Английская Википедия:2020 United States presidential election in Florida

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Шаблон:Pp Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Main Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Use American English Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Florida sidebar

The 2020 United States presidential election in Florida was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election, in which all 50 states and the District of Columbia participated.[1] Florida voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent president Donald Trump, and his running mate, Vice President Mike Pence, against Democratic Party nominee, former vice president Joe Biden, and his running mate, United States senator Kamala Harris, of California. Florida had 29 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

Florida was one of seven states as well as Washington, D.C., where Trump received a greater percentage of the two-party vote than he did in 2016.Шаблон:Efn

Miami Beach, Florida, which hosted the 1972 Democratic National Convention, was a finalist to host the 2020 Democratic National Convention.[3] The other finalists were Milwaukee and Houston; Milwaukee was chosen.[4][5] Florida was Trump's state of residency for this election; New York was his home state in 2016.[6] Trump was the first nominee of either major party to be a Florida resident. Biden was selected as the Democratic nominee in the 2020 Florida Democratic presidential primary on March 17, 2020.

Before the election, aggregate polls had Biden in the lead in Florida by up to almost 3 percentage points. Despite this, Trump won the state by a 3.4-point margin, improving on his margin from 2016, over Hillary Clinton, by 1.2 points; it was the largest margin for any presidential election in Florida since 2004. The main reason was increased support for Trump among Latino voters in the state, particularly in Miami-Dade County, which Biden carried by 7.4 points, significantly less than Clinton's 29.4-point margin in 2016 and Obama's 23.7-point margin in 2012.[7] Trump carried the Cuban vote with 56%, while Biden carried the Puerto Rican vote with 66%, and Trump and Biden split the South American vote with 50% each. Overall, Biden won 54% of Latinos.[8][9] In this election, Florida voted 7.8 points right of the nation as a whole, the furthest it has voted from the nation since 1988, when the state voted 14.6 points right of the national result. This was the first election since 1992 that Florida backed the losing Republican incumbent as well as the loser of the election overall. Despite this, Biden became the first Democrat since 1976 to win the heavily urbanized Duval County, historically a Republican stronghold and home to Jacksonville. Similarly, he became the first Democrat to win Seminole County since Harry Truman in 1948.

Primary election

The primary elections were held on March 17, 2020.

Republican primary

The Florida Secretary of State declared Rocky De La Fuente to be a major candidate and thus worthy of automatic inclusion on the ballot.

Шаблон:Excerpt

Democratic primary

Three Democrats were still in the race by the time Florida held its primaries: Vermont senator Bernie Sanders, former vice president Joe Biden, and representative from Hawaii, Tulsi Gabbard.[10][11][12]

The first Democratic debate took place in Miami over two nights at the end of June 2019. It was broadcast on several of the NBC networks.[13]

Шаблон:Excerpt

General election

Final predictions

Source Ranking
The Cook Political Report[14] Шаблон:USRaceRating
Inside Elections[15] Шаблон:USRaceRating
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] Шаблон:USRaceRating
Politico[17] Шаблон:USRaceRating
RCP[18] Шаблон:USRaceRating
Niskanen[19] Шаблон:USRaceRating
CNN[20] Шаблон:USRaceRating
The Economist[21] Шаблон:USRaceRating
CBS News[22] Шаблон:USRaceRating
270towin[23] Шаблон:USRaceRating
ABC News[24] Шаблон:USRaceRating
NPR[25] Шаблон:USRaceRating
NBC News[26] Шаблон:USRaceRating
538[27] Шаблон:USRaceRating

Polling

Graphical summary Шаблон:Graph:Chart

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Joe
Biden
Шаблон:Nobold 		Donald
Trump
Шаблон:Nobold 		Other/
UndecidedШаблон:Efn 		Margin
270 to Win October 24 – November 1, 2020 November 3, 2020 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |48.7% 46.0% 5.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Шаблон:HsBiden +2.7
Real Clear Politics October 28 – November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |47.9% 47.0% 5.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Шаблон:HsBiden +0.9
FiveThirtyEight until November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |49.1% 46.6% 4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Шаблон:HsBiden +2.5
Average Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |48.6% 46.5% 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Biden +2.1

State polls

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn 		Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap 		Donald
Trump
Шаблон:Nobold 		Joe
Biden
Шаблон:Nobold 		Jo
Jorgensen
Шаблон:Nobold 		Howie
Hawkins
Шаблон:Nobold 		Other Undecided
Insider Advantage/Fox 35 Nov 1–2, 2020Шаблон:Efn 400 (LV) ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |48% 47% 2% - – 3%
Trafalgar Group Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2020 1,054 (LV) ± 2.94% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |49% 47% 2% - 1%Шаблон:Efn 1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 8,792 (LV) ± 1.5% 49%Шаблон:Efn 49% - - – –
AYTM/Aspiration Oct 30 – Nov 1, 2020 517 (LV) – 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |45% - - – –
Change Research/CNBC Oct 29 – Nov 1, 2020 806 (LV) ± 3.45% 48% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |51% 0% 0% – 1%
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American GreatnessШаблон:Efn-ua Oct 29 – Nov 1, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |47% 46% 2% - 2%Шаблон:Efn 3%
Quinnipiac University Oct 28 – Nov 1, 2020 1,657 (LV) ± 2.4% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |47% - - 1%Шаблон:Efn 9%
Swayable Шаблон:Webarchive Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 1,261 (LV) ± 3.7% 46% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |53% 1% 1% – –
Data for Progress Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 1,202 (LV) ± 2.8% 48% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |51% 1% 1% 0%Шаблон:Efn –
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 670 (LV) ± 4.3% 46%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |50% 1% 0% 1%Шаблон:Efn –
46%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |50% - - 2%Шаблон:Efn 2%
47%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |51% - - 2%Шаблон:Efn –
Frederick Polls/Compete EverywhereШаблон:Efn-ua Oct 30–31, 2020 768 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |51% - - – –
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Oct 29–31, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |48% - - 3%Шаблон:Efn –
Siena College/NYT Upshot Oct 27–31, 2020 1,451 (LV) ± 3.2% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |47% 2% 1% 0%Шаблон:Efn 6%Шаблон:Efn
Morning Consult Oct 22–31, 2020 4,451 (LV) ± 2% 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |52% - - – –
St. Pete Polls Oct 29–30, 2020 2,758 (LV) ± 1.9% 48% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |49% 1% - – 2%
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ Oct 28–30, 2020 1,200 (LV) ± 2.8% 47%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |51% - - 2%Шаблон:Efn 0%
45%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |52% - - 2%Шаблон:Efn 0%
48%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |49% - - 2%Шаблон:Efn 0%
Targoz Market Research/PollSmart Oct 25–30, 2020 1,027 (LV) – 47% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |51% - - 2%Шаблон:Efn –
AtlasIntel Oct 28–29, 2020 786 (LV) ± 3% 48.5% 48.5% - - – 3%
Public Policy Polling/Climate Power 2020Шаблон:Efn-ua Oct 28–29, 2020 941 (V) – 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |52% - - – 3%
Harvard-Harris/The Hill Oct 26–29, 2020 1,148 (LV) ± >=3% 47% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |50% - - – 3%
ABC/Washington Post Oct 24–29, 2020 824 (LV) ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |50% 48% 1% 0% 0%Шаблон:Efn 0%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Oct 27–28, 2020 1,587 (LV) – 46% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |50% 1% 0% 0% 3%
Trafalgar Group Oct 25–28, 2020 1,088 (LV) ± 2.89% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |50% 47% 2% - 1%Шаблон:Efn 1%
Monmouth University Oct 24–28, 2020 509 (RV) ± 4.7% 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |50% 1% 0% 1%Шаблон:Efn 2%
509 (LV) 45%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |51% - - – –
46%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |50% - - – –
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 1–28, 2020 14,571 (LV) – Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |50% 48% - - – –
Marist College/NBC Oct 25–27, 2020 743 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |51% - - 1% 1%
Quinnipiac University Oct 23–27, 2020 1,324 (LV) ± 2.7% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |45% - - 1%Шаблон:Efn 11%
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 21–27, 2020 704 (LV) ± 4.2% 47%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |48% 1% 1% 2%Шаблон:Efn –
47%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |49% - - 3%Шаблон:Efn 2%
Swayable Oct 23–26, 2020 605 (LV) ± 5.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |51% 46% 2% 1% – –
YouGov/Institute of Politics at Florida State University Oct 16–26, 2020 1,200 (LV) ± 3.2% 46% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |48% - - – 6%
Wick Surveys Oct 24–25, 2020 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |50% 47% - - – –
Florida Atlantic University Oct 24–25, 2020 937 (LV) ± 3.1% 48% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |50% - - 2%Шаблон:Efn –
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American GreatnessШаблон:Efn-ua Oct 23–25, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |49% 44% 2% - 3%Шаблон:Efn 3%
Univision/University of Houston/Latino
Decisions/North Star Opinion Research 		Oct 17–25, 2020 743 (RV) ± 3.56% 46% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |49% - - 2%Шаблон:Efn 3%
Ryan Tyson (R) Released Oct 24, 2020 – (V)Шаблон:Efn – Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |47% 45% - - 3%Шаблон:Efn 4%
Gravis Marketing Oct 24, 2020 665 (LV) ± 3.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |48% 47% - - – 5%
YouGov/CBS Oct 20–23, 2020 1,228 (LV) ± 3.6% 48% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |50% - - 2%Шаблон:Efn 0%
St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics Oct 21–22, 2020 2,527 (LV) ± 2% 47% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |49% - - 2%Шаблон:Efn 2%
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ Oct 20–22, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 48%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |50% - - 1%Шаблон:Efn 1%
46%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |52% - - 1%Шаблон:Efn 1%
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |48%Шаблон:Efn 46% - - 1%Шаблон:Efn 1%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Oct 20–21, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |50% 46% - - 3%Шаблон:Efn 3%
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 14–21, 2020 662 (LV) ± 4.3% 46%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |51% 1% 0% 2%Шаблон:Efn –
46%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |50% - - 1%Шаблон:Efn 3%
Citizen Data Oct 17–20, 2020 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |50% 1% 0% 1% 4%
Civiqs/Daily Kos Oct 17–20, 2020 863 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |51% - - 1%Шаблон:Efn 1%
CNN/SSRS Oct 15–20, 2020 847 (LV) ± 4% 46% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |50% 1% 1% 0%Шаблон:Efn 1%
Morning Consult Oct 11–20, 2020 4,685 (LV) ± 1.4% 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |52% - - – –
Change Research/CNBC Oct 16–19, 2020 547 (LV)Шаблон:Efn – 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |50% - - – –
University of North Florida Oct 12–16, 2020 863 (LV) ± 3.3% 47% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |48% - - 1%Шаблон:Efn 3%
HarrisX/The Hill[1] Oct 12–15, 2020 965 (LV) – 48% 48% - - – 4%
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 7–14, 2020 653 (LV) ± 4.4% 47%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |50% 0% 0% 2%Шаблон:Efn –
47%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |49% - - 1%Шаблон:Efn 3%
Trafalgar Group Oct 11–13, 2020 1,051 (LV) ± 2.94% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |48% 46% 2% 1% 1%Шаблон:Efn 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Oct 10–13, 2020 1,519 (LV) – 44%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |50% 1% 0% – –
St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics Oct 11–12, 2020 2,215 (LV) ± 2.1% 47% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |49% - - 1%Шаблон:Efn 2%
Emerson College Oct 10–12, 2020 690 (LV) ± 3.7% 48%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |51% - - 1%Шаблон:Efn –
Mason-Dixon Oct 8–12, 2020 625 (LV) ± 4% 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |48% - - 1%Шаблон:Efn 6%
Clearview Research Oct 7–12, 2020 550 (LV) ± 4.18% 40%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |47% - - 4%Шаблон:Efn 9%
39%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |48% - - 4%Шаблон:Efn 9%
41%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |46% - - 4%Шаблон:Efn 9%
Morning Consult Oct 2–11, 2020 4,785 (LV) ± 1.4% 46% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |51% - - – –
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Oct 9–10, 2020 750 (LV) – 42%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |53% 1% 0% – –
Florida Atlantic University Oct 9–10, 2020 644 (LV) ± 3.8% 47% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |51% - - 2%Шаблон:Efn –
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ Oct 4–8, 2020 800 (LV) – 46%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |48% 1% 1% 1% 4%
44%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |50% 1% 1% 1% 4%
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |47%Шаблон:Efn 46% 1% 1% 1% 4%
Insider Advantage/Hannity Exclusive (R) Oct 6–7, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |49% 46% 1% - – 10%
YouGov/CCES Шаблон:Webarchive Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2020 3,755 (LV) – 47% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |49% - - – –
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2020 678 (LV) ± 4.3% 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |49% - - 1%Шаблон:Efn 5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Oct 4–6, 2020 998 (LV) ± 3.1% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |49% 1% 0% 1%Шаблон:Efn 6%
Quinnipiac University Oct 1–5, 2020 1,256 (LV) ± 2.8% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |51% - - 1%Шаблон:Efn 7%
Change Research/CNBC Oct 2–4, 2020 560 (LV) – 46% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |50% - - – –
Suffolk University/USA Today[2] Oct 1–4, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 45%Шаблон:Efn 45% 2% 0%Шаблон:Efn 2%Шаблон:Efn 6%
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |46%Шаблон:Efn 45% - - 2%Шаблон:Efn 7%
University of North Florida Oct 1–4, 2020 3,134 (LV) ± 1.8% 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |51% - - 1%Шаблон:Efn 3%Шаблон:Efn
St. Leo University Sep 27 – Oct 2, 2020 489 (LV) – 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |50% - - – 5%
Siena College/NYT Upshot Sep 30 – Oct 1, 2020 710 (LV) ± 4.2% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |47% 2% 1% 0%Шаблон:Efn 8%Шаблон:Efn
SurveyMonkey/Axios Sep 1–30, 2020 12,962 (LV) – 47% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |51% - - – 2%
Cherry Communications/Florida Chamber of Commerce Sep 23–29, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 44%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |49% - - – –
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American GreatnessШаблон:Efn-ua Sep 23–26, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.3% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |46% 3% - – 8%Шаблон:Efn
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Sep 23–25, 2020 1,073 (LV) ± 2.99% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |48% 1% 1% 1%Шаблон:Efn 7%
St. Pete Polls Sep 21–22, 2020 2,906 (LV) ± 1.8% 47% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |50% - - 2%Шаблон:Efn 2%
Data For ProgressШаблон:Efn-ua Sep 15–22, 2020 620 (LV) ± 3.9% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |46% - - – 11%
Change Research/CNBC Sep 18–20, 2020 702 (LV) – 46% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |49% - - – –
ABC/Washington Post Sep 15–20, 2020 613 (LV) ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |51% 47% - - 1%Шаблон:Efn 1%
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights CampaignШаблон:Dead linkШаблон:Efn-ua Sep 17–19, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |51% - - – –
YouGov/CBS Sep 15–18, 2020 1,205 (LV) ± 3.7% 46% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |48% - - 1%Шаблон:Efn 5%
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 11–17, 2020 586 (LV) ± 4.6% 47% 47% - - 2%Шаблон:Efn 4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Sep 12–14, 2020 1,158 (LV) ± 2.88% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |47% 1% 1% 1%Шаблон:Efn 6%
Monmouth University Sep 10–13, 2020 428 (RV) ± 4.7% 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |50% 2% 0% 1%Шаблон:Efn 3%
428 (LV) 45%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |50% - - 1%Шаблон:Efn 3%
46%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |49% - - 1%Шаблон:Efn 3%
Kaiser Family Foundation/Cook Political Report Aug 29 – Sep 13, 2020 1,009 (RV) ± 4.0% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |43% - - 4%Шаблон:Efn 11%
Florida Atlantic University Sep 11–12, 2020 631 (LV) ± 3.8% 50% 50% - - 0%Шаблон:Efn –
St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics/AARP Sep 7–8, 2020 2,689 (LV) ± 1.9% 47% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |50% - - 2%Шаблон:Efn 2%
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARP Aug 30 – Sep 8, 2020 1,600 (LV) ± 2.5% 46% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |48% - - 2%Шаблон:Efn 4%
Morning Consult Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 3,914 (LV) ± (2%-4%) 43%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |50% - - – –
Change Research/CNBC Sep 4–6, 2020 1,144 (LV) – 46% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |49% - - 4%Шаблон:Efn –
Marist College/NBC Aug 31 – Sep 5, 2020 760 (LV) ± 4.5% 48% 48% - - 1% 2%
Trafalgar Group Sep 1–3, 2020 1,022 (LV) ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |49% 46% 2% - 1%Шаблон:Efn 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Aug 30 – Sep 3, 2020 1,093 (LV) ± 2.96% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |48% 1% 1% 1%Шаблон:Efn 6%
GQR Research (D) Aug 26 – Sep 3, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |51% - - – –
Quinnipiac Шаблон:Webarchive Aug 28 – Sep 1, 2020 1,235 (LV) ± 2.8% 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |48% - - 1%Шаблон:Efn 5%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Aug 1–31, 2020 12,286 (LV) – Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |50% 48% - - – 2%
Morning Consult Aug 21–30, 2020 3,790 (LV) ± (2%–4%) 47% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |49% - - – –
Opinium/The Guardian[3] Aug 21–26, 2020 684 (LV) – 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |50% - - 1% 6%
Change Research/CNBC Aug 21–23, 2020 1,262 (LV) – 46% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |49% - - – –
PPP Aug 21–22, 2020 671 (V) ± 3.8% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |48% - - – 7%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies Aug 16, 2020 1,280 (LV) – 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |49% 1% - 1%Шаблон:Efn 7%
Morning Consult Aug 7–16, 2020 3,484 (LV) ± (2%–4%) 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |50% - - – –
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy AllianceШаблон:Efn-ua Aug 11–15, 2020 750 (LV) ± 4% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |46% 2% - 1%Шаблон:Efn 6%
Change Research/CNBC Aug 7–9, 2020 469 (LV) – 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |50% - - – –
OnMessage Inc./Heritage ActionШаблон:Efn-ua Aug 2–4, 2020 400 (LV) – 49% 49% - - – 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jul 1–31, 2020 13,945 (LV) – 48% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |49% - - – 2%
Change Research/CNBC[4] Jul 24–26, 2020 685 (LV) – 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |48% - - – –
Morning Consult Jul 17–26, 2020 3,760 (LV) ± 1.6% 46%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |49% - - – –
Morning Consult Jul 16–25, 2020 – (LV)Шаблон:Efn – 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |49% - - – –
CNN/SSRS Jul 18–24, 2020 880 (RV) ± 3.8% 46% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |51% - - 2%Шаблон:Efn 2%
Zogby Analytics Jul 21–23, 2020 811 (RV) ± 3.4% 43% 43% 3% 2% – 9%
Mason-Dixon Jul 20–23, 2020 625 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |50% - - – 4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Jul 19–21, 2020 1,121 (LV) – 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |48% 1% 1% 1%Шаблон:Efn 8%
Quinnipiac University Jul 16–20, 2020 924 (RV) ± 4.3% 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |51% - - 6%Шаблон:Efn 5%
Morning Consult Jul 6–15, 2020 – (LV)Шаблон:Efn – 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |50% - - – –
Florida Politics/AARP Florida/St. Pete Polls Jul 13–14, 2020 3,018 (RV) ± 1.8% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |50% - - 2%Шаблон:Efn 3%
Gravis Marketing Jul 13, 2020 513 (LV) ± 4.3% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |53% - - – 4%
Change Research/CNBC Jul 10–12, 2020 1,128 (LV) – 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |50% - - – –
YouGov/CBS Jul 7–10, 2020 1,206 (LV) ± 3.6% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |48% - - 2%Шаблон:Efn 8%
Morning Consult Jun 26 – Jul 5, 2020 – (LV)Шаблон:Efn – 46% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |49% - - – –
Trafalgar Group Jun 29 – Jul 2, 2020 1,072 (LV) ± 2.91% 46% 46% - - 5%Шаблон:Efn 3%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jun 8–30, 2020 5,663 (LV) – Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |51% 47% - - – 2%
Change Research/CNBC Jun 26–28, 2020 951 (LV)Шаблон:Efn – 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |50% - - – –
Morning Consult Jun 16–25, 2020 – (LV)Шаблон:Efn – 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |49% - - – –
Fox News Jun 20–23, 2020 1,010 (RV) ± 3% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |49% - - 6%Шаблон:Efn 6%
Siena College/NYT Upshot Jun 8–18, 2020 651 (RV) ± 4.6% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |47% - - 4%Шаблон:Efn 7%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Jun 14–15, 2020 1,079 (LV) ± 2.98% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |45% 1% 1% 1%Шаблон:Efn 11%
Morning Consult Jun 6–15, 2020 – (LV)Шаблон:Efn – 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |50% - - – –
Change Research/CNBC Jun 12–14, 2020 713 (LV)Шаблон:Efn – 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |50% - - 3%Шаблон:Efn –
Gravis Marketing/OANN Released Jun 11, 2020 – (V)Шаблон:Efn – 50% 50% - - – –
TIPP/American Greatness PAC Шаблон:WebarchiveШаблон:Efn-ua Jun 9–11, 2020 875 (LV) – 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |51% - - 4%Шаблон:Efn 5%
Morning Consult May 27 – Jun 5, 2020 – (LV)Шаблон:Efn – Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |48% 47% - - – –
Change Research/CNBC May 29–31, 2020 1,186 (LV)Шаблон:Efn – 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |48% - - 2% 4%
Cygnal (R) May 18–30, 2020 881 (LV) ± 3.3% 43.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |47% - - 3.3%Шаблон:Efn 5.9%
St. Pete Polls May 26–27, 2020 4,763 (RV) ± 1.4% 46.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |47.5% - - 2.7%Шаблон:Efn 3.1%
Morning Consult May 17–26, 2020 3,593 (LV) – Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |48%Шаблон:Efn 47% - - – –
Morning Consult May 16–25, 2020 – (LV)Шаблон:Efn – Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |48% 47% - - – –
Point Blank Political May 14–17, 2020 2,149 (LV) ± 3.5% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |45% 1%Шаблон:Efn <1%Шаблон:Efn 2% 8%
Point Blank Political May 14–17, 2020 2,149 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic} } |52% - - – –
Morning Consult May 6–15, 2020 – (LV)Шаблон:Efn – Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |50% 45% - - – –
Redfield & Wilton Strategies May 10–14, 2020 1,014 (LV) ± 3.1% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |45% - - 3%Шаблон:Efn 10%
Florida Atlantic University May 8–12, 2020 928 (RV) ± 3.1% 47% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |53% - - – –
Fox News Apr 18–21, 2020 1,004 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% - - 3% 7%
Quinnipiac University Apr 16–20, 2020 1,385 (RV) ± 2.6% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% - - 3% 7%
St. Pete Polls Apr 16–17, 2020 5,659 (RV) ± 1.3% 48% 48% - - – 4%
University of North Florida Mar 31 – Apr 4, 2020 3,244 (RV) ± 1.7% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% - - – 8%
AtlasIntel Mar 14–16, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 45% - - 10% –
Univision Mar 6–12, 2020 1,071 (RV) ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% 45% - - – 7%
Florida Atlantic University Mar 5–7, 2020 1,216 (RV) ± 2.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 51% 49% - - – –
University of North Florida Feb, 2020 696 (LV) – 45% 45% - - – 10%Шаблон:Efn
Saint Leo University Feb 17–22, 2020 900 (LV) ± 3.5% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% - - – 8%
University of North Florida Feb 10–18, 2020 668 (RV) – 48% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% - - – 3%
Florida Atlantic University Jan 9–12, 2020 1,285 (RV) ± 2.6% 49% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% - - – –
Cherry Communications/Florida Chamber of CommerceШаблон:Efn-ua Jan 3–12, 2020 608 (LV) ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |49% 45% - - – –
Mason-Dixon Dec 11–16, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% - - – 8%
Siena College/NYT Upshot Oct 13–26, 2019 650 (LV) ± 4.4% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% - - – –
University of North Florida Oct 14–20, 2019 643 (RV) ± 3.8% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |48% - - 6%Шаблон:Efn 3%
Florida Atlantic University Sep 12–15, 2019 934 (RV) ± 3.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 50.5% 49.5% - - – –
Quinnipiac University Jun 12–17, 2019 1,279 (RV) ± 3.3% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% - - 1% 6%
St. Pete Polls Jun 15–16, 2019 3,095 (LV) ± 1.8% 47% 47% - - – 6%
Florida Atlantic University May 16–19, 2019 1,007 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 50% - - – –
WPA Intelligence Apr 27–30, 2019 200 (LV) ± 6.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% 44% - - – 7%

Шаблон:Collapse top Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn 		Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Michael
Bloomberg (D) 		Other Undecided
Saint Leo University Feb 17–22, 2020 900 (LV) ± 3.5% 36% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 52% – 12%
University of North Florida Feb 10–18, 2020 672 (RV) – 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 50% – 6%
Cherry Communications/Florida Chamber of CommerceШаблон:Efn-ua Jan 3–12, 2020 608 (LV) ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|49% 44% – –

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn 		Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Pete
Buttigieg (D) 		Other Undecided
Saint Leo University Feb 17–22, 2020 900 (LV) ± 3.5% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 45% – 15%
University of North Florida Feb 10–18, 2020 664 (RV) – Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|49% 45% – 7%
Florida Atlantic University Jan 9–12, 2020 1,285 (RV) ± 2.6% 50% 50% – –
Cherry Communications/Florida Chamber of CommerceШаблон:Efn-ua Jan 3–12, 2020 608 (LV) ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|50% 43% – –
Mason-Dixon Dec 11–16, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 49% 45% – 6%
University of North Florida Oct 14–20, 2019 643 (RV) ± 3.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|43% 42% 7%Шаблон:Efn 9%
Quinnipiac University Jun 12–17, 2019 1,279 (RV) ± 3.3% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 44% 1% 9%
Florida Atlantic University May 16–19, 2019 1,007 (RV) ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 52% 48% – –

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn 		Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Kamala
Harris (D) 		Other Undecided
University of North Florida Oct 14–20, 2019 643 (RV) ± 3.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|44% 41% 8%Шаблон:Efn 7%
Florida Atlantic University Sep 12–15, 2019 934 (RV) ± 3.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 52% 48% – –
Quinnipiac University Jun 12–17, 2019 1,279 (RV) ± 3.3% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 45% 1% 7%
Florida Atlantic University May 16–19, 2019 1,007 (RV) ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 53% 47% – –

Donald Trump vs. Amy Klobuchar

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn 		Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Amy
Klobuchar (D) 		Other Undecided
Saint Leo University Feb 17–22, 2020 900 (LV) ± 3.5% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 43% – 16%
University of North Florida Feb 10–18, 2020 662 (RV) – Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48% 44% – 8%

Donald Trump vs. Beto O'Rourke

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn 		Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Beto
O'Rourke (D) 		Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University Jun 12–17, 2019 1,279 (RV) ± 3.3% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 45% 1% 7%

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn 		Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Bernie
Sanders (D) 		Other Undecided
AtlasIntel Mar 14–16, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 48% 41% 11% –
Univision Mar 6–12, 2020 1,071 (RV) ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 49% 42% – 8%
Florida Atlantic University Mar 5–7, 2020 1,216 (LV) ± 2.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 53% 47% – –
Saint Leo University Feb 17–22, 2020 900 (LV) ± 3.5% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 49% – 11%
University of North Florida Feb 10–18, 2020 671 (RV) – 48% 48% – 4%
Florida Atlantic University Jan 9–12, 2020 1,285 (RV) ± 2.6% 47% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 53% – –
Mason-Dixon Dec 11–16, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 49% 44% – 7%
Siena College/NYT Upshot Oct 13–26, 2019 650 (LV) ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 45% 44% – –
Florida Atlantic University Sep 12–15, 2019 934 (RV) ± 3.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 50.5% 49.5% – –
Quinnipiac University Jun 12–17, 2019 1,279 (RV) ± 3.3% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 48% 1% 6%
Florida Atlantic University May 16–19, 2019 1,007 (RV) ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 51% 49% – –

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn 		Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Elizabeth
Warren (D) 		Other Undecided
Saint Leo University Feb 17–22, 2020 900 (LV) ± 3.5% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|44% – 14%
University of North Florida Feb 10–18, 2020 661 (RV) – 47% 47% – 6%
Florida Atlantic University Jan 9–12, 2020 1,285 (RV) ± 2.6% 49% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 51% – –
Cherry Communications/Florida Chamber of CommerceШаблон:Efn-ua Jan 3–12, 2020 608 (LV) ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|50% 43% – –
Mason-Dixon Dec 11–16, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 51% 42% – 7%
Siena College/NYT Upshot Oct 13–26, 2019 650 (LV) ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 46% 42% – –
University of North Florida Oct 14–20, 2019 643 (RV) ± 3.8% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|46% 6%Шаблон:Efn 6%
Florida Atlantic University Sep 12–15, 2019 934 (RV) ± 3.1% 50% 50% – –
Quinnipiac University Jun 12–17, 2019 1,279 (RV) ± 3.3% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 47% 1% 6%
Florida Atlantic University May 16–19, 2019 1,007 (RV) ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 52% 48% – –
Zogby Analytics Aug 17–23, 2017 828 (LV) ± 3.4% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 48% – 14%

Шаблон:Collapse bottom

Шаблон:Collapse top with Donald Trump and Oprah Winfrey

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn 		Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Oprah
Winfrey (D) 		Other Undecided
Dixie Strategies Jan 9–10, 2018 785 (LV) ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 48% 24% 15% 13%

with Donald Trump and generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn 		Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Generic
Democrat 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua Jun 14–16, 2019 679 (V) ± 3.8% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 51% 6%
Mason-Dixon Jan 14–17, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 46% 9%

with Donald Trump and generic Opponent

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn 		Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Generic
Opponent 		Undecided
Quinnipiac University Mar 6–11, 2019 1,058 (V) ± 3.7% 31% Шаблон:Party shading/Other|51%Шаблон:Efn 18%Шаблон:Efn

with Mike Pence and Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn 		Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap 		Mike
Pence (R) 		Joe
Biden (D) 		Other Undecided
University of North Florida Oct 14–20, 2019 643 (RV) ± 3.8% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% 8%Шаблон:Efn 5%

with Mike Pence and Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn 		Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap 		Mike
Pence (R) 		Kamala
Harris (D) 		Undecided
St. Leo University Sep 27 – Oct 2, 2020 489 (LV) ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46.8% 46.7% 6.5%

with Mike Pence and Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn 		Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap 		Mike
Pence (R) 		Elizabeth
Warren (D) 		Other Undecided
University of North Florida Oct 14–20, 2019 643 (RV) ± 3.8% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|46% 8%Шаблон:Efn 6%

Шаблон:Collapse bottom

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box end

By county

County colspan="2" style="text-align: center;" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Donald Trump
Republican		 colspan="2" style="text-align: center;" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Joe Biden
Democratic		 colspan="2" style="text-align: center;" Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian | Jo Jorgensen
Libertarian		 Other votes Margin Total
votes
colspan="1" style="text-align: center;" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | % colspan="1" style="text-align: center;" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | # colspan="1" style="text-align: center;" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | % colspan="1" style="text-align: center;" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | # colspan="1" style="text-align: center;" Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian | % colspan="1" style="text-align: center;" Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian | # % # % #
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Alachua 35.63% 50,972 62.71% 89,704 0.97% 1,390 0.69% 981 -27.08% -38,732 143,047
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Baker 84.58% 11,911 14.47% 2,037 0.66% 93 0.29% 41 70.11% 9,874 14,082
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Bay 70.91% 66,097 27.48% 25,614 1.08% 1,004 0.53% 498 43.43% 40,483 93,213
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Bradford 75.71% 10,334 23.15% 3,160 0.81% 110 0.34% 46 52.56% 7,174 13,650
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Brevard 57.48% 207,883 41.08% 148,549 0.88% 3,178 0.56% 2,043 16.40% 59,334 361,653
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Broward 34.74% 333,409 64.48% 618,752 0.32% 3,114 0.45% 4,365 -29.74% -285,343 959,640
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Calhoun 80.68% 5,274 18.49% 1,209 0.44% 29 0.38% 25 62.19% 4,065 6,537
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Charlotte 62.84% 73,243 36.27% 42,273 0.48% 565 0.41% 477 26.57% 30,970 116,558
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Citrus 69.98% 65,352 29.01% 27,092 0.59% 548 0.42% 396 40.97% 38,260 93,388
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Clay 67.77% 84,480 30.74% 38,317 1.03% 1,286 0.46% 577 37.03% 46,163 124,660
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Collier 61.91% 128,950 37.27% 77,621 0.43% 889 0.40% 825 24.64% 51,329 208,285
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Columbia 72.03% 23,836 26.94% 8,914 0.68% 224 0.36% 118 45.09% 14,922 33,092
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|DeSoto 65.58% 8,313 33.60% 4,259 0.41% 52 0.41% 52 31.98% 4,054 12,676
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Dixie 82.70% 6,759 16.70% 1,365 0.33% 27 0.27% 22 66.00% 5,394 8,173
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Duval 47.30% 233,762 51.11% 252,556 0.97% 4,788 0.62% 3,055 -3.81% -18,794 494,161
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Escambia 56.58% 96,674 41.51% 70,929 1.26% 2,146 0.64% 1,107 15.07% 25,745 170,856
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Flagler 59.90% 43,043 39.19% 28,161 0.50% 359 0.42% 300 20.71% 14,882 71,863
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Franklin 68.16% 4,675 30.91% 2,120 0.39% 27 0.54% 37 37.25% 2,555 6,859
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Gadsden 31.42% 7,465 67.98% 16,153 0.40% 96 0.20% 48 -36.56% -8,688 23,762
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Gilchrist 81.37% 7,895 17.52% 1,700 0.63% 61 0.47% 46 63.85% 6,195 9,702
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Glades 72.69% 3,782 26.62% 1,385 0.40% 21 0.29% 15 46.07% 2,397 5,203
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Gulf 74.80% 6,113 24.29% 1,985 0.59% 48 0.32% 26 50.51% 4,128 8,172
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Hamilton 65.33% 3,815 33.61% 1,963 0.57% 33 0.50% 29 31.72% 1,852 5,840
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Hardee 72.01% 6,122 27.03% 2,298 0.47% 40 0.49% 42 44.98% 3,824 8,502
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Hendry 61.02% 7,906 38.04% 4,929 0.50% 65 0.43% 56 22.98% 2,977 12,956
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Hernando 64.51% 70,412 34.37% 37,519 0.63% 686 0.49% 533 30.14% 32,893 109,150
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Highlands 66.75% 34,873 32.42% 16,938 0.43% 223 0.40% 209 34.33% 17,935 52,243
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Hillsborough 45.85% 327,398 52.71% 376,367 0.79% 5,665 0.65% 4,638 -6.86% -48,969 714,068
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Holmes 89.01% 8,080 10.18% 924 0.53% 48 0.29% 26 78.83% 7,156 9,078
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Indian River 60.23% 58,872 38.72% 37,844 0.55% 534 0.50% 490 21.51% 21,028 97,740
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Jackson 68.97% 15,488 30.13% 6,766 0.52% 116 0.38% 86 38.84% 8,722 22,456
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Jefferson 52.89% 4,479 46.02% 3,897 0.54% 46 0.54% 46 6.87% 382 8,468
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Lafayette 85.42% 3,128 13.93% 510 0.38% 14 0.27% 10 71.49% 2,618 3,662
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Lake 59.56% 125,859 39.52% 83,505 0.66% 1,385 0.27% 565 20.04% 42,354 211,314
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Lee 59.09% 233,247 39.95% 157,695 0.51% 2,016 0.46% 1,800 19.14% 75,552 394,758
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Leon 35.14% 57,453 63.32% 103,517 0.82% 1,344 0.72% 1,162 -28.18% -46,064 163,476
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Levy 72.24% 16,749 26.76% 6,205 0.57% 131 0.43% 100 45.48% 10,544 23,185
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Liberty 79.83% 2,846 19.47% 694 0.39% 14 0.31% 11 60.36% 2,152 3,565
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Madison 59.36% 5,576 39.89% 3,747 0.34% 32 0.40% 38 19.47% 1,829 9,393
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Manatee 57.47% 124,987 41.46% 90,166 0.59% 1,287 0.47% 1,032 16.01% 34,821 217,472
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Marion 62.44% 127,826 36.57% 74,858 0.58% 1,180 0.42% 852 25.87% 52,968 204,716
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Martin 61.82% 61,168 37.29% 36,893 0.45% 448 0.44% 433 24.53% 24,275 98,942
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Miami-Dade 45.98% 532,833 53.31% 617,864 0.29% 3,329 0.42% 4,892 -7.33% -85,031 1,158,918
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Monroe 53.38% 25,693 45.46% 21,881 0.72% 348 0.44% 213 7.92% 3,812 48,135
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Nassau 72.25% 42,566 26.42% 15,564 0.97% 569 0.37% 216 45.83% 27,002 58,915
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Okaloosa 68.35% 79,798 29.34% 34,248 1.61% 1,881 0.70% 816 39.01% 45,550 116,743
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Okeechobee 71.76% 11,470 27.46% 4,390 0.41% 66 0.36% 58 44.30% 7,080 15,984
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Orange 37.80% 245,398 60.85% 395,014 0.72% 4,685 0.62% 4,060 -23.05% -149,616 649,157
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Osceola 42.53% 73,480 56.31% 97,297 0.56% 964 0.60% 1,043 -13.78% -23,817 172,784
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Palm Beach 43.21% 334,711 55.97% 433,572 0.39% 3,040 0.42% 3,274 -12.76% -98,861 774,597
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Pasco 59.36% 179,621 39.35% 119,073 0.75% 2,265 0.55% 1,662 20.01% 60,548 302,621
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Pinellas 49.22% 276,209 49.44% 277,450 0.76% 4,268 0.58% 3,234 -0.22% -1,241 561,161
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Polk 56.56% 194,586 42.16% 145,049 0.75% 2,595 0.52% 1,796 14.40% 49,537 344,026
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Putnam 70.05% 25,514 28.90% 10,527 0.62% 226 0.43% 155 41.15% 14,987 36,422
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Santa Rosa 72.19% 77,385 25.76% 27,612 1.53% 1,645 0.52% 556 46.43% 49,773 107,198
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Sarasota 54.71% 148,370 44.29% 120,110 0.56% 1,507 0.44% 1,182 10.42% 28,260 271,169
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Seminole 47.89% 125,241 50.67% 132,528 0.85% 2,215 0.60% 1,549 -2.78% -7,287 261,533
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|St. Johns 62.66% 110,946 36.06% 63,850 0.80% 1,413 0.47% 838 26.60% 47,096 177,047
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|St. Lucie 50.38% 86,831 48.82% 84,137 0.45% 768 0.36% 613 1.56% 2,694 172,349
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Sumter 67.76% 62,761 31.68% 29,341 0.29% 269 0.27% 253 36.08% 33,420 92,624
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Suwannee 77.84% 16,410 21.27% 4,485 0.56% 119 0.33% 69 56.57% 11,925 21,083
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Taylor 76.45% 7,751 22.68% 2,299 0.51% 52 0.36% 36 53.77% 5,452 10,138
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Union 82.11% 5,133 16.85% 1,053 0.67% 42 0.37% 23 65.26% 4,080 6,251
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Volusia 56.42% 173,821 42.38% 130,575 0.70% 2,156 0.51% 1,557 14.04% 43,246 308,109
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Wakulla 69.79% 12,874 29.01% 5,351 0.73% 135 0.48% 88 40.78% 7,523 18,448
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Walton 75.23% 32,947 23.61% 10,338 0.77% 336 0.40% 174 51.62% 22,609 43,795
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Washington 80.06% 9,876 19.03% 2,347 0.56% 69 0.35% 43 61.03% 7,529 12,335

Шаблон:Align

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Trump won 15 of 27 congressional districts, while Biden won 12, including one that elected a Republican.[28]

District Trump Biden Representative
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 65.9% 32.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Matt Gaetz
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 67% 32% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Neal Dunn
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 56% 42.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Ted Yoho
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Kat Cammack
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 59.9% 38.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|John Rutherford
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 36.2% 62.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Al Lawson
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 58.3% 40.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Michael Waltz
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 44.2% 54.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Stephanie Murphy
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 58.3% 40.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Bill Posey
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 46% 52.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Darren Soto
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 37% 62% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Val Demings
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 65.4% 33.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Daniel Webster
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 57.9% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Gus Bilirakis
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 47.4% 51.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Charlie Crist
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 41.6% 57.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Kathy Castor
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 53.7% 45.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Ross Spano
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Scott Franklin
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 53.6% 45.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Vern Buchanan
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 63.3% 35.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Greg Steube
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 53.9% 45.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Brian Mast
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 59.7% 39.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Francis Rooney
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Byron Donalds
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 22.1% 77.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Alcee Hastings
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 41.2% 58.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Lois Frankel
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 42.3% 57.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Ted Deutch
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 41.2% 58.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Debbie Wasserman Schultz
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 24% 75.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Frederica Wilson
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 61.2% 38.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Mario Díaz-Balart
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 52.5% 46.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Debbie Mucarsel-Powell
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Carlos Giménez
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 48.1% 51.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Donna Shalala
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Maria Elvira Salazar

Analysis

This election was the first time since 1992, and only the second time since 1960, that Florida went to the losing candidate in a presidential election. It was also the first time since 1960 that both Ohio and Florida have voted for the losing candidate in a presidential election, the first time since 1992 that Florida voted Republican while neighboring Georgia voted Democratic, and the first time since 1992 that Florida voted more Republican than North Carolina. Trump also became the first Republican candidate to win Florida with a majority of the state's popular vote since George W. Bush did so in 2004.[29]

Despite his loss statewide, Biden became the first Democrat to win Duval County—consolidated with Jacksonville—since Southerner Jimmy Carter in 1976, and the first Democrat to win Seminole County since Harry Truman in 1948.[30][31] Biden also flipped Pinellas County back to the Democratic Party. Biden became the first Democrat to win the presidency without carrying St. Lucie County since Bill Clinton in 1992, the first Democrat to win the presidency without carrying Jefferson County since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964, and the first Democrat to win the presidency without carrying Monroe County since Grover Cleveland in 1884.[32]

Also, this is the first time since 1888 that Florida increased its margin to an incumbent that lost re-election nationally. Florida is one of three states that voted twice for both Barack Obama and Trump, the other two being Ohio and Iowa.

Ex-felons

The United States Court of Appeals for the 11th Circuit, located in Atlanta, ruled that ex-felons could not vote in Florida unless they pay fines and fees. Florida voters approved amendment 4 in November 2018, which restored voting for felons upon completion of all terms of sentence including parole or probation, except for those who committed murders or were involved in sex crimes.[33] The Republican-controlled legislature then passed a law which required ex-felons to settle their financial obligation in courts. The United States District Court in Tallahassee ruled against it in May, but the circuit court overturned it in September, which was speculated to have created further problems for ex-felons when they voted in November. Civil rights organizations including American Civil Liberties Union opposed the decision by the court.[34]

Miami-Dade County

In Miami-Dade County, the majority of Trump support came from the west and the majority of Biden support came from the east. People of Mexican, Haitian, and African descent tended to vote for Biden, while people of Cuban, Chilean and Colombian descent did so for Trump, as well as the critical Venezuelan vote swinging Republican.[35] Trump won approximately two thirds of the vote in Hialeah, whereas it was nearly evenly split four years prior.[36] Due to the heavy presence of the Cuban-American community, Hialeah traditionally, as of 2020, leaned towards Republican politics.[37] Trump's coattails played a role in the election of Miami Republicans Carlos A. Giménez and Maria Elvira Salazar to the House of Representatives.

Residents of Cuban descent often had an antagonism against leftist movements due to associations with Fidel Castro.[38] Trump sought to attract these voters by implementing anti-Cuba policies.[39]

Additionally, Trump made efforts to target other Hispanic demographics.[36]

See also

Notes

Шаблон:Notelist

Partisan clients

Шаблон:Notelist-ua

References

Шаблон:Reflist

Further reading

Videos

External links

Шаблон:2020 United States elections Шаблон:State results of the 2020 U.S. presidential election

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  18. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  19. ↑ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Шаблон:Webarchive, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
  20. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  21. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
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