Английская Википедия:2020 United States presidential election in Mississippi

Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Main Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Use American English Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Mississippi sidebar The 2020 United States presidential election in Mississippi was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.^[1] Mississippi voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Mississippi has six electoral votes in the Electoral College.^[2]

Trump scored a convincing victory in Mississippi, a socially conservative Bible Belt state. Biden's main support was in the western Delta counties next to the Mississippi River, and in Hinds County, home to the state capital and largest city of Jackson. In contrast, Trump's margins came from the regions bordering the Gulf Coast, the northeast Appalachian area, and the Jackson and Memphis suburbs. Trump's strength also came from winning 81% of the White vote, which constituted 69% of the electorate. 57% of voters believed abortion should be illegal in all or most cases and they backed the president 82%-17%. Trump also received 89% of the Evangelical vote, which made up 54% of the electorate.^[3] Biden managed to very narrowly flip Warren County, winning it with 49.6% of the vote to Trump's 49.2%.

Primary elections

The primary elections were held on March 10, 2020.

Republican primary

Шаблон:Transcluded section Шаблон:Trim

Democratic primary

Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard of Hawaii, Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont and former Vice President Joe Biden were the major declared candidates still active in the race.^[4]

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General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[5]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 10, 2020
Inside Elections^[6]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[7]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 14, 2020
Politico^[8]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 8, 2020
RCP^[9]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	August 3, 2020
Niskanen^[10]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 26, 2020
CNN^[11]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	August 3, 2020
The Economist^[12]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 2, 2020
CBS News^[13]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	August 16, 2020
270towin^[14]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	August 2, 2020
ABC News^[15]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 31, 2020
NPR^[16]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	August 3, 2020
NBC News^[17]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	August 6, 2020
538^[18]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 2, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary Шаблон:Graph:Chart

Aggregate polls


Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Joe Biden Шаблон:Nobold	Donald Trump Шаблон:Nobold	Other/ Undecided Шаблон:Efn	Margin
270 to Win	October 17–27, 2020	November 3, 2020	40.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|57.0%	3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \|Шаблон:HsTrump +17.0
FiveThirtyEight	until November 2, 2020	November 3, 2020	39.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|55.5%	4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \|Шаблон:HsTrump +15.9
Average			39.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|56.3%	3.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \|Trump +16.5

Polls

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin Шаблон:Nowrap	Donald Trump Шаблон:Nobold	Joe Biden Шаблон:Nobold	Jo Jorgensen Шаблон:Nobold	Howie Hawkins Шаблон:Nobold	Other	Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020	1,461 (LV)	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|61%Шаблон:Efn	37%	-	-	–	–
Data For Progress	Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020	562 (LV)	± 4.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|55%	41%	2%	1%	1%Шаблон:Efn	–
Civiqs/Daily Kos	Oct 23–26, 2020	507 (LV)	± 5.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|55%	41%	-	-	3%Шаблон:Efn	1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Oct 1–28, 2020	2,116 (LV)	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|62%	37%	-	-	–	–
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Sep 1–30, 2020	782 (LV)	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|55%	44%	-	-	–	1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Aug 1–31, 2020	607 (LV)	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|61%	36%	-	-	–	3%
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance Шаблон:Efn-ua	Aug 28–30, 2020	600 (LV)	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|50%	40%	No voters	-	No votersШаблон:Efn	6%
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group/Mike Espy Шаблон:Efn-ua	Jul 30 – Aug 9, 2020	600 (LV)	± 4.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|53%Шаблон:Efn	43%	-	-	–	–
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Jul 1–31, 2020	733 (LV)	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|59%	39%	-	-	–	2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Jun 8–30, 2020	425 (LV)	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|63%	35%	-	-	–	2%
Chism Strategies (D)	Jun 2–4, 2020	568 (LV)	± 4.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|50%	41%	-	-	6%Шаблон:Efn	3%
Chism Strategies/Millsaps College	Apr 8–9, 2020	508 (RV)	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|49%	38%	-	-	7%	7%
Mason-Dixon	Feb 26–28, 2020	625 (RV)	± 4.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|56%	41%	-	-	–	3%

Шаблон:Collapse top Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin Шаблон:Nowrap	Donald Trump (R)	Bernie Sanders (D)	Undecided
Mason-Dixon	Feb 26–28, 2020	625 (RV)	± 4.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|59%	36%	5%

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Results

By county

County	colspan="2" style="text-align: center;" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| Donald Trump Republican	colspan="2" style="text-align: center;" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| Joe Biden Democratic	colspan="2" style="text-align: center;" Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian \| Jo Jorgensen Libertarian	Other votes		Margin		Total votes
County	colspan="1" style="text-align: center;" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| %	colspan="1" style="text-align: center;" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| #	colspan="1" style="text-align: center;" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| %	colspan="1" style="text-align: center;" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| #	colspan="1" style="text-align: center;" Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian \| %	colspan="1" style="text-align: center;" Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian \| #	%	Total votes	#	%	#
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Adams	41.40%	5,696	57.54%	7,917	0.35%	48	0.71%	98	-16.14%	-2,221	13,759
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Alcorn	81.16%	12,818	17.62%	2,782	0.75%	118	0.47%	75	63.54%	10,036	15,793
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Amite	62.58%	4,503	36.41%	2,620	0.29%	21	0.72%	52	26.17%	1,883	7,196
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Attala	58.69%	5,178	40.15%	3,542	0.41%	36	0.76%	67	18.54%	1,636	8,823
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Benton	59.92%	2,570	39.15%	1,679	0.28%	12	0.65%	28	20.77%	891	4,289
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Bolivar	33.99%	4,671	64.78%	8,904	0.35%	48	0.88%	121	-30.79%	-4,233	13,744
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Calhoun	70.18%	4,625	28.86%	1,902	0.23%	15	0.73%	48	41.32%	2,723	6,590
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Carroll	68.83%	3,924	30.33%	1,729	0.25%	14	0.60%	34	38.50%	2,195	5,701
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Chickasaw	51.28%	4,175	46.80%	3,810	0.92%	75	0.99%	81	4.48%	365	8,141
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Choctaw	71.06%	3,001	28.06%	1,185	0.38%	16	0.50%	21	43.00%	1,816	4,223
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Claiborne	13.55%	603	84.78%	3,772	0.25%	11	1.41%	63	-71.23%	-3,169	4,449
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Clarke	64.97%	5,417	34.04%	2,838	0.34%	28	0.66%	55	30.93%	2,579	8,338
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Clay	41.03%	4,181	57.36%	5,844	0.47%	48	1.13%	116	-16.33%	-1,663	10,189
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Coahoma	27.94%	2,375	70.82%	6,020	0.24%	20	1.00%	86	-42.88%	-3,645	8,501
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Copiah	48.51%	6,250	50.22%	6,470	0.45%	58	0.81%	105	-1.71%	-220	12,883
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Covington	62.54%	5,854	36.50%	3,416	0.35%	33	0.61%	57	26.04%	2,438	9,360
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|DeSoto	61.03%	46,462	37.13%	28,265	0.95%	722	0.89%	675	23.90%	18,197	76,124
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Forrest	54.62%	17,290	43.45%	13,755	1.04%	329	0.89%	280	11.17%	3,535	31,654
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Franklin	65.52%	2,923	33.18%	1,480	0.47%	21	0.83%	37	32.34%	1,443	4,461
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|George	87.91%	9,713	11.02%	1,218	0.49%	54	0.58%	64	76.89%	8,495	11,049
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Greene	82.48%	4,794	16.62%	966	0.34%	20	0.55%	32	65.86%	3,828	5,812
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Grenada	55.73%	6,081	43.39%	4,734	0.35%	38	0.53%	58	12.34%	1,347	10,911
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Hancock	76.98%	16,132	21.49%	4,504	0.87%	183	0.66%	138	55.49%	11,628	20,957
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Harrison	61.70%	46,822	36.54%	27,728	0.96%	726	0.80%	609	25.16%	19,094	75,885
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Hinds	25.09%	25,141	73.40%	73,550	0.40%	396	1.12%	1,121	-48.31%	-48,409	100,208
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Holmes	16.87%	1,369	81.18%	6,588	0.32%	26	1.63%	132	-64.31%	-5,219	8,115
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Humphreys	26.69%	1,118	72.00%	3,016	0.24%	10	1.09%	45	-45.31%	-1,898	4,189
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Issaquena	45.56%	308	52.51%	355	0.74%	5	1.18%	8	-6.95%	-47	676
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Itawamba	87.24%	9,438	11.54%	1,249	0.73%	79	0.49%	53	75.70%	8,189	10,819
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Jackson	66.54%	36,295	31.86%	17,375	0.87%	474	0.73%	399	34.68%	18,920	54,543
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Jasper	49.24%	4,302	49.69%	4,341	0.34%	30	0.72%	63	-0.45%	-39	8,736
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Jefferson	13.59%	531	85.13%	3,327	0.36%	14	0.92%	36	-71.54%	-2,796	3,908
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Jefferson Davis	40.79%	2,534	57.93%	3,599	0.26%	16	1.03%	64	-17.14%	-1,065	6,213
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Jones	70.54%	21,226	28.30%	8,517	0.56%	169	0.59%	179	42.24%	12,709	30,091
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Kemper	37.77%	1,787	61.02%	2,887	0.21%	10	1.00%	47	-23.25%	-1,100	4,731
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Lafayette	55.28%	12,949	42.99%	10,070	1.03%	242	0.69%	162	12.29%	2,879	23,423
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Lamar	72.57%	20,704	25.73%	7,340	0.93%	264	0.78%	222	46.84%	13,364	28,530
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Lauderdale	57.50%	17,967	41.48%	12,960	0.48%	149	0.55%	171	16.02%	5,007	31,247
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Lawrence	64.80%	4,285	34.18%	2,260	0.29%	19	0.74%	49	30.62%	2,025	6,613
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Leake	56.83%	5,228	42.36%	3,897	0.21%	19	0.61%	56	12.47%	1,331	9,200
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Lee	65.51%	24,207	32.98%	12,189	0.79%	292	0.72%	266	32.53%	12,018	36,954
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Leflore	28.72%	3,129	70.21%	7,648	0.28%	31	0.78%	85	-41.49%	-4,519	10,893
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Lincoln	69.02%	11,596	30.00%	5,040	0.38%	64	0.60%	101	39.02%	6,556	16,801
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Lowndes	50.66%	13,800	48.04%	13,087	0.67%	182	0.63%	172	2.62%	713	27,241
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Madison	55.16%	31,091	43.36%	24,440	0.62%	351	0.85%	479	11.80%	6,651	56,361
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Marion	67.94%	8,273	31.10%	3,787	0.36%	44	0.60%	73	36.84%	4,486	12,177
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Marshall	47.83%	7,566	50.94%	8,057	0.30%	48	0.92%	146	-3.11%	-491	15,817
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Monroe	64.76%	11,177	34.03%	5,874	0.54%	93	0.67%	115	30.73%	5,303	17,259
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Montgomery	57.48%	2,917	41.79%	2,121	0.18%	9	0.56%	28	15.69%	796	5,075
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Neshoba	71.09%	8,320	27.86%	3,260	0.39%	46	0.66%	77	43.23%	5,060	11,703
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Newton	68.71%	6,997	30.20%	3,075	0.46%	47	0.62%	64	38.51%	3,922	10,183
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Noxubee	23.23%	1,240	75.67%	4,040	0.24%	13	0.85%	46	-52.44%	-2,800	5,339
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Oktibbeha	45.57%	9,004	52.13%	10,299	1.29%	255	1.01%	199	-6.56%	-1,295	19,757
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Panola	51.58%	8,060	47.37%	7,403	0.31%	48	0.74%	116	4.21%	657	15,627
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Pearl River	81.53%	19,595	17.26%	4,148	0.67%	160	0.54%	130	64.27%	15,447	24,033
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Perry	76.06%	4,500	23.02%	1,362	0.35%	21	0.56%	33	53.04%	3,138	5,916
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Pike	48.84%	8,479	49.80%	8,646	0.52%	91	0.84%	145	-0.96%	-167	17,361
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Pontotoc	80.43%	11,550	18.20%	2,614	0.72%	103	0.65%	94	62.23%	8,936	14,361
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Prentiss	78.64%	8,370	20.23%	2,153	0.66%	70	0.48%	51	58.41%	6,217	10,644
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Quitman	31.80%	1,026	66.65%	2,150	0.37%	12	1.18%	38	-34.85%	-1,124	3,226
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Rankin	71.89%	50,895	26.62%	18,847	0.78%	555	0.71%	502	45.27%	32,048	70,799
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Scott	58.56%	6,285	40.34%	4,330	0.35%	38	0.75%	80	18.22%	1,955	10,733
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Sharkey	31.52%	688	67.11%	1,465	0.41%	9	0.96%	21	-35.59%	-777	2,183
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Simpson	64.62%	7,635	34.17%	4,037	0.41%	49	0.79%	94	30.45%	3,598	11,815
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Smith	77.55%	6,458	21.51%	1,791	0.40%	33	0.54%	45	56.04%	4,667	8,327
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Stone	75.70%	5,964	22.87%	1,802	0.72%	57	0.70%	55	52.83%	4,162	7,878
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Sunflower	28.91%	2,799	70.04%	6,781	0.19%	18	0.84%	83	-41.13%	-3,982	9,681
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Tallahatchie	43.76%	2,488	54.62%	3,105	0.35%	20	1.27%	72	-10.86%	-617	5,685
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Tate	66.50%	8,707	31.95%	4,183	0.64%	84	0.91%	119	34.55%	4,524	13,093
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Tippah	79.73%	8,054	19.17%	1,937	0.43%	43	0.67%	68	60.56%	6,117	10,102
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Tishomingo	86.81%	7,933	11.59%	1,059	1.06%	97	0.54%	49	75.22%	6,874	9,138
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Tunica	25.97%	926	72.37%	2,580	0.25%	9	1.41%	50	-46.40%	-1,654	3,565
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Union	81.79%	10,373	17.03%	2,160	0.64%	81	0.54%	69	64.76%	8,213	12,683
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Walthall	59.28%	4,220	39.82%	2,835	0.27%	19	0.63%	45	19.46%	1,385	7,119
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Warren	49.23%	10,365	49.60%	10,442	0.44%	93	0.73%	153	-0.37%	-77	21,053
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Washington	29.39%	5,300	69.33%	12,503	0.29%	53	0.98%	178	-39.94%	-7,203	18,034
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Wayne	62.72%	6,307	36.04%	3,624	0.45%	45	0.80%	80	26.68%	2,683	10,056
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Webster	79.54%	4,291	19.33%	1,043	0.50%	27	0.63%	34	60.21%	3,248	5,395
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Wilkinson	32.08%	1,324	66.61%	2,749	0.29%	12	1.02%	42	-34.53%	-1,425	4,127
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Winston	55.35%	5,112	43.74%	4,040	0.44%	41	0.46%	43	11.61%	1,072	9,236
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Yalobusha	56.17%	3,671	42.62%	2,785	0.40%	26	0.81%	53	13.55%	886	6,535
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Yazoo	46.30%	4,832	52.66%	5,496	0.20%	21	0.85%	87	-6.36%	-664	10,436

Шаблон:Align

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Warren (largest city: Vicksburg)

By congressional district

Trump won 3 of 4 congressional districts.

District	Trump	Biden	Representative
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	64.8%	33.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Trent Kelly
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Шаблон:Ushr	35.2%	63.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Bennie Thompson
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	60.1%	38.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Michael Guest
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	68.3%	30.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Steven Palazzo

Analysis

Mississippi, a conservative state in the Deep South and greater Bible Belt, has not been won by a Democrat since the 1976 victory of fellow Southerner Jimmy Carter. Trump easily carried the state on election day by a 16.54% margin.

Despite Biden's loss statewide, he did manage to flip Warren County, home to Vicksburg, which had voted Democratic in 2012 but flipped back to the GOP column in 2016. In other elections, Republican Cindy Hyde-Smith defeated Democrat Mike Espy by almost 10 points in the simultaneous senatorial race. Although Hyde-Smith underperformed Trump, she still won by a somewhat comfortable margin.

In referendums, a statewide referendum to approve a new flag after their controversial previous one, which contained the Confederate battle ensign, was rejected. The new alternative passed with over 71% of the vote. Medical marijuana was approved in the state with more than 61% of voters supporting the legalization. The less restrictive of the medical marijuana bills, Initiative 65, passed with over 57% selecting the less restrictive of two options to legalize medical marijuana. The state also voted to get rid of the electoral college system that had been in place to elect statewide officials. Over 74% of Mississippians voted to remove the provision that a candidate must receive the support of a majority of Mississippi Legislature House districts.

This is the fourth consecutive election in which Mississippi voted more Democratic than each of its neighboring states. Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Trump's strength in Mississippi came from White born-again/Evangelical Christians, of whom 89% supported Trump. 59% of voters believed abortion should be illegal in all or most cases, and these voters backed Trump 83%–16%. As is the case in many Southern states, there was a stark racial divide in voting for this election: 82% of White Mississippians supported Trump, while 93% of Black Mississippians supported Biden.^[19]

Notes

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Partisan clients

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References

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External links

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Шаблон:2020 United States elections Шаблон:State results of the 2020 U.S. presidential election

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Английская Википедия:2020 United States presidential election in Mississippi

Содержание

Primary elections

Republican primary

Democratic primary

General election

Predictions

Polling

Results

By county

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Analysis

See also

Notes

References

Further reading

External links

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