Английская Википедия:2019 European Parliament election in Germany

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:EngvarB Шаблон:Use dmy dates Шаблон:Infobox legislative election The 2019 European Parliament election in Germany was held on 26 May 2019, electing the 96 members of the national Germany constituency to the European Parliament. Both the CDU/CSU and SPD suffered major losses, while the Greens became the second largest party in a national-level election for the first time in German history.

Background

The 2019 European Parliament election was first national election to be held in Germany since the 2017 federal election, in which Chancellor Angela Merkel's ruling coalition between the Christian Democrats and Social Democrats suffered major losses, while the right-wing, Eurosceptic party Alternative for Germany (AfD) entered parliament in third place. In 2018, the Greens and the AfD made large gains in state elections in Bavaria and Hesse, with the Greens moving into second place in each, whilst the Christian Democrats and Social Democrats each suffered 10+ point swings. Federal polling saw the Greens take a consistent lead over the SPD since October.

Electoral threshold

Since the 2014 European Parliament election, Germany does not have a formal threshold of the vote share required in order for a party to win an EP seat. This has allowed a number of smaller parties to gain representation, since they only have to reach about 0.5% of the vote share needed to get their first seat with the Webster/Sainte-Laguë method.

Although the European Council had recommended that countries with greater than 35 MEPs should introduce a threshold between 2–5%, the German government abandoned its plans for a 2% threshold in November 2018.[1]

Opinion polls

Graphical summary

Файл:Opinion polling for the 2019 European Parliament election in Germany.svg

Federal level

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Union SPD Grüne Linke AfD FDP Others Lead
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"|
2019 European election 26 May 2019 28.9 15.8 20.5 5.5 11.0 5.4 12.9 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 8.4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 20–23 May 2019 1,779 28 17.5 18.5 6.5 12 5.5 12 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 9.5
Ipsos 17–23 May 2019 2,072 27 17 18 7 12 6 13 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 9
Civey 15–22 May 2019 5,053 29.1 15.9 18.1 7.2 12.3 6.3 11.1 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 11.0
INSA 16–20 May 2019 2,875 28 15.5 18 7 12 8 11.5 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 10
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 14–16 May 2019 1,313 30 17 19 7 12 5 10 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 11
Infratest dimap 14–15 May 2019 1,001 28 17 17 7 12 7 12 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 11
Civey 7–14 May 2019 5,043 30.4 16.9 18.2 7.1 10.7 7.2 9.5 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 12.2
INSA 10–13 May 2019 2,044 28 15 18 8 12 7.5 11.5 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 10
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 7–9 May 2019 1,357 32 16 19 6 12 6 9 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 13
INSA 3–6 May 2019 2,089 28 15 19 8 13 7 10 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 9
Infratest dimap 29–30 Apr 2019 1,505 29 19 19 7 10 7 9 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 10
Civey 22–29 Apr 2019 5,013 31.6 16.2 17.3 6.7 11.4 8.3 8.5 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 14.3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 9–11 Apr 2019 1,282 32 18 19 6 10 7 8 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 13
Infratest dimap 1–3 Apr 2019 1,503 30 17 19 7 11 7 9 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 11
INSA 28 Mar–1 Apr 2019 4,000 29 16 16 8 12 8 11 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 13
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 25–27 Mar 2019 1,325 33 18 18 6 10 7 8 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 15
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12–14 Mar 2019 1,290 35 18 18 6 9 7 7 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 17
Infratest dimap 11–13 Mar 2019 1,508 32 19 18 7 11 6 7 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 13
INSA 27 Feb–1 Mar 2019 4,000 29 16 15 9 12 9.5 9.5 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 13
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 19–21 Feb 2019 1,226 33 18 19 8 10 6 6 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 14
Infratest dimap 11–13 Feb 2019 1,503 33 18 19 6 10 7 7 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 14
INSA 25–28 Jan 2019 2,056 30 15 17 8 12 8 10 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 13
Forsa 9–11 Jan 2019 1,505 35 15 20 6 10 8 6 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 15
INSA 8–10 Dec 2018 2,047 30 16.5 17.5 9.5 14.5 9 3 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 12.5
INSA 19–22 Oct 2018 1,260 27 16 20 10 16 8 3 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 11
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 32.9 20.5 8.9 9.2 12.6 10.7 5.0 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 12.4
2014 European election 25 May 2014 35.4 27.3 10.7 7.4 7.1 3.4 8.9 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 8.1

By state

Baden-Württemberg

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
CDU SPD Grüne AfD FDP Linke Others Lead
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"|
2019 European election 26 May 2019 30.8 13.3 23.3 10.0 6.8 3.1 12.7 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 7.5
Infratest dimap 9–14 May 2019 1,003 31 15 23 10 7 3 11 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 8
INSA 10–13 May 2019 505 28 12 20 12 9 5 14 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 8
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 34.4 16.4 13.5 12.2 12.7 6.4 4.5 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 18.0
2016 state election 13 Mar 2016 27.0 12.7 30.3 15.1 8.3 2.9 3.7 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-3.3"| 3.3
2014 European election 25 May 2014 39.3 23.0 13.2 7.9 4.1 3.6 8.9 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 16.3

Bavaria

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
CSU SPD Grüne AfD FW FDP Linke Others Lead
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"|
2019 European election 26 May 2019 40.7 9.3 19.1 8.5 5.3 3.4 2.4 11.3 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 21.6
GMS 16–22 May 2019 1,003 39 11 19 11 4 5 3 8 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 20
GMS 2–8 May 2019 1,005 40 12 18 10 5 6 3 6 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 22
Infratest dimap 2–6 May 2019 1,000 39 11 18 9 4 4 3 12 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 21
GMS 28 Mar–3 Apr 2019 1,000 39 11 18 13 5 6 3 5 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 21
Infratest dimap 14–18 Mar 2019 1,001 41 12 19 10 5 5 3 5 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 22
GMS 21–27 Feb 2019 1,006 36 11 17 14 5 7 4 6 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 19
GMS 27 Dec–2 Jan 2019 1,003 36 10 18 13 5 8 4 6 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 18
2018 state election 14 Oct 2018 37.2 9.7 17.6 10.2 11.6 5.1 3.2 5.4 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 19.6
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 38.8 15.3 9.8 12.4 2.7 10.2 6.1 4.8 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 23.5
2014 European election 25 May 2014 40.5 20.1 12.1 8.1 4.3 3.1 2.9 9.0 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 20.4

Berlin

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SPD CDU Grüne Linke AfD FDP Others Lead
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"|
2019 European election 26 May 2019 14.0 15.2 27.8 11.9 9.9 4.7 16.5 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-5"| 12.6
Infratest dimap 30 Apr–4 May 2019 1,000 13 18 23 16 10 5 15 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-5"| 5
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 17.9 22.7 12.6 18.8 12.0 8.9 7.1 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-3.9"| 3.9
2016 state election 18 Sep 2016 21.6 17.6 15.2 15.6 14.2 6.7 9.2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 3.9
2014 European election 25 May 2014 24.0 20.0 19.1 16.2 7.9 2.8 10.0 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 4.0

Hesse

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
CDU SPD Grüne AfD Linke FDP Others Lead
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"|
2019 European election 26 May 2019 25.8 18.4 23.4 9.9 4.4 6.4 11.7 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 2.4
Infratest dimap 16–24 Apr 2019 1,001 27 19 21 12 4 8 9 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 6
2018 state election 28 Oct 2018 27.0 19.8 19.8 13.1 6.3 7.5 6.5 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 7.2
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 30.9 23.5 9.7 11.9 8.1 11.5 4.4 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 7.3
2014 European election 25 May 2014 30.6 30.3 12.9 9.1 5.6 4.1 7.3 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 0.3

Rhineland-Palatinate

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
CDU SPD Grüne AfD FDP Linke FW Others Lead
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"|
2019 European election 26 May 2019 31.3 21.3 16.7 9.8 5.8 3.1 2.9 9.1 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 10.0
Infratest dimap 8–13 May 2019 1,000 31 21 18 9 8 4 9 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 10
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 35.9 24.1 7.6 11.2 10.4 6.8 1.4 2.6 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 11.7
2016 state election 13 Mar 2016 31.8 36.2 5.3 12.6 6.2 2.8 2.2 2.8 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-4.4"| 4.4
2014 European election 25 May 2014 38.4 30.7 8.1 6.7 3.7 3.7 2.0 6.7 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 7.7

Saarland

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
CDU SPD AfD Linke Grüne FDP Others Lead
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"|
2019 European election 26 May 2019 32.5 23.1 9.6 6.0 13.2 3.7 11.9 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 9.4
Infratest dimap 29 Apr–6 May 2019 1,000 34 23 7 9 14 4 9 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 11
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 32.4 27.1 10.1 12.9 6.0 7.6 3.9 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 5.2
2017 state election 26 Mar 2017 40.7 29.6 6.2 12.8 4.0 3.3 3.4 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 11.1
2014 European election 25 May 2014 34.9 34.4 6.8 6.6 6.0 2.2 9.0 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 0.5

Results

Шаблон:Election results

Results by state

Results for each party by state.[2]

State Union Grüne SPD AfD Linke FDP Others
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"|
Шаблон:Flag 30.8 23.3 13.3 10.0 3.1 6.8 12.7
Шаблон:Flag 40.7 19.1 9.3 8.5 2.4 3.4 16.6
Шаблон:Flag 15.2 27.8 14.0 9.9 11.9 4.7 16.5
Шаблон:Flag 18.0 12.3 17.2 19.9 12.3 4.4 15.9
Шаблон:Flag 21.8 22.7 24.5 7.7 7.9 4.7 10.7
Шаблон:Flag 17.7 31.2 19.8 6.5 7.0 5.6 12.2
Шаблон:Flag 25.8 23.4 18.4 9.9 4.4 6.4 11.7
Шаблон:Flag 24.5 10.8 15.6 17.7 13.9 3.9 13.6
Шаблон:Flag 29.9 22.6 20.9 7.9 3.8 5.0 9.9
Шаблон:Flag 27.9 23.2 19.2 8.5 4.2 6.7 10.3
Шаблон:Flag 31.3 16.7 21.3 9.8 3.1 5.8 12.0
Шаблон:Flag 32.5 13.2 23.1 9.6 6.0 3.7 11.9
Шаблон:Flag 23.0 10.3 8.6 25.3 11.7 4.7 16.4
Шаблон:Flag 23.2 9.2 12.5 20.4 14.4 4.9 15.4
Шаблон:Flag 26.2 29.1 17.1 7.4 3.7 5.9 10.6
Шаблон:Flag 24.7 8.6 11.0 22.5 13.8 4.4 15.0

Maps

Файл:Second party Germany 2019.png
The second party in each federal State.

Post-poll alliance

EPP S&D RE G-EFA ID ECR GUE/NGL NI Шаблон:Flagicon
Total
23 (CDU)
6 (CSU)
16 (SPD) 5 (FDP)
2 (FW)
21 (Шаблон:Lang)
2 (Шаблон:Lang)
1 (ÖDP)
1 (Volt)
1 (Шаблон:Lang)
11 (AfD) 1 (Шаблон:Lang) 5 (Linke)
1 (Шаблон:Lang)
96

Elected MEPs

Шаблон:Main

Notes


References

Шаблон:Reflist

Шаблон:2019 elections in Germany Шаблон:European Parliament elections Шаблон:German elections