Английская Википедия:2019 Prince Edward Island electoral reform referendum

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A referendum on electoral reform was held on April 23, 2019, in the Canadian province of Prince Edward Island – simultaneously with the 2019 provincial election – to determine if the province should adopt a mixed-member proportional representation voting system (MMP). A narrow majority voted to keep the existing first-past-the-post system. However, the referendum was not binding, as neither the yes or no side received majority support in 60% or more of the province's 27 electoral districts.

Background

A referendum on the issue was held October 27 to November 7, 2016. That referendum asked which of five voting systems residents would prefer to use in electing members to the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island. The referendum, after four instant run-off rounds, indicated mixed member proportional representation was the preferred choice with over 52% support on the final ballot.

Premier Wade MacLauchlan said after the vote that he is doubtful the result of the referendum "can be said to constitute a clear expression of the will of Prince Edward Islanders" due to the low voter turnout relative to provincial general elections. As the result of political pressure, MacLauchlan's government introduced a motion in the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island to hold another referendum on electoral reform at the next provincial general election, stating that the low turnout for the referendum did not provide a mandate to implement the change and the need for a more specific referendum question with two choices. A motion by Green Party leader Peter Bevan-Baker to implement mixed-member proportional representation in line with the referendum results was defeated on November 22, 2016, by a vote of 6–20.

On June 12, 2018, legislation governing the new referendum passed in the legislature.

Referendum question and threshold

The Electoral System Referendum Act passed by the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island on June 13, 2018, set the referendum question as:

Should Prince Edward Island change its voting system to a mixed member proportional voting system?

• No
• Yes

(According to the Act, "No" was required to appear on the referendum ballot above "Yes")

In order for the referendum to be legally binding, either side was required to receive a majority of voters in at least 60% (17) of the province's 27 provincial electoral districts. Before the results were announced, Gerard Mitchell, the referendum commissioner, confirmed the 60% threshold saying if the vote was close "whoever is governing will have to make a decision".

Campaign

The campaign period for the referendum began on February 1, 2019, and applications opened for Yes and No campaigns to apply for public funding.

During the campaign, Premier (and Liberal leader) Wade MacLauchlan did not take a public position on the vote. The leaders of all other parties, however, were on record as supporting a move to MMP. The leaders were also asked about their referendum positions in the CBC Leaders' Debate.

Opinion polls

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	No	Yes	Unsure	Lead
14–17 Apr 2019	Mainstreet Research	636	48.8%	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:N/A	2.4%
12–15 Apr 2019	Narrative Research/The Guardian	538	42%	42%	16%	Tie
11–16 Apr 2019	MQO Research	400	35%	Шаблон:Yes2	18%	12%
7 Nov 2016	2016 plebiscite	37,040	42.8%	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:N/A	9.6%

Results

The referendum was defeated, with 15 districts voting to adopt MMP and 12 voting to maintain the current system. The popular vote was a narrow majority in favour of keeping the current first-past-the-post system. Neither side, however, received a majority in 60% of districts (17/27) and therefore the referendum was not binding on the government. A recount in District 20 widened the FPTP victory somewhat, with the final popular vote approximately 52% for FPTP and 48% for MMP.

Option	District vote		Popular vote
	Districts won	%	Votes	%
No Current FPTP system retained	13	48.15%	42,372	51.74
Yes Province adopts MMP as electoral system	14	51.85%	39,516	48.26
Source: Elections PEI

Analysis

2019 PEI referendum - synopsis of riding results, grouped by federal riding

Riding (and number)		Choice			Majority		Winner
		Yes	No	Total	Yes	No	Yes	No
Cardigan
Belfast-Murray River	4	1,338	1,585	2,923		247		Шаблон:Aye
Georgetown-Pownal	2	1,448	1,589	3,037		141		Шаблон:Aye
Mermaid-Stratford	5	1,736	1,271	3,007	465		Шаблон:Aye
Montague-Kilmuir	3	1,339	1,586	2,925		247		Шаблон:Aye
Morell-Donagh	7	1,375	1,626	3,001		251		Шаблон:Aye
Souris-Elmira	1	1,203	1,763	2,966		560		Шаблон:Aye
Stanhope-Marshfield	8	1,698	1,564	3,262	134		Шаблон:Aye
Stratford-Keppoch	6	1,665	1,300	2,965	365		Шаблон:Aye
Malpeque
Borden-Kinkora	19	1,511	1,665	3,176		154		Шаблон:Aye
Brackley-Hunter River	15	1,568	1,544	3,112	24		Шаблон:Aye
Cornwall-Meadowbank	16	1,769	1,619	3,388	150		Шаблон:Aye
Kensington-Malpeque	20	1,548	1,655	3,203		107		Шаблон:Aye
New Haven-Rocky Point	17	1,919	1,539	3,458	380		Шаблон:Aye
Rustico-Emerald	18	1,696	1,619	3,315	77		Шаблон:Aye
Charlottetown
Charlottetown-Belvedere	11	1,599	1,571	3,170	28		Шаблон:Aye
Charlottetown-Brighton	13	1,893	1,316	3,209	577		Шаблон:Aye
Charlottetown-Hillsborough Park	9	1,365	997	2,362	368		Шаблон:Aye
Charlottetown-Victoria Park	12	2,041	1,078	3,119	963		Шаблон:Aye
Charlottetown-West Royalty	14	1,583	1,415	2,998	168		Шаблон:Aye
Charlottetown-Winsloe	10	1,787	1,572	3,359	215		Шаблон:Aye
Egmont
Alberton-Bloomfield	26	595	2,271	2,866		1,676		Шаблон:Aye
Evangeline-Miscouche	24	1,079	1,329	2,408		250		Шаблон:Aye
O'Leary-Inverness	25	667	1,992	2,659		1,325		Шаблон:Aye
Summerside-South Drive	22	1,465	1,476	2,941		11		Шаблон:Aye
Summerside-Wilmot	21	1,624	1,570	3,194	54		Шаблон:Aye
Tignish-Palmer Road	27	590	2,199	2,789		1,609		Шаблон:Aye
Tyne Valley-Sherbrooke	23	1,415	1,661	3,076		246		Шаблон:Aye
Totals
Votes		39,516	42,372	81,888	3,968	6,824	14	13
Percent		48.26	51.74	100.00	4.84	8.33

Шаблон:Color box = results revised on recount

Aftermath

Following the preliminary results, Brenda Oslawsky of Vote Yes P.E.I. said that the result showed there was "significant support" for MMP, and that the group was calling on the government to convene a citizens assembly to study electoral reform. Responding to the results, Progressive Conservative leader Dennis King said Islanders have an interest in furthering the conversation on how they govern themselves and elect members of the legislature. He said he would like to see continued discussion of electoral reform in the Legislature. Peter Bevan-Baker, leader of the Green Party, called the results "agonizingly close" and said it is inevitable that proportional representation is coming but that PEI is not going to be the province leading the charge.

John Barrett of No What to Vote said the result was closer than expected but they were pleased with the result overall. Calling the result decisive, he said "Fifty-one per cent is a win and we'll take it". Barrett also said electoral reform is not off the table going forward, noting that his group was not opposed to electoral reform, only the specific model which had been proposed (MMP).

External links

• Шаблон:Official
• Шаблон:Webarchive – registered opponent group
• Vote Yes PEI Шаблон:Webarchive – registered proponent group
• Electoral System Referendum Act Шаблон:Webarchive