Английская Википедия:2020 Viennese state election

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Шаблон:Infobox election The 2020 Viennese state election was held on 11 October 2020 to elect the members of the Gemeinderat and Landtag of Vienna.[1] The outgoing government was a coalition of the Social Democratic Party (SPÖ) and The Greens.[2]

The SPÖ remained comfortably in first place with small gains. Conversely, the previously second-placed Freedom Party of Austria (FPÖ) suffered a catastrophic defeat, losing 80% of its votes compared to 2015 and becoming the smallest party in the legislature. The Austrian People's Party (ÖVP) moved into second place after more than doubling its vote share. The Greens recorded their best result to date, just under 15%. NEOS – The New Austria (NEOS) moved into fourth place with minor gains. Team HC Strache fell short of the 5% electoral threshold to enter the Gemeinderat and Landtag.[3]

On 27 October, Mayor and Governor Michael Ludwig announced that the SPÖ would seek a coalition with NEOS.[4] Negotiations were successful and the parties presented their coalition pact on 17 November.[5] Ludwig was re-elected as Mayor by the Gemeinderat and Landtag on 24 November, and the new government was sworn in the same day.[6]

Background

The Viennese constitution mandates that cabinet positions in the city government (city councillors, Шаблон:Lang-de) be allocated between parties proportionally in accordance with the share of votes won by each; this is known as Proporz. The number of city councillors is voted upon by the Landtag after each election, and may legally vary between nine and fifteen. City councillors are divided into two groups – "senior" councillors, who hold a cabinet portfolio, and "non-executive" councillors who do not. Non-executive councillors may vote in cabinet meetings, but do not otherwise hold any government responsibility. In practice, parties seek to form a coalition which holds a majority in both the Landtag and city government. City councillors bound to the coalition become senior councillors, while the opposition are relegated to non-executive status.

In the 2015 state election, the SPÖ and ÖVP both suffered losses, with the former recording its worst result since 1996 and the latter its worst ever. This came to the benefit of the FPÖ, which achieved its best ever result, and NEOS, which entered the Landtag for the first time. The SPÖ won seven councillors, the FPÖ four, the Greens one, and the ÖVP one. The SPÖ renewed its coalition with the Greens.[2]

In August 2017, Mayor and Governor Michael Häupl announced his impending retirement. He had served since 1994.[7] He did not seek re-election as head of the Vienna SPÖ in January 2018, and was succeeded by long-serving city councillor Michael Ludwig.[8] Häupl resigned as Mayor and Governor on 24 May 2018, and Ludwig was subsequently elected as his replacement by the Gemeinderat and Landtag. He was sworn in on 29 May.[9]

The Ibiza affair in May 2019 led to the resignation of Vice-Chancellor Heinz-Christian Strache and a general decline in support for the FPÖ nationally, which was seen in the 2019 federal election and subsequent state elections in Vorarlberg, Styria, and Burgenland. Strache resigned from all political offices in November 2019, but in early 2020 announced he would join The Alliance for Austria to run in the Viennese state election. The party subsequently adopted the name Team HC Strache – Alliance for Austria.[10]

Electoral system

The 100 seats of the Gemeinderat and Landtag of Vienna are elected via open list proportional representation in a two-step process. The seats are distributed between eighteen multi-member constituencies. For parties to receive any representation in the Landtag, they must either win at least one seat in a constituency directly, or clear a 5 percent state-wide electoral threshold. Seats are distributed in constituencies according to the modified Hare quota, with any remaining seats allocated at the state level to create a greater degree of proportionality between a party's vote share and its share of seats.[11]

After the 2015 election, a minor reform to the electoral system was passed, changing the formula for distribution of seats in constituencies. The new formula increases the number of votes required to win a seat in a constituency, resulting in fewer seats being distributed to parties through constituencies and more distributed on the state level. This reform was seen as beneficial to minor parties, which are unlikely to win more than a few seats in constituencies, and must rely on state-level distribution for most of their representation.[12]

Election statistics

A total of 1,133,010 people were eligible to vote in the state election, among them 597,027 women and 535,983 men. Only Austrian citizens aged 16 or older on election day were eligible. Thus, 30% of the Viennese population had no right to vote or stand as a candidate.[13] For the district council elections held on the same day, a total of 1,362,789 voters were eligible; this number is higher than for the state election as EU citizens aged over 16 are eligible to vote in the district coulcil elections. Among this number were 712,131 women and 650,658 men.[14]

A total of 1,494 polling stations were set up on election day. As many as 500,000 absentee/postal ballots were expected to be issued for the election. Requesting a postal ballot in person was permitted from 14 September, with the option to cast the vote early in-person right after requesting it at Vienna's various election offices.[14] On 9 October, the City of Vienna announced that a final total of 382,214 absentee/postal ballots were issued for the election, of which 360,563 were issued to Austrian citizens for the Gemeinderat and Landtag election and an additional 21,651 to EU citizens who are eligible to vote only in the district elections. This set a new record for Vienna, topping the 266,150 voting cards issued in Vienna for the 2019 Austrian legislative election.[15]

Contesting parties

The table below lists parties represented in the previous Landtag.[1]

Name Ideology Lead
candidate
2015 result
Votes (%) Seats Councillors
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| SPÖ Social Democratic Party of Austria
Шаблон:Small
Social democracy Michael Ludwig 39.6% Шаблон:Composition bar Шаблон:Composition bar
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| FPÖ Freedom Party of Austria
Шаблон:Small
Right-wing populism
Euroscepticism
Dominik Nepp 30.8% Шаблон:Composition bar Шаблон:Composition bar
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| GRÜNE The Greens – The Green Alternative
Шаблон:Small
Green politics Birgit Hebein 11.8% Шаблон:Composition bar Шаблон:Composition bar
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| ÖVP Austrian People's Party
Шаблон:Small
Christian democracy Gernot Blümel 9.2% Шаблон:Composition bar Шаблон:Composition bar
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| NEOS NEOS – The New Austria and Liberal Forum
Шаблон:Small
Liberalism
Pro-Europeanism
Christoph Wiederkehr 6.2% Шаблон:Composition bar Шаблон:Composition bar

In addition to the parties already represented in the Landtag, seven parties collected enough signatures to be placed on the ballot.[1]

Lead candidates

Party Candidate Offices held
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| SPÖ Файл:Michael Ludwig - Veranstaltung „1. Tag des Wiener Wohnbaus“ (2).JPG Michael Ludwig Mayor and Governor of Vienna (since 2018)[9]
Chairman of SPÖ Vienna (since 2018)[16]
City Councillor for Housing, Construction, and Urban Renewal (2007–2018)
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| FPÖ Файл:Dominik Nepp - Pressekonferenz am 4. Sep. 2020 (2).JPG Dominik Nepp[17] Chairman of FPÖ Vienna (since 2019)[18]
Non-executive City Councillor (since 2017)[19]
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| GRÜNE Файл:Birgit Hebein - Startschuss für „Willst Du mein Favoriten sein?“ (2).JPG Birgit Hebein[20] Deputy Mayor of Vienna (since 2019)
Chairwoman of The Greens Vienna (since 2019)
City Councillor for Urban Development, Transport, Climate, and Energy (since 2019)[21]
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| ÖVP Файл:Amtsübergabe an Finanzminister Gernot Blümel (49345784101) (cropped).jpg Gernot Blümel[22] Chairman of ÖVP Vienna (since 2015)[23]
Federal Minister of Finance (since 2020)[24]
Non-executive City Councillor (2015–2018)[19]
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| NEOS Файл:Christoph Wiederkehr - Pressekonferenz am 25. Aug. 2020 (1).JPG Christoph Wiederkehr[25] Spokesman of NEOS Vienna (since 2018)[26]
NEOS group leader in the Gemeinderat and Landtag of Vienna (since 2018)[27]
Member of the Gemeinderat and Landtag of Vienna (since 2015)
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| HC Файл:Heinz-Christian Strache - Wahlkampfauftakt am 29. Aug. 2020 (1).JPG Heinz-Christian Strache[28] Chairman of Team HC Strache – Alliance for Austria (since 2020)[29]
Vice-Chancellor of Austria (2017–2019)[30]
Chairman of the FPÖ (2005–2019)[29]
LINKS Anna Svec[31] Counsellor at law[31]
SÖZ Файл:Martha Bißmann with Flaggs (cropped).jpg Martha Bißmann[32] Member of the National Council (2017–2019)
Presidential campaign manager for Irmgard Griss (2016)[32]
BIER Файл:Turbobier (12) (cropped).jpg Marco Pogo[33] Chairman of the Austrian Beer Party (since 2015)
Frontman of Turbobier[33]

Opinion polling

Graphical summary

Шаблон:Wide image

Party polling

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SPÖ FPÖ Grüne ÖVP NEOS HC Others Lead
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"|
2020 state election 11 Oct 2020 41.6 7.1 14.8 20.4 7.5 3.3 5.3 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 21.2
Research Affairs 3–5 Oct 2020 800 42 11 13 19 7 5 3 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 23
OGM 29 Sep–1 Oct 2020 803 42 10 17 19 6 4 2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 23
Research Affairs 28–30 Sep 2020 404 42 10 13 20 7 6 2Шаблон:Efn style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 22
Market 25–29 Sep 2020 787 42 9 16 21 6 4 2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 21
Unique Research 16–25 Sep 2020 1,610 42 9 15 19 7 4 4 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 23
Research Affairs 21–24 Sep 2020 400 40 10 13 21 8 6 2Шаблон:Efn style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 19
Demox Research (ÖVP) 6–18 Sep 2020 800 43.5 11.5 14 15.5 7 5.5 3 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 28
Research Affairs 14–16 Sep 2020 400 40 11 13 20 7 6 3Шаблон:Efn style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 20
Research Affairs 8–10 Sep 2020 400 41 11 14 20 7 5 2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 21
OGM 7–9 Sep 2020 804 41 10 16 21 6 4 2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 20
Unique Research 28 Aug–4 Sep 2020 1,603 41 9 15 20 7 5 3 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 21
Research Affairs 31 Aug–2 Sep 2020 400 40 12 13 21 7 5 2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 19
Research Affairs 25–27 Aug 2020 400 39 11 14 23 7 4 2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 16
OGM 18–20 Aug 2020 805 39 11 16 21 7 4 2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 18
Research Affairs 17–20 Aug 2020 401 39 11 14 22 8 3 3 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 17
Research Affairs 3–6 Aug 2020 400 39 10 14 22 8 4 3 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 17
OGM 13–16 Jul 2020 801 38 10 17 23 7 4 1 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 15
Research Affairs 6–9 Jul 2020 412 38 9 15 23 8 5 2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 15
OGM 5 Jul 2020 ? 38 10 17 24 6 4 1 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 14
Market 15–18 Jun 2020 804 38 9 16 25 7 4 1 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 13
Hajek 5–10 Jun 2020 800 38 8 17 23 6 6 2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 15
Research Affairs 5–10 Jun 2020 500 36 8 15 24 8 6 3 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 12
Unique Research 5 Jun 2020 809 38 8 15 25 7 5 2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 13
Research Affairs 25–27 May 2020 400 33 9 16 25 8 6 3 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 8
Research Affairs 20–23 Apr 2020 400 37 9 17 23 7 5 2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 14
OGM 19 Apr 2020 791 37 8 17 24 7 5 2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 13
Unique Research 6 Mar 2020 ? 36 10 19 22 6 5 2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 14
Research Affairs 24–28 Feb 2020 400 34 11 17 20 9 7 2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 14
OGM February 2020 ? 36 10 18 21 8 5 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 15
Karmasin Research 29 Jan 2020 1,000 35 13 16 19 8 7 2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 16
Research Affairs 3–9 Jan 2020 400 32 12 17 21 10 5 3 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 11
OGM 20 Dec 2019 902 33 17 17 20 10 3 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 13
33 14 17 20 10 4Шаблон:Efn 2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 13
Unique Research 2 Nov 2019 ? 36 16 18 20 8 2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 16
Research Affairs 11–17 Jul 2019 403 34 24 12 16 8 6Шаблон:Efn style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 10
Unique Research 30 May 2019 800 37 21 14 17 8 3 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 16
DEMOX January–March 2019 492 39 24 9 16 8 4Шаблон:Efn style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 15
Research Affairs 17–23 Jan 2019 409 36 26 8 16 10 4Шаблон:Efn style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 10
Unique Research 16 Nov 2018 ? 37 25 10 17 8 3 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 12
Research Affairs 30 Aug–5 Sep 2018 415 35 28 6 18 8 5Шаблон:Efn style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 7
Research Affairs 24–30 May 2018 417 34 29 7 19 7 4Шаблон:Efn style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 5
OGM 27 May 2018 ? 34 27 6 22 6 5Шаблон:Efn style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 7
Research Affairs 17–19 Jan 2018 410 32 30 8 18 8 4Шаблон:Efn style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 2
Unique Research 16 Jan 2018 ? 34 20 8 22 9 8Шаблон:Efn style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 14
IFES 12–19 Dec 2017 800 39 22 6 19 8 6 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 17
OGM 27–30 Nov 2017 500 32 29 6 20 8 5 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 3
Research Affairs 28 Apr 2017 ? 24 40 15 10 8 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 16
Unique Research 20 Jan 2017 ? 31 37 11 10 8 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 6
Research Affairs 15 Jan 2017 ? 25 38 17 9 8 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 13
Hajek 16 Oct 2016 ? 27 40 15 7 8 3 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 13
2015 state election 11 Oct 2015 39.6 30.8 11.8 9.2 6.2 2.4 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 8.8

Better Mayor polling

Better Mayor polling
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Файл:SPÖ Wahlkampfauftakt 2013 (9621588941).jpg Файл:Michael Ludwig - Veranstaltung „1. Tag des Wiener Wohnbaus“ (2).JPG Файл:Heinz-Christian Strache - Wahlkampfauftakt am 29. Aug. 2020 (1).JPG Файл:GuentherZ 2012-05-22 0021 Wien19 U4-Heiligenstadt FPOe Johann Gudenus.jpg Файл:Dominik Nepp - Pressekonferenz am 4. Sep. 2020 (2).JPG Файл:Maria Vassilakou.jpg Файл:Birgit Hebein - Startschuss für „Willst Du mein Favoriten sein?“ (2).JPG Файл:Amtsübergabe an Finanzminister Gernot Blümel (49345784101) (cropped).jpg Файл:Beate Meinl-Reisinger 01 (cropped).jpg Файл:Christoph Wiederkehr - Pressekonferenz am 25. Aug. 2020 (1).JPG Файл:Heinz-Christian Strache - Wahlkampfauftakt am 29. Aug. 2020 (1).JPG Файл:Vienna 2013-07-31 Stadtpark 392 Peter Pilz (cropped).jpg None/
Unsure
Lead
Шаблон:Nowrap
SPÖ
Шаблон:Nowrap
SPÖ
Шаблон:Nowrap
FPÖ
Шаблон:Nowrap
FPÖ
Шаблон:Nowrap
FPÖ
Шаблон:Nowrap
Grüne
Шаблон:Nowrap
Grüne
Шаблон:Nowrap
ÖVP
Шаблон:Nowrap
NEOS
Шаблон:Nowrap
NEOS
Шаблон:Nowrap
HC
Шаблон:Nowrap
JETZT
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"|
Research Affairs 28–30 Sep 2020 404 50 7 10 19 5 6 3 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 31
Research Affairs 17 Sep 2020 ? 47 8 9 19 6 6 5 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 28
OGM 7–9 Sep 2020 804 54 9 12 15 4 6 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 39
Research Affairs 8–10 Sep 2020 400 48 8 10 19 6 5 4 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 29
Research Affairs 31 Aug–2 Sep 2020 400 47 8 9 21 6 5 4 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 26
Research Affairs 25–27 Aug 2020 400 47 8 8 22 6 5 4 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 25
Research Affairs 17–20 Aug 2020 401 47 8 8 21 7 4 5 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 26
Research Affairs 3–6 Aug 2020 400 46 7 9 20 7 6 5 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 26
OGM 13–16 Jul 2020 801 48 9 11 22 4 5 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 26
Research Affairs 6–9 Jul 2020 412 44 6 10 21 6 6 7 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 23
OGM 5 Jul 2020 ? 50 8 11 22 3 5 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 28
Market 15–18 Jun 2020 804 42 5 11 16 1 2 23 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 26
Hajek 5–10 Jun 2020 800 54 6 11 19 1 8 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 35
Research Affairs 5–10 Jun 2020 500 43 6 11 23 5 8 4 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 20
Unique Research 5 Jun 2020 809 38 4 7 14 2 5 30 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 24
Research Affairs 25–27 May 2020 400 41 7 11 24 5 8 4 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 17
Research Affairs 20–23 Apr 2020 400 43 6 12 23 5 7 4 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 20
Research Affairs 24–28 Feb 2020 400 42 8 12 21 5 8 4 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 21
Karmasin Research 29 Jan 2020 1,000 40.2 8.1 11.0 18.4 2.2 10.3 9.8 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 21.8
Research Affairs 3–9 Jan 2020 400 40 8 13 22 6 11 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 18
Research Affairs 29 Nov–5 Dec 2019 400 40 9 17 21 5 8 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 19
Research Affairs 11–17 Jul 2019 403 42 13 12 22 21 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 20
Research Affairs 17–23 Jan 2019 409 39 22 7 14 15 3 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 17
Research Affairs 24–30 May 2018 417 39 24 5 16 11 5 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 15
OGM 27 May 2018 ? 33 12 2 11 5 7 30 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 21
OGM 27–30 Nov 2017 500 29 22 1 10 3 35 style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 7

Results

Шаблон:Election results Шаблон:Bar box Шаблон:Bar box

Results by constituency

Constituency SPÖ ÖVP Grüne NEOS FPÖ HC Others Total
seats
Turnout
colspan="2" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| colspan="2" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| colspan="2" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| colspan="2" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| colspan="2" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| colspan="2" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"|
% Шаблон:Abbr % Шаблон:Abbr % Шаблон:Abbr % Шаблон:Abbr % Шаблон:Abbr % Шаблон:Abbr %
Centre 36.9 2 19.5 1 22.4 1 9.4 4.3 2.0 5.4 4 69.1
Inner West 34.4 1 18.3 1 26.0 1 10.7 3.6 1.4 5.6 3 74.3
Leopoldstadt 42.5 2 14.6 21.6 1 7.6 5.1 2.8 5.8 3 66.8
Landstraße 39.6 2 19.1 1 19.2 1 9.4 5.0 2.5 5.2 4 68.1
Favoriten 48.4 5 18.7 1 8.2 4.5 9.5 4.6 6.2 6 59.3
Simmering 46.6 3 17.2 1 6.7 4.3 14.9 4.6 5.7 4 60.3
Meidling 44.8 2 18.7 1 13.7 6.4 7.0 3.6 5.7 3 60.7
Hietzing 31.4 1 32.4 1 14.3 11.6 5.0 2.3 3.1 2 72.5
Penzing 39.2 2 23.1 1 15.6 8.2 6.5 2.8 4.5 3 67.4
Rudolfsheim-Fünfhaus 42.3 1 14.1 21.2 5.9 5.7 2.9 8.0 1 61.4
Ottakring 41.7 2 17.9 17.9 6.5 6.0 3.1 6.8 2 64.9
Hernals 36.4 1 21.0 20.0 9.0 5.4 2.4 5.9 1 68.3
Währing 30.6 1 24.8 23.0 11.7 3.6 1.8 4.5 1 74.0
Döbling 35.1 1 29.6 1 13.3 10.7 5.5 2.5 3.4 2 69.4
Brigittenau 48.2 2 15.7 14.4 5.1 7.0 3.3 6.4 2 60.1
Floridsdorf 46.2 4 20.4 2 8.0 5.2 9.7 1 4.9 5.6 7 61.2
Donaustadt 46.2 5 21.1 2 9.1 1 6.3 9.0 1 4.2 4.2 9 64.2
Liesing 41.7 2 24.2 1 10.4 7.8 8.0 3.4 4.5 3 66.9
Remaining seats 7 8 11 8 6 40
Total 41.6 46 20.4 22 14.8 16 7.5 8 7.1 8 3.3 0 5.3 100 65.3
Source: Viennese Government

Analysis

The FPÖ only won one-fifth as many votes as it had in 2015; analysis by SORA indicated that 100,000 people who gave their vote to the FPÖ in 2015 did not vote in 2020. The party lost 43,000 votes to the ÖVP, 32,000 to the SPÖ, and 17,000 to Team HC. Overall, the FPÖ gained less than 1,000 votes from other parties compared to 2015.[34]

Polling indicated that federal politics was a major factor among the majority of voters of almost all parties, including 74% of ÖVP voters, and 56–57% of Green, NEOS, and FPÖ voters. By contrast, only 36% of SPÖ voters stated that federal politics was a major factor in their choice.[35]

Analysis by SORA indicated strong voting trends in different age groups, with the SPÖ and ÖVP strongest among older voters, and the Greens and NEOS stronger among younger voters. In contrast to the overall trend, the ÖVP improved its performance only negligibly among voters under 29, winning just 7%. The FPÖ crashed from 25% to 5%, with the difference made up by gains for the Greens (27%) and minor parties (12%). The Greens also placed second among 30-44 year olds at 19% to the ÖVP's 17%, while NEOS and the FPÖ recorded their best results among this demographic at 11% and 9%, respectively.[36]

According to analysis published by the OGM Institute, 20% of voters of Turkish immigrant background voted for Social Austria of the Future (SÖZ), making it the second-most popular party among this demographic. SÖZ, a minor party representing immigrant interests, won just 1.2% of the vote overall. The SPÖ also performed better among Turkish immigrants than the overall electorate, with all other parties performing worse, particularly the ÖVP (10%) and Greens (9%). Voters of Serbian immigrant background voted moderately more strongly for the SPÖ, FPÖ, and Team HC than the general electorate.[37]

Aftermath

Greens leader Birgit Hebein stated the result was a "very clear mandate" for a renewal of the incumbent SPÖ–Green government. NEOS lead candidate Christoph Wiederkehr expressed his party's desire to join the state government, naming increased funding for education, economic relief, transparency, and a focus on the city's peripheral regions as conditions for a coalition.[38]

FPÖ lead candidate Dominik Nepp described the loss as "painful", but attributed it to residue from the Ibiza affair. He stated he would have to analyse the full result before considering whether he would resign as regional party leader.[38] Nepp and federal leader Norbert Hofer later confirmed they would each retain their positions despite the disastrous defeat.[39] Heinz-Christian Strache blamed the FPÖ for his new party's failure to enter the Gemeinderat and Landtag, accusing them of "heartlessly causing the split".[38]

Political scientist Thomas Hofer stated that an SPÖ–ÖVP government was unlikely due to potential conflict with the federal government, which makes it unfavourable for the ÖVP. He also believed the SPÖ were unlikely to cede the finance ministry to Gernot Blümel, which would be a major stumbling block. Fellow political scientist Kathrin Stainer-Hämmerle described a potential SPÖ–NEOS government as a "counter-model" to the federal ÖVP–Green government, offering the public an alternative. Concurring with commentary from the Kurier, she also believed that the result weakened the position of federal SPÖ leader Pamela Rendi-Wagner while confirming the strength of the party's popular state governors Ludwig, Hans Peter Doskozil, and Peter Kaiser. She questioned the FPÖ's choice to downplay the consequences of the result, speculating that the party may be privately considering a change in leadership on both the state and federal level.[40]

Government formation

Mayor Michael Ludwig declined to commit to negotiations with any particular party, stating he was open to negotiations with all except the FPÖ. Mathematically, the SPÖ could form a majority with any one of the other parties. Ludwig stated that social cohesion and good cooperation are the "basic premise" for any coalition, and that he wanted talks to begin quickly.[38]

Alexander Nikolai and Ernst Nevrivy, chairmen of the local SPÖ in Leopoldstadt and Donaustadt, voiced their support for a SPÖ–NEOS government. They criticised the conduct of the Greens during the previous term, claiming they had diverged from the coalition agreement, and expressed their belief that the SPÖ could cooperate well with NEOS.[41] By contrast, former mayor Michael Häupl spoke out in favour of a renewed coalition with the Greens, stating that NEOS diverged too much from the SPÖ on economic policy to work together effectively. He also stated that the ÖVP, since their "turquoise" turn, had moved too far from the SPÖ to be viable partners in government.[42]

Exploratory talks with NEOS, the Greens, and the ÖVP were held from 19 to 21 October. Ludwig stated his desire to have a coalition agreement in place by mid-November. He elaborated on his party's policy positions going into negotiations, rejecting the possibility of privatizing healthcare or withdrawing housing subsidies.[43] NEOS leader Wiederkehr and Greens leader Hebein both described their respective talks as productive, and were optimistic about prospects of entering government with the SPÖ.[44] ÖVP leader Blümel stated discussions were "constructive" but that there were "differences" between the two parties, especially in policy areas such as minimum wage, pensions, and the ÖVP's demand that knowledge of the German language be required for access to public housing. After this, commentators speculated that chances of an SPÖ–ÖVP coalition were very low, while the Greens and NEOS were both considered equally viable options.[45]

On 27 October, Ludwig announced that the SPÖ would seek coalition negotiations with NEOS. He stated that priority areas would be responding to the COVID-19 pandemic, expanding the healthcare sector, strengthening business, improving education, and combating climate change.[4] Explaining his decision, he said that while the Greens and SPÖ's policy was similar, they placed emphasis on different areas. He expressed that while he was satisfied with the accomplishments of the SPÖ–Green government, "the time seems ripe to try something new."[46] He stated that the vote in the SPÖ presidium was unanimous, while only two members of the party executive voted against.[47] NEOS leader Wiederkehr welcomed the announcement, stating his focus on improving education, job creation, and addressing the pandemic. He expressed his hope for a "reform coalition" between the two parties.[4]

Greens leader Hebein voiced her disappointment and her concerns that a government with NEOS could take conservative positions on the health system and climate change. The Viennese ÖVP stated that the decision was predictable, as a coalition with NEOS was "the most convenient route with the weakest partner". They claimed that the SPÖ had been inflexible and unwilling to compromise during exploratory talks. FPÖ leader Nepp accused the other parties of playing a game of "who can offer less", and claimed his party would be the only serious opposition force in the next legislative period.[48] The Viennese branch of the Socialist Youth spoke out against going into government with NEOS, with chairwoman Fiona Herzog describing the decision as "madness". She criticised NEOS's record on trade unions and endorsed coalition with the Greens, stating they have "always proved to be a good coalition partner." She stated that she was one of the two members of the party executive to vote against the coalition, with the other vote against coming from a representative of SPÖ's student branch.[49]

The bulk of negotiations concluded by 12 November, with the parties agreeing on various policy areas.[50] The coalition agreement was finalised and presented on 17 November.[5]

Ludwig was re-elected as Mayor by the Gemeinderat and Landtag on 24 November, receiving 60 votes. This figure accounted for the 54 seats of the new governing coalition plus six votes from the opposition. Ludwig and his new government was sworn in shortly thereafter. NEOS leader Wiederkehr, the sole city councillor for his party, became Vice Mayor and councillor for education.[6]

City councillors

The composition of the city councillors after the election are as follows:[46]

Party Councillors Status
bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color| SPÖ Шаблон:Composition bar Шаблон:Yes
bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color| ÖVP Шаблон:Composition bar Шаблон:No
bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color| GRÜNE Шаблон:Composition bar Шаблон:No
bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color| NEOS Шаблон:Composition bar Шаблон:Yes
bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color| FPÖ Шаблон:Composition bar Шаблон:No

Notes

Шаблон:Notelist

References

Шаблон:Reflist

Шаблон:Austrian local elections