Английская Википедия:2020 United States Senate election in Tennessee

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:ForШаблон:Distinguish Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Use American EnglishШаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Tennessee

The 2020 United States Senate election in Tennessee was held on November 3, 2020, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate. The 2020 U.S. presidential election and elections to the U.S. House of Representatives were also held, as well as the State Senate and State House elections. Incumbent Republican Senator Lamar Alexander announced that he would not run for re-election on December 17, 2018.[1] The former United States Ambassador to Japan, Bill Hagerty won the open seat by a large margin defeating his Democratic opponent Marquita Bradshaw.

In the primary, President Donald Trump endorsed Hagerty. He ended up winning the Republican nomination, defeating orthopedic surgeon Manny Sethi and 13 others in the Republican primary. In the Democratic primary, environmental activist Marquita Bradshaw from Memphis defeated Robin Kimbrough Hayes, as well as 3 other candidates. Nine independent candidates also appeared on the general election ballot.

Bill Hagerty outperformed Donald Trump by almost 4% during the general election. This was because he did better in suburban, exurban, and urban areas across Tennessee.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in the primary

  • Cliff Adkins[4]
  • Natisha Brooks[4]
  • Byron Bush, dentist[5]
  • Roy Dale Cope, small business owner and pharmacist[6][7]
  • Terry Dicus, attorney[7]
  • Tom Emerson, Jr., Tea Party candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014[8]
  • George Flinn, Jr., former Shelby County commissioner, Nixon Administration Official, physician, engineer, businessman, and Republican candidate in Tennessee's 8th congressional district in 2016 and 2018[9]
  • Jon Henry, U.S. Marine Corps veteran[9]
  • Kent Morrell, business owner[9]
  • Glen Neal, Jr., retired public servant[9]
  • John Osborne, real estate agent and business owner[9]
  • Aaron Pettigrew, truck driver[10]
  • David Schuster, U.S. Navy veteran[8]
  • Manny Sethi, orthopedic surgeon, director of the Vanderbilt Orthopedic Institute Center for Health Policy and founder and president of the non-profit Healthy Tennessee[11]

Disqualified from the primary ballot

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
George Flinn Mark Green Bill Hagerty Bill Haslam Manny Sethi Other Undecided
JMC Analytics and Polling July 18–19, 2020 600 (LV) ±  4.0% 5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|36% 32% 9% 20%
The Trafalgar Group July 6–8, 2020 1,062 (LV) ±  2.92% 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|42% 39% 2% 13%
Victory PhonesШаблон:Efn-ua June 30 – July 1, 2020 800 (LV) ±  3.46% 6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|33% 31% 30%
The Tarrance GroupШаблон:Efn-ua June 28–30, 2020 651 (LV) ±  4.0% 5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46% 29% 2%Шаблон:Efn 18%
Victory PhonesШаблон:Efn-ua June 2, 2020 Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|27% 11%
July 11, 2019 Green and Haslam announce they will not run
Triton/Tennessee Star April 13–16, 2019 1,003 (LV) ± 3.1% 30% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|39% ~30%

Results

Файл:Tennessee U.S. Senate Republican primary, 2020.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in the primary

  • Gary G. Davis, small business owner, baker, pilot, and perennial candidate[31]
  • Robin Kimbrough Hayes, attorney and Christian minister[32]
  • James Mackler, attorney, U.S. Army veteran and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2018[2][33]
  • Mark Pickrell, entrepreneur, attorney and Baptist deacon[34]

Disqualified from the primary ballot

  • Tharon Chandler, journalist, economist, and conservationist[35]

Withdrawn

  • Diana C. Onyejiaka, college professor and consultant[36]

Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements boxШаблон:Endorsements box

Results

Файл:Tennessee U.S. Senate Democratic primary, 2020.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Independents

Declared

  • Yomi Faparusi, physician, attorney, researcher, and former Republican candidate for Tennessee's 4th congressional district in 2014 and 2016[8]
  • Jeffrey Grunau, activist[8]
  • Ronnie Henley,[8]
  • Dean Hill, US veteran, former federal employee, and activist[8]
  • Steven Hooper[8]
  • Aaron James[8]
  • Elizabeth McLeod, conservative activist[8]
  • Eric William Stansberry[8]

Withdrawn

  • Tom Kovach, attorney[42][8]
  • Kacey Morgan, freelancer and operations director (endorsed Marquita Bradshaw) (remained on ballot)[43]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[44] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 29, 2020
Inside Elections[45] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[46] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[47] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 30, 2020
Politico[48] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 2, 2020
RCP[49] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 23, 2020
DDHQ[50] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2020
538[51] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 2, 2020
Economist[52] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 2, 2020

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
Bill
Hagerty (R)
Marquita
Bradshaw (D)
Other Undecided
Swayable Шаблон:Webarchive October 23 – November 1, 2020 431 (LV) ± 6.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|61% 39%
Cygnal October 20–22, 2020 610 (LV) ± 3.97% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|56% 36% 1%Шаблон:Efn 7%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

with Bill Hagerty and James Mackler
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
Bill
Hagerty (R)
James
Mackler (D)
Undecided
Mason-Dixon January 28–30, 2020 625 (RV) ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|55% 33% 12%
with Manny Sethi and James Mackler
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
Manny
Sethi (R)
James
Mackler (D)
Undecided
Mason-Dixon January 28–30, 2020 625 (RV) ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46% 35% 19%
with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
Cygnal October 20–22, 2020 610 (LV) ± 3.97% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|58% 38% 4%
East Tennessee State University Шаблон:Webarchive April 22 – May 1, 2020 536 (LV) Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|43% 26% 31%Шаблон:Efn

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

By county

County[53] colspan="2" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Bill Hagerty
Republican
colspan="2" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Marquita Bradshaw
Democratic
Other votes Total
votes
colspan="1" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | % colspan="1" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | # colspan="1" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | % colspan="1" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | # % #
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Anderson 66.54% 22,988 31.32% 10,820 2.14% 740 34,548
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Bedford 76.68% 13,920 20.98% 3,808 2.34% 425 18,153
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Benton 78.22% 5,462 19.16% 1,338 2.62% 183 6,983
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Bledsoe 81.49% 4,460 16.41% 898 2.10% 115 5,473
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Blount 73.27% 47,391 24.66% 15,950 2.07% 1,338 64,679
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Bradley 77.62% 34,262 19.74% 8,716 2.64% 1,165 44,143
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Campbell 82.53% 11,610 15.45% 2,173 2.02% 284 14,067
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Cannon 79.61% 4,904 17.94% 1,105 2.45% 151 6,160
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Carroll 77.78% 8,899 19.98% 2,286 2.24% 256 11,441
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Carter 80.02% 18,593 17.76% 4,127 2.22% 514 23,234
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Cheatham 72.19% 14,094 25.40% 4,959 2.41% 470 19,523
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Chester 80.22% 5,951 17.59% 1,305 2.19% 162 7,418
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Claiborne 82.26% 10,116 15.95% 1,962 1.79% 220 12,298
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Clay 78.29% 2,525 19.10% 616 2.61% 84 3,225
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Cocke 81.13% 11,284 16.01% 2,227 2.86% 397 13,908
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Coffee 74.38% 17,607 22.03% 5,215 3.59% 849 23,671
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Crockett 77.42% 4,455 20.68% 1,190 1.90% 109 5,754
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Cumberland 78.97% 24,412 19.11% 5,908 1.92% 593 30,913
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Davidson 35.20% 106,664 61.04% 184,972 3.76% 11,402 303,038
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Decatur 80.87% 4,075 16.21% 817 2.92% 147 5,039
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |DeKalb 78.01% 6,162 19.29% 1,524 2.70% 213 7,899
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Dickson 72.88% 17,214 23.52% 5,556 3.60% 851 23,621
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Dyer 78.34% 11,237 19.06% 2,734 2.60% 372 14,343
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Fayette 70.67% 15,414 26.67% 5,818 2.66% 579 21,811
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Fentress 85.37% 7,066 12.78% 1,056 1.85% 155 8,277
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Franklin 74.02% 13,490 24.06% 4,384 1.92% 350 18,224
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Gibson 73.53% 15,583 22.97% 4,867 3.50% 742 21,192
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Giles 74.70% 9,313 22.68% 2,828 2.62% 326 12,467
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Grainger 84.90% 8,131 13.27% 1,271 1.83% 175 9,577
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Greene 79.82% 21,904 17.51% 4,804 2.67% 734 27,442
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Grundy 81.06% 4,373 16.46% 888 2.48% 134 5,395
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Hamblen 77.30% 18,183 20.46% 4,813 2.24% 528 23,524
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Hamilton 56.29% 95,105 41.79% 70,608 1.92% 3,252 168,965
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Hancock 86.39% 2,159 12.04% 301 1.57% 39 2,499
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Hardeman 58.68% 5,377 37.67% 3,452 3.65% 334 9,163
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Hardin 82.95% 9,221 14.38% 1,599 2.67% 296 11,116
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Hawkins 82.06% 19,123 15.66% 3,649 2.28% 533 23,305
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Haywood 46.14% 3,297 51.74% 3,697 2.12% 152 7,146
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Henderson 82.73% 9,585 15.48% 1,793 1.79% 208 11,586
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Henry 75.40% 10,595 21.16% 2,973 3.44% 484 14,052
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Hickman 76.90% 7,284 20.31% 1,924 2.79% 264 9,472
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Houston 72.85% 2,586 22.82% 810 4.33% 154 3,550
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Humphreys 73.39% 5,752 22.77% 1,785 3.84% 301 7,838
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Jackson 77.47% 3,837 19.95% 988 2.58% 128 4,953
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Jefferson 79.80% 18,024 17.87% 4,035 2.33% 527 22,586
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Johnson 82.41% 6,058 15.17% 1,115 2.42% 178 7,351
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Knox 59.27% 128,662 39.09% 84,847 1.64% 3,570 217,079
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Lake 70.52% 1,361 25.54% 493 3.94% 76 1,930
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Lauderdale 65.44% 5,553 31.50% 2,673 3.06% 260 8,486
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Lawrence 81.69% 14,270 15.85% 2,768 2.46% 431 17,469
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Lewis 79.27% 4,234 18.52% 989 2.21% 118 5,341
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Lincoln 79.55% 12,019 17.50% 2,644 2.95% 446 15,109
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Loudon 76.40% 21,890 21.15% 6,061 2.45% 702 28,653
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Macon 85.15% 7,522 12.50% 1,104 2.35% 208 8,834
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Madison 57.70% 24,065 40.24% 16,781 2.06% 860 41,706
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Marion 74.54% 9,517 23.15% 2,956 2.31% 295 12,768
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Marshall 75.17% 10,650 22.26% 3,154 2.57% 364 14,168
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Maury 68.49% 31,516 29.46% 13,557 2.05% 945 46,018
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |McMinn 80.28% 17,777 17.65% 3,908 2.07% 458 22,143
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |McNairy 80.77% 8,839 16.12% 1,764 3.11% 341 10,944
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Meigs 80.62% 4,198 16.94% 882 2.44% 127 5,207
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Monroe 80.86% 16,331 17.05% 3,444 2.09% 422 20,197
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Montgomery 56.54% 41,342 39.21% 28,674 4.25% 3,105 73,121
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Moore 82.04% 2,827 15.18% 523 2.78% 96 3,446
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Morgan 84.51% 6,715 13.67% 1,086 1.82% 145 7,946
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Obion 79.58% 10,236 17.47% 2,247 2.95% 380 12,863
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Overton 79.35% 7,351 18.39% 1,704 2.26% 209 9,264
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Perry 81.68% 2,617 16.14% 517 2.18% 70 3,204
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Pickett 81.15% 2,264 17.03% 475 1.82% 51 2,790
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Polk 81.25% 6,620 17.19% 1,401 1.56% 127 8,148
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Putnam 71.77% 23,031 25.76% 8,268 2.47% 792 32,091
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Rhea 81.62% 10,621 16.14% 2,100 2.24% 291 13,012
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Roane 75.21% 19,038 21.56% 5,458 3.23% 817 25,313
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Robertson 73.94% 23,877 23.32% 7,530 2.74% 886 32,293
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Rutherford 58.11% 80,610 38.77% 53,782 3.12% 4,323 138,715
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Scott 87.49% 7,307 10.09% 843 2.42% 202 8,352
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Sequatchie 80.95% 5,598 16.67% 1,153 2.38% 164 6,915
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Sevier 78.52% 33,531 18.58% 7,934 2.90% 1,238 42,703
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Shelby 36.12% 135,043 61.05% 228,280 2.83% 10,600 373,923
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Smith 78.77% 6,610 17.79% 1,493 3.44% 288 8,391
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Stewart 79.07% 4,697 18.10% 1,075 2.83% 168 5,940
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Sullivan 76.46% 55,506 21.64% 15,710 1.90% 1,375 72,591
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Sumner 70.70% 63,031 26.78% 23,878 2.52% 2,242 89,151
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Tipton 75.07% 19,554 22.21% 5,784 2.72% 709 26,047
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Trousdale 75.28% 2,741 22.25% 810 2.47% 90 3,641
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Unicoi 79.32% 6,267 18.34% 1,449 2.34% 185 7,901
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Union 83.67% 6,365 14.29% 1,087 2.04% 155 7,606
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Van Buren 79.93% 2,155 17.36% 468 2.71% 73 2,696
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Warren 73.68% 10,998 22.85% 3,410 3.47% 518 14,926
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Washington 68.20% 39,516 29.37% 17,021 2.43% 1,408 57,945
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Wayne 86.75% 5,351 10.91% 673 2.34% 144 6,168
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Weakley 75.90% 10,131 20.12% 2,686 3.98% 531 13,348
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |White 80.96% 9,475 17.02% 1,992 2.02% 237 11,704
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Williamson 66.21% 91,155 31.55% 43,432 2.24% 3,080 137,667
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Wilson 69.44% 50,597 27.53% 20,059 3.03% 2,209 72,865
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

Notes

Шаблон:Notelist

Partisan clients

Шаблон:Notelist-ua

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites

Шаблон:2020 United States elections

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