Английская Википедия:2021 Louisiana's 2nd congressional district special election

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Louisiana The 2021 Louisiana's 2nd congressional district special election was held on March 20, 2021, with a runoff being held on April 24, 2021.

On November 17, 2020, incumbent Democratic representative Cedric Richmond announced that he would resign from the United States House of Representatives to serve as the director of the Office of Public Liaison and as a Senior Advisor to Joe Biden. He did so on January 15, 2021, and took his new job when Biden assumed office on January 20, 2021.[1][2][3] When congressional seats in Louisiana become vacant, the governor has the ability to call a special election at any time. The special election to fill Louisiana's 2nd congressional district took place on March 20, and a runoff was held on April 24.[4][5][6][7] Troy Carter won the runoff election on April 24, 2021 against fellow Democrat Karen Peterson.[8]

Primary candidates

Democratic Party

Of the Democratic candidates, Troy Carter, a state senator, Karen Carter Peterson, a state senator and former chair of the Louisiana Democratic Party, and Gary Chambers, an activist, were considered the frontrunners.[9] Of these candidates, Carter was considered to be moderate, while Peterson and Chambers were considered to be progressives.[9] In the jungle primary, Carter and Peterson took first and second place with 36% and 23% of the vote, while Chambers took third place with 21%.[10] Chambers' result was considered an overperformance, as he significantly outdid his polling numbers.[10] On March 29, Chambers endorsed Peterson.[11]

Declared

Republican Party

Declared

  • Chelsea Ardoin, HR professional[16]
  • Claston Bernard, decathlete[16]
  • Greg Lirette, information technology professional[19]
  • Sheldon C. Vincent Sr., retired postal worker[16]

Libertarian Party

Declared

  • Mindy McConnell, principal[20]

No party affiliation

Declared

  • Belden "Noonie Man" Batiste, activist and perennial candidate[16]
  • Brandon Jolicoeur, actor[16]

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Jungle primary

Polling

Graphical summary

Шаблон:Graph:Chart

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
Troy
Carter
(D)
Karen
Carter
Peterson
(D)
Gary
Chambers
Jr.
(D)
Desiree
Ontiveros
(D)
Other Undecided
Edgewater Research/My People Vote March 2–7, 2021 651 (LV) ± 3.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|35% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|24% 11% 16% 15%
LexthomResearch and Development, LLC February 26 – March 3, 2021 1,067 (LV) ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|23% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|17% 13% 4% 3%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|40%
Trust the People PAC (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua February 21–22, 2021 620 (LV) ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|24% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|23% 6% 2% 16%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|29%
Silas Lee & Associates (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua February 12–14, 2021 450 (LV) ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|28% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|19% 6% 2% 8%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|38%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
Troy
Carter
(D)
Cleo
Fields
(D)
Mitch
Landrieu
(D)
Helena
Moreno
(D)
Karen
Carter
Peterson
(D)
Other Undecided
ALG Research (D)Шаблон:Dead link November 2–5, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 15% 14% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 25% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 18% 4% 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided| 22%
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 22% 17% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 24% 7% 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided| 22%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[21] Шаблон:USRaceRating March 19, 2021
Inside Elections[22] Шаблон:USRaceRating March 19, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] Шаблон:USRaceRating March 18, 2021

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

By parish

Parish Troy Carter
Democratic
Karen Carter Peterson
Democratic
Gary Chambers Jr.
Democratic
Claston Bernard
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
Margin Total votes
# % # % # % # % # % # %
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Ascension Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 776 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 33.9 653 28.5 307 13.4 392 17.1 162 7.1 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 123 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 5.4% 2,290
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Assumption Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 373 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44.9 152 18.3 59 7.1 149 17.9 98 11.8 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 221 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 26.6% 831
East Baton Rouge 2,273 26.2 3,045 35.1 2,832 32.6 164 1.9 365 4.2 213 2.5% 8,679
West Baton Rouge 289 20.4 334 23.6 296 20.9 318 22.5 177 12.5 16 1.1% 1,414
Iberville 622 23.9 504 19.3 640 24.6 583 22.4 258 9.9 18 0.7% 2,607
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Jefferson Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 7,702 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 39.5 3,283 16.8 1,989 10.2 2,902 14.9 3,647 18.7 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 4,419 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 22.6% 19,523
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Orleans Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 18,366 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 38.6 12,055 25.3 12,897 27.1 1,798 3.8 2,514 5.3 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 5,469 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 11.5% 47,630
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | St. Charles 1,037 23.2 476 10.6 334 7.5 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 1,495 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 33.4 1,133 25.3 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 458 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 10.2% 4,475
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | St. James Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 1,238 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 35.0 553 15.6 317 9.0 990 28.0 437 12.4 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 248 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 7.0% 3,535
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | St. John the Baptist Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 1,726 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48.2 618 17.3 492 13.7 446 12.5 301 8.4 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 1,108 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 30.9% 3,583
Total 34,402 36.38 21,673 22.92 20,163 21.32 9,237 9.77 9,092 9.61 12,729 13.46% 94,567

Runoff

A runoff was held on April 24 between Troy Carter and Karen Carter Peterson. In the April 24th runoff, Carter beat Peterson 48,513, 55.2%, to 39,297, 44.8%, with 87,810 votes reported from 100% of precincts.[24]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[21] Шаблон:USRaceRating March 19, 2021
Inside Elections[25] Шаблон:USRaceRating April 23, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] Шаблон:USRaceRating April 15, 2021

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link without swing Шаблон:Election box end

By parish

Parish Troy Carter
Democratic
Karen Carter Peterson
Democratic
Margin Total votes
# % # % # %
Ascension 1,113 47.5 1,228 52.5 115 5.0% 2,341
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Assumption Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |441 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |62.6 263 37.4 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |178 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |25.2% 704
East Baton Rouge 3,032 35.4 5,542 64.6 2,510 29.2% 8,574
West Baton Rouge 617 48.6 652 51.4 35 2.8% 1,269
Iberville 1,173 48.0 1,272 52.0 99 4.0% 2,445
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Jefferson Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |11,195 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |67.0 5,524 33.0 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |5,671 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |34.0% 16,719
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Orleans Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |24,160 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |53.0 21,467 47.0 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |2,693 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |6.0% 45,627
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | St. Charles Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |2,346 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |70.3 989 29.7 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |1,357 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |40.6% 3,335
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | St. James Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |2,356 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |66.2 1,202 33.8 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |1,357 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |32.4% 3,558
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | St. John the Baptist Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |2,078 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |64.3 1,156 35.7 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |922 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |28.6% 3,234
Totals 48,513 55.25 39,297 44.75 9,216 10.50% 87,810

Notes

Additional candidates and polling key

Шаблон:Notelist

Partisan clients

Шаблон:Notelist-ua

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites

Шаблон:2021 United States elections