Английская Википедия:2019 Kentucky gubernatorial election

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:See also Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsKY The 2019 Kentucky gubernatorial election took place on November 5, 2019, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Kentucky.[1] The Democratic nominee, Kentucky Attorney General Andy Beshear, defeated Republican incumbent Matt Bevin by just over 5,000 votes, or 0.37%, making this the closest gubernatorial election in Kentucky since 1899 by total votes, and the closest since 1915 by percentage.[2] It was also the closest race of the 2019 gubernatorial election cycle.

Beshear won by 0.37 percentage points, receiving 49.20% of the vote to Bevin's 48.83%.[3] Bevin won 97 counties, while Beshear won 23 counties.[4] Beshear also carried only two of the state's six congressional districts, but those districts were the state's two most urbanized, the Louisville-based 3rd and the Lexington-based 6th.[5]

Beshear won with overwhelming support in Louisville and Lexington, Kentucky's two main population hubs, and their suburbs, as well as major vote swings in the Republican-leaning Cincinnati suburbs and lackluster performance by Bevin in counties that had swung heavily towards Republicans, particularly the coal country of Eastern Kentucky, where Beshear won multiple counties that overwhelmingly voted Republican in 2016, but were traditionally Democratic.[6] Voter turnout was high across the state compared to past Kentucky elections, with a statewide turnout of about 42%. Fayette County (Lexington) saw a 20% increase in voter turnout, and Beshear received over twice as many votes in the county than the 2015 Democratic nominee for governor, Jack Conway. Unusually high turnout was seen as a major factor in Beshear's win.[7]

Beshear's win coincided with Democratic momentum nationwide in elections in 2017, 2018, and 2019, following the election of Donald Trump in 2016.[8] However, Republicans won all other statewide offices in Kentucky, including the attorney general and secretary of state offices which Democrats had held going into the election.[9]

Bevin conceded on November 14,[10] after a recanvass took place that day[11][10][12] that did not change the vote count.[10] Libertarian John Hicks also qualified for the ballot and received 2% of the vote. Statewide turnout was just over 42%,[7] much higher than for the 2015 gubernatorial election.

Background

Major-party primary elections occurred on May 21, 2019.[13] Incumbent Republican Governor Matt Bevin was renominated by the Republican Party. Kentucky Attorney General Andy Beshear won the Democratic nomination with 37.9% of the vote in a three-way contest, in which due to his father he had the greatest name recognition.[14][15][16][17]

Bevin announced on January 25, 2019, that he would run for a second term, choosing State Senator Ralph Alvarado as his running mate over incumbent Lieutenant Governor Jenean Hampton.[18] No Republican governor of Kentucky has ever been elected to more than one term, even after the state's constitutional prohibition of governors serving consecutive terms was repealed in 1992. The only Republican before Bevin to run for reelection, Ernie Fletcher, was defeated by Democrat Steve Beshear in 2007 (Steve Beshear is the father of Bevin's Democratic challenger, Andy). Bevin was the second Republican governor of Kentucky in the last 50 years. Andy Beshear was the first governor of Kentucky to be a direct relative of a former governor.

Beshear had the support of 2020 Senate candidate Amy McGrath, his father and former governor Steve Beshear, former governor Paul Patton, and representative and primary challenger Rocky Adkins, all well-known Democrats in the state. Bevin had the support of President Donald Trump, who remained relatively popular in the state, particularly in rural areas. Trump and US Senator Rand Paul held a rally in support of Bevin and Republican Attorney General nominee Daniel Cameron the day before the election. Many considered the decisive factor in this election whether voters would vote based on local issues, as Bevin and his policies were deeply unpopular,[19] or as a referendum on Trump, with whom Bevin closely aligned. The former would be more favorable for Democrats, the latter for Republicans.

Bevin was the least popular governor in the United States, with a 33% approval rating in April 2019.[20][21][22]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
Matt
Bevin
Robert
Goforth
Ike
Lawrence
William
Woods
Undecided
Cygnal May 10–12, 2019 600 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 56% 18% 2% 1% 23%

Results

Файл:2019 Kentucky gubernatorial election Republican primary results map by county.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
Rocky
Adkins
Andy
Beshear
Adam
Edelen
Undecided
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua April 15–18, 2019 601 ± 4.0% 17% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 44% 16% 23%
ALG Research (D) Шаблон:WebarchiveШаблон:Efn-ua April 11–15, 2019 500 22% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 43% 23%
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua February 4–7, 2019 603 ± 4.0% 17% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 55% 7% 21%

Results

Файл:2019 Kentucky gubernatorial election Democratic primary results map by county.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Other candidates

Libertarian Convention

The Libertarian Party of Kentucky is currently recognized as a "political organization" under state law, a status that grants the party ballot access, but denies it a state-operated primary. Libertarian candidates were nominated at the party's nominating convention, held in March 2019.[44][45]

Nominated

  • John Hicks, IT consultant[46][44]
    • Running mate: Ann Cormican, factory worker[46][44]

Write-in

Declared

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[49] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 15, 2019
Inside Elections[50] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 8, 2019
Sabato's Crystal Ball[51] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 8, 2019

Debates

Dates Location Bevin Beshear Hicks Link
July 17, 2019 Louisville Participant Participant Not Invited Full debateKentucky Farm Bureau
October 3, 2019 Paducah Participant Participant Not Invited Full debateCourier-Journal
October 15, 2019 Lexington Participant Participant Not Invited Full debate – Courier-Journal
October 26, 2019 Louisville Participant Participant Not Invited Full debateWLKY
October 29, 2019 Highland Heights Participant Participant Not Invited Full debateWLWT

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Graphical summary

Шаблон:Graph:Chart

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
Matt
Bevin (R)
Andy
Beshear (D)
John
Hicks (L)
Undecided
NBC News/Marist October 30 – November 3, 2019 564 (LV) ± 5.2% 47% 47% 2% 4%
The Trafalgar Group (R) October 29 – November 2, 2019 1,117 (LV) ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 52% 47% 1% 0%
Targoz Market Research (D) October 13–20, 2019 401 (LV) ± 4.2% 36% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 55% 4% 6%
Mason-Dixon October 10–13, 2019 625 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 46% 1% 7%
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua August 19–22, 2019 501 (LV) ± 4.4% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 48% 6% 7%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua August 12–13, 2019 792 (LV) ± 3.3% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 48% 5% 4%
Gravis Marketing (R) June 11–12, 2019 741 (LV) ± 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 48% 42% 10%
Lake Research Partners (D) June 4–11, 2019 500 (RV) ± 4% 36% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51%
Mason-Dixon December 12–15, 2018 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 48% 12%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

with Rocky Adkins
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
Matt
Bevin (R)
Rocky
Adkins (D)
Undecided
Mason-Dixon December 12–15, 2018 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 42% 17%
with Alison Lundergan Grimes
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
Matt
Bevin (R)
Шаблон:Nowrap
Grimes (D)
Undecided
Mason-Dixon December 12–15, 2018 625 (RV) ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 47% 46% 7%
with generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
Matt
Bevin (R)
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua May 6–7, 2019 676 ± 3.8% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 49% 11%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box gain with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Results by congressional district

Beshear won despite carrying only two of the state's six congressional districts, swamping Bevin in the 3rd and 6th districts, which encompass Kentucky's two urban centers, Louisville and Lexington, and their close-in suburbs. Bevin narrowly carried the state's other urbanized district, the Northern Kentucky-based 4th, and won handily in the more rural the 1st, 2nd and 5th districts.[52]

District PVI Andy
Beshear
Matt
Bevin
John
Hicks
Incumbent
Representative
Шаблон:Ushr Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|R+23 38.67% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|59.34% 1.99% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|James Comer
Шаблон:Ushr Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|R+19 43.99% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|53.84% 2.17% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Brett Guthrie
Шаблон:Ushr Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|D+6 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|67.74% 30.75% 1.50% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|John Yarmuth
Шаблон:Ushr Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|R+18 45.43% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|52.39% 2.18% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Thomas Massie
Шаблон:Ushr Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|R+31 37.33% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|60.45% 2.22% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Hal Rogers
Шаблон:Ushr Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|R+9 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|55.88% 42.25% 1.87% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Andy Barr

Results by county

County Andy Beshear Matt Bevin John Hicks Write-in Margin Total
votes
% # % # % # % # % #
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Adair 28.65% 1,626 69.53% 3,946 1.74% 99 0.07% 4 -40.88% -2,320 5,675
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Allen 31.06% 1,649 67.13% 3,564 1.81% 96 0.00% 0 -36.07% -1,915 5,309
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Anderson 41.50% 3,978 56.12% 5,380 2.37% 227 0.00% 0 -14.62% -1,402 9,585
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Ballard 32.90% 1,012 65.34% 2,010 1.76% 54 0.00% 0 -32.44% -998 3,076
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Barren 39.91% 5,280 58.15% 7,693 1.94% 256 0.00% 0 -18.24% -2,413 13,229
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Bath 51.98% 1,886 46.09% 1,672 1.93% 70 0.00% 0 5.89% 214 3,628
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Bell 36.54% 2,013 61.68% 3,398 1.78% 98 0.00% 0 -25.14% -1,385 5,509
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Boone 41.42% 16,947 56.21% 23,000 2.37% 970 0.00% 1 -14.79% -6,053 40,918
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Bourbon 48.10% 3,323 50.12% 3,463 1.78% 123 0.00% 0 -2.02% -140 6,909
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Boyd 51.76% 6,989 45.79% 6,182 2.45% 331 0.00% 0 5.97% 807 13,502
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Boyle 49.03% 5,099 49.07% 5,103 1.90% 198 0.00% 0 -0.04% -4 10,400
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Bracken 41.98% 1,063 53.99% 1,367 4.03% 102 0.00% 0 -12.01% -304 2,532
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Breathitt 50.21% 1,889 48.38% 1,820 1.41% 53 0.00% 0 1.83% 69 3,762
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Breckinridge 40.53% 2,775 56.92% 3,897 2.56% 175 0.00% 0 -16.39% -1,122 6,847
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Bullitt 42.56% 11,275 54.80% 14,517 2.64% 700 0.00% 1 -12.24% -3,242 26,493
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Butler 29.99% 1,134 68.08% 2,574 1.93% 73 0.00% 0 -38.09% -1,440 3,781
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Caldwell 34.12% 1,510 64.25% 2,843 1.63% 72 0.00% 0 -30.13% -1,333 4,425
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Calloway 43.90% 5,160 53.97% 6,344 2.14% 251 0.00% 0 -10.07% -1,184 11,755
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Campbell 51.78% 16,352 46.20% 14,587 2.02% 638 0.00% 0 5.58% 1,765 31,577
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Carlisle 27.93% 529 70.27% 1,331 1.80% 34 0.00% 0 -42.34% -802 1,894
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Carroll 45.14% 1,184 52.38% 1,374 2.48% 65 0.00% 0 -7.24% -190 2,623
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Carter 50.43% 3,732 46.51% 3,442 3.07% 227 0.00% 0 3.92% 290 7,401
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Casey 25.14% 1,208 73.47% 3,530 1.37% 66 0.02% 1 -48.33% -2,322 4,805
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Christian 42.14% 6,023 55.79% 7,974 2.07% 296 0.00% 0 -13.65% -1,951 14,293
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Clark 45.58% 5,876 52.57% 6,777 1.85% 238 0.00% 0 -6.99% -901 12,891
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Clay 28.10% 1,298 69.82% 3,225 2.08% 96 0.00% 0 -41.72% -1,927 4,619
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Clinton 24.86% 692 73.53% 2,047 1.62% 45 0.00% 0 -48.67% -1,355 2,784
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Crittenden 30.96% 916 66.81% 1,977 2.23% 66 0.00% 0 -35.85% -1,061 2,959
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Cumberland 25.74% 503 72.57% 1,418 1.69% 33 0.00% 0 -46.83% -915 1,954
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Daviess 47.02% 16,012 50.62% 17,238 2.36% 805 0.00% 0 -3.60% -1,226 34,055
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Edmonson 37.12% 1,383 61.30% 2,284 1.58% 59 0.00% 0 -24.18% -901 3,726
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Elliott 59.27% 1,148 38.56% 747 2.17% 42 0.00% 0 20.71% 401 1,937
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Estill 39.10% 1,617 58.68% 2,427 2.20% 91 0.02% 1 -19.58% -810 4,136
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Fayette 65.51% 73,397 32.95% 36,915 1.53% 1,719 0.00% 4 32.56% 36,482 112,035
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Fleming 38.40% 1,807 59.88% 2,818 1.72% 81 0.00% 0 -21.48% -1,011 4,706
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Floyd 52.56% 5,903 44.95% 5,048 2.48% 279 0.00% 0 7.61% 855 11,230
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Franklin 61.51% 12,888 36.13% 7,570 2.53% 493 0.00% 0 25.38% 5,318 21,230
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Fulton 40.23% 589 58.54% 857 1.23% 18 0.00% 0 -18.31% -268 1,464
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Gallatin 39.99% 871 56.84% 1,238 3.17% 69 0.00% 0 -16.85% -367 2,178
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Garrard 34.56% 2,004 63.39% 3,676 2.05% 119 0.00% 0 -28.83% -1,672 5,799
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Grant 35.19% 2,261 62.41% 4,010 2.40% 154 0.00% 0 -27.22% -1,749 6,425
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Graves 32.90% 4,214 64.64% 8,278 2.46% 315 0.00% 0 -31.74% -4,064 12,807
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Grayson 32.20% 2,621 65.34% 5,319 2.47% 201 0.00% 0 -33.14% -2,698 8,141
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Green 26.19% 997 72.05% 2,743 1.76% 67 0.00% 0 -45.86% -1,746 3,807
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Greenup 45.29% 5,102 52.41% 5,905 2.30% 259 0.00% 0 -7.12% -803 11,266
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Hancock 51.75% 1,891 45.16% 1,650 3.09% 113 0.00% 0 6.59% 241 3,654
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Hardin 46.47% 14,524 51.25% 16,018 2.27% 710 0.00% 0 -4.78% -1,494 31,252
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Harlan 28.85% 1,867 69.05% 4,468 2.10% 136 0.00% 0 -40.20% -2,601 6,471
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Harrison 42.91% 2,535 55.06% 3,253 2.03% 120 0.00% 0 -12.15% -718 5,908
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Hart 37.99% 1,997 59.80% 3,143 2.21% 116 0.00% 0 -21.81% -1,146 5,256
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Henderson 51.25% 6,863 47.07% 6,303 1.68% 225 0.00% 0 4.18% 560 13,391
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Henry 42.23% 2,325 55.77% 3,070 2.00% 110 0.00% 0 -13.54% -745 5,505
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Hickman 30.01% 469 68.59% 1,072 1.41% 22 0.00% 0 -38.58% -603 1,563
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Hopkins 39.23% 5,411 58.56% 8,077 2.20% 304 0.00% 0 -19.33% -2,666 13,792
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Jackson 18.50% 749 79.38% 3,214 2.12% 86 0.00% 0 -60.88% -2,465 4,049
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Jefferson 66.99% 186,561 31.51% 87,740 1.50% 4,171 0.00% 7 35.48% 98,821 278,479
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Jessamine 43.04% 8,102 55.05% 10,363 1.91% 360 0.01% 1 -12.01% -2,261 18,826
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Johnson 35.53% 2,304 61.51% 3,988 2.96% 192 0.00% 0 -25.98% -1,684 6,484
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Kenton 49.48% 25,479 48.42% 24,936 2.10% 1,082 0.00% 1 1.06% 543 51,498
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Knott 49.38% 2,096 48.34% 2,052 2.17% 92 0.12% 5 1.04% 44 4,245
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Knox 32.52% 2,658 65.41% 5,346 2.07% 169 0.00% 0 -32.89% -2,688 8,173
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Larue 37.11% 1,744 60.32% 2,835 2.57% 121 0.00% 0 -23.21% -1,091 4,700
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Laurel 26.55% 4,722 71.22% 12,667 2.23% 397 0.00% 0 -44.67% -7,945 17,786
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Lawrence 37.85% 1,515 60.38% 2,417 1.77% 71 0.00% 0 -22.53% -902 4,003
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Lee 33.04% 675 64.66% 1,321 2.30% 47 0.00% 0 -31.62% -646 2,043
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Leslie 22.51% 680 75.79% 2,289 2.37% 51 0.00% 0 -53.28% -1,609 3,020
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Letcher 44.85% 2,626 52.76% 3,089 2.37% 139 0.02% 1 -7.91% -463 5,855
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Lewis 27.28% 948 69.76% 2,424 2.96% 103 0.00% 0 -42.48% -1,476 3,475
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Lincoln 35.82% 2,558 62.03% 4,430 2.16% 154 0.00% 0 -26.21% -1,872 7,142
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Livingston 36.03% 1,205 62.32% 2,084 1.64% 55 0.00% 0 -26.29% -879 3,344
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Logan 38.29% 2,911 59.52% 4,525 2.18% 166 0.00% 0 -21.23% -1,614 7,602
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Lyon 40.75% 1,253 57.85% 1,779 1.40% 43 0.00% 0 -17.10% -526 3,075
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Madison 48.96% 15,017 48.72% 14,943 2.30% 705 0.03% 8 0.24% 74 30,673
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Magoffin 53.57% 1,968 44.34% 1,629 2.10% 77 0.00% 0 9.23% 339 3,674
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Marion 52.05% 3,155 45.98% 2,787 1.96% 119 0.00% 0 6.07% 368 6,061
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Marshall 38.21% 4,834 59.49% 7,526 2.29% 290 0.00% 0 -21.28% -2,692 12,650
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Martin 25.12% 554 72.38% 1,596 2.49% 55 0.00% 0 -47.26% -1,042 2,205
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Mason 44.25% 2,246 53.57% 2,719 2.19% 111 0.00% 0 -9.32% -473 5,076
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|McCracken 41.60% 9,695 56.87% 13,252 1.52% 355 0.00% 1 -15.27% -3,557 23,303
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|McCreary 28.82% 1,340 68.42% 3,181 2.71% 126 0.04% 2 -39.60% -1,841 4,649
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|McLean 38.02% 1,357 59.32% 2,117 2.66% 95 0.00% 0 -21.30% -760 3,569
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Meade 44.18% 3,984 53.09% 4,787 2.73% 246 0.00% 0 -8.91% -803 9,017
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Menifee 45.32% 959 52.60% 1,113 2.08% 44 0.00% 0 -7.28% -154 2,116
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Mercer 42.10% 3,541 56.09% 4,718 1.81% 152 0.00% 0 -13.99% -1,177 8,411
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Metcalfe 38.73% 1,495 58.65% 2,264 2.62% 101 0.00% 0 -19.92% -769 3,860
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Monroe 24.76% 837 73.43% 2,482 1.80% 61 0.00% 0 -48.67% -1,645 3,380
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Montgomery 44.59% 3,934 53.78% 4,745 1.63% 144 0.00% 0 -9.19% -811 8,823
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Morgan 46.01% 1,726 51.43% 1,929 2.56% 96 0.00% 0 -5.42% -203 3,751
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Muhlenberg 46.03% 4,019 52.12% 4,551 1.83% 160 0.02% 2 -6.09% -532 8,732
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Nelson 48.51% 7,387 49.32% 7,511 2.17% 331 0.00% 0 -0.81% -124 15,229
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Nicholas 49.49% 1,157 48.50% 1,134 2.01% 47 0.00% 0 0.99% 23 2,338
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Ohio 40.29% 2,877 56.57% 4,040 3.14% 224 0.00% 0 -16.28% -1,163 7,141
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Oldham 46.32% 12,115 51.57% 13,488 2.11% 551 0.00% 0 -5.25% -1,373 26,154
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Owen 38.54% 1,419 59.61% 2,195 1.85% 68 0.00% 0 -21.07% -776 3,682
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Owsley 29.43% 402 68.23% 932 2.34% 32 0.00% 0 -38.80% -530 1,366
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Pendleton 36.27% 1,502 61.51% 2,547 2.22% 92 0.00% 0 -25.24% -1,045 4,141
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Perry 44.51% 3,183 53.90% 3,855 1.59% 114 0.00% 0 -9.39% -672 7,152
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Pike 42.93% 7,131 54.25% 9,011 2.81% 466 0.01% 1 -11.32% -1,880 16,609
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Powell 46.33% 1,791 51.66% 1,997 2.02% 78 0.00% 0 -5.33% -206 3,866
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Pulaski 27.96% 5,891 70.04% 14,756 1.99% 419 0.00% 1 -42.08% -8,865 21,067
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Robertson 42.15% 325 55.77% 430 2.08% 16 0.00% 0 -13.62% -105 771
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Rockcastle 27.42% 1,354 70.49% 3,481 2.07% 102 0.02% 1 -43.07% -2,127 4,938
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Rowan 58.47% 4,045 39.66% 2,744 1.86% 129 0.00% 0 18.81% 1,301 6,918
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Russell 26.50% 1,571 71.73% 4,252 1.77% 105 0.00% 0 -45.23% -2,681 5,928
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Scott 49.10% 9,827 48.61% 9,730 2.29% 458 0.00% 0 0.49% 97 20,015
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Shelby 43.96% 7,380 53.98% 9,062 2.04% 343 0.01% 2 -10.02% -1,682 16,787
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Simpson 46.48% 2,203 51.84% 2,457 1.69% 80 0.00% 0 -5.36% -254 4,740
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Spencer 35.59% 2,667 62.24% 4,664 2.15% 161 0.01% 1 -26.65% -1,997 7,493
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Taylor 36.87% 3,093 61.31% 5,143 1.82% 153 0.00% 0 -24.44% -2,050 8,389
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Todd 36.64% 1,037 60.53% 1,713 2.83% 80 0.00% 0 -23.89% -676 2,830
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Trigg 35.69% 1,622 62.46% 2,839 1.85% 84 0.00% 0 -26.77% -1,217 4,545
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Trimble 39.06% 1,057 58.39% 1,580 2.55% 69 0.00% 0 -19.33% -523 2,706
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Union 41.09% 1,800 56.68% 2,483 2.24% 98 0.00% 0 -15.59% -683 4,381
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Warren 50.80% 18,249 47.65% 17,118 1.55% 558 0.00% 0 3.15% 1,131 35,925
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Washington 41.26% 1,839 56.59% 2,522 2.15% 96 0.00% 0 -15.33% -683 4,457
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Wayne 35.76% 1,983 62.61% 3,472 1.62% 90 0.00% 0 -26.85% -1,489 5,545
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Webster 38.77% 1,495 58.90% 2,271 2.33% 90 0.00% 0 -20.13% -776 3,856
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Whitley 30.30% 2,995 67.50% 6,672 2.21% 218 0.00% 0 -37.20% -3,677 9,885
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Wolfe 54.50% 1,194 43.72% 958 1.78% 39 0.00% 0 10.78% 236 2,191
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Woodford 53.11% 6,235 44.95% 5,277 1.93% 227 0.00% 0 8.16% 958 11,739

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Analysis

Losing by a margin of less than 0.4 percentage points, Bevin did not immediately concede and requested a recanvass, or review of counted votes,[53] which was held on November 14.[54][55] According to the Kentucky state constitution, the swearing in of a Kentucky governor must be held on the fifth Tuesday following the election (December 10).[56][57] While a recount law does exist in Kentucky, it does not permit recounts for gubernatorial elections.[58] Should a candidate contest the election results, the state legislature would determine the winner after hearing a report from a randomly selected 11-member committee from the House (8) and Senate (3).[58] This process, which is enforced through the Goebel Election Law, has only been used once, during the 1899 Kentucky gubernatorial election.[59][60] Kentucky Senate President Robert Stivers and some other Republican members of the Kentucky state legislature expressed skepticism of Bevin's voter fraud claims and on November 7 urged Bevin to concede if the recanvass did not go in his favor.[61][62] On November 11, U.S. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, a Kentucky Republican, announced that "all indications are" Beshear would be the next governor.[63] The recanvass did not result in any changes in the vote totals for either Beshear or Bevin, but found an additional vote for write-in candidate Blackii Effing Whyte.[10]

Bevin carried 97 of Kentucky's 120 counties. However, Beshear swamped Bevin in urban areas. Beshear carried the state's two largest counties, Jefferson and Fayette–home to Louisville and Lexington, respectively–with over 60 percent of the vote. He also narrowly carried two of the three counties that make up the traditionally conservative Cincinnati suburbs, Kenton and Campbell.[64]

Recanvassing

Beshear declared victory after the initial vote count,[65] selecting J. Michael Brown to lead his transition team.[66] Bevin refused to concede and requested a recanvassing of the vote, which took place on November 14.[12] A recanvassing is a reprint of the voting receipts from each voting machine and is done to make sure county officials recorded vote totals correctly. It is not a recount, which the Kentucky State Constitution does not permit for gubernatorial races. The recanvass resulted in only one change, an additional vote for Independent candidate Blackii Effing Whyte, and Bevin conceded that day.[10]

With the recanvass producing no change in his vote total, Bevin conceded the race on November 14. Beshear was sworn in as governor on December 10, 2019.[67]

See also

Notes

Шаблон:Notelist

Partisan clients

Шаблон:Notelist-ua

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites
State government websites

Шаблон:2019 United States elections

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