Английская Википедия:2019 Mississippi gubernatorial election

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The 2019 Mississippi gubernatorial election took place on November 5, 2019, to choose the next Governor of Mississippi. Incumbent Governor Phil Bryant was ineligible to run for a third term due to term limits. The Democratic Party nominated incumbent Attorney General Jim Hood, the only Democrat holding statewide office in Mississippi; the Republican Party nominated incumbent Lieutenant Governor Tate Reeves. In the general election, Reeves defeated Hood by a margin of 5.08%, with Reeves significantly underperforming Trump who won the state by 17 points, 3 years prior.

Background

Situated in the Deep South as a socially conservative Bible Belt state, Mississippi is one of the most Republican states in the country. No Democrat has been elected to the governorship since Ronnie Musgrove in 1999. However, the state's Democratic Attorney General, Jim Hood, who had held his office since 2004 and had yet to lose a statewide election, put the Republicans' winning streak of four elections in a row to the test, as the race became unusually competitive. Reeves defeated Hood in the general election by a margin of 5.1%, making this the closest a Democrat had come to winning a Mississippi gubernatorial election since 1999. Hood pulled off the best performance by a Democrat since the 2003 Mississippi gubernatorial election, when fellow Democrat Ronnie Musgrove took 45.81% of the vote. Hood flipped the counties of Chickasaw, Lafayette, Madison, Panola, and Warren, which had all voted for Republican Donald Trump in the 2016 United States presidential election.

Uniquely among the states, the Constitution of Mississippi establishes a sort of electoral college at the state level. For the election of governor. Article 5, Section 140 of the state constitution states that each state House district is assigned an electoral vote, and that a candidate running for governor must receive a majority of electoral votes (essentially, they must win a majority of state House districts) in addition to winning a majority of the popular vote in order to be elected governor. Article 5, Section 141 of the state constitution states that if no candidate wins both a popular and electoral vote majority, the state House of Representatives is assigned to decide the winner, choosing from the two highest popular vote winners. This provision came into play only one time in the state's history; Democratic candidate Ronnie Musgrove in the 1999 gubernatorial election garnered a plurality, but not a majority; the House selected Musgrove.

In the lead-up to the election, controversy emerged over these constitutional provisions establishing a state system of electoral votes, with a federal lawsuit claiming the provisions are racially biased. These provisions were put in place with the 1890 Mississippi Constitution, itself established by the segregationist Redeemers and overturning the Reconstruction-era 1868 Constitution, as part of Jim Crow Era policy to minimize the power of African Americans in politics. Because of this, as well as present gerrymandering that packs African Americans into a small number of districts, the plaintiffs claim the provisions should be struck down on the basis of racial bias.

On 3 November 2020 an amendment was passed removing the electoral college with 79% of the vote.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Tate Reeves, lieutenant governor of Mississippi

Eliminated in runoff

• Bill Waller Jr., former chief justice of the Mississippi State Supreme Court and son of former Democratic Governor William "Bill" Waller. Sr (1972–1976)

Eliminated in primary

• Robert Foster, Mississippi state representative

Withdrawn

• Hal Marx, mayor of Petal (endorsed Tate Reeves)

Declined

• Thomas Duff, businessman
• Lynn Fitch, Mississippi state treasurer (running for Mississippi attorney general)
• Gerard Gibert, businessman and lottery board member
• Philip Gunn, speaker of the Mississippi House of Representatives
• Trent Lott, former U.S. senator
• Chris McDaniel, Mississippi states senator and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014 and 2018 (endorsed Tate Reeves)
• Mike Randolph, presiding justice of the Mississippi State Supreme Court
• Andy Taggart, former chief of staff to Governor Kirk Fordice (running for Mississippi attorney general)

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Robert Foster	Tate Reeves	Bill Waller Jr.	Undecided
Mason-Dixon	July 24–27, 2019	500	± 4.5%	13%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 41%	31%	15%
Impact Management Group	June 10–14, 2019	354	± 5.3%	9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 50%	19%	28%
Mason-Dixon	January 30 – February 1, 2019	400	± 5.0%	9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 62%	–	29%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Lynn Fitch	Tate Reeves	Undecided
JMC Analytics	February 15–17, 2018	500	± 4.4%	12%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 21%	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided| 67%
Mason-Dixon	December 13–15, 2017	400	± 5.0%	18%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 37%	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided| 45%

Results

Файл:Mississippi Governor Republican Primary Results, 2019.svg

First round results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Runoff

Файл:2019 Mississippi gubernatorial Republican primary runoff results map by county.svg

Runoff results by county Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Jim Hood, Mississippi attorney general

Eliminated in primary

• Michael Brown
• William Bond Compton Jr., candidate for governor of Mississippi in 2007 and 2011, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014, nominee for the Mississippi House of Representatives in the 83rd district in 2015
• Robert J. Ray
• Robert Shuler Smith, Hinds County district attorney
• Gregory Wash
• Velesha Williams, former director for the Metro Jackson Community Prevention Coalition and former U.S. Army officer
• Albert Wilson, businessman and community organizer

Withdrawn

• Phillip West, former state representative and former mayor of Natchez (endorsed Jim Hood)

Declined

• Anthony Witherspoon, mayor of Magnolia

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Jim Hood	Robert Шаблон:Nowrap	Undecided
Triumph Campaigns	January 29, 2018	2,145	± 1.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 36%	34%	30%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Jim Hood	Шаблон:Nowrap Lumumba	Undecided
Triumph Campaigns	January 29, 2018	2,145	± 1.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 49%	27%	23%

Results

Файл:Mississippi Governor Democratic Primary Results, 2019.svg

Results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list

Other candidates

Constitution Party

Declared

• Bob Hickingbottom

Independents

Declared

• David Singletary, U.S. Air Force veteran and former hotel owner

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 15, 2019
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 8, 2019
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 8, 2019

Debates

Dates	Location	Hood	Reeves	Link
October 10, 2019	University of Southern Mississippi Hattiesburg	Participant	Participant	[1]
October 14, 2019	WCBI Studios Columbus	Participant	Participant	[2]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Tate Reeves (R)	Jim Hood (D)	David Singletary (I)	Bob Шаблон:Nowrap	Undecided
NBC/Survey Monkey	October 8–22, 2019	1,002 (RV)	± 4.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 47%	40%	7%	2%	3%
Targoz Market Research	October 13–20, 2019	384 (LV)	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 47%	46%	–	–	7%
Mason-Dixon	October 17–19, 2019	625 (LV)	± 4.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 46%	43%	–	–	9%
Hickman Analytics	October 13–16, 2019	508 (LV)	± 4.4%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|46%	–	–	–
Hickman Analytics (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	September 22–26, 2019	500 (LV)	± 4.0%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 45%	–	–	–
Hickman Analytics (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	August 11–15, 2019	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 43%	–	–	–
NBC News/SurveyMonkey	July 2–16, 2019	1,171 (RV)	± 4.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 51%	42%	–	–	6%
Impact Management Group	June 10–14, 2019	610 (LV)	± 4.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 48%	36%	4%	–	12%
Hickman Analytics (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	May 5–9, 2019	604 (LV)	± 4.0%	40%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 45%	–	–	–
Mason-Dixon	January 30 – February 1, 2019	625 (RV)	± 4.0%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 44%	–	–	14%
OnMessage Inc. (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	January 28–30, 2019	600 (RV)	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 51%	36%	–	–	13%
Mason-Dixon	April 12–14, 2018	625 (RV)	± 4.0%	39%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 44%	–	–	17%
Chism Strategies/Millsaps College	December 15–19, 2017	578 (RV)	± 4.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 45%	38%	–	–	18%
Mason-Dixon	December 13–15, 2017	625 (RV)	± 4.0%	37%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 43%	–	–	20%

with Tate Reeves, Jim Hood, and Bill Waller Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Tate Reeves (R)	Jim Hood (D)	Bill Waller Jr. (I)	Undecided
Mason-Dixon	January 30 – February 1, 2019	625 (RV)	± 4.0%	38%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 40%	9%	13%

with Bill Waller Jr. and Jim Hood

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Bill Waller Jr. (R)	Jim Hood (D)	David Singletary (I)	Undecided
NBC News/SurveyMonkey	July 2–16, 2019	1,171 (RV)	± 4.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 53%	41%	–	6%
Impact Management Group	June 10–14, 2019	610 (LV)	± 4.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 43%	36%	4%	17%

Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

• Adams (Largest city: Natchez)
• Chickasaw (Largest city: Houston)
• Clay (Largest city: West Point)
• Copiah (Largest city: Hazlehurst)
• Issaquena (Largest city: Mayersville)
• Jasper (Largest city: Bay Springs)
• Kemper (Largest city: De Kalb)
• Lafayette (Largest city: Oxford)
• Madison (Largest city: Madison)
• Marshall (Largest city: Holly Springs)
• Oktibbeha (Largest city: Starkville)
• Panola (Largest city: Batesville)
• Pike (Largest city: McComb)
• Quitman (Largest city: Lambert)
• Sharkey (Largest city: Rolling Fork)
• Tallahatchie (Largest city: Charleston)
• Warren (Largest city: Vicksburg)
• Yazoo (Largest city: Yazoo City)

See also

• 2019 United States gubernatorial elections
• 2019 United States elections
• 2019 Mississippi elections

Notes

Partisan clients

External links

• Mississippi State Constitution Шаблон:Webarchive

Official campaign websites

• Tate Reeves (R) for Governor
• Jim Hood (D) for Governor Шаблон:Webarchive
• Bob Hickingbottom (C) for Governor Шаблон:Webarchive
• David Singletary (I) for Governor