Английская Википедия:2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska

Содержание

Текст

Текст

Текст

Текст

Текст

Текст

Текст

Текст

Текст

Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Use American English Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Nebraska The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the three U.S. representatives from the state of Nebraska, one from each of the state's three congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. Шаблон:Toclimit

Overview

District	Republican		Democratic		Others		Total		Result
	scope=col colspan=2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|	scope=col colspan=2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
District 1	189,006	59.52%	119,622	37.67%	8,938	2.81%	317,566	100.0%	Republican hold
District 2	171,071	50.77%	155,706	46.21%	10,185	3.02%	336,962	100.0%	Republican hold
District 3	225,157	78.51%	50,690	17.68%	10,923	3.81%	286,770	100.0%	Republican hold
Total	585,234	62.17%	326,018	34.63%	30,046	3.19%	941,298	100.0%

District 1

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 1st district is located in eastern Nebraska surrounding Omaha and its suburbs, taking in Lincoln, Bellevue, Fremont, and Norfolk. The incumbent was Republican Jeff Fortenberry, who was re-elected with 60.4% of the vote in 2018.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

• Jeff Fortenberry, incumbent U.S. representative

Declined

• Nicholas Oviatt, part-time consultant

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

• Kate Bolz, state senator
• Barbara "Babs" Ramsey, security analyst

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

• Dennis B. Grace, U.S. Navy veteran

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 9, 2020
Daily Kos	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 3, 2020
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2020
Niskanen	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 7, 2020

District 2

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 2nd district covers the Omaha metropolitan area, including all of Douglas County, home to the city of Omaha, and suburban parts of western Sarpy County, including La Vista and Papillon. The incumbent was Republican Don Bacon, who was re-elected with 51.0% of the vote in 2018.

Kara Eastman was the Democratic nominee. She started a nonprofit consulting company in 2019, and was previously the executive director of the Omaha Healthy Kids Alliance. That organization focuses on reducing lead poisoning, and Lee Terry described it as a nonpartisan project. She is a former member of the Board of Governors of Metropolitan Community College.

President Donald Trump endorsed Bacon, and Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden endorsed Eastman.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

• Paul Anderson, perennial candidate
• Don Bacon, incumbent U.S. representative

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

• Ann Ashford, attorney and wife of former U.S. Representative Brad Ashford
• Kara Eastman, nonprofit executive and nominee for Nebraska's 2nd congressional district in 2018
• Gladys Harrison, general manager of Big Mama's Kitchen

Withdrew

• Morgann Freeman, part-time communications consultant and activist (endorsed Ashford)
• Dustin Sedoris, U.S. Marine Corps veteran (endorsed Eastman)

Declined

• Heath Mello, chief lobbyist for the University of Nebraska system, former state senator, and nominee for mayor of Omaha in 2017
• Denise Blaya Powell, founder of Women Who Run

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

• Tyler Schaeffer

General election

Debate

2020 Nebraska's 2nd congressional district debate

Шаблон:Abbr	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Republican	Democratic
Key: Шаблон:Colors Participant  Шаблон:Colors Absent  Шаблон:Colors Not invited  Шаблон:Colors Invited Шаблон:Color box Withdrawn					scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|
					Don Bacon	Kara Eastman
1	Oct. 12, 2020	Nebraska Public Media	Dennis Kellogg	YouTube	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 16, 2020
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 2, 2020
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 9, 2020
Daily Kos	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 3, 2020
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2020
Niskanen	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 7, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Don Bacon (R)	Kara Eastman (D)	Tyler Schaeffer (L)	Other	Undecided
UNLV Lee Business School	October 30 – November 2, 2020	191 (LV)	± 7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|47%	46%	–	–	–
Change Research	October 29 – November 2, 2020	920 (LV)	± 3.5%	47%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48%	2%	0%Шаблон:Efn	2%
Emerson College	October 29–30, 2020	806 (LV)	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|50%Шаблон:Efn	47%	–	2%	–
FM3 Research (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	October 1–4, 2020	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	45%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|47%	6%	–	–
Siena College/NYT Upshot	September 25–27, 2020	420 (LV)	± 5.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|45%	43%	3%	1%Шаблон:Efn	8%Шаблон:Efn
Global Strategy Group (D) Шаблон:WebarchiveШаблон:Efn-ua	September 14–16, 2020	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	45%	45%	4%	–	7%Шаблон:Efn
Global Strategy Group (D) Шаблон:WebarchiveШаблон:Efn-ua	July 27–29, 2020	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|47%	42%	4%	–	7%Шаблон:Efn
GQR Research (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	June 30 – July 5, 2020	502 (LV)	± 4.37%	49%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50%	–	–	–
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	May 7–10, 2020	448 (LV)	± 4.6%	47%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48%	–	–	–
GQR Research (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	September 9–12, 2019	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|50%	49%	–	–	–

with Ann Ashford

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Don Bacon (R)	Ann Ashford (D)	Undecided
GQR Research (D)	September 9–12, 2019	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|53%	46%	–

with Gladys Harrison

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Don Bacon (R)	Gladys Harrison (D)	Undecided
GQR Research (D)	September 9–12, 2019	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|55%	44%	–

Results

Despite Democratic Presidential Nominee Joe Biden winning the district by 6.5 points, Bacon defeated Eastman by 4.6 points. Eastman underperformed Biden by over 11 points. Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no change Шаблон:Election box end

By county

County	Don Bacon Republican		Kara Eastman Democratic		Tyler Schaeffer Libertarian		Total votes
	%	#	%	#	%	#
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Douglas	48.20%	132,230	48.79%	133,827	3.01%	8,252	274,309
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Sarpy	61.99%	38,841	34.92%	21,879	3.09%	1,933	62,653

District 3

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 3rd district covers most of the rural western part of the state, and includes Grand Island, Kearney, Hastings, North Platte, Alliance, and Scottsbluff. The incumbent was Republican Adrian Smith, who was re-elected with 76.7% of the vote in 2018.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

• Larry Lee Scott Bolinger, veteran, graduate from UNO, business owner in property preservation, author of 16 books, and self-defense instructor
• William Elfgren, grocery worker
• Arron Kowalski, farmer
• Justin Moran, architectural draftsman, firefighter and welder
• Adrian Smith, incumbent U.S. representative

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

• Mark Elworth, Jr., acting chair of the Cannabis Rights Party of Nebraska, former Legal Marijuana Now nominee for president in 2020

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

• Dustin C. Hobbs, reality television show participant

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 2, 2020
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 9, 2020
Daily Kos	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 3, 2020
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2020
Niskanen	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 7, 2020

Notes

Partisan clients

External links

• Шаблон:Citation
• Шаблон:Citation
• Шаблон:Cite web (state affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
• Шаблон:Ballotpedia

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

• Kate Bolz (D) for Congress Шаблон:Webarchive
• Jeff Fortenberry (R) for Congress Шаблон:Webarchive
• Dennis B. Grace (L) for Congress Шаблон:Webarchive

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

• Don Bacon (R) for Congress
• Kara Eastman (D) for Congress Шаблон:Webarchive

Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates

• Adrian Smith (R) for Congress Шаблон:Webarchive