Английская Википедия:2021 Bulgarian general election

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Шаблон:Use dmy dates Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Infobox election

General elections were held in Bulgaria on 14 November 2021 to elect both the President and the National Assembly.[1][2] They were the country's third parliamentary elections in 2021, with no party able to form a government after the elections in April and July.[3][4] A second round of the presidential elections were held on 21 November 2021 as no candidate was able to receive a majority of the vote in the first round.[5][6]

We Continue the Change won the most seats, although it was not a majority. Shortly after the election, they announced that coalition talks were going to be held.[7] Incumbent president Rumen Radev gathered 66.72% of the vote, defeating university professor Anastas Gerdzhikov in a runoff.[8]

Nationwide turnout in the parliamentary and first presidential round fell to 38% Bulgaria's lowest participation rate in 30 years for both presidential and legislative elections.[9] Nationwide turnout in the second presidential round experienced another drop, featuring only 33% of registered voters.[10]

The leaders of PP, BSP, ITN, and DB announced on 10 December that they had agreed to form a coalition that would end a months-long political crisis. President Radev shortly after announced that he had given the mandate to form a government to Petkov.[11] On 12 December, Kiril Petkov presented the composition of the incoming government, and it was approved on 13 December by the National Assembly.[12]

Background

Шаблон:Politics of Bulgaria Шаблон:See also The previous parliamentary election which was held in July 2021, resulted in a narrow victory for the newly established There Is Such A People (ITN) over the ruling GERB party;[13] however, ITN won only 65 out of 240 seats in the National Assembly of Bulgaria.[13] Following the elections, ITN opted to try and form a minority government and started talks with potential partners (DB, IBG-NI, and BSP) in order to secure their support. Nevertheless, these attempts proved unsuccessful, and ITN announced on 10 August that they were withdrawing their proposed cabinet, making a third election more likely.[14][15] Slavi Trifonov, the leader of ITN, said in a video statement that this meant new elections.[14][15] The mandate to form a cabinet went to GERB.[15][16]

GERB, the party of the previous prime minister Boyko Borisov, said earlier that it would not try to form a government.[17] The BSP said that if the scenario repeats itself, it would suggest that the incumbent caretaker cabinet becomes permanent. IBG-NI also expressed confidence that it could come up with a solution if handed the mandate to form a government.[15] Trifonov subsequently announced that he would not support any other parties proposing a cabinet.[18] Parliament announced on 2 September that Bulgaria would hold the first round of the presidential election on 14 November, with a snap election likely to take place in the same month.[6][5]

On 6 September 2021, BSP handed back the last mandate of forming a government, meaning the parliament would be dissolved and a third parliamentary election would officially take place in 2021.[19] President Rumen Radev declared on 11 September that there would be two-in-one elections on 14 November for the first time in Bulgarian history, where voters would be able to vote on the president and the parliament. This decision was taken "to save treasury costs and voters' time".[1]

Electoral system

The 240 members of the National Assembly are elected by open list proportional representation from 31 multi-member constituencies ranging in size from 4 to 16 seats. The electoral threshold is 4% for parties, with seats allocated according to the largest remainder method.[20][21]

The President of Bulgaria is elected using the two-round system,[22] with voters also given a none of the above option.[23]

Parties and coalitions

Parliamentary parties

Party Main ideology Leader(s) Current seats
style="background:Шаблон:Party color" | ITN Populism Slavi Trifonov Шаблон:Center
style="background:Шаблон:Party color" | GERBSDS Conservatism Boyko Borisov Шаблон:Center
style="background:Шаблон:Party color" | BSPzB Social democracy Korneliya Ninova Шаблон:Center
style="background:Шаблон:Party color" | DB Liberalism Hristo Ivanov Шаблон:Center
style="background:Шаблон:Party color" | DPS Turkish minority interests Mustafa Karadayi Шаблон:Center
style="background:Шаблон:Party color" | IBG-NI Populism Maya Manolova Шаблон:Center

Parties admitted to the elections

When only some of the leaders of a coalition are its official representatives, their names are in bold. All lines with a light grey background indicate support for a party or coalition that has been agreed upon outside of the official CEC electoral registration.

Name Main ideology Leader(s) July 2021 result
Votes
(%)
Seats
RVO Revival of the Fatherland 2 Left-wing nationalism Nikolay Malinov 0.37%
(LSChSR)
Шаблон:Composition bar
NS New Force Bulgarian nationalism Atanas Sirakov
NDLO National Movement for a Left Unification Socialism Boyan Durankev
Marian Dimitrov
Timur Glozhenski
LA Left Alternative Socialism Ivan Atanasov
rowspan="3" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| Patriotic Front rowspan="1" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| NFSB National Front for the Salvation of Bulgaria 4 Bulgarian nationalism Valeri Simeonov 3.10%
(BP)
Шаблон:Composition bar
BDSR Bulgarian Democratic Union "Radicals" Conservatism Tsvetan Manchev
BNDS Entire Bulgaria Agrarianism Georgi Valchev
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | Revival Revival 5 Ultranationalism Kostadin Kostadinov 2.97% Шаблон:Composition bar
NOD KOD Conservative Union of the Right 7 Conservatism Petar Moskov 0.28% Шаблон:Composition bar
rowspan="1" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| BZNS Bulgarian Agrarian National Union Agrarianism Nikolay Nenchev
BDF Bulgarian Democratic Forum Bulgarian nationalism Zhaklin Toleva
rowspan="1" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | RzB Republicans for Bulgaria Conservatism Tsvetan Tsvetanov 0.31%
BSDD Bulgarian Union for Direct Democracy 8 Direct democracy Georgi Nedelchev Шаблон:Composition bar
BSDE Bulgarian Social Democratic PartyEuroLeft 10 Social democracy Aleksandar Tomov Шаблон:Composition bar
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | Ataka Attack 11 Bulgarian nationalism Volen Siderov 0.45% Шаблон:Composition bar
ONB Society for a New Bulgaria 13 Bulgarian nationalism Kalin Krulev Шаблон:Composition bar
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | GN People's Voice 14 Populism Svetoslav Vitkov 0.17% Шаблон:Composition bar
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| DPS Movement for Rights and Freedoms 17 Turkish minority interests Mustafa Karadayi 10.57% Шаблон:Composition bar
Pravoto Rights, Reforms, Alternative, Opportunities,
Responsibility, Tolerance and Unity
20 Populism Maria Koleva Шаблон:Composition bar
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| VMRO–BND VMRO – Bulgarian National Movement 21 National conservatism Krasimir Karakachanov 3.10%
(BP)
Шаблон:Composition bar
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| BNO Bulgarian National Unification 22 Bulgarian nationalism Georgi Georgiev-Goti Шаблон:Composition bar
bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color| Volya Volya Movement 23 Right-wing populism Veselin Mareshki 3.10%
(BP)
Шаблон:Composition bar
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| ITN There Is Such a People 24 Populism Slavi Trifonov 23.78% Шаблон:Composition bar
rowspan="4" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| We Continue
the Change
rowspan="1" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| PP We Continue the Change 25 Anti-corruption Kiril Petkov New Шаблон:Composition bar
rowspan="1" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| Volt Volt Bulgaria European federalism Nastimir Ananiev
rowspan="1" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| SEC Middle European Class Pro-Europeanism Georgi Manev
rowspan="1" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| PDS Political Movement "Social Democrats" Social democracy Elena Noneva
MIR Morality, Initiative and Patriotism 26 Conservatism Simeon Slavchev 0.12% Шаблон:Composition bar
BOG Prosperity-Unification-Building 27 Nationalism Ivan Gaberov Шаблон:Composition bar
BNS–ND Bulgarian National Union – New Democracy 28 Anti-immigration Boris Ivanov
Bogdan Yotsov
0.17% Шаблон:Composition bar
PD Direct Democracy 29 Direct democracy Petar Klisarov 0.11% Шаблон:Composition bar
rowspan="4" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| Democratic
Bulgaria
rowspan="1" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| DB Yes, Bulgaria! 30 Liberalism Hristo Ivanov 9.31% Шаблон:Composition bar
rowspan="1" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| DSB Democrats for a Strong Bulgaria Conservative liberalism Atanas Atanasov
rowspan="1" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| ZD Green Movement Green politics Borislav Sandov
Vladislav Panev
DEN Dignity of a United People Liberalism Naiden Zelenogorski
rowspan="6" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | Stand Up.BG!
We are coming!
rowspan="1" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| D21 Movement 21 31 Social democracy Tatyana Doncheva 4.95% Шаблон:Composition bar
rowspan="1" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| DBG Bulgaria for Citizens Movement Liberal conservatism Dimitar Delchev
rowspan="1" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| ENP United People's Party Liberalism Valentina Vasileva-Filadelfevs
ZNS Agrarian People's Union Agrarianism Rumen Yonchev
rowspan="1" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| IS.BG Stand Up.BG Anti-corruption Maya Manolova
OT Poisonous Trio and Citizens Direct democracy Nikolay Hadjigenov
rowspan="3" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| GERB – SDS rowspan="1" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| GERB GERB 32 Conservatism Boyko Borisov 23.21% Шаблон:Composition bar
rowspan="1" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| SDS Union of Democratic Forces Conservatism Rumen Hristov
rowspan="1" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| DG George's Day Movement Conservatism Dragomir Stefanov
rowspan="19" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| BSP for
Bulgaria
rowspan="1" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| BSP Bulgarian Socialist Party 33 Social democracy Korneliya Ninova 14.78% Шаблон:Composition bar
NZ New Dawn Left-wing nationalism Mincho Minchev
rowspan="1" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| CPB Communist Party of Bulgaria Communism Aleksandar Paunov
Ecoglasnost Green politics Emil Georgiev
Trakiya Trakiya Political Club Bulgarian nationalism Stefan Nachev
rowspan="1" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| ABV Alternative for Bulgarian Revival Social democracy Rumen Petkov
rowspan="1" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| BL Bulgarian Left Democratic socialism Boyan Kirov
BP Bulgarian Spring Social democracy Velizar Enchev
DSH Movement for Social Humanism Progressivism Alexander Radoslavov
DNK Movement of Independent Candidates Left-wing populism Boyko Mladenov
Boyko Nikiforov
Mincho Kuminev
Ognyan Boyukliev
NS People's Force Left-wing nationalism Georgi Dimov
ND Normal State Georgi Kadiev
OKZNI All-People's Committee for the Protection of National Interests
SENKO Council of the European Scientific and Cultural Community
SO Union for the Fatherland Vasil Tochkov
FPB Federation of Consumers in Bulgaria Consumer interests Emil Georgiev
ND ZSCD For Social and Civic Development Mladen Ivanov
NSZ National Syndicate "Protection" Krasimir Mitov
OBT United Bloc of Labour Social democracy Ekaterina Atanasova
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | BPL Bulgarian Progressive Line 34 Democratic socialism Krassimir Yankov 0.37%
(LSChSR)
Шаблон:Composition bar
Greens Green Party 35 Green politics Vladimir Nikolov 0.12% Шаблон:Composition bar
Brigada Brigade 36 Arben Khavalyov 0.08% Шаблон:Composition bar

Presidential candidates

Candidates admitted to the elections

Name Running mate Parties or coalitions supporting the campaign Sources
Yolo Denev
Politician and writer
Mario Filev 1 [24]
Nikolay Malinov
Chairman of the party Russophiles for the Revival of the Fatherland
Svetlana Koseva Russophiles for the Revival of the Fatherland 2 [24]
Rosen Milenov
Former national security officer
Ivan Ivanov 3 [24]
Valeri Simeonov
Chairman of the party National Front for the Salvation of Bulgaria
Tsvetan Mancev NFSB, BNDS "Whole Bulgaria", Bulgarian Democratic Union "Radicals" 4 [24]
Kostadin Kostadinov
Chairman of the party Revival
Elena Guncheva Revival 5 [24]
Rumen Radev
Incumbent President of Bulgaria
Iliana Iotova
ITN, BSPzB, PP, IBG-NI 6 [24]
Goran Blagoev
Politician and journalist
Ivelina Georgieva Conservative Association of the Right and Republicans for Bulgaria 7 [24]
Blagoy Petrevski
Politician
Sevina Hadjiyska Bulgarian Union for Direct Democracy 8 [24]
Marina Malcheva
Politician
Savina Lukanova 9 [24]
Aleksander Tomov
Chairman of the Bulgarian Social Democratic Party
Lachezar Avramov. Bulgarian Social Democratic PartyBulgarian Euro-Left 10 [24]
Volen Siderov
Chairman of the party Attack
Magdalena Tasheva Attack 11 [24]
Boyan Rasate
Chairman of the party Bulgarian National Union – New Democracy
Elena Vatashka BNU-ND 12 [24]
Zhelyo Zhelev
Politician
Kalin Krulev Society for a New Bulgaria 13 [24]
Anastas Gerdzhikov
Rector of Sofia University
Nevyana Miteva GERBSDS 14 [24]
Svetoslav Vitkov
Chairman of the party People's Voice
Veselin Belokonski People's Voice 15 [24]
Luna Yordanova
Singer and television personality
Iglena Ilieva 16 [24]
Mustafa Karadaya
Chairman of the Movement for Rights and Freedoms
Iskra Mihaylova DPS 17 [24]
Tsveta Kirilova
Journalist and television presenter
Georgi Tatunov 18 [24]
Lozan Panov
Chairman of the Supreme Court of Cassation of Bulgaria
Maria Kasimova Justice for All Initiative and DB 19 [24]
Maria Koleva
Director and writer
Gancho Popov Law Party 20 [24]
Milen Mihov
Vice chairman of the party VMRO – Bulgarian National Movement
Mariya Tsvetkova. VMRO 21 [24]
Georgi Georgiev
Politician
Stoyan Tsvetkov BNO 22 [24]
Veselin Mareshki
Chairman of the party Volya Movement
Polina Tsankova Volya Movement 23 [24]

Campaign

The campaign started after the election was officially announced for 14 November. The pandemic remained a large issue, especially with the rise of the Delta variant in the country.[25] The anti-corruption parties (ITN, DB, and IBG-NI) were all looking to hold their ground, while the established parties (GERB, DPS, and BSP) wanted to capitalise on public frustrations with the inability to form a government. The elections were widely hoped to bring an end to the political stalemate that had lasted since the April 2021 elections, after which no government could be formed. This time, there was more pressure on the anti-establishment parties to start negotiating a coalition government after the elections.[26]

After the president announced the new caretaker cabinet,[27] the economy and finance ministers who were replaced in the reshuffle, Kiril Petkov and Asen Vasilev, announced that they would compete in the November election as part of a new coalition named We Continue the Change,[28] with the aim of becoming a new anti-corruption force that could form an effective government.

The global energy crisis was a large issue in the campaign, with natural gas prices soaring to record highs.[29] Campaigning parties offered varying solutions to address this, with some supporting more reliance on Russia for energy, while others proposed domestic nuclear power in the longer term. The campaign was also influenced by the high levels of inflation in the country, which hit record levels at 4.8% in September,[30] causing public dissatisfaction.

Another important issue was COVID-19 vaccinations. Due to a low vaccine take-up and high rises in the number of cases, the caretaker government implemented a "green pass", also known as the vaccine passport.[31] The green pass required citizens to provide proof of their vaccination status in several locations such as hospitals, schools and restaurants. The measure was met with widespread protests.[32]

On 6 October, the instructions of the Minister of Health and the Chief State Health Inspector for voting were approved, and did not differ from those for the elections on 11 July. Deputy Chairman of the Central Election Commission, Rositsa Mateva, said "there is no requirement for a green certificate for voting in the parliamentary and presidential elections on 14 November."[33]

Bulgaria's Central Election Commission accepted the registration of 23 candidates for the presidential elections, announced after the deadline for applications on 12 October. This was the largest number of candidates in a presidential election in Bulgaria since the country began direct democratic elections for its head of state; previously, the highest number was 21, which occurred in 1992 and 2016.[34]

The Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) announced in a statement that it would send an observation team to the general elections, following an invitation from the authorities of Bulgaria. It noted that the Office for Democratic Institutions and Human Rights (ODIHR) had previously observed 12 elections in the country, most recently the 11 July 2021 early parliamentary elections.[35]

Opinion polls

Legislative election

Graphical representation of recalculated data

Шаблон:Graph:Chart

The opinion poll results below were recalculated from the original data and exclude polls that chose "I will not vote" or "I am uncertain" options.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample Turnout rangeШаблон:Efn Certain undecided turnout ITN GERBSDS BSP DB DPS IBG-NI VMRO Revival PP Others None of the above Lead
class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color" | class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;;" | class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color" | class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color" |
November 2021 election 14 November 2021 9.5% 22.7% 10.2% 6.4% 13.0% 2.3% 1.1% 4.9% 25.7% 4.2% 1.4% 2.8%
Gallup Exit-Poll 9.3% 23.1% 10.4% 6.4% 11.4% 3.0% 1.1% 5.0% 26.3% 3.6% 3.2%
Alpha Research Exit-Poll 9.6% 23.2% 10.9% 6.5% 10.7% 2.6% 1.1% 4.8% 26.3% 1.8% 3.1%
Alpha Research 7−9 Nov 2021 1017 [47%-73%] 9.9% 24.1% 16% 10.2% 9.8% 3.6% 3.8% 16.5% 6.1% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |7.6%
Barometar 4−9 Nov 2021 839 Шаблон:Nowrap 13.4% 26.4% 15.8% 8.1% 11.4% 2.9% 3.7% 1.5% 11.2% 5.5% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |10.6%
Gallup 1−9 Nov 2021 1006 ~48% 11.4% 23.5% 15.2% 9.6% 11.3% 3.4% 2.1% 3.5% 15.5% 4.5% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |8%
Centre for Analysis and Marketing 4−8 Nov 2021 1016 [66.9%-86.1%] 13.5% 12.2% 23.5% 14.6% 11% 10.3% 4.2% 16.2% 8% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |7.3%
Mediana 4–8 Nov 2021 957 12.2% 25.4% 15.6% 9.7% 10.6% 4.2% 3.1% 17.3% 1.9% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |8.1%
Trend 1–7 Nov 2021 1013 45% 12.8% 22.9% 15.1% 9.1% 10.3% 3.3% 2.2% 3.6% 14.8% 5.9% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |7.8%
Market Links 2−7 Nov 2021 1112 [58%–90%] 4.5% 9.7% 23% 12.1% 10.5% 11.2% 4.1% 1.2% 3% 16.3% 1.2% 8.9% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |6.7%
Exacta 29 Oct−5 Nov 2021 1025 [65%-66%] [8%-9%] 12.5% 23.8% 15% 9.2% 9.5% 3.5% 2.5% 3% 15.5% 3.7% 1.8% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |8.3%
Sova Harris 27 Oct−2 Nov 2021 1000 Шаблон:Nowrap 13.4% 23.8% 16.7% 9.1% 9.7% 4.1% 2.1% 2.5% 15.6% 1.9% 1.1% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |7.1%
Sociology Web Researcher Шаблон:Nowrap 43,987 48% 19.3% 22.1% 16.6% 8.5% 10.3% 2.9% 2.1% 3.3% 10.1% 4.8% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |2.8%
Gallup 23−31 Oct 2021 1081 Шаблон:Nowrap ~15.6%Шаблон:Collapsible list 11.3% 24.2% 15.7% 9.8% 11.1% 3.1% 2.3% 3.3% 13.7% 5.5% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |6.1%-
8.5%
Estat 23−31 Oct 2021 993 [58%-84.2%] 15.2% 24.1% 18.1% 7.4% 9.2% 3.3% 2.3% 3.3% 14.3% 2.8% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |6%
Centre for Analysis and Marketing 22−26 Oct 2021 815 [69.1%-82.1%] 16.4% 12.3% 22.3% 15.1% 11.8% 10.3% 3.2% 1.2% 2.5% 15.8% 3% 0.3% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |6.5%
Barometar 13−18 Oct 2021 858 Шаблон:Nowrap 14.3% 26.2% 14.9% 8.8% 11.6% 2.9% 3.7% 1.5% 10.5% 5.5% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |11.3%
Gallup 10−17 Oct 2021 1009 Шаблон:Nowrap 12.2% 22.5% 15.1% 11.2% 10.8% 3.7% 2.3% 2.9% 13.4% 5.9% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |7.4%
Exacta 6−12 Oct 2021 1025 49% 12% 15.2% 23.5% 15% 10.2% 9.4% 2.6% 2.5% 1.9% 15.5% 4.2% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |8%
Sova Harris 5−12 Oct 2021 1010 [55.2%–87.1%] 14.4% 24.2% 19.1% 9% 8.7% 4.2% 1.8% 1.9% 14.6% 0.4% 1.7% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |5.1%
Centre for Analysis and Marketing 6−10 Oct 2021 812 11.7% 24.2% 15.8% 10.3% 11% 3.2% 0.7% 1.7% 12.8% 3.7% 0.7% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |8.4%
Alpha Research 4−10 Oct 2021 1123 47.6% 10.6% 10.4% 23.1% 16.8% 10.9% 9.3% 3.2% 2.1% 2.9% 15.9% 5.4% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |6.3%
Sociology Web Researcher Шаблон:Nowrap 86,376 56% 4.7% 22.9% 24.3% 14.1% 6.9% 7.1% 2.8% 1.8% 3.2% 7.8% 4.4% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |1.4%
Gallup Шаблон:Nowrap 2000 [50.6%–73.2%] 12.3% 21.4% 13.4% 12.1% 11.4% 4.1% 2.2% 3.3% 15.2% 4.6% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |6.2%
Market Links 14−20 Sep 2021 1076 [57%–90%] 5.4% 14.9% 25% 16% 13.1% 10.8% 3.6% 3.5% 11.9% 1.1% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |9%
Barometar 12−16 Sep 2021 810 Шаблон:Nowrap 15.1% 25.6% 13.2% 9.2% 11.9% 3.2% 3.8% 3% 15% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |10.5%
Trend 8–15 Sep 2021 1012 53% 17.5% 24.4% 16.6% 8.5% 9.3% 3.8% 2.2% 2.9% 9.1% 5.7% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |6.9%
Шаблон:Nowrap 8−15 Sep 2021 1017 51.7% 4.6% 18.6% 23.2% 18.1% 14.5% 10.5% 4.5% 3.8% 6.8% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |4.6%
Gallup 2−10 Sep 2021 1007 [47.1%–70.9%] 15.5% 22.5% 16.1% 15.8% 11.9% 4.8% 2.4% 3.1% 7.9% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |6.4%
Market Links 13−22 Aug 2021 1055 [52%–90%] 4.5% 17.2% 23.7% 17.2% 18.1% 12% 4.9% 4.7% 2.2% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |5.6%
Trend 23–30 Jul 2021 1006 21.6% 22.4% 14.5% 14.1% 10.2% 4.4% 1.9% 2.9% 8% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |0.8%
Market Links 21–28 Jul 2021 1059 Шаблон:Nowrap 4.1% 22.6% 19.8% 17.9% 17.2% 9.6% 5.4% 2.1%Шаблон:Efn 3.7% 1.4% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |2.8%
Шаблон:Nowrap 11 July 2021 40.4% 23.8% 23.2% 13.2% 12.5% 10.6% 5% 3.1%Шаблон:Efn 3% 4.4% 1.3% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |0.6%

Presidential election

Graphical representation of recalculated data
First round

Шаблон:Graph:Chart The opinion poll results below were recalculated from the original data and exclude polls that chose "I will not vote" or "I am uncertain" options.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample Turnout rangeШаблон:Efn Certain undecided turnout
Файл:Rumen Radev official portrait (cropped).jpg Файл:Anastas Gerdzhikov (cropped).jpg Файл:Мустафа Карадайы.jpg Файл:Костадин Костадинов снимка.jpg Файл:Valeri Simeonov 2017-11-15 (cropped).jpg Файл:Volen Siderov ATAKA.jpg Others None of the above Lead
data-sort-type="number" style="background:Шаблон:Party color" | data-sort-type="number" style="background:Шаблон:Party color" | data-sort-type="number" style="background:Шаблон:Party color" | data-sort-type="number" style="background:Шаблон:Party color" | data-sort-type="number" style="background:Шаблон:Party color" | data-sort-type="number" style="background:Шаблон:Party color" | data-sort-type="number" style="background:Шаблон:Party color" |
Radev
Шаблон:SmallШаблон:Efn
Gerdzhikov
Шаблон:SmallШаблон:Efn
Karadayi
Шаблон:Small
Panov
Шаблон:SmallШаблон:Efn
Kostadinov
Шаблон:Small
Simeonov
Шаблон:Small
Siderov
Шаблон:Small
Mihov
Шаблон:Small
Mareshki
Шаблон:Small
Yordanova
Шаблон:Small
Шаблон:Nowrap 14 November 2021 49.4% 22.8% 11.5% 3.7% 3.9% 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.8% 4.4% 2.3% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |26.6%
Alpha Research Exit-Poll 50.1% 23.8% 9.6% 3.5% 4.1% 0.4% 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 0.8% 2.2% 2.0% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |26.3%
Gallup Exit-Poll 50.0% 24.0% 9.1% 3.5% 4.1% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.9% 4.5% 2.4% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |26.0%
Alpha Research 7−9 Nov 2021 1017 [47%-73%] 46.4% 28.3% 8.8% 6.9% 3.2% 6.4% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |18.1%
Exacta 6−9 Nov 2021 1025 [47%-48%] [8%-9%] 48.0% 27.9% 9.0% 6.8% 2.4% 2.3% 3.2% 0.4% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |20.1%
Barometar 4−9 Nov 2021 839 Шаблон:Nowrap 44.6% 27.3% 11.4% 6.4% 2.1% 3.1% 5.2% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |17.3%
Gallup 1−9 Nov 2021 1006 ~48% 48.6% 25.3% 9.1% 5.2% 3.0% 1.5% 1.1% 4.1% 2.1% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |23.3%
Centre for Analysis and Marketing 4−8 Nov 2021 1016 [66.9%-80.9%] 14.6% 48.2% 22.8% 9.1% 7.3% 2.0% 1.1% 9.5% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |25.4%
Mediana 4–8 Nov 2021 957 48.3% 25.6% 10.3% 8.1% 3.2% 1.4% 3.1% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |22.7%
Trend 1–7 Nov 2021 1013 43% 46.8% 24.4% 9.9% 6.4% 3.1% 1.6% 1.0% 6.8% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |22.4%
Market Links 2−7 Nov 2021 1112 [58%–90%] 2.8% 46.7% 25.6% 10.3% 7.7% 2.6% 1.3% 0.9% 4.9% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |21.1%
Exacta 29 Oct−5 Nov 2021 1025 [66%-67%] [8%-9%] 48.0% 27.1% 7.5% 7.0% 2.2% 0.7% 1.5% 4.1% 1.9% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |20.9%
Sova Harris 27 Oct−2 Nov 2021 1000 [52.4%–85.8%] 56.2% 23.5% 7.1% 6.8% 6.4% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |32.7%
Gallup 23−31 Oct 2021 1081 Шаблон:Nowrap 47.6% 25.1% 8.5% 5.7% 3.3% 1.4% 1.1% 4.8% 2.5% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |22.5%
Estat 23−31 Oct 2021 993 [54.7%-84.5%] 49.7% 27.3% 5.4% 8.3% 3.2% 0.4% 1.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.8% 2% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |22.4%
Centre for Analysis and Marketing 22−26 Oct 2021 815 [70.6%-83.1%] 17.4% 47.5% 21.8% 8.6% 6.2% 1.7% 0.8% 4.6% 0.5% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |26.7%
Barometar 13−18 Oct 2021 858 [54%-65.5%] 44.8% 27.3% 11.2% 6.8% 1.9% 3.0% 4.9% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |17.5%
Gallup 10−17 Oct 2021 1009 56.4% 51.2% 22.5% 7.9% 6.2% 3.1% 1.6% 1.1% 3.7% 2.7% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |28.7%
Sova Harris 5−12 Oct 2021 1010 [55.2%–87.1%] 60.4% 24.8% 6.1% 5.3% 3.4% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |35.6%
Centre for Analysis and Marketing 6−10 Oct 2021 812 <50% 49.5% 22.3% 9.1% 7.5% 1.7% 0.7% 1% 4.9% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |27.3%
Alpha Research 4−10 Oct 2021 1123 52.7% 11.3% 42.6% 28.1% 8.7% 8.2% 3.9% 1.8% 1.6% 3.9% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |14.5%
Шаблон:Nowrap 6 November 2016 56.3% 25.4% 11.2% 57.8% 5.6% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |3.4%
Hypothetical second round

Шаблон:Graph:Chart

Polling Firm Fieldwork
Date
Шаблон:Nowrap Файл:Rumen Radev official portrait (cropped).jpgRadev Файл:Anastas Gerdzhikov (cropped).jpg Gerdzhikov Panov Шаблон:Nowrap
data-sort-type="number" style="background:Шаблон:Party color" | data-sort-type="number" style="background:Шаблон:Party color" |
Шаблон:Nowrap 21 November 2021 66.7% 31.8% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |34.9%
Alpha Research Exit-Poll 63.9% 33.1% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |30.8%
Gallup Exit-Poll 65.8% 31.4% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |34.4%
Mediana 4–8 Nov 2021 957 65.5% 35.5% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |30%
Exacta 29 Oct−5 Nov 2021 1025 63.5% 36.5% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |27%
Sova Harris 27 Oct−2 Nov 2021 1000 67% 33% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |34%
Estat 23–31 Oct 2021 490 62.2% 37.8% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |24.4%
Sova Harris 5–12 Oct 2021 1010 70.6% 29.4% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |41.2%
86.7% 13.3% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" |73.4%
Шаблон:Nowrap 13 November 2016 59.4% style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" | 23.2%

Results

Polling stations opened at 08:00 and closed at 20:00.[36] Kiril Petkov and Asen Vasilev were viewed as the winners of the legislative elections.[37] Their party (We Continue the Change) received more than 25% of the vote. GERB remained second with more than 22%. DPS finished third place with over 13%, overtaking BSP, who finished fourth with around 10%. There Is Such a People, the winner of the previous election, was seen as the election loser, dropping to fifth with less than 10% of the vote. Democratic Bulgaria also dropped significantly in support, losing over 50% of their voters from the previous election and receiving only around 6% of the vote. Lastly, Revival managed to enter the parliament with around 5% of the votes, running on a campaign of Bulgarian nationalism and opposition to vaccine mandates. Stand Up BG! We're coming! lost all their seats in the parliament, receiving only 2%, whilst VMRO did not succeed in entering parliament.[38]

We Continue the Change won the most votes in 14 districts of the country, including all three in the capital, Sofia. They also won in major cities such as Burgas, Varna and Plovdiv. GERB—SDS won in 12 districts, including Sofia-Oblast, Gabrovo, and Blagoevgrad. DPS was first in five districts in Kardzhali and Razgrad, as well as in Targovishte, Silistra, and Shumen. The results of the overseas vote differed from those in the country, as DPS received the most votes abroad with over 38% support. In second place abroad was We Continue the Change with over 22 percent. There Is Such a People, which was helped by the votes abroad, finished third, and GERB—SDS came fourth.[38]

Incumbent president Radev received around 49% of the vote and was forced into a runoff against university professor Gerdzhikov on 21 November.[39] Shortly after the second round of the presidential elections, President Radev was projected to win another term with nearly two-thirds of the vote, according to exit polls published by Alpha Research and Gallup International.[40] Voter turnout stood at a record-low 33.7% and 3.0% of people who went to the polls did not support either of the two candidates, according to Alpha Research polling agency.[41]

President

Шаблон:Election results

National Assembly

Шаблон:Election results

Voter Demographics

Gallup exit polling suggested the following demographic breakdown. The parties which got below 4% of the vote are included in 'Others':

Voter Demographics[42]
Social group % PP % GERB % DPS % BSP % ITN % DB % Revival % Others % Lead
class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:60px;" | class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:60px;" | class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:60px;" | class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:60px;" | class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:60px;" | class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:60px;" |
Exit Poll Result 25 24 10 14 8 7 4 8 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color;" | 1
Final Result 25 22 13 10 9 6 5 9 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color;" | 3
Gender
Men 23 24 10 13 8 7 5 10 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 1
Women 26 23 9 14 7 7 4 10 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color;" | 3
Age
18–30 28 16 11 5 13 12 5 10 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color;" | 12
30-60 26 25 9 9 9 8 5 9 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color;" | 1
60+ 21 24 10 29 3 4 3 6 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 5
Highest Level of Education
Lower Education 6 13 42 20 4 2 4 9 22
Secondary Education 21 25 10 16 9 5 4 10 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 4
Higher Education 32 24 3 11 8 10 4 8 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color;" | 8
Ethnic Group
Bulgarian 28 25 1 15 9 8 5 9 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color;" | 3
Turkish 5 10 73 3 1 1 2 5 63
Roma 6 13 38 16 4 1 4 18 22
Location
Towns and Villages 13 22 31 14 5 3 4 8 9
Smaller Cities 21 26 9 19 9 4 5 7 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 5
Larger Cities 32 22 2 13 9 7 5 10 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color;" | 10
Sofia 32 24 1 10 6 14 4 9 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color;" | 8



Voter Demographics[42]
Social group % Radev % Gerdzhikov % Karadayi % Panov % Kostadinov % Yordanova % Others % Lead
class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:60px;" | class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:60px;" | class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:60px;" |
Exit Poll Result 50 25 10 4 4 1 6 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color;" | 25
Final Result 49 23 12 4 4 1 7 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color;" | 26
Gender
Men 48 25 11 4 4 2 6 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color;" | 23
Women 50 25 8 4 4 1 8 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color;" | 25
Age
18–30 46 17 11 7 5 3 11 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color;" | 29
30-60 47 27 8 5 5 1 7 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color;" | 20
60+ 57 25 9 1 3 0 5 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color;"| 32
Highest Level of Education
Lower Education 34 12 40 1 3 2 8 6
Secondary Education 49 24 10 3 4 1 9 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color;" | 25
Higher Education 53 27 3 8 4 1 4 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color;" | 26
Ethnic Group
Bulgarian 54 27 1 5 5 1 7 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color;" | 27
Turkish 9 14 69 1 1 1 5 53
Roma 32 11 34 1 4 5 13 2
Location
Towns and Villages 40 20 31 1 3 1 4 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color;" | 9
Smaller Cities 53 25 8 2 4 1 7 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color;" | 28
Larger Cities 54 26 2 4 5 1 8 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color;" | 10
Sofia 46 30 1 10 5 1 7 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color;" | 16
By Political Party
PP 80 9 0 4 1 1 5 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color;" | 71
GERB 10 83 1 1 1 1 3 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" | 73
DPS 3 6 90 0 0 1 1 84
BSP 93 1 0 0 2 0 4 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color;" | 91
ITN 78 9 0 3 2 1 7 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color;" | 69
DB 38 14 0 36 2 1 9 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color;" | 2
Revival 21 5 0 1 66 0 7 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color;" | 45
IBGNI 86 0 0 5 0 1 8 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color;" | 81
VMRO 25 26 1 4 7 3 34 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;" | 1
Others/None 35 13 2 3 4 3 41 style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color;" | 22

By constituency

Constituency PP GERBSDS DPS BSPzB ITN DB Revival Others
style=background:Шаблон:Party color| style=background:Шаблон:Party color| style=background:Шаблон:Party color| style=background:Шаблон:Party color| style=background:Шаблон:Party color| style=background:Шаблон:Party color| style=background:Шаблон:Party color|
Blagoevgrad 19.9% 26.9% 16.7% 9.8% 10.5% 4.4% 2.9% 8.9%
Burgas 26.2% 23.1% 14.3% 9.5% 9.0% 4.8% 5.2% 7.9%
Varna 29.1% 26.6% 4.6% 8.9% 10.7% 5.8% 6.7% 7.6%
Veliko Tarnovo 25.3% 21.2% 8.7% 15.4% 10.9% 4.8% 5.5% 8.2%
Vidin 20.6% 28.0% 6.3% 15.0% 11.7% 5.7% 3.4% 9.3%
Vratsa 22.7% 27.4% 8.6% 12.0% 11.0% 3.7% 3.9% 10.7%
Gabrovo 27.4% 29.9% 4.5% 10.4% 9.6% 3.9% 6.0% 8.3%
Dobrich 25.5% 20.2% 10.8% 14.5% 10.1% 4.2% 5.2% 9.5%
Kardzhali 7.0% 10.5% 68.1% 4.4% 3.9% 1.6% 1.1% 3.4%
Kyustendil 24.7% 31.7% 1.5% 13.4% 10.5% 3.4% 4.4% 10.4%
Lovech 22.4% 27.8% 8.1% 14.1% 10.6% 3.9% 4.6% 8.5%
Montana 23.0% 20.7% 18.5% 12.5% 10.5% 3.0% 3.7% 8.1%
Pazardzhik 21.4% 26.5% 13.1% 13.1% 9.9% 3.7% 4.1% 8.2%
Pernik 24.3% 32.9% 1.6% 12.2% 10.5% 4.4% 4.6% 9.5%
Pleven 23.7% 21.6% 6.0% 16.2% 14.9% 3.5% 4.2% 9.9%
Plovdiv-city 33.2% 25.4% 1.6% 9.3% 9.9% 7.4% 6.4% 6.8%
Plovdiv-province 22.6% 26.7% 8.0% 14.9% 10.3% 3.5% 5.0% 9.0%
Razgrad 10.7% 17.6% 44.4% 6.6% 5.7% 7.2% 2.3% 5.5%
Ruse 29.5% 21.3% 8.1% 11.1% 11.9% 4.2% 5.6% 8.3%
Silistra 17.2% 24.2% 28.2% 8.9% 7.8% 2.4% 2.8% 8.5%
Sliven 25.8% 26.7% 5.7% 12.0% 10.2% 4.1% 4.9% 10.6%
Smolyan 19.9% 24.8% 21.2% 12.4% 9.1% 3.7% 2.4% 6.5%
Sofia-city 23 36.6% 21.5% 0.5% 8.6% 5.9% 15.6% 4.6% 6.7%
Sofia-city 24 33.4% 24.0% 0.5% 8.4% 6.9% 14.6% 5.1% 7.1%
Sofia-city 25 32.1% 26.1% 0.6% 9.4% 8.3% 9.7% 5.8% 8.0%
Sofia-province 23.4% 28.7% 5.7% 13.3% 10.4% 4.3% 4.2% 10.0%
Stara Zagora 27.5% 23.0% 6.7% 12.7% 11.4% 4.2% 6.2% 8.3%
Targovishte 14.2% 16.9% 37.8% 10.9% 7.7% 2.8% 2.9% 6.8%
Haskovo 25.9% 22.5% 16.8% 10.3% 9.3% 3.6% 4.5% 7.1%
Shumen 20.0% 22.8% 24.7% 9.9% 8.7% 2.7% 3.8% 7.4%
Yambol 25.7% 24.0% 1.6% 19.8% 9.9% 4.1% 5.8% 9.1%
Bulgarian nationals abroad 22.4% 7.3% 39.2% 2.3% 11.0% 7.9% 6.2% 3.7%
Source: [1]

Aftermath

Шаблон:See also Following the DB coalition's poor results in the elections, Hristo Ivanov and the entire party leadership of Yes, Bulgaria! announced their resignations on 15 November.[43] Korneliya Ninova, the leader of BSP, also resigned after her party's "catastrophic" result, winning only 26 seats and falling to fourth place.[44] However, both were reaffirmed as party leaders by early February 2022.

Following the PP victory, Petkov told reporters after initial results were released that "Bulgaria is taking a new path. If we can stop [corruption] and redistribute money for the well-being of the taxpayers, then we should be able to come to an agreement with several parties." Petkov said he was willing to work with all parties that would join the fight against corruption in Bulgaria.[45] He announced he was seeking to become prime minister and said he wanted to pursue "transparent" coalition negotiations with DB and There Is Such a People.[46] DPS and GERB rejected coalition talks with PP.[47] Analysts such as Boryana Dimitrova and Parvan Simeonov predicted that PP, ITN, DB, and BSP would form a coalition.[48]

Shortly after exit polls projected that President Radev had won another term with nearly two-thirds of the vote, he commented in a statement that "an unprecedented political month of two types of elections ended, which clearly showed the will of the people to change and to break with corruption, robbery and lawlessness, to remove the mafia from power."[49] PP co-leaders Kiril Petkov and Assen Vassilev congratulated Radev on his re-election victory: "We are ready to work with this president," Petkov said at a briefing after the end of election day. Vassilev commented that: "Next week we are beginning work on developing a clear and precise plan on how to make Bulgaria a much better place to live in the coming 4 years".[50]

A series of talks on 18 policy areas were held between 23 November and 27 November, between the representatives of PP, BSP, ITN, and DB.[51]

The leaders of four Bulgarian parties on 10 December said they had agreed to form a coalition that would end a months-long political crisis, making it the first regular government since April. The agreement followed lengthy talks between PP, DB, ITN and BSP. Kiril Petkov announced, "we are moving towards proposing a stable government, which we hope will continue for the next four years."[52] Shortly later, President Radev announced that he had given the mandate to form a government to Petkov.[11] On 12 December, Petkov presented the composition of the incoming government, and it was approved by the National Assembly on 13 December 2021.[12]

See also

Notes

Шаблон:Notelist

References

Шаблон:Reflist

Шаблон:Bulgarian elections

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