Английская Википедия:2020 Trinidad and Tobago general election

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use Trinidadian English Шаблон:Use dmy dates Шаблон:Infobox election

General elections were held in Trinidad and Tobago on Monday, 10 August 2020,[1] to elect 41 members to the 12th Trinidad and Tobago Republican Parliament. It was the 14th election since gaining independence from the United Kingdom in 1962 and the 22nd national election in Trinidad and Tobago ever. Tracy Davidson-Celestine, political leader of the Tobago Council of the People's National Movement (PNM) became the first woman to lead a Tobagonian political party with representation in the House of Representatives. Additionally, two of the three largest parties elected in 2015, the United National Congress (UNC) and the Congress of the People (COP), were led by women.[2]

President Paula-Mae Weekes, with the advice of Prime Minister Keith Rowley, dissolved Parliament and issued the writs for the election on 3 July 2020.[3]

The first-term incumbent People's National Movement (PNM), led by incumbent Prime Minister Keith Rowley, won 22 seats to form a second five-year term majority government by defeating the opposition United National Congress, led by Opposition Leader Kamla Persad-Bissessar.[4][5][6] Her latest in a series of losses at the polls which commenced with the January 2013 Tobago House of Assembly election with the wipeout of her People's Partnership-led administration from the Tobago House of Assembly due to a landslide victory by the Tobago Council of the PNM, losses at the 2013 Trinidadian local elections, St. Joseph and Chaguanas West bye-elections, loss in the 2015 Trinidad and Tobago general election, and subsequent losses in local government bye-elections[7][8] has placed pressure on her to offer her resignation before the 2020 United National Congress leadership election.[9] The UNC finished with 19 seats. The results in six constituencies were subject to recounts, causing the final election results to be delayed by a week.[10] This is the first parliamentary election in Trinidad and Tobago where the result was not finalized the day after the election.[11]

Voters elected the 41 members to the House of Representatives by first-past-the-post voting. Rowley and the new cabinet were sworn in on 19 August 2020.[12]

Electoral system

The 41 members of the House of Representatives are elected by first-past-the-post voting in single-member constituencies. Registered voters must be 18 years and over, must reside in an electoral district/constituency for at least two months prior to the qualifying date, be a citizen of Trinidad and Tobago or a Commonwealth citizen residing legally in Trinidad and Tobago for a period of at least one year.[13]

If one party obtains a majority of seats, then that party is entitled to form the Government, with its leader as Prime Minister. If the election results in no single party having a majority, then there is a hung parliament. In this case, the options for forming the Government are either a minority government or a coalition government.[14]

Parties and candidates

Political parties registered with the Elections and Boundaries Commission (EBC) can contest the general election as a party.[15]

The leader of the party commanding a majority of support in the House of Representatives is the person who is called on by the president to form a government as Prime Minister, while the leader of the largest party or coalition not in government becomes the Leader of the Opposition.[14]

Prior to the election, the People's National Movement, led by Prime Minister Keith Rowley formed a majority government. The largest opposition party was the United National Congress, led by Kamla Persad-Bissessar. The Congress of the People was the sole other party in Parliament, represented by a single MP.

The People's National Movement and the United National Congress have been the two biggest parties, in addition to having supplied every Prime Minister since 1991.[16]

On 14 July 2020, the leader of the Patriotic Front, Mickela Panday, announced that her party will no longer be contesting the 2020 elections due to lack of time to prepare for the August 2020 polls.[17]

The following registered parties are contesting the general election, the People's National Movement is the only party fielding all 41 seats (39 in Trinidad and two in Tobago), 14 parties are contesting seats in Trinidad only and four parties are contesting seats in Tobago only.[18]

Trinidad and Tobago

Party Founded Political position and ideology Leader(s) Leader since Leader's seat Last election At dissolution Contested seats
% party vote Seats
Major party not part of any coalition
Шаблон:Party name with color 1955 Centre to centre-left
Liberalism, Social liberalism, Nationalism
Keith Rowley May 2010 Diego Martin West Шаблон:Percentage bar Шаблон:Composition bar Шаблон:Composition bar 41 seats in Trinidad and Tobago

Trinidad only

Party Founded Political position and ideology Leader(s) Leader since Leader's seat Last election At dissolution Contested seats
% party vote Seats
Major party not part of any coalition
Шаблон:Party name with color 1989 Centre-left
Social democracy, Civic nationalism
Kamla Persad-Bissessar January 2010 Siparia Шаблон:Percentage bar Шаблон:Composition bar Шаблон:Composition bar 39 seats in Trinidad[19]
Better United Coalition
Шаблон:Party name with color 2006 Centre-left
Reformism
Carolyn Seepersad-Bachan[20] November 2017 None Шаблон:Percentage bar Шаблон:Composition bar Шаблон:Composition bar 4 seats in Trinidad
Шаблон:Party name with color 2002 Steve Alvarez[21] April 2002 None Шаблон:Composition bar 1 seat in Trinidad
Шаблон:Party name with color 2019 Nicholas Anthony Williams [22] August 2019[23] None New party Шаблон:Composition bar 1 seat in Trinidad
Not part of any coalition
Шаблон:Party name with color 2017 Phillip Alexander[24] January 2017 None New party Шаблон:Composition bar 28 seats in Trinidad
Шаблон:Party name with color 2015 Marcus Ramkissoon[25] July 2015 None Шаблон:Percentage bar Шаблон:Composition bar Шаблон:Composition bar 7 seats in Trinidad
Шаблон:Party name with color 1994 Social conservatism Fuad Abu Bakr[22] April 2010 None Шаблон:Percentage bar Шаблон:Composition bar Шаблон:Composition bar 6 seats in Trinidad
Шаблон:Party name with color 2009 Left-wing
Socialism, Labourism, Direct democracy
David Abdulah[26] January 2012[27] None Шаблон:Composition bar 5 seats in Trinidad
Шаблон:Party name with color 2019 Diego Martin regionalism Garvin Nicholas [28] September 2019 None New party Шаблон:Composition bar 3 seats in Trinidad
Шаблон:Party name with color 2013 Nalini Dial[29] July 2013 None Шаблон:Percentage bar Шаблон:Composition bar Шаблон:Composition bar 2 seats in Trinidad
Шаблон:Party name with color 2013 Rekha Ramjit[30] October 2015 None Шаблон:Percentage bar Шаблон:Composition bar Шаблон:Composition bar 1 seat in Trinidad
Шаблон:Party name with color 2017 Valmiki Ramsingh[31] July 2017 None New party Шаблон:Composition bar 1 seat in Trinidad
Шаблон:Party name with color 2018 Right-wing
Christian right, Social conservatism
Kenneth Munroe-Brown[32] December 2018 None New party Шаблон:Composition bar 1 seat in Trinidad
Шаблон:Party name with color 2019 Centre to centre-left
Progressivism, Decentralization, Localism
Nikoli Edwards[33] June 2019 None New party Шаблон:Composition bar 1 seat in Trinidad
Шаблон:Party name with color 2020 Kirk Waithe[34] January 2020 None New party Шаблон:Composition bar 1 seat in Trinidad

Tobago only

Party Founded Political position and ideology Leader(s) Leader since Leader's seat Last election At dissolution Contested seats
% party vote Seats
Not part of any coalition
Шаблон:Party name with color 2016 Tobago regionalism Watson Duke[35] July 2016 None New party Шаблон:Composition bar 2 seats in Tobago
Шаблон:Party name with color 2019 Tobago regionalism Hochoy Charles[35] October 2019 None New party Шаблон:Composition bar 1 seat in Tobago
Шаблон:Party name with color 2020 Tobago regionalism Nickocy Phillips[36] July 2020 None New party Шаблон:Composition bar 1 seat in Tobago

Ideology

Significant differences in the programs of the two major parties UNC and PNM cannot be identified. The UNC is traditionally more of an Indo-Trinidadian party, while Afro-Trinidadians and Tobagonians make up the majority of the PNM's base. In Trinidad, however, racial differences play a subordinate role, the dominant subject areas in the media are the stagnating economy and the high rate of violent crime; here both parties claim that they are better suited to combat them.[37] In the closing stages of the election campaign, Prime Minister Rowley and citizens accused the UNC of using racist motives in its advertising campaign.[38]

Some parties only represent regional positions. This applies in particular to the parties PDP and OTV, who are running exclusively in Tobago and advocate for regional interests of the island[35] and the MND, which advocates the interests of the Diego Martin region.[28]

The announcement by the opposition UNC that, in the event of an election victory, would build a “dome” over Trinidad to protect against illegal immigrants, made the election campaign relaxed. Before the UNC made it clear that it meant a radar screen, users of social media picked up the topic and indulged in humorous allusions to domes in films and television series.[39]

Process

The organization of the election was subject to the state Elections and Boundaries Commission (EBC). There were no election observers. Prime Minister Rowley revealed after the election that he had invited observers from CARICOM and the Commonwealth of Nations, but they were unable to pay for the 14-day quarantine required of foreign visitors.[40]

Opinion research in the run-up to the election was carried out by the North American Caribbean Teachers Association (NACTA) and the management consultancy HHB Associates, among others. A NACTA poll shortly after the election date was announced, found that, as in most previous elections, only PNM and UNC would play a role.[41] An HHB poll published July 25 in the Trinidad and Tobago Guardian found the ruling PNM at 53% and the UNC at 44%.[42] A NACTA poll from July 25, however, saw the UNC one percentage point ahead.[43] At this point in time, the tendency, known from previous elections, was that Trinidadians with African roots tend to choose the PNM and Trinidadians with Indian roots rather the UNC.

The resignation of former deputy PNM chairwoman Nafeesa Mohammed on July 28, who accused the PNM leadership of arrogance, ignorance and incompetence, caused a media stir.[44] The Leader of the Opposition, former Prime Minister Kamla Persad-Bissessar, was threatened with death during the election campaign.[45] Minor parties and bodies called on the President to postpone the election in view of the COVID-19 pandemic, which was also rampant in Trinidad, but their requests were denied.[46] A UNC supporter was stabbed on the sidelines of a UNC election campaign on the Saturday before the election.[47]

The polling stations closed at 6:00 p.m. on election Monday.[48]

Marginal seats

The following lists identify and rank seats by the margin by which the party's candidate finished behind the winning candidate in the 2015 election.

For information purposes only, seats that have changed hands through subsequent by elections have been noted. Seats whose members have changed party allegiance are ignored.

Шаблон:Color box = appears in two lists
Marginal seats by party (with winning parties and margins from the 2015 Trinidad and Tobago general election)
colspan="4" style="background:Шаблон:Party color" |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] colspan="4" style="background:Шаблон:Party color" |[[People's Partnership|Шаблон:Black]] [[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]][[People's Partnership|Шаблон:Black]][[Congress of the People (Trinidad and Tobago)|Шаблон:Black]][[People's Partnership|Шаблон:Black]][[Tobago Organisation of the People|Шаблон:Black]])
Marginal
1 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | Barataria/San Juan 3.18% 1 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | Moruga/Tableland 2.53%
2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | Chaguanas East 7.95% 2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | St. Joseph 8.33%
3 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | Pointe-à-Pierre 8.39% 3 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | La Horquetta/Talparo 15.56%
4 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | Mayaro 14.05% 4 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | Tunapuna 19.13%
5 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | Cumuto/Manzanilla 15.95% 5 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | Toco/Sangre Grande 19.20%
6 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | Fyzabad 18.92% 6 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | San Fernando West 19.39%
7 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | Caroni Central 26.11% 7 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | Point Fortin 20.94%
8 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | Tabaquite 31.12% 8 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | Lopinot/Bon Air West 28.10%
9 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | St. Augustine 33.57% 9 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | La Brea 33.45%
10 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | Couva North 34.17% 10 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | D'Abadie/O'Meara 34.20%
11 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | Princes Town 35.60% 11 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | San Fernando East 37.33%
12 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | Couva South 38.83% 12 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | Arima 40.12%
13 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | Caroni East 44.79% 13 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | Diego Martin North/East 41.40%
14 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | Oropouche West 48.70% 14 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | Diego Martin West 55.32%
15 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | Siparia 51.60% 15 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | St. Ann's East 56.55%
16 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | Oropouche East 60.02% 16 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | Diego Martin Central 59.77%
17 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | Naparima 65.53% 17 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | Port of Spain South 60.81%
18 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | Chaguanas West 76.14% 18 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | Tobago East 60.88%
Safe 19 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | Arouca/Maloney 63.10%
20 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | Port of Spain North/St. Ann's West 65.62%
21 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | Tobago West 73.48%
22 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | Laventille East/Morvant 76.84%
23 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | Laventille West 81.07%
24 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | Tobago East 53.78%
25 style="background:Шаблон:Party color | Tobago West 67.24%
Source: Parliamentary Elections, 2015 Final Results – Candidates Vote Count[49]

Members of Parliament not standing for re-election

Trinidad

Retiring incumbent Electoral District Term in office Date announced
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | Surujrattan Rambachan UNC Tabaquite 2010–2020 Шаблон:Dts[50]
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | Fuad Khan UNC Barataria/San Juan 1995–2007; 2010–2020 Шаблон:Dts[51]
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | Ganga Singh UNC Chaguanas West 1995–2007 (Caroni East); 2015–2020 Шаблон:Dts[52]
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | Maxie Cuffie PNM La Horquetta/Talparo 2015–2020 Шаблон:Dts[53]
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | Tim Gopeesingh UNC Caroni East 2007–2020 Шаблон:Dts[54]

Results by constituency

Шаблон:Main Шаблон:Update section Candidate nominations for the election were finalized on Nomination Day (July 17, 2020). The full candidate list is presented below,[18] along with the incumbent candidates before the election.[55] Non-minister MPs who are not standing for re-election are marked (†)[56] Government ministers are in bold, and party leaders are in italics.

Trinidad (39 constituencies) & Tobago (2 constituencies)

Electoral District Electorate Turnout % Candidates Votes % Incumbent
Arima 26,382 13,488 51.13% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Pennelope Beckles-Robinson 9,293 69.05 rowspan="4" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Anthony Garcia
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Flora Singh 3,858 28.7
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Progressive Empowerment Party|Шаблон:White]] Sharon Hernandez 122 0.9
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[National Coalition for Transformation|Шаблон:Black]] Nalini Dial 95 0.7
Arouca/Maloney 26,673 15,522 58.19% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Camille Robinson-Regis 12,697 82.10 rowspan="2" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Camille Robinson-Regis
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Cherry-Ann David 2,768 17.9
Barataria/San Juan 25,690 15,771 61.39% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Saddam Hosein 8,300 52.7 rowspan="3" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Fuad Khan
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Jason 'JW' Williams 7,240 45.99
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Progressive Empowerment Party|Шаблон:White]] Albertha Purdeen 204 1.3
Caroni Central 30,107 18,677 62.04% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Arnold Ram 11,511 61.7 rowspan="3" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Bhoendradatt Tewarie
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Reyad Ali 6,890 36.95
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Progressive Empowerment Party|Шаблон:White]] Lorena Lucien 245 1.3
Caroni East 29,031 17,415 59,99% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Rishi Seecharran 12,819 73.7 rowspan="3" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] † Tim Gopeesingh
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Sharon Archie 4,271 24.57
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Progressive Empowerment Party|Шаблон:White]] Dave Babwah 296 1.7
Chaguanas East 26,923 17,123 63.60% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Vandana Mohit 8,968 52.5 rowspan="4" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Fazal Karim
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Clarence Rambharat 7,882 46.2
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Progressive Empowerment Party|Шаблон:White]] Robert Matthew Gibbs 143 0.8
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Independent (politician)|Шаблон:Black]] Shiraz Khan 79 0.5
Chaguanas West 28,625 17,896 62,52% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Dinesh Rambally 15,502 88.5 rowspan="3" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] † Ganga Singh
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Rackeal Bissoon 1,878 10.52
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Progressive Empowerment Party|Шаблон:White]] Rahman Ali 138 0.8
Couva North 29864 18,238 61.07% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Ravi Ratiram 12,633 69.4 rowspan="4" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Ramona Ramdial
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Sharda Satram 5,222 28.67
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Progressive Empowerment Party|Шаблон:White]] Rohanie Debideen 259 1.4
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Congress of the People (Trinidad and Tobago)|Шаблон:White]]Шаблон:White Joel Ramdhanie 99 0.5
Couva South 30348 18,281 60.24% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Rudranath Indarsingh 12,597 69.0 rowspan="3" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Rudranath Indarsingh
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Rajendra Rampersad 5,542 30.38
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Trinidad Humanity Campaign|Шаблон:White]] Linnell Doolan 106 0.6
Cumuto/Manzanilla 30468 18,702 61.38% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Rai Ragbir 10,901 58.4 rowspan="4" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Christine Newallo-Hosein
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Ronney Lochan 7,557 40.52
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Progressive Empowerment Party|Шаблон:White]] Anthony Henry 158 0.8
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Trinidad Humanity Campaign|Шаблон:White]] Christopher Mathura 35 0.2
D'Abadie/O'Meara 30788 17,844 57.96% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Lisa Morris-Julian 11,864 66.70 rowspan="3" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Ancil Antoine
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Maurice Hoyte 5,783 32.5
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Trinidad Humanity Campaign|Шаблон:White]] Peter Amann 139 0.8
Diego Martin Central 29609 14,346 48.45% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Symon De Nobrega 10,627 74.39 rowspan="6" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Darryl Smith
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] John Ricardo Laquis 2,693 11.1
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Progressive Empowerment Party|Шаблон:White]] Felicia Holder 404 2.8
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[New National Vision|Шаблон:White]] Ashton Francis 69 0.5
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Movement for National Development (Trinidad and Tobago)|Шаблон:White]] Garvin Nicholas 374 2.6
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Movement for Social Justice|Шаблон:White]] Renee St Rose 120 0.8
Diego Martin North/East 29273 13,858 47.34% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Colm Imbert 10,218 73.92 rowspan="5" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Colm Imbert
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Eli Zakour 2,827 20.5
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Progressive Empowerment Party|Шаблон:White]] Phillip Edward Alexander 426 3.1
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Movement for National Development (Trinidad and Tobago)|Шаблон:White]] Myron Bruce 209 1.5
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Congress of the People (Trinidad and Tobago)|Шаблон:White]]Шаблон:White Lonsdale Williams 133 1.0
Diego Martin West 29886 13,948 46.67% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Keith Rowley 10,791 77.58 rowspan="4" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Keith Rowley
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Marsha Riley-Walker 2,569 18.5
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Trinidad Humanity Campaign|Шаблон:White]] Zafir David 93 0.7
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Movement for National Development (Trinidad and Tobago)|Шаблон:White]] Dexter Nicholls 456 3.3
Fyzabad 29886 18,045 65.74% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Lackram Bodoe 10,850 60.3 rowspan="4" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Lackram Bodoe
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Solange De Souza 6,888 38.25
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Progressive Empowerment Party|Шаблон:White]] Alice Narine 143 0.8
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Movement for Social Justice|Шаблон:White]] Radhaka Gualbance 127 0.7
La Brea 26008 15,571 59.87% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Stephen McClatchie 9,342 60.27 rowspan="4" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Nicole Olivierre
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Victor Roberts 5,735 37.0
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Progressive Empowerment Party|Шаблон:White]] Rondoll Glasgow 129 0.8
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[New National Vision|Шаблон:White]] Callum Marshall 71 0.5
La Horquetta/Talparo 27528 17,698 64.29% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Foster Cummings 9,714 55.03 rowspan="3" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] † Maxie Cuffie
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Jearlean John 7,793 44.15
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Progressive Empowerment Party|Шаблон:White]] Benet Thomas 145 0.82
Laventille East/Morvant 26644 12,568 47.17% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Adrian Leonce 10,356 82.66 rowspan="4" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Adrian Leonce
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Kareem Baird 1,965 15.7
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Progressive Empowerment Party|Шаблон:White]] Christopher Roberts 169 1.3
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[New National Vision|Шаблон:White]] Umar Khan 39 0.3
Laventille West 25585 11,183 43.71% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Fitzgerald Hinds 9,310 83.51 rowspan="6" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Fitzgerald Hinds
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Rodney Stowe 1,324 11.9
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Progressive Empowerment Party|Шаблон:White]] Natalia Moore 126 1.1
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[New National Vision|Шаблон:White]] Sandra Emmanuel 31 0.3
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Congress of the People (Trinidad and Tobago)|Шаблон:White]]Шаблон:White Kurt Sinnette 47 0.4
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Nationwide Organisation of We the People|Шаблон:White]] Kirk Waithe 310 2.8
Lopinot/Bon Air West 27864 17,171 61.62% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Marvin Gonzales 9,608 56.07 rowspan="4" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Cherrie Ann Crichlow-Cockburn
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Prakash Williams 3,587 20.9
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Progressive Empowerment Party|Шаблон:White]] Dominique Lopez 123 0.7
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Independent Liberal Party (Trinidad and Tobago)|Шаблон:White]] Jack Warner 3,817 22.3
Mayaro 28834 18,036 62.55% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Rushton Paray 10,593 59.0 rowspan="3" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Rushton Paray
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Bunny Mahabirsingh 7,229 40.26
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Progressive Empowerment Party|Шаблон:White]] Sterling Lee Ha 133 0.7
Moruga/Tableland 29043 20,141 69.35% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Michelle Benjamin 10,534 52.5 rowspan="5" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Lovell Francis
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Winston 'Gypsy' Peters 9,482 47.14
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Democratic Party of Trinidad and Tobago|Шаблон:White]] Шаблон:White Steve Alvarez 37 0.2
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Trinidad Humanity Campaign|Шаблон:White]] Larry Sanchar 12 0.1
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Independent (politician)|Шаблон:Black]] Thomas Sotillio 12 0.1
Naparima 27066 16,046 59,28% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Rodney Charles 13,306 83.2 rowspan="2" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Rodney Charles
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Randy Sinanan 2,686 16.80
Oropouche East 28271 17,205 60.86% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Roodal Moonilal 13,737 80.1 rowspan="2" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Roodal Moonilal
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Clifford Rambharose 3,416 19.91
Oropouche West 25289 15,534 61.43% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Davendranath Tancoo 11,535 74.5 rowspan="3" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Vidia Gayadeen-Goopeesingh
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Lea Ramoutar 3,708 23.93
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Progressive Empowerment Party|Шаблон:White]] Sasha Ali 250 1.6
Point Fortin 26003 15,696 60.36% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Kennedy Richards Jr. 9,276 59.23 rowspan="5" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Edmund Dillon
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Taharqa Obika 5,761 36.8
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Progressive Empowerment Party|Шаблон:White]] Kenesha Ramsoondar 58 0.4
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Movement for Social Justice|Шаблон:White]] Ernesto Kesar 545 3.5
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Trinidad and Tobago Democratic Front|Шаблон:White]] Nicholas Anthony Williams 20 0.1
Pointe-à-Pierre 25096 16,615 66.21% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] David Lee 8,869 53.5 rowspan="4" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] David Lee
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Daniel Dookie 7,357 44.38
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Progressive Empowerment Party|Шаблон:White]] Marvyn Howard 144 0.9
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Movement for Social Justice|Шаблон:White]] David Abdulah 208 1.3
Port of Spain North/St. Ann's West 25003 11,686 46.74% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Stuart Young 9,475 81.41 rowspan="4" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Stuart Young
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Darren Garner 1,705 14.7
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Progressive Empowerment Party|Шаблон:White]] Limma Mc Leod 385 3.3
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Unrepresented People’s Party|Шаблон:White]] Kenneth Munroe-Brown 73 0.6
Port of Spain South 24754 10,478 42.33% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Keith Scotland 8,202 78.44 rowspan="4" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Marlene McDonald
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Curtis Orr 1,850 17.7
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Progressive Empowerment Party|Шаблон:White]] Gail Castanada 257 2.5
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[New National Vision|Шаблон:White]] Fuad Abu Bakr 145 1.4
Princes Town 27178 16,229 59.71% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Barry Padarath 11,280 69.6 rowspan="3" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Barry Padarath
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Sharon Baboolal 4,708 29.07
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Progressive Empowerment Party|Шаблон:White]] Kim Young Low 209 1.3
San Fernando East 25008 14,589 58.34% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Brian Manning 9,864 67.78 rowspan="2" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Randall Mitchell
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Monifa Andrews 4,689 32.2
San Fernando West 25035 15,607 62.34% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Faris Al-Rawi 8,459 54.31 rowspan="5" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Faris Al-Rawi
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Sean Sobers 6,754 43.36
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Progressive Empowerment Party|Шаблон:White]] Benison Jagessar 128 0.82
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Progressive Party (Trinidad and Tobago)|Шаблон:White]] Nikoli Edwards 212 1.36
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[The National Party (Trinidad and Tobago)|Шаблон:White]] Valmiki Ramsingh 23 0.15
Siparia 28663 17,398 60.70% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Kamla Persad-Bissessar 13,487 77.8 rowspan="2" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Kamla Persad-Bissessar
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Rebecca Dipnarine 3,855 22.23
St. Ann's East 29454 14,790 50.21% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Nyan Gadsby-Dolly 10,979 74.46 rowspan="3" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Nyan Gadsby-Dolly
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Kenya Charles 3,438 23.3
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Progressive Empowerment Party|Шаблон:White]] Akil Camps 327 2.2
St. Augustine 29454 17,705 63.02% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Khadijah Ameen 11,943 67.6 rowspan="5" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Congress of the People (Trinidad and Tobago)|Шаблон:White]] Prakash Ramadhar
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Renuka Sagramsingh-Sookal 5,264 29.80
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Progressive Empowerment Party|Шаблон:White]] Satesh Ramsaran 235 1.3
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Trinidad Humanity Campaign|Шаблон:White]] Michlin Hosein-Phelps 33 0.2
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Congress of the People (Trinidad and Tobago)|Шаблон:White]]Шаблон:White Carolyn Seepersad-Bachan 188 1.0
St. Joseph 28452 18,193 63.94% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Terrence Deyalsingh 9,362 51.58 rowspan="4" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Terrence Deyalsingh
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Ahloy Hunt 8,539 47.04
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Independent (politician)|Шаблон:Black]] Errol Fabien 220 1.21
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Trinidad Humanity Campaign|Шаблон:White]] Joel Williams 30 0.17
Tabaquite 28832 16,918 58,68% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Anita Haynes 11,440 67.8 rowspan="3" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Surujrattan Rambachan
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Michael Seales 5,209 30.9
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Progressive Empowerment Party|Шаблон:White]] Carl Henry 221 1.3
Tobago East 23102 13,113 56.76% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Tobago Council of the People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Ayanna Webster-Roy 7,127 54.52 rowspan="3" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " | [[Tobago Council of the People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Ayanna Webster-Roy
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Progressive Democratic Patriots|Шаблон:White]] Watson Duke 5,866 44.9
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[One Tobago Voice|Шаблон:Black]] Juliana Henry-King 80 0.6
Tobago West 27686 13,811 49.88% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Tobago Council of the People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Shamfa Cudjoe 9,275 66.74 rowspan="4" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " | [[Tobago Council of the People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Shamfa Cudjoe
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Progressive Democratic Patriots|Шаблон:White]] Tashia Grace Burris 4,501 32.5
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Unity of the People (Trindiad and Tobago)|Шаблон:White]] Nickocy Phillips 40 0.3
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Independent (politician)|Шаблон:Black]] Ricardo Phillip 43 0.3
Toco/Sangre Grande 31096 18,226 58.61% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Roger Munroe 10,694 58.88 rowspan="3" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Glenda Jennings-Smith
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] Nabila Greene 7,303 40.21
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Progressive Empowerment Party|Шаблон:White]] Kevon Hernandez 168 0.91
Tunapuna 27433 17,316 63.12% style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Esmond Forde 9,460 54.75 rowspan="4" style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] Esmond Forde
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] David Nakhid 7,533 43.60
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Progressive Empowerment Party|Шаблон:White]] Maurice Downes 228 1.32
style="background:Шаблон:Party color " |[[Trinidad Humanity Campaign|Шаблон:White]] Marcus Ramkissoon 58 0.34

Campaign slogans

Party Slogan
Шаблон:Party name with color "The right choice."[57][58]
Шаблон:Party name with color "Now is the time."[59]
Шаблон:Party name with color "Making the quantum leap."[60]
Шаблон:Party name with color "The way forward for Trinidad and Tobago."[61]
Шаблон:Party name with color "People first."[23]
Шаблон:Party name with color "Time for real change."[62]
Шаблон:Party name with color "Good governance is at your fingertips."[63]
Шаблон:Party name with color "Believe in better."[64]
Шаблон:Party name with color "Create a balance."[26]
Шаблон:Party name with color "We are from Diego Martin, for Diego Martin."[65]
Шаблон:Party name with color "Think before you ink."[29]
Шаблон:Party name with color "Performance, Representation, Action" [66]
Шаблон:Party name with color "Change not exchange!"[31]
Шаблон:Party name with color
Шаблон:Party name with color "Progressive 2020. The new normal."[67]
  • Progressive Party - De Guiding Flame (2020)[68]
Шаблон:Party name with color "Time is now."[69]
Шаблон:Party name with color "People before politics."[70]
Шаблон:Party name with color “Tobago must play as a team or lose by the fault.”[35]
Шаблон:Party name with color

Opinion polls

The North American Caribbean Teachers Association (NACTA) based in New York (led by political analyst Vishnu Bisram), pollster Nigel Henry's Solution by Simulation and pollster Louis Bertrand's H.H.B (H.H.B) & Associates have commissioned opinion polling for the next general election sampling the electorates' opinions.

Graphical summary

Шаблон:Graph:Chart Шаблон:Graph:Chart Шаблон:Graph:Chart

Seat projections

Date[nb 1] Pollster Sample size class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" data-sort-type="number" |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" number" |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" number" |[[Congress of the People (Trinidad and Tobago)|Шаблон:White]] class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"|Шаблон:Black Legislative majority
10 Aug 2020 2020 general election 22 19 0 0 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="22" |3
3 Jul 2020 Prime Minister Keith Rowley announces that the election will take place on 10 August 2020 and parliament is dissolved.
1 Jun 2020 COVID-19 lockdown ends
6 May 2020 Ancil Dennis becomes Chief Secretary of Tobago[71][72]
14 Apr 2020 COP, PPM, ⁠DPTT and ⁠TTDF agree to form a coalition[73]
30 Mar 2020 Trinidad and Tobago commences a nationwide lockdown due to the COVID-19 pandemic
12 Mar 2020 The first case of COVID-19 is confirmed in Trinidad and Tobago, pre-campaigning partially suspended on 13 March[74][75]
26 Jan 2020 2020 Tobago Council of the PNM election; Tracy Davidson-Celestine is elected leader
2 Dec 2019 PNM wins more districts, ties in number of corporations won to the UNC in the 2019 Trinidadian local elections
1 Oct 2019 The 2019 budget is delivered
Aug 2019 NACTA/Newday[76] 23 18 0 0 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="5" | 5
Apr 2019 NACTA/Newsday[77] 26 15 0 0 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="11" | 11
Mar 2019 NACTA/Newsday[78] 540 25 16 0 0 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="9" | 9
1 Oct 2018 The 2018 budget is delivered
Sep 2018 NACTA/Newsday[79] 23 18 0 0 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="5" | 5
16 July 2018 Barataria and Belmont East Local Government By-Elections
19 Jan 2018 2018 Trinidad and Tobago presidential election; Paula-Mae Weekes is elected president
19 Nov 2017 Carolyn Seepersad-Bachan is elected leader of the COP[20][80][81][82]
23 Jan 2017 The Tobago Council of the PNM wins the 2017 Tobago House of Assembly election; Kelvin Charles becomes Chief Secretary of Tobago
7 Oct 2017 The 2017 budget is delivered
28 Nov 2016 PNM wins the 2016 Trinidadian local elections
30 Sep 2016 The 2016 budget is delivered
10 Jul 2016 Anirudh Mahabir is elected leader of the COP[83][84]
3 Jul 2016 Kelvin Charles is elected leader of the Tobago Council of the PNM[85]
15 Dec 2015 The People's Partnership splits up[86]
7 Dec 2015 PNM wins the Auzonville/Tunapuna and Malabar South Local Government By-Elections
28 Sep 2015 The 2015 budget is delivered
9 Sep 2015 Keith Rowley is sworn in as Prime Minister of Trinidad and Tobago
7 Sep 2015 2015 general election 23 17 1 0 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="5" | 5

Шаблон:-

Individual polls

Date[nb 1] Pollster Sample size class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" data-sort-type="number" |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" number" |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" number" |Шаблон:White class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" number" |Шаблон:White class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" number" |Шаблон:White class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"|Шаблон:Black Lead
10 Aug 2020 2020 general election 49.1 47.1 1.6 0.9 0.1 1.3 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="1.99" |1.99
July 24–31, 2020 SBS/Express[87] 473 43 38 1 1 1 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="5" |5
July 25, 2020 NACTA/Newsday[88] 44 45 1
July 2020 H.H.B. & Associates/Guardian Media[89] 600 35 29 0 2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="6" | 6
7 Sep 2015 2015 general election 51.7 39.6 6.0 3.7 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="12.1" | 12.1

Regional/Subnational polls

Tobago East

Date[nb 1] Pollster Sample size class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" data-sort-type="number" |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" number" |Шаблон:White class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" |Шаблон:Black Lead
10 Aug 2020 2020 general election 54.35 44.74 0.91 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="9.61" |9.61
July 2020 NACTA/Newsday[90] (380) 47 42 11 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="5" | 5
7 Sep 2015 2015 general election 69.48 30.52 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="53.78" | 53.78

Tobago West

Date[nb 1] Pollster Шаблон:Nowrap class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" data-sort-type="number" |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" number" |Шаблон:White class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" |Шаблон:Black Lead
10 Aug 2020 2020 general election 66.81 32.42 0.77 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="34.39" |34.39
July 2020 NACTA/Newsday[90] (380) 48 40 12 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="9" | 9
7 Sep 2015 2015 general election 79.20 20.8 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="67.24" | 67.24

Moruga/Tableland

Date[nb 1] Pollster Sample size class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" data-sort-type="number" |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" number" |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" |Шаблон:Black Lead
10 Aug 2020 2020 general election 35.92 52.34 11.74 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="16.42" |Шаблон:Black
July 25, 2020 H.H.B. & Associates/Guardian Media[91] 200 34 23 43 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="11" |11
7 Sep 2015 2015 general election 51.15 48.62 0.23 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="2.53" | 2.53

Шаблон:-

St. Joseph

Date[nb 1] Pollster Шаблон:Nowrap class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" data-sort-type="number" |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" number" |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" |Шаблон:Black Lead
10 Aug 2020 2020 general election 51.42 46.96 1.62 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="4.46" |4.46
July 25, 2020 H.H.B. & Associates/Guardian Media[91] 200 40 31 29 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="9" |9
7 Sep 2015 2015 general election 53.77 45.44 0.79 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="8.33" | 8.33

San Fernando West

Date[nb 1] Pollster Шаблон:Nowrap class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" data-sort-type="number" |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" number" |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" |Шаблон:Black Lead
10 Aug 2020 2020 general election 54.51 42.87 2.62 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="11.64" |11.64
July 25, 2020 H.H.B. & Associates/Guardian Media[92] 49 29 22 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="20" |20
7 Sep 2015 2015 general election 59.24 39.85 0.91 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="19.39" | 19.39

Tunapuna

Date[nb 1] Pollster Шаблон:Nowrap class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" data-sort-type="number" |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" number" |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" |Шаблон:Black Lead
10 Aug 2020 2020 general election 54.63 43.51 1.86 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="11.12" |11.12
July 25, 2020 H.H.B. & Associates/Guardian Media[93] 39 23 38 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="16" |16
7 Sep 2015 2015 general election 59.42 40.29 0.29 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="19.13" |19.13

Toco/Sangre Grande

Date[nb 1] Pollster Sample size class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" data-sort-type="number" |[[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" number" |[[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" |Шаблон:Black Lead
10 Aug 2020 2020 general election 58.66 40.10 1.24 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="18.23" |18.23
July 25, 2020 H.H.B. & Associates/Guardian Media[94] 32 19 49 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="13" |13
7 Sep 2015 2015 general election 59.04 39.84 0.91 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="19.20" |19.20

Satisfaction

Date[nb 1] Firm Interview Mode Шаблон:Nowrap Nathalie Arthaud Nathalie Arthaud
Rowley

(PNM)

Persad-Bissessar

(UNC)

Satisfied Dissatisfied Never heard of Satisfied Dissatisfied Never heard of
July 2020 H.H.B. & Associates/Guardian Media[95] Face-to-face 600 57% 43% 0% 53% 44% 3%
31 May 2020 NACTA/Newsday[96] n/a n/a 53% n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
March 2020 NACTA/Newsday[96] n/a n/a 46% n/a n/a 55% n/a n/a
1–7 September 2019 SBS/Express[97] Telephone n/a 50% 38% n/a n/a n/a n/a
8 March 2019 NACTA/Newsday[78] Face-to-face 540 40% 47% n/a 42% 44% n/a
24 September 2017 NACTA/Newsday[98] Face-to-face 390 40% n/a n/a 42% n/a n/a
1–3 September 2017 H.H.B. & Associates/Guardian Media[99] Telephone 301 32% n/a n/a 43% 38% n/a
July 2017 NACTA/Newsday[98] Face-to-face 410 41% n/a n/a 43% n/a n/a
June 2017 NACTA/Newsday[98] Face-to-face 380 42% n/a n/a 43% n/a n/a
30 August – 5 September 2016 SBS/Express[100] Telephone 601 51% n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
^ Remainder were "undecided".

Шаблон:-

Preferred Prime Minister

Date[nb 1] Firm Interview Mode Шаблон:Nowrap Nathalie Arthaud Nathalie Arthaud Lead
Rowley

(PNM)

Persad-Bissessar

(UNC)

July 2020 H.H.B. & Associates[95] Face-to-face 600 39% 34% 5%
March 2020 NACTA[96] n/a n/a 43% 45% 2%
^ Remainder were "undecided".

Шаблон:-

Government direction

Date[nb 1] Polling organisation Interview Mode Шаблон:Nowrap Right direction Wrong direction Lead
4 August 2020 SBS/Express[87] Telephone 473 47 41 6
24 September 2017 NACTA[98] Face-to-face 390 n/a 89 n/a
1–3 September 2017 H.H.B. & Associates[99] Telephone 301 n/a 83 n/a
July 2017 NACTA[98] Face-to-face 410 n/a 85 n/a
June 2017 NACTA[98] Face-to-face 380 n/a 83 n/a

Шаблон:-

Voter demographics

Voter demographic data for 2020 were collected by Solution by Simulation Ltd (SBS) for the Trinidad Express Newspapers completed by 473 likely voters in Trinidad and Tobago by phone and H.H.B. & Associates for the Trinidad and Tobago Guardian completed by 600 registered voters face-to-face suggested the following demographic breakdown:

2020 Trinidad & Tobago general election voter demographics (SBS)[87][101][102]
Social group style="width:60px;" class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | [[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] style="width:60px;" class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | [[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] % Lead
Total vote 43 38 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" | 5
Voter expectation (Better chance of winning) 47 35 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |12
Gender
Women n/a n/a style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" | n/a
Age
18–39 50 42 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" | 8
40–64 41 35 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" | 6
65+ 45 42 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" | 3
First time voter
Yes n/a n/a style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |n/a
Employment
Employed n/a n/a style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |n/a
Retirees n/a n/a style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |n/a
Unemployed n/a n/a style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:black;" | n/a
Race/ethnic group
African descent 77 13 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" | 64
East Indian descent 10 77 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:black;" | 67
Mixed descent 48 23 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" | 25
Traditional election vote
PNM 85 9 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" | 76
UNC 11 82 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:black;" | 71
Floating / 3rd Party 30 26 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" | 4
Country direction
Believes country is in right direction 77 11 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" | 66
Believes country is on wrong track 9 72 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:black;" | 63
Likeliness of voting
Very Likely 46 39 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" | 7
Somewhat Likely 22 31 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" | 9
Issue regarded as most important
Coronavirus 65 18 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" | 47
Corruption 31 48 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:black;" | 17
Crime 36 50 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:black;" | 14
Economy 26 53 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:black;" | 27
Performance-minded and issue-based voters
Performance-minded 37 50 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:black;" | 13
Issue-based 64 27 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" | 37
Quality of representation over other concerns n/a n/a style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:black;" | n/a
Public perception
Ability to build and maintain infrastructure n/a n/a style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:black;" | 8
Ability to reduce crime n/a n/a style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |n/a
COVID-19
More capable of handling the pandemic n/a n/a style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |n/a

Шаблон:-

2020 Trinidad & Tobago general election voter demographics in Trinidad (H.H.B. & Associates)[103]
Social group style="width:60px;" class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | [[People's National Movement|Шаблон:White]] style="width:60px;" class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | [[United National Congress|Шаблон:Black]] style="width:60px;" class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" |[[Congress of the People (Trinidad and Tobago)|Шаблон:White]] %Others % Lead
Total vote 35.10 29.10 0.40 1.60 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" | 6.00
Race/ethnic group
Afro-Trinidadian 61.20 5.70 0.00 2.40 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" | 55.50
Indo-Trinidadian 7.30 54.70 0.00 0.40 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:black;" | 47.40
Other / Mixed 44.10 18.90 1.80 2.70 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" | 25.20
Top Three Issues
Utilities (Water, light, etc.) 30 34 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:black;" | 4
Unemployment/Jobs 35 36 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:black;" | 1
Youth training and development 40 n/a style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" | n/a
Race/ethnic group style="width:60px;" class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" |[[Keith Rowley|Шаблон:White]] style="width:60px;" class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" |[[Kamla Persad-Bissessar|Шаблон:Black]] %Other Person % Lead
Best Prime Minister
Afro-Trinidadian 67.9 7.7 11.0 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" | 60.2
Indo-Trinidadian 10.8 61.2 12.5 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:black;" | 50.4
Other / Mixed 45.0 26.1 9.0 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" | 18.9

Шаблон:-

Results

At 10:30 pm on Election Day, Prime Minister Keith Rowley declared his party the winner of the election with 22 seats.[104][105][106][107][108][109] UNC leader Persad-Bissessar declared wins in 19 seats, taking the Moruga/Tableland seat from the PNM and the St. Augustine seat from the COP.[110] She disagreed with Rowley's victory declaration and objected to the long delays at polling stations.[111]

In total, six seats won by the PNM were disputed: the UNC requested recounts for five constituencies in Trinidad (San Fernando West, St Joseph, Tunapuna, Toco-Sangre Grande and La Horquetta/Talparo),[112] while the Progressive Democratic Patriots (PDP) requested a recount in Tobago East.[113] The EBC took one week to conduct the recounts, observing only minor changes from the preliminary vote counts: the largest change was an increase of 103 votes for the UNC in San Fernando West. The counts for the other districts differed by ten votes or fewer.[10] Rowley and the new PNM cabinet were then sworn in by President Paula-Mae Weekes on the following day, August 19. The ceremony was held at President's House.[12]

Шаблон:Election results

Reactions

Domestic reactions

Regional reactions

  • Шаблон:Flag
    • “Prime Minister, your success at the polls is an indication of the confidence that the people of Trinidad and Tobago have in your stewardship and the plans you have outlined for their future,” Ambassador LaRocque said in his congratulatory message to Dr. Rowley.[118][119]
  • Шаблон:Flag / Шаблон:Flag
  • Шаблон:Flag
    • Prime Minister of Saint Lucia Allen Chastanet, in a statement expressed: "Congratulations to Dr. Keith Rowley and the People's National Movement on their new mandate to continue serving Trinidad & Tobago for 5 more years. We wish you, your team and the people of T&T great success throughout this new term and we look forward to working together to build a more united and prosperous region 🇱🇨🇹🇹"[122][123][124]
  • Шаблон:Flag
    • The Ministry of Foreign Affairs (Belize) tweeted: "Congratulations to Hon. @DrKeithRowley on his successful re-election as Prime Minister of the Republic of Trinidad and Tobago @OPM_TT during yesterday's general elections held in challenging circumstances occasioned by the #COVID19 pandemic "[125]
  • Шаблон:Flag
    • Prime Minister of Antigua and Barbuda Gaston Browne in a letter sent congratulations to Trinidad and Tobago Prime Minister Dr Keith Rowley on his impending re-election, stating "I wish your Government and the people of Trinidad and Tobago every good fortune as you continue to the task of strengthening your great country.”[126][127]
  • Шаблон:Flag
    • Prime Minister of Grenada Keith Mitchell congratulated Prime Minister Rowley indicating that "the results show that the people of Trinidad and Tobago are confident in Dr Rowley's leadership abilities, and are looking to you for continued direction to steer the country further along the path of development. With the support of his Cabinet and people, I am confident Dr Rowley will succeed in pushing forward the country's agenda, so that everyone can benefit.'[128][129]
    • Leader of the largest opposition party in Grenada Franka Bernardine on behalf of her party National Democratic Congress and the people of Grenada congratulated Prime Minister Rowley on his re-election as Prime Minister of the Republic of Trinidad and Tobago noting 'the use of the virtual platform was new and added a unique dynamic to an already robust and grounded PNM team. The sharp focus and hard work of your campaign team were, no doubt vital to your success.'"[130][131]
  • Шаблон:Flag
  • Шаблон:Flag
  • Шаблон:Flag
    • Premier of Montserrat Joseph Farrell issued a diplomatic note stating “It is truly my great honour, on behalf of the Government and people of Montserrat, to extend best wishes to you and the People's National Movement (PNM) in the fulfillment of this high office for which you were successfully returned for another term.”[134]

International reactions

Footnotes

Шаблон:Reflist Шаблон:Reflist

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

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