Английская Википедия:2018 United States Senate election in Mississippi
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:About Шаблон:Use mdy dates
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsMS The 2018 United States Senate election in Mississippi took place on November 6, 2018, in order to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Mississippi. Incumbent Republican Roger Wicker was re-elected to a second full term, defeating his Democratic challenger, David Baria.
The candidate filing deadline was March 1, 2018, and the primary election was held on June 5, 2018, with a runoff on June 26 if a party's primary fails to produce a majority winner.[1] The race took place on the same day as the nonpartisan jungle primary for the other U.S. Senate seat in Mississippi, which was vacated by Thad Cochran in the spring of 2018.
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Roger Wicker, incumbent U.S. Senator[2]
- Richard Boyanton, businessman[3]
Withdrawn
- Chris McDaniel, state senator and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014[4][5][6][7][8] (running for the Class 2 U.S. Senate seat)[9][10]
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Roger Wicker |
Chris McDaniel |
Tate Reeves |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Triumph Campaigns | April 10–11, 2018 | 446 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 66% | 16% | – | 18% |
| JMC Analytics | February 15–17, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 38% | – | 15% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 47% |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 38% | 20% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 42% | ||||
| Mason-Dixon | December 13–15, 2017 | 400 | ± 5.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% | 33% | – | 18% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R-Wicker) | April 22–25, 2017 | 500 | ± 4.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 55% | 30% | – | 14% |
Results
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Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- David Baria, Mississippi House of Representatives Minority Leader[11]
- Jensen Bohren[12]
- Jerone Garland[13]
- Victor G. Maurice Jr.[13]
- Omeria Scott, state representative[14]
- Howard Sherman, businessman[15]
Declined
- Jeramey Anderson, state representative (running for MS-4)[16][17]
- Brandon Presley, chair of the Mississippi Public Service Commission[18][19]
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
David Baria |
Jensen Bohren |
Omeria Scott |
Howard Sherman |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Triumph Campaigns | April 10–11, 2018 | 446 | 7% | 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 9% | 2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 79% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
David Baria |
Chuck Espy |
Jim Hood |
Bennie Thompson |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Triumph Campaigns | January 29, 2018 | 2,145 | ± 1.8% | – | – | 33% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 20% |
| 10% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 34% | – | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 56% |
Results
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Runoff results
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Independents and third party candidates
Libertarian Party
Declared
Reform Party
Declared
- Shawn O'Hara, perennial candidate[13]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[20] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 26, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[21] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 1, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
| Fox News[23] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | July 9, 2018 |
| CNN[24] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | July 12, 2018 |
| RealClearPolitics[25] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | June 2018 |
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2018 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Total receipts | Total disbursements | Cash on hand |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Roger Wicker (R) | $5,349,028 | $3,831,418 | $3,138,044 |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|David Baria (D) | $532,629 | $528,325 | $72,922 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[26] | |||
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Roger Wicker (R) |
David Baria (D) |
Danny Bedwell (L) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research | November 2–4, 2018 | 1,003 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 40% | 5% | 3%[27] | – |
| Marist College | October 13–18, 2018 | 511 LV | ± 6.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 57% | 31% | 2% | 2%[28] | 9% |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 60% | 32% | – | 2% | 7% | ||||
| 856 RV | ± 4.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 54% | 30% | 3% | 2%[28] | 10% | ||
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 57% | 32% | – | 2% | 9% | ||||
| SurveyMonkey | September 9–24, 2018 | 985 | ± 4.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43% | 29% | – | – | 27% |
| Triumph Campaigns | July 30–31, 2018 | 2,100 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 53% | 32% | 1% | 2%[29] | 12% |
| Triumph Campaigns | April 10–11, 2018 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 31% | – | – | 21% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Copiah (Largest city: Hazlehurst)
- Panola (Largest city: Batesville)
- Pike (Largest city: McComb)
- Yazoo (Largest city: Yazoo City)
References
External links
- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Campaign finance at FEC
- Campaign finance at OpenSecrets
- Official campaign websites
Шаблон:2018 United States elections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
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- ↑ 13,0 13,1 13,2 13,3 Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
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- ↑ Shawn O'Hara (Reform) with 3%
- ↑ 28,0 28,1 Shawn O'Hara (Reform) with 1%, other with 1%
- ↑ Shawn O'Hara (Reform) with 2%
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