Английская Википедия:2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida

Содержание

Текст

Текст

Текст

Текст

Текст

Текст

Текст

Текст

Текст

Шаблон:Use American English Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Florida The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the 27 U.S. representatives from Florida, one from each of the state's 27 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the U.S. Senate, and various state and local elections.

In what was considered an upset, the Republican Party retook the two seats that it lost to the Democrats in 2018, expanding its 14–13 majority to 16–11. Шаблон:Horizontal TOC

District 1

The 1st district encompasses the western Panhandle, and includes all of Escambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa, and Walton counties, as well as part of Holmes County. The district includes the cities of Pensacola, Fort Walton Beach, and Navarre. Republican Matt Gaetz, who has represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 67% of the vote in 2018.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Matt Gaetz, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

• Greg Merk, retired United States Air Force officer
• John Mills, retired United States Navy pilot and candidate for Florida's 1st congressional district in 2016 and 2018

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Phil Ehr, retired United States Navy commander and candidate for Florida's 1st congressional district in 2018

Independent and third-party candidates

Independents

Declared

• Albert Oram, lawyer

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 3, 2020
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2020
Niskanen	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 7, 2020

District 2

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 2nd district is located in northern Florida taking in portions of the Panhandle and the Big Bend, including all or parts of 19 counties. The district includes the cities of Panama City, Marianna, and Lake City. Republican Neal Dunn, who has represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 67% of the vote in 2018.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

• Neal Dunn, incumbent U.S. representative

Democratic primary

Candidates

Withdrawn

• Willie Anderson, priest
• Connor Oswald, teacher
• Kristy Thripp, activist

Independent and third-party candidates

Independents

Declared

• Kim O'Connor (write-in), candidate for Leon County commission in 2018

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 3, 2020
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2020
Niskanen	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 7, 2020

District 3

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 3rd district is located in North Central Florida, and includes Alachua, Clay, Putnam, Bradford, and Union counties, as well as most of Marion County. The district includes the cities of Gainesville, Palatka, and Ocala. Republican Ted Yoho, who has represented the district since 2013, was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2018. On December 10, 2019, Yoho announced he would not run for re-election, honoring his pledge that he would only serve 4 terms.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Kat Cammack, deputy chief of staff for U.S. representative Ted Yoho

Eliminated in primary

• Ryan Chamberlin, author
• Todd Chase, former Gainesville city commissioner
• Bill Engelbrecht, healthcare executive
• Joe Millado, businessman and former congressional aide
• Gavin Rollins, Clay County commissioner
• Judson Sapp, former actor and businessman and candidate for this district in 2018
• James St. George, physician
• David Theus, business consultant
• Amy Pope Wells, businesswoman

Withdrawn

• Ed Braddy, former mayor of Gainesville
• Kent Guinn, mayor of Ocala

Declined

• Rob Bradley, state senator
• Keith Perry, state senator
• Ted Yoho, incumbent U.S. representative

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Kat Cammack	Ryan Chamberlin	Todd Chase	James St. George	Keith Perry	Gavin Rollins	Judson Sapp	Amy Pope Wells	Other	Undecided
Meer Research	August 6–8, 2020	317 (RV)	± 5.75%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|25%	3%	6%	13%	–	11%	15%	3%	4%Шаблон:Efn	20%
WPA IntelligenceШаблон:Efn-ua	June 16–17, 2020	405 (RV)	± 4.9%	10%	1%	5%	4%	–	1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|12%	1%	5%Шаблон:Efn	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|60%
Americana Analytics/Judson SappШаблон:Efn-ua	Released April 20, 2020	400 (V)	± 5%	3%	–	–	–	–	4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|16%	–	–Шаблон:Efn	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided| >70%
Clearview Research	December 16–17, 2019	401 (LV)	–	–	–	–	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|35%	–	9%	2%	6%Шаблон:Efn	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|48%

with Ted Yoho

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Gavin Rollins	Judson Sapp	Amy Pope Wells	Ted Yoho	Undecided
Meer Research	November 20, 2019	533 (RV)	± 4.24%	8%	2%	3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|71%	16%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Adam Christensen, businessman

Eliminated in primary

• Philip Dodds, sales manager and candidate for Florida's 3rd congressional district in 2012
• Tom Wells, physicist

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 3, 2020
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2020
Niskanen	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 7, 2020

District 4

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 4th district is located in the First Coast region, and includes all of Nassau County, as well as parts of Duval and St. Johns counties. The district includes the cities of Jacksonville, St. Augustine, and Fernandina Beach. Republican John Rutherford, who has represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 65% of the vote in 2018.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• John Rutherford, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

• Erick Aguilar, professor and United States Navy veteran

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Donna Deegan, former news anchor for First Coast News

Withdrawn

• Monica DePaul, author

Independent and third-party candidates

Independents

Declared

• Gary Koniz (write-in), retired journalist and perennial candidate

General election

Debate

2020 Florida's 4th congressional district debate

Шаблон:Abbr	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Republican	Democratic
Key: Шаблон:Colors Participant  Шаблон:Colors Absent  Шаблон:Colors Not invited  Шаблон:Colors Invited Шаблон:Color box Withdrawn					scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|
					John Rutherford	Donna Deegan
1	Oct. 14, 2020	WJXT	Kent Justice	YouTube	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 3, 2020
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2020
Niskanen	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 7, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	John Rutherford (R)	Donna Deegan (D)	Other	Undecided
University of North Florida	October 1–4, 2020	863 (LV)	± 3.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|57%	38%	5%Шаблон:Efn	0%
St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics	September 2, 2020	1,037 (LV)	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|62%	35%	–	3%

District 5

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 5th district stretches along the northern border of Florida, and includes all of Baker, Gadsden, Hamilton and Madison counties, as well as parts of Columbia, Duval, Jefferson, and Leon counties. The district includes the city of Quincy, as well as parts of Tallahassee and Jacksonville. The district is majority-minority. Democrat Al Lawson, who has represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 66% of the vote in 2018.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Al Lawson, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

• Albert Chester, pharmacist
• LaShonda "LJ" Holloway, former congressional aide

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Gary Adler, community activist

Eliminated in primary

• Roger Wagoner, businessman

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 3, 2020
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2020
Niskanen	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 7, 2020

District 6

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 6th district encompasses the Halifax area, including all of Flagler and Volusia counties, as well as parts of St. Johns and Lake counties. The district includes the cities of Daytona Beach, Palm Coast, and DeLand. Republican Michael Waltz, who has represented the district since 2019, was elected with 56% of the vote in 2018.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Michael Waltz, incumbent U.S. representative

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Clint Curtis, lawyer and nominee for California's 4th congressional district in 2010

Eliminated in primary

• Richard Thripp, professor

Independent and third-party candidates

Independents

Declared

• Gerry Nolan (write-in), businessman

Independent Democrats

Declared

• Alan Grayson (write-in), former U.S. representative for Florida's 9th congressional district and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 3, 2020
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2020
Niskanen	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 7, 2020

District 7

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 7th district is located in Central Florida, and includes all of Seminole County and part of Orange County. The district includes the cities of Orlando, Sanford, and Winter Park. Democrat Stephanie Murphy, who has represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2018.

This district was included on the list of Democratic-held seats the National Republican Congressional Committee targeted in 2020.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Stephanie Murphy, incumbent U.S. representative

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Leo Valentín, radiologist

Eliminated in primary

• Richard Goble, businessman
• Yukong Zhao, real estate investor

Withdrawn

• Jan Edwards, businesswoman

Independents and third-party candidates

Declared

• William Garlington, businessman and former actor

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 3, 2020
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2020
Niskanen	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 7, 2020

Polling

with Richard Goble, Joel Greenberg (R), Stephanie Murphy and Leo Valentin

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Richard Goble (R)	Joel Greenberg (R)	Stephanie Murphy (D)	Leo Valentín (R)	Undecided
Gravis Marketing/Orlando Politics	Jan 2–3, 2020	813 (RV)	± 3.4%	4%Шаблон:Efn	20%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|43%	4%	29%

with Joel Greenberg and Stephanie Murphy

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Joel Greenberg (R)	Stephanie Murphy (D)	Undecided
Gravis Marketing/Orlando Politics	Jan 2–3, 2020	813 (RV)	± 3.4%	42%Шаблон:Efn	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|43%	15%

District 8

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 8th district encompasses the Space Coast, and includes all of Indian River and Brevard counties, as well as part of Orange County. The district includes the cities of Melbourne, Palm Bay, and Titusville. Republican Bill Posey, who has represented the district since 2009, was re-elected with 60% of the vote in 2018.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Bill Posey, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

• Scott Caine, retired U.S. Air Force colonel

Disqualified

• Angela Walls-Windhauser, perennial candidate

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Jim Kennedy, electrical engineer

Withdrawn

• Tiffany Patti, activist

Disqualified

• Hicham Ammi, customer service manager
• Jason Williams, engineer

Independent and third-party candidates

Independents

Withdrawn

• Russell Cyphers, former federal investigator for the departments of Treasury and Labor

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 3, 2020
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2020
Niskanen	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 7, 2020

District 9

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 9th district is located in Central Florida, and encompasses all of Osceola County, as well as parts of Orange and Polk counties. The district includes the cities of Kissimmee and St. Cloud, as well as eastern Orlando. Democrat Darren Soto, who has represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2018.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Darren Soto, incumbent U.S. representative

Withdrawn

• Hendrith Vanlon Smith Jr., financial advisor

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Bill Olson, former U.S. Army sergeant

Eliminated in primary

• Jose Castillo, hospitality manager
• Sergio E. Ortiz, mortgage banker
• Christopher Wright, attorney

Independent and third-party candidates

Independents

Declared

• Clay Hill (write-in), perennial candidate

Withdrawn

• John Rallison, teacher and pastor

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 3, 2020
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2020
Niskanen	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 7, 2020

District 10

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 10th district is located in Central Florida, and includes part of Orange County. The district includes western Orlando and its surrounding suburbs, including Apopka, Ocoee, and Winter Garden. Democrat Val Demings, who has represented the district since 2017, was re-elected unopposed in 2018.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Val Demings, incumbent U.S. representative

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Vennia Francois, former U.S. Senate aide and candidate for Florida's 7th congressional district in 2018

Eliminated in primary

• Willie Montague, pastor

Independent and third-party candidates

Independents

Candidates

• Sufiyah Yasmine (write-in), artist

Withdrawn

• Kristofer Lawson, writer

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 3, 2020
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2020
Niskanen	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 7, 2020

District 11

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 11th district is located in North Central Florida, and includes all of Sumter, Citrus, and Hernando counties, as well as parts of Marion and Lake counties. The district includes the cities of Spring Hill, Inverness, and Leesburg, as well as the large retirement community of The Villages. Republican Daniel Webster, who has represented the district since 2011, was re-elected with 65% of the vote in 2018.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Daniel Webster, incumbent U.S. representative

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Dana Cottrell, teacher and nominee for Florida's 11th congressional district in 2018

Withdrawn

• Jeff Rabinowitz, author
• James Henry, former official in Greenfield, Massachusetts, and Hollis, Maine

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 3, 2020
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2020
Niskanen	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 7, 2020

District 12

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 12th district encompasses the northern Tampa Bay area, including all of Pasco County, as well as parts of Hillsborough and Pinellas counties. The district includes the cities of Palm Harbor, New Port Richey, and Zephyrhills. Republican Gus Bilirakis, who has represented the district since 2007, was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2018.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Gus Bilirakis, incumbent U.S. representative

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Kimberly Walker, businesswoman and U.S. Air Force veteran

Independent and third-party candidates

Independents

Withdrawn

• Michael Knezevich, private investigator and former U.S. Customs Service pilot

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 3, 2020
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2020
Niskanen	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 7, 2020

District 13

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 13th district is located in the western Tampa Bay area and encompasses the northern Florida Suncoast, and includes part of Pinellas County. The district includes the cities of St. Petersburg, Clearwater, and Largo. Democrat Charlie Crist, who has represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2018.

This district was included on the list of Democratic-held seats the National Republican Congressional Committee targeted in 2020.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Charlie Crist, incumbent U.S. representative

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Anna Paulina Luna, director of Hispanic Engagement for Turning Point USA and U.S. Air Force veteran

Eliminated in primary

• George Buck, U.S. Army veteran and nominee for Florida's 13th congressional district in 2018
• Sheila Griffin, attorney and candidate for St. Petersburg city council in 2015
• Amanda Makki, lobbyist and former congressional aide

Withdrawn

• Rick Baker, former mayor of St. Petersburg
• Matt Becker, businessman and 2012 Republican National Convention executive
• Sharon Newby, businesswoman (endorsed Luna)

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	George Buck	Sheila Griffin	Anna Paulina Luna	Amanda Makki	Other	Undecided
St. Pete Polls	August 15, 2020	626 (LV)	± 3.9%	26%	6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|29%	20%	1%Шаблон:Efn	–
St. Pete Polls	July 9, 2020	558 (LV)	± 4.1%	21%	4%	13%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|29%	1%Шаблон:Efn	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|32%

Independent and third-party candidates

Independent Republicans

Declared

• Jacob Curnow (write-in), author

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 1, 2020
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 2, 2020
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2020
Niskanen	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 7, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Charlie Crist (D)	Anna Paulina Luna (R)	Undecided
St. Pete Polls	October 28, 2020	1,280 (LV)	± 2.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|55%	39%	7%
St. Pete Polls	August 29–30, 2020	2,160 (LV)	± 2.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|55%	39%	7%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Charlie Crist (D)	Rick Baker (R)	Undecided
St. Pete Polls/FloridaPolitics	Sep 25, 2019	1,254 (RV)	± 2.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|42%	35%	23%

District 14

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 14th district is located in the northern Tampa Bay area, and includes part of Hillsborough County. The district includes the cities of Tampa, Carrollwood, and Northdale. Democrat Kathy Castor, who has represented the district since 2007, was re-elected unopposed in 2018.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Kathy Castor, incumbent U.S. representative

Withdrawn

• Alix Toulme Jr., Christian activist and U.S. Navy veteran

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Christine Quinn, businesswoman and nominee for Florida's 14th congressional district in 2016

Eliminated in primary

• Paul Elliott, former Hillsborough County judge

Independent and third-party candidates

Independents

Withdrawn

• Robert Wunderlich, attorney and former Green Beret

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 3, 2020
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2020
Niskanen	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 7, 2020

District 15

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 15th district is located in the northeastern Tampa Bay area and extends along the I-4 corridor into Central Florida, and includes parts of Hillsborough, Polk, and Lake counties. The district includes the cities of Lakeland, Brandon, and Bartow. Republican Ross Spano, who has represented the district since 2019, was elected with 53% of the vote in 2018. Spano lost renomination in the Republican primary.

This district was included on the list of Republican-held seats the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeted in 2020.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Scott Franklin, Lakeland city commissioner

Eliminated in primary

• Ross Spano, incumbent U.S. representative

Declined

• Neil Combee, former state representative and candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018
• Danny Kushmer, non-profit executive and candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018 (Running for Florida House of Representatives, District 59)
• Sean Harper, contractor and candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018
• Ed Shoemaker, conservative activist and candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018 (Running for Polk County School Board)

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of Error	Scott Franklin	Ross Spano	Other
St. Pete Polls	August 12, 2020	594 (LV)	± 4%	41%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|42%	18%Шаблон:Efn

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Alan Cohn, Peabody and Emmy award-winning journalist and nominee for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2014

Eliminated in primary

• Adam Hattersley, state representative
• Jesse Philippe, U.S. Marine Corps veteran

Withdrawn

• Kel Britvec, former Defense Intelligence Agency officer
• Andrew Learned, U.S. Naval Reserve officer and candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018 (Running for Florida House of Representatives, District 59)
• Loretta Miller, radio host and Republican candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018 (died on April 13, 2020)

Declined

• Kristen Carlson, attorney and nominee for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018 (endorsed Adam Hattersley)

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 16, 2020
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	August 7, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 6, 2020
Daily Kos	Шаблон:USRaceRating	April 30, 2020
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 15, 2020
Niskanen	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 7, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of Error	Scott Franklin (R)	Alan Cohn (D)	Undecided
Change Research (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	October 22–24, 2020	530 (LV)	± 4.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46%	44%	–
St. Pete Polls	October 15, 2020	943 (LV)	± 3.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|49%	41%	11%
DCCC Targeting & Analytics Department (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	September 30 – October 4, 2020	390 (LV)	± 5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|42%	39%	19%
GQR Research (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	September 4–6, 2020	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|49%	42%	–

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of Error	Generic Republican	Generic Democrat
DCCC Targeting & Analytics Department (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	September 30 – October 4, 2020	390 (LV)	± 5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|49%	44%

District 16

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 16th district encompasses the southern Tampa Bay area and southern Florida Suncoast, and includes all of Manatee County, as well as parts of Hillsborough and Sarasota counties. The district includes the cities of Sarasota, Bradenton, and Sun City Center. Republican Vern Buchanan, who has represented the district since 2007, was reelected with 54% of the vote in 2018.

This district was included on the list of Republican-held seats the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeted in 2020.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Vern Buchanan, incumbent U.S. representative

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Margaret Good, state representative

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	August 7, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 3, 2020
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 15, 2020
Niskanen	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 7, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Vern Buchanan (R)	Margaret Good (D)	Other	Undecided
Data Targeting (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	October 19–21, 2020	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|53%	38%	–	–
Data Targeting (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	October 6–8, 2020	403 (LV)	± 4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|52%	37%	1%Шаблон:Efn	9%
Change Research (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	October 5–8, 2020	527 (LV)	± 4.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48%	45%	–	7%
Data Targeting (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	September 29 – October 1, 2020	400 (LV)	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|53%	37%	–	–
Global Strategy Group (D)	September 24–27, 2020	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|49%	43%	–	–
Data Targeting (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	August 27–29, 2020	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|51%	35%	–	–
Global Strategy Group (D)	July 7–12, 2020	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|47%	41%	–	–
Data Targeting (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	January 14–16, 2020	400 (RV)	± 4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 53%	33%	–	14%

with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Generic Republican	Generic Democrat
Global Strategy Group (D)	September 24–27, 2020	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|50%	42%
Data Targeting (R)	August 27–29, 2020	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48%	39%

District 17

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 17th district encompasses part of Southwest Florida and most of the Florida Heartland, and includes all or part of 10 counties. The district includes the cities of North Port, Port Charlotte, and Sebring. Republican Greg Steube, who has represented the district since 2019, was elected with 62% of the vote in 2018.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Greg Steube, incumbent U.S. Representative

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Allen Ellison, nominee for Florida's 17th congressional district in 2018

Independent and third-party candidates

Independents

Declared

• Theodore Murray, former high school football coach

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 3, 2020
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2020
Niskanen	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 7, 2020

District 18

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 18th district encompasses the Treasure Coast region, and includes all of St. Lucie and Martin counties, as well as part of Palm Beach County. The district includes the cities of Port St. Lucie, Fort Pierce, and Jupiter. Republican Brian Mast, who has represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 54% of the vote in 2018.

This district was included on the list of Republican-held seats the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeted in 2020.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Brian Mast, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

• Nick Vessio, retired police sergeant

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Pam Keith, attorney and candidate for Florida's 18th congressional district in 2018 and U.S. Senate in 2016

Eliminated in primary

• Oz Vazquez, former Florida deputy solicitor general

Independent and third-party candidates

Independents

Declared

• K. W. Miller, international energy and infrastructure executive

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 19, 2020
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 16, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 20, 2020
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 2, 2020
Daily Kos	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 19, 2020
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2020
Niskanen	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 26, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Brian Mast (R)	Pam Keith (D)	K. W. Miller (I)	Undecided
Clearview Research (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	October 7–9, 2020	301 (LV)	–	43%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|45%	4%	–
St. Pete Polls	September 18, 2020	1,149 (LV)	± 2.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|50%	42%	2%	5%

District 19

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 19th district includes most of Southwest Florida, and includes parts of Lee and Collier counties. The district includes the cities of Cape Coral, Fort Myers, Estero, Bonita Springs and Naples. Republican Francis Rooney, who has represented the district since 2017, was reelected with 62% of the vote in 2018. On October 19, 2019, Rooney announced he would not seek re-election.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Byron Donalds, state representative

Eliminated in primary

• Darren Aquino, disabilities activist and actor
• Casey Askar, businessman and U.S. Marine Corps veteran
• Dane Eagle, majority leader of the Florida House of Representatives (endorsed Donalds after primary loss)
• William Figlesthaler, urologist
• Randy Henderson, mayor of Fort Myers
• Daniel Kowal, Collier County Sheriff's deputy
• Christy McLaughlin, activist
• Dan Severson, former Minnesota state representative and nominee for Minnesota Secretary of State in 2014

Withdrawn

• Heather Fitzenhagen, state representative (ran for state senate)

Declined

• Gary Aubuchon, former state representative (endorsed Eagle)
• Lizbeth Benacquisto, state senator
• Matt Caldwell, former state representative (endorsed Eagle)
• Chauncey Goss, son of former U.S. representative Porter Goss and candidate for Florida's 19th congressional district in 2016
• Brian Hamman, Lee County commissioner
• Matt Hudson, former state representative
• Steve Martin, attorney
• Jim Oberweis, Illinois state senator and nominee for U.S. Senate in Illinois in 2014 (Running for IL-14)
• Kathleen Passidomo, state senator
• Cecil Pendergrass, Lee County commissioner
• Spencer Roach, state representative (endorsed Eagle)
• Bob Rommel, state representative
• Francis Rooney, incumbent U.S. representative
• Mike Scott, former Lee County sheriff
• Drew Steele, local Fox News Radio host

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Casey Askar	Byron Donalds	Dane Eagle	William Figlesthaler	Randy Henderson	Other	Undecided
St. Pete Polls	August 16, 2020	439 (LV)	± 4.7%	22%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|23%	16%	16%	11%	8%Шаблон:Efn	4%
St. Pete Polls	August 3, 2020	525 (LV)	± 4.3%	16%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|22%	20%	21%	8%	6%Шаблон:Efn	14%
Data Targeting/Dane EagleШаблон:Efn-ua	July 23, 2020	282 (LV)	± 5.7%	15%	21%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|23%	19%	6%	3%Шаблон:Efn	8%
St. Pete Polls	July 6, 2020	503 (LV)	± 4.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|30%	26%	7%	16%	5%	4%Шаблон:Efn	12%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Cindy Banyai, political science professor at Florida Gulf Coast University

Eliminated in primary

• David Holden, financial advisor and nominee for Florida's 19th congressional district in 2018

Independent and third-party candidates

Independents

Declared

• Patrick Post (write-in), president of Sustainable Planet USA

Withdrawn

• Antonio Dumornay, housing activist

General election

Debate

2020 Florida's 19th congressional district debate

Шаблон:Abbr	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Republican	Democratic
Key: Шаблон:Colors Participant  Шаблон:Colors Absent  Шаблон:Colors Not invited  Шаблон:Colors Invited Шаблон:Color box Withdrawn					scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|
					Byron Donalds	Cindy Banyai
1	Sep. 30, 2020	WGCU (TV)		YouTube	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 3, 2020
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2020
Niskanen	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 7, 2020

District 20

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 20th district is located in South Florida, and includes parts of Broward and Palm Beach counties. The district includes the cities of Fort Lauderdale, Pompano Beach, and Belle Glade. Democrat Alcee Hastings, who has represented the district since 1993, was re-elected unopposed in 2018.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Alcee Hastings, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

• Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, attorney and candidate for Florida's 20th congressional district in 2018

Withdrawn

• Roshan Mody, co-founder of Plus1 Vote
• Emmanuel Morel, former federal investigator for the U.S. Department of Labor and candidate for Florida's 21st congressional district in 2014

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

• Vic DeGrammont, realtor
• Greg Musselwhite, welding inspector

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 3, 2020
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2020
Niskanen	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 7, 2020

District 21

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 21st district is located in South Florida, and includes part of Palm Beach County. The district includes the cities of West Palm Beach, Boynton Beach, and Wellington. Democrat Lois Frankel, who has represented the district since 2013, was re-elected unopposed in 2018.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Lois Frankel, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

• Guido Weiss, former advisor to U.S. Representative Tulsi Gabbard

Withdrawn

• Adam Aarons, film producer and actor

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Laura Loomer, reporter for InfoWars and far-right activist

Eliminated in primary

• Christian Acosta, nuclear engineer and Palm Beach State College professor
• Elizabeth Felton, animal rights activist
• Aaron Scanlan, U.S. Air Force veteran
• Reba Sherrill, health activist
• Michael Vilardi, retired Internal Revenue Service agent

Disqualified

• Michael Bluemling Jr., U.S. Army veteran
• Victor Garcia da Rosa, businessman

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Laura Loomer	Other
The Washington SentinelШаблон:Efn-ua	Released June 20, 2020	–Шаблон:Efn	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|51%	>=4%Шаблон:Efn

Independent and third-party candidates

Independents

Declared

• Sylvia Caravetta (write-in), activist
• Charleston Malkemus, technology executive and U.S. Marine Corps veteran

Independent Republicans

Declared

• Piotr Blass (write-in), former professor and perennial candidate

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 3, 2020
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2020
Niskanen	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 7, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Lois Frankel (D)	Laura Loomer (R)	Charleston Malkemus (I)	Undecided
St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics	October 2, 2020	1,015 (LV)	± 3.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|61%	33%	2%	5%

District 22

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 22nd district is located in South Florida, and includes parts of Broward and Palm Beach counties. The district includes the cities of Boca Raton, Deerfield Beach, and Coral Springs. Democrat Ted Deutch, who has represented the district since 2010, was re-elected with 62% of the vote in 2018.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Ted Deutch, incumbent U.S. Representative

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• James Pruden, attorney

Eliminated in primary

• Fran Flynn, businesswoman
• Jessi Melton, president of Paragon Wireless Group
• Darlene Swaffar, insurance agent

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 3, 2020
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2020
Niskanen	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 7, 2020

District 23

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 23rd district is located in South Florida, and includes parts of Broward and Miami-Dade counties. The district includes the cities of Pembroke Pines, Davie, and Aventura. Democrat Debbie Wasserman Schultz, who has represented the district since 2005, was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2018.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Debbie Wasserman Schultz, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

• Jen Perelman, attorney

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Carla Spalding, nurse, independent candidate for Florida's 18th congressional district in 2016, and candidate for Florida's 23rd congressional district in 2018

Eliminated in primary

• Michael Kroske, businessman

Withdrew

• Richard Mendelson, former teacher at Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School

Independent and third-party candidates

Independent Republicans

Declared

• D. B. Fugate (write-in), entrepreneur and U.S. Air Force veteran
• Jeff Olson (write-in), real estate agent

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 3, 2020
Niskanen	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 7, 2020
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2020

District 24

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 24th district is located in South Florida, and includes parts of Broward and Miami-Dade counties. The district includes the cities of Miami, Miami Gardens, and Hollywood. Democrat Frederica Wilson, who has represented the district since 2011, was re-elected unopposed in 2018.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Frederica Wilson, incumbent U.S. Representative

Eliminated in primary

• Ricardo de La Fuente, perennial candidate and son of Rocky De La Fuente
• Sakinah Lehtola, progressive activist

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Lavern Spicer, nonprofit executive

Independent and third-party candidates

Libertarians

Withdrawn

• Courtney Omega-Turner, Coconut Grove village councilwoman

Independent Republicans

Declared

• Howard Knepper (write-in), businessman and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2010, 2016, and 2018

Independents

Declared

• Hector Rivera (write-in), real estate broker
• Christine Alexandria Olivo, activist

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 3, 2020
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2020
Niskanen	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 7, 2020

District 25

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 25th district is located in South Florida and stretches into parts of Southwest Florida and the Florida Heartland, and includes all of Hendry County, as well as parts of Miami-Dade and Collier counties. The district includes the cities of Hialeah, Doral, and Clewiston. Republican Mario Díaz-Balart, who has represented the district since 2003, was re-elected with 60% of the vote in 2018.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Mario Díaz-Balart, incumbent U.S. representative

Democratic primary

Candidates

Disqualified

• Yadira Escobar, blogger

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 9, 2020
Daily Kos	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 3, 2020
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 15, 2020
Niskanen	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 7, 2020

District 26

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 26th district is located in South Florida and the Florida Keys, and includes all of Monroe County and part of Miami-Dade County. The district includes the cities of Homestead, Kendale Lakes, and Key West. Democrat Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, who has represented the district since 2019, flipped the district and was elected with 50% of the vote in 2018.

This district was included on the list of Democratic-held seats the National Republican Congressional Committee targeted in 2020.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, incumbent U.S. representative

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Carlos A. Giménez, Mayor of Miami-Dade County

Eliminated in primary

• Omar Blanco, former president of the Metro-Dade Firefighters Local 1403

Withdrew

• José Peixoto, engineer and candidate for Florida's 26th congressional district in 2012 and 2016
• Irina Vilariño, restaurateur

Declined

• Carlos Curbelo, former U.S. representative
• Louis Sola, Federal Maritime Commissioner and candidate for Florida's 24th congressional district in 2018

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Omar Blanco	Carlos Giménez	Other	Undecided
Unspecified national Republican organisation	October 13–15, 2019	~ 136 (LV)Шаблон:Efn	–	6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 51%	2%Шаблон:Efn	39%

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 21, 2020
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 19, 2020
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 16, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 2, 2020
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 2, 2020
Daily Kos	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 3, 2020
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 15, 2020
Niskanen	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 7, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Debbie Murcasel-Powell (D)	Carlos Giménez (R)	Other/ Undecided
Meeting Street Insights (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	July 14–18, 2020	400 (RV)	±  4.9%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47%	11%
Unspecified national Republican organisation	October 13–15, 2019	400 (LV)	±  4.9%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 45%	–

District 27

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 27th district is located in South Florida, and includes part of Miami-Dade County. The district includes the cities of Coral Gables, Kendall, and Miami Beach, as well as the neighborhood of Little Havana in Miami. Democrat Donna Shalala, who had represented the district since 2019, flipped the district and was elected with 51% of the vote in 2018.

This district was included on the list of Democratic-held seats the National Republican Congressional Committee targeted in 2020.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Donna Shalala, incumbent U.S. representative

Withdrawn

• Michael Hepburn, University of Miami academic adviser

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Maria Elvira Salazar, journalist and nominee for Florida's 27th congressional district in 2018

Eliminated in primary

• Juan Fiol, real estate agent
• Raymond Molina, banker and Brigade 2506 veteran

Independent and third-party candidates

Independent Republicans

Declared

• Frank Polo (write-in), businessman

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 3, 2020
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 15, 2020
Niskanen	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 7, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Donna Shalala (D)	Maria Salazar (R)	Other/ Undecided
Bendixen & Amandi Research (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	October 9–13, 2020	500 (LV)	±  4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50%	43%	7%
1892 Polling (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	September 2–6, 2020	400 (LV)	±  4.9%	43%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46%	–

See also

• Florida elections, 2020
• Elections in Florida
• Politics of Florida
  • Political party strength in Florida
  • Florida Democratic Party
  • Republican Party of Florida
• Government of Florida

Notes

Partisan clients

External links

• Шаблон:Citation

Candidate links

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

• Phil Ehr (D) for Congress Шаблон:Webarchive
• Matt Gaetz (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

• Neal Dunn (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates

• Kat Cammack (R) for Congress
• Adam Christensen (D) for Congress Шаблон:Webarchive

Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates

• Donna Deegan (D) for Congress Шаблон:Webarchive
• John Rutherford (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates

• Gary Adler (R) for Congress
• Al Lawson (D) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 6th district candidates

• Clint Curtis (D) for Congress
• Alan Grayson (D) for Congress
• Gerry Nolan (I) for Congress
• Michael Waltz (R) for Congress Шаблон:Webarchive

Official campaign websites for 7th district candidates

• William Garlington (I) for Congress
• Stephanie Murphy (D) for Congress Шаблон:Webarchive
• Leo Valentin (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 8th district candidates

• Jim Kennedy (D) for Congress Шаблон:Webarchive
• Bill Posey (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 9th district candidates

• Bill Olson (R) for Congress
• John Christian Rallison (I) for Congress
• Darren Soto (D) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 10th district candidates

• Val Demings (D) for Congress
• Vennia Francois (R) for Congress Шаблон:Webarchive
• Kristofer Lawson (I) for Congress Шаблон:Webarchive

Official campaign websites for 11th district candidates

• Dana Cottrell (D) for Congress Шаблон:Webarchive
• Daniel Webster (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 12th district candidates

• Gus Bilirakis (R) for Congress
• Michael Knezevich (I) for Congress
• Kimberly Walker (D) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 13th district candidates

• Charlie Crist (D) for Congress Шаблон:Webarchive
• Anna Paulina Luna (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 14th district candidates

• Kathy Castor (D) for Congress
• Christine Quinn (R) for Congress Шаблон:Webarchive
• Robert Wunderlich Sr. (I) for Congress Шаблон:Webarchive

Official campaign websites for 15th district candidates

• Alan Cohn (D) for Congress Шаблон:Webarchive
• Scott Franklin (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 16th district candidates

• Vern Buchanan (R) for Congress
• Margaret Good (D) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 17th district candidates

• Allen Ellison (D) for Congress
• Greg Steube (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 18th district candidates

• Pam Keith (D) for Congress Шаблон:Webarchive
• Brian Mast (R) for Congress
• KW Miller (I) for Congress Шаблон:Webarchive

Official campaign websites for 19th district candidates

• Cindy Banyai (D) for Congress
• Byron Donalds (R) for Congress
• Antonio Dumornay (I) for Congress Шаблон:Webarchive

Official campaign websites for 20th district candidates

• Alcee Hastings (D) for Congress
• Greg Musselwhite (R) for Congress Шаблон:Webarchive

Official campaign websites for 21st district candidates

• Lois Frankel (D) for Congress
• Laura Loomer (R) for Congress
• Charleston Malkemus (I) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 22nd district candidates

• Ted Deutch (D) for Congress Шаблон:Webarchive
• James Pruden (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 23rd district candidates

• Carla Spalding (R) for Congress
• Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 24th district candidates

• Lavern Spicer (R) for Congress Шаблон:Webarchive
• Frederica Wilson (D) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 25th district candidates

• Mario Díaz-Balart (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 26th district candidates

• Carlos A. Giménez (R) for Congress
• Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (D) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 27th district candidates

• Maria Elvira Salazar (R) for Congress
• Donna Shalala (D) for Congress