Английская Википедия:2020 United States presidential election in Oregon

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Шаблон:Short descriptionШаблон:Main Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Use American English Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Oregon sidebar The 2020 United States presidential election in Oregon was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[1] President Donald Trump, and Vice President Mike Pence were renominated by the Republican Party. They faced a Democratic Party ticket of former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate, California U.S. Senator Kamala Harris, as vice president.

Biden won 56.45% of the vote to 40.37% for Trump. Biden received Oregon's seven electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2] The state certified its election results on December 3.[3]

Biden won Oregon by 16.08% an increase from Hillary Clinton's 11% victory margin in 2016. No Republican presidential candidate has won Oregon since Ronald Reagan of neighboring California in 1984. Biden flipped two counties Trump won in 2016: Marion County, home to the state capital of Salem, and Deschutes County, anchored by fast-growing Bend. This marked the first time since 1964 that a Democrat won an outright majority in Deschutes County, although Democratic presidential nominees in 1976 and 1992 had carried the county with pluralities.[4]

Biden was the first Democrat since Woodrow Wilson in 1916 to win the presidency without carrying Columbia County and Tillamook County. Tillamook and Columbia counties were among a fraction of the more than 3,000 counties in the U.S. to vote twice for Barack Obama (2008, 2012) and twice for Donald Trump (2016, 2020).[5] Biden also made history as the highest vote earner in Oregon history, with 1,340,383 votes. Per exit polls by the Associated Press, 33% of voters were secular and supported Biden by 80%.[6]

Primary elections

The Oregon primary elections were held on Tuesday, May 19, 2020.

Republican primary

Donald Trump ran unopposed in Oregon, receiving the state's 28 delegates to the Republican National Convention[7]

Шаблон:Excerpt

Democratic primary

Though all Democrats but Joe Biden had withdrawn from the national race by the Oregon primary, four remained on the ballot. Biden won just under two-thirds of the vote. Bernie Sanders received just over 20% of the vote. Oregon's 71 delegates were allocated with 46 to Biden and 15 to Sanders.[7]Шаблон:Excerpt

Independent Party of Oregon primary

The Independent Party of Oregon cross-nominated Joe Biden after an online nonpartisan blanket primary.[8]

Candidate Votes %
Joe Biden 1,661 46.7
Donald Trump 1,389 39.1
Bernie Sanders 1,227 34.5
Total 4,277 100.00
Candidate Votes %
Joe Biden 392 55.13
Donald Trump 280 39.38

Pacific Green Party primary

Howie Hawkins won the Oregon Green Party primary.

General election

Final predictions

Source Ranking
The Cook Political Report[9] Шаблон:USRaceRating
Inside Elections[10] Шаблон:USRaceRating
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Шаблон:USRaceRating
Politico[12] Шаблон:USRaceRating
RCP[13] Шаблон:USRaceRating
Niskanen[14] Шаблон:USRaceRating
CNN[15] Шаблон:USRaceRating
The Economist[16] Шаблон:USRaceRating
CBS News[17] Шаблон:USRaceRating
270towin[18] Шаблон:USRaceRating
ABC News[19] Шаблон:USRaceRating
NPR[20] Шаблон:USRaceRating
NBC News[21] Шаблон:USRaceRating
538[22] Шаблон:USRaceRating

Polling

Graphical summary

Шаблон:Graph:Chart

Polls

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Шаблон:Nobold
Donald
Trump

Шаблон:Nobold
Other/
Undecided
Шаблон:Efn
Margin
270 to Win September 26 – October 17, 2020 October 20, 2020 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|58.0% 38.5% 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Шаблон:HsBiden +19.5
FiveThirtyEight until November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|58.7% 37.4% 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Шаблон:HsBiden +21.3
Average Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|58.4% 38.0% 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Biden +20.4

Polls

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap
Donald
Trump

Шаблон:Nobold
Joe
Biden

Шаблон:Nobold
Jo
Jorgensen

Шаблон:Nobold
Howie
Hawkins

Шаблон:Nobold
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 3,543 (LV) ± 2.5% 39%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|59%
Swayable Шаблон:Webarchive Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 324 (LV) ± 7.3% 37% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|60% 1% 1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 1–28, 2020 5,422 (LV) 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|61%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Sep 1–30, 2020 2,109 (LV) 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|61% 2%
Civiqs/Daily Kos Sep 26–29, 2020 944 (LV) ± 3.5% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|56% 3%Шаблон:Efn 2%
DHM Research Sep 3–8, 2020 502 (LV) ± 4% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% 6%Шаблон:Efn 4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Aug 1–31, 2020 1,648 (LV) 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|60% 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jul 1–31, 2020 1,890 (LV) 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|61% 1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jun 8–30, 2020 872 (LV) 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|59% 2%

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box end

By county

County Joe Biden
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Jo Jorgensen
Libertarian
Other votes Margin Total
votes
% # % # % # % # % #
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Baker 23.62% 2,346 74.02% 7,352 1.45% 144 0.90% 90 −50.40% −5,006 9,932
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Benton 67.86% 35,827 28.18% 14,878 2.16% 1,142 1.80% 952 39.68% 20,949 52,799
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Clackamas 53.96% 139,043 42.89% 110,509 1.84% 4,736 1.32% 3,391 11.07% 28,534 257,679
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Clatsop 54.02% 12,916 42.74% 10,218 1.83% 437 1.41% 339 11.28% 2,698 23,910
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Columbia 42.94% 13,835 53.23% 17,150 2.44% 787 1.39% 449 −10.29% −3,315 32,221
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Coos 38.42% 14,243 58.88% 21,829 1.54% 572 1.16% 431 −20.46% −7,586 37,075
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Crook 24.61% 3,801 73.06% 11,287 1.50% 231 0.83% 129 −48.45% −7,486 15,448
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Curry 40.59% 6,058 56.84% 8,484 1.53% 228 1.04% 155 −16.25% −2,426 14,925
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Deschutes 52.67% 65,962 44.43% 55,646 1.67% 2,097 1.23% 1,529 8.24% 10,316 125,234
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Douglas 29.78% 19,160 67.29% 43,298 1.84% 1,182 1.11% 709 −37.51% −24,138 64,349
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Gilliam 27.50% 324 70.80% 834 1.44% 17 0.25% 3 −43.30% −510 1,178
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Grant 20.21% 929 77.13% 3,545 1.68% 77 0.98% 45 −56.92% −2,616 4,596
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Harney 19.95% 894 77.55% 3,475 1.41% 63 1.09% 49 −57.60% −2,581 4,481
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Hood River 66.95% 8,764 30.21% 3,955 1.52% 199 1.31% 172 36.74% 4,809 13,090
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Jackson 46.77% 59,478 50.23% 63,869 1.70% 2,168 1.30% 1,650 −3.46% −4,391 127,165
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Jefferson 36.88% 4,393 60.35% 7,189 1.76% 210 1.02% 121 −23.47% −2,796 11,913
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Josephine 35.73% 18,451 61.48% 31,751 1.54% 795 1.24% 644 −25.75% −13,300 51,641
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Klamath 28.29% 10,388 68.91% 25,308 1.73% 637 1.07% 393 −40.62% −14,920 36,726
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Lake 18.15% 792 79.53% 3,470 1.44% 63 0.87% 38 −61.38% −2,678 4,363
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Lane 60.46% 134,366 36.15% 80,336 1.76% 3,906 1.65% 3,645 24.31% 54,030 222,253
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Lincoln 56.58% 17,385 40.55% 12,460 1.50% 462 1.37% 419 16.03% 4,925 30,726
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Linn 36.50% 26,512 59.87% 43,486 2.19% 1,594 1.44% 1,048 −23.37% −16,974 72,640
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Malheur 27.62% 3,260 69.36% 8,187 1.87% 221 1.15% 136 −41.74% −4,927 11,804
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Marion 48.86% 80,872 47.73% 79,002 1.98% 3,272 1.44% 2,388 1.13% 1,870 165,534
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Morrow 26.79% 1,371 70.07% 3,586 2.46% 126 0.68% 35 −43.28% −2,215 5,118
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Multnomah 79.21% 367,249 17.90% 82,995 1.23% 5,726 1.66% 7,689 61.31% 284,254 463,659
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Polk 47.46% 22,917 49.14% 23,732 2.03% 981 1.37% 661 −1.68% −815 48,291
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Sherman 21.52% 260 76.24% 921 1.99% 24 0.25% 3 −54.72% −661 1,208
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Tillamook 47.76% 8,066 49.47% 8,354 1.55% 261 1.23% 207 −1.71% −288 16,888
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Umatilla 32.41% 10,707 64.38% 21,270 2.24% 740 0.97% 321 −31.97% −10,563 33,038
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Union 28.47% 4,254 68.91% 10,298 1.61% 241 1.02% 151 −40.44% −6,044 14,944
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Wallowa 31.56% 1,625 66.11% 3,404 1.48% 76 0.85% 44 −34.55% −1,779 5,149
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Wasco 46.74% 6,604 49.79% 7,035 2.09% 296 1.38% 195 −3.05% −431 14,130
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Washington 65.54% 209,940 30.93% 99,073 2.00% 6,398 1.54% 4,915 34.61% 110,867 320,326
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Wheeler 22.49% 217 73.68% 711 2.59% 25 1.25% 12 −51.19% −494 965
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Yamhill 46.12% 27,174 50.15% 29,551 2.46% 1,448 1.27% 750 −4.03% −2,377 58,923

Шаблон:Align

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Biden won 4 out of 5 congressional districts in Oregon.

District Trump Biden Representative
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 34.1% 63.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Suzanne Bonamici
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 55.6% 42.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Cliff Bentz
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 23.5% 74.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Earl Blumenauer
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 46.7% 50.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Peter DeFazio
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 43.9% 53.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Kurt Schrader

See also

Notes

Шаблон:Notelist

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Шаблон:2020 United States elections Шаблон:State results of the 2020 U.S. presidential election Шаблон:Elections in Oregon footer