Английская Википедия:2018 Vermont gubernatorial election
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:For Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsVT
The 2018 Vermont gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the Governor of Vermont, concurrently with the election of Vermont's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Phil Scott, who was first elected in 2016, was re-elected to a second term in office.[1] Hallquist's 40.3% was also the worst performance for a Democratic Party candidate since 2008.
Despite initial expectations of a potentially close race due to national blue wave, Scott easily won reelection in what became a difficult year for Republicans, winning by 15 percentage points. As of 2022, this election marked the last time a Democratic candidate won a county in a gubernatorial election in Vermont.
Background
Along with New Hampshire, Vermont is one of only two states where governors are elected to two-year terms. Republican Phil Scott was elected in the 2016 election.[1]
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Phil Scott, incumbent governor[1]
Eliminated in primary
- Keith Stern, businessman, Republican candidate for U.S. Representative in 2010, Independent candidate for U.S. Representative in 2006, Independent candidate for U.S. Senator in 2004[2]
Endorsements
Debates and forums
- CCTV Channel 17 Republican Primary Forum for Governor 7/25/2018
- WCAX Democratic+Republican forum 7/31/2018
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box end
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominated
Eliminated in primary
- James Ehlers, executive director of Lake Champlain International and environmentalist[5]
- John S. Rodgers, current State Senator from Essex County, former State Representative, and construction business owner[6] (write-in candidate)
- Brenda Siegel, opioid epidemic and Brattleboro hurricane relief activist and worker, former community organizer for Bernie Sanders, southern Vermont nonprofit executive and founding director[7] (also ran in Progressive primary)
- Ethan Sonneborn, freshman in high school[8] who began his campaign when he was 13 years old.[9] The election was held a few weeks before he entered his freshman year of high school.[10] His campaign was focused on healthcare for all, the environment, economy, and education.[11] Had he won, he would have been the youngest governor in American history.[11] Vermont (as well as Kansas) does not have a minimum age requirement for governor.
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Debates and forums
- Brattleboro Community TV Democratic Gubernatorial Candidates Forum 6/6/2018
- CCTV Channel 17 Democratic Primary Forum for Governor hosted by VTDigger 8/2/2018
- WCAX Democratic+Republican forum 7/31/2018
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box end
With this result, Christine Hallquist became the first openly transgender candidate for governor nominated by a major political party in the United States.[12][13]
Progressive primary
Candidates
Eliminated in primary
Write-in
- Brenda Siegel (also ran in Democratic primary)
Endorsements
Debates and forums
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change[14] Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box end
Libertarian nomination
Candidates
Withdrawn
- Seth Cournoyer[15] (running for State Senate instead)
Liberty Union nomination
Candidates
Declared
Independents
Candidates
Declared
- Trevor Barlow, business and startup executive and founder, coach, as well as community and nonprofit board volunteer[16]
- Cris Ericson, activist and perennial candidate also ran for congress.
- Charles Laramie, activist, roofing architect, school teacher, United States Navy veteran, and Vermont Air National Guard[17]
- Stephen Marx, environmentalist
Write-in
Withdrawn
- Joseph Barney, auto and agricultural mechanic, member of the Vermont Army National Guard, and school teacher[22]
General election
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 17, 2018
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[23] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 26, 2018 |
| The Washington Post[24] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
| FiveThirtyEight[25] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[26] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 1, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
| RealClearPolitics[28] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[29] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
| Fox News[30]Шаблон:Efn | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
| Politico[31] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
| Governing[32] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Phil Scott (R) |
Christine Hallquist (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravis Marketing | October 30 – November 1, 2018 | 885 | ± 3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% | 39% | – | 12% |
| Braun Research | October 5–14, 2018 | 495 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 42% | 28% | 7%[33] | 22% |
| Tulchin Research (D-Vermont Democratic Party) Шаблон:Webarchive | September 23–26, 2018 | 406 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | 42% | – | – |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Chittenden (largest municipality: Burlington)
- Windsor (largest municipality: Hartford)
References
External links
- Official campaign websites
- Trevor Barlow (I) for Governor
- Joseph Barney (I) for Governor
- Christine Hallquist (D) for Governor
- Charles Laramie (I) for Governor
- Phil Scott (R) for Governor
Шаблон:2018 United States elections
- ↑ 1,0 1,1 1,2 Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ Ошибка цитирования Неверный тег
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- ↑ 16,0 16,1 Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite webШаблон:Dead link
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Trevor Barlow (I), Cris Ericson (I), Charles Laramie (I), and Emily Peyton (LU) with 1%; none/write in/other with 3%
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