Английская Википедия:2020 United States presidential election in Louisiana

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Шаблон:Short descriptionШаблон:Main Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Use American English Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Louisiana sidebar The 2020 United States presidential election in Louisiana was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[1] Louisiana voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Louisiana has eight electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

Trump won Louisiana on the day of the election 58.5% to 39.9%, a margin of 18.6%, down from 19.4% in 2016. Per exit polls by the Associated Press, his strength in Louisiana came from White born-again/Evangelical Christians as well as conservative Roman Catholics who have a high population in Louisiana, who supported Trump with 91% and 80% of their vote. On the issue of abortion, 57% of voters believed abortion should be illegal in most or all cases. As is the case in most southern states, there was a stark racial divide in voting for this election: Whites supported Trump by 77%–22% while African-Americans supported Biden by 88%–10%.[3]

Primary elections

The primary elections were originally scheduled for April 4, 2020. On March 13, they were moved to June 20 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic.[4] Then on April 14, they were further pushed back to July 11.[5]

Republican primary

Incumbent President Donald Trump was essentially uncontested in the Republican primary.[6] The state has 46 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.[7]

Democratic primary

Шаблон:Excerpt

General election

Файл:Early voting at New Orleans Arena, October 2020 25.jpg
COVID-19 pandemic social-distanced queue for early voting at New Orleans Arena, 27 October 2020

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[8] Шаблон:USRaceRating September 10, 2020
Inside Elections[9] Шаблон:USRaceRating September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Шаблон:USRaceRating July 14, 2020
Politico[11] Шаблон:USRaceRating September 8, 2020
RCP[12] Шаблон:USRaceRating August 3, 2020
Niskanen[13] Шаблон:USRaceRating July 26, 2020
CNN[14] Шаблон:USRaceRating August 3, 2020
The Economist[15] Шаблон:USRaceRating September 23, 2020
CBS News[16] Шаблон:USRaceRating August 16, 2020
270towin[17] Шаблон:USRaceRating August 2, 2020
ABC News[18] Шаблон:USRaceRating July 31, 2020
NPR[19] Шаблон:USRaceRating August 3, 2020
NBC News[20] Шаблон:USRaceRating August 6, 2020
538[21] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 2, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

Шаблон:Graph:Chart

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Шаблон:Nobold
Donald
Trump

Шаблон:Nobold
Other/
Undecided
Шаблон:Efn
Margin
270 to Win October 14–27 2020 November 3, 2020 36.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|56.5% 7.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Шаблон:HsTrump +20.5
FiveThirtyEight until November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 37.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|57.6% 5.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:HsTrump +20.6
Average 36.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|57.1% 6.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Trump +20.5

Polls

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap
Donald
Trump

Шаблон:Nobold
Joe
Biden

Шаблон:Nobold
Jo
Jorgensen

Шаблон:Nobold
Howie
Hawkins

Шаблон:Nobold
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 1,556 (LV) ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|62%Шаблон:Efn 36%
Swayable Шаблон:Webarchive Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 378 (LV) ± 6.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|57% 39% 4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 1–28, 2020 2,633 (LV) Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|60% 38%
University of New Orleans Oct 22, 2020 755 (LV) ± 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|59% 36% 4% 1%
Trafalgar Group Oct 4–6, 2020 1,048 (LV) ± 2.95% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|54% 36% 3% 1%Шаблон:Efn 6%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Sep 1–30, 2020 2,475 (LV) Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|60% 38% 2%
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy AllianceШаблон:Efn-ua Sep 2–5, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48% 42% 2% No votersШаблон:Efn 7%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Aug 1–31, 2020 2,587 (LV) Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|59% 38% 2%
Trafalgar Group Aug 13–17, 2020 1,002 (LV) ± 2.99% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|54% 38% 3% 1%Шаблон:Efn 4%
ALG Research/Perkins for LA Шаблон:Webarchive[1] Шаблон:WebarchiveШаблон:Efn-ua Aug 6–12, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|50% 43% 7%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jul 1–31, 2020 2,998 (LV) Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|60% 39% 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jun 8–30, 2020 1,134 (LV) Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|60% 37% 3%

Шаблон:Collapse top

with Donald Trump and Generic Opponent
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap
Donald
Trump (R)
Generic
Opponent
Other Undecided
Multi-Quest International/The Hay Ride Jul 19–21, 2019 601 (RV) ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|50% 39% 1%Шаблон:Efn 10%
Market Research Insight Apr 9–11, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|54% 37% 10%
with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/LaPolitics Aug 6–12, 2020 600 (RV) ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|47% 43%

Шаблон:Collapse bottom

Results

Statewide results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate minor party Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate minor party Шаблон:Election box candidate minor party Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate minor party Шаблон:Election box candidate minor party Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box end

Results by parish

Vote breakdown by parish[22]
Trump/Pence
Republican
Biden/Harris
Democratic
Jorgensen/Cohen
Libertarian
West/Tidball
Birthday
Pierce/Ballard
Freedom and Prosperity
Write-insШаблон:Efn Margins Total
Parish Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes
Acadia 22,596 79.49% 5,443 19.15% 241 0.85% 45 0.16% 6 0.02% 94 0.33% 17,153 60.34% 28,425
Allen 7,574 77.21% 2,108 21.49% 73 0.74% 15 0.15% 3 0.03% 37 0.38% 5,466 55.72% 9,810
Ascension 40,687 65.28% 20,399 32.73% 816 1.31% 134 0.22% 28 0.04% 261 0.42% 20,288 32.55% 62,325
Assumption 7,271 64.72% 3,833 34.12% 68 0.61% 16 0.14% 3 0.03% 44 0.39% 3,438 30.60% 11,235
Avoyelles 12,028 69.56% 4,979 28.79% 161 0.93% 41 0.24% 3 0.02% 80 0.46% 7,049 40.77% 17,292
Beauregard 13,575 82.99% 2,542 15.54% 172 1.05% 13 0.08% 1 0.01% 54 0.33% 11,033 67.45% 16,357
Bienville 3,891 55.19% 3,067 43.50% 49 0.70% 12 0.17% 3 0.04% 28 0.40% 824 11.69% 7,050
Bossier 38,074 69.66% 15,662 28.66% 632 1.16% 82 0.15% 15 0.03% 190 0.35% 22,412 41.00% 54,655
Caddo 48,021 45.77% 55,110 52.53% 1,021 0.97% 290 0.28% 33 0.03% 437 0.42% -7,089 -6.76% 104,912
Calcasieu 55,066 66.62% 25,982 31.43% 1,083 1.31% 164 0.20% 27 0.03% 341 0.41% 29,084 35.19% 82,663
Caldwell 3,976 83.49% 745 15.64% 21 0.44% 3 0.06% 1 0.02% 16 0.34% 3,231 67.85% 4,762
Cameron 3,671 90.66% 324 8.23% 23 0.58% 5 0.13% 0 0.00% 16 0.41% 3,347 82.43% 4,039
Catahoula 3,541 72.89% 1,269 26.12% 26 0.54% 5 0.10% 1 0.02% 16 0.33% 2,272 46.77% 4,858
Claiborne 3,770 57.29% 2,731 41.50% 29 0.44% 12 0.18% 4 0.06% 34 0.52% 1,039 15.79% 6,580
Concordia 5,550 62.87% 3,177 35.99% 64 0.72% 5 0.06% 4 0.05% 28 0.32% 2,373 26.88% 8,828
De Soto 9,112 61.83% 5,457 37.03% 79 0.54% 21 0.14% 9 0.06% 58 0.39% 3,655 24.80% 14,736
East Baton Rouge 88,420 42.47% 115,577 55.52% 2,440 1.17% 619 0.30% 77 0.04% 1,049 0.50% -27,157 -13.05% 208,182
East Carroll 1,080 35.57% 1,900 62.58% 20 0.66% 4 0.13% 1 0.03% 31 1.02% -820 -27.01% 3,036
East Feliciana 6,064 57.70% 4,280 40.73% 89 0.85% 16 0.15% 4 0.04% 56 0.53% 1,784 16.97% 10,509
Evangeline 11,053 71.72% 4,158 26.98% 96 0.62% 22 0.14% 5 0.03% 78 0.51% 6,895 44.74% 15,412
Franklin 6,970 71.71% 2,658 27.35% 45 0.46% 8 0.08% 5 0.05% 34 0.35% 4,312 44.36% 9,720
Grant 8,117 86.42% 1,157 12.32% 79 0.84% 5 0.05% 4 0.04% 30 0.32% 6,960 74.10% 9,392
Iberia 21,251 64.96% 11,027 33.71% 253 0.77% 60 0.18% 11 0.03% 111 0.34% 10,224 31.25% 32,713
Iberville 7,893 47.21% 8,514 50.92% 141 0.84% 57 0.34% 11 0.07% 103 0.62% -621 -3.71% 16,719
Jackson 5,394 70.68% 2,143 28.08% 51 0.67% 16 0.21% 3 0.04% 25 0.33% 3,251 42.60% 7,632
Jefferson 105,949 54.69% 84,477 43.60% 1,935 1.00% 532 0.27% 66 0.03% 774 0.40% 21,472 11.09% 193,733
Jefferson Davis 11,423 76.97% 3,208 21.62% 131 0.88% 22 0.15% 5 0.03% 52 0.35% 8,215 55.35% 14,841
Lafayette 72,519 63.32% 39,685 34.65% 1,512 1.32% 256 0.22% 47 0.04% 502 0.44% 32,834 28.67% 114,521
Lafourche 36,024 79.37% 8,672 19.11% 424 0.93% 80 0.18% 17 0.04% 171 0.38% 27,352 60.26% 45,388
LaSalle 6,378 90.12% 638 9.02% 39 0.55% 5 0.07% 1 0.01% 16 0.23% 5,740 81.10% 7,077
Lincoln 11,311 58.68% 7,559 39.22% 276 1.43% 40 0.21% 4 0.02% 85 0.44% 3,752 19.46% 19,275
Livingston 54,877 84.13% 9,249 14.18% 817 1.25% 98 0.15% 13 0.02% 176 0.27% 45,628 69.95% 65,230
Madison 1,930 41.33% 2,654 56.83% 23 0.49% 12 0.26% 7 0.15% 44 0.94% -724 -15.50% 4,670
Morehouse 6,510 56.25% 4,946 42.73% 56 0.48% 8 0.07% 3 0.03% 51 0.44% 1,564 13.52% 11,574
Natchitoches 9,358 56.53% 6,896 41.66% 172 1.04% 28 0.17% 6 0.04% 94 0.57% 2,462 14.87% 16,554
Orleans 26,664 15.00% 147,854 83.15% 1,603 0.90% 708 0.40% 76 0.04% 914 0.51% -121,190 -68.15% 177,819
Ouachita 42,255 61.09% 25,913 37.46% 624 0.90% 125 0.18% 15 0.02% 234 0.34% 16,342 23.63% 69,166
Plaquemines 7,412 67.30% 3,414 31.00% 103 0.94% 31 0.28% 6 0.05% 48 0.44% 3,998 36.30% 11,014
Pointe Coupee 7,503 60.65% 4,683 37.85% 94 0.76% 21 0.17% 6 0.05% 64 0.52% 2,820 22.80% 12,371
Rapides 38,347 65.14% 19,475 33.08% 693 1.18% 125 0.21% 18 0.03% 207 0.35% 18,872 32.06% 58,865
Red River 2,413 58.40% 1,644 39.79% 31 0.75% 10 0.24% 1 0.02% 33 0.80% 769 18.61% 4,132
Richland 6,607 66.47% 3,225 32.44% 53 0.53% 12 0.12% 3 0.03% 40 0.40% 3,382 34.03% 9,940
Sabine 8,776 82.82% 1,731 16.34% 49 0.46% 8 0.08% 2 0.02% 30 0.28% 7,045 66.48% 10,596
St. Bernard 11,179 63.34% 6,151 34.85% 188 1.07% 49 0.28% 6 0.03% 77 0.44% 5,028 28.49% 17,650
St. Charles 18,233 63.96% 9,800 34.38% 294 1.03% 63 0.22% 13 0.05% 114 0.40% 7,433 29.58% 28,517
St. Helena 2,714 44.07% 3,346 54.34% 43 0.70% 10 0.16% 2 0.03% 43 0.70% -632 -10.27% 6,158
St. James 5,954 47.33% 6,510 51.75% 47 0.37% 23 0.18% 5 0.04% 51 0.41% -556 -4.42% 12,590
St. John the Baptist 7,538 35.17% 13,582 63.37% 118 0.55% 63 0.29% 16 0.07% 115 0.54% -6,044 -28.20% 21,432
St. Landry 23,171 56.30% 17,372 42.21% 301 0.73% 78 0.19% 17 0.04% 215 0.52% 5,799 14.09% 41,154
St. Martin 18,203 67.32% 8,439 31.21% 205 0.76% 55 0.20% 12 0.04% 124 0.46% 9,764 36.11% 27,038
St. Mary 14,811 63.88% 8,055 34.74% 173 0.75% 52 0.22% 7 0.03% 88 0.38% 6,766 29.14% 23,186
St. Tammany 99,666 71.13% 37,746 26.94% 1,868 1.33% 287 0.20% 45 0.03% 498 0.36% 61,920 44.19% 140,110
Tangipahoa 37,806 65.57% 18,887 32.76% 589 1.02% 136 0.24% 17 0.03% 226 0.39% 18,919 32.81% 57,661
Tensas 1,197 46.87% 1,329 52.04% 11 0.43% 4 0.16% 0 0.00% 13 0.51% -132 -5.17% 2,554
Terrebonne 34,339 74.26% 11,198 24.22% 434 0.94% 81 0.18% 15 0.03% 173 0.37% 23,141 50.04% 46,240
Union 8,407 75.06% 2,654 23.69% 76 0.68% 14 0.12% 3 0.03% 47 0.42% 5,753 51.37% 11,201
Vermilion 21,930 80.26% 5,009 18.33% 228 0.83% 45 0.16% 12 0.04% 100 0.37% 16,921 61.93% 27,324
Vernon 14,107 81.69% 2,898 16.78% 188 1.09% 18 0.10% 3 0.02% 54 0.31% 11,209 64.91% 17,268
Washington 13,307 68.20% 5,970 30.59% 120 0.61% 40 0.20% 3 0.02% 73 0.37% 7,337 37.61% 19,513
Webster 11,830 64.94% 6,172 33.88% 119 0.65% 24 0.13% 5 0.03% 66 0.36% 5,658 31.06% 18,216
West Baton Rouge 7,684 54.51% 6,200 43.98% 122 0.87% 42 0.30% 5 0.04% 44 0.31% 1,484 10.53% 14,097
West Carroll 4,317 85.45% 710 14.05% 12 0.24% 3 0.06% 1 0.02% 9 0.18% 3,607 71.40% 5,052
West Feliciana 3,863 61.63% 2,298 36.66% 66 1.05% 15 0.24% 1 0.02% 25 0.40% 1,565 24.97% 6,268
Winn 4,619 74.20% 1,543 24.79% 36 0.58% 4 0.06% 3 0.05% 20 0.32% 3,076 49.41% 6,225
Файл:Louisiana Parish Swing 2020.svg
Swing by parish
Шаблон:Collapsible list

By congressional district

Trump won 5 of the 6 congressional districts in Louisiana.

District Trump Biden Representative
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 68% 30.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Steve Scalise
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 23% 75.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Cedric Richmond
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 68.1% 30.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Clay Higgins
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 61.5% 37% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Mike Johnson
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 64.5% 34.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Ralph Abraham
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 63.8% 34.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Garret Graves

Notes

Шаблон:Notelist

Partisan clients

Шаблон:Notelist-ua

See also

References

Шаблон:Reflist

Further reading

External links

Шаблон:2020 United States elections Шаблон:State results of the 2020 U.S. presidential election Шаблон:Elections in Louisiana footer