Английская Википедия:2020 North Carolina's 11th congressional district election

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in North Carolina sidebar

The 2020 congressional election in North Carolina's 11th congressional district was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, to determine the next representative to the United States House of Representatives from the 11th district. On December 19, 2019, incumbent representative Mark Meadows announced his retirement and was appointed White House Chief of Staff on March 30, 2020, leaving the seat vacant.[1]

On March 3, 2020, Super Tuesday, the primary for the 11th district was held along with the state of North Carolina at large. Moe Davis was declared the winner of the Democratic primary while no one reached 30% in the Republican primary, triggering a runoff between the top two finishers, Lynda Bennett and Madison Cawthorn. The runoff was held on June 23, 2020, with Cawthorn being declared the winner.[2]

Background and redistricting

Previously North Carolina's 11th congressional district was considered to be one of the most competitive in the Country. Up until 2013, the district was held by Democrat Heath Shuler, one of the leaders of the Blue Dog Coalition, a prominent conservative Democrat House caucus, and former quarterback for the Tennessee Volunteers. In 2011, the Republican-controlled state legislature, under Senator Phil Berger, the North Carolina congressional districts were redistricted. Under the new map, NC-11 was redistricted to where Asheville, a heavily Democratic area, was split in half in what many consider to be a gerrymander. The North Carolina foothills were also added to the district shifting the district to a Cook PVI of R+14.[3][4] Shuler did not run for reelection in 2012 and Mark Meadows won the election.[5]

In November 2019, new congressional districts were drawn for the state. After review by North Carolina judges in December, a new map was mandated to be used for the 2020 elections, which includes the western part of Rutherford County and all of these counties: Avery, Buncombe, Cherokee, Clay, Graham, Haywood, Henderson, Jackson, Macon, Madison, McDowell, Mitchell, Polk, Swain, Transylvania, and Yancey.[6][7] At the time of the election, the district still leaned Republican, going to Trump by 17 points and McCrory by 6, but far more competitive than before.

On December 19, 2019, Mark Meadows announced his retirement from the House of Representatives, leaving the seat vacant, with the filing deadline only being two days away.[1] Over the next 48 hours, a dozen Republicans filed to run for the seat, leaving one of the largest non-jungle primaries of the 2020 election cycle.[8]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

Both the Republican and Democratic primaries for North Carolina's 11th congressional district took place on March 3, 2020. Because no one reached 30% in the Republican primary, a runoff was triggered. The runoff election was held on June 23, 2020.[2]Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

  • Heath Shuler, former U.S. representative for North Carolina's 11th congressional district (2007–2013)[18]

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

General election

The general election for North Carolina's 11th congressional district was held on November 3, 2020, between Moe Davis and Madison Cawthorn. Most pundits, as of July, saw the race as a safely Republican seat. However, recent internal polling from the Moe Davis campaign has brought many to believe the race was more competitive than previously thought.[19]

Candidates

  • Moe Davis, Democrat, retired U.S. Air Force colonel, attorney, former national security specialist for Congress, former law professor at Howard University, retired judge for the U.S. Department of Labor, former Chief Prosecutor of the Guantanamo military commission[15]
  • Madison Cawthorn, Republican, motivational speaker and businessman[10]
  • Tracey DeBruhl, Libertarian, former U.S. Marine and gun rights advocate from Haywood County, North Carolina.[8]
  • Tamara Zwinak, Green, feminist activist.[14]

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
Madison
Cawthorn (R)
Moe
Davis (D)
Other/
Undecided
EMC Research (D) Шаблон:WebarchiveШаблон:Efn September 22–24, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|46%
DCCC Targeting & Analytics Department (D)Шаблон:Efn August 5–6, 2020 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46% 41% 13%Шаблон:Efn
EMC Research (D) Шаблон:WebarchiveШаблон:Efn July 9–12, 2020 402 ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|42% 40%

Analysis

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Шаблон:USRaceRating August 14, 2020
Inside Elections[21] Шаблон:USRaceRating June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Шаблон:USRaceRating September 3, 2020
Politico[23] Шаблон:USRaceRating July 6, 2020
Daily Kos[24] Шаблон:USRaceRating August 31, 2020
RCP[25] Шаблон:USRaceRating June 9, 2020
Niskanen[26] Шаблон:USRaceRating June 7, 2020

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

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County[27] Madison Cawthorn
Republican
Moe Davis
Democratic
Tracey DeBruhl
Libertarian
Tamara Zwinak
Green
Margin Total votes
# % # % # % # % # %
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Avery Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |7,010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |76.15 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |1,956 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |21.25 Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian |130 Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian |1.41 Шаблон:Party shading/Green |110 Шаблон:Party shading/Green |1.19 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |5,054 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |54.90 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |9,206
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Buncombe Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |60,429 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |37.95 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |92,938 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |58.37 Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian |3,482 Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian |2.19 Шаблон:Party shading/Green |2,376 Шаблон:Party shading/Green |1.49 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |-32,509 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |-20.42 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |159,225
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Cherokee Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |12,391 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |76.20 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |3,433 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |21.11 Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian |249 Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian |1.53 Шаблон:Party shading/Green |187 Шаблон:Party shading/Green |1.15 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |8,958 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |55.09 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |16,260
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Clay Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |4,928 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |72.75 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |1,665 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |24.58 Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian |118 Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian |1.74 Шаблон:Party shading/Green |63 Шаблон:Party shading/Green |0.93 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |3,263 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |48.17 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |6,774
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Graham Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |3,522 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |77.10 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |951 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |20.82 Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian |68 Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian |1.49 Шаблон:Party shading/Green |27 Шаблон:Party shading/Green |0.59 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |2,571 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |56.28 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |4,568
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Haywood Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |22,067 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |60.96 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |13,026 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |35.98 Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian |710 Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian |1.96 Шаблон:Party shading/Green |398 Шаблон:Party shading/Green |1.10 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |9,041 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |24.97 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |36,201
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Henderson Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |39,982 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |58.94 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |25,958 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |38.26 Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian |1,205 Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian |1.78 Шаблон:Party shading/Green |695 Шаблон:Party shading/Green |1.02 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |14,024 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |20.67 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |67,840
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Jackson Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |11,102 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |52.39 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |9,283 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |43.80 Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian |474 Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian |2.24 Шаблон:Party shading/Green |333 Шаблон:Party shading/Green |1.57 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |1,819 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |8.58 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |21,192
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Macon Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |13,953 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |68.01 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |6,058 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |29.53 Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian |300 Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian |1.46 Шаблон:Party shading/Green |206 Шаблон:Party shading/Green |1.00 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |7,895 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |38.48 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |20,517
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Madison Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |7,618 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |58.96 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |4,883 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |37.79 Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian |274 Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian |2.12 Шаблон:Party shading/Green |146 Шаблон:Party shading/Green |1.13 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |2,735 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |21.17 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |12,921
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |McDowell Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |16,329 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |71.93 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |5,708 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |25.14 Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian |417 Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian |1.84 Шаблон:Party shading/Green |246 Шаблон:Party shading/Green |1.08 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |10,621 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |46.79 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |22,700
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Mitchell Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |6,868 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |76.91 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |1,862 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |20.85 Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian |134 Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian |1.50 Шаблон:Party shading/Green |66 Шаблон:Party shading/Green |0.74 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |5,006 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |56.06 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |8,930
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Polk Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |7,514 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |61.76 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |4,368 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |35.90 Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian |169 Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian |1.39 Шаблон:Party shading/Green |115 Шаблон:Party shading/Green |0.95 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |3,146 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |25.86 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |12,166
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Rutherford Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |9,155 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |68.98 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |3,758 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |28.31 Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian |214 Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian |1.61 Шаблон:Party shading/Green |145 Шаблон:Party shading/Green |1.09 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |5,397 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |40.66 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |13,272
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Swain Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |3,946 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |56.90 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |2,717 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |39.18 Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian |182 Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian |2.62 Шаблон:Party shading/Green |90 Шаблон:Party shading/Green |1.30 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |1,229 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |17.72 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |6,935
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Transylvania Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |11,321 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |56.13 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |8,248 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |40.89 Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian |390 Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian |1.93 Шаблон:Party shading/Green |211 Шаблон:Party shading/Green |1.05 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |3,073 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |15.23 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |20,170
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Yancey Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |7,216 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |64.04 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |3,797 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |33.70 Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian |166 Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian |1.47 Шаблон:Party shading/Green |89 Шаблон:Party shading/Green |0.79 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |3,419 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |30.34 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |11,268
Totals 245,351 54.50 190,609 42.34 8,682 1.93 5,503 1.22 54,742 12.16 450,145

Шаблон:Collapse bottom

Controversies

Ads in the Republican primary falsely portrayed an audio clip of Lynda Bennett to suggest she was a Never-Trumper, when the full clip showed she was mocking the movement.[28] The Protect Freedom PAC continued to spend $500,000 on ads that largely repeated what Bennett said was a lie and which the PAC admitted they knew was false.[28]

On October 3, 2020, Madison Cawthorn commented "Chill the f*@# out" comment to a person with disabilities who contacted him through social media. John Hart, Cawthorn's campaign spokesman, said Cawthorn is "passionately opposed to identity politics in all its forms whether it seeks to categorize people by race, gender, disability, etc. He understands there is a diversity of views in the disability community, and many other communities, and he rejects the notion we have to conform to a particular perspective. He isn't seeking to deliver a message as much as he wants to be an example of how a person can endure a tremendous tragedy and loss and find renewed meaning and purpose."[29]

On August 26, 2020, Cawthorn travelled to the border to defend construction of the wall. “Sure, there are children being human-trafficked across our border north into our country for sex slavery and many things that are unspeakable and terrible to think of, but what's really going on is we are having a large group of cartels coming into our country, kidnapping our American children and then taking them to sell them on a slave market, on the sex slave market. Tens of thousands of our children are going missing every year and it's because of cartels like MS-13 coming into our country and doing harm.” Cawthorn did not provide the source of his information or respond to questions about why he went to the border wall some 1,500 miles from his district, who paid his expenses, or how he knew the organizers.[30] Cawthorn states "North Carolina, as a whole, is ranked sixth in kidnappings nationwide."[31] The 2018 Amber Alert Report for the National Center for Missing and Exploited Children ranks North Carolina sixth (or 4% of total = 161) with seven amber alerts.[32] In 2018, the Haywood County Sheriff's Office in North Carolina canceled an AMBER Alert for a missing one-year-old boy Thursday night just over an hour after the alert was issued.[33] North Carolina has a total of 50 Amber Alerts from 2013 through 2018.

On August 10, 2020, an article was released by left-wing magazine Jezebel presenting Cawthorn's past described by the article as disturbing. The article mainly discussed how Cawthorn visited the Kehlsteinhaus (Eagle's Nest) in Bavaria, Germany, and posted photos of his visit on Instagram. Many saw these posts as alarming because of his descriptions of the location as being on his "bucket list." Critics of Cawthorn insist the images were in bad faith, citing the facial expressions and gestures of Cawthorn and his friend depicted in the images.[34][35] In addition, the article indicates Cawthorn was rejected by the United States Naval Academy before the accident. Cawthorn stated throughout the campaign his reasoning behind him not going to the Naval Academy was the April 2014 car accident. Details of Cawthorn's business, SPQR Holdings LLC, were brought up as well. The business was created in August 2019, and has since only purchased a six-acre property in Georgia. The article does not mention any sold properties. Many Cawthorn critics have cited how Cawthorn describes himself as a successful businessman, despite supposedly having little business experience.[34][35]

On August 14, 2020, Cawthorn was accused of sexually harassing via an Instagram post. The accuser was Henderson County resident Katrina Krulikas who stated in the post that in 2014, Cawthorn attempted to kiss her and make sexual gestures towards her without her consent.[36] Over the next few days two more accusers came forward. One accuser named Francesca McDaniel claimed Cawthorn forcibly kissed her and grabbed her thigh on the way to a party. When trying to leave, Cawthorn locked the doors and forced her to come to the party even after the incident. A third anonymous woman claims that while Cawthorn attended Patrick Henry College, during a community chapel session, Cawthorn reached under her skirt and grabbed her thigh.[37]

On March 17, 2020, Cawthorn's financial disclosure report does not include 2018, 2019, and 2020 earned income, position, agreements, and compensation in excess of $5,000 paid by one source. The completed form is digitally signed and includes a checked box that statements made "are true, complete, and correct to the best of my knowledge and belief."[38] On October 5, 2020, Cawthorn is quoted "I hold my own company. I've been an investor, a public speaker, so I feel like that's pretty good diverse amount of work experience."[39] Moe Davis raised the issue to Madison Cawthorn that his company, position, and earned income is not on his financial disclosure form in two of the three debates.

On November 17, 2019, Moe Davis tweeted out a joke about a recent hospital visit by Donald Trump stating, "Many people are saying that @realDonaldTrump was being treated at Walter Reed for an acute case of chapped ass caused by the intense and excessive amount of kissing it's gotten from @RepMarkMeadows. Time to boot Gerrymandered Meadows and make #NC11 #MountainStrong!" This comment drew criticism from opponents who called it immature for a congressional candidate to make.[40]

Notes

Шаблон:Notelist

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Шаблон:Elections in North Carolina footer Шаблон:2020 United States elections