Английская Википедия:2018 United States Senate election in Delaware

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The 2018 United States Senate election in Delaware took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Delaware, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.

The primary for this U.S. Senate election was held on Thursday, September 6, 2018. The Democratic Party nominated incumbent U.S. Senator Tom Carper and the Republican Party nominated Sussex County Councilman Rob Arlett.

Incumbent Democratic Senator Tom Carper was re-elected to a fourth, and ultimately final, term.

Background

Three-term Democratic Senator Tom Carper was reelected with 66% of the vote in 2012 against Republican Kevin Wade.

Carper, incumbent U.S. Senator, was challenged in the Democratic primary by Dover activist Kerri Evelyn Harris. Carper previously faced a primary challenge in the 2012 election from businessman Keith Spanarelli. However, Carper defeated Spanarelli by around 70 points. Carper went on to defeat Harris by around 30 points. It was the most competitive Democratic U.S. Senate primary in Delaware in two decades.

The main declared candidates in the Republican primary were Sussex County councilman Rob Arlett and businessman Gene Truono, with a perennial candidacy from businessman Rocky De La Fuente, who also ran for Senate in seven other states. Another candidate withdrew before the primary. Rob Arlett defeated Gene Truono in a landslide to win the Republican nomination.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Tom Carper, incumbent U.S. Senator and 71st Governor of Delaware

Eliminated in primary

• Kerri Evelyn Harris, Dover activist and U.S. Air Force veteran

Withdrew

• Tykiem Booker, activist

Declined

• Lisa Blunt Rochester, U.S. Representative (ran for re-election)

Debates

Delaware newspaper The News Journal hosted a 90-minute debate on August 27, 2018 for the Democratic primary between Tom Carper and Kerri Evelyn Harris at Cab Calloway School of the Arts. Republican candidate businessman Gene Truono answered questions from panelists before Carper and Harris debated. Sussex County Councilman Rob Arlett was also invited, but declined and claimed he had a scheduling conflict.

• Full video of debate, Facebook

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tom Carper	Шаблон:Nowrap Harris	Undecided
Gravis Marketing	July 24–29, 2018	354	± 5.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51%	19%	30%

Results

Файл:2018 DE US Senate Dem primary.svg

Results by county Шаблон:Collapsible list

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Rob Arlett, former Sussex County Councilman, and former Delaware State Chairman for the Trump campaign

Eliminated in primary

• Rocky De La Fuente, businessman and perennial candidate
• Gene Truono, businessman and former Chief Compliance Officer at PayPal

Withdrew

• Chuck Boyce, businessman (endorsed Rob Arlett)

Declined

• Ken Simpler, State Treasurer (running for re-election)
• Kevin Wade, businessman and candidate for Senate in 2012 and 2014 (endorsed Rob Arlett)

Debates

Councilman Rob Arlett and businessman Gene Truono had four debates in total. They were normally live streamed on Facebook and uploaded to YouTube. A fifth debate was planned, but Truono withdrew from the debate because he the organizers refused to give him control over what questions could not be asked. Instead organizers held a forum with all the other candidates for the U.S. Senate and other state offices. Five candidates attended that forum.

• First Debate, YouTube
• Second Debate, Part 1, YouTube
• Second Debate, Part 2, YouTube
• Third Debate, Part 1, YouTube
• Third Debate, Part 2, YouTube
• Fourth Debate, YouTube

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Rob Arlett	Rocky Шаблон:Nowrap	Gene Truono	Undecided
Gravis Marketing	July 24–29, 2018	288	± 5.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 19%	7%	15%	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 60%

Results

Файл:2018 DE US Senate GOP primary.svg

Results by county Шаблон:Collapsible list

Green primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Demitri Theodoropoulos, small business owner

Declined

• Andrew Groff, businessman and perennial candidate

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Nadine Frost, New Castle County chairwoman of Libertarian Party of Delaware and Libertarian nominee for Wilmington City Council in 2016

Independents

Not to be confused with the Independent Party of Delaware, which did not run a candidate for the 2018 United States Senate election.

Candidates

Declared

• Barry Eveland (write-in)
• Matthew Water Stout, write-in presidential candidate in 2016 (write-in)
• Todd Farina, ticket company owner (write-in)

General election

Endorsements

Bold text indicates endorsement was given before the primary. Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Debates

with Kerri Evelyn Harris and Gene Truono

On August 20, 2018, the Greater Hockessin Area Development Association (GHADA) hosted a 2-hour debate at the Hockessin Memorial Hall between Democratic candidate Kerri Evelyn Harris and Republican candidate Gene Truono. Tom Carper and Rob Arlett were also invited to the debate, but did not attend. Carper was not present because of the U.S. Senate's extended session due to session ceasing early the Thursday prior because of the death of former governor and U.S. Senator of Nevada, Paul Laxalt. Arlett declined and claimed he had a scheduling conflict.

• Full video of debate, Facebook August 20, 2018

with Tom Carper and Rob Arlett

The debate gained national attention after Republican candidate Rob Arlett brought up Democratic senator Tom Carper’s past controversy of domestic abuse.

• Full video of debate, C-SPAN October 17, 2018

with Tom Carper, Rob Arlett, Nadine Frost, and Demitri Theodoropoulos

• Full video of debate, WHYY October 30, 2018

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 26, 2018
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 5, 2018
Daily Kos	Шаблон:USRaceRating	April 9, 2018
Fox News	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 9, 2018
CNN	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 2018
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 2018

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tom Carper (D)	Rob Arlett (R)	Nadine Frost (L)	Demitri Шаблон:Nowrap	Undecided
University of Delaware	September 11–17, 2018	728 LV	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 61%	24%	3%	3%	9%
		908 RV	± 3.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 60%	22%	5%	2%	12%
Gravis Marketing	July 24–29, 2018	884	± 3.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47%	39%	–	–	14%

with Tom Carper and Gene Truono

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tom Carper (D)	Gene Truono (R)	Undecided
Gravis Marketing	July 24–29, 2018	884	± 3.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47%	38%	15%

with Kerri Evelyn Harris and Rob Arlett

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Kerri Evelyn Harris (D)	Rob Arlett (R)	Undecided
Gravis Marketing	July 24–29, 2018	884	± 3.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42%	35%	23%

with Kerri Evelyn Harris and Gene Truono

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Kerri Evelyn Harris (D)	Gene Truono (R)	Undecided
Gravis Marketing	July 24–29, 2018	884	± 3.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40%	37%	23%

Results

Файл:2018 United States Senate election in Delaware results map by precinct.svg

Results by Precinct: Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Sussex (largest city: Seaford)

See also

• 2018 United States Senate elections
• Elections in Delaware

External links

• Candidates at Vote Smart
• Candidates at Ballotpedia
• Campaign finance at FEC
• Campaign finance at OpenSecrets

Official campaign websites

• Rob Arlett (R) for Senate
• Tom Carper (D) for Senate
• Demitri Theodoropoulos (G) for Senate