Английская Википедия:2020 Massachusetts Democratic presidential primary

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Massachusetts sidebar The 2020 Massachusetts Democratic presidential primary took place on March 3, as one of 15 contests scheduled on Super Tuesday in the Democratic Party primaries for the 2020 presidential election, following the South Carolina primary the weekend before. The Massachusetts primary was a semi-closed primary, with the state awarding 114 delegates towards the 2020 Democratic National Convention, of which 91 were pledged delegates allocated on the basis of the results of the primary.

While senators Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren had been thoroughly projected in all pre-election polls and forecasts to compete for victory till the last day, former vice president Joe Biden, who had barely polled over 15% in the state, made an enormous surge and won by a large margin with over 33% of the vote and 37 delegates, continuing his string of Super Tuesday victories.[1][2][3] One of the greatest upsets of the night, Biden most certainly owed his success to the last minute endorsements from former Democratic opponents Pete Buttigieg, Amy Klobuchar and Beto O'Rourke after his South Carolina win.[4][5] Sanders finished behind in second place with nearly 27% and 30 delegates, while Warren's third-place finish in her home state with around 21% of the vote and 24 delegates was regarded the final crush to her candidacy.[6][7] Former mayor Michael Bloomberg did not manage to win any delegates.

Procedure

Massachusetts was one of 14 states and one territory holding primaries on March 3, 2020, also known as "Super Tuesday".[8] Voting took place throughout the state from 7:00 a.m. until 8:00 p.m. in much of the state, with some precincts opening at 5:45 a.m. In the semi-closed primary, candidates had to meet a threshold of 15 percent at the congressional district or statewide level to be considered viable. The 91 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention were allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of these, between 6 and 8 were allocated to each of the state's 9 congressional districts and another 12 were allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 20 at-large delegates.[9]).[10] The Super Tuesday primary as part of Stage I on the primary timetable received no bonus delegates, in order to disperse the primaries between more different date clusters and keep too many states from hoarding on the first shared date or on a March date in general.[11]

After congressional district caucuses on April 25, 2020, during which national convention district delegates were selected, the state party committee met on May 16, 2020 and voted on the 20 at-large and 12 pledged PLEO delegates for the Democratic National Convention. The delegation was joined by 23 unpledged PLEO delegates: 9 members of the Democratic National Committee, 11 members of Congress (both senators, notably Elizabeth Warren, and 9 representatives, including former candidate Seth Moulton), as well as former DNC chairs Steven Grossman, Debra DeLee, and Paul G. Kirk.[10]

Pledged national
convention delegates
Type Шаблон:Abbr Type Шаблон:Abbr
CD1 6 CD6 6
CD2 6 CD7 8
CD3 6 CD8 7
CD4 6 CD9 6
CD5 8
Шаблон:Abbr 12 At-large 20
Total pledged delegates 91

Candidates

The Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth released the following list of candidates on the ballot:[12]

Running Шаблон:Div col

Шаблон:Div col end

Withdrawn Шаблон:Div col

Шаблон:Div col end There were also a write-in option and a "no preference" option on the ballot.[12]

Polling

Polling Aggregation
Source of poll aggregation Date
updated 		Dates
polled 		Bernie
Sanders 		Elizabeth
Warren 		Joe
Biden 		Michael
Bloomberg 		Tulsi
Gabbard 		Others/
UndecidedШаблон:Efn
270 to Win March 3, 2020 Until March 3, 2020 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |22.4% 21.0% 15.0% 13.6% 1.8% 26.2%
FiveThirtyEight March 3, 2020 until March 3, 2020 Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |24.4% 21.0% 18.1% 14.5% 0.4% 21.6%
Average Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |23.4% 21.0% 16.6% 14.0% 1.1% 23.9%
Massachusetts primary results (March 3, 2020) 26.6% 21.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |33.4% 11.7% 0.7% 6.1%
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Massachusetts Democratic Primary
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn 		Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap 		Joe
Biden 		Michael
Bloomberg 		Cory
Booker 		Pete
Buttigieg 		Kamala
Harris 		Amy
Klobuchar 		Beto
O'Rourke 		Deval
Patrick 		Bernie
Sanders 		Elizabeth
Warren 		Other Undecided
Mar 2, 2020 Klobuchar withdraws from the race; endorses Biden
Swayable Шаблон:Webarchive Mar 1–2, 2020 917 (LV) ± 4.0% 17% 18% – 11% – 5% – – Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 27% 15% 8%Шаблон:Efn –
Data for Progress Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 301 (LV) ± 5.6% 26% 15% – 2% – 1% – – 26% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 28% 2%Шаблон:Efn –
Mar 1, 2020 Buttigieg withdraws from the race; endorses Biden
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV Feb 26–29, 2020 500 (LV) - 11.0% 13.0% – 12.4% – 5.0% – – Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|24.2% 22.2% 3.6%Шаблон:Efn 8.6%
WBUR/MassINC Feb 23-26, 2020 426 (LV) ± 4.9% 9% 13% - 14% - 6% - - Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|25% 17% 9%Шаблон:Efn 8%
UMass Amherst Feb 18-24, 2020 400 (LV) ± 5.9% 12% 9% - 14% - 7% - - Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|25% 23% 8%Шаблон:Efn 3%
Falchuk & DiNatale Feb 16-18, 2020 453 (LV) – 13% 13% – 13% – 14% – – Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|17% 16% 5%Шаблон:Efn 8%
University of Massachusetts Lowell Feb 12-19, 2020 450 (LV) ± 6.1% 14% 12% – 15% – 9% – – Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|21% 20% 6%Шаблон:Efn 4%
Feb 12, 2020 Patrick withdraws from the race
Falchuk & DiNatale Jan 27-30, 2020 334 (LV) – 16% 8% – 6% – 7% – 3% 12% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|23% 7%Шаблон:Efn –
Jan 13, 2020 Booker withdraws from the race
Dec 3, 2019 Harris withdraws from the race
Nov 24, 2019 Bloomberg announces his candidacy
Nov 14, 2019 Patrick announces his candidacy
Nov 1, 2019 O'Rourke withdraws from the race
WBUR Oct 16–20, 2019 456 ± 4.6% 18% – 0% 7% 3% 1% 0% – 13% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 33% 7%Шаблон:Efn 15%
Suffolk University Sep 3–5, 2019 500 - Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 26% – 1% 5% 3% 0% 1% – 8% 24% 6%Шаблон:Efn 25%
Aug 23, 2019 Moulton withdraws from the race
Suffolk University Jun 5–9, 2019 370 ± 5.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|22% – 1% 8% 5% 0% 1% – 6% 10% 5%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided| 42%
Apr 25, 2019 Biden announces his candidacy
Apr 22, 2019 Moulton announces his candidacy
Apr 14, 2019 Buttigieg announces his candidacy
Emerson College Шаблон:Webarchive Apr 4–7, 2019 371 ± 5.0% 23% – 2% 11% 7% 2% 8% – Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 26% 14% 8%Шаблон:Efn –
Mar 14, 2019 O'Rourke announces his candidacy
Feb 19, 2019 Sanders announces his candidacy
Feb 10, 2019 Klobuchar announces her candidacy
Feb 9, 2019 Warren announces her candidacy
Feb 1, 2019 Booker announces his candidacy
Jan 21, 2019 Harris announces her candidacy
YouGov/UMass Amherst Nov 7–14, 2018 655 – Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|19% – 3% – 6% 3% 10% 6% 14% 11% 1%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided| 27%
Hypothetical polling with only Biden, Sanders and Warren
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn 		Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap 		Joe
Biden 		Bernie
Sanders 		Elizabeth
Warren 		Undecided
Evan Falchuk and Lou DiNatalie/Commonwealth Magazine Oct 23-25, 2019 443 (LV) – 35% 13% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|41% 11%

Results

Файл:Massachusetts Democratic presidential primary election results by county, 2020 (margins).svg
Results by countyШаблон:LegendШаблон:LegendШаблон:LegendШаблон:Legend

<section begin="MAresults" />

2020 Massachusetts Democratic presidential primary[13]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[14]
Joe Biden 473,861 33.41 37
Bernie Sanders 376,990 26.58 30
Elizabeth Warren 303,864 21.43 24
Michael Bloomberg 166,200 11.72 rowspan=15 Шаблон:N/A
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)Шаблон:Efn 38,400 2.71
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)Шаблон:Efn 17,297 1.22
Tulsi Gabbard 10,548 0.74
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) 6,923 0.49
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)Шаблон:Efn 6,762 0.48
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) 2,708 0.19
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) 1,257 0.09
John Delaney (withdrawn) 675 0.05
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) 617 0.04
Cory Booker (withdrawn) 426 0.03
Julian Castro (withdrawn) 305 0.02
All Others 1,941 0.14
No Preference 5,345 0.38
Blank ballots 4,061 0.29
Total 1,418,180 100% 91

Results by county

2020 Massachusetts Democratic primary

(results per county)[13]

County Joe Biden Bernie Sanders Elizabeth Warren Michael Bloomberg Pete Buttigieg Amy Klobuchar Tulsi Gabbard Deval Patrick Tom Steyer Andrew Yang Michael Bennet John Delaney Marianne Williamson Cory Booker Julian Castro No Preference Blank ballots All Others Total votes cast
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Barnstable 21,423 38.44 12,106 21.72 9,399 16.86 8,011 14.37 2,177 3.91 1,056 1.89 388 0.70 213 0.38 426 0.76 86 0.15 45 0.08 18 0.03 31 0.06 13 0.02 2 0.00 186 0.33 103 0.18 51 0.09 55,734
Berkshire 10,978 38.35 8,196 28.63 5,549 19.38 2,634 9.20 461 1.61 227 0.79 115 0.40 210 0.73 28 0.10 26 0.09 15 0.05 11 0.04 13 0.05 6 0.02 11 0.04 80 0.28 44 0.15 22 0.08 28,626
Bristol 29,181 36.91 22,885 28.94 10,606 13.41 10,350 13.09 2,196 2.78 818 1.03 635 0.80 547 0.69 488 0.62 120 0.15 88 0.11 46 0.06 44 0.06 37 0.05 25 0.03 504 0.64 307 0.39 189 0.24 79,066
Dukes 1,962 32.63 1,632 27.15 1,287 21.41 718 11.94 192 3.19 99 1.65 36 0.60 19 0.32 30 0.50 8 0.13 5 0.08 0 0.00 3 0.05 2 0.03 1 0.02 7 0.12 6 0.10 5 0.08 6,012
Essex 52,900 33.97 41,877 26.89 28,220 18.12 20,661 13.27 4,761 3.06 2,111 1.36 1,482 0.95 852 0.55 890 0.57 264 0.17 167 0.11 79 0.05 67 0.04 49 0.03 48 0.03 586 0.38 445 0.29 268 0.17 155,727
Franklin 4,804 23.54 8,185 40.11 5,159 25.28 1,274 6.24 305 1.49 159 0.78 161 0.79 84 0.41 66 0.32 42 0.21 8 0.04 47 0.23 10 0.05 2 0.01 1 0.00 44 0.22 44 0.22 13 0.06 20,408
Hampden 23,009 36.60 19,260 30.63 8,599 13.68 7,860 12.50 1,170 1.86 599 0.95 484 0.77 537 0.85 141 0.22 118 0.19 165 0.26 62 0.10 30 0.05 28 0.04 44 0.07 319 0.51 257 0.41 189 0.30 62,871
Hampshire 10,722 24.35 15,318 34.78 12,986 29.49 3,052 6.93 721 1.64 426 0.97 231 0.52 141 0.32 57 0.13 58 0.13 17 0.04 9 0.02 16 0.04 8 0.02 6 0.01 146 0.33 86 0.20 41 0.09 44,041
Middlesex 123,553 30.54 99,704 24.64 109,318 27.02 45,727 11.30 11,302 2.79 5,328 1.32 2,733 0.68 1,374 0.34 1,517 0.37 895 0.22 255 0.06 136 0.03 124 0.03 102 0.03 49 0.01 1,269 0.31 827 0.20 404 0.10 404,617
Nantucket 1,055 40.56 624 23.99 384 14.76 373 14.34 66 2.54 35 1.35 15 0.58 9 0.35 17 0.65 4 0.15 2 0.08 4 0.15 1 0.04 0 0.00 0 0.00 9 0.35 2 0.08 1 0.04 2,601
Norfolk 61,914 37.02 36,074 21.57 34,126 20.40 23,101 13.81 4,791 2.86 2,317 1.39 1,352 0.81 658 0.39 862 0.52 345 0.21 102 0.06 55 0.03 68 0.04 42 0.03 11 0.01 694 0.41 467 0.28 275 0.16 167,254
Plymouth 37,270 38.64 23,254 24.11 14,214 14.74 13,390 13.88 3,352 3.48 1,400 1.45 933 0.97 566 0.59 789 0.82 164 0.17 60 0.06 53 0.05 59 0.06 33 0.03 19 0.02 468 0.49 306 0.32 127 0.13 96,457
Suffolk 47,608 29.79 48,636 30.43 41,885 26.21 13,745 8.60 2,513 1.57 965 0.60 819 0.51 974 0.61 377 0.24 312 0.20 213 0.13 103 0.06 70 0.04 59 0.04 52 0.03 464 0.29 818 0.51 196 0.12 159,809
Worcester 47,482 35.18 39,239 29.08 22,132 16.40 15,304 11.34 4,393 3.26 1,757 1.30 1,164 0.86 739 0.55 1,074 0.80 266 0.20 115 0.09 52 0.04 81 0.06 45 0.03 36 0.03 569 0.42 349 0.26 160 0.12 134,957
Total 473,861 33.41 376,990 26.58 303,864 21.43 166,200 11.72 38,400 2.71 17,297 1.22 10,548 0.74 6,923 0.49 6,762 0.48 2,708 0.19 1,257 0.09 675 0.05 617 0.04 426 0.03 305 0.02 5,345 0.38 4,061 0.29 1,941 0.14 1,418,180

Analysis

Файл:2020 Democratic Presidential primary election in Massachusetts by municipalities.svg
Share of the vote by city and town

According to exit polls, Biden overwhelmingly won voters over 50, followed by Warren, while Sanders did the same with voters under 40. Voters between the ages of 40 and 49 years old were split between Biden (32%) and Sanders (31%). Biden also won white voters by 8 points over Sanders and African-American voters by 7 points, while Sanders won the Hispanic/Latino vote over Biden by 13 points. Sanders also won the LGBTQ+ voters over Warren and Biden by 12 and 23 points respectively.[15]

Biden carried 7 of the state's 9 congressional districts: the 1st, 3rd, 4th (where Biden got his widest margin of victory), 5th, 6th, 8th, and the 9th. Sanders carried the remaining districts.[16] The one comprised by the Boston-Metro Area showed the best performance for Sanders, and was the only district where Warren finished second.[17] This was a change from the pre-election prediction that Biden would do better in this district and Sanders worse.[18]

Notes

Polling Notes

Шаблон:Notelist

See also

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Шаблон:2020 Democratic primaries

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  1. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  2. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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  6. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  7. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  8. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  9. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  10. ↑ 10,0 10,1 Шаблон:Cite web
  11. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  12. ↑ 12,0 12,1 Шаблон:Cite tweet
  13. ↑ 13,0 13,1 Шаблон:Cite web
  14. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  15. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  16. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  17. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  18. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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