Английская Википедия:2020 Dominican Republic general election

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use dmy dates Шаблон:Infobox electionШаблон:Politics of the Dominican Republic

General elections were held in the Dominican Republic on 5 July 2020 to elect a president, vice-president, 32 senators and 190 deputies. They had originally been planned for 17 May, but were postponed due to the coronavirus pandemic.[1][2] They are the second elections since 1994 in which all positions will be elected simultaneously, and the first in Dominican history in which all authorities will be elected simultaneously and directly.[3][4][5][6]

Incumbent President Danilo Medina was ineligible to stand for re-election, having served two consecutive terms since 2012. The governing Dominican Liberation Party's 16-year rule ended after Modern Revolutionary Party candidate Luis Abinader received a majority of the vote.[7] Rival candidates Gonzalo Castillo and Leonel Fernández also conceded defeat.[7] The Modern Revolutionary Party also won a majority of seats in the Senate and a plurality in the Chamber of Deputies. The election was a partial realignment, with the Modern Revolutionary Party entering a status as a major party in the country, replacing the Dominican Revolutionary Party, who saw poor election results for the second election in a row and who obtained its lowest total vote share and seat count in its history. Abinader would be officially sworn in as President on 16 August.[8]

Electoral system

The President of the Dominican Republic is elected using the two-round system; if no candidate receives 50% + 1 vote, or more, of the total votes, a second-round runoff will be held between the two candidates with the highest votes on the first round.

The 32 members of the Senate are elected from the 31 provinces and the Distrito Nacional using first-past-the-post voting.[9]

The 190 members of the Chamber of Deputies are elected in three groups; 178 are elected by proportional representation from 32 multi-member constituencies based on the 31 provinces and the Distrito Nacional, with the number of seats based on the population of each province. A further seven members are elected by proportional representation by Dominican expatriates in 3 overseas constituencies, and five seats are allocated at the national level to parties that received at least 1% of the vote nationally, giving preference to those that did not win any of the 178 constituency seats.[10]

The 20 seats in the Central American Parliament are elected by proportional representation.

Presidential candidates

Party Presidential candidate Vice presidential candidate
Dominican Liberation Party (PLD) Gonzalo Castillo[11] Margarita Cedeño
Modern Revolutionary Party (PRM) Luis Abinader[11] Raquel Peña
Fuerza del Pueblo (FP) Leonel Fernández Sergia Elena Mejía
Alianza País (ALPAÍS) Guillermo Moreno García[11] Agustín González Morel
National Citizen Will Party (PNVC) Juan Cohen Hugo McFarlane Kaluche
Partido Demócrata Institucional (PDI) Шаблон:Ill Frank Gene Troncoso Haché

Opinion polls

President

Pollster Date(s) Castillo
(PLD)
Abinader
(PRM)
Fernandez
(FP)
Moreno
(ALPAIS)
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" |
Centro Económico del Cibao 11–13 Oct 2019 29.7% 43.7% 23.6% Шаблон:N/a
Centro Económico del Cibao 3–5 Nov 2019 31% 42.9% 18.4% 1.9%
Centro Economico del Cibao[12][13] 29 Nov –1 Dec 2019 25.6% 46.6% 24.4% Шаблон:N/a
Pool Logistic SRL 1–5 Dec 2019 49% 36% 3.9% Шаблон:N/a
Ideame 3–10 Dec 2019 31.8% 47.5% 18.3% Шаблон:N/a
ABC MarketingШаблон:Dead link 10–14 Dec 2019 22.6% 47.3% 20.9% Шаблон:N/a
Sigma Dos 15–17 Dec 2019 39.9% 35% 8% Шаблон:N/a
Mark Penn/StagwellШаблон:Dead link 8–10 Jan 2020 28% 43% 19% Шаблон:N/a
Gallup-RD 16–21 Jan 2020 31.4% 42.2% 15.5% 1.2%
Gallup-Hoy 16–21 Jan 2020 31.7% 44.9% 19.3% Шаблон:N/a
CIES International 31 Jan–2 Feb 2020 35% 37% 11% 3%
Greenberg-Diario Libre 21–24 Feb 2020 24% 52% 17% 2%
CIES International 23–25 Feb 2020 28.8% 43.7% 12.6% 6.4%
CIMERAN< 28–29 Feb 2020 25% 52.5% 17.5% 3.5%
Centro Económico del Cibao 28 Feb–5 Mar 2020 21.0% 55.1% 15.6% Шаблон:N/a
Sigma Dos 2–7 Apr 2020 38.8% 36.6% 9.6% Шаблон:N/a
Horizon Research LLC 7 Apr 2020 23.6% 43.9% 31.2% Шаблон:N/a
Global Trend Research 12–15 Apr 2020 22.9% 43.1% 30.4% 0.8%
ASISA 13–19 Apr 2020 20.4% 44% 29.1% Шаблон:N/a
JB Consulting Group 14–20 Apr 2020 46.6% 31.1% 3.6% Шаблон:N/a
APD Consulting Group 17–20 Apr 2020 24.1% 54.4% 11.8% 4.6%
CIES International 17–20 Apr 2020 33% 39% 9% 4%
Centro Economico del Cibao 18–19 Apr 2020 23.7% 53.4% 7.3% 1%
Polimetrics 22–25 Apr 2020 40.8% 38.3% 9.3% 1.9%
CID Latinoamericana 22–23 Apr 2020 40% 38% 8% Шаблон:N/a
New Partners 23–26 Apr 2020 27.4% 52.1% 9.9% 2.1%
Market Reports 25–27 Apr 2020 22.4% 42.8% 31.2% Шаблон:N/a
Mercado & Cuantificaciones 27–29 Apr 2020 30.3% 52.3% 12.3% 1.7%
GIDL 26 Apr–1 May 2020 23.2% 41.9% 32.4% Шаблон:N/a
Datamarket 1–3 May 2020 26% 46% 21% 2%
Horizon Research LCC 3–7 May 2020 22.8% 41.3% 33.5% Шаблон:N/a
Effective Project ComunicationsШаблон:Dead link 4–7 May 2020 29% 49% 16% 3%
Polimetric 4–9 May 2020 40.4% 37.7% 8.8% Шаблон:N/a
Centro Economico del Cibao 11–12 May 2020 35.2% 53.9% 9.5% Шаблон:N/a
ABC Marketing 13–16 May 2020 26.5% 55.6% 14.5% Шаблон:N/a
SISGLO 17–20 May 2020 24.1% 40.6% 33.8% Шаблон:N/a
Centro Economico del Cibao 18–19 May 2020 34.6% 53.3% 9.9% 2.2%
Elections &  Proyect Corp 20–22 May 2020 21.8% 42.1% 33.9% Шаблон:N/a
IDEAME 18–23 May 2020 31.5% 51.8% 14.3% 1%
José Dorín Cabrera Mercadología 21–23 May 2020 46.9% 36.7% 9.5% 2.2%
Mark Penn/Stagwell 20–25 May 2020 37% 39% 10% Шаблон:N/a
APD Consulting Group 21–25 May 2020 34.4% 51.6% 11.6% 2.3%
CID Latinoamericana[14][15] 23–24 May 2020 41% 39% 10% 3%
ASISA 13–19 Apr 2020 20.4% 44% 29.1% Шаблон:N/a
Centro Economico del Cibao 25–26 May 2020 34.0% 53.5% 10.3% 2.1%
CIES International 24–27 May 2020 29% 52% 10% 6%
CYGNAL 26 May–2 Jun 2020 28.2% 54.6% 13.9% 3.4%
Mercado & Cuantificaciones 28–30 May 2020 33% 51.3% 11.2% 1.1%
Datamarket 26–30 May 2020 27% 44% 21% 2%
Polimetrics 30–31 May 2020 40.7% 37.5% 8.5% 2.6%
GIDL 1–3 Jun 2020 21.5% 40.7% 33.4% 1.7%
Mercado & Cuantificaciones 2–5 Jun 2020 34.5% 52.1% 8.2% Шаблон:N/a
New Partners 2–5 Jun 2020 29.5% 50.7% 11.4% Шаблон:N/a
Global Trend Research 4–6 Jun 2020 25.7% 40.3% 30.8% Шаблон:N/a
Gavindian Polsters 4–8 Jun 2020 38% 52% 9% 1%
Ideame 5–9 Jun 2020 34.4% 52.5% 10.9% 0.9%
Centro de Innovación y Políticas Públicas 6–9 Jun 2020 36.3% 52.3% 7.7% 1%
CID Latinoamericana 9–11 Jun 2020 43% 44% 9% 1%
Consulting and Field International 9–12 Jun 2020 43% 40% 9% 2%
Sigma Dos[16][17] 12–14 Jun 2020 43.6% 40.4% 10.1% 1.9%
John Zogby Strategies 12–14 Jun 2020 34% 54% 9% 2%
Datamarket 12–14 Jun 2020 32% 43% 17% 2%
Greenberg-Diario Libre 11–16 Jun 2020 29% 56% 12% 1%
Gallup 12–16 Jun 2020 35.5% 53.7% 8.6% 1.3%
Mercado y Cuantificaciones 15–17 Jun 2020 33.5% 55.8% 7.0% 0.3%
PoliRD 16–18 Jun 2020 45.1% 41.7% 9.8% 1.8%
ABC Marketing 15–20 Jun 2020 32.6% 54.8% 10.4% Шаблон:N/a
Market Reports 18–21 Jun 2020 26.2% 40.8% 30.6% Шаблон:N/a
Polismetrics 20–25 Jun 2020 42.9% 39.2% 9.6% 1.8%
Emevenca 20–23 Jun 2020 41% 46% 8% 2%
Mark Penn /Stagwell-SIN 16–23 Jun 2020 35% 47% 11% Шаблон:N/a
GIDL 21–23 Jun 2020 23.8% 43% 29.7% 1.2%
Centro Economico del Cibao 22–23 Jun 2020 33.4% 55.2% 9.7% 1.7%
NewPartners 24–25 Jun 2020 29% 54% 10% Шаблон:N/a

Party identification and Congress

Pollster Date(s) PLD PRM FP PRSC PRD ALPAIS N/A Others
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" |
CIES International 19–22 Sep 2019 31% 33% Шаблон:N/a 3.3% 1.2% 4.7% 15.6% 12.2%
Gallup-Hoy 16–21 Jan 2020 37.5% 43.3% 8.5% Шаблон:N/a Шаблон:N/a 0.1% 7.6% 2.9%
CIES International 23–25 Feb 2020 27.5% 43.6% 10% 3.8% 1.3% 2.5% 11.3% Шаблон:N/a
Makert Reports 25–27 Apr 2020 29.1% 34.7% 19.1% 3.6% 2.3% Шаблон:N/a 6.8% 4.2%
Datamarket[18] 1–3 May 2020 27% 37% 7% 6% 4% 2% 6% 11%
Effective Project ComunicationsШаблон:Dead link 4–7 May 2020 32% 44% 8% 6% 4% 1% 2% 3%
José Dorín Cabrera Mercadología 21–23 May 2020 34.2% 23.2% 8.4% Шаблон:N/a Шаблон:N/a 0.5% 30.1% 3.6%
CID Latinoamericana 23–24 May 2020 45% 38% 6% Шаблон:N/a Шаблон:N/a Шаблон:N/a Шаблон:N/a Шаблон:N/a
Datamarket 26–30 May 2020 27% 37% 7% 6% 4% 2% 6% 11%
CYGNAL 26 May–2 Jun 2020 26.7% 40.5% 9.5% Шаблон:N/a Шаблон:N/a Шаблон:N/a Шаблон:N/a Шаблон:N/a
Polimetrics 30–31 May 2020 35.4% 29.9% 8.9% 0.9% Шаблон:N/a Шаблон:N/a 25.7% 9.2%
CID LatinoamericaШаблон:Dead link 9–11 Jun 2020 43% 40% 7% 1% 2% 1% 5% 1%
Mercados y Cuantificaciones 15–17 Jun 2020 34% 47.8% 5.3% 1.1% 1.1% 0.4% 9.3% 1%
ABC Marketing 15–20 Jun 2020 29.8% 46.7% 12.3% 3.1% 6.0% Шаблон:N/a Шаблон:N/a Шаблон:N/a
Market Reports 18–21 Jun 2020 27.3% 33.2% 22.2% 3.6% 2.3% Шаблон:N/a 6.8% 4.6%
GIDL 21–23 Jun 2020 23.7% 34.7% 21.7% 4.2% 1.3% Шаблон:N/a 8.2% Шаблон:N/a
NewPartners 24–25 Jun 2020 28% 50% 6% 0% 1% 1% 13% 1%

Conduct

It was initially reported that representatives of the Organization of American States (OAS) would arrive to the Dominican Republic on 13 February 2020 to monitor the elections.[19][20][21] The general election to elect the President and members of the Dominican Republic parliament, which was postponed from the scheduled 17 May 2020 date due to the COVID-19 pandemic, was later held on 5 July 2020.[22][23]

Local media reported that the elections proceeded smoothly, except for one incident, when a person was shot inside a polling station after an argument erupted between rival party supporters.[24]

Results

President

Luis Abinader won the presidential election in the first round, obtaining over 50% of the vote. During the election count, the ruling Dominican Liberation Party's candidate Gonzalo Castillo conceded defeat, stating that the official count "shows that there is an irreversible trend and that from now on we have a president-elect... Our congratulations to Mr Luis Abinader."[7] Former President Leonel Fernández, who left the ruling party and ran for the presidency as a member of the People's Force party, also conceded defeat.[7] Abinader was sworn in as President of the Dominican Republic on 16 August 2020.[8]

Шаблон:Election results Шаблон:Notelist

Senate

The Modern Revolutionary Party won an absolute majority in the Senate on their own, seeing their seat total increase by 15, while the ruling Dominican Liberation party lost over 75% of their prior seats.

Шаблон:Election results

Chamber of Deputies

The Modern Revolutionary Party won a plurality of votes and seats, seeing their seat count more than double. The ruling Dominican Liberation Party lost nearly 30% of their prior seats. No party has a majority on their own in the Chamber, meaning alliances or coalitions will need to be made to guarantee the passage of bills. A total of 96 seats is needed for a majority.

Шаблон:Election results

References

Шаблон:Reflist

Шаблон:Dominican Republic elections