Английская Википедия:2020 Michigan Democratic presidential primary
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsMI The 2020 Michigan Democratic presidential primary took place on March 10, 2020, as one of several states voting the week after Super Tuesday in the Democratic Party primaries for the 2020 presidential election. The Michigan primary was an open primary,[1] with the state awarding 147 delegates towards the 2020 Democratic National Convention, of which 125 were pledged delegates allocated on the basis of the results of the primary.
Former vice president Joe Biden decisively won the primary and every county in the state, getting almost 53% of the vote and 73 delegates. Senator Bernie Sanders received around 36% of the vote and 52 delegates, marking a clear regression in support for him from 2016, when he edged out Hillary Clinton by 1.42% and won 73 of the state's 83 counties.[2] Biden's victory was powered by support from African Americans, older voters, working class voters, and moderate voters.[3]
Procedure
Michigan was one of six states (along with Democrats Abroad) which held primaries on March 10, 2020, one week after Super Tuesday.[4] Voting took place throughout the state from 7:00 a.m. until 8:00 p.m. local time. In the open primary, candidates had to meet a threshold of 15 percent at the congressional district or statewide level in order to be considered viable. The 125 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention were allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of these, between 4 and 9[5] were allocated to each of the state's 14 congressional districts and another 16 were allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 27 at-large delegates.[6] The March primary as part of Stage I on the primary timetable received no bonus delegates, in order to disperse the primaries between more different date clusters and keep too many states from hoarding on a March date.[7]
After district conventions on May 16, 2020, during which district-level delegates were selected, the state central committee meeting subsequently was held on June 13, 2020, to vote on the 27 at-large and 16 pledged PLEO delegates for the Democratic National Convention. The delegation also included 22 unpledged PLEO delegates: 12 members of the Democratic National Committee, 9 members of Congress (both senators and 7 representatives), and the governor Gretchen Whitmer.[6]
Pledged national convention delegates | |||
---|---|---|---|
Type | Шаблон:Abbr | Type | Шаблон:Abbr |
CD1 | 5 | CD8 | 6 |
CD2 | 5 | CD9 | 7 |
CD3 | 5 | CD10 | 4 |
CD4 | 4 | CD11 | 7 |
CD5 | 6 | CD12 | 7 |
CD6 | 5 | CD13 | 7 |
CD7 | 5 | CD14 | 9 |
Шаблон:Abbr | 27 | At-large | 16 |
Total pledged delegates | 125 |
Candidates
The following people have been included on the list issued by the Michigan Secretary of State for the presidential primary.[8]
Running Шаблон:Div col
Шаблон:Div col end Withdrawn Шаблон:Div col
- Michael BennetШаблон:Efn
- Michael BloombergШаблон:Efn
- Cory Booker
- Pete ButtigiegШаблон:Efn
- Julian Castro
- John DelaneyШаблон:Efn
- Amy KlobucharШаблон:Efn
- Joe Sestak
- Tom SteyerШаблон:Efn
- Elizabeth WarrenШаблон:Efn
- Marianne Williamson
- Andrew YangШаблон:Efn
Шаблон:Div col end There was also an uncommitted option on the ballot.[9]
Polling
Polling aggregation | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated | Dates polled | Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Other/ UndecidedШаблон:Efn | |
270 to Win | Mar 10, 2020 | Mar 4–9, 2020 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 57.0% | 32.3% | 1.3% | 9.4% | |
RealClear Politics | Mar 10, 2020 | Mar 4–9, 2020 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 55.7% | 33.3% | 1.3% | 9.7% | |
FiveThirtyEight | Mar 10, 2020 | until Mar 9, 2020Шаблон:Efn | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|55.3% | 31.9% | 1.2% | 11.6% | |
Average | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |56.0% | 32.5% | 1.3% | 10.2% | |||
Michigan primary results (March 10, 2020) | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |52.9% | 36.4% | 0.6% | 10.1% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Michigan Democratic primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin Шаблон:Nowrap |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided | |
Swayable Шаблон:Webarchive | Mar 9, 2020 | 3,126 (LV) | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|62% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 28% | – | – | 10%Шаблон:Efn | – | |
AtlasIntel | Mar 7–9, 2020 | 528 (LV) | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48% | 3% | – | – | – | – | – | 40% | 1% | – | 3%Шаблон:Efn | 5% | |
Data for Progress | Mar 7–9, 2020 | 320 (LV) | ± 5.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|59% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 38% | – | – | 2%Шаблон:Efn | – | |
Mitchell Research & Communications | Mar 8, 2020 | 602 (LV) | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|54% | 1% | – | 1% | – | 1% | – | 33% | 3% | – | 3%Шаблон:Efn | 5% | |
Target Insyght | Mar 8, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|65% | 2% | – | – | – | 1% | – | 24% | 3% | – | 3%Шаблон:Efn | 1% | |
Concord Public Opinion Partners/ The Welcome Party |
Mar 7–8, 2020 | 305 (LV) | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|54% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23% | – | – | 1%Шаблон:Efn | 22% | |
YouGov/Yahoo News | Mar 6–8, 2020 | –(RV)Шаблон:Efn | ± 5.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|54% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 42% | – | – | – | – | |
Monmouth University | Mar 5–8, 2020 | 411 (LV) | ± 4.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% | 3% | – | <1% | – | <1% | – | 36% | 1% | – | 7%Шаблон:Efn | 2% | |
ROI Rocket | Mar 4–8, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|55% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 45% | – | – | – | – | |
The Progress Campaign (D)[1] | Mar 3–7, 2020 | 417 (RV) | ± 4.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 44% | – | – | 1% | 4%Шаблон:Efn | |
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press | Mar 4–6, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 27% | – | – | 9%Шаблон:Efn | 13%Шаблон:Efn | |
Warren withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Bloomberg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
GlenGariff Group Inc./Detroit News/WDIV-TV | Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|29% | 11% | – | 6% | – | 3% | – | 23% | 7% | – | 6%Шаблон:Efn | 16% | |
South Carolina primary; Steyer withdraws from the race after close of polls | ||||||||||||||||
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison | Feb 11–20, 2020 | 662 (LV) | – | 16% | 13% | – | 11% | – | 8% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|25% | 13% | – | – | 14%Шаблон:Efn | |
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls | ||||||||||||||||
Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University |
Jan 8–20, 2020 | 477 (RV) | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|27% | 9.1% | – | 6.3% | – | 1.9% | – | 21.6% | 13.6% | 3.5% | 5.3%Шаблон:Efn | 10.6% | |
Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Bloomberg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Emerson College | Oct 31 – Nov 3, 2019 | 454 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 34% | – | 3% | 8% | 3% | 0% | – | 28% | 19% | 2% | 3%Шаблон:Efn | – | |
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Siena Research/New York Times | Oct 13–26, 2019 | 203 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 30% | – | 0% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 17% | 21% | 1% | 1%Шаблон:Efn | 23% | |
Kaiser Family Foundation | Sep 23 – Oct 15, 2019 | 208 (LV) | – | 19% | – | 1% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 15% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|25% | 1% | 0%Шаблон:Efn | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|27% | |
Denno Research | Sep 21–24, 2019 | 217 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 27% | – | 1% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 12% | 23% | 1% | 4%Шаблон:Efn | 23%Шаблон:Efn | |
Climate Nexus | Jul 14–17, 2019 | 324 (LV) | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 35% | – | 2% | 4% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 16% | 14% | 1% | 2%Шаблон:Efn | 13%Шаблон:Efn | |
Zogby Analytics | May 23–29, 2019 | 268 | ± 6.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 27% | – | 1% | 9% | 7% | 1% | 4% | 18% | 8% | 2% | 5%Шаблон:Efn | – | |
Denno Research Шаблон:Webarchive | May 8–10, 2019 | 235 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 37% | – | 3% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 16% | 9% | 0% | 4%Шаблон:Efn | 23% | |
Biden announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Buttigieg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
O'Rourke announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Emerson College Шаблон:Webarchive | Mar 7–10, 2019 | 317 | ± 5.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 40% | – | 3% | 0% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 23% | 11% | – | 4%Шаблон:Efn | – |
Results
<section begin="MIresults" /> Шаблон:Election table |+ style="background-color:#f2f2f2;margin-bottom:-1px;border:1px solid #aaa;padding:0.2em 0.4em;" | 2020 Michigan Democratic presidential primary[10] ! Candidate ! Votes ! % ! Delegates[11] |-Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Biden, Joe" | Joe Biden | 840,360 | 52.93 | 73 |- | style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Sanders, Bernie" | Bernie Sanders | 576,926 | 36.34 | 52 |- | style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Bloomberg, Michael" | Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn)Шаблон:Efn | 73,464 | 4.63 | rowspan=14 Шаблон:N/A |- | style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Warren, Elizabeth" | Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn)Шаблон:Efn | 26,148 | 1.65 |- | style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Buttigieg, Pete" |Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)Шаблон:Efn | 22,462 | 1.41 |- | style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Klobuchar, Amy" |Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)Шаблон:Efn | 11,018 | 0.69 |- | style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Gabbard, Tulsi" | Tulsi Gabbard | 9,461 | 0.60 |- | style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Yang, Andrew" | Andrew Yang (withdrawn)Шаблон:Efn | 2,380 | 0.15 |- | style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Steyer, Tom" |Tom Steyer (withdrawn)Шаблон:Efn | 1,732 | 0.11 |- | style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Bennet, Michael" |Michael Bennet (withdrawn)Шаблон:Efn | 1,536 | 0.10 |- | style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Booker, Cory" | Cory Booker (withdrawn) | 840 | 0.05 |- | style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Sestak, Joe" | Joe Sestak (withdrawn) | 757 | 0.05 |- | style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Williamson, Marianne" | Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) | 719 | 0.05 |- | style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Delaney, John" |John Delaney (withdrawn)Шаблон:Efn | 464 | 0.03 |- | style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Castro, Julian" | Julian Castro (withdrawn) | 306 | 0.02 |- | style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="ZZ" | Uncommitted | 19,106 | 1.20 |- ! Total ! 1,587,679 ! 100% ! 125 |}<section end="MIresults" />
See also
Notes
- Additional candidates
References
External links
- Official primary results from the Michigan Secretary of State
- The Green Papers delegate allocation summary
- Michigan Democratic Party delegate selection plan
- FiveThirtyEight Michigan primary poll tracker
Шаблон:2020 Democratic primaries
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