Английская Википедия:2018 United States Senate election in Maryland

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Main Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Use American English Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Maryland sidebar The 2018 United States Senate election in Maryland took place on November 6, 2018, in order to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Maryland. It was held concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Ben Cardin was re-elected to a third and ultimately final term by a landslide margin of almost 35 points.

The primary election for the Senate race was held on June 26, 2018.[1]

The incumbent, Ben Cardin, won the Democratic Party primary. In the general election, Cardin was reelected to a third term.[2] Tony Campbell, a professor of political science at Towson University and former Army Chaplain, won the Republican Party primary. If elected, Campbell would have become Maryland's first African-American U.S. Senator.[3][4] Businessman Neal Simon ran as an independent and Arvin Vohra was the Libertarian Party nominee in the general election. There were also several official write-in candidates.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Ben
Cardin
Chelsea
Manning
Other Undecided
Goucher College February 12–18, 2018 409 ± 4.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 61% 17% 3% 19%

Results

Файл:Maryland Senate Democratic Primary Election Results by County, 2018.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Tony Campbell,[5] of Baltimore County,[9] political science faculty member at Towson University[14]
  • Chris Chaffee,[5] candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016[15]
  • Evan M. Cronhardt,[5] of Anne Arundel County
  • Nnabu Eze,[5] of Baltimore County,[9] Green nominee for MD-03 in 2016[16]
  • John Graziani, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016 and candidate for MD-04 in 2014[5]
  • Christina J. Grigorian, attorney[5]
  • Albert Howard[5]
  • Bill Krehnbrink, perennial candidate[5]
  • Gerald I. Smith, Jr., conspiracy theorist,[5] of Cecil County[9]
  • Blaine Taylor, perennial candidate,[5] of Baltimore County[9]
  • Brian Charles Vaeth, perennial candidate[5]

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

Файл:Maryland Senate Republican Primary Election Results by County, 2018.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Libertarian Party

Candidates

Declared

Independents

Candidates

Declared

  • Michael B Puskar, property manager
  • Edward Shlikas, home care compliance manager[20]
  • Neal Simon, businessman[21][22]

General election

Candidates

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Debates

On October 7, 2018, Cardin, independent candidate Neal Simon, and Republican candidate Tony Campbell participated in the sole televised debate of the campaign.[23][24][25]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[26] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 26, 2018
Inside Elections[27] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Fox News[29] Шаблон:USRaceRating July 9, 2018
CNN[30] Шаблон:USRaceRating July 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics[31] Шаблон:USRaceRating June 2018

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Ben
Cardin (D)
Tony
Campbell (R)
Neal
Simon (I)
Other Undecided
Gonzales Research (I-Simon) October 1–6, 2018 806 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% 22% 18% 11%
Goucher College September 11–16, 2018 472 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 56% 17% 8% 1%[32] 14%

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Results by county

County colspan="2" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Ben Cardin

Democratic

colspan="2" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Tony Campbell

Republican

colspan="2" Шаблон:Party shading/Independent |Neal Simon

Independent

colspan="2" Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian |Arvin Vohra

Libertarian

colspan="2" Шаблон:Party shading/Independent |Write-ins

Independent

Margin Total

Votes

Cast

Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |# Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |# Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |% Шаблон:Party shading/Independent |# Шаблон:Party shading/Independent |% Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian |# Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian |% Шаблон:Party shading/Independent |# Шаблон:Party shading/Independent |% # %
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Allegany 8597 36.82% 13790 59.06% 746 3.19% 196 0.84% 20 0.09% -5193 -22.24% 23349
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Anne Arundel 122910 53.74% 92401 40.40% 10528 4.60% 2674 1.17% 190 0.08% 30509 13.34% 228703
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Baltimore (City) 160370 86.95% 16184 8.77% 5596 3.03% 1917 1.04% 375 0.20% 144186 78.17% 184442
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Baltimore (County) 197530 60.85% 106275 32.74% 17192 5.30% 3313 1.02% 290 0.09% 91255 28.11% 324600
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Calvert 17372 44.51% 19901 50.99% 1273 3.26% 458 1.17% 27 0.07% -2529 -6.48% 39031
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Caroline 4265 37.73% 6474 57.27% 451 3.99% 105 0.93% 9 0.08% -2209 -19.54% 11304
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Carroll 25986 34.89% 42479 57.03% 5020 6.74% 966 1.30% 38 0.05% -16493 -22.14% 74489
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Cecil 13237 38.05% 19851 57.06% 1267 3.64% 412 1.18% 24 0.07% -6614 -19.01% 34791
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Charles 44874 69.54% 17872 27.69% 1284 1.99% 462 0.72% 41 0.06% 27002 41.84% 64533
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Dorchester 5928 48.23% 5864 47.71% 397 3.23% 95 0.77% 8 0.07% 64 0.52% 12292
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Frederick 55256 51.67% 47038 43.99% 3242 3.03% 1292 1.21% 105 0.10% 8218 7.69% 106933
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Garrett 2817 25.75% 7801 71.31% 216 1.97% 98 0.90% 7 0.06% -4984 -45.56% 10939
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Harford 45921 41.63% 56749 51.45% 6185 5.61% 1352 1.23% 100 0.09% -10828 -9.82% 110307
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Howard 96067 66.97% 38797 27.05% 6621 4.62% 1819 1.27% 144 0.10% 57270 39.92% 143448
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Kent 4588 53.49% 3490 40.69% 411 4.79% 86 1.00% 3 0.03% 1098 12.80% 8578
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Montgomery 314568 77.29% 74924 18.41% 13333 3.28% 3655 0.90% 517 0.13% 239644 58.88% 406997
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Prince George's 286975 90.10% 24140 7.58% 5031 1.58% 2031 0.64% 346 0.11% 262835 82.52% 318523
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Queen Anne's 8463 37.21% 12813 56.34% 1230 5.41% 232 1.02% 6 0.03% -4350 -19.13% 22744
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | St. Mary's 16849 41.93% 21393 53.24% 1361 3.39% 559 1.39% 18 0.04% -4544 -11.31% 40180
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Somerset 3652 47.09% 3882 50.06% 172 2.22% 45 0.58% 4 0.05% -230 -2.97% 7755
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Talbot 9054 50.12% 8050 44.56% 796 4.41% 154 0.85% 12 0.07% 1004 5.56% 18066
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Washington 19956 39.59% 28319 56.18% 1598 3.17% 507 1.01% 26 0.05% -8363 -16.59% 50406
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Wicomico 16539 49.09% 15644 46.43% 1133 3.36% 351 1.04% 24 0.07% 895 2.66% 33691
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Worcester 9840 41.37% 12886 54.17% 881 3.70% 164 0.69% 17 0.07% -3046 -12.80% 23788
Total 1491614 64.86% 697017 30.31% 85964 3.74% 22943 1.00% 2351 0.10% 794597 34.55% 2299889

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites

Шаблон:2018 United States elections Шаблон:United States Senate elections Шаблон:Elections in Maryland footer