Английская Википедия:2018 United States Senate election in Minnesota
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:About Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Minnesota The 2018 United States Senate election in Minnesota took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a United States Senator from Minnesota. Incumbent Democratic–Farmer–Labor U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar was reelected in a landslide, defeating Republican state House of Representatives member Jim Newberger. This election was held alongside a special election for Minnesota's other Senate seat, which was held by Al Franken until he resigned in January 2018. U.S. House elections, a gubernatorial election, State House elections, and other elections were also held.
The candidate filing deadline was June 5, 2018, and the primary election was held on August 14, 2018.[1]
Democratic-Farmer-Labor primary
Candidates
Nominated
- Amy Klobuchar, incumbent U.S. Senator[2]
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
Results
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Republican primary
Candidates
Nominated
- Jim Newberger, state representative[4] (Minnesota GOP convention endorsed)[5]
Eliminated in primary
- Merrill Anderson,[3] Past Candidate (Mayor of Minneapolis), Past Candidate (Governor of Minnesota)
- Rae Hart Anderson[3]
- Rocky De La Fuente, 2016 Reform Party Presidential Nominee and perennial candidate[3]
Declined
Endorsements
Results
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Minor parties and independents
Candidates
- Paula M. Overby (Green Party)[7]
- Dennis Schuller (Legal Marijuana Now Party)[8]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[9] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 26, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[10] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 1, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
| Fox News[12] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | July 9, 2018 |
| CNN[13] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | July 12, 2018 |
| RealClearPolitics[14] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Debates
On August 24, MPR News hosted a debate between Amy Klobuchar and Jim Newberger at the Minnesota State Fair.[15]
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of October 17, 2018 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate (party) | Total receipts | Total disbursements | Cash on hand |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Amy Klobuchar (D) | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align="right" |$10,139,499 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align="right" |$7,700,359 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align="right" |$5,086,325 |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Jim Newberger (R) | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align="right" |$210,846 | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align="right" |$191,815 | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align="right" |$19,030 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[16] | |||
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Amy Klobuchar (D) |
Jim Newberger (R) |
Paula Overby (G) |
Dennis Schuller (LMN) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research | November 2–4, 2018 | 953 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 55% | 40% | 2% | 3% | – | – |
| Research Co. | November 1–3, 2018 | 450 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% | 33% | – | – | 2% | 12% |
| SurveyUSA | October 29–31, 2018 | 600 | ± 5.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 57% | 34% | – | – | 1% | 7% |
| St. Cloud State University | October 15–30, 2018 | 420 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54% | 28% | – | – | – | |
| Mason-Dixon | October 15–17, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 56% | 33% | 2% | 2% | – | 8% |
| Change Research | October 12–13, 2018 | 1,413 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% | 41% | 2% | 5% | – | 2% |
| Marist College | September 30 – October 4, 2018 | 637 LV | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 60% | 32% | 4% | – | <1% | 4% |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 63% | 33% | – | – | <1% | 4% | ||||
| 860 RV | ± 4.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 59% | 32% | 5% | – | <1% | 5% | ||
| Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 62% | 33% | – | – | <1% | 5% | ||||
| Mason-Dixon | September 10–12, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 60% | 30% | 1% | 3% | – | 6% |
| SurveyUSA | September 6–8, 2018 | 574 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% | 38% | – | – | 2% | 8% |
| Suffolk University Шаблон:Webarchive | August 17–20, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54% | 34% | 1% | 1% | – | 11% |
| Emerson College Шаблон:Webarchive | August 8–11, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% | 26% | – | – | – | 24% |
| BK Strategies Шаблон:Webarchive | June 24–25, 2018 | 1,574 | ± 2.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 57% | 37% | – | – | – | 6% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BK Strategies (R) Шаблон:Webarchive | June 24–25, 2018 | 1,574 | ± 2.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% | 42% | 9% |
Results
Klobuchar won the election by a margin of 24.10%. She carried a clear majority of the state's 87 counties, won every congressional district, and had the biggest statewide margin of any statewide candidate in Minnesota in 2018. Klobuchar ran up huge margins in the state's population centers and trounced Newberger in the counties encompassing the Minneapolis-St. Paul area. As in her 2012 victory, she also won many rural counties. Klobuchar was sworn in for a third term on January 3, 2019.
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Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Morrison (largest city: Little Falls)
- Todd (largest city: Long Prairie)
- Jackson (largest city: Jackson)
- Faribault (largest city: Blue Earth)
- Nobles (largest city: Worthington)
- Martin (largest city: Fairmont)
- Cottonwood (largest city: Windom)
- Dodge (largest city: Kasson)
- Murray (largest city: Slayton)
- Lincoln (largest city: Tyler)
- Redwood (largest city: Redwood Falls)
- Brown (largest city: New Ulm)
- McLeod (largest city: Hutchinson)
- Meeker (largest city: Litchfield)
- Wright (largest city: Otsego)
- Sibley (largest city: Gaylord)
- Benton (largest city: Sauk Rapids)
- Sherburne (largest city: Elk River)
- Isanti (largest city: Cambridge)
- Chisago (largest city: North Branch)
- Mille Lacs (largest city: Princeton)
- Kanabec (largest city: Mora)
- Marshall (largest city: Warren)
- Lake of the Woods (largest city: Baudette)
- Roseau (largest city: Roseau)
- Clearwater (largest city: Bagley)
- Polk (largest city: East Grand Forks)
- Becker (largest city: Detroit Lakes)
- Douglas (largest city: Alexandria)
- Otter Tail (largest city: Fergus Falls)
- Cass (largest city: Lake Shore)
- Crow Wing (largest city: Brainerd)
- Hubbard (largest city: Park Rapids)
- Wadena (largest city: Wadena)
By congressional district
Klobuchar won all 8 congressional districts, including three that elected Republicans.[17]
Voter demographics
| Demographic subgroup | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Klobuchar | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Newberger | No Answer |
% of Voters |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gender | ||||
| Men | 54 | 45 | 1 | 46 |
| Women | 67 | 32 | 1 | 54 |
| Age | ||||
| 18–24 years old | 79 | 19 | 2 | 6 |
| 25–29 years old | 60 | 39 | 1 | 5 |
| 30–39 years old | 63 | 35 | 2 | 12 |
| 40–49 years old | 57 | 42 | 1 | 13 |
| 50–64 years old | 61 | 38 | 1 | 29 |
| 65 and older | 60 | 39 | 1 | 35 |
| Race | ||||
| White | 59 | 40 | 1 | 89 |
| Black | 86 | 12 | 2 | 5 |
| Latino | N/A | N/A | N/A | 3 |
| Asian | N/A | N/A | N/A | 2 |
| Other | N/A | N/A | N/A | 2 |
| Race by gender | ||||
| White men | 52 | 47 | 1 | 40 |
| White women | 65 | 34 | 1 | 49 |
| Black men | N/A | N/A | N/A | 3 |
| Black women | N/A | N/A | N/A | 2 |
| Latino men | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1 |
| Latino women | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1 |
| Others | N/A | N/A | N/A | 4 |
| Education | ||||
| High school or less | 59 | 40 | 1 | 17 |
| Some college education | 55 | 43 | 2 | 23 |
| Associate degree | 54 | 44 | 2 | 17 |
| Bachelor's degree | 66 | 34 | N/A | 26 |
| Advanced degree | 75 | 25 | N/A | 16 |
| Education and race | ||||
| White college graduates | 68 | 31 | 1 | 38 |
| White no college degree | 53 | 46 | 1 | 51 |
| Non-white college graduates | 79 | 20 | 1 | 4 |
| Non-white no college degree | 82 | 17 | 1 | 7 |
| Whites by education and gender | ||||
| White women with college degrees | 74 | 25 | 1 | 21 |
| White women without college degrees | 59 | 40 | 1 | 28 |
| White men with college degrees | 61 | 39 | N/A | 17 |
| White men without college degrees | 46 | 53 | 1 | 23 |
| Non-whites | 80 | 18 | 2 | 11 |
| Income | ||||
| Under $30,000 | 67 | 28 | 5 | 14 |
| $30,000–49,999 | 63 | 35 | 2 | 20 |
| $50,000–99,999 | 55 | 44 | 1 | 36 |
| $100,000–199,999 | 64 | 36 | N/A | 23 |
| Over $200,000 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 7 |
| Party ID | ||||
| Democrats | 98 | 2 | N/A | 39 |
| Republicans | 18 | 81 | 1 | 32 |
| Independents | 62 | 36 | 2 | 29 |
| Party by gender | ||||
| Democratic men | 96 | 4 | N/A | 14 |
| Democratic women | 99 | 1 | N/A | 25 |
| Republican men | 16 | 84 | N/A | 15 |
| Republican women | 20 | 78 | 2 | 17 |
| Independent men | 56 | 42 | 2 | 16 |
| Independent women | 69 | 29 | 2 | 13 |
| Ideology | ||||
| Liberals | 96 | 3 | 1 | 27 |
| Moderates | 76 | 23 | 1 | 39 |
| Conservatives | 17 | 82 | 1 | 33 |
| Marital status | ||||
| Married | 55 | 44 | 1 | 67 |
| Unmarried | 69 | 28 | 3 | 33 |
| Gender by marital status | ||||
| Married men | 51 | 47 | 2 | 31 |
| Married women | 58 | 42 | N/A | 36 |
| Unmarried men | 59 | 38 | 3 | 15 |
| Unmarried women | 79 | 19 | 2 | 18 |
| First-time midterm election voter | ||||
| Yes | 59 | 40 | 1 | 13 |
| No | 64 | 35 | 1 | 87 |
| Most important issue facing the country | ||||
| Health care | 78 | 20 | 2 | 50 |
| Immigration | 29 | 70 | 1 | 22 |
| Economy | 37 | 62 | 1 | 18 |
| Gun policy | N/A | N/A | N/A | 7 |
| Area type | ||||
| Urban | 73 | 26 | 1 | 40 |
| Suburban | 58 | 41 | 1 | 32 |
| Rural | 49 | 49 | 2 | 28 |
| Source: CNN[18] | ||||
Swing from 2012
See also
References
External links
- Elections & Voting - Minnesota Secretary of State
- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Campaign finance at FEC
- Campaign finance at OpenSecrets
- Official campaign websites
Шаблон:2018 United States elections Шаблон:Minnesota elections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
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- ↑ 3,0 3,1 3,2 3,3 3,4 3,5 3,6 Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
