Английская Википедия:2020 North Carolina gubernatorial election

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:For Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in North Carolina sidebar The 2020 North Carolina gubernatorial election was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the Governor of North Carolina, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to one-third of the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic Governor Roy Cooper was eligible to run for re-election to a second term in office, and announced his intention to do so on December 5, 2019.[1]

Under a 2018 state law, party primary elections were held on March 3, 2020.[2]

Cooper was re-elected to a second term, defeating the Republican nominee, Lieutenant Governor Dan Forest. Cooper's re-election win makes him the first Governor of North Carolina to win re-election since Mike Easley, who was re-elected in 2004. Once again, Cooper outperformed other Democrats on the ballot. With a margin of 4.51%, this election was the second closest of the 2020 gubernatorial election cycle, the closest being the election in Puerto Rico.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
Roy
Cooper
Ernest
Reeves
Undecided
High Point University Шаблон:Webarchive February 21–28, 2020 269 (LV) Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|74% 13% 13%
468 (RV) Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|68% 14% 18%
SurveyUSA/WRAL-TV February 13–16, 2020 698 (LV) ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|73% 9% 18%
High Point University Шаблон:Webarchive January 31 – February 6, 2020 198 (LV) Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|80% 8% 12%
400 (RV) Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|69% 10% 21%

Results

Файл:North Carolina Governor Democratic Primary, 2020.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
Dan
Forest
Holly
Grange
Pat
McCrory
Undecided
High Point University Шаблон:Webarchive February 21–28, 2020 246 (LV) Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|74% 13% 13%
443 (RV) Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|64% 12% 24%
SurveyUSA/WRAL-TV February 13–16, 2020 698 (LV) ± 5.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|60% 8% 32%
High Point University Шаблон:Webarchive January 31 – February 6, 2020 198 (LV) Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|67% 8% 25%
400 (RV) Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|54% 10% 36%
December 19, 2019 McCrory announces he will not run
Harper Polling (R) December 2–4, 2019 500 (LV) ± 4.38% 31% 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|42% 25%

Results

Файл:North Carolina Governor Republican Primary, 2020.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Other candidates

Libertarian Party

Nominee

Constitution Party

Nominee

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 23, 2020
Inside Elections[11] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 2, 2020
Politico[13] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[14] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 28, 2020
RCP[15] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 2, 2020
270towin[16] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 2, 2020

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Debates

A debate between Cooper and Forest occurred 7:00 pm EDT, October 14, 2020.[17]

Dates Location Cooper Forest Link
October 14, 2020 Raleigh, North Carolina Participant Participant Full debate - C-SPAN

Polling

Шаблон:Graph:Chart

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Roy
Cooper (D)
Dan
Forest (R)
Other /
Undecided
Swayable Шаблон:Webarchive October 27 – November 1, 2020 655 (LV) ± 5.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|55% 43% 2%Шаблон:Efn
Frederick Polls (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua October 30–31, 2020 676 (LV) ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|52% 45% 3%Шаблон:Efn
Emerson College October 29–31, 2020 855 (LV) ± 3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|55%Шаблон:Efn 45% 1%Шаблон:Efn
CNN/SSRS Шаблон:Webarchive October 23–30, 2020 901 (LV) ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|52% 42% 5%Шаблон:Efn
East Carolina University October 27–28, 2020 1,103 (LV) ± 3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|54%Шаблон:Efn 43% 2%Шаблон:Efn
Cardinal Point Analytics (R) October 27–28, 2020 750 (LV) ± 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|47% 45% 8%Шаблон:Efn
Marist College/NBC October 25–28, 2020 800 (LV) ± 4.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|59% 40% 1%Шаблон:Efn
Gravis Marketing October 26–27, 2020 614 (LV) ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% 43% 6%Шаблон:Efn
Meeting Street Insights (R) Шаблон:Webarchive October 24–27, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% 43%
Siena College/NYT Upshot October 23–27, 2020 1,034 (LV) ± 3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% 42% 7%Шаблон:Efn
RMG Research Шаблон:Webarchive October 24–26, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|53% 41% 6%Шаблон:Efn
Swayable October 23–26, 2020 386 (LV) ± 6.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|53% 44% 3%Шаблон:Efn
SurveyUSA/WRAL-TV October 23–26, 2020 627 (LV) ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|53% 42% 6%Шаблон:Efn
YouGov/UMass Amherst October 20–26, 2020 911 (LV) ± 4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|54% 42% 3%Шаблон:Efn
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) Шаблон:Webarchive October 22–25, 2020 504 (LV) ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|52% 42% 5%Шаблон:Efn
Meredith College October 16–19, 2020 732 (LV) ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|52% 34% 16%Шаблон:Efn
East Carolina University October 15–18, 2020 1,155 (LV) ± 3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|53% 44% 2%Шаблон:Efn
Emerson College October 13–14, 2020 721 (LV) ± 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% 46% 4%Шаблон:Efn
Civiqs/Daily Kos October 11–14, 2020 1,211 (LV) ± 3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|53% 46% 1%Шаблон:Efn
Siena College/NYT Upshot October 9–13, 2020 627 (LV) ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% 37% 12%Шаблон:Efn
Monmouth University October 8–11, 2020 500 (RV) ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% 44% 5%Шаблон:Efn
500 (LV)Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|52% 44% 3%Шаблон:Efn
500 (LV)Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% 46% 3%Шаблон:Efn
SurveyUSA October 8–11, 2020 669 (LV) ± 4.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|52% 39% 10%Шаблон:Efn
RMG Research Шаблон:Webarchive October 7–11, 2020 800 (LV) Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% 37% 12%Шаблон:Efn
Public Policy Polling October 4–5, 2020 911 (V) ± 3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|52% 40% 8%Шаблон:Efn
East Carolina University October 2–4, 2020 1,232 (LV) ± 3.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|53% 40% 7%Шаблон:Efn
ALG Research (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua September 22–28, 2020 822 (V) Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|53% 43%
YouGov/UMass Lowell September 18–25, 2020 921 (LV) ± 4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|54% 41% 4%Шаблон:Efn
Meredith College September 18–22, 2020 705 (RV) ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% 39% 11%Шаблон:Efn
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) September 17–20, 2020 612 (LV) ± 3.96% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|46% 39% 14%Шаблон:Efn
Siena College/NYT Upshot September 11–16, 2020 653 (LV) ± 4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|47% 42% 10%Шаблон:Efn
Redfield & Wilton Strategies September 12–15, 2020 1,092 (LV) ± 2.97% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|55% 36% 9%Шаблон:Efn
Suffolk University September 10–14, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% 38% 12%Шаблон:Efn
SurveyUSA September 10–13, 2020 596 (LV) ± 5.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% 42% 10%Шаблон:Efn
CNN/SSRS September 9–13, 2020 787 (LV) ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|53% 44% 2%Шаблон:Efn
893 (RV) ± 4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|53% 42% 5%Шаблон:Efn
Kaiser Family Foundation/Cook Political Report August 29 – September 13, 2020 1,116 (RV) Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48% 38% 14%Шаблон:Efn
Redfield & Wilton Strategies August 30 – September 3, 2020 951 (LV) ± 3.18% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|54% 35% 11%Шаблон:Efn
Monmouth University August 29 – September 1, 2020 401 (RV) ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% 40% 8%Шаблон:Efn
401 (LV)Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% 42% 7%Шаблон:Efn
401 (LV)Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% 42% 7%Шаблон:Efn
East Carolina University August 29–30, 2020 1,101 (LV) ± 3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% 40% 10%Шаблон:Efn
Redfield and Wilton Strategies August 16–19, 2020 967 (LV) ± 3.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% 38% 11%Шаблон:Efn
East Carolina University August 12–13, 2020 1,255 (RV) ± 3.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|52% 38% 11%Шаблон:Efn
Emerson College August 8–10, 2020 673 (LV) ± 3.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% 44% 7%Шаблон:Efn
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) August 6–10, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% 39% 13%Шаблон:Efn
Public Policy Polling (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua July 23–24, 2020 884 (V) ± 3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|53% 42% 5%Шаблон:Efn
Cardinal Point Analytics (R) Шаблон:Webarchive July 22–24, 2020 735 (LV) ± 3.6% 46% 46% 8%Шаблон:Efn
Redfield & Wilton Strategies July 19–23, 2020 919 (LV) ± 3.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% 37% 12%Шаблон:Efn
Marist College/NBC News July 14–22, 2020 882 (RV) ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|58% 38% 4%Шаблон:Efn
Cardinal Point Analytics (R) July 13–15, 2020 547 (LV) ± 4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% 46% 5%Шаблон:Efn
East Carolina University June 22–25, 2020 1,149 (RV) ± 3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% 38% 13%Шаблон:Efn
Public Policy Polling June 22–23, 2020 1,157 (V) ± 2.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% 41% 10%Шаблон:Efn
NYT Upshot/Siena College June 8–18, 2020 653 (RV) ± 4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% 39% 11%Шаблон:Efn
Gravis Marketing (R) June 17, 2020 631 (RV) ± 3.9% 46% 46% 8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies June 14–17, 2020 902 (LV) ± 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|52% 31% 17%Шаблон:Efn
Public Policy Polling June 2–3, 2020 913 ± 3.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% 39% 11%Шаблон:Efn
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) May 26–28, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% 37% 14%Шаблон:Efn
Neighbourhood Research & Media May 12–21, 2020 391 (LV) Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|47% 35% 18%
Meeting Street Insights (R) Шаблон:Webarchive May 9–13, 2020 500 (RV) Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|55% 37% 8%
East Carolina University May 7–9, 2020 1,111 (RV) ± 3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% 36% 13%
Civiqs/Daily Kos May 2–4, 2020 1,362 (RV) ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|53% 44% 3%
Meredith College April 27–28, 2020 604 (RV) ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 52% 32% 16%
SurveyUSA April 23–26, 2020 580 (LV) ± 5.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 57% 30% 13%Шаблон:Efn
Public Policy Polling April 20–21, 2020 1,275 (V) ± 3.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 53% 40% 7%
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D) Шаблон:Webarchive April 13–18, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|55% 36% 9%
Public Policy Polling April 14–15, 2020 1,318 (V) ± 3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 50% 36% 13%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) Шаблон:Webarchive April 5–7, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 50% 33% 17%
East Carolina University February 27–28, 2020 1,288 (RV) ± 3.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% 41% 10%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) Шаблон:Webarchive October 15–17, 2019 500 (LV) ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 46% 36% 18%
Meredith College September 29 – October 7, 2019 996 (RV) ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 46% 33% 21%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) August 1–4, 2019 500 (LV) ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 48% 36% 16%
Public Policy Polling June 17–18, 2019 610 (RV) ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 45% 41% 14%
Harper Polling (R) Шаблон:Webarchive June 8–10, 2019 500 (LV) ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 47% 37% 16%
Emerson College Шаблон:Webarchive May 31 – June 3, 2019 932 (RV) ± 3.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 52% 38% 10%
Spry Strategies (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua May 25 – June 1, 2019 730 (LV) ± 3.5% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 44% 16%
Public Policy Polling January 4–7, 2019 750 (RV) ± 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 47% 35% 18%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

with Holly Grange
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Roy
Cooper (D)
Holly
Grange (R)
Other /
Undecided
East Carolina University February 27–28, 2020 1,288 (RV) ± 3.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% 33% 18%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) Шаблон:Webarchive October 15–17, 2019 500 (LV) ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 46% 27% 27%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) August 1–4, 2019 500 (LV) ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 48% 30% 22%
with Phil Berger
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Roy
Cooper (D)
Phil
Berger (R)
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling June 17–18, 2019 610 (RV) ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 46% 39% 16%
Public Policy Polling January 4–7, 2019 750 (RV) ± 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 48% 34% 18%
with Pat McCrory
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Roy
Cooper (D)
Pat
McCrory (R)
Other /
Undecided
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) Шаблон:Webarchive October 15–17, 2019 500 (LV) ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 44% 38% 18%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) August 1–4, 2019 500 (LV) ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 47% 38% 14%
Public Policy Polling January 4–7, 2019 750 (RV) ± 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 45% 41% 14%
with Tim Moore
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Roy
Cooper (D)
Tim
Moore (R)
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling June 17–18, 2019 610 (RV) ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 46% 38% 16%
Public Policy Polling January 4–7, 2019 750 (RV) ± 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 46% 32% 22%
with Thom Tillis
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Roy
Cooper (D)
Thom
Tillis (R)
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling January 4–7, 2019 750 (RV) ± 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 46% 37% 17%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total

Шаблон:Election box turnout Шаблон:Election box registered electors Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Despite winning a majority of the popular vote, Gov. Roy Cooper only won 5 of 13 congressional districts.[18]

District Forest Cooper Representative
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 42.6% 56.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|G. K. Butterfield
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 31.4% 67.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Deborah K. Ross
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 58.5% 40.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Greg Murphy
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 29.9% 68.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|David Price
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 63.5% 35.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Virginia Foxx
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 34.2% 64.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Kathy Manning
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 54.5% 44.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|David Rouzer
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 49.2% 49.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Richard Hudson
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 50.3% 48.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Dan Bishop
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 63.7% 35.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Patrick McHenry
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 52.2% 46.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Madison Cawthorn
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 27.0% 71.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Alma Adams
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 62.9% 35.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Ted Budd

See also

Notes

Partisan clients

Шаблон:Notelist-ua

General

Шаблон:Notelist

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites

Шаблон:2020 United States elections