Английская Википедия:2019 United Kingdom general election in Scotland
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use British English Шаблон:Use dmy dates Шаблон:Infobox election
The 2019 United Kingdom general election was held on Thursday 12 December 2019,[1] two and a half years after the previous general election in June 2017. The Scottish National Party (SNP) received the most votes (45%, up 8.1% from the previous election) and won 48Шаблон:Refn out of 59 seats—a gain of 13 over those won in 2017, and 81% of the Scottish seats in the House of Commons.[2]
SNP gains came at the expense of both Labour and the Conservatives. The Tories remained the largest unionist party in Scotland even though they lost more than half of their Scottish seats, winning six compared to thirteen in 2017. Labour was reduced to only one seat, down from seven. The Liberal Democrats managed to win four Scottish seats for no net change, although party leader Jo Swinson (herself the only major party leader to stand for election in Scotland) was unseated in her bid for re-election by her SNP challenger.
Labour's vote share was its lowest at a Westminster election in Scotland since December 1910.[3][4]
Political context
The June 2017 general election in Scotland was fought in the aftermath of the 2016 Scottish Parliament election, in which the SNP won a third term in government but lost its overall majority in the Scottish Parliament (although the proportional electoral system at Holyrood was intentionally designed to make it very difficult for any one party to gain a majority). The 2016 EU referendum was held a month later on Thursday 23 June, and the final result was for the United Kingdom to leave the EU, although Scotland voted 62.0% Remain. Negotiations then began after the invocation of Article 50 of the Treaty on European Union in March 2017, which was expected to dominate the snap general election campaign.[5]
In March First Minister Nicola Sturgeon called for a second independence referendum due to Scotland's vote to remain in the EU the previous year. The result was the issue dominated the 2017 general election and, although the SNP remained the largest party, their number of seats was much reduced, with the Scottish Conservatives, Labour and the Liberal Democrats gaining a total of 21 seats.[6] Former First Minister Alex Salmond and Westminster leader Angus Robertson were among those who lost their seats.[6]
In the 2019 European Parliament election, Scottish Labour lost its two MEPs, UKIP lost its seat, the SNP increased its number to three, the Scottish Conservatives held theirs and the Brexit Party and Liberal Democrats gained one each.
Opinion polling
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
SNP | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Green | UKIP | Change UK | Brexit | Other | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| data-sort-type="number" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | data-sort-type="number" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | data-sort-type="number" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | data-sort-type="number" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | data-sort-type="number" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | data-sort-type="number" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | data-sort-type="number" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | data-sort-type="number" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | |||||
| 2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 45.0% | 25.1% | 18.6% | 9.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | – | 0.5% | 0.1% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;"| 19.9% |
| Survation/The Courier | 10–11 Dec 2019 | 1,012 | 43% | 28% | 20% | 7% | 1% | – | – | 1% | – | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;"| 15% |
| YouGov (MRP) | 4–10 Dec 2019 | [7] | 41% | 27% | 20% | 10% | 1% | – | – | 1% | – | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;"| 14% |
| Panelbase/Sunday Times | 3–6 Dec 2019 | 1,020 | 39% | 29% | 21% | 10% | 1% | – | – | 0% | 0% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;"| 10% |
| YouGov/The Times | 29 Nov–3 Dec 2019 | 1,002 | 44% | 28% | 15% | 12% | 1% | – | – | 0% | 0% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;"| 16% |
| Ipsos MORI/STV | 19–25 Nov 2019 | 1,046 | 44% | 26% | 16% | 11% | 2% | – | – | <1% | – | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;"| 18% |
| Panelbase/The Sunday Times | 20–22 Nov 2019 | 1,009 | 40% | 28% | 20% | 11% | <1% | – | – | <1% | <1% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;"| 12% |
| Nominations for candidates close (final candidates announced) | ||||||||||||
| Parliament dissolved and official campaign period begins | ||||||||||||
| YouGov | 23–25 Oct 2019 | 1,060 | 42% | 22% | 12% | 13% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;"| 20% |
| Panelbase/The Sunday Times | 9–11 Oct 2019 | 1,003 | 39% | 21% | 19% | 13% | 2% | – | – | 5% | – | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;"| 18% |
| YouGov/The Times | 30 Aug–3 Sep 2019 | 1,059 | 43% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;"| 23% |
| Ruth Davidson resigns as leader of the Scottish Conservatives[8] | ||||||||||||
| Panelbase/The Sunday Times | 18–20 Jun 2019 | 1,024 | 38% | 18% | 17% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 9% | – | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;"| 20% |
| Panelbase/The Sunday Times | 14–17 May 2019 | 1,021 | 38% | 18% | 19% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 9% | <1% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;"| 19% |
| YouGov/The Times | 24–26 Apr 2019 | 1,029 | 43% | 20% | 17% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 0% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;"| 23% |
| Panelbase/The Sunday Times | 18–24 Apr 2019 | 1,018 | 38% | 22% | 21% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | <1% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;"| 16% |
| Survation/Scotland in Union | 18–23 Apr 2019 | 1,012 | 41% | 22% | 24% | 8% | – | – | – | – | 5% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;"| 17% |
| Panelbase/Wings Over Scotland | 28 Feb–6 Mar 2019 | 1,002 | 37% | 27% | 22% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 2% | – | <1% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;"| 10% |
| Survation/Scottish Daily Mail | 1–4 Mar 2019 | 1,011 | 40% | 24% | 23% | 8% | – | – | – | – | 4% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;"| 16% |
| Panelbase/The Sunday Times | 30 Nov–5 Dec 2018 | 1,028 | 37% | 26% | 26% | 6% | 2% | 2% | – | – | <1% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;"| 11% |
| Survation/Scotland in Union | 9–13 Nov 2018 | 1,013 | 39% | 26% | 24% | 8% | – | – | – | – | 3% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;"| 13% |
| Panelbase/Constitutional Commission | 2–7 Nov 2018 | 1,050 | 37% | 28% | 25% | 7% | 2% | 2% | – | – | 3% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;"| 9% |
| Survation/Channel 4 | 20 Oct–2 Nov 2018 | 1,734 | 40% | 27% | 23% | 7% | 1% | 1% | – | – | 1% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;"| 13% |
| Survation/Daily Record | 18–21 Oct 2018 | 1,017 | 36% | 27% | 26% | 7% | 1% | – | – | – | 1% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;"| 9% |
| Survation/SNP | 3–5 Oct 2018 | 1,013 | 37% | 28% | 26% | 6% | – | – | – | – | 2% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;"| 9% |
| Panelbase/The Sunday Times | 28 Sep–4 Oct 2018 | 1,024 | 38% | 27% | 24% | 6% | 2% | 2% | – | – | <1% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;"| 11% |
| Survation/The Sunday Post | 28 Sep–2 Oct 2018 | 1,036 | 41% | 26% | 24% | 7% | – | – | – | – | 3% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;"| 15% |
| Survation/Daily Record | 5–10 Jul 2018 | 1,004 | 42% | 24% | 23% | 8% | – | – | – | – | 3% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;"| 18% |
| Panelbase/Wings Over Scotland | 21–26 Jun 2018 | 1,018 | 38% | 27% | 25% | 7% | 2% | <1% | – | – | <1% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;"| 11% |
| Panelbase/The Sunday Times | 8–13 Jun 2018 | 1,021 | 38% | 27% | 27% | 6% | 2% | <1% | – | – | <1% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;"| 11% |
| YouGov/The Times | 1–5 Jun 2018 | 1,075 | 40% | 27% | 23% | 7% | 2% | 1% | – | – | 1% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;"| 13% |
| Panelbase/The Sunday Times | 23–28 Mar 2018 | 1,037 | 36% | 28% | 27% | 6% | 2% | 1% | – | – | <1% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;"| 8% |
| Ipsos MORI/STV | 5–11 Mar 2018 | 1,050 | 39% | 25% | 26% | 6% | 4% | 0% | – | – | 0% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;"| 13% |
| Survation/Daily Record | 24–28 Jan 2018 | 1,029 | 39% | 24% | 27% | 7% | – | – | – | – | 3% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;"| 12% |
| YouGov/The Times | 12–16 Jan 2018 | 1,002 | 36% | 23% | 28% | 6% | 3% | 3% | – | – | 0% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;"| 8% |
| Survation/The Sunday Post | 1–5 Dec 2017 | 1,006 | 38% | 24% | 29% | 7% | – | – | – | – | 3% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;"| 9% |
| Survation/Daily Record | 27–30 Nov 2017 | 1,017 | 37% | 25% | 28% | 7% | – | – | – | – | 3% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;"| 9% |
| Richard Leonard officially becomes leader of Scottish Labour[9] | ||||||||||||
| YouGov/The Times | 2–5 Oct 2017 | 1,135 | 40% | 23% | 30% | 5% | 1% | 1% | – | – | 0% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;"| 10% |
| Survation/Scottish Daily Mail | 8–12 Sep 2017 | 1,016 | 39% | 26% | 26% | 7% | – | – | – | – | 2% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;"| 13% |
| Panelbase/The Sunday Times | 31 Aug–7 Sep 2017 | 1,021 | 41% | 27% | 24% | 6% | 2% | – | – | – | – | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;"| 14% |
| 2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 36.9% | 28.6% | 27.1% | 6.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | – | – | 0.3% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;"| 8.3% |
Seat projections
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Con | Lab | SNP | Lib Dem | Green | Brexit | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| data-sort-type="number" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | data-sort-type="number" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | data-sort-type="number" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | data-sort-type="number" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | data-sort-type="number" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | data-sort-type="number" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | |||
| 2019 general election | 12 December 2019 | 6 | 1 | 48 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| YouGov MRP | 10 December 2019 | 9 | 5 | 41 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ipsos MORI Scotland/STV Шаблон:Webarchive | 28 November 2019 | 6 | 1 | 48 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| YouGov MRP | 27 November 2019 | 11 | 2 | 42 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2017 general election | 8 June 2017 | 13 | 7 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Campaign events
Television debates
Like the rest of the United Kingdom, Scottish broadcasters hosted television debates. On 20 November, BBC Scotland's flagship political programme, Debate Night, moderated by Stephen Jardine, hosted a Young Voter's Special with representatives from the main parties where they debated in front of an audience of voters aged under 30. On 3 December, STV hosted a television debate moderated by Colin Mackay[10] and BBC Scotland announced that they would host a debate on 10 December, two days before the election, moderated by Sarah Smith.
The Scottish National Party have been represented in UK-wide television debates in addition due to being the third largest party in the House of Commons.
Reaction
| Date(s) administered |
Poll source | Sample size | Carlaw | Leonard | Sturgeon | Rennie | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| data-sort-type="number" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | data-sort-type="number" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | data-sort-type="number" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | data-sort-type="number" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | ||||
| STV Leaders Debate | |||||||
| 3 December 2019 | STV News Шаблон:WebarchiveШаблон:Refn | 7,170 | 10% | 5% | 80% | 5% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;";" | 70% |
| 3 December 2019 | HeraldScotland | 9,115 | 7% | 4% | 87% | 2% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;";" | 80% |
| BBC Leaders Debate | |||||||
| 10 December 2019 | HeraldScotland | 2,834 | 7% | 17% | 72% | 4% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#000000;";" | 55% |
Leader's interviews
In addition to television debates, BBC Scotland and STV also interviewed Scottish party leaders on The Nine and Scotland Tonight in the run-up to the general election, alongside guest commentary too.
On 4 December, the four main Scottish party leaders took part in leaders interviews with fictional character Chief Commissioner Cameron Mickelson from the BBC Scotland sitcom, Scot Squad.[11]
Results
| Party[12] | Seats | Votes | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | Gains | Losses | Net +/- | % seats | Total votes | % votes | Change | ||
| Шаблон:Party name with colour | 48Шаблон:Refn | 14 | 1 | Шаблон:Increase13 | 81.36 | 1,242,380 | 45.0 | Шаблон:Increase8.1 | |
| Шаблон:Party name with colour | 6 | 0 | 7 | Шаблон:Decrease7 | 10.17 | 692,939 | 25.1 | Шаблон:Decrease3.5 | |
| Шаблон:Party name with colour | 1 | 0 | 6 | Шаблон:Decrease6 | 1.69 | 511,838 | 18.6 | Шаблон:Decrease8.5 | |
| Шаблон:Party name with colour | 4 | 1 | 1 | Шаблон:Steady | 6.77 | 263,417 | 9.5 | Шаблон:Increase2.8 | |
| Шаблон:Party name with colour | 0 | 0 | 0 | Шаблон:Steady | — | 28,122 | 1.0 | Шаблон:Increase0.8 | |
| Шаблон:Party name with colour | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 13,243 | 0.5 | new | ||
| Шаблон:Party name with colour | 0 | 0 | 0 | Шаблон:Steady | — | 3,303 | 0.1 | Шаблон:Decrease0.1 | |
| Others | 0 | 0 | 0 | Шаблон:Steady | — | 3,819 | 0.1 | Шаблон:Increase0.1 | |
| 2,759,061 | 68.1 | Шаблон:Increase1.6 | |||||||
Votes summary
List of constituencies by party
Шаблон:List of UK Scottish Election box begin Шаблон:List of UK Parliamentary constituencies in Scotland with party link Шаблон:List of UK Parliamentary constituencies in Scotland with party link Шаблон:List of UK Parliamentary constituencies in Scotland with party link Шаблон:List of UK Parliamentary constituencies in Scotland with party link Шаблон:Election box end
Target seats
Scottish Conservatives
| Rank | Constituency | Winning party 2017 | Swing required |
Conservatives' place 2019 |
Result | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Perth and North Perthshire | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 0.02% | 2nd | Шаблон:Party name with colour | ||
| 2 | Lanark and Hamilton East | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 0.26% | 2nd | Шаблон:Party name with colour | ||
| 3 | Edinburgh South West | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 1.11% | 2nd | Шаблон:Party name with colour | ||
| 4 | Argyll and Bute | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 1.38% | 2nd | Шаблон:Party name with colour | ||
| 5 | East Lothian | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 3.24% | 3rd | Шаблон:Party name with colour | ||
| 6 | Linlithgow and Falkirk East | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 3.63% | 2nd | Шаблон:Party name with colour | ||
| 7 | Ayrshire North and Arran | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 3.66% | 2nd | Шаблон:Party name with colour | ||
| 8 | Edinburgh North and Leith | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 3.9% | 3rd | Шаблон:Party name with colour | ||
Scottish Labour
| Rank | Constituency | Winning party 2017 | Swing required |
Labour's place 2019 |
Result | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Glasgow South West | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 0.08% | 2nd | Шаблон:Party name with colour | ||
| 2 | Glasgow East | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 0.10% | 2nd | Шаблон:Party name with colour | ||
| 3 | Airdrie and Shotts | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 0.26% | 2nd | Шаблон:Party name with colour | ||
| 4 | Lanark and Hamilton East | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 0.36% | 3rd | Шаблон:Party name with colour | ||
| 5 | Motherwell and Wishaw | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 0.38% | 2nd | Шаблон:Party name with colour | ||
| 6 | Inverclyde | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 0.49% | 2nd | Шаблон:Party name with colour | ||
| 7 | Dunfermline and West Fife | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 0.81% | 2nd | Шаблон:Party name with colour | ||
| 8 | Edinburgh North and Leith | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 1.44% | 2nd | Шаблон:Party name with colour | ||
Scottish Liberal Democrats
| Rank | Constituency | Winning party 2017 | Swing Required | Liberal Democrats' place 2019 | Result | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North East Fife | Шаблон:Party name with colour | <0.01% | 1st | Шаблон:Party name with colour | ||
| 2 | Ross, Skye and Lochaber | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 9.67% | 2nd | Шаблон:Party name with colour | ||
| 3 | Argyll and Bute | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 15.04% | 3rd | Шаблон:Party name with colour | ||
| 4 | Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 18.26% | 3rd | Шаблон:Party name with colour | ||
Scottish National Party
| Rank | Constituency | Winning party 2017 | Swing required | SNP's place 2019 | Result | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stirling | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 0.15% | 1st | Шаблон:Party name with colour | ||
| 2 | Rutherglen and Hamilton West | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 0.26% | 1st | Шаблон:Party name with colour | ||
| 3 | Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 0.28% | 1st | Шаблон:Party name with colour | ||
| 4 | Glasgow North East | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 0.38% | 1st | Шаблон:Party name with colour | ||
| 5 | Midlothian | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 0.98% | 1st | Шаблон:Party name with colour | ||
| 6 | Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 1.76% | 1st | Шаблон:Party name with colour | ||
| 7 | Gordon | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 2.43% | 1st | Шаблон:Party name with colour | ||
| 8 | East Lothian | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 2.76% | 1st | Шаблон:Party name with colour | ||
| 9 | Edinburgh West | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 2.83% | 2nd | Шаблон:Party name with colour | ||
See also
- 2019 United Kingdom general election in England
- 2019 United Kingdom general election in Northern Ireland
- 2019 United Kingdom general election in Wales
Footnotes
References
Шаблон:Portal bar Шаблон:United Kingdom elections Шаблон:2019 United Kingdom general election Шаблон:Scottish elections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 6,0 6,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ This was a UK-wide poll, and the number of participants in Scotland was not recorded.
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 10,0 10,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- Английская Википедия
- Страницы с неработающими файловыми ссылками
- 2019 United Kingdom general election
- 2019 in Scotland
- 2010s elections in Scotland
- General elections in Scotland to the Parliament of the United Kingdom
- 2019 elections in the United Kingdom
- Страницы, где используется шаблон "Навигационная таблица/Телепорт"
- Страницы с телепортом
- Википедия
- Статья из Википедии
- Статья из Английской Википедии
