Английская Википедия:2020 United States presidential election in Minnesota

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Шаблон:Short descriptionШаблон:Main Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Use American English Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsMN The 2020 United States presidential election in Minnesota was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[1] Minnesota voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against the Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Minnesota has ten electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

Prior to the election, 15 out of 16 news organizations projected Minnesota as leaning towards Biden. Minnesota was ultimately carried by Biden by a 7.12% margin, significantly improving over Hillary Clinton's narrow 1.52% margin in 2016. Biden's win marked the twelfth consecutive Democratic presidential win in the state, which has not voted for a Republican since Richard Nixon in 1972, making it the state with the longest Democratic streak still in effect today.

Biden flipped four counties Trump carried in 2016: Clay (Moorhead), Nicollet (North Mankato and St. Peter), Blue Earth (Mankato), and Winona (anchored by the city of the same name), all of which were won by Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012. The key to Biden's success was his performance in the Twin Cities metro area;[3] he outperformed both Clinton and Obama (in either 2008 or 2012) there. His vote share in Hennepin was the highest of any nominee's since Theodore Roosevelt's in 1904. He also improved on Clinton's performance in the Iron Range,[4] although his performance in St Louis, Lake, and Carlton Counties was still well below what Democrats had historically been getting since the New Deal realignment up through 2012. In addition, Biden managed to flip Minnesota's 2nd congressional district, which houses some of the Twin Cities' southern suburbs, by 6.8 points, after Trump narrowly won it by 1.2 points in the last election.

Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Biden carried 51% of White Minnesotans; as well as 58% of college educated voters, and 55% of union households.[5] Trump's areas of strength were in the more rural areas, while Biden performed better in urban and suburban areas. Biden became the first Democrat to win the White House without carrying Koochiching or Mahnomen Counties since those counties were formed in 1906, the first Democrat to win without Traverse County since Grover Cleveland in 1892, the first to win without Kittson, Norman, Itasca, or Beltrami Counties since Woodrow Wilson in 1912, the first to win without Swift County since Wilson in 1916, the first to win without Lac qui Parle County since Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1944, the first to win without Chippewa, Freeborn, Mower, or Rice Counties since John F. Kennedy in 1960, the first to win without Fillmore County since Jimmy Carter in 1976, and the first to win without Houston County since Bill Clinton in 1992. This is the first time since 1964 in which Minnesota would vote to the right of New Hampshire, another state that has almost always voted Democratic in presidential elections since 1992, albeit only by single digit margins of victory.

Primary elections

Republican primary

Шаблон:See The Republican primary took place on March 3, 2020. Donald Trump and Bill Weld were among the declared Republican candidates.

2020 Minnesota Republican presidential primary[6][7]
Candidate Votes % Delegates
Donald Trump 137,275 97.7 39
Bill Weld (write-in) 443 0.3 0
Rocky De La Fuente (write-in) 16 0.0 0
Other write-ins 2,821 2.0 0
Total 140,555 100.0 39 (of 39)

Democratic primary

Шаблон:See The Democratic primary took place on March 3, 2020. Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, and former Vice President Joe Biden were among the major declared candidates.[8] Amy Klobuchar, U.S. Senator from Minnesota since 2007, expressed interest in running, and formally declared her candidacy in February 2019,[9][10][11] but then withdrew prior to Minnesota's race.

Biden won the most delegates.[12]

Шаблон:Excerpt

Libertarian caucuses

Шаблон:Main Шаблон:Infobox election

The Libertarian Party of Minnesota used ranked-choice voting to tabulate the results of their caucus. After 7 rounds, Jacob Hornberger was declared the winner.

Minnesota Libertarian presidential caucus, February 25, 2020[13][14]
Candidate Round 1 Round 7
Votes % Transfer Votes %
Jacob Hornberger 37 38.1% + 10 47 59.5%
Jo Jorgensen 12 12.4% + 20 32 40.5%
Vermin Supreme 11 11.3% - 11 Eliminated
Adam Kokesh 6 6.2% - 6 Eliminated
John Monds 6 6.2% - 6 Eliminated
Lincoln Chafee 6 6.2% - 6 Eliminated
Mark Whitney 6 6.2% - 6 Eliminated
N.O.T.A. 4 4.1% - 4 Eliminated
Arvin Vohra 2 2.1% - 2 Eliminated
Ken Armstrong 2 2.1% - 2 Eliminated
Sam Robb 2 2.1% - 2 Eliminated
Keenan Wallace Dunham 1 1.0% - 1 Eliminated
Sorinne Ardeleanu 1 1.0% - 1 Eliminated
AbrahamsonШаблон:Sic Шаблон:Small 1 1.0% - 1 Eliminated
Dan "Taxation is Theft" Behrman 0 0.0% Eliminated
Jedi Hill 0 0.0% Eliminated
Souraya Faas 0 0.0% Eliminated
Steven Richey 0 0.0% Eliminated
Round 1 Total 97 100.0% Round 7 Total 79 100.0%
Minnesota Libertarian vice presidential caucus, February 25, 2020[15][14]
Candidate Round 1 Round 2
Votes % Transfer Votes %
Jeff Wood 32 40.0% + 0 32 52.5%
Spike Cohen 29 36.3% + 0 29 47.5%
NOTA 19 23.8% - 19 Eliminated
Round 1 Total 80 100.0% Round 2 Total 61 100.0%

General election

Final predictions

Source Ranking
The Cook Political Report[16] Шаблон:USRaceRating
Inside Elections[17] Шаблон:USRaceRating
Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] Шаблон:USRaceRating
Politico[19] Шаблон:USRaceRating
RCP[20] Шаблон:USRaceRating
Niskanen[21] Шаблон:USRaceRating
CNN[22] Шаблон:USRaceRating
The Economist[23] Шаблон:USRaceRating
CBS News[24] Шаблон:USRaceRating
270towin[25] Шаблон:USRaceRating
ABC News[26] Шаблон:USRaceRating
NPR[27] Шаблон:USRaceRating
NBC News[28] Шаблон:USRaceRating
FiveThirtyEight[29] Шаблон:USRaceRating

Polling

Graphical summary

Шаблон:Graph:Chart

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Шаблон:Nobold
Donald
Trump

Шаблон:Nobold
Other/
Undecided
Шаблон:Efn
Margin
270 to Win October 27 – November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51.6% 41.8% 6.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:HsBiden +9.8
Real Clear Politics October 12–27, 2020 November 3, 2020 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48.0% 43.7% 8.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:HsBiden +4.3
FiveThirtyEight until November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51.8% 42.7% 5.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Шаблон:HsBiden +9.2
Average Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |50.5% 42.7% 6.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Biden +7.8
Polls
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap
Donald
Trump

Шаблон:Nobold
Joe
Biden

Шаблон:Nobold
Jo
Jorgensen

Шаблон:Nobold
Howie
Hawkins

Шаблон:Nobold
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 3,031 (LV) ± 2.5% 41%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|56% - -
Research Co. Oct 31 – Nov 1, 2020 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|54% - - 1%Шаблон:Efn 4%
Data for Progress Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 1,259 (LV) ± 2.8% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% 4% 2% 1%Шаблон:Efn
Swayable Шаблон:Webarchive Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 466 (LV) ± 5.9% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|53% 4% 0%
Morning Consult Oct 22–31, 2020 883 (LV) ± 3.0% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|52% - -
Public Policy Polling Oct 29–30, 2020 770 (V) 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|54% - - 2%Шаблон:Efn 1%
Targoz Market Research/PollSmart Oct 25–30, 2020 1,138 (LV) 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|53% - - 3%Шаблон:Efn
St. Cloud State University Oct 10–29, 2020 372 (A) ± 6.7% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|54% - -
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 1–28, 2020 5,498 (LV) 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|55% - -
SurveyUSA/KSTP/ABC6 News Шаблон:Webarchive Oct 23–27, 2020 649 (LV) ± 4.3% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|47% - - 5%Шаблон:Efn 6%
Gravis Marketing Oct 24–26, 2020 657 (LV) ± 3.8% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|53% - - 8%
Trafalgar Group Oct 24–25, 2020 1,065 (LV) ± 2.92% 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48% 2% - 4%Шаблон:Efn 1%
Civiqs/Daily Kos Oct 17–20, 2020 840 (LV) ± 3.6% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|53% - - 3%Шаблон:Efn 1%
SurveyUSA/KSTP Oct 16–20, 2020 625 (LV) ± 5% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48% - -
Morning Consult Oct 11–20, 2020 864 (LV) ± 3.3% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% - -
Change Research/MinnPost Oct 12–15, 2020Шаблон:Efn 1,021 (LV) ± 3.1% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% 2% 0% 2%Шаблон:Efn 2%
David Binder Research/Focus on Rural America Oct 10–13, 2020 200 (LV) 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|52% - -
Morning Consult Oct 2–11, 2020 898 (LV) ± 3.3% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% - -
SurveyUSA/ABC6 News Шаблон:Webarchive Oct 1–6, 2020 929 (LV) ± 3.9% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|47% - - 3%Шаблон:Efn 10%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Sep 1–30, 2020 2,808 (LV) 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|55% - - 2%
Suffolk University Sep 20–24, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|47% 2% 0% 4%Шаблон:Efn 6%
Mason-Dixon/StarTribune
/MPR News/KARE 11
Sep 21–23, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48% - - 2% 8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Sep 12–17, 2020 718 (LV) ± 3.66% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% 0% 0% 1%Шаблон:Efn 5%
ABC/Washington Post Sep 8–13, 2020 615 (LV) ± 4.5% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|57% - - 1%Шаблон:Efn 1%
Morning Consult Sep 4–13, 2020 643 (LV) ± 4% 44%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48% - - 2%Шаблон:Efn 6%
YouGov/CBS Sep 9–11, 2020 1,087 (LV) ± 3.9% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% - - 2%Шаблон:Efn 6%
Siena College/NYT Upshot Sep 8–10, 2020 814 (LV) ± 3.9% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% 2% 1% 0%Шаблон:Efn 5%Шаблон:Efn
SurveyUSA Sep 4–7, 2020 553 (LV) ± 5.2% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% - - 4%Шаблон:Efn 7%
Morning Consult Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 649 (LV) ± (2%–4%) 44%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% - -
PPP Sep 3–4, 2020 877 (V) ± 3.3% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|52% - - 3%Шаблон:Efn 1%
Harper Polling/Jason LewisШаблон:Efn-ua Aug 30 – Sep 1, 2020 501 (LV) ± 4.38% 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48% 4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Aug 1–31, 2020 1,939 (LV) 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|56% - - 1%
Morning Consult Aug 21–30, 2020 647 (LV) ± (2%–4%) 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% - -
Trafalgar Group Aug 15–18, 2020 1,141 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 47% 4% - 1%Шаблон:Efn 2%
Morning Consult Aug 7–16, 2020 615 (LV) ± (2%–4%) 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% - -
Emerson College Aug 8–10, 2020 733 (LV) ± 3.6% 49%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% - -
David Binder Research Jul 30–31, 2020 200 (LV) 36% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|54% - -
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jul 1–31, 2020 2,288 (LV) 47% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% - - 2%
Morning Consult Jul 17–26, 2020 662 (LV) ± 3.8% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|47% - -
Trafalgar Group Jul 23–25, 2020 1,129 (LV) ± 2.8% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% 2% - 3%Шаблон:Efn 2%
Public Policy Polling/Giffords Шаблон:WebarchiveШаблон:Efn-ua Jul 22–23, 2020 1,218 (V) ± 3.2% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|52% - - 6%
FOX News Jul 18–20, 2020 776 (RV) ± 3.5% 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% - - 6%Шаблон:Efn 6%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jun 8–30, 2020 860 (LV) 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|57% - - 1%
Gravis Marketing Jun 19, 2020 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 42%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|58%Шаблон:Efn - -
Morning Consult May 27– Jun 5, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48% - -
Harper Polling/Jason LewisШаблон:Efn-ua May 26–28, 2020 510 (LV) 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% 8%
Morning Consult May 17–26, 2020 647 (LV) 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% - -
Mason-Dixon/StarTribune
/MPR News/KARE 11
May 18–20, 2020 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% - - 7%
Morning Consult May 7–16, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|55% - -
Mason-Dixon/StarTribune Oct 14–16, 2019 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% - - 12%

Шаблон:Collapse top

Donald Trump vs. Amy Klobuchar
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap
Donald
Trump (R)
Amy
Klobuchar (D)
Other Undecided
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc./StarTribune Oct 14–16, 2019 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 55% 7%
DFM Research Feb 26 – Mar 3, 2019 550 (A) ± 4.2% 35% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 52% 7%Шаблон:Efn 6%Шаблон:Efn
Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Other Undecided
Mason-Dixon/StarTribune Oct 14–16, 2019 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% 11%
Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Other Undecided
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc./StarTribune Oct 14–16, 2019 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% 11%

Шаблон:Collapse bottom

Шаблон:Collapse top

with Donald Trump and generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap
Donald
Trump (R)
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
KFF/Cook Political Report Sep 23 – Oct 15, 2019 958 (RV) ± 4% 28% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|41% 21%
Public Policy PollingШаблон:Efn Oct 4–6, 2019 1,175 (V) 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|52% 6%
Public Policy PollingШаблон:Efn Jun 15–16, 2018 717 (V) 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 51% 8%
with Donald Trump, generic Democrat, and Howard Schultz
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap
Donald
Trump (R)
Generic
Democrat
Howard
Schultz (I)
Undecided
DFM Research Feb 26 – Mar 3, 2019 550 (A) ± 4.2% 35% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 45% 6% 15%Шаблон:Efn

Шаблон:Collapse bottom

Results

Файл:2020PresMNbyPrecinct.svg
Results by precinctШаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box end

Results by county

County colspan="2" style="text-align: center;" Шаблон:Party shading/DFL | Joe Biden
DFL
colspan="2" style="text-align: center;" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Donald Trump
Republican
colspan="2" style="text-align: center;" Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian | Jo Jorgensen
Libertarian
Other votes Margin Total
votes
colspan="1" style="text-align: center;" Шаблон:Party shading/DFL | % colspan="1" style="text-align: center;" Шаблон:Party shading/DFL | # colspan="1" style="text-align: center;" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | % colspan="1" style="text-align: center;" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | # colspan="1" style="text-align: center;" Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian | % colspan="1" style="text-align: center;" Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian | # % # % #
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Aitkin 35.98% 3,607 62.42% 6,258 0.55% 55 1.05% 105 -26.44% -2,651 10,025
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Anoka 47.79% 100,893 49.69% 104,902 1.17% 2,475 1.35% 2,862 -1.90% -4,009 211,132
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Becker 33.96% 6,589 64.11% 12,438 0.87% 168 1.06% 206 -30.15% -5,849 19,401
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Beltrami 47.24% 11,426 50.39% 12,188 1.06% 256 1.32% 319 -3.15% -762 24,189
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Benton 32.70% 7,280 64.61% 14,382 1.58% 351 1.11% 247 -31.91% -7,102 22,260
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Big Stone 35.41% 1,053 62.64% 1,863 0.47% 14 1.48% 44 -27.23% -810 2,974
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/DFL|Blue Earth 50.84% 18,330 46.41% 16,731 1.32% 477 1.42% 513 4.43% 1,599 36,051
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Brown 32.48% 4,753 65.27% 9,552 0.93% 136 1.33% 194 -32.79% -4,799 14,635
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/DFL|Carlton 49.58% 10,098 48.07% 9,791 1.13% 231 1.22% 249 1.51% 307 20,369
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Carver 46.37% 30,774 51.25% 34,009 1.24% 822 1.14% 756 -4.88% -3,235 66,361
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Cass 34.68% 6,342 63.54% 11,620 0.61% 111 1.18% 216 -28.86% -5,278 18,289
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Chippewa 33.67% 2,226 64.29% 4,250 0.88% 58 1.16% 77 -30.62% -2,024 6,611
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Chisago 34.15% 11,806 63.40% 21,916 1.34% 464 1.11% 384 -29.25% -10,110 34,570
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/DFL|Clay 50.74% 16,357 46.66% 15,043 1.27% 410 1.33% 429 4.08% 1,314 32,239
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Clearwater 26.76% 1,260 71.62% 3,372 0.59% 28 1.02% 48 -44.86% -2,112 4,708
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/DFL|Cook 65.58% 2,496 31.61% 1,203 0.95% 36 1.86% 71 33.97% 1,293 3,806
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Cottonwood 30.03% 1,834 68.20% 4,165 0.90% 55 0.87% 53 -38.17% -2,331 6,107
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Crow Wing 34.17% 13,726 63.91% 25,676 0.89% 357 1.03% 414 -29.74% -11,950 40,173
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/DFL|Dakota 55.73% 146,155 41.81% 109,638 1.13% 2,957 1.35% 3,509 13.92% 36,517 262,259
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Dodge 33.47% 4,079 63.86% 7,783 1.37% 167 1.30% 158 -30.39% -3,704 12,187
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Douglas 32.56% 7,868 65.38% 15,799 0.98% 238 1.08% 260 -32.82% -7,931 24,165
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Faribault 31.98% 2,531 65.59% 5,191 0.91% 72 1.52% 120 -33.61% -2,660 7,914
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Fillmore 37.48% 4,551 60.14% 7,301 1.11% 135 1.27% 154 -22.66% -2,750 12,141
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Freeborn 40.96% 6,889 56.95% 9,578 0.87% 146 1.21% 205 -15.99% -2,689 16,818
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Goodhue 41.23% 11,806 56.06% 16,052 1.39% 397 1.33% 381 -14.83% -4,246 28,636
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Grant 35.58% 1,300 62.10% 2,269 1.18% 43 1.14% 42 -26.52% -969 3,654
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/DFL|Hennepin 70.46% 532,623 27.25% 205,973 1.00% 7,526 1.30% 9,847 43.21% 326,650 755,969
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Houston 42.42% 4,853 55.37% 6,334 1.00% 114 1.21% 139 -12.95% -1,481 11,440
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Hubbard 34.42% 4,462 63.26% 8,202 1.03% 134 1.29% 167 -28.84% -3,740 12,965
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Isanti 29.45% 7,138 68.05% 16,491 1.25% 304 1.25% 302 -38.60% -9,353 24,235
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Itasca 40.61% 10,786 57.37% 15,239 0.93% 247 1.09% 289 -16.76% -4,453 26,561
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Jackson 29.99% 1,745 67.85% 3,948 0.91% 53 1.26% 73 -37.86% -2,203 5,819
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Kanabec 30.02% 2,774 67.93% 6,278 1.01% 93 1.05% 97 -37.91% -3,504 9,242
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Kandiyohi 36.12% 8,440 61.78% 14,437 0.90% 211 1.19% 279 -25.66% -5,997 23,367
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Kittson 38.12% 1,006 58.58% 1,546 1.67% 44 1.63% 43 -20.46% -540 2,639
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Koochiching 38.41% 2,659 59.68% 4,131 0.87% 60 1.04% 72 -21.27% -1,472 6,922
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Lac qui Parle 35.79% 1,446 62.57% 2,528 0.50% 20 1.14% 46 -26.78% -1,082 4,040
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/DFL|Lake 50.64% 3,647 47.11% 3,393 1.08% 78 1.17% 84 3.53% 254 7,202
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Lake of the Woods 27.87% 671 70.76% 1,704 0.91% 22 0.46% 11 -42.89% -1,033 2,408
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Le Sueur 33.73% 5,672 64.07% 10,775 1.00% 169 1.20% 202 -30.34% -5,103 16,818
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Lincoln 30.08% 937 68.09% 2,121 0.74% 23 1.10% 34 -38.01% -1,184 3,115
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Lyon 35.94% 4,634 61.89% 7,979 1.09% 140 1.09% 140 -25.95% -3,345 12,893
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Mahnomen 48.26% 1,112 49.57% 1,142 0.39% 9 1.77% 41 -1.31% -30 2,304
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Marshall 25.33% 1,295 72.78% 3,721 0.72% 37 1.17% 60 -47.45% -2,426 5,113
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Martin 30.22% 3,305 67.94% 7,480 0.89% 98 1.14% 126 -37.72% -4,175 11,009
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|McLeod 30.64% 6,413 66.81% 13,986 1.39% 292 1.16% 242 -36.17% -7,573 20,933
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Meeker 28.58% 3,867 69.18% 9,359 0.90% 122 1.33% 181 -40.60% -5,492 13,529
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Mille Lacs 29.98% 4,404 67.75% 9,952 1.23% 181 1.03% 152 -37.77% -5,548 14,689
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Morrison 22.33% 4,367 75.78% 14,821 0.88% 173 1.01% 197 -53.45% -10,454 19,558
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Mower 46.00% 8,899 51.82% 10,025 0.91% 177 1.26% 244 -5.82% -1,126 19,345
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Murray 29.60% 1,449 68.69% 3,363 0.65% 32 1.06% 52 -39.09% -1,914 4,896
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/DFL|Nicollet 50.31% 9,622 47.15% 9,018 1.16% 222 1.38% 263 3.16% 604 19,125
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Nobles 33.65% 2,933 64.26% 5,600 0.68% 59 1.41% 123 -30.61% -2,667 8,715
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Norman 40.80% 1,404 56.76% 1,953 0.90% 31 1.54% 53 -15.96% -549 3,441
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/DFL|Olmsted 54.16% 49,491 43.43% 39,692 1.18% 1,078 1.23% 1,124 10.73% 9,799 91,385
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Otter Tail 32.85% 11,958 65.39% 23,800 0.71% 257 1.05% 384 -32.54% -11,842 36,399
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Pennington 35.29% 2,568 62.28% 4,532 1.42% 103 1.02% 74 -26.99% -1,964 7,277
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Pine 33.87% 5,419 64.10% 10,256 1.05% 168 0.99% 158 -30.23% -4,837 16,001
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Pipestone 26.44% 1,306 71.92% 3,553 0.51% 25 1.13% 56 -45.48% -2,247 4,940
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Polk 34.88% 5,439 63.26% 9,865 0.79% 123 1.07% 167 -28.38% -4,426 15,594
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Pope 35.27% 2,477 62.90% 4,417 0.80% 56 1.03% 72 -27.63% -1,940 7,022
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/DFL|Ramsey 71.50% 211,620 26.14% 77,376 0.97% 2,865 1.39% 4,116 45.36% 134,244 295,977
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Red Lake 31.47% 691 66.21% 1,454 0.82% 18 1.50% 33 -34.74% -763 2,196
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Redwood 28.43% 2,355 69.66% 5,771 0.92% 76 0.99% 82 -41.23% -3,416 8,284
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Renville 30.71% 2,496 67.26% 5,467 0.84% 68 1.19% 97 -36.55% -2,971 8,128
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Rice 48.76% 17,402 48.94% 17,464 1.04% 372 1.25% 448 -0.18% -62 35,686
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Rock 29.69% 1,556 68.38% 3,583 0.67% 35 1.26% 66 -38.69% -2,027 5,240
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Roseau 25.98% 2,188 72.02% 6,065 0.96% 81 1.03% 87 -46.04% -3,877 8,421
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/DFL|St. Louis 56.64% 67,704 41.01% 49,017 1.16% 1,388 1.19% 1,422 15.63% 18,687 119,531
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Scott 45.52% 40,040 52.15% 45,872 1.19% 1,048 1.14% 1,005 -6.63% -5,832 87,965
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Sherburne 32.48% 18,065 65.13% 36,222 1.32% 734 1.07% 591 -32.65% -18,157 55,612
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Sibley 28.60% 2,417 69.38% 5,864 0.84% 71 1.18% 100 -40.78% -3,447 8,452
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Stearns 37.58% 31,879 60.07% 50,959 1.22% 1,036 1.13% 961 -22.49% -19,080 84,835
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Steele 37.47% 7,917 59.90% 12,656 1.32% 278 1.32% 277 -22.43% -4,739 21,128
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Stevens 37.80% 1,922 59.86% 3,044 0.87% 44 1.46% 75 -22.06% -1,122 5,085
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Swift 34.35% 1,784 63.86% 3,316 0.81% 42 0.98% 51 -29.51% -1,532 5,193
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Todd 24.79% 3,286 73.57% 9,753 0.64% 85 1.00% 133 -48.78% -6,467 13,257
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Traverse 35.46% 661 62.88% 1,172 0.64% 12 1.02% 19 -27.42% -511 1,864
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Wabasha 35.78% 4,696 62.13% 8,153 1.01% 133 1.07% 141 -26.35% -3,457 13,123
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Wadena 26.35% 2,023 71.90% 5,520 0.70% 54 1.04% 80 -45.55% -3,497 7,677
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Waseca 33.65% 3,496 63.76% 6,624 1.18% 123 1.40% 146 -30.11% -3,128 10,389
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/DFL|Washington 53.46% 89,165 44.23% 73,764 1.14% 1,895 1.18% 1,962 9.23% 15,401 166,786
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Watonwan 38.20% 1,987 59.66% 3,103 0.54% 28 1.60% 83 -21.46% -1,116 5,201
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Wilkin 29.91% 1,026 67.87% 2,328 1.20% 41 1.02% 35 -37.96% -1,302 3,430
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/DFL|Winona 49.07% 13,333 48.68% 13,227 1.00% 272 1.25% 341 0.39% 106 27,173
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Wright 34.49% 28,430 63.05% 51,973 1.20% 992 1.25% 1,031 -28.56% -23,543 82,426
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Yellow Medicine 30.54% 1,688 67.55% 3,734 0.81% 45 1.10% 61 -37.01% -2,046 5,528

Шаблон:Align

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Biden and Trump each won 4 congressional districts.

District Biden Trump Representative
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 43.9% 54% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Jim Hagedorn
Шаблон:Party shading/DFL|Шаблон:Ushr 52.4% 45.5% Шаблон:Party shading/DFL|Angie Craig
Шаблон:Party shading/DFL|Шаблон:Ushr 58.7% 39.4% Шаблон:Party shading/DFL|Dean Phillips
Шаблон:Party shading/DFL|Шаблон:Ushr 67.6% 30.5% Шаблон:Party shading/DFL|Betty McCollum
Шаблон:Party shading/DFL|Шаблон:Ushr 80.3% 17.7% Шаблон:Party shading/DFL|Ilhan Omar
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 38.8% 58% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Tom Emmer
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 34.4% 63.8% Шаблон:Party shading/DFL|Collin Peterson
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Michelle Fischbach
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 41.7% 56.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Pete Stauber

Analysis

After narrowly losing the state in 2016, the Trump campaign targeted Minnesota believing it to be in play and seeing it as a chance to expand the political map. This did not pay off as polls of Minnesota voters throughout the campaign showed a clear Biden lead. Throughout the summer leading up to the election, the Twin Cities metro was the epicenter of the summer 2020 BLM protests, given that the murder of George Floyd had taken place in Minneapolis.

Trump attempted to court White suburban Minnesotans by using images of rioting and looting in some of his campaign ads and claiming that Biden would "destroy suburbia". These efforts failed, as Biden massively improved in the Twin Cities suburbs, leading to his solid statewide margin of victory. With victories in Hennepin and Ramsey counties, Biden became the first Democrat to win over 70% of the vote in any Minnesota county since former Senator from Minnesota and contemporary Vice President Hubert Humphrey in 1968.

Voter demographics

Edison Research exit poll
Demographic subgroup Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Biden Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Trump No
Answer
% of
Voters
Party
Democrat 95 4 N/A 35
Republican 8 91 N/A 34
Independent 55 40 N/A 31
Gender
Men 47 50 3 46
Women 58 41 1 54
Race
White 51 47 2 87
Black 77 21 2 4
Latino 60 38 2 4
Asian N/A N/A N/A 2
Other N/A N/A N/A 3
Gender by race/ethnicity
White men 44 53 3 45
White women 57 42 1 55
Black men 69 30 1 6
Black women N/A N/A N/A 2
Latino men (of any race) N/A N/A N/A 3
Latino women (of any race) 63 35 2 4
All other races N/A N/A N/A 3
Marital status
Married 49 50 1 59
Not married 58 39 3 41
Age
18–24 years old 66 29 N/A 8
25–29 years old 64 30 N/A 6
30–39 years old 54 43 3 15
40–49 years old 52 47 1 13
50–64 years old 51 48 N/A 29
65 and older 48 51 1 30
Sexual orientation
LGBT N/A N/A N/A 5
Heterosexual 51 47 2 95
Education
College graduate 65 34 N/A 43
No college degree 45 53 1 57
Education by race/ethnicity
White college graduates 62 35 3 39
White no college degree 42 57 N/A 48
Non-white college graduates 73 25 3 4
Non-white no college degree 64 32 4 9
Income
Under $30,000 58 40 2 16
$30,000–$49,999 55 39 6 19
Over $200,000 58 42 N/A 9
Racism in the U.S is
The most important problem 85 14 1 9
An important problem 62 35 3 65
Area Type
Urban 68 29 1 44
Suburban 42 56 2 34
Rural 46 52 2 16
Source: CNN[30]

See also

Notes

Шаблон:Notelist-ua

Partisan clients

Шаблон:Notelist

References

Шаблон:Reflist

Further reading

External links

Шаблон:2020 United States elections Шаблон:State results of the 2020 U.S. presidential election Шаблон:Minnesota elections