Английская Википедия:2021 Scottish Parliament election
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use dmy dates Шаблон:Use British English Шаблон:Infobox election The 2021 Scottish Parliament election took place on 6 May 2021,[1] under the provisions of the Scotland Act 1998. All 129 Members of the Scottish Parliament were elected in the sixth election since the parliament was re-established in 1999. The election was held alongside the Senedd election, English local elections, London Assembly and mayoral election and the Hartlepool by-election.
The election campaign started on 25 March 2021 during the COVID-19 pandemic in Scotland, although Parliament would not be officially dissolved until 5 May, the day before the election.[2] The main parties that ran for election are the Scottish National Party (SNP), led by First Minister Nicola Sturgeon, the Scottish Conservatives led by Douglas Ross, Scottish Labour led by Anas Sarwar, the Scottish Liberal Democrats led by Willie Rennie, and the Scottish Greens, led by their co-leaders Patrick Harvie and Lorna Slater. Of those five parties, three changed their leader since the 2016 election.
Newer parties set up since the last election included Reform UK Scotland, led by Michelle Ballantyne; the Alba Party, led by former First Minister and SNP leader Alex Salmond; and All for Unity, led by George Galloway. These parties only competed for seats on the regional lists and all failed to win any seats.
The election concluded with the SNP winning a fourth consecutive term in government, winning 64 seats and an increase of one. The SNP gained Edinburgh Central, Ayr, and East Lothian as well as winning the largest share of the popular vote and the largest number of constituency seats in any Scottish Parliament election (62).[3] The Greens won 8 seats, their best result to date at a Scottish Parliament election, while the Conservatives retained second place with 31 seats. Labour had its worst-ever result with 22 seats, and the lowest share of the vote in both Constituency & List votes for either Westminster or Holyrood since 1910. The Lib Dems won four seats, their worst showing at a Holyrood election to date.[4]
The SNP and the Greens, both of which support Scottish independence, won 72 of the 129 seats in the parliament. Unionist parties achieved a slight majority of votes in constituency contests, whilst pro-independence parties did the same in the regional list votes.[5] Voter turnout in the election reached 63.5%, the highest ever at a Scottish Parliament election. Following the election, the third Sturgeon government was formed, initially consisting of just the SNP but later including the appointment of Slater and Harvie as junior ministers, after the two parties negotiated a power-sharing agreement.[6]
Background
Electoral events
2016 Scottish Parliament election
At the 2016 election, the ruling Scottish National Party (SNP) lost its parliamentary majority but was able to continue governing under Nicola Sturgeon as a minority administration.[7] At the same election, the Conservatives overtook Labour into second place, whilst the Greens overtook the Liberal Democrats into fourth place.[7] No representatives of minor parties were elected to the Parliament.[7]
2017 local elections
The 2017 local elections saw the SNP hold its first-preference vote share compared to 2012 at 32%, finishing as the largest party in half of councils (sixteen).[8]
The Conservatives considerably increased their vote share to 25%, an increase of 12%, as they became the largest party outright in six council areas and joint largest in one other.[8] Labour fell 11% to 20% and became the largest party outright in only three councils, compared to fifteen in 2012.[8]
Independent candidates won 10% of the vote, down 1%, as the Lib Dems were marginally up, winning 7% of votes. The Greens increased their share by 2%, to earn 4% of votes.[8] For the first time since the electoral system was changed to the single transferable vote in 2007, no mainland council had a majority government.[8]
2017 United Kingdom general election
A month later, at the 2017 UK general election, the SNP lost twenty-one of its MPs, winning thirty-five seats on 37% of the vote (down thirteen percentage points). Most notably, former First Minister Alex Salmond and Angus Robertson, the party's Westminster leader, lost their seats.[9]
The Conservatives won their highest vote share in any election in Scotland since 1979, at 29%, and their highest number of MPs since 1983, winning thirteen.[9] They surpassed Labour on both counts, Labour earning 28% and seven seats – both an improvement over its 2015 showing. The Lib Dems won four seats, up three, but lost nearly 1% of their national vote share. None of the smaller parties managed more than 0.2% of the vote. UKIP and the Greens heavily reduced the number of candidates compared to 2015, with UKIP down from forty-one to ten and the Greens from thirty-one to three.[9]
2019 European Parliament election
The 2019 European election was dominated by the impending Brexit-deadline and was won in Scotland by the SNP. The party won three of the six seats, up one from 2014, in the European Parliament and increased its vote share from 29% to 38%; they were the largest party in all local authority areas, with the exception of Orkney and Shetland.[10]
The Brexit Party, led by former-UKIP leader Nigel Farage, finished second on 15% – 4% higher than UKIP achieved in 2014. The pro-remain Liberal Democrats won 14% of the vote and were the largest party in the two Northern Isle councils.[10]
Both the Conservatives and Labour performed badly across Britain, and finished fourth and fifth in Scotland respectively. The Tories fared relatively better in Scotland than elsewhere in the UK, achieving 12% (down 6% on 2014) in Scotland compared to 9% elsewhere. Labour lost 17% of the vote, finishing on 9%, and had its worst showing in Scotland since 1910; the Greens held level at 8%.[10]
The Brexit Party, Lib Dems and Conservatives each won a single seat, in addition to the SNP's three. Labour (two) and UKIP (one) lost the seats they won in 2014.[10]
2019 United Kingdom general election
The SNP increased its vote share to 45% at the 2019 general election, 5% behind its 2015 performance, reclaiming thirteen of the seats they lost in 2017, constituting a landslide victory.[11]
The Conservatives lost half the seats they gained in 2017, but retained a quarter of the vote – down 4%. The party won a majority of seats in the House of Commons across the UK, its biggest majority since 1987. Labour recorded its worst general election result in Scotland since 1910, being again reduced to a single Scottish seat, and achieved a 19% share of the vote. Across Britain, the party suffered its worst result since 1935, with many former safe Labour seats being gained by the Conservatives.[11][12]
The Liberal Democrats made no net losses, but Jo Swinson, the party's UK leader, lost her seat to the SNP. The party increased its share by 3%, to record just under one in ten votes.[13] The Greens managed 1% of the vote, as they stood in twenty-two seats.[11]
Leadership changes
Three parties underwent leadership changes during the parliamentary term. In August 2017, Kezia Dugdale resigned as Leader of Scottish Labour and was replaced by Richard Leonard.[14] On 14 January 2021, less than four months before the election was held, Leonard resigned.[15] The 2021 Scottish Labour leadership election was held in February 2021, and was won by Anas Sarwar.[16]
On 1 August 2019, Lorna Slater became co-leader of the Scottish Greens alongside Patrick Harvie.[17]
Later in August 2019, Ruth Davidson resigned as leader of the Scottish Conservatives and was succeeded by Jackson Carlaw.[18] Carlaw, however, himself resigned from the leadership in July 2020,[19] and Douglas Ross won the subsequent leadership election without opposition.[20]
Expansion of the electorate
This is the first election after the passage of the Scottish Elections (Franchise and Representation) Act, which extended the franchise to those serving prison sentences of 12 months or less.[21][22] In 2005, the United Kingdom was found in breach of Protocol 1, Article 3 of the European Convention on Human Rights in regards of prisoner voting rights in the European Court of Human Rights as a result of Hirst v United Kingdom (No 2); the Act brings Scotland in line with the court ruling.[23]
This act also allows all foreign nationals resident in Scotland to vote and all those with indefinite leave to remain or equivalent status, including pre–settled status in the United Kingdom, to stand as candidates.[24][21][25] A BBC News report in April 2021 said that there were around 55,000 foreign nationals who had been given the right to vote as a result of these changes, including 20,000 refugees.[25]
Registering to vote
In order to vote by post, a person must have registered for a postal vote by 6 April 2021.[26] Everyone seeking to vote in person on the day of the election must have registered to vote before the deadline at 11:59pm on 19 April 2021.[27]
Date
Under the Scotland Act 1998, an ordinary general election to the Scottish Parliament would normally have been held on the first Thursday in May four years after the 2016 election, i.e. in May 2020.[28] This would have clashed with the proposed date of a UK general election, although this became a moot point when a snap UK general election was held in June 2017 (a further UK general election was held in December 2019).[29] In November 2015, the Scottish Government published a Scottish Elections (Dates) Bill, which proposed to extend the term of the Parliament to five years.[29] That Bill was passed by the Scottish Parliament on 25 February 2016 and received Royal Assent on 30 March 2016, setting the new date for the election as 6 May 2021.[1]
The Scottish Elections (Dates) Act did not affect the legal possibilities for the Parliament to be dissolved earlier, those being;
- That the date of the poll may be varied by up to one month either way by the monarch, on the proposal of the Presiding Officer.[28]
- If Parliament itself resolves that it should be dissolved, with at least two-thirds of the Members (i.e. 86 Members) voting in favour, the Presiding Officer proposes a date for an extraordinary general election and the Parliament is dissolved by the monarch by royal proclamation.[30]
- If Parliament fails to nominate one of its members to be First Minister within 28 days, irrespective of whether at the beginning or in the middle of a parliamentary term.[30] Therefore, if the First Minister resigned, Parliament would then have 28 days to elect a successor and if no new First Minister was elected then the Presiding Officer would ask for Parliament to be dissolved. This process could also be triggered if the First Minister lost a vote of confidence by a simple majority, as they must then resign.
Nevertheless, no extraordinary general elections have been held to date. Any extraordinary general election would be in addition to the ordinary general elections, unless held less than six months before the due date of an ordinary general election, in which case it would supplant it.[30] This would not affect the year in which the subsequent ordinary general election would be held.[30]
On 16 November 2020, the Scottish General Election (Coronavirus) Bill was introduced.[31] This draft legislation stated that while the next election was intended to be held on 6 May 2021, the Presiding Officer would gain the power to postpone the election by up to six months if the spread of COVID-19 made that date impractical.[31] The bill also proposed to change the date of dissolution to the day before the election, meaning that the Parliament could be recalled during the election period.[31] The bill was enacted and received Royal Assent on 29 January 2021.[32] Parliament was in fact recalled on 12 April, to allow MSPs to mark the death of Prince Philip, Duke of Edinburgh.[33]
Retiring MSPs
James Dornan announced in February 2020 his intention to retire at the next Holyrood election,[66] but reversed this decision some months later.[67]
Parties
The SNP, Conservatives, Labour and Liberal Democrats fielded candidates in all 73 constituencies and all eight of the regional ballots.[68] Five other parties contested both all eight regions and at least one constituency: the Scottish Greens (12 constituencies) the Scottish Libertarian Party (9), the Scottish Family Party (7), UKIP (5) and the Freedom Alliance (4). Four parties – Abolish the Scottish Parliament Party, Alba Party, All for Unity, and Reform UK – stood in all eight electoral regions, but did not contest any constituencies.
Six other parties contested some of the regions and at least one constituency: TUSC (3 regions and 3 constituencies), Restore Scotland (2 regions, 4 constituencies), Scotia Future (2 of each), the Communist Party of Britain (2 regions and 1 constituency), the Reclaim Party (1 of each) and the Vanguard Party (also 1 of each). Five other parties – Independent Green Voice (5 regions), Renew (5), the Social Democratic Party (2), Women's Equality (2) and Animal Welfare (1) – contested some of the regions, but not any constituencies.
The Scottish Socialist Party, which participated in the last election as part of the electoral alliance RISE – Scotland's Left Alliance, opted not to participate in this election, for the first time since its inception.
List of parties contesting all regional ballots
Election system, seats and regions
The total number of Members of the Scottish Parliament (MSPs) elected to the Parliament is 129.
The Scottish Parliament uses an additional member system (AMS), designed to produce approximate proportional representation for each region. There are 8 regions, each sub-divided into smaller constituencies. There is a total of 73 constituencies. Each constituency elects one MSP by the plurality (first past the post) system of election. Each region elects 7 additional MSPs using an additional member system. A modified D'Hondt method, using the constituency results, is used to elect these additional MSPs.[70][71]
The boundaries of the 73 constituencies last changed as of the 2011 Scottish Parliament election, as did the configuration of the electoral regions used to elect "list" members of the Scottish Parliament.[72] These revisions were the outcome of the First Periodical Review of the Scottish Parliament's constituencies and regions conducted by the Boundary Commission for Scotland; the Review was announced on 3 July 2007 and the Commission published its final report on 26 May 2010.
The Scottish Parliament constituencies have not been coterminous with Scottish Westminster constituencies since the 2005 general election, when the 72 former UK Parliament constituencies were replaced with a new set of 59, generally larger, constituencies (see Scottish Parliament (Constituencies) Act 2004). The size difference between Westminster and Holyrood boundaries was due to diverge further upon the implementation of the Sixth Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies, which has not been voted upon by Parliament. The 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies for a UK total of 650 MPs commenced in England in 2021 and will complete for the UK by 2023.
Campaign
The election campaign started on 25 March 2021.[2] The Scottish Conservatives launched their campaign the same day, with a focus on promoting Scotland's recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic.[73]
On 26 March 2021, the Alba Party was publicly launched by former First Minister of Scotland and SNP leader, Alex Salmond.[74][75][76][77] The party announced plans to stand list-only candidates. Two sitting SNP MPs later defected to the Alba party.[78] The Action for Independence party, which had intended to pursue a similar list-only strategy, announced they would stand down their candidates in favour of Alba.[79] Sturgeon said she would refuse to have any dealings with Salmond unless he apologises to the women who had accused him of harassment.[80]
BBC Scotland announced that it would broadcast two debates between the main parties' leaders; the first was aired on 30 March 2021 and was moderated by the corporation's Scotland editor Sarah Smith.[81] The debate included key questions from the audience on the COVID-19 recovery, climate change, and a second referendum on Scottish independence. The second BBC debate was held on 4 May 2021 and was moderated by BBC Scotland's political editor Glenn Campbell.[82]
Commercial broadcaster STV held their leaders' debate on 13 April, moderated by their political editor Colin Mackay.[83][84][85] NUS Scotland held a debate on specifically on student issues which was moderated by NUS Scotland president, Matt Crilly on 20 April which featured the three main party leaders.[86]
On 1 April, Planet Radio announced that their Clyde 2 station would be hosting a Leaders Phone-In with the main parties' leaders every Sunday before the election. Douglas Ross was the first to be interviewed on 4 April,[87] with Willie Rennie following on 18 April. Whilst Nicola Sturgeon was set to be interviewed on 11 April, campaigning was delayed following the death of Prince Philip and her phone-in was instead held on 22 April. Patrick Harvie followed on 25 April; and Anas Sarwar had the final phone-in on 2 May.[88]
Following Prince Philip's death on 9 April, the SNP, Conservatives, Labour, Greens and Liberal Democrats said they would suspend election campaigning until further notice.[89][90][91] After discussion between the parties, they agreed to resume campaigning after a special parliamentary session on 12 April to make tributes and to pause activities again on the day of the funeral (17 April).[33][92]
Election debates
Opinion polling
Шаблон:Main Graph of opinion poll results prior to the 2021 Scottish Parliament election. Trendlines are 30-day moving averages. Шаблон:Switcher
- Key
Шаблон:Color box SNP – Scottish National Party
Шаблон:Color box Conservative – Scottish Conservatives
Шаблон:Color box Labour – Scottish Labour
Шаблон:Color box Lib Dem – Scottish Liberal Democrats
Шаблон:Color box Green – Scottish Greens
Шаблон:Color box UKIP – UK Independence Party
Шаблон:Color box Reform – Reform UK
Шаблон:Color box SSP – Scottish Socialist Party
Шаблон:Color box Alba – Alba Party
Шаблон:Color box AFU – All for Unity
Target seats
Below are listed all the constituencies which required a swing of less than 5% from the 2016 result to change hands. The most marginal opportunity for the Greens was in Glasgow Kelvin, which they needed a 7.1% swing to gain. The Liberal Democrats' best bet was Caithness, Sutherland and Ross, which required a 6.1% swing. The SNP ended up holding both of these constituencies.
Шаблон:Col-begin Шаблон:Col-2 Шаблон:Col-end
SNP targets
Conservative targets
| Rank | Constituency | Winning party in 2016 |
Swing to gain % |
Cons' place in 2016 |
Result | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Perthshire South and Kinross-shire | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 1.97 | 2nd | style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Шаблон:Nowrap | |
| 2 | Edinburgh Pentlands | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 3.68 | style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | |||
| 3 | Angus North and Mearns | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 4.21 | style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | |||
| 4 | Шаблон:Nowrap | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 4.26 | style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | |||
| 5 | Moray | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 4.30 | style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | |||
| 6 | Edinburgh Southern | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 4.74 | 3rd | style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Шаблон:Nowrap | |
| 7 | Perthshire North | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 4.90 | 2nd | style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | SNP hold | |
Labour targets
| Rank | Constituency | Winning party in 2016 |
Swing to gain % |
Labour's place in 2016 |
Result | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eastwood | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 2.56 | 3rd | style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Шаблон:Nowrap | |
| 2 | Edinburgh Central | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 4.19 | 3rd | style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Шаблон:Nowrap | |
Results
Overall
Votes summary
| style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:black; width:49.6%;" | 64 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:6.2%;" | 8 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:24%;" | 31 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:17%;" | 22 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:3%;" | 4 |
| Шаблон:Colour | Шаблон:Colour | Шаблон:Colour | Шаблон:Colour | Шаблон:Colour |
Central Scotland
| 2021 Scottish Parliament election: Central Scotland constituencies | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Constituency | Elected member | Result | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Airdrie and Shotts | Neil Gray | SNP hold |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Coatbridge and Chryston | Fulton MacGregor | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Cumbernauld and Kilsyth | Jamie Hepburn | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | East Kilbride | Collette Stevenson | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Falkirk East | Michelle Thomson | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Falkirk West | Michael Matheson | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse | Christina McKelvie | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Motherwell and Wishaw | Clare Adamson | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Uddingston and Bellshill | Stephanie Callaghan | |
Шаблон:Election table |- ! colspan="2" style="width: 150px"|Party ! Elected candidates ! style="width: 40px"|Seats ! style="width: 40px"|+/− ! style="width: 50px"|Votes ! style="width: 40px"|% ! style="width: 40px"|+/−% |- Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box end
Glasgow
| 2021 Scottish Parliament election: Glasgow constituencies | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Constituency | Elected member | Result | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Glasgow Anniesland | Bill Kidd | SNP hold |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Glasgow Cathcart | James Dornan | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Glasgow Kelvin | Kaukab Stewart | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Glasgow Maryhill and Springburn | Bob Doris | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Glasgow Pollok | Humza Yousaf | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Glasgow Provan | Ivan McKee | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Glasgow Shettleston | John Mason | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Glasgow Southside | Nicola Sturgeon | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Rutherglen | Clare Haughey | |
Шаблон:Election table |- ! colspan="2" style="width: 150px"|Party ! Elected candidates ! style="width: 40px"|Seats ! style="width: 40px"|+/− ! style="width: 50px"|Votes ! style="width: 40px"|% ! style="width: 40px"|+/−% |- Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box end
Highlands and Islands
| 2021 Scottish Parliament election: Highlands and Islands constituencies | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Constituency | Elected member | Result | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Argyll and Bute | Jenni Minto | SNP hold |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Caithness, Sutherland and Ross | Maree Todd | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Inverness and Nairn | Fergus Ewing | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Moray | Richard Lochhead | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Na h-Eileanan an Iar | Alasdair Allan | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Orkney | Liam McArthur | Liberal Democrat hold |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Shetland | Beatrice Wishart | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Skye, Lochaber and Badenoch | Kate Forbes | SNP hold |
Шаблон:Election table |- ! colspan="2" style="width: 150px"|Party ! Elected candidates ! style="width: 40px"|Seats ! style="width: 40px"|+/− ! style="width: 50px"|Votes ! style="width: 40px"|% ! style="width: 40px"|+/−% |- Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box end
Lothian
| 2021 Scottish Parliament election: Lothian constituencies | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Constituency | Elected member | Result | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Almond Valley | Angela Constance | SNP hold |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Edinburgh Central | Angus Robertson | SNP gain from Conservative |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Edinburgh Eastern | Ash Denham | SNP hold |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Edinburgh Northern and Leith | Ben Macpherson | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Edinburgh Pentlands | Gordon MacDonald | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Edinburgh Southern | Daniel Johnson | Labour hold |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Edinburgh Western | Alex Cole-Hamilton | Liberal Democrat hold |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Linlithgow | Fiona Hyslop | SNP hold |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Midlothian North and Musselburgh | Colin Beattie | |
Шаблон:Election table |- ! colspan="2" style="width: 150px"|Party ! Elected candidates ! style="width: 40px"|Seats ! style="width: 40px"|+/− ! style="width: 50px"|Votes ! style="width: 40px"|% ! style="width: 40px"|+/−% |- Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box end
Mid Scotland and Fife
| 2021 Scottish Parliament election: Mid Scotland and Fife constituencies | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Constituency | Elected member | Result | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Clackmannanshire and Dunblane | Keith Brown | SNP hold |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Cowdenbeath | Annabelle Ewing | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Dunfermline | Shirley-Anne Somerville | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Kirkcaldy | David Torrance | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Mid Fife and Glenrothes | Jenny Gilruth | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | North East Fife | Willie Rennie | Liberal Democrat hold |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Perthshire North | John Swinney | SNP hold |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Perthshire South and Kinross-shire | Jim Fairlie | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Stirling | Evelyn Tweed | |
Шаблон:Election table |- ! colspan="2" style="width: 150px"|Party ! Elected candidates ! style="width: 40px"|Seats ! style="width: 40px"|+/− ! style="width: 50px"|Votes ! style="width: 40px"|% ! style="width: 40px"|+/−% |- Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box end
North East Scotland
| 2021 Scottish Parliament election: North East Scotland constituencies | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Constituency | Elected member | Result | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Aberdeen Central | Kevin Stewart | SNP hold |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Aberdeen Donside | Jackie Dunbar | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Aberdeen South and North Kincardine | Audrey Nicoll | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Aberdeenshire East | Gillian Martin | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Aberdeenshire West | Alexander Burnett | Conservative hold |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Angus North & Mearns | Mairi Gougeon | SNP hold |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Angus South | Graeme Dey | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Banffshire & Buchan Coast | Karen Adam | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Dundee City East | Shona Robison | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Dundee City West | Joe FitzPatrick | |
Шаблон:Election table |- ! colspan="2" style="width: 150px"|Party ! Elected candidates ! style="width: 40px"|Seats ! style="width: 40px"|+/− ! style="width: 50px"|Votes ! style="width: 40px"|% ! style="width: 40px"|+/−% |- Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box end
South Scotland
| 2021 Scottish Parliament election: South Scotland constituencies | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Constituency | Elected member | Result | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Ayr | Siobhian Brown | SNP gain from Conservative |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Carrick, Cumnock and Doon Valley | Elena Whitham | SNP hold |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Clydesdale | Màiri McAllan | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Dumfriesshire | Oliver Mundell | Conservative hold |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | East Lothian | Paul McLennan | SNP gain from Labour |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Ettrick, Roxburgh and Berwickshire | Rachael Hamilton | Conservative hold |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Galloway and West Dumfries | Finlay Carson | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Kilmarnock and Irvine Valley | Willie Coffey | SNP hold |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Midlothian South, Tweeddale and Lauderdale | Christine Grahame | |
Шаблон:Election table |- ! colspan="2" style="width: 150px"|Party ! Elected candidates ! style="width: 40px"|Seats ! style="width: 40px"|+/− ! style="width: 50px"|Votes ! style="width: 40px"|% ! style="width: 40px"|+/−% |- Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box end
West Scotland
| 2021 Scottish Parliament election: West Scotland constituencies | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Constituency | Elected member | Result | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Clydebank and Milngavie | Marie McNair | SNP hold |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Cunninghame North | Kenneth Gibson | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Cunninghame South | Ruth Maguire | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Dumbarton | Jackie Baillie | Labour hold |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Eastwood | Jackson Carlaw | Conservative hold |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Greenock and Inverclyde | Stuart McMillan | SNP hold |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Paisley | George Adam | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Renfrewshire North and West | Natalie Don | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Renfrewshire South | Tom Arthur | |
| style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Strathkelvin and Bearsden | Rona Mackay | |
Шаблон:Election table |- ! colspan="2" style="width: 150px"|Party ! Elected candidates ! style="width: 40px"|Seats ! style="width: 40px"|+/− ! style="width: 50px"|Votes ! style="width: 40px"|% ! style="width: 40px"|+/−% |- Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box end
Constituency seat changes compared to 2016
| Constituency | Gain | Loss | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayr | style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | SNP | style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Conservative |
| East Lothian | style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Labour | |
| Edinburgh Central | style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color"| | Conservative | |
MSPs who lost their seats
| MSP | Constituency/Region | Party | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Ballantyne[98] | South Scotland | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | Reform |
| Claudia Beamish[99] | South Scotland | style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | | Labour |
| Maurice Corry | West Scotland | style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | | Conservative |
| James Kelly[100] | Glasgow | style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | | Labour |
| Gordon Lindhurst | Lothian | style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | | Conservative |
| Joan McAlpine[101] | South Scotland | style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | | SNP |
| John Scott[102] | Ayr | style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | | Conservative |
| Paul Wheelhouse[101] | South Scotland | style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | | SNP |
| Andy Wightman[103] | Lothian (contested Highlands and Islands) | rowspan="2" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | Scottish Greens (contested as independent) |
Analysis
The SNP won 64 seats, falling one seat short of an overall majority.[104] Some commentators put this down to unionists voting tactically for Conservative, Labour and Lib Dem candidates.[105][106] According to psephologist John Curtice, "Denying the SNP an overall majority was, indeed, a collective effort – at least on the part of Unionist voters, who on the constituency ballot demonstrated a remarkable willingness to back whichever pro-Union party appeared to be best placed locally to defeat the SNP. [...] These patterns had a decisive impact on the outcome."[107] This was apparent in seats like Dumbarton, where incumbent Labour MSP Jackie Baillie saw her 0.3% majority increased to 3.9%, whilst both the Conservative and Lib Dem vote share decreased.[108]
In The National, Emer O'Toole questioned whether social media adverts with "a lack of transparency over funding" may have cost the SNP key seats as well.[109] The day before the election, The Guardian reported that anti-independence groups and campaigners had "spent tens of thousands of pounds in the past week", including on Facebook adverts, calling for tactical voting to prevent the SNP getting a majority.[110] One of these groups was Scotland Matters, whose founder, Professor Hugh Pennington said, "Across the country as a whole, tactical voting is obviously one of the ways forward to basically harm the SNP, not to put too fine a point on it."[110]
Additionally, the Greens claimed that they may have been deprived of two seats because of Independent Green Voice (IGV), a far-right party which has nothing to do with the Scottish Greens (who support Scottish independence). IGV received nearly 10,000 votes, including 2,210 in Glasgow (where the Greens were 1,000 short of gaining a seat) and 1,690 in South Scotland (where the Greens fell 100 short). This potentially prevented pro-independence parties from having a 19-seat majority instead of 15 seats.[111]
The Scottish and Welsh Election Studies 2021, revealed on 13 June, found that around a third of Scottish voters who decided to vote differently in the run-up to the election did so to stop another party, and that 90% of those who did this did so in a bid to prevent the SNP winning the seat. Rob Johns, Professor in Politics at the University of Essex, said: "[W]e found a lot more switching than we had expected. The polls had suggested that not much was changing and obviously the overall election result was almost eerily similar to 2016. That can mean that nobody has changed their mind or it can mean lots of people have changed their mind – but these have cancelled out as people have moved in opposing directions. We found there was quite a lot more of that than we had expected."[112]
Voter demographics
Data from Savanta ComRes:[113]
| The 2021 Scottish Parliament constituency vote | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Social group | SNP | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Others | ||||
| class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:60px;"| | ||||||
| Total vote | 48 | 22 | 18 | 5 | 7 | ||||
| Gender | |||||||||
| Male | 43 | 26 | 24 | 7 | 0 | ||||
| Female | 52 | 16 | 24 | 5 | 3 | ||||
| Age | |||||||||
| 16–34 | 58 | 10 | 24 | 3 | 5 | ||||
| 35–54 | 51 | 16 | 25 | 5 | 3 | ||||
| 55+ | 38 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 0 | ||||
Campaign spending
| Party | Expenses[114][115] | |
|---|---|---|
| Шаблон:Party name with colour | £1,468,343 | |
| Шаблон:Party name with colour | £1,359,435 | |
| Шаблон:Party name with colour | £1,176,410 | |
| Шаблон:Party name with colour | £434,354 | |
| Шаблон:Party name with colour | £231,902 | |
| Шаблон:Party name with colour | £214,371 | |
| Шаблон:Party name with colour | £54,504 | |
| Шаблон:Party name with colour | £32,908 | |
| Шаблон:Party name with colour | £29,620 | |
| Шаблон:Party name with colour | £13,753 | |
| Шаблон:Party name with colour | £10,199 | |
| Шаблон:Party name with colour | £8,230 | |
| Шаблон:Party name with colour | £7,387 | |
| Шаблон:Party name with colour | £6,420 | |
Aftermath
| Election of the First Minister | |||||
| Ballot → | 18 May 2021 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Required majority → | 50 out of 99 valid votes | ||||
| width="1px" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | Шаблон:Collapsible list | Шаблон:Composition bar | Шаблон:Tick | ||
| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | Шаблон:Collapsible list | Шаблон:Composition bar | Шаблон:Cross | ||
| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | Шаблон:Collapsible list | Шаблон:Composition bar | Шаблон:Cross | ||
| Шаблон:Collapsible list | Шаблон:Composition bar | ||||
| Шаблон:Collapsible list | Шаблон:Composition bar | ||||
| Sources[116] | |||||
Nicola Sturgeon was nominated as First Minister by a vote of the parliament on 18 May 2021.[117] Her cabinet was approved by the parliament two days later and thus the Third Sturgeon government, a minority government, was formed.[118]
On 3 August 2021, it was reported that a co-operation agreement between the SNP and the Greens was "on the brink of being finalised" and could see Green MSPs take ministerial positions in government.[119] On 19 August, the power-sharing agreement between the two parties was announced.[6] Under the terms of the agreement, the Greens have two MSPs appointed as junior ministers in the government who are invited to attend cabinet meetings when their portfolios are being discussed. The Greens signed up to the bulk of the SNP's policies, but in areas of disagreement such as international relations and fee-paying schools the two parties are free to publicly disagree.[6] The agreement states that the Greens support the government on votes of confidence and supply.[120]
A deal that would see Patrick Harvie and Lorna Slater made ministers was revealed on 26 August, subject to being voted upon by Green Party members.[121][122] Two days later, members of both parties overwhelmingly voted in favour of the deal.[123]
See also
Other elections in the UK which were held on the same day:
- 2021 London Assembly election
- 2021 London mayoral election
- 2021 Senedd election
- 2021 United Kingdom local elections
Footnotes
References
External links
- Election 2021 Шаблон:Webarchive (on the Scottish Parliament website)
Шаблон:Scottish elections Шаблон:2021 Scottish Parliament election
- ↑ 1,0 1,1 Шаблон:Cite web
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