Английская Википедия:2020 United States presidential election in Oklahoma

Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Main Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Use American English Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Oklahoma sidebar The 2020 United States presidential election in Oklahoma was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.^[1] Oklahoma voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Oklahoma has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College.^[2]

Trump easily carried Oklahoma on Election Day by a margin of 33.08%, down from 36.39 points in 2016. Oklahoma was one of two states where Trump won every county, the other being West Virginia. This also signaled the fifth consecutive election in which the Republican candidate carried every county in the state, including those counties encompassed by Native American reservations. In this election, Trump also became the first presidential candidate ever to win more than a million votes in Oklahoma.^[3] Biden, however, came within 3,326 votes of winning Oklahoma's most populous county Oklahoma County, and won more than 40% of the vote in Oklahoma's second-most populous county Tulsa. No Democratic presidential candidate has won Oklahoma County since Lyndon B. Johnson in his 1964 landslide, or Tulsa County since Franklin D. Roosevelt in his 1936 landslide. This is the first election since 2000 in which not every county voted in the majority for the Republican. However, these gains in urban Oklahoma were offset by continued falloff in southeast Oklahoma, where Biden even underperformed Hillary Clinton's performance four years earlier in most counties.

Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Trump's strength in Oklahoma came from whites, with 71% support. Oklahoma, often termed the "Buckle of the Bible Belt", is a very religious state, with Trump capturing the Protestant vote by 78%.^[4] Trump also exhibited considerable strength in the historically Democratic region known as "Little Dixie," carrying Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district by 54%.

Primary elections

The primary elections were held on Super Tuesday, March 3, 2020.

Republican primary

Donald Trump and Bill Weld were among the declared Republican candidates. Шаблон:Excerpt

Democratic primary

Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, and former Vice President Joe Biden were the major declared Democratic candidates.^[5]

Шаблон:Excerpt

Libertarian nominee

Шаблон:Main

Jo Jorgensen, Psychology Senior Lecturer at Clemson University

Independent candidates

Three unaffiliated candidates filed to be on the Oklahoma presidential ballot, all by paying a $35,000 fee. Green Party candidate Howie Hawkins has filed a lawsuit challenging the amount of the filing fee.^[6]

Jade Simmons, concert artist, speaker, and author^[7]
Brock Pierce, cryptocurrency entrepreneur and former child actor^[8]
Kanye West, musician^[9]

Ballot order

Oklahoma determines ballot order by lot, with unaffiliated candidates listed below candidates of recognized parties. The drawing was held on July 16, with the resulting order for political parties being Republican, Libertarian, Democrat.^[10] The unaffiliated candidates for president will be listed in this order: Jade Simmons, Kanye West, Brock Pierce.^[11]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[12]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 10, 2020
Inside Elections^[13]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[14]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 14, 2020
Politico^[15]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 8, 2020
RCP^[16]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	August 3, 2020
Niskanen^[17]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 26, 2020
CNN^[18]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	August 3, 2020
The Economist^[19]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 2, 2020
CBS News^[20]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	August 16, 2020
270towin^[21]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	August 2, 2020
ABC News^[22]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 31, 2020
NPR^[23]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	August 3, 2020
NBC News^[24]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	August 6, 2020
538^[25]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 9, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

Файл:Opinion polling for the 2020 United States presidential election in Oklahoma.svg

Graph of opinion polls conducted. Trend lines represent local regressions.

Aggregate polls


Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Joe Biden Шаблон:Nobold	Donald Trump Шаблон:Nobold	Other/ Undecided Шаблон:Efn	Margin
270 to Win	October 17–21, 2020	November 3, 2020	38.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|58.5%	3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \|Шаблон:HsTrump +20.0
FiveThirtyEight	until November 2, 2020	November 3, 2020	36.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|59.2%	4.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \|Шаблон:HsTrump +23.0
Average			37.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|58.9%	3.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \|Trump +21.5

Polls

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin Шаблон:Nowrap	Donald Trump Шаблон:Nobold	Joe Biden Шаблон:Nobold	Jo Jorgensen Шаблон:Nobold	Other	Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020	1,902 (LV)	± 3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|65%Шаблон:Efn	35%	–
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Oct 1–28, 2020	3,191 (LV)	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|59%	40%	–	–	–
SoonerPoll/News 9/News on 6	Oct 15–20, 2020	5,466 (LV)	± 1.33%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|59%	37%	1%	2%Шаблон:Efn	2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Sep 1–30, 2020	1,174 (LV)	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|63%	35%	–	–	2%
Amber Integrated	Sep 17–20, 2020	500 (LV)	± 4.38%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|55%	33%	1%	5%Шаблон:Efn	6%
SoonerPoll/News9 [1]	Sep 2–8, 2020	486 (LV)	± 4.45%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|60%	35%	–	1%Шаблон:Efn	4%
SoonerPoll	Aug 13–31, 2020	379 (LV)	± 5.03%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|60%	35%	–	2%Шаблон:Efn	4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Aug 1–31, 2020	1,009 (LV)	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|64%	35%	–	–	2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Jul 1–31, 2020	1,410 (LV)	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|64%	34%	–	–	4%
DFM Research/Abby Broyles for US Senate Шаблон:Efn-ua	Jul 29–30, 2020	572 (LV)	± 4.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|56%	36%	–	5%Шаблон:Efn	3%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Jun 8–30, 2020	591 (LV)	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|61%	37%	–	–	1%
Amber Integrated	Jun 3–4, 2020	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|55%	36%	–	4%Шаблон:Efn	5%
Amber Integrated	Mar 5–8, 2020	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|57%	33%	–	4%	5%
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates/OK Sooner	Feb 10–13, 2020	500 (RV)	± 4.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|62%	34%	–	–	4%

Шаблон:Collapse top Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin Шаблон:Nowrap	Donald Trump (R)	Bernie Sanders (D)	Other	Undecided
Amber Integrated	Mar 5–8, 2020	500 (LV)	± 4.4 %	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|59%	30%	5%	5%
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates/OK Sooner	Feb 10–13, 2020	500 (RV)	± 4.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|63%	34%	–	3%

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin Шаблон:Nowrap	Donald Trump (R)	Pete Buttigieg (D)	Other	Undecided
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates/OK Sooner	Feb 10–13, 2020	500 (RV)	± 4.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|61%	35%	–	3%

Donald Trump vs. Generic Democrat

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin Шаблон:Nowrap	Donald Trump (R)	Generic Democrat (D)	Independent	Undecided
Amber Integrated	Dec. 4-6, 2019	500 (RV)	4.38%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|54%	27%	8%	10%

Шаблон:Collapse bottom

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box end

Results by county

County^[26]	Trump	Trump %	Biden	Biden %	Others	Others %	Margin	Margin %	Total
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Adair	5,585	78.57%	1,387	19.51%	136	1.91%	4,198	59.06%	7,108
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Alfalfa	1,978	87.44%	232	10.26%	52	2.30%	1,746	77.16%	2,262
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Atoka	4,557	84.56%	765	14.20%	67	1.24%	3,792	70.36%	5,389
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Beaver	1,968	90.36%	190	8.72%	20	0.92%	1,778	81.64%	2,178
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Beckham	6,767	85.14%	1,048	13.19%	133	1.67%	5,719	71.95%	7,948
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Blaine	3,136	80.39%	688	17.64%	77	1.97%	2,448	62.75%	3,901
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Bryan	12,344	77.27%	3,323	20.80%	309	1.93%	9,021	56.47%	15,976
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Caddo	7,013	71.13%	2,670	27.08%	176	1.79%	4,343	44.05%	9,859
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Canadian	43,550	70.31%	16,742	27.03%	1,648	2.66%	26,808	43.28%	61,940
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Carter	14,699	75.46%	4,470	22.95%	310	1.59%	10,229	52.51%	19,479
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Cherokee	11,223	63.36%	6,027	34.02%	464	2.62%	5,196	29.34%	17,714
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Choctaw	4,698	80.56%	1,082	18.55%	52	0.89%	3,616	62.01%	5,832
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Cimarron	970	92.03%	70	6.64%	14	1.42%	900	85.39%	1,054
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Cleveland	66,677	55.67%	49,827	41.60%	3,274	2.73%	16,850	14.07%	119,778
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Coal	2,091	82.84%	374	14.82%	59	2.34%	1,717	68.02%	2,524
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Comanche	20,905	58.67%	13,747	38.58%	979	2.75%	7,158	20.09%	35,631
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Cotton	2,117	82.31%	393	15.28%	62	2.41%	1,724	67.03%	2,572
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Craig	4,686	77.69%	1,217	20.18%	129	2.14%	3,469	57.51%	6,032
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Creek	23,294	76.36%	6,577	21.56%	634	2.08%	16,717	54.80%	30,505
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Custer	8,060	75.39%	2,369	22.16%	262	2.45%	5,691	53.23%	10,691
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Delaware	13,557	78.61%	3,472	20.13%	216	1.25%	10,085	58.48%	17,245
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Dewey	2,124	90.04%	214	9.07%	21	0.89%	1,910	80.97%	2,359
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Ellis	1,688	90.12%	162	8.65%	23	1.23%	1,526	81.47%	1,873
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Garfield	16,970	75.66%	4,919	21.93%	541	2.41%	12,051	53.73%	22,430
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Garvin	8,878	81.29%	1,865	17.08%	179	1.64%	7,013	64.21%	10,922
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Grady	18,538	80.25%	4,144	17.94%	419	1.81%	14,394	62.31%	23,101
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Grant	1,916	86.07%	280	12.58%	30	1.35%	1,636	73.49%	2,226
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Greer	1,605	81.35%	328	16.62%	40	2.03%	1,277	64.73%	1,973
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Harmon	747	80.06%	177	18.97%	9	0.96%	570	61.09%	933
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Harper	1,327	89.24%	136	9.15%	24	1.61%	1,191	80.09%	1,487
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Haskell	4,165	83.07%	783	15.62%	66	1.52%	3,382	67.45%	5,014
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Hughes	3,875	79.78%	919	18.92%	63	1.30%	2,956	60.86%	4,857
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Jackson	6,392	77.75%	1,646	20.02%	183	2.23%	4,746	57.73%	8,221
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Jefferson	2,026	84.95%	319	13.38%	40	1.68%	1,707	71.57%	2,385
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Johnston	3,441	80.95%	738	17.36%	72	1.69%	2,703	63.59%	4,251
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Kay	12,834	74.40%	4,040	23.42%	375	2.17%	8,794	50.98%	17,249
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Kingfisher	5,521	85.40%	854	13.21%	90	1.39%	4,667	72.19%	6,465
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Kiowa	2,673	78.00%	699	20.40%	55	1.60%	1,974	57.60%	3,427
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Latimer	3,437	80.89%	762	17.93%	50	1.18%	2,675	62.96%	4,249
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Le Flore	15,213	80.90%	3,299	17.54%	293	1.56%	11,914	63.36%	18,805
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Lincoln	12,013	80.69%	2,609	17.52%	266	1.79%	9,404	63.17%	14,888
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Logan	15,608	72.35%	5,455	25.29%	511	2.37%	10,153	47.06%	21,574
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Love	3,305	81.08%	711	17.44%	60	1.47%	2,594	63.64%	4,076
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Major	3,084	88.95%	320	9.23%	63	1.82%	2,764	79.72%	3,467
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Marshall	4,891	80.66%	1,100	18.14%	73	1.20%	3,791	62.52%	6,064
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Mayes	12,749	76.68%	3,581	21.54%	296	1.78%	9,168	55.14%	16,626
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| McClain	15,295	79.51%	3,582	18.62%	359	1.87%	11,713	60.89%	19,236
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| McCurtain	9,485	82.72%	1,858	16.20%	124	1.08%	7,627	66.52%	11,467
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| McIntosh	6,172	74.05%	2,031	24.37%	132	1.58%	4,141	49.68%	8,335
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Murray	4,612	78.25%	1,156	19.61%	126	2.14%	3,456	58.64%	5,894
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Muskogee	16,526	65.89%	8,027	32.00%	528	2.11%	8,499	33.89%	25,081
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Noble	3,821	77.38%	1,003	20.31%	114	2.31%	2,818	57.07%	4,938
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Nowata	3,610	82.21%	712	16.21%	69	1.57%	2,898	66.00%	4,391
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Okfuskee	3,058	75.73%	896	22.19%	84	2.08%	2,062	53.54%	4,038
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Oklahoma	145,050	49.21%	141,724	48.08%	7,966	2.70%	3,326	1.13%	294,740
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Okmulgee	9,668	67.55%	4,357	30.44%	288	2.01%	5,311	37.11%	14,313
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Osage	14,121	68.76%	6,002	29.22%	415	2.02%	8,119	39.54%	20,538
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Ottawa	8,545	74.71%	2,686	23.48%	207	1.81%	5,859	51.23%	11,438
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Pawnee	5,267	77.62%	1,363	20.09%	156	2.30%	3,904	57.53%	6,786
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Payne	17,813	60.09%	10,904	36.78%	926	3.12%	6,909	23.31%	29,643
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Pittsburg	13,851	77.28%	3,768	21.02%	305	1.70%	10,083	56.26%	17,924
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Pontotoc	10,805	70.53%	4,117	26.87%	398	2.60%	6,688	43.66%	15,320
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Pottawatomie	20,240	71.81%	7,275	25.81%	670	2.38%	12,965	46.00%	28,185
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Pushmataha	4,016	84.74%	668	14.10%	55	1.16%	3,348	70.64%	4,739
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Roger Mills	1,629	88.82%	168	9.16%	37	2.02%	1,461	79.66%	1,834
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Rogers	34,031	76.38%	9,589	21.52%	933	2.09%	24,442	54.86%	44,553
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Seminole	6,011	72.10%	2,150	25.79%	176	2.11%	3,861	46.31%	8,337
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Sequoyah	12,113	78.73%	3,035	19.73%	238	1.55%	9,078	59.00%	15,386
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Stephens	15,560	81.65%	3,154	16.55%	343	1.80%	12,404	65.10%	19,057
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Texas	4,505	81.60%	894	16.19%	122	2.21%	3,611	65.41%	5,521
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Tillman	2,076	76.66%	597	22.05%	35	1.29%	1,479	54.61%	2,708
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Tulsa	150,574	56.46%	108,996	40.87%	7,108	2.67%	41,578	15.59%	266,678
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Wagoner	26,165	74.04%	8,464	23.95%	709	2.01%	17,701	50.09%	35,338
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Washington	17,076	72.66%	5,790	24.64%	635	2.70%	11,286	48.02%	23,501
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Washita	4,086	85.53%	598	12.52%	93	1.95%	3,488	73.01%	4,777
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Woods	2,993	81.38%	591	16.07%	94	2.56%	2,402	65.31%	3,678
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| Woodward	6,611	84.92%	1,005	12.91%	169	2.17%	5,606	72.01%	7,785
Total	1,020,280	65.37%	503,890	32.29%	36,529	2.34%	516,390	33.08%	1,560,699

Шаблон:Align

By congressional district

Trump won all of Oklahoma's congressional districts.

District	Trump	Biden	Representative
Шаблон:Party shading/GOP\|Шаблон:Ushr	60.11%	37.31%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Kevin Hern
Шаблон:Party shading/GOP\|Шаблон:Ushr	76.10%	22.15%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Markwayne Mullin
Шаблон:Party shading/GOP\|Шаблон:Ushr	74.58%	23.15%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Frank Lucas
Шаблон:Party shading/GOP\|Шаблон:Ushr	65.23%	32.22%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Tom Cole
rowspan="2" Шаблон:Party shading/GOP \|Шаблон:Ushr	51.56%	45.95%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Kendra Horn (116th Congress)
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Stephanie Bice (117th Congress)	51.56%	45.95%

Electors

Republican Party electors

Ronda Vuillemont-Smith, Lonnie Lu Anderson, Chris Martin, Steve Fair, Linda Huggard, A. J. Ferate, Carolyn McLarty^[27]

Libertarian Party electors

Erin Adams, Danny Chabino, Drew Cook, Kevin Hobbie, Rex Lawhorn, Jay Norton, Victoria Whitfield^[28]

Democratic Party electors

Judy Eason McIntyre, Eric Proctor, Jeff Berrong, Christine Byrd, Demetrios Bereolos, Pamela Iron, Shevonda Steward^[29]

Electors for Jade Simmons

Shanda Carter, Terrence Stephens, Hope Stephens, Elizabeth Stephens, Dakota Hooks, Phalanda Boyd, Quincy Boyd^[7]

Electors for Kanye West

April Anderson, Craig Alan Weygandt, Will Flanagan, Tom Krup, Megan Krup, Gretchen Schrupp, David Schrupp^[9]

Electors for Brock Pierce

Robert Murphy, Susan Darlene Murphy, Richard Prawdzienski, Jessy Artman, David Selinger, Shane Wayne Howell, Angela McCaslin^[8]

Notes

Шаблон:Notelist

Partisan clients

Шаблон:Notelist-ua

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Шаблон:Citation
Шаблон:Citation
Шаблон:Cite web (state affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
Шаблон:Ballotpedia

Шаблон:2020 United States elections Шаблон:State results of the 2020 U.S. presidential election

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↑ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Шаблон:Webarchive, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite news
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[17] 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Шаблон:Webarchive, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.

[18] Шаблон:Cite web

[19] Шаблон:Cite news

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