Английская Википедия:2018 XB4

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Шаблон:Infobox planet

Шаблон:Mp (also written 2018 XB4) is an Apollo near-Earth asteroid roughly Шаблон:Convert in diameter. It was discovered on 13 December 2018 when the asteroid was about Шаблон:Convert from Earth and had a solar elongation of 146°. It passed closest approach to Earth on 1 January 2019.[1] Of the asteroids discovered in 2018, it had the highest Palermo scale rating at –3.6. In mid-2019 it was recovered which extended the observation arc to 177 days and was removed from the Sentry Risk Table on 12 June 2019. It is now known that on 22 June 2092 the asteroid will pass about Шаблон:Val from Earth.[1]

With a 42-day observation arc, the Sentry Risk Table showed an estimated 1 in 6200 chance of the asteroid impacting Earth on 22 June 2092.[2] The nominal JPL Horizons 22 June 2092 Earth distance was Шаблон:Convert with a 3-sigma uncertainty of ±320 million kilometers. A Monte Carlo simulation using Solex 12 with 1000 clones of the asteroid showed that by 2092 the uncertainty region for Шаблон:Mp stretched around the entire orbit.[3] NEODyS listed the nominal 22 June 2092 Earth distance as Шаблон:Convert.[4]


References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Шаблон:Use dmy dates Шаблон:2019 in space Шаблон:Small Solar System bodies

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  3. Solex clones (Peter Thomas)
  4. Ошибка цитирования Неверный тег <ref>; для сносок NEODyS2092 не указан текст