Английская Википедия:2020 United States presidential election in Massachusetts
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Main Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Use American English Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Massachusetts sidebar
The 2020 United States presidential election in Massachusetts was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[1] Massachusetts voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Massachusetts has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]
Biden easily carried Massachusetts with a 33-point margin, the largest margin whereby any nominee had carried the state since Lyndon B. Johnson's 1964 landslide. Massachusetts was one of three states where Biden won every county, the other two being Rhode Island and Hawaii.
Massachusetts voted 29% more Democratic than the national average.
Primary elections
Presidential preference primaries were scheduled for March 3, 2020, for each of the political parties with state ballot access.
Democratic primary
Bernie Sanders and Joe Biden were among the declared major Democratic candidates. Elizabeth Warren, one of the two current senators from Massachusetts, formed an exploratory committee in December 2018 and declared her intention to run in February 2019.[3][4] Шаблон:Excerpt
Republican primary
Шаблон:Main article Massachusetts governor Charlie Baker declined to run, as did former Massachusetts governor and Utah senator Mitt Romney.[5][6][7][8]
Libertarian primary
A number of Libertarian candidates declared for the race, including New Hampshire State Representative Max Abramson, Adam Kokesh, Vermin Supreme and former Libertarian National Committee vice-chair Arvin Vohra.[9][10][11]
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage |
|---|---|---|
| All others | 958 | 25.0% |
| No preference | 804 | 21.0% |
| Vermin Supreme | 399 | 10.4% |
| Jacob Hornberger | 369 | 9.6% |
| Dan Behrman | 294 | 7.7% |
| Kim Ruff (withdrawn) | 224 | 5.8% |
| Arvin Vohra | 151 | 3.9% |
| Ken Armstrong | 145 | 3.8% |
| Jo Jorgensen | 141 | 3.7% |
| Sam Robb | 127 | 3.3% |
| Adam Kokesh | 125 | 3.3% |
| Max Abramson | 98 | 2.6% |
| Total | 3,835 | 100% |
Green primary
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | National delegates |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dario Hunter | 224 | 16.9 | 2 |
| Howie Hawkins | 217 | 16.4 | 1 |
| Sedinam Kinamo Christin Moyowasifza-Curry | 141 | 10.6 | 1 |
| Kent Mesplay | 55 | 4.1 | 0 |
| David Rolde | 4 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Write-In | 369 | 27.8 | 0 |
| No Preference | 316 | 23.8 | 7 |
| Total | 1326 | 100.00% | 11 |
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[14] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | September 10, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[15] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | September 4, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | July 14, 2020 |
| Politico[17] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | September 8, 2020 |
| RCP[18] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | August 3, 2020 |
| Niskanen[19] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | July 26, 2020 |
| CNN[20] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | August 3, 2020 |
| The Economist[21] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | September 2, 2020 |
| 270towin[22] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | August 2, 2020 |
| ABC News[23] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | July 31, 2020 |
| NBC News[24] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | August 6, 2020 |
| 538[25] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | September 9, 2020 |
Polling
Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Шаблон:Nobold |
Donald Trump Шаблон:Nobold |
Other/ Undecided Шаблон:Efn |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270 to Win | October 17 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |65.0% | 28.7% | 6.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Шаблон:HsBiden +36.3 |
| RealClearPolitics | July 31 – August 27, 2020 | September 15, 2020 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |64.0% | 28.3% | 7.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Шаблон:HsBiden +35.7 |
| FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |64.6% | 28.9% | 6.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Шаблон:HsBiden +35.8 |
| Average | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |64.5% | 28.6% | 6.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Biden +35.9 | ||
- Polls
- with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin Шаблон:Nowrap |
Donald Trump (R) |
Bernie Sanders (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College Шаблон:Webarchive | Apr 4–7, 2019 | 761 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 36% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 64% | – |
- with Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin Шаблон:Nowrap |
Donald Trump (R) |
Elizabeth Warren (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College Шаблон:Webarchive | Apr 4–7, 2019 | 761 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 37% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 63% | – |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box win Шаблон:Election box end
Biden:
Шаблон:Legend0 Шаблон:Legend0
Шаблон:Legend0 Шаблон:Legend0
By county
By congressional district
Biden won all nine congressional districts, breaking 60% of the vote in eight of them.
Analysis
Massachusetts has been a Democratic-leaning state since 1928, and a Democratic stronghold since 1960, and has maintained extremely large Democratic margins since 1996. This remained true in 2020, with Massachusetts being one of six states (along with Hawaii, Vermont, Maryland, California, and New York) to give Biden over 60% of the vote. Massachusetts is ethnically diverse, highly urbanized, highly educated, and among the least religious states.
Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Biden's strength in Massachusetts came from college-educated voters, which he won with 74% of the vote, which carries particular weight in Massachusetts, as the state contains the highest proportion of graduates in the country.[27] Trump's slip among suburban white voters led Biden to carry almost every municipality in the Greater Boston area by at least 60% or more, while Trump carried only several towns on the South Shore and in Central Massachusetts. Biden won 301 of the 351 municipalities.[28] Biden swept all demographic groups, garnering 63% of whites, 84% of Latinos, 58% of Catholics, 56% of Protestants, and 86% of Jewish voters. Additionally, Biden won 52% of whites without a college degree within the state, one of Trump's strongest demographics elsewhere in the country.[27] While Biden overwhelmingly carried Latino voters in the state, Trump improved on his 2016 performance in heavily Hispanic cities such as Lawrence, Chelsea, and Holyoke.[29] Trump had the worst vote share in Massachusetts of any Republican nominee since Bob Dole in 1996, and slightly underperformed George W. Bush's 32.5% vote share in 2000.
Massachusetts was one of five states in the nation in which Biden's victory margin was larger than 1 million raw votes, the others being California, Maryland, New York and Illinois.
See also
- 2020 Massachusetts general election
- United States presidential elections in Massachusetts
- 2020 United States elections
- 2020 United States elections
Notes
References
Further reading
- Шаблон:Citation
- Шаблон:Citation. (About incident in Dalton, Massachusetts)
External links
- Шаблон:Citation
- Шаблон:Citation
- Шаблон:Cite web (state affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- Шаблон:Ballotpedia
Шаблон:2020 United States elections Шаблон:State results of the 2020 U.S. presidential election Шаблон:Federal elections in Massachusetts footer
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ https://electionstats.state.ma.us/elections/view/135904/Шаблон:Dead link
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Шаблон:Webarchive, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 27,0 27,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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