Английская Википедия:2018 United States Senate election in Indiana

The 2018 United States Senate election in Indiana took place on November 6, 2018, along with other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Joe Donnelly sought re-election to a second term, facing Republican businessman and former state representative Mike Braun and Libertarian Party nominee Lucy Brenton. Braun defeated Donnelly in the general election by a margin of 6 percent. He has declined to seek re-election in 2024 and is instead running for Governor that year.

In 2017, Politico described the race as "possibly the GOP's best opportunity to seize a Senate seat from Democrats" in the 2018 elections.^[1] The primary election was held on May 8, 2018.^[2] In October 2018, RealClearPolitics rated the race a toss-up between the Democratic and Republican nominees, with the Libertarian receiving a poll average of 6%.^[3]

Background

In 2012, Joe Donnelly was elected to the Senate with 50% of the vote to Republican nominee Richard Mourdock's 44%. In the 2016 presidential election, Republican nominee Donald Trump won Indiana with about 56.5% of the vote to Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton's 37.5%.^[4]^[5]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Joe Donnelly, incumbent U.S. Senator^[6]

Withdrew

Martin Del Rio, Iraq War veteran^[7]^[8]

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Mike Braun, businessman and former state representative^[9]^[10]

Eliminated in the primary election

Luke Messer, U.S. Representative^[11]
Todd Rokita, U.S. Representative^[12]^[13]^[14]

Declined

Jim Banks, U.S. Representative^[15]
Susan Brooks, U.S. Representative (endorsed Luke Messer)^[13]^[16]
Mike Delph, state senator (endorsed Todd Rokita)^[12]^[17]
Jackie Walorski, U.S. Representative^[18]^[19]^[20]

Withdrawn

Terry Henderson, businessman^[21]^[22] (endorsed Mike Braun)^[23]
Andy Horning, Libertarian nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012 and Libertarian nominee for IN-08 in 2014^[24]^[25]
Mark Hurt, attorney and former congressional aide^[26]^[27]^[28]^[29]
Andrew Takami, director of Purdue Polytechnic New Albany^[30]^[31] (endorsed Luke Messer)^[32]

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Luke Messer	Todd Rokita	Mike Braun	Other	Undecided
Strategic National (R)	May 5–6, 2018	300	± 5.7%	29%	28%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 44%	–	–
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive	April 6–11, 2018	280	± 5.9%	13%	16%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 26%	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 45%
GS Strategy Group (R-Rokita)	January 6–9, 2018	500	± 4.4%	9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 24%	9%	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 58%
GS Strategy Group (R-Rokita)	July 16–18, 2017	500	± 4.4%	20%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 28%	–	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 51%
GS Strategy Group (R-Rokita)	July 16–18, 2017	500	± 4.4%	14%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 21%	11%	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 55%
OnMedia (R-Messer) Шаблон:Webarchive	July 10–12, 2017	400	± 4.8%	23%	23%	2%	7%Шаблон:Efn	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 45%

Results

Файл:Indiana U.S. Senate Republican primary, 2018.svg

Results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Independent

Candidates

Declared

James Johnson, Jr.^[33]

General election

Candidates

Mike Braun, businessman and former state representative (R)
Lucy Brenton (L)
Joe Donnelly, incumbent (D)
James Johnson, Jr. (I)

Debates

Complete video of debate, October 8, 2018

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[34]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 26, 2018
Inside Elections^[35]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[36]	Шаблон:Sort	November 5, 2018
CNN^[37]	Шаблон:Sort	November 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics^[38]	Шаблон:Sort	November 5, 2018
Daily Kos^[39]	Шаблон:Sort	November 5, 2018
Fox News^[40]	Шаблон:Sort	November 5, 2018

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of October 17, 2018
Candidate (party)	Total receipts	Total disbursements	Cash on hand
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Joe Donnelly (D)	$16,100,528	$13,872,981	$2,321,981
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Mike Braun (R)	$16,964,706	$15,576,842	$1,387,861
Source: Federal Election Commission^[41]

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Graphical summary

Шаблон:Graph:Chart

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Joe Donnelly (D)	Mike Braun (R)	Lucy Brenton (L)	Other	Undecided
HarrisX	November 3–5, 2018	600	± 4.0%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 43%	–	–	–
HarrisX	November 2–4, 2018	600	± 4.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 43%	41%	–	–	–
HarrisX	November 1–3, 2018	600	± 4.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 43%	42%	–	–	–
HarrisX	October 31 – November 2, 2018	600	± 4.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 44%	42%	–	–	–
HarrisX	October 30 – November 1, 2018	600	± 4.0%	43%	43%	–	–	–
HarrisX	October 29–31, 2018	600	± 4.0%	40%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 43%	–	–	–
Fox News	October 27–30, 2018	722 LV	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 45%	38%	5%	2%	9%
Fox News	October 27–30, 2018	852 RV	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 42%	38%	6%	2%	11%
HarrisX Шаблон:Webarchive	October 24–30, 2018	1,400	± 2.6%	42%	42%	–	–	–
NBC News/Marist	October 24–28, 2018	496 LV	± 5.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 45%	42%	7%	<1%	5%
		496 LV	± 5.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 48%	46%	–	2%	5%
		800 RV	± 4.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 43%	40%	9%	<1%	7%
		800 RV	± 4.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 47%	45%	–	2%	7%
Cygnal (R)	October 26–27, 2018	505	± 4.4%	46%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 49%	–	3%	2%
YouGov	October 23–26, 2018	975	± 3.7%	43%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 46%	3%	0%	8%
Mason Strategies (R)	October 15–20, 2018	600	± 3.9%	43%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 47%	3%	–	7%
American Viewpoint (R-Braun)	October 14–17, 2018	800	–	40%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 44%	7%	–	5%
SurveyUSA	October 12–16, 2018	816	± 4.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 41%	40%	8%	–	11%
Gravis Marketing	October 12–16, 2018	377	± 5.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 44%	40%	7%	–	10%
Vox Populi Polling	October 13–15, 2018	783	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 55%	45%	–	–	–
American Viewpoint (R-Braun)	October 7–10, 2018	800	–	40%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 44%	7%	–	7%
American Viewpoint (R-Braun)	September 30 – October 3, 2018	800	–	39%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 43%	7%	–	5%
Fox News	September 29 – October 2, 2018	695 LV	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 43%	41%	6%	2%	9%
Fox News	September 29 – October 2, 2018	806 RV	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 41%	40%	6%	1%	10%
Ipsos	September 12–20, 2018	1,181	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 46%	43%	–	3%	8%
Fox News	September 8–11, 2018	677 LV	± 3.5%	43%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 45%	3%	1%	8%
Fox News	September 8–11, 2018	804 RV	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 42%	41%	4%	1%	10%
NBC News/Marist	August 26–29, 2018	576 LV	± 5.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 44%	41%	8%	1%	6%
		576 LV	± 5.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 49%	43%	–	2%	7%
		816 RV	± 4.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 43%	40%	8%	1%	8%
		816 RV	± 4.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 48%	42%	–	2%	9%
Trafalgar Group (R)	July 31 – August 7, 2018	1,420	± 2.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 51%	39%	–	–	11%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	June 11 – July 2, 2018	952	± 5.0%	47%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 49%	–	–	4%
Gravis Marketing	May 10–15, 2018	400	± 4.9%	46%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 47%	–	–	7%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

with Todd Rokita

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Joe Donnelly (D)	Todd Rokita (R)	Undecided
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive	April 6–11, 2018	411	± 4.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 50%	32%	18%

with Luke Messer

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Joe Donnelly (D)	Luke Messer (R)	Undecided
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Webarchive	April 6–11, 2018	411	± 4.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 46%	36%	18%

with generic Republican

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Joe Donnelly (D)	Generic Republican	Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios	February 12 – March 5, 2018	1,809	± 3.8%	45%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 51%	4%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

On November 6, 2018, Braun won the general election.^[42] He swept southern Indiana, the exurbs of Indianapolis, and most other rural areas in the state. Donnelly ran well behind his 2012 vote totals, winning only in Indianapolis, the university centers (Bloomington, Terre Haute, West Lafayette, South Bend), and the suburbs of Chicago in Northwest Indiana.^[43]

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box gain with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Madison (largest city: Anderson)
Spencer (largest city: Santa Claus)
Starke (largest city: Knox)
Vanderburgh (largest city: Evansville)
Scott (Largest city: Scottsburg)
Blackford (Largest city: Hartford City)
Clark (Largest city: Jeffersonville)
Crawford (Largest city: Marengo)
Floyd (Largest city: New Albany)
Jefferson (Largest city: Madison)
Fayette (Largest city: Connersville)
Henry (Largest city: New Castle)
Howard (Largest city: Kokomo)
Wayne (Largest city: Richmond)
Vermillion (largest city: Clinton)
Perry (largest city: Tell City)
Sullivan (Largest city: Sullivan)

By congressional district

Braun won 6 of 9 congressional districts, with Donnelly winning the other 3, including one held by a Republican.

District	Braun	Donnelly	Elected Representative
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Шаблон:Ushr	37.9%	60.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Pete Visclosky
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	51.0%	45.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Jackie Walorski
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	59.6%	36.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Jim Banks
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	57.9%	37.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Jim Baird
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Шаблон:Ushr	47.9%	48.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Susan Brooks
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	60.8%	34.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Greg Pence
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Шаблон:Ushr	31.8%	64.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|André Carson
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	57.3%	38.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Larry Bucshon
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	54.3%	41.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Trey Hollingsworth

Voter Demographics

Edison Research exit poll
Demographic subgroup	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| Donnelly	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| Braun	No Answer	% of Voters
Gender
Men	40	57	3	49
Women	49	46	5	51
Age
18–29 years old	48	45	7	13
30–44 years old	49	43	8	20
45–64 years old	44	54	3	39
65 and older	41	57	1	28
Race
White	40	56	4	86
Black	88	11	1	8
Latino	71	22	6	3
Asian	N/A	N/A	N/A	1
Other	N/A	N/A	N/A	2
Race by gender
White men	35	62	3	42
White women	44	51	5	44
Black men	82	15	2	4
Black women	95	5	0	4
Latino men	N/A	N/A	N/A	1
Latina women	N/A	N/A	N/A	2
Others	N/A	N/A	N/A	2
Education
High school or less	40	56	4	23
Some college education	40	54	6	26
Associate degree	41	55	4	13
Bachelor's degree	46	51	3	22
Advanced degree	61	36	2	16
Education and race
White college graduates	49	48	3	34
White no college degree	33	62	5	53
Non-white college graduates	80	19	2	4
Non-white no college degree	76	20	4	10
Whites by education and gender
White women with college degrees	57	39	4	17
White women without college degrees	36	59	6	27
White men with college degrees	41	57	2	17
White men without college degrees	31	65	4	26
Non-whites	77	20	3	14
Income
Under $30,000	49	44	8	15
$30,000–49,999	46	49	4	23
$50,000–99,999	44	55	2	35
$100,000–199,999	44	52	4	22
Over $200,000	N/A	N/A	N/A	5
Party ID
Democrats	92	6	2	29
Republicans	8	90	2	39
Independents	47	44	9	31
Party by gender
Democratic men	92	6	2	12
Democratic women	93	5	2	18
Republican men	8	91	1	19
Republican women	8	90	2	20
Independent men	42	52	7	18
Independent women	55	33	12	13
Ideology
Liberals	86	8	6	20
Moderates	59	37	5	40
Conservatives	10	88	2	40
Marital status
Married	43	54	3	61
Unmarried	51	46	3	39
Gender by marital status
Married men	38	60	2	31
Married women	48	49	3	30
Unmarried men	42	53	5	19
Unmarried women	61	39	1	20
First-time midterm election voter
Yes	41	53	6	15
No	46	51	3	85
Most important issue facing the country
Health care	70	26	4	41
Immigration	10	85	5	27
Economy	31	66	3	21
Gun policy	66	31	3	8
Area type
Urban	63	33	4	31
Suburban	44	53	3	44
Rural	37	58	5	25
Source: CNN^[44]

Notes

Шаблон:Notelist

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites

Шаблон:2018 United States elections

[1] Шаблон:Cite news

[2] Шаблон:Cite web

[RealClearPoliticsIndiana-3] Шаблон:Cite web

[4] Шаблон:Cite news

[5] Шаблон:Cite web

[donnellyreelect-6] Шаблон:Cite news

[7] Шаблон:Cite web

[8] Шаблон:Cite web

[9] Шаблон:Cite news

[10] Шаблон:Cite web

[11] Шаблон:Cite news

[inlightof-12] 12,0 ^12,1 Шаблон:Cite news

[Brooks-13] 13,0 ^13,1 Шаблон:Cite web

[14] Шаблон:Cite news

[memberonmember-15] Шаблон:Cite news

[16] Шаблон:Cite web

[delph-17] Шаблон:Cite web

[18] Шаблон:Cite news

[19] Шаблон:Cite news

[20] Шаблон:Cite web

[21] Шаблон:Cite news

[22] Шаблон:Cite news

[23] Шаблон:Cite web

[Horning-24] Шаблон:Cite web

[25] Шаблон:Cite web

[26] Шаблон:Cite news

[27] Шаблон:Cite web

[28] Шаблон:Cite web

[29] Шаблон:Cite web

[30] Шаблон:Cite news

[31] Шаблон:Cite web

[32] Шаблон:Cite web

[33] Шаблон:Cite web

[34] Шаблон:Cite web

[35] Шаблон:Cite web

[36] Шаблон:Cite web

[37] Шаблон:Cite web

[38] Шаблон:Cite web

[39] Шаблон:Cite web

[40] Шаблон:Cite web

[41] Шаблон:Cite web

[result-42] Шаблон:Cite news

[43] Шаблон:Cite web

[44] Шаблон:Cite news

[1]

[2]

[3]

[4]

[5]

[6]

[7]

[8]

[9]

[10]

[11]

[12]

[13]

[14]

[15]

[16]

[17]

[18]

[19]

[20]

[21]

[22]

[23]

[24]

[25]

[26]

[27]

[28]

[29]

[30]

[31]

[32]

[33]

[34]

[35]

[36]

[37]

[38]

[39]

[40]

[41]

[42]

[43]

[44]

Партнерские ресурсы
Криптовалюты	Обмен криптовалют - www.bestchange.ru Криптовалютная биржа CoinEx Криптовалютная биржа Binance HIVE OS - операционная система для майнинга e4pool - Мультивалютный пул для майнинга.
Магазины	AliExpress — глобальная виртуальная (в Интернете) торговая площадка, предоставляющая возможность покупать товары производителей из КНР; computeruniverse.net - Интернет-магазин компьютеров(Промо код 5 Евро на первую покупку:FWWC3ZKQ);
Хостинг	DigitalOcean - американский провайдер облачных инфраструктур, с главным офисом в Нью-Йорке и с центрами обработки данных по всему миру;
Разное	Викиум - Онлайн-тренажер для мозга Like Центр - Центр поддержки и развития предпринимательства. Gamersbay - лучший магазин по бустингу для World of Warcraft. Ноотропы OmniMind N°1 - Усиливает мозговую активность. Повышает мотивацию. Улучшает память. Санкт-Петербургская школа телевидения - это федеральная сеть образовательных центров, которая имеет филиалы в 37 городах России. Lingualeo.com — интерактивный онлайн-сервис для изучения и практики английского языка в увлекательной игровой форме. Junyschool (Джунискул) – международная школа программирования и дизайна для детей и подростков от 5 до 17 лет, где ученики осваивают компьютерную грамотность, развивают алгоритмическое и креативное мышление, изучают основы программирования и компьютерной графики, создают собственные проекты: игры, сайты, программы, приложения, анимации, 3D-модели, монтируют видео. Умназия - Интерактивные онлайн-курсы и тренажеры для развития мышления детей 6-13 лет SkillBox - это один из лидеров российского рынка онлайн-образования. Среди партнеров Skillbox ведущий разработчик сервисного дизайна AIC, медиа-компания Yoola, первое и самое крупное русскоязычное аналитическое агентство Tagline, онлайн-школа дизайна и иллюстрации Bang! Bang! Education, оператор PR-рынка PACO, студия рисования Draw&Go, агентство performance-маркетинга Ingate, scrum-студия Sibirix, имидж-лаборатория Персона. «Нетология» — это университет по подготовке и дополнительному обучению специалистов в области интернет-маркетинга, управления проектами и продуктами, дизайна, Data Science и разработки. В рамках Нетологии студенты получают ценные теоретические знания от лучших экспертов Рунета, выполняют практические задания на отработку полученных навыков, общаются с экспертами и единомышленниками. Познакомиться со всеми продуктами подробнее можно на сайте https://netology.ru, линейка курсов и профессий постоянно обновляется. StudyBay Brazil – это онлайн биржа для португалоговорящих студентов и авторов! Студент получает уникальную работу любого уровня сложности и больше свободного времени, в то время как у автора появляется дополнительный заработок и бесценный опыт. Автор24 — самая большая в России площадка по написанию учебных работ: контрольные и курсовые работы, дипломы, рефераты, решение задач, отчеты по практике, а так же любой другой вид работы. Сервис сотрудничает с более 70 000 авторов. Более 1 000 000 работ уже выполнено. StudyBay – это онлайн биржа для англоязычных студентов и авторов! Студент получает уникальную работу любого уровня сложности и больше свободного времени, в то время как у автора появляется дополнительный заработок и бесценный опыт.

Английская Википедия:2018 United States Senate election in Indiana

Background

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Withdrew

Endorsements

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in the primary election

Declined

Withdrawn

Endorsements

Polling

Results

Independent

Candidates

Declared

General election

Candidates

Debates

Predictions

Fundraising

Endorsements

Polling

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Voter Demographics

Notes

References

External links

Навигация

Поиск