Английская Википедия:2018 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:For Шаблон:Distinguish Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox electionШаблон:Elections in Pennsylvania The 2018 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Pennsylvania, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. The primary elections were held on May 15.[1] Incumbent Democratic Senator Bob Casey Jr. ran for re-election to a third term.[2] Casey, who faced no primary opposition, defeated the Republican nominee, Lou Barletta,[3] Green Party nominee Neal Gale,[4] and Libertarian Party nominee Dale Kerns.[5] Casey was the first senator to be elected to a third term from Pennsylvania since Arlen Specter in 1992, and the first Pennsylvania Democrat to be popularly elected to three terms in the Senate.
Democratic primary
Candidates
On ballot
- Bob Casey Jr., incumbent U.S. Senator[6]
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box candidate unopposed with party link Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Republican primary
Candidates
On ballot
- Lou Barletta, U.S. Representative from Hazleton[7]
- Jim Christiana, state representative from Beaver[8]
Withdrew
- Paul Addis, businessman (running for PA-5)[9][10][11]
- Cynthia E. Ayers, cyber security consultant and former National Security Agency employee[11][12]
- Jeff Bartos, real estate developer (running for lieutenant governor)[13]
- Paul DeLong, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2004[11][14]
- Bobby Lawrence, small business owner (endorsed Dale Kerns)[11][15]
- Rick Saccone, state representative (ran for PA-18, ran for PA-14)[16]
- Andrew Shecktor, Berwick Borough Councilman (running for PA-9)[17][18]
Declined
- Mike Kelly, U.S. Representative[19]
- Pat Meehan, former U.S. Representative[20]
- Dave Reed, Majority Leader of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives[21]
Endorsements
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Lou Barletta |
Jim Christiana |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R-Christiana) | April 2018 | >400 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 32% | 11% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 58% |
Bellwether Research (R-Addis) | September 20–24, 2017 | 600 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 22% | – | <10% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 60% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Libertarian Party
Dale Kerns ran unopposed for the Libertarian nomination and received the official nomination from the Pennsylvania Libertarian Party at the state convention on March 6, 2018.[22]
Candidates
Nominee
- Dale Kerns, former Republican Eddystone Borough council member[23] and board of directors member for Goodwill Industries[5][11][24]
Green Party
Candidates
Nominee
- Neal Gale, clean energy consultant[4]
General election
Candidates
- Lou Barletta (R), U.S. Representative
- Bob Casey Jr. (D), incumbent senator
- Neal Gale (G), clean energy consultant
- Dale Kerns (L), former Eddystone Borough council member
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[25] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 26, 2018 |
Inside Elections[26] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[28] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Fox News[29]Шаблон:Efn | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
CNN[30] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics[31] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bob Casey Jr. (D) |
Lou Barletta (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research | November 2–4, 2018 | 1,833 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% | 44% | 3%[32] | – |
Research Co. | November 1–3, 2018 | 450 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 56% | 39% | 1% | 4% |
Muhlenberg College Шаблон:Webarchive | October 28 – November 1, 2018 | 421 | ± 5.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54% | 40% | – | – |
Franklin & Marshall College | October 22–28, 2018 | 214 LV | ± 9.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% | 35% | – | 14% |
537 RV | ± 6.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% | 31% | 4%[33] | 14% | ||
Morning Consult Шаблон:Webarchive | October 1–2, 2018 | 1,188 | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 32% | – | 21% |
Franklin & Marshall College | September 17–23, 2018 | 204 LV | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% | 33% | – | 15% |
545 RV | ± 6.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 30% | 4%[34] | 20% | ||
Ipsos | September 12–20, 2018 | 1,080 | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% | 37% | 3% | 7% |
Muhlenberg College | September 13–19, 2018 | 404 | ± 5.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% | 35% | 7%[35] | 6% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 12–13, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 52% | 38% | 2% | 8% |
Franklin & Marshall College | August 20–26, 2018 | 222 LV | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 34% | 1% | 19% |
511 RV | ± 6.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 29% | 3%[36] | 20% | ||
NBC News/Marist | August 12–16, 2018 | 713 | ± 4.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% | 38% | 1% | 8% |
Commonwealth Leaders Fund (R) | August 13–15, 2018 | 2,012 | ± 3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 45% | 2% | 6% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | June 11 – July 2, 2018 | 990 | ± 4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 55% | 41% | – | 5% |
Suffolk University Шаблон:Webarchive | June 21–25, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 32% | 1% | 21% |
Franklin & Marshall College | June 4–10, 2018 | 472 | ± 6.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% | 27% | 1% | 28% |
Muhlenberg College | April 4–12, 2018 | 414 | ± 5.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 32% | 8% | 18% |
Franklin & Marshall College | March 19–26, 2018 | 423 | ± 6.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 43% | 25% | 2% | 30% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care) | March 15–16, 2018 | 1,056 | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54% | 36% | – | 10% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | February 12 – March 5, 2018 | 2,165 | ± 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 52% | 43% | – | 5% |
- with Jim Christiana
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bob Casey Jr. (D) |
Jim Christiana (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Muhlenberg College | April 4–12, 2018 | 414 | ± 5.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 29% | 3% | 20% |
- with generic Democrat and Republican
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care) | March 15–16, 2018 | 1,056 | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% | 41% | 7% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Fayette (largest borough: Uniontown)
- Luzerne (largest city: Wilkes-Barre)
By congressional district
Bob Casey Jr won 11 of 18 congressional districts, including the 1st and 10th districts, which elected Republicans to the House.[37]
See also
- 2018 United States Senate elections
- 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania
- 2018 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election
References
External links
- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Campaign finance at FEC
- Campaign finance at OpenSecrets
- Official campaign websites
- Lou Barletta (R) for Senate
- Bob Casey (D) for Senate
- Dale Kerns (L) for Senate
- Neal Gale (G) for Senate
Шаблон:2018 United States elections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 4,0 4,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 5,0 5,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 11,0 11,1 11,2 11,3 11,4 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite webШаблон:Dead link
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Neal Gale (G) with 2%, Dale Kerns (L) with 1%
- ↑ Neal Gale (G) with 2%, Dale Kerns (L) with 1%; other with 1%
- ↑ Dale Kerns (L) with 2%, Neal Gale (G) with 1%; other with 1%
- ↑ Neal Gale (G) and Dale Kerns (L) with 2%, neither/other with 3%
- ↑ Dale Kerns (L) and Neal Gale (G) with 1%; other with 1%
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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