Английская Википедия:2020 United States presidential election in West Virginia

Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Main Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Use American English Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in West Virginia sidebar

The 2020 United States presidential election in West Virginia was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.^[1] West Virginia voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. West Virginia had five electoral votes in the Electoral College.^[2]

Trump easily carried West Virginia on Election Day by 38.9 points, down from 42.1 points in 2016. Prior to the election, all 16 news organizations declared West Virginia a safe red state.

With 68.62% of its vote, this would prove to be Trump’s second strongest state in 2020, only behind Wyoming, and overall would be the largest share of the vote won by any presidential candidate in West Virginia.

Because West Virginia has only become a very safe Republican stronghold in recent elections, Biden is only the third Democrat ever to win the presidency without carrying the state, after Barack Obama and Woodrow Wilson.

Primary elections

The primary elections were originally scheduled for May 12, 2020. In April, they were moved to June 9 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic.^[3]

Democratic primary

Vice President Joe Biden won the Democratic primary and received all of West Virginia's 28 pledged delegates, as well as all six unpledged PLEO (party leaders and elected officials) delegates, to the 2020 Democratic National Convention.^[4] Шаблон:Excerpt

Republican primary

Incumbent President Donald Trump won the Republican primary and received all of West Virginia's 35 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.^[5] Шаблон:Excerpt

Mountain (Green) primary

West Virginia's Green Party affiliate conducted an online party-run primary, utilizing the state's original primary date of May 12, 2020, as its deadline.

West Virginia Mountain (Green) Party presidential primary^[6]
Candidate	Percentage	National delegates
Howie Hawkins	78.3%	5
David Rolde	8.7%	0
Jesse Ventura (write-in)	8.7%	0
Dario Hunter	4.3%	0
Total	100.00%	5

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[7]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 10, 2020
Inside Elections^[8]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[9]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 14, 2020
Politico^[10]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 8, 2020
RCP^[11]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	August 3, 2020
Niskanen^[12]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 26, 2020
CNN^[13]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	August 3, 2020
The Economist^[14]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 2, 2020
CBS News^[15]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	August 16, 2020
270towin^[16]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	August 2, 2020
ABC News^[17]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 31, 2020
NPR^[18]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	August 3, 2020
NBC News^[19]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	August 6, 2020
538^[20]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 9, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

Шаблон:Graph:Chart

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Joe Biden Шаблон:Nobold	Donald Trump Шаблон:Nobold	Other/ Undecided Шаблон:Efn	Margin
270 to Win	October 13–23, 2020	November 3, 2020	38.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|55.5%	6.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \|Шаблон:HsTrump +17.0
FiveThirtyEight	until November 2, 2020	November 3, 2020	33.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|62.1%	4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \|Шаблон:HsTrump +28.6
Average			36.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|58.8%	5.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \|Trump +22.8

Polls

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin Шаблон:Nowrap	Donald Trump Шаблон:Nobold	Joe Biden Шаблон:Nobold	Jo Jorgensen Шаблон:Nobold	Howie Hawkins Шаблон:Nobold	Other	Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020	816 (LV)	± 5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|67%Шаблон:Efn	32%	–	–	–	–
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Oct 1–28, 2020	1,359 (LV)	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|66%	32%	–	–	–	–
Triton Polling and Research/WMOV	Oct 19–21, 2020	544 (LV)	± 4.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|58%	38%	–	–	–	4%
Research America Inc./West Virginia Metro News	Oct 6–9, 2020	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|53%	39%	4%	1%	–	3%
Triton Polling & Research/WMOV	Sep 29–30, 2020Шаблон:Efn	525 (RV)	± 4.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|56%	38%	–	–	–	5%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Sep 1–30, 2020	516 (LV)	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|62%	36%	–	–	–	2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Aug 1–31, 2020	496 (LV)	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|65%	32%	–	–	–	2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Jul 1–31, 2020	494 (LV)	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|67%	32%	–	–	–	1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Jun 8–30, 2020	264 (LV)	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|72%	27%	–	–	–	1%
WPA Intelligence/Club for Growth Шаблон:Efn-ua	Jan 7–9, 2020	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|66%	31%	–	–	–	3%

Шаблон:Collapse top

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin Шаблон:Nowrap	Donald Trump (R)	Bernie Sanders (D)	Undecided
WPA Intelligence/Club for Growth Шаблон:Efn-ua	Jan 7–9, 2020	500 (LV)	± 4.4 %	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|66%	29%	5%
Tulchin Research	Oct 6–13, 2017	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	46%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\| 48%	6%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin Шаблон:Nowrap	Donald Trump (R)	Elizabeth Warren (D)	Undecided
Zogby Analytics	Aug 17–23, 2017	401 (LV)	± 4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\| 43%	40%	17%

Шаблон:Collapse bottom

Results

Trump won West Virginia, carrying the popular vote in each of the state's 55 counties.^[21] Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box end

By congressional district

Trump won all three congressional districts.^[22]

District	Trump	Biden	Representative
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	68%	30.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|David McKinley
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	65.4%	32.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Alex Mooney
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	73.1%	25.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Carol Miller

By county

^[23]

County	Biden%	Biden#	Trump%	Trump#	Others%	Others#	Margin%	Margin#	Total
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Barbour	21.82%	1,457	76.62%	5,116	1.56%	104	54.8%	3,659	6,677
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Berkeley	33.35%	17,186	64.58%	33,279	2.08%	1,070	31.23%	16,093	51,535
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Boone	22.65%	2,041	75.63%	6,816	1.72%	155	52.98%	4,775	9,012
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Braxton	25.72%	1,457	72.74%	4,120	1.54%	87	47.02%	2,663	5,664
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Brooke	27.66%	2,947	70.81%	7,545	1.54%	164	43.15%	4,598	10,656
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Cabell	40.13%	14,994	58.14%	21,721	1.73%	645	18.01%	6,727	37,360
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Calhoun	19.12%	568	79.57%	2,364	1.31%	39	60.45%	1,796	2,971
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Clay	19.05%	641	79.61%	2,679	1.34%	45	60.56%	2,038	3,365
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Doddridge	14.03%	435	84.46%	2,619	1.52%	47	70.43%	2,184	3,101
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Fayette	30.03%	5,063	68.68%	11,580	1.3%	219	38.65%	6,517	16,862
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Gilmer	22.5%	599	75.58%	2,012	1.92%	51	53.08%	1,413	2,662
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Grant	11.02%	607	88.42%	4,871	0.56%	31	77.4%	4,264	5,509
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Greenbrier	29.37%	4,655	68.93%	10,925	1.7%	270	39.56%	6,270	15,850
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Hampshire	19.22%	1,939	79.65%	8,033	1.13%	114	60.42%	6,094	10,086
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Hancock	27.46%	3,790	71.06%	9,806	1.48%	204	43.59%	6,016	13,800
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Hardy	21.81%	1,381	76.75%	4,859	1.44%	91	54.94%	3,478	6,331
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Harrison	30.25%	9,215	67.89%	20,683	1.86%	567	37.64%	11,468	30,465
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Jackson	23.74%	3,207	74.72%	10,093	1.54%	208	50.98%	6,886	13,508
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Jefferson	43.78%	12,127	54.26%	15,033	1.96%	543	10.49%	2,906	27,703
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Kanawha	41.76%	34,344	56.42%	46,398	1.83%	1,502	14.66%	12,054	82,244
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Lewis	20.62%	1,538	77.54%	5,782	1.84%	137	56.91%	4,244	7,457
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Lincoln	21.85%	1,711	76.78%	6,012	1.37%	107	54.93%	4,301	7,830
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Logan	17.91%	2,333	80.87%	10,534	1.22%	159	62.96%	8,201	13,026
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Marion	34.51%	8,901	63.19%	16,300	2.3%	593	28.68%	7,399	25,794
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Marshall	24.54%	3,455	74.11%	10,435	1.35%	190	49.57%	6,980	14,080
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Mason	22.55%	2,526	75.79%	8,491	1.66%	186	53.24%	5,965	11,203
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|McDowell	20.42%	1,333	78.87%	5,148	0.7%	46	58.45%	3,815	6,527
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Mercer	22.11%	5,556	76.54%	19,237	1.36%	341	54.43%	13,681	25,134
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Mineral	20.67%	2,660	78%	10,040	1.34%	172	57.33%	7,380	12,872
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Mingo	13.94%	1,397	85.25%	8,544	0.81%	81	71.31%	7,147	10,022
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Monongalia	48.21%	20,282	49.45%	20,803	2.35%	987	1.24%	521	42,072
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Monroe	20.72%	1,345	78.09%	5,068	1.19%	77	57.37%	3,723	6,490
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Morgan	22.98%	1,998	75.18%	6,537	1.84%	160	52.2%	4,539	8,695
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Nicholas	20.94%	2,226	77.88%	8,279	1.18%	125	56.94%	6,053	10,630
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ohio	36.3%	7,223	62.09%	12,354	1.61%	321	25.79%	5,131	19,898
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Pendleton	22.41%	820	76.03%	2,782	1.56%	57	53.62%	1,962	3,659
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Pleasants	20.02%	699	78.54%	2,742	1.43%	50	58.52%	2,043	3,491
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Pocahontas	26.12%	1,047	72.23%	2,895	1.65%	66	46.11%	1,848	4,008
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Preston	21.71%	3,163	76.79%	11,190	1.5%	219	55.09%	8,027	14,572
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Putnam	27.64%	7,878	70.29%	20,034	2.07%	589	42.65%	12,156	28,501
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Raleigh	24.11%	7,982	74.53%	24,673	1.36%	451	50.42%	16,691	33,106
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Randolph	27.56%	3,362	71.09%	8,673	1.35%	165	43.53%	5,311	12,200
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ritchie	13.68%	586	85.2%	3,649	1.12%	48	71.52%	3,063	4,283
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Roane	25.25%	1,455	73.1%	4,213	1.65%	95	47.86%	2,758	5,763
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Summers	25.93%	1,448	72.95%	4,074	1.13%	63	47.02%	2,626	5,585
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Taylor	24.33%	1,796	74.18%	5,477	1.49%	110	49.86%	3,681	7,383
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Tucker	24.4%	938	73.91%	2,841	1.69%	65	49.51%	1,903	3,844
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Tyler	16.09%	631	82.25%	3,226	1.66%	65	66.17%	2,595	3,922
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Upshur	22.07%	2,256	76.03%	7,771	1.9%	194	53.96%	5,515	10,221
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Wayne	24.12%	4,088	74.26%	12,585	1.62%	274	50.14%	8,497	16,947
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Webster	17.93%	610	81.1%	2,759	0.97%	33	63.17%	2,149	3,402
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Wetzel	23.08%	1,539	74.89%	4,993	2.02%	135	51.81%	3,454	6,667
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Wirt	17.57%	466	80.44%	2,134	2%	53	62.87%	1,668	2,653
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Wood	28.19%	10,926	70.18%	27,202	1.64%	634	41.99%	16,276	38,762
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Wyoming	13.47%	1,157	85.58%	7,353	0.95%	82	72.11%	6,196	8,592
Total	29.70%	235,984	68.63%	545,382	1.67%	13286	38.94%	309,398	794,652

Шаблон:Align

Analysis

Шаблон:More sources

West Virginia, which was solidly Democratic territory for much of the 20th century, has consistently voted Republican in presidential elections since 2000. Republicans started making gains in the state in the 21st century due to championing of environmentalism by Democrats such as 2000 Democratic nominee Al Gore, which challenged entrenched coal-mining interests.

West Virginia gave Trump his second-highest vote share in 2020, swapping places with Wyoming, after having been Trump's strongest state by vote share in 2016. This is best Republican performance in state history, surpassing the record set in the previous election. West Virginia was one of two states where Trump won every county, the other being Oklahoma. The closest county in the state, and the only one Trump won without a majority of the vote, was Monongalia County, home to Morgantown and the main campus of West Virginia University. Trump's margin of victory of 1.24% in Monongalia marked the closest a Democrat has come to winning any county in West Virginia since 2008. This was the third consecutive presidential election where every county within the state voted Republican, but the first since 1996 in which the Democratic vote share increased relative to the preceding election. Biden received 40% of the vote only in 4 counties - Monongalia; Kanawha County, home to state capital and largest city Charleston; Cabell County, home to Marshall University and to the state's second largest city Huntington; and Jefferson County, home to Washington, D.C., exurbs.

Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Trump's strength in West Virginia came from voters who prioritized protecting and expanding production of fossil fuels, such as coal, who comprised 58% of voters and broke for Trump by 90%.^[24] Trump's strongest region was southern West Virginia. This coal-mining, union-heavy region was once among the most heavily Democratic places in the nation; Logan County, for example, broke 72% of its ballots for Bill Clinton in 1996, 61% for Al Gore in 2000, 52% for John Kerry in 2004, and even 51% for George McGovern in his only statewide county win in 1972; but by 2008, John McCain flipped it to the Republican column with 54% of the vote, which increased to 68% for Mitt Romney in 2012 and by 2016 and 2020, it had voted 79.6% and 80.9% for Trump, respectively.

During the same election cycle, incumbent Republican Senator Shelley Moore Capito was re-elected by a margin slightly larger than Trump's, beating out Democrat Paula Jean Swearengin by 43.3 points.

Notes

Шаблон:Notelist

Partisan clients

Шаблон:Notelist-ua

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Шаблон:Citation
Шаблон:Citation
Шаблон:Cite web (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
Шаблон:Ballotpedia

Шаблон:2020 United States elections Шаблон:State results of the 2020 U.S. presidential election

[1] Шаблон:Cite news

[2] Шаблон:Cite web

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[9] Шаблон:Cite web

[10] Шаблон:Cite web

[11] Шаблон:Cite web

[niskanen-12] 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Шаблон:Webarchive, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.

[13] Шаблон:Cite web

[14] Шаблон:Cite news

[15] Шаблон:Cite web

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[21] Шаблон:Cite news

[22] Шаблон:Cite web

[23] Шаблон:Cite web

[24] Шаблон:Cite news

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