Английская Википедия:2020 United States presidential election in Delaware

Материал из Онлайн справочника
Перейти к навигацииПерейти к поиску

Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Main Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Use American English Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Delaware sidebar The 2020 United States presidential election in Delaware was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[1] Delaware voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump from Florida, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence from Indiana against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Delaware has three electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

Delaware is the home state of Biden, who represented the state in the U.S. Senate for 36 years from 1973 to 2009. Biden defeated Trump in the state by 19 points, a significant improvement over Hillary Clinton's 11% margin over Trump in 2016, and even a slight improvement over Barack Obama's margin in 2012, when Biden was his running mate. Biden flipped the swing county of Kent, while Sussex County, which last voted Democratic on the Presidential level when Bill Clinton carried it in 1996, stayed Republican, although Biden previously carried the county in six of his seven runs to the Senate. Delaware's remaining county, New Castle—home to Biden's hometown of Wilmington and part of both the Northeast megalopolis and the Philadelphia metropolitan area, containing 55% of the state's population—stayed Democratic, having last voted Republican when George H. W. Bush carried it in 1988, also the last time the state voted for the Republican nominee. Biden's margin in New Castle County would have been more than enough to carry the state; he carried his home county by over 106,000 votes, far exceeding his statewide margin of 96,000 votes.

Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Biden's strength in his home state came from African-Americans with 91%; and Caucasians with 50%, including those with a college degree with 54%. 59% of Delawarean voters had a favorable opinion of him.[3] Biden won overwhelmingly in his hometown of Wilmington, earning 26,698 votes to Trump's 3,580.[4]

With Biden's victory nationwide, he became the first person representing Delaware ever elected President of the United States.

Primary elections

The primary elections were originally scheduled for April 28, 2020. On March 24, they were moved to June 2 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic. On May 7, the primary elections were again postponed to July 7.[5][6] By that time, President Donald Trump of the Republican Party and former Vice President Joe Biden of the Democratic Party had already clinched enough delegates to become the presumptive nominees of their respective parties. This was Biden's third presidential attempt, as he had previously campaigned in the 1988 and 2008 Democratic presidential primaries but failed to secure the nomination both times.

Republican primary

Incumbent President Donald Trump was essentially uncontested in the Republican primary.[7] The state has 16 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.[8]

However, Trump was not unopposed: Rocky De La Fuente took 12% of the vote, with Trump polling 88%.[9]

2020 Delaware Republican presidential primary[10]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[11]
Donald Trump 28,876 88.05% 16
Rocky De La Fuente 3,920 11.95%
Total 32,796 100% 16

Democratic primary

Шаблон:Excerpt

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[12] Шаблон:USRaceRating September 10, 2020
Inside Elections[13] Шаблон:USRaceRating September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Шаблон:USRaceRating July 14, 2020
Politico[15] Шаблон:USRaceRating September 8, 2020
RCP[16] Шаблон:USRaceRating August 3, 2020
Niskanen[17] Шаблон:USRaceRating July 26, 2020
CNN[18] Шаблон:USRaceRating August 3, 2020
The Economist[19] Шаблон:USRaceRating September 2, 2020
CBS News[20] Шаблон:USRaceRating August 16, 2020
270towin[21] Шаблон:USRaceRating August 2, 2020
ABC News[22] Шаблон:USRaceRating July 31, 2020
NPR[23] Шаблон:USRaceRating August 3, 2020
NBC News[24] Шаблон:USRaceRating August 6, 2020
538[25] Шаблон:USRaceRating September 9, 2020

Polling

Файл:Opinion polling for the 2020 United States presidential election in Delaware.svg
Graph of opinion polls conducted. Trend lines represent local regressions.

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Шаблон:Nobold
Donald
Trump

Шаблон:Nobold
Other/
Undecided
Шаблон:Efn
Margin
270 to Win October 5 – November 1, 2020 November 3, 2020 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|57.5% 35.5% 7.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:HsBiden +22.0
FiveThirtyEight until November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|58.9% 34.6% 6.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:HsBiden +24.3
Average Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |58.2% 35.1% 6.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Biden +23.2
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap
Donald
Trump

Шаблон:Nobold
Joe
Biden

Шаблон:Nobold
Jo
Jorgensen

Шаблон:Nobold
Howie
Hawkins

Шаблон:Nobold
Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 656 (LV) ± 6% 38%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|60% - -
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 1–28, 2020 1,323 (LV) 37% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|62% - -
SurveyMonkey/Axios Sep 1–30, 2020 395 (LV) 37% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|61% - - 2%
University of Delaware Sep 21–27, 2020 847 (LV) 33% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|54% 2% 1% 10%Шаблон:Efn
SurveyMonkey/Axios Aug 1–31, 2020 348 (LV) 32% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|67% - - 1%
PPP Aug 21–22, 2020 710 (V) ± 3.7% 37% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|58% - - 5%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jul 1–31, 2020 453 (LV) 31% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|67% - - 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jun 8–30, 2020 232 (LV) 34% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|64% - - 2%
Gonzales Research Jan 16–21, 2020 410 (LV) ± 5.0% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 56% - - 4%

Шаблон:Collapse top

Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap
Donald
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (D)
Undecided
Gonzales Research Jan 16–21, 2020 410 (LV) ± 5.0% 47% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 48% 5%
Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap
Donald
Trump (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Undecided
Gonzales Research Jan 16–21, 2020 410 (LV) ± 5.0% 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 50% 5%
Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Undecided
Gonzales Research Jan 16–21, 2020 410 (LV) ± 5.0% 46% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 47% 7%
Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Undecided
Gonzales Research Jan 16–21, 2020 410 (LV) ± 5.0% 46% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 49% 5%

Шаблон:Collapse bottom

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box win Шаблон:Election box end

Results by county

County Joe Biden
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # % # %
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| Kent Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 44,552 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 51.19% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 41,009 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 47.12% Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 1,464 Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 1.69% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 3,543 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 4.07% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 87,025
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| New Castle Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 195,034 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 67.81% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 88,364 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 30.72% Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 4,235 Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 1.47% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 106,670 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 37.09% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 287,633
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Sussex Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 56,682 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 43.82% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 71,230 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 55.07% Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 1,440 Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 1.11% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| -14,548 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| -11.25% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 129,352
Totals 296,268 58.74% 200,603 39.77% 7,475 1.49% 95,665 18.97% 504,346

Шаблон:Align

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district is called the At-Large district, because it covers the entire state, and thus is equivalent to the statewide election results.

District Trump Biden Representative
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|At-large 39.77% 58.74% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Lisa Blunt Rochester

Turnout

According to the Delaware's Elections website, voter turnout was 68.86% with 509,241 ballots cast out of 739,570 registered voters.[26]

Notes

Шаблон:Notelist

See also

References

Шаблон:Reflist

Further reading

External links

Шаблон:2020 United States elections Шаблон:State results of the 2020 U.S. presidential election Шаблон:Elections in Delaware footer