to become an independent, shifting the balance of power in Michigan's House delegation to a Democratic plurality for the first time since 2011.

Шаблон:Toclimit

Results summary

Statewide

Party Candi-
dates
Votes Seats
No. % No. +/– %
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| Democratic Party 14 2,165,586 52.33% 7 Шаблон:Increase2 50.00%
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| Republican Party 13 1,847,480 44.65% 7 Шаблон:Decrease2 50.00%
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| Working Class Party 5 52,879 1.28% 0 Шаблон:Steady 0.00%
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| U.S. Taxpayers' Party 4 27,007 0.65% 0 Шаблон:Steady 0.00%
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| Independent 3 18,299 0.44% 0 Шаблон:Steady 0.00%
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| Green Party 3 14,805 0.36% 0 Шаблон:Steady 0.00%
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| Libertarian Party 2 12,095 0.29% 0 Шаблон:Steady 0.00%
Total 44 4,138,151 100.00% 14 Шаблон:Steady 100.00%

Шаблон:Bar box

Шаблон:Bar box

District

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan by district:[3]

District Democratic Republican Others Total Result
scope=col colspan=2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| scope=col colspan=2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
District 1 145,246 43.68% 187,251 56.32% 0 0.00% 332,497 100.00% Republican hold
District 2 131,254 42.97% 168,970 55.32% 5,239 1.72% 305,463 100.00% Republican hold
District 3 134,185 43.18% 169,107 54.42% 7,448 2.40% 310,740 100.00% Republican hold
District 4 106,540 37.38% 178,510 62.62% 0 0.00% 285,050 100.00% Republican hold
District 5 164,502 59.51% 99,265 35.91% 12,646 4.58% 276,413 100.00% Democratic hold
District 6 134,082 45.69% 147,436 50.24% 11,920 4.06% 293,438 100.00% Republican hold
District 7 136,330 46.20% 158,730 53.80% 0 0.00% 295,060 100.00% Republican hold
District 8 172,880 50.61% 159,782 46.78% 8,931 2.61% 341,593 100.00% Democratic gain
District 9 181,734 59.67% 112,123 36.81% 10,706 3.52% 304,563 100.00% Democratic hold
District 10 106,061 35.00% 182,808 60.32% 14,195 4.68% 303,064 100.00% Republican hold
District 11 181,912 51.84% 158,463 45.16% 10,526 3.00% 350,901 100.00% Democratic gain
District 12 200,588 68.08% 85,115 28.89% 8,925 3.03% 294,628 100.00% Democratic hold
District 13 165,355 84.24% 0 0.00% 30,944 15.76% 196,299 100.00% Democratic hold
District 14 214,334 80.88% 45,899 17.32% 4,761 1.80% 264,994 100.00% Democratic hold
Total 2,175,003 52.35% 1,853,459 44.61% 126,241 3.04% 4,154,703 100.00%

District 1

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 1st district consists of the entire Upper Peninsula of Michigan and the northern part of the Lower Peninsula including Alpena, Marquette, and Traverse City. This district has a PVI of R+9. The district, which makes up about 44% of the land area of the state of Michigan, is the second-largest congressional district east of the Mississippi River by land area. The incumbent was Republican Jack Bergman, who had represented the district since 2017. He was elected to replace retiring representative Dan Benishek with 55% of the vote in 2016. The Cook Political Report rated this race "likely Republican."[4]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

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Democratic primary

Matt Morgan was the only Democrat to file to run. However, he was removed from the ballot because he used a PO box address on his nomination petitions instead of his residential address. Instead, Morgan ran a write-in campaign, hoping to qualify for the ballot by winning at least five percent of the total votes cast in the district for the Democratic gubernatorial primary.[5] Over 4,800 votes were cast in Marquette County, which would have been enough by itself to qualify Morgan for the ballot.[6] According to official results, Democrats cast 29,293 write-in votes in the primary for Morgan, more than seven times the 3,781-vote threshold. On August 24, the Board of State Canvassers placed him on the November ballot.[7]

Candidates

Nominee
  • Matthew W. Morgan, retired US Marine Corps lieutenant colonel and Iraq War veteran[8]
Withdrawn
  • Dwight Brady, professor[8]

Primary results

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General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Jack
Bergman (R)
Matt
Morgan (D)
Undecided
Change Research (D) October 27–29, 2018 574 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align="center" |54% 42%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[9] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[10] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
RCP[12] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[13] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
538[14] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 7, 2018

Results

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District 2

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 2nd district is located in West Michigan and is anchored by the suburbs of Grand Rapids such as Kentwood and Wyoming, other cities include Holland and Muskegon. This district has a PVI of R+9. The incumbent was Republican Bill Huizenga, who had represented the district since 2011. He was re-elected to a fourth term with 63% of the vote in 2016.

Republican primary

Primary results

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Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Failed to qualify
  • Nick Schiller, political newcomer[8]

Primary results

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General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bill
Huizenga (R)
Rob
Davidson (D)
Undecided
Lake Research Partners (D-Davidson) October 11–15, 2018 400 ± 4.9% align=center Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 48% 42% 7%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[9] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[10] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
RCP[12] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[13] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
538[14] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 7, 2018

Results

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District 3

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 3rd district is located in inland West Michigan, centered on the city of Grand Rapids, and extends down to Battle Creek and Marshall. This district has a PVI of R+6. The incumbent was Republican Justin Amash, who had represented the district since 2011. He was re-elected to a fourth term with 59% of the vote in 2016.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Justin Amash, incumbent U.S. Representative[16]
Failed to qualify
  • Joe Farrington[8]
  • Matt Hall

Primary results

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Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Cathy Albro, educator
Eliminated in primary
  • Fred Wooden, pastor[16]

Primary results

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General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[9] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[10] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
RCP[12] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[13] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
538[14] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 7, 2018

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no change Шаблон:Election box end

District 4

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 4th district is located in Northern and Central Michigan including portions of the Tri-Cities region, specifically Midland, other cites include Mount Pleasant and the northern suburbs of Lansing. This district has a PVI of R+10. The incumbent was Republican John Moolenaar, who had represented the district since 2015. He was re-elected to a second term with 62% of the vote in 2016.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

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Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Jerry Hilliard
Eliminated in primary
  • Zigmond Kozicki[4]
Failed to qualify

Primary results

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General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

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District 5

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 5th district is located along the eastern coast of Michigan, centered on the Tri-Cities region of Mid Michigan, such as Bay City and Saginaw, and stretches down into Flint. This district has a PVI of D+5. The incumbent was Democrat Dan Kildee, who had represented the district since 2013. He was re-elected to a third term with 61% of the vote in 2016. Kildee considered running for governor in 2018, but decided to run for re-election instead.[17]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

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Republican primary

Michigan's 5th district was included on the initial list of Democratic held seats being targeted by the National Republican Congressional Committee in 2018.[18] There is one Republican candidate, Durand resident Travis Wines who lives outside the district.[8]

Candidates

Nominee
  • Travis Wines

Primary results

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General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

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District 6

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 6th district is located in Southwestern corner of Michigan, specifically the Michiana region. The district is anchored by Kalamazoo and the surrounding areas including Benton Harbor and Niles. This district has a PVI of R+4. The incumbent was Republican Fred Upton, who had represented the district since 1993 and previously represented the 4th district from 1987 to 1993. He was re-elected to a sixteenth term with 59% of the vote in 2016. The Cook Political Report rated this race as "likely Republican."[4]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

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Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Matt Longjohn, physician and former National Health Officer for the YMCA[19]
Eliminated in primary
Failed to qualify
  • Paul Clements, professor and nominee for this seat in 2014 and 2016[24][8]
  • Eponine Garrod, local activist and quality control chemist[20]
Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Primary results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Fred
Upton (R)
Matt
Longjohn (D)
Stephen
Young (T)
Undecided
Change Research (D) November 2–4, 2018 460 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align="center" |42% 3% 14%
Change Research (D) October 27–29, 2018 466 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align="center" |46% 43%
DCCC (D) October 9–10, 2018 605 ± 4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 46%
Public Policy Polling (D) September 4–5, 2018 750 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% 41%
Global Strategy Group (D-Longjohn) August 24–29, 2018 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 41% 3% 9%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Fred
Upton (R)
Democratic
opponent (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) November 8–9, 2017 681 ± 3.8% align=center Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 42% 41% 17%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[9] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[10] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
RCP[12] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[13] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
538[14] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 7, 2018

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no change Шаблон:Election box end

District 7

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 7th district is located in Southern Michigan including downtown Lansing and the western suburbs of Ann Arbor including Lodi and Milan, other cities include Adrian, Coldwater, and Jackson. This district has a PVI of R+7. The incumbent was Republican Tim Walberg, who had represented the district since 2011 and previously represented the district from 2007 to 2009. He was re-elected to a fourth consecutive and fifth total term with 55% of the vote in 2016. The Cook Political Report rated this race as "likely Republican."[4]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

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Democratic primary

Michigan's 7th district was included on the initial list of Republican held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[26]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Steven Friday, social worker[16]

Primary results

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General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Gretchen
Driskell (D)
Tim
Walberg (R)
Undecided
DCCC (D) February 19–21, 2018 400 37% align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |41%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[9] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[10] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
RCP[12] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[13] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
538[14] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 7, 2018

Results

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District 8

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 8th district was centered on the state capital, Lansing, and stretches into the northern outskirts of Metro Detroit including Rochester Hills. This district has a PVI of R+4. The incumbent was Republican Mike Bishop, who had represented the district since 2015. He was re-elected to a second term with 56% of the vote in 2016. This race was considered competitive, with the Cook Political Report rating it as 'Tossup' in August 2018.[28][4] With $28 million spent, it drew the most campaign spending for a U.S. House seat in Michigan's history.[29] Elissa Slotkin defeated Bishop, flipping the district to the Democratic side.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Mike Bishop, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary

Primary results

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Democratic primary

Michigan's 8th district had been included on the initial list of Republican held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[26]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Failed to qualify
  • Darlene Domanik, attorney[16]

Primary results

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Libertarian party

  • Brian Ellison

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General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Debates

Polling

Шаблон:Graph:Chart

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mike
Bishop (R)
Elissa
Slotkin (D)
Other Undecided
Change Research (D) November 2–4, 2018 501 46% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% 3%[32] 5%
NYT Upshot/Siena College October 31 – November 4, 2018 447 ± 5.0% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% 2% 6%
Target Insyght October 15–17, 2018 500 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% 45% 3%[33] 4%
NYT Upshot/Siena College September 28 – October 3, 2018 501 ± 4.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 44% 10%
GQR Research (D-Slotkin) September 17–20, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% 10%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Bishop) September 16–18, 2018 400 ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% 43%
Public Policy Polling (D) April 16–17, 2018 668 ± 3.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% 41% 13%
Target Insyght April 3–5, 2018 400 ± 5.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% 39% 16%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[9] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[10] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
RCP[12] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[13] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
538[14] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 7, 2018

Results

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District 9

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 9th district is located in Metro Detroit including Roseville, Royal Oak, and Warren. This district has a PVI of D+4. The incumbent was Democrat Sander Levin, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 12th district from 1993 to 2013 and the 17th district from 1983 to 1993. He was re-elected to an eighteenth term with 58% of the vote in 2016. In December 2017, Levin announced his retirement, and that he would not seek re-election in 2018.[34]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Andy Levin, former head of the Michigan Department of Energy, Labor and Economic Growth, Sander Levin's son[35]
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
Declined
  • Sander Levin, incumbent representative
  • Andy Meisner, Oakland County Treasurer[37]

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Martin
Brook
Andy
Levin
Ellen
Lipton
Undecided
EPIC-MRA July 25–26, 2018 730 ± 3.7% 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 55% 31% 10%
Lake Research Partners (D-Levin) July 9–12, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% 12% 30%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Steve
Bieda
Andy
Levin
Ellen
Lipton
Undecided
GQR Research March 17–19, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 17% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% 8% 33%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Primary results

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Republican primary

Michigan's 9th district was included on the initial list of Democratic held seats being targeted by the National Republican Congressional Committee in 2018.[18]

Candidates

Nominee
  • Candius Stearns, businesswoman[16]

Primary results

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General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

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District 10

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 10th district is located in an area of the Lower Peninsula of Michigan known as The Thumb and parts of the Metro Detroit area including Chesterfield, Macomb, and Port Huron. This is the most Republican friendly district with a PVI of R+13. The incumbent was Republican Paul Mitchell, who had represented the district since 2017. He was elected to replace retiring representative Candice Miller with 63% of the vote in 2016.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

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Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Kimberly Bizon
Eliminated in primary
  • Frank Accavitti Jr.
  • Michael McCarthy

Primary results

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General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box


Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no change Шаблон:Election box end

District 11

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 11th district is located in Metro Detroit including Livonia, Novi, and Troy. This district had a PVI of R+4. The incumbent was Republican Dave Trott, who had represented the district since 2015. He was re-elected to a second term with 53% of the vote in 2016. Trott was not running for re-election in 2018.[38][39] This race is considered to be competitive; the Cook Political Report rated this contest as a "toss up."[4]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Lena Epstein, businesswoman and Michigan co-chair of the 2016 Donald Trump presidential campaign[40]
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
Failed to qualify
Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Kerry
Bentivolio
Lena
Epstein
Klint
Kesto
Mike
Kowall
Rocky
Raczkowski
Undecided
Mitchell Research (R) July 30, 2018 305 ± 5.7% 14% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 27% 11% 10% 18% 20%
EPIC-MRA July 23–24, 2018 700 ± 3.7% 7% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 26% 12% 8% 19% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 28%

Primary results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Democratic primary

Michigan's 11th district was included on the initial list of Republican held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[26]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Failed to qualify
  • Daniel Haberman, businessman and attorney[48]
Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tim
Greimel
Suneel
Gupta
Fayrouz
Saad
Nancy
Skinner
Haley
Stevens
Other Undecided
EPIC-MRA July 23–24, 2018 700 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 21% 14% 10% 4% 17% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 34%
Target-Insyght July 16–18, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 14% 15% 7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 21% 4%[57] Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 39%

Primary results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Libertarian party

  • Leonard Schwartz, attorney

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Lena
Epstein (R)
Haley
Stevens (D)
Other Undecided
Target Insyght October 15–17, 2018 513 ± 4.3% 48% 48% 2% 3%
ALG Research (D-Stevens) October 10–14, 2018 513 ± 4.3% 34% align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |44% 4%[58] 16%
Harper Polling (R-Epstein) October 10–13, 2018 465 ± 5.0% 35% align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |36% 2%[59] 27%
NYT Upshot/Siena College October 1–6, 2018 465 ± 5.0% 38% align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |45% 17%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) February 12–13, 2018 653 ± 3.8% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% 13%
Public Policy Polling (D) October 5–8, 2017 709 ± 3.7% 42% 42% 16%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[9] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[10] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
RCP[12] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[13] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
538[14] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 7, 2018

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box gain with party link no change Шаблон:Election box end

District 12

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 12th district is based in Ann Arbor and the surrounding cities including Ypsilanti, and the western suburbs of Detroit including Dearborn and Lincoln Park. This district has a PVI of D+14. The incumbent was Democrat Debbie Dingell, who had represented the district since 2015. She was re-elected with 64% of the vote in 2016.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Jeff Jones

Primary results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

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District 13

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 13th district is located entirely within Wayne County and is centered on the city of the Detroit and the immediate surrounding suburbs including Dearborn Heights, Garden City, and Westland. This is the most Democratic-friendly district with a PVI of D+32. The seat was vacant for most of 2018, following the resignation of John Conyers in December 2017.[60] A special primary and special general election were held in August and November 2018, on dates coinciding with the already scheduled primary and general elections in a money-saving move by Michigan Governor Rick Snyder.[61]

Conyers represented the district from 2013 to 2017. He previously represented the 14th district from 1993 to 2013, and the 1st district from 1965 to 1993. He was Dean of the United States House of Representatives, and was re-elected to a twenty-seventh term with 77% of the vote in 2016.

Former state representative Rashida Tlaib, a member of Democratic Socialists of America, won the Democratic primary. Tlaib, however, lost the special primary to Brenda Jones, president of the Detroit City Council. Jones served for just over eight weeks before Tlaib was sworn in.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Failed to qualify
Withdrew
  • Michael Gilmore, attorney and activist[8]
Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Ian
Conyers
Shanelle
Jackson
Brenda
Jones
Rashida
Tlaib
Bill
Wild
Coleman
Young
Undecided
EPIC-MRA July 25–26, 2018 700 ± 3.7% 7% 5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 26% 22% 20% 9% 11%
Target-Insyght July 16–18, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 8% 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 21% 19% 20% 14% 14%

Primary results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Republican primary

David Dudenhoefer was the only Republican candidate to announce his run for the Republican nomination, but he failed to qualify. He did, however, run as a write-in candidate. As a result, Tlaib was opposed in the general election only by minor party candidates and write-in candidates.

Candidates

Failed to qualify
  • David A. Dudenhoefer, District GOP Chair[73]

Primary results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no change Шаблон:Election box end

District 14

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 14th district stretches from the northern Detroit suburbs including Farmington Hills, Southfield, and West Bloomfield, to eastern part of Detroit. This district has a PVI of D+30. The incumbent was Democrat Brenda Lawrence, who had represented the district since 2015. She was re-elected to a second term with 79% of the vote in 2016.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Marc Herschfus

Primary results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no change Шаблон:Election box end

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites of first district candidates
Official campaign websites of second district candidates
Official campaign websites of third district candidates
Official campaign websites of fourth district candidates
Official campaign websites of fifth district candidates
Official campaign websites of sixth district candidates
Official campaign websites of seventh district candidates
Official campaign websites of eighth district candidates
Official campaign websites of ninth district candidates
Official campaign websites of tenth district candidates
Official campaign websites of eleventh district candidates
Official campaign websites of twelfth district candidates
Official campaign websites of thirteenth district candidates
Official campaign websites of fourteenth district candidates

Шаблон:2018 United States elections

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